Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-30-21 | Jaguars v. Bengals OVER 45.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -115 | 49 h 0 m | Show | |
Jacksonville is 0-3 both S/U and ATS after three games. They are coming off a loss at home to Arizona last week. They led Arizona at the half, but fell apart in the 2nd half. The defense has been bad, ranking 29th overall while the offense ranks 27th. They will face the 2-1 Bengals today. Cincinnati opened their season with a win over the Vikings, 27-24, then lost to Chicago, 17-20. Last week they beat Pittsburgh, 24-10. They won by 14 points despite being outgained 268-343 and allowing a whipping 29 more offensive plays. They also had just 12 fist downs to the Steelers 21. If you only looked at the stats, you would swear that the Steelers won this game 24-10. The Bengals have been a good over team. They are 5-0-1 in their last six as a favorite and 11-5-1 O/U in their last 17 vs the AFC. The way Jacksonville has allowed points this year, I'll take the OVER here on Thursday. Play OVER. |
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09-26-21 | Bucs v. Rams OVER 55.5 | 24-34 | Win | 102 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay is off to a 2-0 S/U and 1-1 ATS start. They opened the season with a close win over Dallas, 31-29 and then won and covered last week vs Atlanta, 48-25. Tampa has the 13th ranked offense. The running game hasn't been much, ranked 30th as they average just 67 yards per game. Tom Brady has been hot though, with the passing game ranked 5th overall at 319 yards per game. The Rams have the 16th ranked offense, but Matthew Stafford has been good and has the passing attack ranked 7th overall. The Rams opened with a win over Chicago 34-14 and then last week beat the Colts on the road, 27-24. Both games have gone over. The Bucs are 21-6 O/Un in their last 27 games vs NFC opponents. They are 5-2 O/U in their last seven games. The Rams have gone over in their last four games. The last four meetings between these clubs have all gone over. I'll take the OVER here today. |
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09-26-21 | Ravens v. Lions OVER 50 | 19-17 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
Baltimore followed up their OT loss in Las Vegas week one with a exciting home win over the Chiefs last week, 36-35. They have now gone over in both games. Which is what I'm looking at today. The defense has been horrendous thus far, ranked 31st in the league. Their pass defense is the worst in the NFL. The Lions opened the season with a loss to the 49ers, 33-41. Last week they got beat at Green Bay, 17-35. Both games have gone over. The Ravens have seen six of their last eight road games go over. The Lions have seen 13 of their last 16 home games go over. This one looks to be another high scoring affair for both team. I'll take the OVER. |
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09-26-21 | Bears v. Browns UNDER 45 | 6-26 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears are 1-1 S/U and ATS as they come into action here on week three. The beat the Bengals at home last week, 20-17. The offense was not good, passing for just 83 yards and rushing for 123 yards. The saving grace was their defense that held Cincinnati to just 248 total yards and had four take aways. The Browns followed their week one loss to the Chiefs with a win at home last week over Houston, 31-21. The Bears have the 8th ranked defense in the league, allowing 317 total yards per game. Their rushing defense is ranked 5th. The Browns are 14th with 350 yards per game allowed. The rush defense is 9th. Problem for the Bears is they have the 30th ranked offense and the 31st ranked passing offense. The Bears have seen their totals go under in 22 of the last 31 times they played on grass. They are also 6-13 O/U their last 19 times as a road dog. I don't see the Bears getting many points here today. Their defense is good enough to keep them close. Play UNDER. |
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09-23-21 | Panthers v. Texans UNDER 43.5 | 24-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
The Houston Texans are down to their third string QB in Davis Mills. Mills came into last week's game after Tyrod Taylor was injured in the first half. He played ok, tallying just over 100 yards with a TD and an INT. Mills will be thrown to the wolves tonight as he faces a very good Carolina defense. Plus, the Texans aren't very exciting overall on offense, so I look for points to be hard to come by tonight. The Panthers have Darnold at QB and McCaffrey running and catching the ball. I'm no big fan of Darnolds, but he's got the job done so far for the Panthers who smothered the Saints last week. The Panthers only allowing 10.5 ppg thus far. I'll take the UNDER here tonight. |
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09-19-21 | Raiders v. Steelers OVER 47 | 26-17 | Loss | -104 | 49 h 1 m | Show | |
Las Vegas played an exciting game last week as they came from behind to tie Baltimore and send the game into OT. Both teams had a chance and both teams turned the ball over, Vegas doing so on 1st and goal at the half yard line. But Vegas finally won an exciting game on a Carr TD pass to Jones for the win before almost 70,000 fans at Allegiant Stadium. However, the win didn't come without a price, the Raiders suffered injuries, especially on the offensive line where they are very thin heading into this week's game. Pittsburgh overcame a deficit to come back and win their game at Buffalo, 23-16. Their defense was once again very good when it needed to be. This week Vegas has to come down from their high and travel cross country to take on a very good Steelers team. The Vegas defense is improved, but they still give up points and that was evident last week. I look for both teams to get plenty of points here on Sunday. Take the OVER. |
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01-24-21 | Bills v. Chiefs UNDER 54.5 | 24-38 | Loss | -104 | 3 h 15 m | Show | |
Big question here in the AFC Championship game is the health of Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes. Officially he's listed as probable and should start, but how healthy is he?? He has those foot and neck issues after leaving last week's game. Mahomes does a lot with his legs and he might be limited here today with all his injuries. There are also weather issues here today with rain likely. The Chiefs will try to hold QB Josh Allen down with deep zones here on Sunday. Normally I would look at this game over, but with Andy Reid looking to protect his QB and the the weather, I'm going to play this one UNDER. |
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01-16-21 | Rams v. Packers UNDER 46 | 18-32 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 44 m | Show | |
Divisional Round of the playoffs here on Saturday as the 10-6 LA Rams take on the 13-3 Green Bay Packers from Lambeau field. Always have to check weather when dealing with Green Bay. It's going to be cold, likely below freezing during the game with light showers turning to snow later in the game with light winds. Never easy for West Coast teams to make the trip East, especially a warm weather team like the Rams playing in cold Green Bay. The Rams defense is the best in the league and it will be put to the test against likely the NFL MVP in Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense here today. The Rams playing with hobbled QB's. Jared Goff had to come back last week even with his surgically repaired thumb to replace injured QB John Wolford. Wolford is out this week so that means Goff again despite not being near 100%. No 1 offense of Green Bay vs No 1 defense of the Rams. The Rams will try and use their excellent corners against these high powered Packer receivers and take away what Rodgers looks for most. I don't believe the Rams will have what it takes on offense to get it done here today. Between the cold, damp weather, the long travel and a hurting QB, I don't expect a lot of scoring here. The Rams defense should keep it close but low scoring. Play the UNDER. |
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01-10-21 | Ravens v. Titans OVER 54.5 | 20-13 | Loss | -104 | 51 h 51 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Ravens look to avenge their last loss to the Tennessee Titans back on Nov 22, losing in OT 24-30. Derrick Henry ran all over the Ravens in that contest, much like he has done to the entire NFL this season. Henry became just the 8th back in the NFL history that rushed for more than 2,000 yards after his 250 yard performance last week at Houston. The Ravens finished 11-5 on the season and winners of five games in a row. This game will be filled with rushing. Henry for the Titans and QB Lamar Jackson for the Ravens. Jacks rushed for 97 yards in their blowout win at Cincinnati last week. I like this game to have lots of offense in a repeat of their game on Nov 22. Play OVER. |
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01-09-21 | Bucs v. Washington Football Team UNDER 44.5 | 31-23 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 1 m | Show | |
Tom Brady has led the Bucs back to the postseason for the first time since 2007. The Bucs will travel to DC to take on Washington here in the Wild Card round. The Bucs have the league's 3rd ranked scoring offense (30.8 ppg) and will face one of the best passing defenses in the league here this week. Washington started the season 2-7, but finished strong with a 5-2 record to take the NFC East. The defense is the backbone of this team, ranking 2nd in total yards allowed and 2nd in passing yards allowed. They were also 4th in points allowed. Washington has seen it's last nine games on grass all go under. They are also 3-8 O/U in their last 11 home games vs a team with a wining record. These teams have gone under in five of their last seven meetings and four of the last five in Washington. Washington needs to keep this score low if they hope for a win today. Take the UNDER. |
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01-09-21 | Rams v. Seahawks UNDER 42.5 | 30-20 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 26 m | Show | |
The 10-6 LA Rams take on the 12-4 Seattle Seahawks from Seattle this Saturday in the Wild Card round of the playoffs. These teams split during the regular season. The Rams likely won't know their starting QB until shortly before kickoff. QB Jared Goff broke his finger against Seattle back on Dec 27 and had surgery the following day. John Wolford started against Arizona, helping the Rams clinch their playoff spot. Wolford was 22 of 38 passing for 231 yards and rushed for a team-high 56 yards. The Rams have a great defense, tops in the NFL in fewest points allowed, passing yards allowed, TD passes, 1st downs and total yards. They will rely on that defense here today to keep Seattle QB Russel Wilson in check, which isn't easy. The Hawks had to rally from 10 points down vs the 49ers to clinch the NFC West last week. The Rams are 0-4 O/U in their last four games thanks to their strong defense. The Seattle defense was much maligned during the 1st half of the season, at or near the bottom of the league. However, since then they have played much better. The have gone under in their last four home games as a favorite. They are also 1-7 O/U in their last eight overall games. These teams are 7-15 O/U in their last 22 meetings. I like this game to go UNDER. |
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01-03-21 | Cardinals v. Rams UNDER 41.5 | 7-18 | Win | 100 | 21 h 16 m | Show | |
Both these clubs fighting for that last playoff spot as the Rams host the Cardinals. The losers season is over here. The Cardinals couldn't stop the Carolina run last week and it cost them dearly as they lost 12-20. For the highly ranked Arizona offense it was their worst offensive output of the season. And to make matters worse, QB Kyler Murray was injured on the last play of the game. He has said he will play here on Sunday. The Rams lost a chance to lock down a playoff spot last week in their loss to the division winning Seahawks, 9-20. LA also lost their QB as Jared Goff broke his thumb. The Rams will have to now turn to backup John Wolford. Wolford has never taken a NFL snap. With both QB's either out or hurting, I look for the defenses to take over here on Sunday. The Rams have a top defensive unit and they will need every bit of it to secure a playoff spot. For me, I'll just take the UNDER here on Sunday. |
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12-27-20 | Rams v. Seahawks UNDER 47.5 | 9-20 | Win | 100 | 15 h 1 m | Show | |
These teams met back in November and that turned into more of a defensive struggle, with the Rams holding on for a 23-16 win. The Rams had 289 yards of offense and Seattle had 333 yards of offense. The Rams might have looked toward this game when they played at home to the Jets last week, give New York its first win of the season, 23-20. The 17-point favored Rams had 303 yards and one turnover in the loss. Seattle had just 302 yards in their win at Washington, having 23 fewer snaps on offense and allowing 51 more yards. Seattle has the 7th ranked offense, dropping in recent weeks. The Rams defense remains topped ranked in the NFL, 1st against the pass and 3rd vs the run. I look for another low scoring game here today. The Rams defense will keep this game lower scoring as Seattle will look to establish the run. Play UNDER. |
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12-27-20 | Panthers v. Washington Football Team UNDER 41.5 | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
The Carolina Panthers thought that RB Christian McCaffrey would return here today. However, latest reports have him downgraded to doubtful for today's game. McCaffrey has only played in three games all season, but still have six TD's. The Panthers are ranked 20th in the NFL in total offense, 19th rushing and 16th passing. On the other side, it's possible QB Alex Smith will be back today after suffering a calf injury. Washington, as most NFC East teams, still in the hunt for the Division championship and that playoff berth. Right now it looks like Washington has the inside track. They are coming off a loss last week to Seattle, 15-20. Their excellent defense held Seattle's highly ranked offense to just 302 total yards. The problem isn't Washington's 4th ranked defense, it's their offense. Washington is ranked 28th in total offense, 22nd rushing, 25th passing. Today if Smith doesn't return, or even if he does, I see this as a low scoring game. McCaffrey might have given some hope for more offense, but now I see this as a dead under. That's the play, UNDER. |
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12-20-20 | Eagles v. Cardinals OVER 49.5 | Top | 26-33 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
The Jalen Hurts era made a good start last week for the Philadelphia Eagles as they beat the best defense in the NFL, the Saints 24-21. The Eagles ran for 246 and Hurts passed for 167 yards and no INT's. Arizona snapped a three game losing streak with a win over the Giants, 26-7. The Cardinals held the Giants to just 159 totals yards and had a whopping 37 more offensive plays then the Giants had. The Cards boast the NFL's 4th best offense, 4th in rushing and 17th in passing yards. Philly has been near the bottom third in the offense, but we'll see if that turns around with Hurts at the helm. We might be seeing the end of Carson Wentz in Philly as Hurts looks like the real deal thus far. For me, I'm taking the OVER here on Sunday. |
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12-20-20 | Seahawks v. Washington Football Team UNDER 43.5 | 20-15 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
The Washington Football team has flexed their defensive muscles in recent week. They are ranked 4th overall in the NFL, 9th vs the rush and 3rd vs the pass. They will need that defense here today against Russell Wilson and the high flying Seahawks. The offense isn't very good, gaining a mere 193 yards in their win against San Francisco last week. However, the defense got three turnovers and turned those into points. Seattle rebounded from its shocking loss to the Giants two weeks ago with a blowout win over the Jets last week, 40-3. The Hawks had 410 yards and held the Jets to just 185 yards. Seattle has the league's 6th ranked overall offense, 11th in rushing and 4th in passing. This game really boils down to the Washington defense vs the Seattle offense. There is no way that Washington can match Seattle score for score, that just isn't how this team is built. But I've been impressed with their defense I expect them to keep this game close with that defense. Therefore, I'm taking the UNDER here today. |
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12-20-20 | Patriots v. Dolphins UNDER 41.5 | 12-22 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
The Patriots looked like they had the offense back on track after scoring at least 20 points in six straight game and going 4-2 over that six game stretch. However, that all came to a halt last week when they play at the LA Rams. The Pats scored just three points in a 3-24 loss. The offense had just 220 total yards and one turnover. The defense played decent, holding LA to 318 yards and one turnover. Cam Newton had just 113 yards passing and the team had 107 yards rushing. The Dolphins mounted a nice comeback at home against the Kansas City Chiefs, but came up on the short end of a 27-33 contest. Though they did backend the spread to get the cover against the +7 point line. The Dolphins have been a good under team all year. They have gone under in three of their last four games and are 5-8 O/U on the season. The passing defense had allowed 174 or fewer their previous three of four games before Patrick Mahones torched them for 354 last week. Though the defense did get four takeaways and three sacks against the Chiefs. Neither of these teams have highly ranked offenses, with Miami coming in at 27th and the Pats at 24th. I don't think the oddsmaker can put up a total low enough on this contest. I have the total at least nine points less. I'm looking at a low scoring game here on Sunday. Play UNDER. |
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12-14-20 | Ravens v. Browns UNDER 46 | 47-42 | Loss | -118 | 24 h 42 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Browns currently sit at 9-3 and in the playoff picture. However, they face a desperate Baltimore team here today that is on the outside of the AFC playoff picture looking in. A loss by the Ravens and they can pretty much kiss any postseason goodbye. The Ravens have had many Covid issues in recent weeks and it has effected the team. They lost to New England without Lamar Jackson (Covid) and then lost to Tennessee before rebounding last week with a win over the Cowboys. They play their last road game here tonight before returning home to close out the regular season against Jacksonville and the Giants. Cleveland's offense and QB Baker Mayfield arguably had their best ever showing last week in a win over Tennessee, 41-35. They had 118 yards rushing and 340 yards Passing with just one turnover. They play the Ravens tonight before the Giants and Jets in subsequent weeks before closing out at home over Pittsburgh. They are trying to hold off the Colts for that AFC Wild Card spot. Usually you have to take a close look at the weather in December for Cleveland. Tonight it looks to be around freezing with winds that could be up near 20 MPH. The winds are the biggest concern as it will effect the passing games. The Ravens love to rush and the Browns are good on the ground too. Expect a lot of ground game here tonight. I'm taking the UNDER. |
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12-13-20 | Saints v. Eagles UNDER 43 | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 33 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints hold the top playoff spot in the NFC with a 10-2 overall record. Philadelphia is pretty much out of it, even in the NFC East as they are just 3-8-1 on the season. The Saints will play again tomorrow with QB Drew Brees. But that hasn't been a problem with Taysom Hill at the Helm. He's guided them to three straight starting wins. The defense has been great and it should be as it's the tops in the NFL (2nd vs rush and 4th vs pass). That doesn't bode well today as the Eagles will start Jalen Hurts at QB. They have wanted to get Hurts into the mix, but this is more like throwing him to the wolves. Hurts brings a run/pass dynamic to the Eagles, but his passing leaves a lot to be desired. Now he must face the 4th best pass defense. The Saints have gone under in five straight games, mainly because Hill is more a controlled rusher with short passes. Since Hill has bee at the helm, the rushing yards have gone up to 168, 229 and 207 yards in each of their last three games. I don't see the Eagles scoring much over 10 points here today. I'm taking the UNDER. |
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12-13-20 | Cardinals v. Giants UNDER 47 | 26-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
The Cardinals have seen their playoff hopes drop drastically over the last few weeks as they now sit 6-6. Arizona has lost three straight since their miracle win over Buffalo back on November 15th. There is lots of concern with QB Kyler Murray who has been nursing various injuries, which could account for the lack of offense in recent weeks. The Cards had just 232 total yards last week and 298 yards the previous week. Meanwhile, the Giants are in the driver seat to win the NFC East. They had that big win last week at Seattle and own the tiebreaker over Washington based on head to head win percentage. More good news, they get back QB Daniel Jones here today, who has been nursing a hamstring injury. These teams headed in different directions plus the Cards make that long West to East trip. The Giants have an excellent defense, ranked 7th overall in the NFL and 4th vs the rush. I look for them to give Murray fits here today. Play the UNDER. |
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12-13-20 | Vikings v. Bucs OVER 52 | 14-26 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
Minnesota very much in the playoff hunt at 6-6 as they hold the tiebreaker over 6-6 Arizona. Tampa Bay is 7-5 and sits 6th in the NFC playoff picture, so today's game is very important to both teams. The Vikings have pulled two wins from the jaws of defeat in the last two weeks with late wins over Carolina and Jacksonville. But those were at home and now they go to Tampa to face Tom Brady and company. The defense is not good, ranked 23rd overall and 27th vs the pass. Tampa Bay, which was ranked in the top 2 or three, has since dropped to 8th overall, though they are still 1st vs the run. That should be put to test here today against the 6th ranked Minnesota rushing attack. Both teams posses the players to score big here and combine that with the Vikings poor defense and I'm playing OVER. |
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12-06-20 | Rams v. Cardinals UNDER 48.5 | 38-28 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 50 m | Show | |
The LA Rams have been a perplexing team. They go to Tampa Bay and win 27-24 against Tom Brady and a very good defense. Then they come home and can have a terrible time offensively against the 49ers as they lose, 20-23. The Rams had just 308 total yards of offense in that loss. The Rams also had four turnovers. Now they travel to Arizona to face the Cardinals. The Cardinals have lost two straight games and three of their last four. They lost to the Patriots last week, 17-20 and the Seahawks the week before, 21-28. The offense had 298 yards of offense last week and 314 the week before. Both teams seem to have lost something offensively here in recent weeks. The Rams still have a excellent defense, ranked 2nd in the NFL, fourth vs the rush and 3rd vs the pass. I look for another low scoring game here today. Play UNDER. |
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12-06-20 | Saints v. Falcons UNDER 46 | 21-16 | Win | 100 | 16 h 45 m | Show | |
New Orleans will be without Drew Brees again this week with his rib injuries. Taysom Hill will start again here today. The Saints beat the Broncos last week as Denver had no quarterbacks and New Orleans had little issues in the 31-3 win. Still, the Saints managed just 63 total passing yards to go with their 229 rushing yards. The Falcons had the week off after beating the Raiders the week before, 43-6. The team has won three of their last four games both S/U and ATS. Their one loss came to these Saints on Nov 22nd, 9-24 in New Orleans. Atlanta's offense has improved to 10th overall and 6th passing. The Saints are 13th, 7th rushing. The Saints defense is ranked No 1 overall, 2nd against the rush and 5th against the pass. This will be a tough task today on the road for the Saints against a improving Falcons club. I expect a lot of rushing from the Saints as they limit Hill's passing attempts. Take the UNDER. |
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12-06-20 | Browns v. Titans OVER 53 | 41-35 | Win | 100 | 16 h 44 m | Show | |
Cleveland won at Jacksonville last week, 27-25 though they failed to cover the TD spread. While the Browns have won three straight, they have covered just one of their last six games. The Browns finally got away from that bad Cleveland weather that saw them go under three games in a row due to various inclement conditions. The Titans are coming off a big win at Indianapolis last week, 45-26. The Titans have scored 75 points in their last two games against two very good defenses. Tennessee has seen its offense rankings climb to 8th overall and 2nd in the league rushing. They will face the Browns 17th ranked defense. The way the Titans offense is firing on all cylinders, I expect this game to be high scoring. Play OVER. |
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11-29-20 | Bears v. Packers UNDER 44.5 | 25-41 | Loss | -118 | 22 h 37 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears came up short at Minnesota two weeks ago, losing 13-19. The Bears offense was anemic, totaling just 149 yards. Still, their defense kept them close. The defense ranks 8th overall and 9th vs the pass. They will be tested here today against Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. The Packers have the 7th overall offense and 6th via the pass. The Packers lost a close one last week in Indianapolis, 31-34. Rodgers had 280 yards passing and was intercepted once by the Colts. Surprisingly, the Packers have gone under in four of their last seven games. Both these games went under last year, with the packers winning 21-13 and 10-3. The Bears know they can't get into a scoring match here with the Packers. They will have to rely on take away and keep the ball more on offense while hoping their defense can keep Rodgers off balance. Take the UNDER. |
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11-29-20 | Chiefs v. Bucs OVER 56 | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
The Chiefs avenged their only loss this season as they beat the Raiders last week, 35-31 on a last minute TD drive by Patrick Mahomes. The Chiefs have scored 33 or more points in four straight games and have yet to score fewer than 23 points. The offense ranks 2nd overall and 1st via the pass (301 yards per game). The rushing game is adequate, ranking 16th at 113 yards per game. The defense is right in the middle of the pack at 15th. Tampa Bay was embarrassed again in the big national spotlight, this time losing at home to the Rams, 24-27. Tom Brady looking very average of late couldn't lead his team on any last minute win. The Rams passed for 367 yards against the highly ranked Bucs defense. If Jared Goff could pass for over 300 yards against this Bucs team, what will Mahomes do here today? I really believe there is a disconnection between Brady and HC Arians. They don't seem to be on the same page at times and Brady looks to get rid of passes all too early. I'm taking the Chiefs here on Sunday. |
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11-26-20 | Washington Football Team v. Cowboys UNDER 46 | 41-16 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
Washington was responsible for ending Joe Burrows year last week with a knee injury. Washington had little trouble with the Bengals thereafter, taking the game 20-9. The Dallas Cowboys got a much needed win in the NFC East with a win over the Vikings last week, 31-28. It was the most points the Cowboys have put on the board since Dak Prescot went out for the season on October 11th vs the Giants. Thanks in part to the role Prescot played early in the season, the Cowboys still have the 6th ranked offense, 13th rushing and 7th passing. Washington is ranked 26th in the league in offense, 20th rushing and 24th passing. Washington has a decent defense, ranked 6th overall and 1st against the pass. Look for Washington to put more men in the box on Thursday to stop Ezekiel Elliot and put pressure on the Dallas passing game. I'm going to take this matchup under as I don't see either team getting a lot of points. Play UNDER. |
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11-23-20 | Rams v. Bucs UNDER 48.5 | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 32 m | Show | |
Rams beat the Seahawks on Sunday, shutting them out in the 2nd half. However, the win didn't come without a big loss, that being left tackle Andrew Whitworth who tore his MCL and is done for the season. Why is this so important? The Rams play one of the best defenses in the league and a defense that loves to blitz QB's. With Whitworth out, you lose a very good veteran who protects Goff's blindside. That will open up the attack for the Bucs and you can believe they will design an attack just for that here on Monday. Goff does not do well under pressure and he will be under plenty tonight. With Goff under all this pressure from a top NFL defense I look for the Rams to score below their season average and this game to go UNDER. |
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11-22-20 | Packers v. Colts OVER 51 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
The Green Bay Packers will unleash their 6th ranked offense against the Indianapolis Colts and their top ranked defense. The Colts have the 3rd ranked rushing defense and the 2nd ranked passing defense. The Packers played a pretty uninspired contest last week at Jacksonville, winning 24-20 as a 13.5 point favorite. The Colts had a pretty easy time at Tennessee, winning 34-17 on the road as a 1-point favorite. The Colts had 430 yards to just 294 by the Titans. The Packers have score 30 points or more in six of their nine games this season. Despite having a good defense, the Colts have gone over in four of their last five games. For me, that's what I'm playing this weekend. Take the OVER. |
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11-22-20 | Falcons v. Saints OVER 49 | 9-24 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
NFC South clash here has Atlanta Falcons playing at New Orleans Saints. Saints will be without QB Drew Brees who will sit this one out with a rib injury. Taysom Hill will step into the starters role for the Saints. Hill sees plenty of action normally so this shouldn't be a big departure for the Saints. The Saints were able to beat the 49ers last week, 27-13 behind four San Francisco turnovers. The Saints also used their potent rushing attack to gain 114 yards compared to the Niners 49 yards. The Falcons have the 30th ranked defense, 6th vs the rush and 30th vs the pass. Even without Brees, I like these teams to get points on the board. Hill should have issues moving this team against this poor Falcons defense. Expect lots of points here today. Play the OVER. |
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11-19-20 | Cardinals v. Seahawks UNDER 58.5 | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 33 h 9 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks were shutout in the 2nd half of Sunday's loss at the Rams. When was the last time that has happened to a Russell Wilson led team? So why did this happen? Wilson is getting beat up without a good offensive line in front of him. That's becoming apparent. And as such, I look for the Hawks to spend more time running the ball here tonight. They can't keep letting Wilson get hit as mush as he has been lately. The gameplan has to change tonight and for me I see much more running attack by Seattle. With that being said, that 58 point total looks like a mountain to me that these teams will not overcome. Then you add in possibly the wind and rain and that makes me like this play even more. I'm playing UNDER in this one on Thursday. |
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11-16-20 | Vikings v. Bears UNDER 43.5 | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 50 h 56 m | Show | |
The Vikings coming off a big win at home over Detroit last week, 34-20. That's two big wins in a row since Dalvin Cook returned. The running game is piling up the yards with 275 last week and 173 the week before. Compare that to just 32 in their loss three weeks ago to Atlanta, 23-40. The Bears got stuffed last week in Tennessee, 17-27. The Bears defense did its job, holding the Titans to just 228 total yards. However, two turnovers were too much to overcome in the loss. The Bears are now 3-6 Over/Under on the season and 1-3 o/u at home. Chicago has the 30th ranked offense in the league this year. However, their defense is ranked 8th, 7th vs the pass and 14th vs the run. This one will all depend on how well the Vikings can run the ball against this Bears defense. I look for a low scoring game in this one. Take UNDER |
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11-15-20 | Chargers v. Dolphins OVER 48 | 21-29 | Win | 100 | 22 h 43 m | Show | |
The Chargers look to snap a two game losing streak here on Sunday. They lost last week to the Raiders, 26-31 and the previous week to the Broncos, 30-31. The Chargers just can't seem to win close games as they had chances to win both games in the final seconds. Defense has been an issue, allowing 29 points or more in five straight games (all overs). Despite all the points allowed, they come in ranked 15th overall in defense. Meanwhile, Miami looks to win their third straight under their new rookie QB. The Dolphins won on the road last week at Arizona, 34-31. That followed a win at home over the Rams, 28-17. In both games the Dolphins were out gained in total yards. The defense and special teams have produced touchdowns in both games. Miami's 21st ranked defense will have to contend with Chargers' QB Hebert who is having an excellent season since taking over for Tyrod Taylor. The Chargers have the 3rd ranked overall offense, 5th in passing. I expect a lot of points on the board here today as neither defense likely to stop the opposing offense. Play OVER. |
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11-15-20 | Bills v. Cardinals OVER 56 | 30-32 | Win | 100 | 22 h 43 m | Show | |
The Bills offense was clicking last week at home against Seattle in a big win, 44-34. Even though they ran the ball for just 34 yards, Josh Allen threw for 386 yards in the win. It was the team's second over in a row after they beat New England two weeks ago, 24-21. That ended a drought that saw the team score 18 or fewer points in three straight weeks. Arizona had no answer last week for Miami as they lost in a shootout, 31-34. The defense didn't play bad for giving up 34 points, allowing just 91 rushing yards and 221 passing yards. Arizona rushed for 178 yards and passed for 264 yards in the loss. It was the team's 2nd over after a 37-34 win the previous week over Seattle. Arizona has the league's 2nd ranked offense, 2nd rushing and 12th passing. Buffalo ranks 12th, 26th rushing and 7th passing. Both teams are about even defensively, with Buffalo coming in at 18th and Arizona 19th. I expect a lot of yards in this one and with that another OVER. Play OVER. |
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11-15-20 | Texans v. Browns UNDER 46 | 7-10 | Win | 100 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
Cleveland had last week off. Good thing too with some Covid concerns and also injuries. Those appear to be solved here today. However, if you remember back to their Nov 1 game vs the Raiders they had high winds and it really shut down the scoring. The Browns had just 223 totals yards and neither team got over 122 yards passing. Well, it's deja vu all over again here today. Winds are expected over 20 mph throughout the game and for me, that means another ground and pound game from both teams. With that, I'll throw out stats in this one and put my money on the wind and in this case, the UNDER |
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11-15-20 | Jaguars v. Packers UNDER 49 | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
Jacksonville finally got a spread win after five straight loss with their narrow defeat last week to Houston, 25-27. The defense held the Texans to just 374 yards in the loss. The Packers bounced back from their loss to the Vikings two weeks ago with a win over the SFO 49ers, 34-17. Green Bay has the 6th ranked overall offense this season. Jacksonville is 21st in the league. One factor not on the stat sheet today is the weather. Actually the wind, which will be blow up into the 20's here today. Winds effect play more than rain or possibly even snow. Jax QB Gardner Minshew will miss this game with a thumb injury. That will further hinder the scoring in this contest. I'm taking UNDER here today. |
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11-08-20 | Dolphins v. Cardinals OVER 49 | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
The Tua Tagovailoa era began last week as the rookie made his first start of the season at home against the Rams. If you look at just the final score you would expect a big Miami offensive explosion as they won 28-17. However, it was defensive TD's that made the score and win for the Dolphins. The Rams had 471 yards to just 145 for the Dolphins. Tua had just 90 passing yards and the offense 55 rushing yards. It was the four Rams turnovers that inflated that score. Now they had better find some offense at they travel to Arizona to face the high scoring Cardinals. Arizona has the 2nd ranked offense, 2nd rushing and 14th passing. Miami's defense got all the credit last week, but overall they are just 20th in the league and 26th against the pass. That will be the test this week. I don't believe the Dolphins have much shot against this Cardinals team that is leaps and bounds above them on the offensive sides of the ball. Expect lots of points in this one, likely most coming from the birds side of the column. Play the OVER. |
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11-08-20 | Raiders v. Chargers OVER 52.5 | 31-26 | Win | 100 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
The Vegas Raiders ran into a whipping wind storm in Cleveland last week and that resulted in a low scoring game that Vegas won, 16-6. Vegas held the Browns to just 223 total yards, 101 rushing and 122 passing. Despite the winds, there was only one turnover and that was by Cleveland. The Chargers lost a heartbreaker on the last play of the game last week at Denver, 30-31. Bad coaching seems to be the norm these days for the Chargers. LA had 82 plays to just 57 by Denver and had 485 yards to just 351. Chargers QB Justin Herbert is having a great season since taking over early in the year for Tyrod Taylor. Herbert threwe for 275 yards and has now eclipsed 1500 yards on the season. The Chargers have the 3rd best offense in the league, 6th in passing and 8th in rushing. The Raiders have the 8th overall offense, 7th in rushing and 10th in passing. Both teams not very good on the defensive side, with the Chargers ranked 18th and the Raiders 21st. Vegas has gone over in six of their seven games this season while the Chargers are 4-3 o/u on the season. I expect a lot of offense here in the Sofi Stadium. I'm taking OVER. |
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11-08-20 | Seahawks v. Bills OVER 55 | 34-44 | Win | 100 | 16 h 33 m | Show | |
Seattle makes the cross country trip to take on the Buffalo Bills. Buffalo held on to beat the New England Patriots last week, 24-21, but didn't cover the 4-point line. Buffalo was slightly outplayed, but got the big plays when they needed them. Seattle once again in a shootout, beating San Francisco 37-27 as a 1-point favorite. The Seahawks and 49ers each had 35 yards and the lone advantage came in rushing yards where Seattle had 101 to the Niners 51. Seattle has the top rated offense in the league and is 1st in passing and 12th in rushing. Buffalo is 13th in the league, 9th in passing and 21st in rushing. Issue for the Seahawks is that they are dead last in overall defense, 32nds vs the pass and 7th vs the rush. Buffalo doesn't have the defense they had last year, now ranking 16th overall, 10th vs the pass. These are two great over/under bets this year, between them they are 11-3 Over/Under. I look for another high scoring Seattle game this week. Take OVER. |
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11-01-20 | 49ers v. Seahawks OVER 53 | 27-37 | Win | 100 | 20 h 29 m | Show | |
The San Francisco 49ers went into Foxboro last week and demolished the Patriots, 33-6. The Niners had 467 yards to just 241 for the Pats. The Niners also rushed for 197 yards in the game. Seattle was in another shootout, but what's new. They lost at Arizona, 34-37, but really should have won if not for a penalty on a Arizona field goal that resulted in a first down and subsequent TD. Still, just another example of the Seahawks playing nail biting games that are high scoring. Seattle is now 4-1 O/U on the season and both home games have gone over. The Niners have seen two of their three road games go over this year. Seattle has the worst defense in the NFL overall and worst vs pass. However, Seattle does have the NFL's best offense and 2nd ranked passing offense. That combination does provide those high scoring games. I'm sticking with the formula for this one today. Take OVER. |
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11-01-20 | Saints v. Bears UNDER 43 | 26-23 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 29 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints survived last week against a pesky Carolina club, 27-24, though they didn't cover the 7-point line. The Saints outgained the Panthers 415-283 yards. Now they face the 8th ranked Bears defense. The Saints defense is actually rated higher than Chicago, 7th overall and 4th against the rush. Offensively, the Bears are 29th in the league and have the worst rushing game in the NFL (84 yards per game). The have also been intercepted nine times (28th in the league). Conditions not so great in Chicago on Sunday as it's expected to be around freezing with winds close to 20 mph. With the playing conditions and two very good defenses, I'm going UNDER. |
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11-01-20 | Patriots v. Bills UNDER 41 | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 4 m | Show | |
Buffalo won last week at the Jets, though they never came close to covering the spread. The Bills could manage just six field goals against a poor Jets team despite outgaining the Jets 422 yards to just 190. New England continues to sputter. After a poor showing and loss to the Broncos two weeks ago, they did it again last week at home vs the 49ers, losing 6-33. This despite Cam Newton being back for both games. The Patriots managed just 22 yards rushing and 147 yards passing to go with four turnovers. The Pats are in serious trouble as their offense has completely gone South. The Bills haven't clicked on offense for a few weeks now. I'm taking the UNDER. |
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11-01-20 | Vikings v. Packers UNDER 50 | 28-22 | Push | 0 | 17 h 3 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Vikings hope to welcome back star running back Dalvin Cook this week. Cook has missed the last couple of weeks with a groin injury and is a very important cog to this Vikings offense. The Packers could be without their star running back in Aaron Jones. Jones is nursing a calf injury and is currently questionable for this contest. The Vikings had a much needed week off after some lackluster performances. The Packers won last week at Houston, 35-20, just getting under the 55.5 total. Green Bay had only 379 yards vs 365 yards by Houston, yet outscored them by 15 points. This series has been an under series in recent years, with the last three going under and eight of the last 10 going under. The Packers have the 10th ranked defense in the league while Minnesota is 27th. Green Bay has the 8th ranked offense while Minnesota comes in at 14th. Even with cook back here today I'm expecting this game to come in under the 51 point total. Play UNDER. |
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10-29-20 | Falcons v. Panthers UNDER 51.5 | 25-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
Thursday night action has the Atlanta Falcons taking on the Carolina Panthers. The Falcons lost a heartbreaker last week at home to the Detroit Lions, 22-23. Todd Gurley's failure to keep out of the endzone late in the 4th quarter ended up losing the game for the Falcons. The Falcons and Lions went under their 54.5 point total. Carolina gave the Saints all it could handle last week, just coming up short in a 24-27 loss at the Super Dome. Carolina had just 283 totals yards in the game compared to the Saints 415 and ran 24 fewer plays. They did just get over the 49.5 point total. Two of the last three years and four of the last six has seen these two teams go UNDER the total. The Panthers have a decent defense, ranked 11th overall and 9th against the pass. The Panthers also have the 6th best sack total in the league with 32. The Falcons defense is next to last in the league, though they are ranked 6th against the rush. High total here tonight as oddsmakers have adjust up totals since a lot of early week games have gone over. I look for this game to be not quite that high, so I'm playing UNDER. |
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10-26-20 | Bears v. Rams UNDER 45 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 23 h 27 m | Show | |
The 5-1 Chicago Bears take on the 4-2 LA Rams on Monday Night football from Los Angeles. Contrast of two teams here on Monday as the Bears get it done with their defense first and then just enough of the offense to get them the wins. The Rams offense has been hitting on all cylinders, that is until last week when they went to San Francisco and couldn't do much with the ball.The defense has been hard on opposing QB's with seven sacks and 14 QB hits this year. The offense has 43 points in their last two games, nothing great, but enough to get things done with the defense. The Rams are 2-0 at SoFi Stadium and outscored opponents 37-26. I like defense and the Bears have one of the best this year. I expect the Rams to continue to struggle against good defenses as they did last week. The Bears will play to their defense and that means not a high scoring game. Take the UNDER. |
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10-25-20 | 49ers v. Patriots UNDER 45 | 33-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 27 m | Show | |
In what has been a very strange season, two of the pre-season favorites meet here today in Foxboro as the 49ers take on the Patriots. The Pats had been without QB Cam Newton due to Covid and his return last week was not a good one. The Pats lost at home to the Broncos, 16-18. That was New England's 2nd straight loss and has dropped the team below the .500 mark. The 49ers finally looked like the team that went to the Super Bowl with a dominating performance last week vs the Rams in a 24-16 win. The Pats hope Newton can bounce back this week against a very good 49ers defense. Both these teams still have a lot of injuries. I'm taking the UNDER here today. |
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10-25-20 | Chiefs v. Broncos UNDER 44.5 | 43-16 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 26 m | Show | |
The Kansas City Chiefs make the trek to Colorado's Mile High city to take on their division rivals, Denver Broncos. It's never easy for teams to play in the high elevation. The Broncos welcomed back QB Drew Lock last week and RB Phillip Lindsay from injuries. The Broncos upset the Patriots on the road, 18-16 in an ugly game. The Chiefs bounced back from their loss at home to the Las Vegas Raiders with a nice win over Buffalo, 26-17 to improve to 5-1 on the season. Their defense really came to play last week, holding the very good Bills offense to just 206 total yards. The Broncos defense needs to come up big this week as they cannot afford to get into a shootout with the Chiefs. They can do this against the Chiefs run defense, which is their weak spot. The Broncos will also get back RB Gordon this week so they will have plenty in the tank at RB. I'm not going to take a side here, but I will take the UNDER as I look for Denver to try and take the air out of the ball. Play UNDER. |
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10-25-20 | Steelers v. Titans OVER 50.5 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Two of the last three undefeated teams meet here on Sunday as the 5-0 Pittsburgh Steelers take on the 5-0 Tennessee Titans. The Titans have a balanced offense and are the best Red Zone team in the NFL. Derrick Henry leads the team and the league in rushing with 588 yards and 6TD's. The Steelers have an excellent defense starting with their pass rush. This should be a great game between these unbeatens heavyweights. I'm looking for a high scoring affair here on Sunday. Play the OVER. |
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10-25-20 | Packers v. Texans OVER 57 | 35-20 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
The Green Bay Packers fell from the undefeated last week as they lost at Tampa Bay, 10-38. Aaron Rodgers looked to be on a MVP season until he ran into that buzz saw last week in Tampa. Rodgers threw three pass interceptions last week including a pick-six. They should get a good chance to get back on track vs a reeling 1-5 Houston Texans team. The Texans fired Bill O'Brien and installed Romeo Cronell at HC and it looked to be a winning combo as they went to Tennessee last week and took a 7-point lead late into the 4th quarter. However, a controversial two point try by Houston led to the Titans needing just a TD and extra point to tie, which they did. The Titans forced OT and scored a TD on the opening possession for the win and cover to the dismay of bettors all over who had the Titans. The Texans allow a league worst 5.4 yards per carry and 177.5 yards per game on the ground. The one good thing is the offense is still potent with QB Deshaun Watson and a trio of very good receivers. I look for the Packers to take out some of that frustration from last week here today on the Texans. Look for a high scoring game. Play OVER. |
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10-18-20 | Texans v. Titans OVER 53 | 36-42 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
The Tennessee Titans remained unbeaten despite having to go through some Covid hoops last week that included losing practice time and having their game moved. More than 20 players and staff tested positive and they were without some of their wide receivers in their game, yet they beat the undefeated Bills handily, 42-16. The Texans started 0-4 and then fired HC Bill O'Brien. Romeo Crennel took over and that seemed to give the Texans a shot in the arm as they got their first win over Jacksonville, 30-14. Titans playing on a very short week here today after playing last Tuesday. Both teams put up excellent points last week and with the new coach I expect Houston to continue to roll here this week. This one should be a shoot out on Sunday. Play OVER. |
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10-11-20 | Colts v. Browns UNDER 48.5 | 23-32 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 24 m | Show | |
Week five matchup here of teams that are both on 3-0 win streaks. Both these clubs opened the season with losses and since have gone on to win their next three games. The Colts defense has been excellent this season. Their last three games they have held the Vikings, Jets and Bears to a combined 29 points. The Browns lost to the Ravens in week 1 and since have scored 118 points in wins over Cincinnati, Washington and Dallas. The Colts are playing their second straight road game here this week. The Browns are controlling the ball on the ground, averaging 5.9 yards per carry. The battle in this one is the defense of the Colts vs the offense of the Browns. The Colts defense has been very good and they should control both the offensive and defensive lines here today. I'm taking this game to go UNDER. |
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10-05-20 | Falcons v. Packers OVER 56 | 16-30 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
I don't know what youth pill Packers' QB Aaron Rodgers has taken, but can we all have some. Rodgers has looked like his old self after a down season in 2019. Rodgers and the Packers are undefeated at 3-0. The Falcons, well they have blown big leads this year and are 0-3 after losing to the Bears last week, 26-30. That loss on the heals of a shocking loss to the Cowboys in week 2 where they blew a 15-point fourth quarter lead. It must seem like Deja Vu for the Falcons after something similar happened in their Super Bowl loss to the Patriots in Super Bowl LI. HC Dan Quinn is in desperate need of a win or face a 0-4 start. The injury plagued Falcons will have to face the NFL best offense that averages 6.9 yards per play and 40.7 ppg. The Falcons do possess a potent passing attack with Matt Ryan. But I don't see this defense stopping this Packers juggernaut of an offense. Take the OVER |
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09-28-20 | Chiefs v. Ravens OVER 54.5 | 34-20 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
This looks to be the marquee matchup of the week as the defending NFL Champion Kansas City Chiefs take on the 2-0 Baltimore Ravens. The Chiefs had to come-from-behind last week against the Chargers with a 14-3 fourth quarter to win in OT, 23-20, and start their season 2-0. Meanwhile, the Ravens rushed for 230 yards in their win over the Houston Texans last week, 33-16. It was the Ravens 15th game with at least 200 yards rushing since 2018. The Chiefs are 15-5-1 Over/Under in their last 21 games as a dog. They have also gone over in five of the last seven Monday Night games. Ravens are 5-1 O/U in their last six home games as a favorite and 4-1 o/u their last five overall. This promises to be an exciting game, I'm going to take the OVER here tonight. |
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09-27-20 | Cowboys v. Seahawks OVER 56.5 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 17 h 27 m | Show | |
All you can say is WOW about last week's come from behind win by the Dallas Cowboys over the Atlanta Falcons. The Cowboys can thank their special teams for that win, 40-39. They needed a late TD, then the onside kick and winning field goal all within the last two minutes of the game. Meanwhile, the Seahawks had to hold on until the literally the last second to beat the Patriots last week, 35-30. They stopped QB Cam Newton on the one yard line as time ran out for the win. Russell Wilson has been unbelievable, tossing FIVE touchdowns last week. Not sure how the Cowboys can stop Russell Wilson. Their only hope is to keep the ball out of his hands. I don't see that really happening as this game should have a lot of points. Take the OVER. |
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09-27-20 | Lions v. Cardinals OVER 55.5 | 26-23 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 27 m | Show | |
The 0-2 Detroit Lions take on the 2-0 Arizona Cardinals today at State Farm Stardium in Phoenix. Last time these clubs met was a 27-27 tie to start the 2019 season. The Lions are really kicking themselves because they could easily be 2-0. They blew a 23-6 fourth quarter lead to the Bears in week one and then had a 14-3 lead last wee they couldn't hold. Arizona is 2-0 behind a very good rushing game that has 150+ yards in each of the first two games. The Cardinals also got a boost in the passing game with DeAndre Hopkins coming over from the Texans. Hopkins has 22 receptions this year. A very high total in this at around 55 points. However, the Cardinals are putting up big numbers and the Lions will have to keep pace. I'm taking the OVER. |
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09-27-20 | Rams v. Bills OVER 46.5 | 32-35 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show | |
Battle of undefeated teams here on Sunday has the 2-0 Rams playing at the 2-0 Buffalo Bills. Long trip East for the Rams, which is never easy on the West coast teams. The Bills, which have been known as a defensive team, have been putting up some big offensive numbers behind QB Josh Allen. The Bills are averaging 29 points per game and 463 yards per game (No 3). The Rams are averaging 28.5 ppg and 435 yards per game (No 5). Allen had four TD's last week vs the Dolphins and over 400 passing yards. Stephen Diggs was a great addition to the team, tied in the NFL with 239 receiving yards. The Rams won at Philly last week, 37-19 as QB Jarod Goff had three TD passes. Both teams are firing on all cylinders on offense. I'm taking the OVER. |
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09-24-20 | Dolphins v. Jaguars OVER 47 | 31-13 | Loss | -114 | 69 h 41 m | Show | |
We saw lots of points last week in the NFL as it looks like the offenses are ahead of defenses so far. We also saw lots of big name injuries with 7 ACL injuries sustained by players across the league. The Miami Dolphins showed they can move the ball against one of the best defenses in the league in Buffalo, coming up just short 28-31. The Dolphins fell to 0-2 after that loss. Jacksonville also showing they have some offense as they gave Tennessee all it could handle last week finally losing in OT, 30-33. Jags QB Minshew threw for 339 and 3 TD's in the loss. The Jags also out gained the Titans, 480-354 yards. Both these teams have shown they can score against good defenses and today this one should be an all out offensive battle. I'm taking the OVER. |
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09-21-20 | Saints v. Raiders OVER 48.5 | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
The Raiders begin their era in Las Vegas inside their brand new Allegiant stadium. The Raiders won a high scoring affair last week at Carolina, while the New Orleans Saints upended the Tom Brady led Tampa Bay Bucs. QB Drew Brees will be without his favorite target though as WR Michael Thomas is out indefinitely with a ankle injury. Even though there won't be a stadium full of Vegas fans here on Monday, it will still be an exciting beginning for the city and the Raiders. Both of these teams had little trouble putting up big points last week. Both teams have potent offenses and early on it looks like defenses in the NFL are behind the offenses. I'm taking OVER tonight between New Orleans and Las Vegas. |
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09-20-20 | Falcons v. Cowboys OVER 53 | 39-40 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
Dallas lost their opener last week at the LA Rams, 19-22. The Rams Brett Maher hit a 42-yard field goal as time expired to pull out the win for the Rams. New head Coach Mike McCarthy wasn't happy with the outcome last week and will not want to start the season 0-2 with his new club. The Falcons lost a shootout with the Falcons last week, 25-38. QB Matt Ryan threw for 450 yards and a pair of touchdowns in the loss. With Ryan at QB, Julio Jones at Wide Out and Todd Gurley in the backfield, this team should be potent on offense. Dallas lost another one score game, their seventh since last season. I don't look for much defense in this one. I'm taking the OVER and will enjoy the offensive show. |
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09-20-20 | Jaguars v. Titans OVER 44 | 30-33 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
No one really has given the Jacksonville Jaguars much of a chance heading into this season. They lost star RB Leonard Fortnette and they have arguably the most vanilla QB in Gardner Minshew. however, Minshew shined last week, copleting 19 of 20 passes for 173 yards and three touchdowns. He becomes just one of three QB's all-time to have a completion rate of 95% or more in a game. The Titans pulled out a late win at Denver last week, 16-14. Ryan Tannehill had to throw more than normal and had 249 yards and two touchdowns. The Titans shouldn't have much issues dominating this Jaguars defense here on Sunday. If Minshew can be nearly as efficient as last week then this game will go over. I'm taking the OVER here today. |
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09-20-20 | Lions v. Packers OVER 49.5 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
Green Bay should be very confident coming into today's clash with the Lions that they can start the season 2-0. They had a score fest last week with Minnesota, winning that offensive battle, 43-34. The Packers racked-up 522 yards, second most ever in one of their division road games. Detroit will have to do better in the 4th quarter then they did last week, getting outscored 0-21. The Bears trailed 6-23, but that unanswered 21 points gave Chicago the win, 27-23. Packers QB Aaron Rodgers threw for 364 yards and four touchdowns. Once again, I see a lot of points in this one as the Packers will pile up the yards and points once again. Play OVER. |
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09-20-20 | Panthers v. Bucs OVER 46.5 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay had a rough time in the debut of QB Tom Brady. Brady and the Bucs jumped out to a 7-0 lead but that was about all the good news they had. Brady even threw a rare pick-six. The Bucs now have a NFL high of 44 turnovers since the start of last year. The Panthers lost at home last week to the Las Vegas Raiders, 30-34. Brady should have an easy time here today against this young Panthers defense that allowed 34 last week to the Raiders. I expect a lot of points in this one and I'm going with the OVER. |
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09-17-20 | Bengals v. Browns UNDER 43.5 | Top | 30-35 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 32 m | Show |
This Thursday battle will feature two of the last three Heisman Trophy winners in Joe Burrow and Baker Mayfield. As we have seen numerous times, just because you had success in college doesn't always translate to the NFL field. Burrow started his first game as member of the Bengals last week. Burrow led his team on two drives in the 4th quarter that could have tied or taken the lead from the LA Chargers. However, the first was resulted in Burrow's first interception of his NFL career and the second was a missed 31-yard field goal. Good news though tonight, one of these college standouts will get his team even at 1-1 while the other will drop to 0-2. The Browns were blown out last week at Baltimore, 6-38. This Browns offense needs to get on track early if they hope for success. They have the pieces, Mayfield at QB, Kareem Hunt and Nick Chubb in the backfield and Odell Beckham and Jarvis Landry at wide out. They just have trouble putting it all together. The Bengals didn't ask much of their young QB, with his longest completion coming in at just 19-yards. The Browns will need to clean up their sloppy play if they hope to do anything tonight. The Bengals will continue to nudge Burrow along. For me, this looks like a big under play. Take the UNDER. |
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09-13-20 | Chargers v. Bengals UNDER 42 | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
Different looks for both these teams as we start the 2020 season. The LA Chargers parted with longtime QB Phillip Rivers as did the Cincinnati Bengals did with Andy Dalton. Cincy will start LSU rookie and top draft choice Joe Burrow. LA is going with Tyrod Taylor, though Taylor will likely give way to Justin Herbert sometime during the season. LA had to make the long trip East, which is never good for the West Coast teams. Taylor is a decent QB, but won't turn any heads as the starter here. For me, I'm looking at the defenses being ahead of the offenses in this one. I expect a close, lower scoring contest. I'm taking the UNDER. |
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09-13-20 | Jets v. Bills UNDER 40 | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills look to build off what was an excellent 2019 season that saw the club go 10-6 overall and a AFC Wild Card slot. The Jets were just 7-9 last season and finished third in the AFC East. The Jets have won two of their last three with the Bills. Sam Darnold had a very good rookie season last year throwing for over 3,000 yards. Le'Veon Bell had his worst season yet and looks to rebound this year for the Jets. Josh Allen was excellent at QB for the Bills. Allen had 17 rushing TD's last year to lead all NFL QB's. For me, I expect a low scoring game here with this excellent Buffalo defense. Take the UNDER. |
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01-19-20 | Titans v. Chiefs OVER 52.5 | 24-35 | Win | 100 | 97 h 28 m | Show | |
I got my Playoff Total of the Year winner in easy fashion last week with the Texans and the Chiefs over. They actually went over in the 1st half of the game, scoring 52 combined points. I'm coming right back again here with the over in this game. The Chiefs offense looks like they can score at will once again. You really have to double both Hill and Kelse and that is just too difficult for teams to do. The Titans are a ground and pound team with Derick Henry just grinding out yardage. But beware, he can break the long ones too. Ryan Tannehill has been amazing this year at QB for the Titans after taking over the starting job. The Chiefs have some payback on their minds today. Not only did they lose to the Titans 32-35 back in week 10, but the Titans knocked them out of the playoffs back in the 2017 Wildcard game. The Titans have really been the surprise team of the playoffs with road wins over the Patriots and then last week shocking the Ravens, 28-12. Can they do it again? Don't expect the Chiefs to take those shockers lightly here. They will be ready for this game and I look for the Chiefs to want to start fast and avoid that 0-24 hole they put themselves in last week. I'm taking the OVER here on Sunday. |
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01-12-20 | Texans v. Chiefs OVER 51 | Top | 31-51 | Win | 100 | 28 h 58 m | Show |
Playoff Total of the Year: The Divisional playoffs here on Sunday and Jim Feist has his best total of the playoffs going. Last time these teams met back on Oct 13, it was a 31-24 win by Houston. Deshaun Watson threw for 280 yards in that game. The Texans had to overcome a 0-16 deficit to the Bills last week before coming back for the win and cover 19-16 in OT. JJ Watt returned for that game and had a big sack that sparked the Texans. The Chiefs won their last six games of the season (five after their bye). The big news for Houston today is that WR Will Fuller should play. The Offense is so much better with Fuller to compliment DeAndre Hopkins and take pressure off him. The Chiefs defense has been much improved, but where they lack is the secondary and the return of Fuller could be a big plus here to the Texans offense. Lets face it, this one should be a shootout. I expect both teams to score in the 30's here today. With Fuller's return and a total in the low 50's I expect this game to fly OVER. Play OVER as your Playoff Total of the Year. |
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01-11-20 | Titans v. Ravens UNDER 47 | 28-12 | Win | 100 | 54 h 35 m | Show | |
The Tennessee Titans know they can't get into scoring match here today with the Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens just have too many offensive weapons to contend with. So how do the Titans plan to combat that? With ball control. I expect to see Tennessee get into a conservative, ground game here on Saturday with Derick Henry as the battering ram he's been all season long. That along with short passing from Ryan Tannehill and the Titans should keep that vaunted Baltimore offense on the bench. Unders took over the Wild Card round and I expect to see more of that here today. Should be light showers in Baltimore on Saturday with winds around 10-15 mph. Lets take the UNDER here with these two teams. Play UNDER. |
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01-05-20 | Vikings v. Saints OVER 50 | 26-20 | Loss | -106 | 1 h 26 m | Show | |
The Vikings come into today's Wildcard game at New Orleans riding a two-game losing streak. The Vikings lost to Green Bay, 10-23 and then closed the regular season losing to the Bears, 19-21 - both at home. Meanwhile, the Saints are hitting on all cylinders as they enter the playoffs. The Saints are on a three-game win streak and have scored 34 points or more in four straight and six of their last seven games. I look for the Saints to continue their offensive outburst today and that means the Vikings will have to open the playbook to keep up here today. I'm taking the over in this game. Play OVER. |
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01-04-20 | Bills v. Texans UNDER 43.5 | 19-22 | Win | 100 | 64 h 9 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills and Houston Texans both finished the season at 10-6. The Bills winning a AFC Wildcard and the Texans winning the AFC South division. Buffalo did lose their last two games of the season to the Patriots (17-24) and then last week at home to the Jets, 6-13. Though the latter they had no incentive to win that game. The defense has been great for this team, ranked 3rd overall in the NFL behind the Patriots and 49ers. The Houston Texans defense isn't very good, at least statistically as they rank 28th overall in the league. Houston does hold the edge in offense, ranking 13th to the Bills 24th. Buffalo has been good to under bettors, with five of their last six going Under and 12 of their 16 on the season going under. Houston had to rest some of their injured stars in the final game, including QB Deshaun Watson (back) and WR DeAndre Hopkins (illness). They should be fine here today. The big news though is the return of DE JJ Watt who tore his pectoral muscle and has missed about half the season. That could be big to the defensive side of the ball here today. Don't expect a lot of points in this one. The Bills defense is stout and with the return of Watt to the Texans defense they should be improved. I'm playing the UNDER here today. |
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12-29-19 | Steelers v. Ravens UNDER 37.5 | 10-28 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 42 m | Show | |
This game has no meaning to the Baltimore Ravens as they have already secured home field through the playoffs. As such, QB Lamar Jackson will take a seat and rest for this one. Also, Mark Ingram is hurting and will miss this game so he can rest for the playoffs. That's a good chunk of this Ravens offense that will miss this game. Throw in the fact that the Steelers have a very good offense and we might not see but a few points out of this Ravens team today. Devlin Hodges will be the starter for the Steelers at QB. He has not been too good with just 5 TD's and 8 INT's this year and a 75.8 passer rating. I'm going to take the UNDER in this one as I don't expect many points by either team. |
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12-29-19 | Falcons v. Bucs OVER 47 | 28-22 | Win | 100 | 37 h 17 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Falcons have finished strong at the end of the year with wins over Carolina, San Francisco and last week vs Jacksonville. They have also gone over in two of their last three games. They scored 29 points at San Francisco two weeks ago. Tampa Bay has been a scoring machine most of the year. They have scored 28 points or more in four of their last five games. They have also scored 30 points or more in seven games this year. The defense isn't all that good though and that will make for a high scoring game here on Sunday. I'm taking the OVER. |
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12-22-19 | Cowboys v. Eagles UNDER 46.5 | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 27 h 36 m | Show | |
It all comes down to this for the Cowboys and the Eagles. They both come into today's game with 7-7 records and the winner of today's game should win the NFC East. That isn't saying much considering they have both had up and down seasons. Dallas did get a big win last week, beating their first opponent with a winning record in the LA Rams, 44-21. That win broke a three-game losing streak for the Cowboys. Philly also won last week, beating Washington, 37-27, though they were trailing at half. The issue is that both teams have numerous injuries. Dallas has issues at linebacker with Vander Esch and Sean Lee both hurting. Philly is without its two top receivers in Alshon Jeffery and DeSean Jackson. Plus, Nelson Agholor is having knee issues and missing practices. The big one though is Dak Prescot who has a hairline fracture in his finger and a bad shoulder. Presot should start here today, but how effective he will be is yet to be seen. With all the injuries I expect these teams to play this game close to the vest and conservative. I'm taking the UNDER here today. |
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12-22-19 | Panthers v. Colts OVER 46.5 | 6-38 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 12 m | Show | |
The Carolina Panthers won't play in the postseason, but that doesn't stop them from scoring. The Panthers have seen their last four games go over the total. Their defense has been horrible, allowing 29 or more points in five straight games. They have now gone over in eight of their last 10 games. The Colts just didn't show up to last Monday's game at New Orleans, losing 7-34. That's three straight games that the colts have allowed at least 31 points. Today, they face a Panthers' defense that has dropped to number 26 overall in the league. The Colts defense is now 16th in the league. I expect a high scoring game in here today. Play the OVER. |
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12-16-19 | Colts v. Saints OVER 46.5 | Top | 7-34 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
Both these teams had rough losses last week and look to bounce back here tonight. The Colts are 6-7 and have lost five of their last six games. They had hopes of a playoff spot until this recent bad run. They lost last week at the Bucs, 35-38 and allowed 542 yards of offense. The Saints have clinched the NFC South but have given up the NFC best record. They also came out on the losing end of a shootout last week at home to the 49ers, 46-48. The Saints defense is banged-up, losing two defensive linemen in Sheldon Rankins and Marcus Davenport - both will miss rest of season. Defense probably won't be on display here today. I'm taking the over and enjoying the show. Play OVER. |
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12-15-19 | Bills v. Steelers UNDER 37 | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 53 h 33 m | Show | |
Sunday night action is a big AFC battle between two teams looking for wild card berths as the Steelers host the Bills. The Bills are 9-4 and trail the Patriots by one game in the AFC East. The Steelers are 8-6 and while they have no hope at the AFC North, they are in a fight with Tennessee for that 2nd Wild Card spot. The Bills lost a tough one at home last week to the Ravens, 17-24, narrowly missing the cover as a 6-point dog. The Bills have now gone under in three straight and 10 of their 13 games. This is thanks to a 3rd ranked defense. The Steelers have the 5th ranked defense. I like both these defenses to dominate here today. I'm taking the UNDER. |
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12-15-19 | Broncos v. Chiefs UNDER 45.5 | 3-23 | Win | 100 | 45 h 15 m | Show | |
The Denver Broncos have the 27th ranked offense this season, but since they made the move to QB Drew Lock two weeks ago they have looked very good offensively. Lock had missed the season to that point with an injury or this could have been a much different season with all the close games the Broncos have lost. Denver's defense is still good, not great, ranked 12th in the league. They will contend with the 6th ranked offense here in Kansas City. QB Patrick Mahomes should play today, though he has been nursing a bad hand which could impact his performance today. KC has gone under in two of its last three games as the defense has played much better, not allowing more than 17 in any of those three contests. The Chiefs have the division locked up with a 9-4 record and Oakland sitting second at 6-7. That could come into play since Baltimore will have home field with the conference best record at 12-2. I'm going to take the under here today. Play UNDER. |
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12-15-19 | Texans v. Titans OVER 51 | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 14 m | Show | |
Huge game here on Sunday in the AFC South as both Houston and Tennessee are tied at 8-5 in the division. The winner takes over the division while the lose could miss the playoffs. Houston had a big letdown last week after beating New England the week before. The Texas lost at home to Denver, 24-38. They have two games left with Tennessee so they have their own destiny in their hands. Same for Tennessee, with two of their last three vs Houston this is a huge game. Tennessee's offense has been great since putting Ryan Tannehill in at QB. The Titans have score 35, 42, 31 and 42 and points with Tannehill. They have also gone over in seven straight games. This one really looks likes a shootout. Both teams have dynamic offenses. I'm taking the OVER. |
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12-15-19 | Bears v. Packers UNDER 41 | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 45 h 14 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears offense finally looks to be clicking. After a season of misses, QB Mitch Trubisky has been connecting with his receivers, Miller and Robinson. The result was a nice win at home last week over Dallas, 31-24. The defense has been good, not great. They have had injuries on the defense that have hurt what looked like one of the best in the league. Now they face the Packers, who they faced in week 1 of the season when they lost at home 3-10. The Packers have gone under in four of their last five games. The offense has hit over 24 points just once in that span. Last week they beat Washington at home, 20-15, but failed to cover the 12 1/2 point line. Despite being led by future Hall-of-famer Aaron Rodgers, the offense ranks just 23rd in the league. Chicago still ranks just 29th. In reality, both teams are probably better defensively then offensively. I'm taking the UNDER here today as I expect a repeat of a low scoring game. Play UNDER. |
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12-08-19 | Seahawks v. Rams OVER 47 | 12-28 | Loss | -121 | 21 h 52 m | Show | |
Seattle and San Francisco both tied in the NL West at 10-2. The difference is that Seattle has just a +36 point differential and the 49ers have a +166. Still. Seattle finds ways to win. Seattle beat Minnesota on MNF last week. 37-30 despite trailing at the half. It was the clubs fourth straight cover. They have also gone over in three of their last four games. Seattle had 444 yards of offense in that game. The Seahawks now have the league's 3rd top offense. Their defense, well it ranks 24th, hence the low point differential. The LA Rams are in desperate need of a win. A loss and any hope of the post season is gone. The Rams have the league's 10th ranked offense and 12th defense. Last week they played great, beating Arizona on the road, 34-7. I think today's game is going to be a shootout. I'm taking the OVER. |
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12-08-19 | Titans v. Raiders OVER 47 | 42-21 | Win | 100 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
Not sure what has happened to the Oakland Raiders. They beat Cincinnati three weeks ago, 17-10 for their third win in a row. Then they bot beat at the Jets, 3-34 and then last week Kansas City beat them, 9-40. The Raiders held the Chiefs to just 259 yards, which is great, but gave up 40-point, mainly because of three turnovers. If you just looked at the stats, the Raiders should have been right in that game. Those two losses dropped them to 6-6 as they host the Titans today. The Titans are 7-5 and looking to get a Wild Card. They are battling with Pittsburgh right now, but the Raiders and Colts are both just a game back. That means a loss today by Oakland and the Raiders playoff hopes probably are gone. Since Ryan Tannehill took over the Titans they have been great. They beat the Colts last week on the road, 31-17, despite almost 100 yards fewer than Indianapolis. The Titans have been a great over team since Tannehill took over. They have gone over in six straight games, thanks to an offense that has scored 27 points or more in five of those games. The defense hasn't been great, but the offense has been. Today, I look for a lot of points from both teams. I'm taking the OVER. |
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12-08-19 | Steelers v. Cardinals UNDER 43.5 | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 17 h 57 m | Show | |
With just four regular season games left, the Pittsburgh Steelers increased their odds of grabbing one of the Wild Card slots with a big win over Cleveland last week, 20-13. The Steelers are 7-5 now and tied with the Tennessee Titans for that last playoff spot. That makes all these game of great importance as they have a huge impact on their postseason chances. The Steelers defense has held three of the last four opponents to 13 points or fewer. Arizona got manhandled last week at home by the LA Rams, 7-34. They never were in that game, failing to come close to the +2.5-point line. Arizona has now allowed 28 or more points in each of their last five games. Arizona is now dead last in overall defense in the NFL. Pittsburgh's defense has climbed to 6th in the league now, though the offense is ranked 28th. This game has a lot more importance to the Steelers. That being said, I don't have a lot of confidence in this Steelers team to get a lot of points. They seem to be content to be conservative and let their defense win them games. Even though Arizona has the worst overall defense, they should be able to keep Pittsburgh from scoring a lot here on Sunday. I look for a low scoring close game. Play the UNDER. |
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12-08-19 | Bengals v. Browns OVER 41.5 | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
The return of Andy Dalton to the Bengals starting QB spot seemed to be just the shot in the arm that Cincinnati needed to get their first win of the season. The Bengals beat the NY Jets, 22-6. It was the club's third spread win in a row however. It was also the first time the Bengals cracked the 20-point mark in the last seven games and just the third time all season long. Now they hit the road to play the Browns. Cleveland saw it's playoff hopes take a major hit last week as they lost at Pittsburgh, 13-20. Not sure what to make of this Browns team. They have plenty of talent on both sides of the ball. They have major playmakers at both Wide receive spots and two excellent running backs to go with Baker Mayfield. Yet they continue to underachieve. They do have three somewhat easy games left of their four, with Cincinnati twice, at Arizona and home vs the Ravens. They really need to win out to have a chance at one of those Wild Card slots. I do think today these teams will put some points on the board. Cleveland has shown they can score big and with Dalton back in the saddle the Bengals should do better on offense. Play the OVER today. |