Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-18-24 | Angels v. Rays OVER 8.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 25 m | Show | |
The LA Angels are 9-9 on the season and just a half game back of Texas for the AL West division lead. The Angels have a -5 run differential. They face the AL East Tampa Bay Rays. The Rays are 10-9 and ties for third in the division. Every team in the East division has at least a .500 record or better. These teams have split the first two games of this three game set. The Angels took yesterday's contest, 5-4, while the Rays won on Wednesday, 7-6. Both games have gone over. The Angels have gone over in three straight games and are 7-5 OV/UN on the road this season. The Rays have gone over in five straight games and are 9-4 O/U in their 13 home games. Ryan Pepiot will start for the Rays. He's 1-2 in his three starts with a 5.40 ERA and 1.020 WHIP. He's coming off a start where he went five innings and allowed five hits and four runs in a loss to the Giants. The Angels will send Griffin Canning to the hill today. Canning is 0-2 in his three starts with a 9.88 ERA and 1.829 WHIP. He's coming off a loss at Boston where he allowed nine hits and six runs over his four innings of work. Neither pitcher likely around long in this contest. I'll take the OVER. |
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04-17-24 | Royals -1.5 v. White Sox | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
GAME 2: The Royals and White Sox got postponed on Tuesday so lets try this again today in a twin bill. The Kansas City Royals continue to impress everyone, especially with their pitching. They shut out the White Sox two nights ago in game one of this three game set, 2-0. The Royals have now won nine of their last 11 games. Moreover, during that streak they have allowed more than three runs just two times in those 11 games. The Royals are 11-6 and just one game back of Cleveland in the LA Central. Pulling up the bottom rung in the AL Central are the White Sox. The Sox are 2-14 and have the worst Run differential in baseball at -53 runs. The White Sox will send Erick Fedde to the hill today. Fedde is 0-0 in his three starts with a 4.29 ERA and 1.431 WHIP. He's coming off a no decision at Cleveland where he allowed four hits and four earned runs over five innings. Michael Wacha will start game two for the Royal and is 1-1 in his three starts with a 4.00 ERA. I'm sticking with the run line here today on the Royals in game two of their doubleheader. |
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04-17-24 | Cardinals v. A's UNDER 8 | 3-6 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
St Louis and Oakland playing a short 2-game set here as the Cardinals took game one on Tuesday, 3-2. Lance Lynn earned his first win in his second stint with the Cardinals. The A's had a season-low 3,296 fans as they play their last season in Oakland. The Cards improved to 9-9 on the season and while they are last in the NL Central, they are just two-games back of first place Milwaukee. They also have the only negative run differential in the division at -6. Steven Matz will get the start for the Red birds here on Wednesday. Matz is 1-0 in his three starts with a nifty 1.80 ERA and 1.333 WHIP. Oakland dropped to 7-11 on the season and they actually are not in last in the AL West. That belongs to the Houston Astros who are 6-13. Good news for the A's is that their Ace is back on the hill today. What can you say about poor Paul Blackburn. He will likely be trade bait before the deadline and rightfully so. Blackburn has started three games and while only 1-0, he's allowed NO RUNS and just 11 hits over his 19 1/3 innings of work. He also has 11 KO's and just three walks. To say he's been outstanding is an understatement. That being the case, neither team will likely get many runs here today. I'm taking UNDER in this game. |
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04-16-24 | Braves -108 v. Astros | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Braves and Houston Astros continue their three-game set here tonight with game two. The Braves took the opener on Monday, 6-1. That made two straight wins for the Braves who are in 1st place in the NL East with a 10-5 overall record and +24 run differential. The Braves also have an excellent road record at 6-3. Reynaldo Lopez will start his third game of the season tonight. Lopez is 1-0 with a 0.75 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in his first two games. He's allowed just seven hits and one run over his 12 innings of work. The Astros have struggled out of the gate to a 6-12 record and -18 run differential. They are also in last in the AL West. The Astros had their two game win streak snapped last night by the Braves. Otherwise, they have lost five of their last seven games. Hunter Brown makes his fourth start tonight for Houston. Brown is 0-2 with a lofty 16.43 ERA and 3.911 WHIP. Brown started the season ok, going four innings and allowing four hits and no earned runs to the Yankees. However, his last two starts he's gong just 3 2/3 innings, allowed 19 hits and 14 earned runs. Have to take the Braves here tonight against Browns and a struggling Astros club. |
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04-15-24 | Padres v. Brewers +100 | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Brewers are tied for 1st place in the NL Central with a 10-4 record. They have a +31 run differential. The San Diego Padres just took two of three games from the Dodgers and are 9-9 overall with a +6 run differential. The Padres have a potent lineup with many big hitters. However, their starting pitching leaves something to desire. Case in point is today's starter, Joe Musgrove. Musgrove is 1-2 in his four starts with a 6.87 ERA and 1.745 WHIP. He's coming off a game vs the Cubs where he allowed five hits and four runs over four innings of work for the loss. The Brewers have won four of their last five games. They will start Joe Ross here today. He's 1-0 in his two starts with a 1.80 ERA and 1.300 WHIP. Ross has allowed just seven hits and three runs over his 10 innings of work. Brewers are a small home dog and they have the much better starter on the hill. I'll take Milwaukee today. |
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04-15-24 | Pirates +113 v. Mets | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Pirates have been one of the surprise teams thus far to the MLB season. The Pirates are tied for 1st in the NL Central with a 11-5 record and +24 run differential. The New York Mets can get back to the .500 mark today with a win. The Mets are 7-8 and in third place in the AL East. They also have a +1 run differential. The Pirates will send Martin Perez to the hill. Perez is 1-0 in his three starts with a 1.89 ERA and 1.211 WHIP. He's also allowed just 18 hits and four runs over his 19 innings of work. The Mets will send Adrian Houser to the hill today. Houser is 0-1 in his two starts with a 5.40 ERA and 1.600 WHIP. He's allowed 11 hits and six runs over his 10 innings of work. But what is also of concern with Houser is that he's allowed more walks (5) than KO's (4). I'm taking Pittsburgh here today with the better starter on the hill. |
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04-15-24 | Guardians v. Red Sox -138 | 6-0 | Loss | -138 | 1 h 5 m | Show | |
Early start here on Monday has the Cleveland Guardians taking on the Red Sox from Boston. The Red Sox are 9-7 and tied for third in the touch AL East. Every team in the East division has at least a .500 record. The Sox have a +12 run differential. Cleveland is first in the AL Central with a 10-5 record and +29 run differential. Cleveland is coming off a set at the Yankees where they lost two of their three games. They did salvage the final game on Sunday, 8-7. Today they send Xzavion Curry to the hill. Curry makes his first appearance this year. He was in the bullpen last year with a 4.07 ERA and .135 WHIP. The Sox come into this game winning two games in a row and taking two of three from their set with the Angels. Kutter Crawford will start for Boston with a 0-0 record in his three starts. He's been very good though, posting a 0.57 ERA and 0.957 WHIP. Crawford has allowed just seven total hits and one run over his 15 2/3 innings of work. I'm sticking with the Red Sox here today with a very good Crawford on the hill. Play Boston. |
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04-14-24 | Cardinals v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | 0-5 | Win | 102 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
The St Louis Cardinals and Arizona Diamondbacks conclude their three game set here today. The teams have split their first two games with the Cardinals taking Friday's game, 9-6, and the D'back winning on Saturday, 4-2. The Cards are last in the NL Central with a 7-8 record. They also have a -4 run differential. Miles Mikolas will toe the rubber for the Cards today. Mikolas is 1-1 in his three starts with a 4.76 ERA. He's coming off a no decision vs the Phillies where he went 6 2/3 innings and allowed just six hits and two runs. The Arizona Diamondbacks are third in the NL West with a 7-8 record and +16 run differential. Zac Gallen will start for the D'back. Gallen is 2-0 in his three starts with a 2.25 ERA and 1.188 WHIP. He's allowed just one run over his first two starts and three runs to the Rockies in his last a start. Gallen looks to be in fine form early and I'll take the UNDER in today's game. Play the UNDER |
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04-14-24 | Cubs +127 v. Mariners | 3-2 | Win | 127 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
A Interconference clash here today has the Chicago Cubs making the trip to the Northwest to face the Seattle Mariners. The Cubs are 8-6 on the season and tied for third in the NL Central. They are coming off a win over the M's last night and have a +12 Run differential on the season. The Cubs and Mariners have split the first two games of this series with the M's winning on Friday, 4-2 and the Cubs last night, 4-1. Javier Assad will start for the Cubbies. Assad is 1-0 in his two starts with a 1.64 ERA and 1.000 WHIP. He's allowed just seven hits and two runs over his 11 innings of work. Seattle is 6-9 on the season with a -22 Run differential. The Mariners are in third place in the AL West. Luis Castillo will start for the Mariners. Castillo is 0-3 in his three starts with a 6.89 ERA and 1.851 WHIP. Castillo has allowed 12 runs and 25 hits over his 15 2/3 innings of work. I'll take the Cubs today wit a much better starter on the hill in Assad. Play Chicago. |
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04-14-24 | Nationals +123 v. A's | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
The Washington Nationals are off to a 6-8 start to the season with a -13 run differential. The Nats and A's have split the first two games of this series with the A's winning on Friday, 2-1 and the Nationals on Saturday, 3-1. The Nats will send Trevor Williams to the hill. Williams is 2-0 after two starts with a 2.61 ERA and 1.065 WHIP. He's allowed just three runs and six hits over 10 1/3 innings of work. The A's are 6-9 to start their season with a -23 run differential. The A's will send Alex Wood to the hill with a 0-1 record in his three starts. He has a lofty 8.03 ERA and 1.946 WHIP. I like the Nationals here with a much better starter on the mound. Play Washington. |
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04-14-24 | Angels v. Red Sox -126 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 42 m | Show | |
The LA Angels and Boston Red Sox conclude their three game set here today in Boston. The teams have split the first two games with the Angels taking Friday's contest, 7-0 and the Red Sox coming back for the win on Saturday, 7-2. The Angels are 7-7 on the season with a -8 run differential. They are 2nd in the AL West, just a half game back of the Rangers. Tyler Anderson looks to start here today for the Halos. Anderson is 2-0 in his two starts with a perfect 0.00 ERA and very good 0.786 WHIP. Anderson has worked 14 innings with no runs allowed and just eight hits. He also has eight KO's to just three walks. The Sox are 8-7 and have a +11 run differential. They will start Bryan Bello here today. Bello is 1-1 in his three starts with a 4.11 ERA and 1.109 WHIP. Bello is coming off a loss at home to the Orioles where he allowed four hits and three runs over his 5 1/3 inning of work. I'm sticking with the Angels today to see if Anderson can keep his scoreless inning streak going. Play the Angels. |
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04-13-24 | Pirates v. Phillies UNDER 9 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
Another rivalry game here on Saturday has the Pittsburgh Pirates taking on the Philadelphia Phillies. The two teams have split the first two games of this four game set with the Phillies winning on Thursday, 5-1, and the Pirates winning yesterday, 5-2. The Phillies are 7-7 and in 2nd in the NL East, two back of the Braves. The Pirates are 10-4 and tied with Milwaukee for the NL Central lead. The Pirates will send Marco Gonzales to the hill today. Gonzales is 0-0 in his two starts with a 2.45 ERA and 1.000 WHIP. He's allowed nine hits and three runs over his 11 innings of work. The Phils will send Spencer Turnbull to the hill. Turnbull is 1-0 in his two starts with a 0.00 ERA and 0.545 WHIP. Turnbull has been outstanding with just five his allowed and no earned runs over his 11 innings of work. In addition, he has 13 KO's to just one walk. Two very good pitchers on the hill today. First two games of the series have gone under, I look for that to continue here today. Play UNDER. |
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04-13-24 | Rangers v. Astros -140 | Top | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
Rivalry game here as the Houston Astros welcome their intrastate foes, the Texas Rangers for the 2nd game of this three-game set. The Rangers took game one on Friday in a slug-fest, 12-8. That was just the Rangers 2nd win in their last six games. Texas is still in first in the AL West with a 8-6 record, a half-game ahead of the LA Angels. The Astros pull up the bottom spot in the AL West at 4-11. The Astros also have the division's worst run differential at -23 runs. The Rangers will send Andrew Heaney to the hill today with a 0-2 record in his two starts. He has a 7.55 ERA and 1.319 WHIP. He's allowed eight hits and nine runs over 8 1/3 innings of work. One of those losses was vs these Astros where he allowed four hits and six runs over 3 2/3 innings of work. The Astros looking to snap a four-game losing streak here today. Ronel Blanco will toe the rubber. He's been outstanding for the Astros with a 2-0 record and 0.00 ERA and 0.467 WHIP. He's allowed one hit over his 15 innings of work with no runs allowed. Blanco pitched a NO HITTER in his first start of the season vs Toronto with just two walks and seven hits Then against these Rangers he went six innings and allowed one hit and no runs. It was in the 6th inning that he lost the no hitter as he went for back-to-back no-no's. I'm taking Houston here today. I know they haven't played well, but you don't have to play too good when Blanco is on the hill. Play Houston. |
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04-13-24 | Twins -112 v. Tigers | 11-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
The Twins and Tigers opened their four game series on Friday and the Tigers took game one, 8-2. The Twin are 4-7 and in 4th place in the AL Central with a -15 run differential. The Tigers are 8-4 and in 2nd place with a +5 run differential. The Twins have lost five of their last six games and will look to get back on the win side today with Joe Ryan. Ryan is 0-1 in his two starts with a 3.18 ERA and 0.794 WHIP. Ryan has allowed just eight hits and four runs over 11 1/3 innings. He also has 12 KO's to go with just one walk. The Tigers have won two straight after losing three straight. They will send Kenta Maeda to the hill. Maeda is 0-1 in his two starts with a lofty 9.00 ERA and 1.556 WHIP. Maeda has allowed nine hits and nine runs over his nine innings of work. He also has five walks to go with five KO's. I'm sticking with the Twins here today with the better pitcher on the hill. The Tigers are hotter, but Maeda just hasn't looked all that good yet. Play Minnesota. |
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04-12-24 | Nationals v. A's -126 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
The Oakland A's are 5-8 and in 4th in the AL West division. They have a -22 run differential and coming off a win on Thursday over the Rangers, 1-0. They took two of three games with their Rangers as they begin this set with the Nationals. They will send Paul Blackburn to the hill today. Blackburn is the Ace of this team, with a 1-0 record and 0.00 ERA and 0.538 WHIP. Blackburn has not give up a run in either of his two starts and just six total hits. He also has seven KO's and no walks. The Washington Nationals are 5-7 to start the season with a -14 run differential. The Nats have won three of their last four games but are coming off a loss to the Giants on Thursday, 1-7. They just have to cross the Bay to face the A's here today. Jake Irvin will get his third start of the season. Irvin is 0-1 with a 5.73 ERA and 1.364 WHIP. He's allowed 12 hits and seven runs over his 11 innings of work. I really like Blackburn for the A's as he's putting up early Cy Young numbers. Play Oakland. |
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04-12-24 | Royals +112 v. Mets | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 4 m | Show |
The Kansas City Royals look to extend their win streak to eight games here on Friday as they head to New York to face the Mets. The Royals are in 2nd place in the AL Central, just a half game back of the Guardians. They also now have the best run differential in baseball with a +39. The Royals are coming off a sweep of the Astros, outscoring Houston 28-6 in the three game series. That includes yesterday's win where they scored nine runs in the first inning en route to a 13-3 victory. Michael Wacha will make his third start of the season with a 1-0 record and 2.25 ERA and 0.583 WHIP. Wacha has allowed just five hits and three runs over his 12 inning of work. In addition, he has 13 KO's to just two walks. The New York Mets are 5-7 to start the season with a -1 run differential. They are in 3rd in the NL East, 2.5-games back of the Braves. The Mets blew out the Braves on Thursday, 16-4 as they took two of the three games from the Braves. Luis Severino will toe the rubber for the Mets. Severino is 0-1 in his two starts with a 6.30 ERA and 1.70 WHIP. He's allowed 15 hits over 11 inning with eight runs. The Royals are just red hot right now and have plenty of pitching to go around. I'll stay with the hot Royals here on Friday. Play Kansas City. |
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04-11-24 | Astros v. Royals +123 | Top | 3-13 | Win | 123 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
The Houston Astros have lost two straight games and have dropped to last in the AL West with a 4-9 record and -9 run differential. Meanwhile the Kansas City Royals improved to 8-4 and 2nd in the AL Central, just one game back of the Cleveland Guardians. They also have a +29 run differential. The Astros have been outscored by the Royals 5-15 in the first two games of this set. Hunter Brown will take the mound for the third time this season. Brown is 0-1 with a 6.43 ERA and 2.571 WHIP. He's allowed 12 hits and six runs over his seven innings of work. The Royals have now won six straight games and their pitching has been outstanding. Not only has the bullpen allowed just 1.66 ERA during it's last seven games, but the Royals have not allowed more than three runs in any of the games during this win streak. Brady Singer will toe the rubber today. Singer is 1-0 in his three starts with a nifty 0.68 ERA and 0.525 WHIP. He's allowed just five total hits and one run over 13 1/3 innings. I like the Royals a lot here today. Take Kansas City. |
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04-10-24 | Astros v. Royals +107 | 2-11 | Win | 107 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
The Kansas City Royals continue to surprise as they are 7-4 on the season and in 2nd place in the AL Central, 1-game back of the Guardians. The Royals have won five straight games and have a +20 run differential. Seth Lugo will toe the rubber here today for the Royals. Lugo is 1-0 in his two starts with a 0.71 ERA and 1.026 WHIP. Lugo has been very good, allowing 10 hits and one run over his 12 2/3 innings of work. The Houston Astros have struggled out of the gate to a 4-8 record and a zero run differential. They lost to the Royals in game one of this set last night, 3-4. They will send Spencer Arrighetti to the mound for his first start. The 24-year old righthander was promoted to take injured Framber Valdez spot here tonight. He will be making his major league debut. As for me, I'll stick with the hotter team and a very good pitcher. Take Kansas City. |
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04-10-24 | Orioles v. Red Sox -109 | 7-5 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
The AL East is always one if not the top division in baseball. That looks to be the case again this year as all five teams right now are .500 or better. That includes the Reds Sox who are 7-4 to start the season and 2.5 games back of the Yankees. They also have a +20 run differential this year. Kutter Crawford will make his third start of the season for the Sox. Crawford has no record but just a scant 0.84 ERA and 0.843 WHIP this year. He's allowed only five hits and two runs over 10 2/3 innings of work with 12 KO's and four walks. The Baltimore Orioles are in 3rd in the division, a half game back of the Red Sox. The O's have lost two of the last three games. They will send Cole Irvin to the hill today. Irvin is 0-1 in his only start with a 7.20 ETA and 1.80 WHIP. He allowed seven hits and four runs to the Royals in his first start of the season. I'm sticking with the Red Sox here tonight and a very good pitcher on the hill. |
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04-10-24 | Rays -127 v. Angels | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
The Tampa Bay Rays are in that tough AL East division and every team has at least a .500 record and that includes the Rays who are 6-6 on the season. They have a -13 run differential. The Rays and Angels have split the first two games of this series with Tampa Bay winning last night, 6-4. Tampa Bay sends Zack Littell to the mound tonight with a 1-0 record after his two starts. Littell has a nifty 0.82 ERA and 1.000 WHIP. He's allowed nine hits and one run over his first 11 innings of work. The LA Angels are 6-5 and tied for first in the AL West. They have a -8 run differential and are tied with the Ranges. The Angels will send Jose Soriano to the hill this afternoon. The 6-foot-3 righthander has seen limited action from the bullpen this season. He was moved into the rotation when Chase Silseth was put on the injured list. Soriano showed promise as a starter during the spring and that's why he's been moved into the rotation tonight. I'm sticking with the Rays though in this one. Play Tampa Bay. |
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04-09-24 | Phillies -124 v. Cardinals | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -124 | 18 h 19 m | Show |
The Philadelphia Phillies had to go to extra innings but they took their game on Monday vs the Cardinals, 5-3. That evened the Phillies record to 5-5 on the season as they are 2nd in the NL East, 1.5-games back of the braves. They also hve a -6 run differential. The Phils will start Zack Wheeler today who is 0-1 on the season. Wheeler makes his third start today with a 0.75 ERA and .75 WHIP. He's allowed just eight hits over 12 innings of work with just one earned run. The Cardinals dropped to 5-6 with their loss on Monday to the Phillies. They have -7 run differential and are in last place in the NL Central. Sonny Gray makes his first start for the Cardinals after coming over from the Twins in the offseason. Gray was 8-8 with a 2.79 ERA and 1.15 WHIP last year. I'm sticking with the Phillies here on Tuesday. Wheeler has been great and not sure what we will see out of Gray yet. Play Philadelphia. |
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04-09-24 | Marlins v. Yankees -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 40 m | Show | |
The Miami Marlins continue to flounder as they are off to a 1-10 start after losing to the Yankees on Monday, 0-7. The Marlins also have a AL worst -32 run differential. They did finally win a game on Sunday at St Louis with a 10-3 win, but have gone right back to losing. A.J. Puk will make his third start after a 0-2 start. Puk has a lofty 9.00 ERA and 2.833 WHIP. He's allowed eight hits and eight runs after only 6 innings of work. Bad news today as they face the 9-2 Yankees who have won three straight after Monday's shut-out win. The Yankee also have a +17 run differential. Soto and Volpe both hit 3-run home runs to boost the Yankees to the lead in the AL East. Carlos Rondon makes his third start of the season. Rondon is 0-0 but has a nifty 2.80 ERA. He's allowed 12 hits and three runs over just 9 2/3 innings. Have to lay the Run line here today as the Yankees blowout the Marlins again. Play NY Yankees -1.5 runs. |
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04-09-24 | White Sox v. Guardians -1.5 | 7-5 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
The White Sox and Guardians play a three-game set as the Guardians took game one on Monday, 4-0. White Sox manager Stephen Vogt made his home debut and it was a good on with the win for the Guardians. Cleveland was 7-2 after nine games on the road and improved to 8-2 with their win last night. The Guardians are in 1st place in the AL Central and have a +36 run differential. Logan T Allen will make his third start tonight after a 2-0 start. Allen has a 2.31 ERA and 1.114 WHIP. He's allowed just 10 hits and three runs over his 11 2/3 inning of work. The White Sox are off to a horrible start at 1-9. They have lost five straight games and have a -30 run differential. Mike Soroka will make his third start after a 0-1 record. He has a 4.91 ERA and 1.455 WHIP. Soroka has allowed 13 hits and six runs over his 11 innings of work. Have to side with the Guardians today and Allen who both have been great. I'll lay the Run Line with Cleveland. |
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04-09-24 | Tigers v. Pirates -125 | 5-3 | Loss | -125 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
The Tigers and Pirates play just a two game series and last night they Pirates took game one of this set, 7-4. That loss dropped the Tigers to 6-4 on the season as they have lost three straight games and now have a -2 run differential. The Tigers will send Casey Mize to the hill today. Mize is 0-0 after one start. He went 4 1/3 innings vs the Mets and allowed just five hits and three runs. The Pirates have been off to a great start as they are now 9-2 and won three straight games with a +21 run differential. Martin Perez will make his third start today. Perez is 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA. He's allowed 12 hits and just three runs over his 11 innings of work. I like the Pirates, they are hot and they play a struggling Detroit team again. And as Drew Carey says, "The Price is Right" so come on down and win with the Pirates early on Tuesday. |
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04-08-24 | Diamondbacks -1.5 v. Rockies | 5-7 | Loss | -118 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
NL West clash here tonight has Arizona taking on Colorado. The Diamondbacks are 4-6 to start the season and have a +16 run differential. They are coming off a loss on Sunday to the Braves, 2-5. They lost two of three games in their set to the Braves. They opened the season with four games against Colorado and took three of the four games while outscoring the Rockies 32-14. Zac Gallen makes his third start of the season. Gallen is 2-0 and has been in excellent form. Gallen has allowed just six total hits and one run over his 11 innings. And, he's received a lot of run support with the D'backs scoring 23 runs in the two games. That includes a 16-1 win over these Rockies where he held them to just three hits and run one over five innings. The Rockies once again look to be the bottom team in a tough NL West. The Rockies are 2-8 to start the season and have a MLB worst -34 run differential. The Rockies are coming off a loss to Tampa Bay on Sunday, 2-3. They have now lost six of their last seven games. Kyle Freeland will make his third start after a 0-2 beginning. Freeland has allowed 19 hits and 17 runs over his 6 1/3 innings of work. Freeland and the Rockies have both been horrible thus far. Don't see any change tonight against a very good Gallen. I'll lay the Run line with the D'backs here tonight. |
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04-07-24 | Dodgers v. Cubs +101 | 1-8 | Win | 101 | 3 h 44 m | Show | |
The LA Dodgers have already opened up a 3-game lead over the Padres in the NL West. The Dodgers are 8-3 on the season and have scored 68 runs while allowing just 52 runs. The Dodgers and Cubs have split their first two games of this series with the rubber game today. Their big offseason pitcher acquisition of Yoshinobu Yamamoto showed just how good he is when he shut down the Cubs on Saturday, going five innings and allowing three hits and no runs to get his first win in the Major leagues. Gavin Stone will make his second start for LA today. Stone went five innings vs the Cardinals in his first start, allowing seven hits and three runs in a no decision. The Cubs are 5-3 on the season. They had their string of nine runs or more in a game snapped yesterday at three in a row by the Dodgers. Still, this team has shown they can score runs in bunches. Shota Imanaga will get his second start today. He was excellent in his debut, going six innings and allowing two hits and no runs to the Rockies to get the win. We'll see if he is that good here today against this potent LA lineup. I'll take the Cubs here today and see if he is that good. Play Chicago. |
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04-07-24 | Marlins v. Cardinals -137 | Top | 10-3 | Loss | -137 | 3 h 57 m | Show |
The Miami Marlins envisioned a better to start to their season. They couldn't have imaged a 0-9 start. The Marlins have scored just 30 total runs while allowing 62 runs for a -32 Run Differential. The Marlins look to avoid the sweep here today at the hands of the Cardinals. St Louis won game one of the series on Friday, 8-5 and then yesterday, 3-1. Today, the Marlins will send Max Meyer to the hill for his second start. Meyer went five innings and allowed two hits and two runs in a no decision against the Angels in his first start. The Cardinals are 5-4 to start the season, yet find themselves in last in the NL Central as all the teams in the division have had excellent starts. The Cardinals have a +2 Run differential. The Cardinals will send Kyle Gibson to the hill today. Gibson had a very good first start, going seven innings and allowing just four hits and two runs in a win over the Padres. I can't play the Marlins until they show they can win and I don't see that happening today vs Gibson and the Cards. Play St Louis. |
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04-07-24 | Mariners v. Brewers -124 | 4-12 | Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
The Seattle Mariners look to get back to the .500 mark in this early MLB season as they play the third of this four game set vs the Brewers. The Mariners lost to the Brewers on Friday, 5-6, then came back yesterday to take the game, 5-3. Today they will send Emerson Hancock to the hill. Hancock is 1-0 on the season and makes his second start here today. He went 5 1/3 inning in his first start vs the Guardians, allowing four hits and three runs to get the win. The Brewers are off to a good start as they are 5-2. They have scored just 29 runs but allowed just 27 runs on the season. The Brewers will send Colin Rea to the hill today. Rea is 1-0 after beating the Mets in his first start where he allowed just five hits and one run over five innings. I'm sticking with the Brewers here today as I give the edge to Rea. Play Milwaukee. |
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04-06-24 | Dodgers v. Cubs +168 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
The Chicago Cubs off to a good start at 5-2 on the season. They did start the season 0-2 and have now won five games in a row after beating the Dodgers in game one of this set yesterday, 9-7. The Cubs have been an offensive tear too, scoring at least nine runs in each of their last three games and four of their last five games. Jordan Wicks will get his second start of the season today. Wicks went four innings and gave up five hits and two earned runs in his start at Texas for a no decision. The Dodgers are highly favored to win it all this year and they are 7-3 out of the gate. Their four game win streak was snapped yesterday by the Cubs. They will send one of their prized off season signings to the hill today in Yoshinobu Yamamoto. Yamamoto is 0-1 after two starts. He got roughed up by the Padres in South Korea, but rebounded by going five innings and allowing just two hits and no runs to the Cardinals in game 2 for a no decision. I love the way the Cubs are hitting the ball and I look for them to give the Dodgers all they can handle as a live dog. Play Chicago. |
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04-06-24 | A's +143 v. Tigers | 4-0 | Win | 143 | 2 h 29 m | Show | |
Early AL game on the schedule has the Oakland A's at Detroit Tigers. The A's not off to a good start, but then again no one really expected much from them this year. They are playing their final season in Oakland before moving to Sacramento for three years and then their final home in Las Vegas. The A's gave the Tigers all they could handle in yesterday's first game of this series, losing by just one run, 4-5. The pitcher with their only win goes again here today in Paul Blackburn. Blackburn got no decision in his first game vs the Guardians but the team got their only win thus far, 4-3. Blackburn was very good, going seven innings with just three hits and no runs allowed. The Tigers rebounded from their loss to the Mets with that win yesterday. They will send Kenta Maeda to the hill today. Maeda got hit hard in his first start, going 3 1/3 innings and allowing seven hits and six runs to the WHite Sox. The A's might not win many games but they will win at times. They are a huge dog here today and they have the better pitcher on the hill. They have a good shot today. Play the A's. |
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04-05-24 | Red Sox -102 v. Angels | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
Not a lot of expectations in LA with the Angels, especially after Ohtani scooted across town to the Dodgers. Still, they are 4-2 to start the season and tied with the Rangers for the AL West lead. They will face the Red Sox today. Boston in that very tough AL East and they are 5-2, one game back of the Yankees. The Sox getting great pitching as they have held four teams to one run or no runs. They are coming off a sweep of Oakland, taking the last game 1-0. Kutter Crawford will make his second start for the Red Sox. Crawford went six innings in his first start vs Seattle, allowing three hits and no earned runs with seven KO's and just one walk. The Angels coming off a win on Wednesday at Miami, 10-2. That makes four straight wins for the Halos. Griffin Canning will make his second start tonight. Canning went five innings in his opener at Baltimore, allowing seven hits and five runs for the loss. Both teams playing well, but I will take the Red Sox who have the better starter going tonight. |
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04-05-24 | White Sox v. Royals -1.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
AL Central foes matchup here on Friday as the Chicago White Sox take on the Kansas City Royals. Both teams off to slow starts with the White Sox at 1-5 and the Royals at 3-4. The White Sox finding runs difficult to come by as they have scored 1 or no runs in three of their six games thus far. They are coming off a loss to these Royals yesterday, 1-10. Erick Fedde will get his second start of the season for the Sox. Fedde went 4 2/3 innings vs the Tigers in his first game, allowing five hits and two runs for a no decision. The Royals started the season 0-2 but have since won three of five games. They are coming off that win over the Sox, 10-1 and have won two of their last three games. Brady Singer gets his second start after a nice seven inning, three hit and no run performance vs the Twins in his first start. I like the Royals here today, but with the high price I'll lay the Run Line with them. |
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04-05-24 | A's v. Tigers -1.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 25 m | Show | |
The Detroit Tigers started the season 5-0 and finally lost a game to the Mets on Thursday, 1-2. They have held five of their first six opponents to 3 runs or fewer. Tarik Skubal gets his second start of the season here today vs the Oakland A's. Skubal had an excellent first start going six innings and allowing just three hits and no runs for the win vs the White Sox. The Oakland A's have fans protesting outside the stadium and wanting the team sold. The A's have decided this is their last year in Oakland before they move to Sacramento for three years and then their new home in Las Vegas. Still, the A's look like a team with little interest in these games. The A's are just 1-6 to start the season and just got swept by the Boston Red Sox. They scored four total runs vs the Red Sox and allowed 15 runs. JP Sears will make his second start of the season. He went just 3 2/3 innings vs the Guardians in his first start. He allowed six hits and five runs to take the loss. The Tigers playing with a lot of confidence and Skubal looking very strong. I'll lay the Run Line here today with the Tigers in what should be a blowout win. |
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04-04-24 | Pirates -125 v. Nationals | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 30 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Pirates off to one of their best starts in recent memory with a 5-0 beginning to the season before they lost their first game last time out. The Nationals are 2-3 in their five games and have scored 23 total runs while allowing 31 runs for a -8 run differential. The Pirates have scored 42 points and allowed 26, for a +16 Run Differential. The Pirates lost their first game of the season on Wednesday to these Nationals, 3-5. They have scored at least five runs in all six games this year. Mitch Keller gets his 2nd start of the season. Keller opened the season for the Bucs at Miami and went 5 2/3 innings, allowing seven hits and four earned runs for a no decision. The Nats rebounded from a pair of losses with a in over the Bucs today. They have allowed at least six runs in their first four games before today's three runs. Josiah Gray gets his second start of the season for the Nationals. Gray got hit hard in his debut, allowing eight hits and allowing seven runs over just four innings. I'm sticking with the Bucs today as they not only are hot but we get them at a small price too. Play Pittsburgh. |
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04-03-24 | Blue Jays v. Astros OVER 8.5 | 0-8 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
The Toronto Blue Jays looks to get above the .500 mark today as they travel to Houston to play the struggling Astros. The Jays are 3-3 thus far and have allowed 31 runs while scoring 25 for a -6 run differential. The Jays are coming off a win at Houston yesterday, 2-1, after trailing most of the game. They lost the opener to the Astros 0-10. They will start Chris Bassitt for the second time this season. Bassitt is 0-1 after losing at Tampa Bay in his first start, 2-8. Bassitt went five innings and allowed six hits and five runs. Houston thought maybe their early struggles were over after a 0-4 start to the season. They beat Toronto 10-0 in game one of this series but then lost last night 1-2. Cristian Javier will get his second start tonight. He got a no decision in after his first start vs the Yankees. Javier went six inning and allowed four hits and no runs in that start. The Astros have scored 22 runs with 10 of those coming last night. They are -1 in run differential for the season. I'm taking the over here today as the Astros look to get back to winning. Play OVER. |
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04-02-24 | Red Sox v. A's OVER 8 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
The Oakland A's are the lame duck of baseball. They will be waiting to move to Las Vegas. However, in the meantime they have to endure the wrath of the home town fans. In fact, those fans have been boycotting A's games as attendance is that of a minor league game at best. The A's have given up the 2nd most runs thus far in baseball at 38. Only the Padres have given up more. The A's are just 1-4 to start the season and coming off a 0-9 loss to Boston yesterday. Alex Wood makes his second start of the season. Wood opened the season with a loss to Cleveland, 0-8. He went just 3 1/3 innings and gave up seven hits and six runs. He will face the Red Sox who are 3-2 thus far and coming off that win over the A's yesterday. Brayan Bello will make his second start this year. Bello opened the season with a win over Seattle, 6-4. Bellow went five innings and allowed five hits and two runs. I look for a high scoring game here on Tuesday as the A's allow a lot of runs thus far. Take the OVER. |
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04-01-24 | Royals v. Orioles -1.5 | 4-6 | Win | 140 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Orioles host Kansas City as both teams begin their second set of the season. The Orioles went 2-1 in their opening series, scoring 25 runs in the process while allowing 11 runs to the Angels. Dean Kremer gets the start for the O's today. Kremer had an excellent season last year going 14-5 with a 4.12 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. The Kansas City Royals salvaged the final game of their three game set with the Minnesota Twins, winning 11-0. The 11 run outburst coming after the Royals scored just two total runs in the first two games vs the Twins. Michael Wacha will start here today for the Royals. Wacha was 14-4 last year with a 3.22 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. Problem is, despite that 11 run outburst, the Royals still have an anemic offense and will have little support for Wacha. I'll take the Orioles here today at home on the Run Line. |
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03-31-24 | Cubs v. Rangers -138 | 9-5 | Loss | -138 | 3 h 28 m | Show | |
The Chicago Cubs still looking for their first win of the season as they have lost both games thus far to Texas. They lost their opening game on Thursday, 3-4 and then lost yesterday at Texas, 2-11. Jordan Wicks will get the start today for the Cubs. Wicks was 4-1 in limited action last season for the Cubs with a 4.41 ERA and 1.27 ERA. Jon Gray will counter for the Rangers. Gray was 9-8 last year with a 4.12 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. The Rangers look to have picked up where they left off last season. I'll take them to win again here on Sunday. |
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03-31-24 | Twins -114 v. Royals | 0-11 | Loss | -114 | 3 h 3 m | Show | |
The Twins look for the sweep in their first series of the season as they play the final game at Kansas City here on Sunday. They have had little difficulty thus far with the Royals, winning the season opener on Thursday, 4-1 and then yesterday 5-1. They have scored nine runs to the Royals two thus far. Bailey Ober will start for Minnesota after a 8-6 record last year and a 3.43 ERA with a 1.07 WHIP. The Royals will turn to Brady Singer who was 8-11 last year with a 5.52 ERA. I'm going to stick with the Twins here today as they sweep the Royals. |
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03-30-24 | Cubs v. Rangers -120 | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
The Chicago Cubs and Texas Rangers meet in this Interconference game. These teams met on Thursday wit h the Rangers taking that game, 4-3. Kyle Hendricks will toe the rubber for the Cubs. Hendricks was 6-8 last year with a 3.74 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. Cody Bradford will go for the Rangers. Bradford was 4-3 in 2023 with a 5.30 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. I expect another fine season from this Rangers team, especially on offense where they will have production throughout the lineup. The Cubs will still have issues this year, like they did last. Don't see much changing for this version of the Cubs. I'll take the Rangers here today as they look to go 2-0 on the season. |
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03-29-24 | Yankees v. Astros -113 | 7-1 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
The Yankees and Astros play their second of this four game set here on Friday. Both teams will be battling for their division titles. The Yankees made a big off season move by acquiring Juan Soto. The Astros are looking to rebound after losing to the Rangers in the AL Championship series last year. Carlos Rondon will toe the rubber here for the Yankees. Rondon looking to make a comeback after a horrid 2023 season that saw the southpaw go 3-8 with a 6.85 ERA. Cristian Javier will go for the Astros. Javier was 1-5 with a 4.56 ERA for Houston. Houston at home here on Friday and I also give the pitching edge to Javier over Rondon. It's still early, but I'm taking Houston at home here on Friday at a very good price. |
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03-28-24 | Twins -114 v. Royals | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 4 m | Show | |
Opening day of the season for these two teams as the Minnesota Twins travel to KC to take on the Royals Pablo Lopez will toe the rubber for the Twins here on opening day. Lopez was 11-8 with a 3.66 ERA last season. The Royals will send Cole Ragans to the hill. Ragans was 7-5 with a 3.47 ERA last year. The Twins won the AL Central last year and where shocked in the playoffs by the Astros. The Royal lost a franchise record 106 games last year and finished last in the division. They Twins pretty much stood pat over the offseason, though they lost starters Sonny Gray and Kenta Maeda. Minnesota had one of the best pitching staff's last season with a 3.83 ERA and opposing batting average of just .236 which was sixth in the AL. The Royals made a number of offseason moves to improve a team that had a horrible year. They brought in Hunter Renfroe and Adam Frazier to help with the offense. I think the Royals will be better this year, but that isn't saying much. I still like this Minnesota pitching staff and Lopez should have another excellent season. I'll take the Twins to start the season with win here in KC. |
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10-31-23 | Rangers v. Diamondbacks -108 | 11-7 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
Game 4 of the World Series tonight and the Diamondbacks in a must win spot as they are already down 1-2 in the series. They can ill afford to go down 1-3 and then have to return to Texas for possibly the last two games. Though they did just that in the Philly series. The D'backs got a decent start last night from Brandon Pfaadt as the rookie went 5 1/3 innings and allowed just four hits. It was the 3-run inning that hurt him and in particular the Seager home run. Just one mistake and it was a big one. Joe Mantiply will go tonight for the D'backs. Mantiply only has four starts and the team is 3-1 in his starts with a 2.25 ERA. He's really going to be just an opener tonight as he will only go about one inning. His job is to get the top three or four batters out and then bring in the relievers to take over from there. The Rangers will turn to Andrew Heaney who is 9-6 this year with a 4.21 ERA. Heaney has two postseason starts and has allowed just six hits and four runs but over just 4 1/3 innings. Don't expect Heaney long for this game either. This looks to be a battle of the bullpens tonight. I'm taking Arizona to even the series and stay in it tonight. Play Arizona. |
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10-30-23 | Rangers v. Diamondbacks +102 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
The Arizona Diamondbacks return home for the Series after splitting their two game in Texas. They have gained home field advantage and have received some excellent pitching. Kelly gave them a strong outing in game two as they held a big hitting Rangers team to just one run in their win, 9-1. The D'backs had 16 hits in game two while holding the Rangers to just four hits. Brandon Pfaadt will start today and while his season numbers are not going to impress with a 3-9 record and 5.23 ERA. However, he's been their rock in the postseason, winning all four starts and allowing just five total runs over 16 2/3 innings. And, aside from that first start in Milwaukee, he's allowed two runs over the last 14 innings. The Rangers hope their road magic continues tonight. They were 4-0 on the road in the Houston series. Max Scherzer makes his third postseason start. The rust really showed in after his long layoff in that first game vs Houston as he allowed five runs over four innings. Then in his second start he went just 2 2/3 innings and allowed four hits and two runs. I'm not sold on Scherzer's readiness. Yes, he has the pedigree and experience, but this youngster for the D'backs has shown that the big stage doesn't bother him. I'll take Arizona tonight. |
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10-27-23 | Diamondbacks v. Rangers -150 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Game one of the World Series. Both teams had to win game seven on the road. The Rangers won all four games in Houston while the Diamondbacks won games six and seven in Philly. Zac Gallen gets the nod here in game one for Arizona. Gallen is 19-11 overall on the season with a 3.64 ERA. Gallen is 2-2 in the playoffs, winning his first two game and then losing both games against Philly Ace Zack Wheeler in the NLDS. He allowed 13 runs over his four playoff starts (22 23/ innings), striking out 13 and walking nine. Nathan Eovaldi will start for the Rangers with his 16-5 overall record and 3.44 ERA. Eovaldi is 4-0 in the playoffs, going 26 innings and allowing seven total runs. He also has just four walks with 28 KO's. I like Eovaldi a lot here in game one. We have to fade a price in the -1.60 range, but what choice do we have at this point. Play the Rangers .I look for Gallen to struggle here tonight against this Texas lineup. Should be plenty of runs on the Texas side here. Play the Rangers and the OVER. |
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10-27-23 | Diamondbacks v. Rangers OVER 8.5 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Game one of the World Series. Both teams had to win game seven on the road. The Rangers won all four games in Houston while the Diamondbacks won games six and seven in Philly. Zac Gallen gets the nod here in game one for Arizona. Gallen is 19-11 overall on the season with a 3.64 ERA. Gallen is 2-2 in the playoffs, winning his first two game and then losing both games against Philly Ace Zack Wheeler in the NLDS. He allowed 13 runs over his four playoff starts (22 23/ innings), striking out 13 and walking nine. Nathan Eovaldi will start for the Rangers with his 16-5 overall record and 3.44 ERA. Eovaldi is 4-0 in the playoffs, going 26 innings and allowing seven total runs. He also has just four walks with 28 KO's. I like Eovaldi a lot here in game one. We have to fade a price in the -1.60 range, but what choice do we have at this point. Play the Rangers .I look for Gallen to struggle here tonight against this Texas lineup. Should be plenty of runs on the Texas side here. Play the Rangers and the OVER. |
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10-24-23 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies -157 | 4-2 | Loss | -157 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
Another game seven tonight, this time in the NLCS as the Phillies having trouble closing out the D'backs. Arizona didn't have much trouble last night in game six to force this game seven tonight. Arizona got 10 hits as they won game six, 5-1. Brandon Pfaadt gets the start in the biggest game tonight for Arizona. Pfaadt has three postseason starts, and while he has no decision in all three the D'backs won all three of his starts. Pfaadt had a rough start vs Milwaukee, going just 2 2/3 innings and gave up seven hits and three runs. Since then though he's allowed just four hits and no runs over 10 innings. Ranger Suarez will start for the Phillies. He also has three postseason starts with the Phils going 2-1. He beat Atlanta twice and got a no decision to Arizona in this series. He pitched very well vs the D'backs, allowing three hits and not runs over 5 1/3 innings with seven KO's. Expect all pitchers (expect last night's starters) to be on call here tonight. I'll take the Phillies to win this series finale at home. |
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10-23-23 | Rangers v. Astros -122 | 11-4 | Loss | -122 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
Game 7 of the ALCS here tonight has the Houston Astros looking to win a game at home after dropping all previous three. The Astros trailed 0-2 as the series headed back to Texas where the Astros won all three games. Then back to Houston for game six where the Rangers won last night in a rout, 9-2. The Rangers will start Max Scherzer tonight. Scherzer had over month off before his start against the Astros in this series. That didn't go well as he allowed five hits and five runs over four innings of work. He hopes to have the rust out tonight for game seven. The Astros will turn to Cristitan Javier. Javier is 2-0 in the playoffs, going 10 2/3 innings and allowing just four hits and two runs. I like the Astros to close out this series tonight with Javier. Play Houston. |
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10-23-23 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies -165 | 5-1 | Loss | -165 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
Arizona had no answer for Zack Wheeler in game six of the NLCS as the D'backs fell to the Phillies, 1-6. They now face elimination as the venue switches back to Philly with the Phillies leading the NLCS 3 games to two. It will be up to Merrill Kelly tonight to keep the D'backs alive. Kelly is 13-9 overall and 1-1 in playoffs. He beat the Dodgers in a excellent outing, going 6 1/3 innings and allowing three hits and not runs. He then lost to the Phillies in game two, going 5 2/3 innings, allowing three hits and four runs. The Phillies will start Aaron Nola who is 15-9 overall and 3-0 in the playoffs. Nola has gone 18 2/3 innings and allowed just two earned runs overall. He has also struck out 19 and walked just two batters. I'm taking the Phillies where they have dominated at home. Play Philadelphia. |
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10-22-23 | Rangers +110 v. Astros | 9-2 | Win | 110 | 18 h 27 m | Show | |
The Rangers looked to be in the drivers seat in the ALCS as they headed home for games three, four and five. Up 2-0, the Rangers were flying high. However, the Astros turned the table with wins in games three, four and then a 5-4 win in game five. Now the Astros return home up 3-2 and looking to punch their ticket to another World Series. Nathan Eovaldi will try and keep the Rangers in this series here on Sunday evening. Eovaldi is 15-5 on the season and 3-0 in the playoffs. He has gone 19 2/3 innings with just five runs allowed, one walk and 24 KO's. The Astros will counter with Framber Valdez. Valdez is 12-13 on the season and 0-2 in the playoffs. He lost to the Twins in the divisional series, going 4 1/3 innings and allowing seven hits and five runs. Then he lost to the Rangers, going just 2 2/3 innings, allowing seven hits and four earned runs. I look for the Rangers to stay in this series and force a game seven. Play Texas. |
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10-21-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks +120 | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
The Phillies have to be kicking themselves about this point. They came to Arizona leading the NLCS two games to none. They played a very lackadaisical game three, which you can excuse. However, game four last night they pretty much gave away in another loss, 5-6. Their relievers let them down with walks, the manager made some very bad moves and the team just looked like they wanted to give game four away. And they did. Now the NLCS is tied at 2-2 and the Phils face the real prospect of going back to Philly down 2-3 and facing elimination. Philly does get their Ace on the hill tonight in the person of Zack Wheeler. Wheeler is 15-6 on the season and is 1-0 in his two playoff starts. He faces Gallen again as he did back in Philly where he allowed three hits and two runs over six innings. Gallen is 2-1 in the playoffs (all on the road), allowing nine runs over 16 2/3 innings. However, Gallen gets his first start at home where he was excellent this year. Gallen was 12-3 at home on the season with a 2.47 ERA. I'll take Gallen at home and the D'backs to go up 3-2 in this series. Play Arizona. |
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10-20-23 | Phillies -122 v. Diamondbacks | 5-6 | Loss | -122 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Game four of the NLCS here on Friday has the Phillies leading 2-1 over the Diamondbacks. The Diamondbacks in a must win spot on Thursday and they got the win, 2-1. Arizona got a walk off single from Ketel Marte to win the game. After scoring 10 runs in game two back at Citizens Bank Park, the Phillies offense decided to take the night off in game three. The Phillies will start Cristopher Sanchez today. Sanchez gets his first postseason start today. He was 3-5 on the season with a 3.48 ERA. Arizona will counter with Joe Mantiply, who is 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA in his three starts. His last start coming back on September 10th. Both teams hoping they can get these pitchers into the fifth inning today. I look for the Phillies to get the offense back in gear after that lackluster performance last night. I'll take Philadelphia here in game four. |
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10-20-23 | Astros +100 v. Rangers | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
Things looked bleak for the Houston Astros as they headed to Arlington to face the Rangers down 0-2 in the series. But things have turned around after two straight road wins for the Astros, including yesterday's win, 10-3. Now with the series tied 2-2, Houston has regained home field advantage as we play game five here on Friday. Justin Verlander gets his second start of this ALCS and third of the playoffs. Verlander has allowed just two runs and 10 hits over 12 2/3 innings of playoff action. He lost to Texas in game one of the series, allowing two runs over 6 2/3 innings. The Rangers will counter with Jordan Montgomery who is 1-0 in the playoffs after two starts. He was the winner in game one vs Verlander, going 6 1/3 innings, allowing five hits and no runs. Another great pitching matchup here today. I'm taking the Astros as I still give an edge to Verlander. Play Houston. |
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10-19-23 | Astros +101 v. Rangers | 10-3 | Win | 101 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
The Houston Astros were in a must-win situation in game three and they came through. They jumped all over a very rusty Scherzer on Wednesday to a 5-0 lead before winning game three, 8-5. The Astros had 12 hits and one HR in the win. Houston can even the series and regain home field advantage with a win tonight. Jose Urquidy will get the start. He was 4-3 overall with a 4.82 ERA. However, he was excellent vs the Twins in the ALDS, going 5 2/3 innings and allowing just three hits and two runs with six KO's. The Rangers suffered their fist loss of the postseason after sweeping the Rays and Orioles and taking the first two in this series. That snapped the win streak at seven games. Andrew Heaney will start for the Rangers with a 9-6 overall record and 4.04 ERA. In his lone postseason start he went 3 2/3 innings vs the Orioles, allowing two hits and one run. Heaney likely won't be around long in this one no matter how well he pitches. The bullpen has a 4.67 ERA this year so they could be good or bad. I'm taking the Astros here in game four to even the series. |
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10-19-23 | Phillies -118 v. Diamondbacks | 1-2 | Loss | -118 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
There might have been some speculation that the Phillies huge win over the Braves might cause a bit of a letdown entering this NLCS. Nope, didn't happen. The Phillies beat the D'backs in game one, 5-3 and then steamrolled them in game two, 10-0. That's a 15-3 score difference. The series moves back to Arizona tonight, but I don't think it will make much of a difference. The Phillies will start Ranger Suarez today. Suarez is 5-6 overall on the season with a 3.97 ERA. He faced off twice against the Braves Ace Spencer Strider and beat him twice in a row here in October. He held the Braves to four total hits and one run over 8 2/3 innings in October. After using their top two starters in the first two games of this series, they will have to start Brandon Pfaadt today. Pfaadt was only 3-9 on the season with a 5.57 ERA. He did beat the Dodgers in the NLDS, going 4 1/3 innings and allowing two hits and no runs. The Phillies are hitting the ball too well and that will not be good for Pfaadt today. Play Philadelphia. |
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10-18-23 | Astros +119 v. Rangers | 8-5 | Win | 119 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
Houston Astros in a must win position here on Wednesday after dropping both games at home to the Texas Rangers. Down 0-2, the Rangers face almost impossible odds with another loss here on Wednesday. The Astros will start Cristian Javier here tonight. Javier is 10-5 on the season with a 4.56 ERA. In his one postseason start, Javier went five innings vs the Twins and allowed just one hit and no runs for the win. That makes 11 straight inning with just four total hits and no runs allowed for Javier. He will face Max Scherzer tonight. Scherzer is 13-6 overall this season with a 3.77 ERA. Scherzer has not started a game since September 12th. Have to think Scherzer might struggle a bit here tonight after such a long layoff. Also likely he will not go very deep into this one either way. The Rangers bullpen has a 4.87 ERA and they walk batters at a nearly 13% clip. Both offenses are explosive and this one likely comes down to a battle of the bullpens. I have to give the nod there to the Astros. I'll take Houston as they are in that spot of needing a big win. Play the dog here on the Houston Astros. |
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10-17-23 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies -157 | 0-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
The Phillies took game one in the NLCS yesterday with an easy 5-3 win over the D'backs after jumping out to a 5-0 lead. They had their Ace on the hill in Zack Wheeler. They come back today with another hot pitcher in Aaron Nola. Nola is 14-9 on the season with a 4.27 ERA. However, in the playoffs he is 2-0 and has allowed just two runs over his 12 2/3 innings of work with 12 KO's and just two walks. The Diamondbacks shocked every with a sweep of the Dodgers in the divisional series. However, they have come back down to earth after that game one loss in Philly yesterday. They will send Merrill Kelly to the hill today. Kelly had a very nice season with a 13-8 record and 3.28 ERA. In his one start this postseason he got the win over the Dodgers in game one of the NLDS, going 6 2/3 innings and allowing just three hits and no runs. The Phillies are still hot and at home they should have little trouble vs the D'backs. Play Philadelphia. |
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10-15-23 | Rangers v. Astros -131 | 2-0 | Loss | -131 | 22 h 49 m | Show | |
Game one of the AL Championship series has the Texas Rangers taking on the Houston Astros. The Astros had a tough series vs Minnesota but won the series 3-1. Texas Rangers had little trouble in either their Wildcard or the Divisional series. The Rangers swept the Rays in two games and then swept the Orioles in three games. They got great pitching, allowing more than two runs in one of the playoff games thus far. The Rangers will start Jordan Montgomery who was 11-11 on the season. Montgomery was very hot down the stretch. He got wins in both playoff series. Justin Verlander will get the start for the Astros. Verlander has allowed one total run over his last three starts (19 innings) including holding the Twins to no runs and just four hits over six innings in his one playoff start. I like Verlander here on Sunday. The Rangers are tough, but the Astros have proved they are too and I give the pitching edge to Verlander in this one. Play Houston. |
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10-11-23 | Braves v. Phillies -118 | 2-10 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
The Phillies took home field away from the Braves by winning game one of this series in Atlanta, 3-0. Then the Phils blew a huge opportunity in game two. Leading 4-0 with their Ace Wheeler on the hill and throwing a no hitter through six innings, the Braves rallied and got the go ahead two-run home run in the 8th to pull out the win and even this series 1-1. Now the Phillies return home for game three and while they are happy for the split in Atlanta, they have to be kicking themselves for the lost opportunity. The Phillies will start Aaron Nola here today who is 13-9 on the season with a 4.31 ERA. He beat Miami in the Wildcard with a nice seven inning performance, allowing just three hits and no runs. The Braves look to go with Bryce Elder who was 12-4 on the season with a 3.81 ERA. Elder hasn't started since Sept 26th and that's a long layoff. No matter which pitcher goes for the Braves, I'll be on the Phillies here in game three. |
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10-10-23 | Astros v. Twins -128 | 9-1 | Loss | -128 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Twins and Houston Astros are tied 1-1 in this best of five series. The Twins have gained home field advantage with their split in Houston. And today they get their Ace on the mound in Sonny Gray. The Astros took the opener 6-4 and the Twins game two, 6-2. Gray is 9-8 on the season with a 2.67 ERA. He has been great though of late, allowing three total runs over his last five starts. That includes his dominating performance in the Wildcard game vs the Blue Jays where he allowed five hits and not runs over five innings for the win. The Astros hope to regain home field behind starter Cristian Javier. Javier has had a fine season with a 10-5 record and 4.50 ERA. This will be Javier's first postseason start. His last start was on October 1st vs the Diamondbacks where he allowed three hits and no runs over six innings for the win. Fine pitching matchup here today but the Twins faithful will be in full force. I'm taking the Twins in this one. |
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10-09-23 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -146 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -146 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
Arizona swept Milwaukee on the road in the NL Wildcard and now into LA and tame game one in huge fashion with a win, 11-2. They have won three straight now as they look to take a commanding lead in this best of five series. Zac Gallen will toe the rubber for the D'backs. Gallen is 18-9 on the season with a 3.46 ERA. In his Wildcard game at Milwaukee he went six innings, allowing five hits and two runs to get the win. The Dodgers in a must win spot here will send Bobby Miller to the hill. Miller has been great for LA with a 11-4 record and 3.76 ERA. Miller is coming off a fine outing at San Francisco where he allowed just one hit and no runs over four innings. I'm taking LA here as they have to win or be forced into a sweep event. Take LA Dodgers. |
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10-08-23 | Rangers +108 v. Orioles | 11-8 | Win | 108 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
Reason: Game two of this best of five series as the Rangers took the opener on Saturday, 3-2. They have taken home field away from the Orioles and now can take a commanding lead in this series with a win on Sunday. And they have their hottest pitcher going in Sunday's game, Jordan Montgomery. Montgomery has allowed just two total runs over his last five starts, including a dominating performance over the Rays in the Wild Card game. He allowed six hits over seven innings with no runs and no walks vs the Rays. The O's will counter with Grayson Rodriguez who is 7-4 with a 4.35 ERA on the season. He's been very good of late, going 4-1 in his last seven starts with a 2.20 ERA. Getting Montgomery as a small dog here is too much for me to pass on. Take Texas. |
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10-07-23 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | 11-2 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 36 m | Show | |
The Arizona Diamondbacks swept the Milwaukee Brewers in the Wild Card round of the NL playoffs. Now it's on to LA to face the Dodgers in a best of five Divisional series. Arizona beat Milwaukee 6-3 in game one and 5-2 in games two, going under one game and pushing the total in the other game. Merrill Kelly will make his first postseason appearance here on Saturday. Kelly was 12-8 in the regular season with a 3.39 ERA. He struggled a bit down the stretch, going 2-3 in his last seven starts with a 4.35 ERA. The Dodgers got to 100 wins on the final day of the regular season with a win over the Giants, 5-2. It wasn't sure who would start game one of the Dodgers, but they are going with veteran lefty Clayton Kershaw. Kershaw was 13-5 on the season with a 2.46 ERA. He was 3-1 in his last seven starts with a 2.30 ERA. In fact, Kershaw allowed just two runs over his last three starts (14 1/3 innings). Kershaw looks in fine form and Kelly is one of the D'backs best. I'll take the UNDER here in game one. |
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10-04-23 | Blue Jays v. Twins -136 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
The Minnesota Twins can end this first round of Wildcard playoffs with win today over the Blue Jays. The higher seed has a big advantage in this best of three series as all three games would be at home. The Twins took the first game on Tuesday, 3-1. They got a great pitching performance from Pablo Lopez who went 5 2/3 innings, with five hits and one run. Sonny Gray will start game two. Gray is 8-8 in the regular season with a 2.74 ERA. He was even better down the stretch with a 2-2 record and 1.54 ERA. The Blue Jays will start Jose Berrios who is 11-12 on the season with a 3.65 ERA. He was 2-4 in his last seven starts with a 4.53 ERA. I look for the Twins to send the Jays home after this game today. Play Minnesota. |
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10-04-23 | Rangers v. Rays -138 | 7-1 | Loss | -138 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay Rays opened the season with one of the hottest starts every and led the AL East for a good part of the season before Baltimore over took them. Now the Rays face elimination from the playoffs after losing game one here on Tuesday, 0-4. Part of the issue is their defense, they commit errors and that was on display Tuesday. The good news is that they keep home field advantage here on Wednesday and on Thursday if they win today. Zach Eflin will try and keep them alive today. Eflin is 16-8 on the season with a 3.50 ERA. He's been their Ace of the staff this year. Texas will counter with Nathan Eovaldi who is 12-5 on the season with a 3.63 ERA. However, he was just 2-2 in his last seven starts with a 7.18 ERA. Unlike the Rays, the Rangers are one of the best defensive teams in baseball and that was on display yesterday. If the the Rays can cut out the mistakes with the leather they should win here today with their Ace on the hill. I'll take the Rays. |
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10-03-23 | Diamondbacks v. Brewers -163 | 6-3 | Loss | -163 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
This round of the Wildcard now is a three game set, but the higher seeds holds a distinct advantage as they host all three games. The Diamondbacks will start Brandon Pfaadt today. PFaadt struggled a good part of the year to a 3-9 record in his 18 starts and a 5.70 ERA. Though he did finish better with a 3-3 record in his last seven starts and a 3.82 ERA. The Brewers will start veteran hurler Corbin Burnes. Burnes was 10-8 in his 32 starts and had a 3.39 ERA. Burnes also finished strong, allowing no runs over his last two starts (9 innings). He also allowed no runs in three of his last four starts. I'll take the veteran pitcher and the Brewers here in game one. |
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10-03-23 | Rangers v. Rays -145 | 4-0 | Loss | -145 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
Rangers and Rays meet in the Wildcard round here on Tuesday. This round of the Wildcard now three games, but the higher seeds holds a distinct advantage as they host all three games. The Rangers will start Jordan Montgomery here in game one. Montgomery is 10-11 on the regular season with a 3.20 ERA. He finished very strong, allowing just two earned runs over his last four starts, though the team lost two of those starts. Tyler Glasnow will toe the rubber for the Rays with a 10-7 record in the regular season and a 3.60 ERA. Glasnow finished the season with a two hit, no earned run performance vs the Red Sox. I'll take the home squad here in game one. Play Tampa Bay. |
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09-27-23 | Cubs +142 v. Braves | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
The final games of the season are here and four teams still have a shot at an NL Wildcard spot. The Cubs right now hold the third and final spot, but Miami is a half game back and the Reds are 1.5 games back. The Braves have the best record in the NL locked up and will have a bye in the first round of the playoffs. So these games mean little if anything to them. That being said, they are still a moderate favorite here over the Reds. Jameson Taillon is 8-10 for the Cubs with a 5.30 ERA. However, he's coming off a excellent start where he allowed four hits and no runs over six innings to the Rockies. He also has a 4.02 ERA over his last seven starts. The Braves start Darius Vines for just the second time. Vines started August 30th vs the Rockies and allowed two runs over six innings. Not sure if Vines will repeat that effort, but not enough data to back him here on a team with nothing to play for. I'll take the underdog Cubs and see if they have enough life to fight for that playoff spot. Take the Cubs. |
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09-27-23 | Reds +117 v. Guardians | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Reds still in the hunt for a Wildcard spot with the final week of the season on tap. The Reds are 1.5 games back in the race but also have the Marlins, Cubs and D'backs to contend with. Three teams make the Wildcard now so with Philly having locked the top spot, two more teams have a shot. That makes every game essential to the Reds. The Reds have won two straight, including yesterday's game over Cleveland, 11-7. Andrew Abbott gets the start today with a 8-5 record and 3.70 ERA. He's allowed three runs or fewer in seven of his last eight starts. Shane Bieber will start for the Guardians with a 5-6 record and 3.91 ERA. He's 1-3 in his last seven starts and a 4.57 ERA. I'll take the small dog on the Reds here today as they can ill afford even one loss right now. Play Cincinnati. |
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09-26-23 | Reds -106 v. Guardians | 11-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
Rivalry here so no matter what these teams always have something on the line. The Cincinnati Reds still have a shot at a playoff spot, but at 2.5-games back in the Wildcard they need to win every game. The Reds will start Hunter Greene here today with his 4-6 record and 4.24 ERA. Greene coming off a very good start of seven innings, three hits and one run vs the Twins. Lucas Giolito will toe the rubber for the Guardians. Giolito is 8-14 in his 31 starts with a 4.70 ERA. He's been worse of late, going 1-6 with a 5.85 ERA in his last seven starts. Every game important to the Reds. Take Cincinnati |
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09-25-23 | Astros v. Mariners -122 | 5-1 | Loss | -122 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
The Houston Astros just concluded one of their worst home seasons in recent memory. And to cap it off, they were just swept at home by the Kansas City Royals. They also lost first place to the Texas Rangers. The Rangers opened up a 2.5 game lead over the Astros and a 3-game lead over the Mariners in the AL West. Tampa Bay has the top Wild Card locked up, but the 2nd one is being fought for by Toronto, Houston and Seattle. The Astros are two games back and the M's 2.5 games back. That makes this series between these two teams very important. Justin Verlander will start for the Astros with a 11-8 record in 25 starts this season between the Mets and Astros. He's 4-2 in his last seven starts with a 4.07 ERA. However, the Astros have lost his last two starts. Luis Castillo starts for the M's. Castillo is 14-7 with a 3.11 ERA. He's 6-0 and the team is 7-0 in his last seven starts with a 2.80 ERA. I like Castillo here tonight and I'll go with the Mariners in this one. |
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09-22-23 | Mariners v. Rangers OVER 9.5 | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
It's a heck of a race in the AL West with Houston leading by a half game over the Rangers and Mariners. That makes this series between these two teams very big. Tampa Bay has the top AL Wildcard locked up, but Toronto, Texas and Seattle are all a half game within each other for that 2nd and final wildcard spot. Bryce Miller starts for the Mariners with a 8-5 record in 23 starts and a 3.88 ERA. He's a bit worse on the road with a 3-3 record and 4.59 ERA. The Rangers will counter with Dane Dunning who is 8-6 in his 23 starts and a 3.70 ERA. He has a 4.14 ERA and a 1-2 record over his last seven starts. I'm taking the OVER between these two playoff battling teams. |
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09-22-23 | White Sox v. Red Sox -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
The Red Sox not officially eliminated from the playoffs but with 8.5 games back in the Wildcard race they are pretty much done. Chris Sale will try and build off an excellent start last time out. Sale went six innings and allowed just two hits and one run at Toronto. He's 6-4 on the season with a 4.66 ERA. Touki Toussaint will toe the rubber for the White Sox. He's 4-7 on the season with a 6.05 ERA. Those numbers are a bit worse of late at 7.12 over his last seven starts. I'll lay the Run Line here on Friday with the Red Sox. |
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09-21-23 | Braves v. Nationals OVER 9 | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 48 m | Show | |
The Braves and Nationals begin their last set against each other this season with Thursday's contest at Washington. The Braves lost on Wednesday at home to Philadelphia in 10 innings, 5-6. The Braves have now lost five of their last six games. The only thing the Braves have left to play for is home field advantage and they lead the Dodgers by four games. Thing is, do you want home field? The winner likely plays a very dangerous Philadelphia team if they win their Wild Card series. The Nats are playing out the season and would like nothing more than to beat the best of the N.L. Washington has won three of their last four games. They will start Jake Irvin today who his 3-6 in his 23 starts with a 4.41 ERA. The Braves counter with Max Fried who is 7-1 in his 13 starts with a 2.64 ERA. That number has been a bit higher in his last seven starts with a 3.40 ERA. Even though Fried is a very good pitcher, his games have gone over in four straight and six of the last seven. I'll take OVER here on Thursday. The Nationals won at home over the White Sox on Wednesday, 13-3. |
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09-20-23 | Tigers v. Dodgers -1.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
The Tigers playing out the season while the Dodgers prepare for their first round of the playoffs. The Tigers are not officially eliminated from the playoffs but in reality it's over for them. The Tigers have lost two straight games including the last two night's in LA, 3-8 and last night 2-3. That snapped a four game win streak for Detroit. Reese Olson starts tonight for Detroit with a 4-7 record and 4.73 ERA. He has pitched well of late, allowing three runs over his last three starts. The Dodgers will start Bobby Miller tonight who is 10-3 in his 19 starts with a 4.02 ERA. He's been better of late with a 5-2 record and 3.68 ERA in his last seven starts. I'm going to lay the run line with the Dodgers here on Wednesday. |
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09-20-23 | Rockies v. Padres -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
It's been a disappointing season for the San Diego Padres. They were expected to compete with the Dodgers for the NL West, but instead are 20-games back. They officially haven't been eliminated from the playoffs though because they are 5.5 games back in the Wildcard race. However, with six teams ahead of them that looks like a longshot too. Seth Lugo starts for the Padres today with a 7-7 record in his 24 starts and a 3.83 ERA. He's been even better of late with a 3-1 record and 2.97 ERA over his last seven starts. The Rockies will send Chase Anderson to the hill with a 0-5 record in his last 15 starts and a 6.43 ERA. He's been worse on the road with a 0-3 record and 8.78 ERA. I'll lay the run line today with the Padres. |
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09-19-23 | Rockies v. Padres -1.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Final days of the regular season and the Padres might be the biggest disappointment of the season. A huge payroll and super stars on the team and they are 20-Games back of the Dodgers. The one player who hasn't been a letdown is today's starter, Blake Snell. Snell is 14-9 on the season with a 2.43 ERA. He's been even better of late, going 6-1 in his last seven starts with a 1.88 ERA. He's also allowed two total runs over his last four starts (25 innings). The Rockies are in last in the NL West, 36.5-games back of the Dodgers. They will start Ryan Feltner today who is 2-3 in his eight starts with a 5.86 ERA. He's also allowed eight runs over his last five innings. I'll take the Padres today and lay the Run Line. |
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09-19-23 | Angels v. Rays -1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
The LA Angels just waiting for the season to end. They made a lot of trade deadline pickups in order to try and make the playoffs. They all bombed as they floundered in the second half of the season. The Rays have clinched a playoff spot, but they still can take the division. They trail the Orioles by just 2.5 games and have won seven of their last 10 games. The Angels will start Patrick Sandoval on Tuesday with a 7-13 record and 4.86 ERA. That goes up in his last seven starts with a 1-5 record and 6.15 ERA. The Rays will start Taj Bradley today. Bradley is 5-7 in 19 starts with a 5.46 ERA. While Bradley isn't one of the better starters on this team. He has a very good bullpen behind him which has a 3.68 ERA. They have been better of late with a 1.11 ERA over their last seven games. I'll lay the Run Line here today with the Rays. |
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09-18-23 | White Sox v. Nationals OVER 9 | 6-1 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 18 m | Show | |
Washington coming off a win in 10 innings at Milwaukee on Sunday, 2-1. The White Sox were shut out at home on Sunday by the Twins, 0-4. Both teams officially eliminated from the playoffs, just looking to play out the season now. The Sox will start Mike Clevinger who is 7-8 in his 21 starts with a 3.61 ERA. The Nats will start Joan Adon tonight who is 2-2 in his seven starts with a 6.00 ERA. Both teams should score some runs with the Nationals pitching Adon. I'll take the OVER on Monday. |
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09-15-23 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays -128 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
The season enters its final few weeks and every game is important to those in the playoff hunt. The Boston Red Sox are not one of those teams. They are coming off a big rivalry series with the Yankees where they lost three of the four game set. They are also 3-7 over their last 10 games. The Jays have no shot at the AL East, but they are in the midst of a Wildcard race. Toronto is 1.5-games back in the AL Wildcard race with just three teams ahead of them. However, one of those teams is Tampa Bay and they have a lock on the top spot as they lead by nine-games. So right now the second spot is between Texas, Seattle and Toronto. The Sox will start Brayan Bello today who is 12-8 on the season with a 3.68 ERA. The Jays will start Jose Berrios who is 10-10 with a 3.63 ERA. Berrios has allowed just four total runs over his last two starts (13 innings) both wins for the Jays. Every game is important to Toronto and that means they need this game tonight. Play Toronto. |
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09-14-23 | Reds +108 v. Tigers | 2-8 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
The Reds and Tigers finish their set and final meeting of the season against each other here on Thursday. The Reds look to sweep the series after taking Tuesday's game 6-5 and yesterday's 4-3. They will start Derek Law for the third time and first time since May. Law will only be the opener here as he went 1 1/3 innings in his other two starts. So how is the bullpen? It's actually quite good with a 3.86 ERA and over the last seven games a 1.34 ERA. Detroit will start Reese Olson today who is 2-7 in his 15 starts with a 4.99 ERA. I like the Reds bullpen which will be in this game early. Take the Reds today. |
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09-13-23 | Royals v. White Sox OVER 9 | 7-1 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
Two teams not going anywhere this postseason meet for the final time as the White Sox host the Royals. The Royals took game one of the series 11-10 and then lost yesterday, 2-6. The Royals called up Steven Cruz from Triple-A Omaha to start tonight's contest. Cruz likely just an opener here today. Cruz has been on the big club before, giving up four runs in five innings in late August. Don't expect Cruz more than an inning or two. The Bullpen has a 5.30 ERA so that isn't great news either. The Sox will stick with a conventional starter in Mike Clevinger who is 7-7 in his 20 starts with a respectable 3.64 ERA. I expect the Royals to all quite a bit of runs here today. Take the OVER. |
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09-13-23 | Guardians v. Giants -136 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 3 h 29 m | Show | |
With just weeks left in the regular season the Cleveland Guardians are 7.5 games back of the Twins in the AL Central and 11.5-games back in the AL Wildcard race. Looks like the Guardians won't be going anywhere this postseason. The Giants have no chance of catching the Dodgers in the NL West, but they are only 1.5 games back in the NL Wildcard race that sees six teams with a chance (all 1.5 games of each other) to get the two spots. The Guardians will start Logan T Allen today who is 7-7 in his 22 starts with a 3.68 ERA. The Giants can ill afford any losses right now so Kyle Harrison will try to get them a win today. Harrison is 1-1 in his four starts with a 4.87 ERA. He has two home starts with the Giants 2-0 in those games and a 2.38 ERA. I'll take the Giants here on Wednesday. |
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09-12-23 | Cardinals v. Orioles OVER 10 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 45 m | Show |
These teams playing the second of their set here on Tuesday after the Orioles took game one on Monday, 11-5. The Cardinals had gone over in six straight before a couple of Unders vs the Reds. The Overs got back on track last night with 16 total runs scored. Adam Wainwright has had a tough year for the Cardinals at 3-11 with a 8.19 ERA. Hard to believe he's been even worse of late, going 0-7 in his last seven starts with a 9.74 ERA. John Means will make his first start for the Orioles after joining the team in Boston over the weekend. Means makes his first MLB start in nearly 17 months here on Tuesday. Means, a one time All-Star, was runner up to rookie of the year in 2019. This will be a big test for the young pitcher to see if he's making it back from his long recovery from surgery. For me, I'll wait and see. But no matter what, Wainwright has been horrible and I'll take the OVER here on Tuesday. |
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09-11-23 | Padres v. Dodgers OVER 9.5 | 11-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
The San Diego Padres visit Chavez Ravine to face the LA Dodgers in what many thought would be a late season battle for the NL West. But a poor season by the Padres have them 21 games back of the Dodgers. They have also lost two straight games. The Dodgers were red hot out of the All-Star break, but have cooled down a bit, going 4-6 in their last 10 games. They have a comfortable 13-game lead over Arizona though in the division. The Padres will start Pedro Avila who is 1-2 in his four starts with a 3.50 ERA. He has two starts on the road and is 0-1 with a 6.48 ERA. The Dodgers will start Gavin Stone who will make his fourth start today. He's had issues in his prior three, allowing 16 total runs for a 14.40 ERA. Walks have also been a issue with seven free passes in just 10 innings. Two good hitting teams and two suspect pitchers on the hill. I'll take OVER tonight. |
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09-09-23 | Cardinals v. Reds OVER 10.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 33 m | Show | |
The St Louis Cardinals continue their torrid tear with the bats. The Cardinals just came off a 3-game set vs the Braves where they scored 26 runs and went over all three games. They opened vs the Reds on Friday and it was another hit fest with nine more runs and another over. That put a dent into the Reds playoff hopes as they are close to Milwaukee in the NL Central and within a game of the NL Wildcard. The Cardinals will start Zack Thompson here on Saturday with a 2-2 record with a 3.60 ERA. The Reds will start Carson Spiers who has no record after one start and a 6.75 ERA. Don't really care who pitches here on Saturday, I'm sticking with the hot bats of the Cardinals and taking the OVER. |
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09-08-23 | Cardinals v. Reds OVER 10 | Top | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
The Cincinnati Reds have won seven of their last 10 games and still within striking distance of 1st place Milwaukee in the NL Central. The Reds trail by just two games. They are also in the hunt in the NL Wildcard race, just a half game back in those standings. So every game is big for the Reds. They face a Cardinals team that just took two of three games from the Braves and scored 26 runs in the three game set. The Cards have also gone over in five straight games, scoring at least five runs in each of those. The Cardinals start Drew Rom today who is 0-2 in his three starts with a 7.24 ERA. The Reds will start Andrew Abbott who is 8-4 in 17 starts with a 3.22 ERA. Not quite so good lately, going 2-2 in his last seven starts with a 5.67 ERA. I'm sticking with the OVER in these Cardinals games as they continue to hit the ball well with little pitching on the other end. Play OVER. |
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09-07-23 | Cardinals v. Braves OVER 10.5 | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
Yikes! What in the world is going on with the Braves. Did they change uniforms with the A's or something?? The Braves have gotten their butts kicked the last two nights by the Cardinals. Both games the Braves were North of a two dollar favorite and they gave up 10 runs on Tuesday and 11 runs on Wednesday. They fell way behind in both games and never came close. Even their Ace, Striker, was rocked last night in a 6-11 loss after the Cards jumped out to a 5-0 lead. Today they start Max Fried who is 6-1 with a 2.52 ERA. Adam Wainwright will start for the Cardinals with a 3-10 record and 8.10 ERA. The way this series is going, I won't be surprised at all by the Cardinals scoring big again here tonight. I'll just play the OVER. |
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09-06-23 | White Sox v. Royals OVER 9.5 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Wild game between these two teams on Tuesday as the Royals rallied in the bottom of the 9th inning for two runs to beat the White Sox, 7-6. The Sox jumped out to a 5-0 lead in the 2nd inning but couldn't hold on as the Royals chipped away and finally won. Neither team going anywhere this postseason so these games are just for enjoyment right now. That doesn't mean there isn't money to be made. The White Sox start Touki Toussaint who is 2-7 in his 11 starts with a 5.54 ERA. He's been slightly worse on the road with a 2-3 record and 6.35 ERA. It's been a rough season for Royals starter Jordan Lyles. Lyles is 4-15 in 26 starts with a 6.17 ERA. He's been slightly better at home where he is 2-6 with a 4.81 ERA. Either way, two bad pitchers on two bad teams with bad bullpens. I'll take the OVER and let them score at will today. |
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09-06-23 | Twins -122 v. Guardians | 1-2 | Loss | -122 | 3 h 36 m | Show | |
The Twins have opened up the AL Central lead to seven games over today's 2nd place Cleveland Guardians. The Twins have won two straight and six of the last 10. They are also the only team in the Central with a positive run differential (+70). The Guardians have lost three straight as they fade in the AL Central race. It isn't any better in the Wildcard as they trail by 11 games. Joe Ryan starts today for the Twins with a 10-8 record and 4.20 ERA. Ryan has allowed just two runs total over his last two starts (11 innings). Cleveland will start Gavin Williams who is 1-5 in his 13 starts with a 3.46 ERA. Twins can really put this division away with a sweep and today they come one step closer. Play Minnesota |
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09-05-23 | Phillies -106 v. Padres | 0-8 | Loss | -106 | 22 h 21 m | Show | |
The Phillies jumped out to a huge lead in Monday's game at San Diego, but had to hold on late for the win 9-7. While the Phillies have no shot in the NL East, they are the leader right now in the NL Wildcard race with a 5.5 game lead. The Padres fell back to 6.5-games back in the Wildcard race and with six teams ahead of them, the odds don't look good. The Phillies start Michael Lorenzen tonight. It's been three starts since Lorenzen threw his no hitter vs the Nationals on Aug 9th. Since then he's allowed 13 runs over 15 innings. The Padres will start Pedro Avila. Avila is 0-2 in his three starts with a 5.56 ERA. Phillies just might be the scariest team right now in the Wildcard race and I look for them to increase their lead here on Tuesday. Play Philadelphia. |
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09-04-23 | Giants v. Cubs -132 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
It's an early start to your holiday winning with Jim today as the Chicago Cubs host the San Francisco Giants. The Giants coming off a three-game set at San Diego where they were swept by the Padres. The Giants are in second place, but that doesn't mean anything since they are 14.5 games back of the Dodgers. However, the Wildcard still in striking distance as they are just 3-games back of today's opponent, the Cubs. That being said, the Cubs have the 2nd Wildcard spot right now with the Marlines, Giants, D'backs and Reds are three games back of them. Logan Webb starts for the Giants with a 9-11 mark and 3.64 ERA. He's been slightly worse on the road with a 4-5 record and 4.63 ERA. Justin Steele having a great season for the Cubs with a 15-3 record and 3.06 ERA. He's 5-0 in his last seven starts with a 3.35 ERA. Steele is a steal at this price today. Play Cubs. |
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09-03-23 | Tigers -140 v. White Sox | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show | |
Two teams playing out the season meet in the final game of this set here on Sunday. The Detroit Tigers look to win their fourth game in a row and sweep this series with the White Sox after Saturday's blowout win, 10-0. The Tigers will start Tarik Skubal today who is 3-3 in his 10 starts with a 3.93 ERA. The White Sox will start Michael Kopech who is 5-12 in his 25 starts with a 5.08 ERA. He's been worse of late, going 1-4 in his last seven starts and a 7.39 ERA. I look for a Tigers sweep here on Sunday. Play Detroit. |
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09-02-23 | Orioles -132 v. Diamondbacks | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 16 m | Show | |
Baltimore's lead in the AL East has dropped to just 1.5 games over the Tampa Bay Rays. The Orioles lost on Friday at Arizona, 2-4. That makes two straight losses for Baltimore. The D'backs have won six of their last 10, though they still have a negative run differential of -19. Kyle Bradish starts for the O's tonight. Bradish is 9-6 in his 24 games with a 3.03 ERA. He's been very good of late too, going 5-2 in his last seven starts with a 2.98 ERA. Slade Cecconi starts for the D'backs, making just his four start. He has no record with a 3.14 ERA. Cecconi has gone into the 5th inning just one time. I like the first place Orioles here tonight. Play Baltimore. |
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09-01-23 | Red Sox v. Royals OVER 9.5 | 2-13 | Win | 100 | 21 h 55 m | Show | |
Both these clubs had Monday off as they begin this set from Kansas City. The Red Sox have no shot in the AL East as they trail by 14 1/2 games. The Wildcard isn't too easy either as they trail by 6.5 games. The Royals are one of the two AL teams already eliminated from the playoffs. James Paxton will start for the Red Sox with a 7-4 record in his 18 starts and a 3.99 ERA. He's been worse of late, going 2-2 in his last seven starts and a 4.80 ERA. He's also allowed 10 runs over his last two starts (8 1/3 innings). Jordan Lyles will start for the Royals with a 3-15 record and a 6.39 ERA. He's also been worse of late, going 2-4 in his last seven starts with a 7.71 ERA. I like this game to go OVER here on Friday. |
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09-01-23 | Tigers -128 v. White Sox | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 55 m | Show |
The Tigers won on Thursday, beating the Yankees 4-3 in 10 innings. They led 3-0 in the top of the 9th with two outs before giving up the game tying home run. However, they were able to prevail in the bottom of the 10th inning for the win. They open this series with the White Sox. Both teams just looking to play out the rest of the season as neither will make the postseason. Detroit starts Eduardo Rodriguez here today who is 9-7 with a 3.21 ERA. Touki Toussaint will counter for the White Sox. He is 2-6 in his 10 starts with a 5.59 ERA. Both pitchers have been inconsistent of late, but I'll take the Tigers here on Friday. |
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08-30-23 | Reds v. Giants -1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Reds look to snap a 3-game losing streak here tonight at San Francisco. The Reds have dropped to seven games back in the NL Central behind the Brewers. The Reds have a better shot at the NL Wildcard as they are just 2-games back in that race. The Giants are 1-game back in the Wildcard race and 13.5-games back of the Dodgers in the NL West. Hunter Greene starts for the Reds with a 2-6 record in his 16 starts and a 5.06 ERA. He's allowed 13 runs over his last two starts (6 2/3 innings). The Giants will start Logan Webb who is 9-10 in his 27 starts with a 3.67 ERA. He's been a bit better at home with a 5-5 record and 2.78 ERA. I'm taking the Giants here on Wednesday and laying the Run Line. Play Giants -1.5 Runs. |
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08-30-23 | Angels v. Phillies -1.5 | 10-8 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
Reason: The AL West is a 3-team race as the Rangers, Mariners and Astros are all tied right now for the lead. That leaves the Angels the odd man out as they sit 12.5-games back of those three teams. They are also 12.5-games back in the AL Wildcard race. The Phillies are in 2nd place in the NL East but have no shot at first place Atlanta as they are 12.5 games back in the race. However, the NL Wildcard is a different story. The Phillies hold a 5-game advantage as they are the top NL Wildcard team right now. The Cubs are four games back and the Giants five games back. Reid Detmers starts today with a 3-10 record in his 23 starts and a 5.03 ERA. He's been worse of late, going 1-4 in his last seven starts with a 6.82 ERA. Cristopher Sanchez starts for the Phils with a 2-3 record in his 13 starts and a 3.33 ERA. He's allowed two runs in each of his last three starts, going six innings in each. I'm taking the Wildcard leading Phillies here today in this IL Game and laying the run Line. Play Philadelphia -1.5 Runs. |
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08-29-23 | Astros v. Red Sox OVER 10 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
It's a tight race in the AL West as one game separates the top three teams. One of those are the Houston Astros, who are 1 game back of the Seattle Mariners. The Mariners have surged into first place thanks to a 9-1 run. Meanwhile, Texas has been struggling to 2-8 their last 10 and Houston 5-5. The Red Sox are in 4th in the AL East, 13.5-games back of the Orioles. The Sox still have a shot at a AL Wildcard as they are 4.5-games back with four teams ahead of them. Houston will start J.P. France today. France is 8-5 in his 18 starts with a 3.62 ERA. He's coming off a horrible start, where he allowed 11 hits and 10 runs over just 2 1/3 innings to the Red Sox. Now he has to face them again here today. Boston will start Brayan Bellow who is 10-7 with a 3.56 ERA in 22 starts. He's been slightly higher with the ERA in his last seven starts, having a 4.46 mark. Both these teams can score as they both average five runs per game. The Houston bullpen has been bad of late, posting a 6.37 ERA in his last seven games. Boston has been even worse, allowing a 7.07 ERA over their last seven games. Two struggling pens and two very good scoring teams. I'll take the OVER today. |
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08-28-23 | Padres -1.5 v. Cardinals | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
The San Diego Padres arguably the biggest disappointment of the 2023 season. After a bunch of high profile signings and moves the Padres were expected to contend with the Dodgers for the AL West title. However, here they sit, 19 games back in the West. The Wildcard even a longshot at this point, as they sit eight games back with six teams ahead of them. Blake Snell has been a bright spot though for this team, especially since the All Star break. Snell is 10-9 overall in 26 starts with a 2.73 ERA. However, he has allowed more than two runs in a start just one time dating back to May 25th. He has been very good and the teams best starter. The Cardinals also a disappointment this season as they are in last in the NL Central, 16.5-games back of the Brewers. The Cardinals have lost two straight games and eight of their last 10. Adam Wainwright has not been good either, going 3-9 in his 17 starts with a 8.61 ERA. That number is even worse lately with a 0-6 record in his last seven starts and a 10.55 ERA. Huge difference in starters here today. I'll take the Padres with Snell and lay the Run Line. |