Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-02-22 | Massachusetts v. Harvard +2 | 71-68 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
The U Mass Minutemen look to improve to 6-1 here tonight as they hit the road for a game at Harvard. They are also 4-1-1 ATS on the season. U Mass has won four games in a row since their only loss coming to Towson State, 55-67, as a 3.5-point favorite. U Mass averages 69.8 ppg while allowing 64.5 ppg. The Harvard Crimson are 6-2 S/U and 4-3 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Holy Cross, 72-38, as a 9.5-point favorite. Harvard is averaging 69.1 ppg while allowing 63 ppg. Harvard a small home dog here tonight. The dog has done well in this series, going 5-2-1 ATS the last eight times. Should be a low scoring, close game, but I'll take the home team to come out on top. Play Harvard. |
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12-01-22 | Washington State +4.5 v. Oregon | 60-74 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Conference clash in the PAC-12 here tonight as Washington State looks to build on their recent two-game win streak with a road game at Oregon. The Cougars are coming off wins over Eastern Washington, 82-56, and then last game against Detroit, 96-54, as a 11.5-point favorite. The Oregon Ducks are 3-4 S/U and ATS on the season. They snapped a three-game losing streak last game against Villanova, 74-67, as a 4-point dog. The Ducks average 68 ppg while allowing 65 ppg. To make things possibly worse for the Ducks, they could be without a starter here tonight as Center N'Faly Dante is questionable with a head injury. Washington State is 3-1 S/U and 4-0 ATS in their last four vs Oregon. I'll take the visitor here in this late tip game. Play Washington State. |
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12-01-22 | Pacific +7 v. UC-Davis | 74-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
The Pacific Tigers look to snap a four game losing streak both S/U and ATS tonight at Cal Davis. The Tigers are coming off a loss at home to Cal Poly, 58-62, as a 7-point favorite. Pacific opened the season with a 2-1 S/U and 3-0 spread record. Pacific is averaging 79.6 ppg and allowing 78 ppg. UC Davis Aggies are 6-2 S/U and 4-3 ATS. The Aggies have won two straight games including their last game over Boston U, 81-70, as a 5-point favorite. Davis averages 78 ppg and allow 72.7 ppg. Both teams average about the same per game with Davis having the better defense. I'll take the points with the road dog here today. Play Pacific. |
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12-01-22 | Valparaiso +9 v. Belmont | 64-76 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
The Valparaiso Beacons look to get back to the .500 mark tonight after a 3-4 start to their season. They are also 2-5 ATS on the year. They are coming off a win over James Madison, 81-79, as a big 15.5-point dog. Valpo is a slower paced team and thus their offensive output ranks just 214th overall with 70.8 ppg. The Belmont Bruins come into today's contest at 4-3 S/U and ATS. They started the season with a 1-3 S/U and 0-4 mark before winning three straight both S/U and ATS. Belmont is coming off a win at Georgia State, 68-66 as a 1.5-point favorite. The Bruins are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine home games and 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight-up win. I like the points tonight with Valpo. Take the dog. |
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11-30-22 | New Mexico +9.5 v. St. Mary's | 69-65 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
The New Mexico Lobos off to a great start at 6-0 S/U and 4-1-1 ATS on the season. The Lobos are coming off a win over Northern Colorado, 98-74, as a 13.5 point favorite. The Lobos team has been scoring in bunches, averaging 84.3 ppg on the season (20th in country) and allowing just 68 ppg. They have shot at least 43.9% in each game thus far. St Mary's Gael's will rely on their 11th ranked defense here tonight. The Gaels are 6-1 S/U and 4-3 ATS on the season. Their lone loss coming in their last game at home to Washington, 64-68, losing as a 10-point favorite. The Gaels are averaging 72.4 ppg while allowing just 55.9 ppg. The Lobos are 10-4 ATS their last 14 road games vs a team with a winning home record. We'll see tonight just how good New Mexico is. Personally, I think this is too many points to give a good offensive team like the Lobos. I expect New Mexico to hit well below their season average, but still come in under the double digit dog line. Play New Mexico. |
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11-30-22 | Rockets +12 v. Nuggets | 100-120 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
Western Conference battle here today has the 2nd place Denver Nuggets (13-7) hosting the last place Houston Rockets (5-15). The Rockets are only 8-9-3 ATS. However, they have won two of their last three games and covered three of their last four games. The Rockets are in a back-to-back spot here at Denver, having lost Monday, 113-129, failing to cover the +11.5 point line. The Denver Nugget are 10-10 ATS on the season after covering Monday's contest. The Nuggets are 5-13 ATS their last 18 following a s/u win. They are also 4-10 ATS their last 14 at home vs a team with a losing road record. Very difficult to cover both of these back-to-back type games. The Nuggets got Monday's game, but I expect the Rockets to cover tonight. |
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11-29-22 | Wake Forest +6.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 78-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
ACC vs Big 10 action here tonight has Wake Forest traveling to Wisconsin to take on the Badgers. The Wake Forest Demon Deacons are 6-1 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. Their lone loss coming at home to Loyola Marymount, 75-77, as a 6-point favorite. The Deacons have been installed as the favorite in all seven of their games this season. The last two 20+ favorites as they covered both. The will be the first big test and first real road game for Wake here tonight. Wake averages 81.7 ppg and allows 68.4 ppg. Wisconsin is 5-1 both S/U and ATS with their lone loss coming to No 3 Kansas in OT, 68-69, as a 7-point dog. The Badgers don't score a lot, with just 68 their highest output in their last five games. They average just 62.7 ppg but allows just 54 ppg. Should be interesting to see if the high scoring Deacons can dent the very good defense of Wisconsin. However, the 6-points or thereabout that the Badgers have to lay look to a be a bit high. I'll take Wake here tonight as a road dog. |
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11-29-22 | Baylor v. Marquette +6.5 | 70-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
The Baylor Bears are off to a 5-1 S/U and 3-3 ATS spread mark this season. Their lone loss coming at home to Virginia, 79-86 as a 5-point favorite. The Bears have won two straight since that loss, including last game over McNeese State, 89-60, failing to cover the huge spread of 37-points. The Bears lowest shooting percentage this year was 44.6% and that was in a win over UCLA, 80-75, as a 2.5-point favorite. The Bears are just 2-5 ATS their last seven against a team with a winning record and 1-6 ATS their last seven following a straight up win. The Marquette Golden Eagles are 5-2 S/U and 4-2-1 ATS on the season. They have two straight games including last time out over Chicago State, 82-68, but failing to cover the 27.5-point favorite line. Marquette in the midst of some heavy competition with Wisconsin, Notre Dame and Creighton coming up in three of their next four games. Marquette averages 80.3 ppgs this year on 46.5% shooting. Marquette loves to push the ball so this should be an interesting game. Expect a high scoring game here tonight, as I look for the home dog Marquette to stay with the Bears. |
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11-29-22 | Charlotte +4.5 v. Davidson | 68-66 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
The UNC Charlotee 49ers are 5-2 S/U and ATS on the season. Their lone losses both S/U and ATS coming at Detroit, 49-70, as a 2-point favorite and at home to U Mass, 54-60, as a 1.5-point favorite. Both games the Niners shot 34% and 36.7%, their lows of the season by far. In their five wins their lowest shooting percentage was 43.4%. And they do have some nice wins over Tulsa, 68-65 and and their lone dog game vs Boise State, 54-42, as a 6-point dog. The Davidson Wildcats are 6-1 S/U and 4-2 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over San Francisco, 89-80, as a 2.5-point favorite. Their lone loss of the season came at College of Charleston back on Nov 17, 66-89, as a 3-point dog. Charlotte's defense has been their backbone, as they rank 2nd in Conference USA in points allowed (55). If Charlotte can keep Davidson from pushing the pace here today, they should be in this one at the end. I'll take the road dog here, take Charlotte. |
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11-28-22 | Sam Houston State +4.5 v. Nevada | 60-78 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
Sam Houston State Bearkats are looking to remain perfect on the season here tonight as they sit at 6-0 overall and 4-0 ATS. The Kats are coming off a big win over South Dakota, 80-49, as a 6-point favorite. They also have a win over Utah, 65-55, as a 10-point dog and 52-51 over Oklahoma as a 16.5-point dog. The Nevada Wolfpack are 6-1 S/U and 5-1 ATS on the season. They have wins over Akron, 62-58, as a 1.5-point favorite, and 75-66 over Tulane as a 3-point dog. Their only loss coming to Kansas State, 87-96, as a 4.5-point dog. I'm very impressed with the early resume of Sam Houston with their big wins. I'll take them here today against Nevada. |
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11-28-22 | Pittsburgh +7.5 v. Northwestern | 87-58 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Panthers started the season 1-3 S/U and 1-2-1 ATS. However, since then they have won three straight and gone 2-0-1 ATS. They are coming off a win over William and Mary, 80-64, as a 13.5-point favorite. NOrthwestern is coming off a loss to No 13. Auburn, 42-43, as a 7.5-point dog. That was the Wildcats first loss of the season as they sit 5-1 S/U and 4-2 ATS. The Cats are just 12-25 ATS their last 37 games at home vs a team with a losing record road record. It's Big 10 vs ACC here tonight. Pitt a fairly good sized dog here today. I'll take the points with the Panthers. |
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11-28-22 | Dartmouth v. Grambling State -1.5 | 49-73 | Win | 100 | 3 h 35 m | Show | |
The Dartmouth Big Green are 2-4 S/U and 1-3-1 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Texas San Antonio on Sunday, 78-77, as a 4.5-point dog. Dartmouth is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 Monday games. Dartmouth has average 77.4 ppg and allowed 75.8 ppg on the season. Grambling is 3-3 S/U and 2-3 ATS on the season. The Tigers are coming off a loss at home to Incarnate Word, 61-63, as a 9-point favorite. They have played some excellent competition, losing to Arizona State, 49-80 and beating Colorado, 83-74, as a 14.5-point underdog. Grambling has the better defense and they have played the better competition and beaten Colorado. I'll take Grambling here today. |
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11-28-22 | UC-Davis -4 v. Boston University | 81-70 | Win | 100 | 2 h 39 m | Show | |
Cream City Classic here from Milwaukee Wisconsin has Cal Davis taking on Boston U. Cal Davis Aggies are 5-2 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. The Aggies are coming off a win over Se Missouri State, 73-71, but failed to cover the 4.5-point favorite line. They did open the season with a big win over California, 75-65, as a 5-point dog. That is their big win thus far. Davis is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 overall games. The Boston Terriers are 4-3 S/U and 3-3 vs the spread. They are coming off a loss to Wisc-Milw 46-67, as a 4-point favorite. That makes two straight losses as a favorite, the other being Se Mo State, 52-63 as a 5-point favorite. This team has not shot well in either game with 25.9% and 31.6% respectively. Now they face a very good UC Davis squad. I don't believe this Boston U Terrier team is any good and it will show tonight. Take UC Davis. |
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11-27-22 | Mavs v. Bucks -6.5 | 115-124 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Bucks are 2nd in the Eastern Conference with a 13-5 S/U record and 11-7 spread mark. The Bucks are 5-5 their last 10 games and have an overall +4.6 point differential. The Bucks have alternated wins and losses the last six games and are coming off a win over the Cavaliers, 117-102, as a 4.5-point road favorite. The Bucks are 7-2 ATS their last nine home games against a team with a losing road record. Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks are 9-9 in the Western Conference. The Mavs have been bad to bettors, going 4-13-1 vs the number this year. They have dropped three straight game both S/U and ATS. They have also covered just one time in their last 14 games. Will stick with the home team here today against a very poor covering Mavericks club. Take Milwaukee |
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11-27-22 | Belmont v. Georgia State +2 | 68-66 | Push | 0 | 2 h 4 m | Show | |
The Belmont Bruins are 3-3 S/U and 2-4 ATS so far this season. The Bruins started the season 1-4 but have since won two straight games against George Mason and then last game over Howard, 96-73, as a 7.5-point favorite. The Bruins have not been good to bettors, going 3-13 ATS their last 16 games overall and 1-6 ATS their last seven on the road. The Georgia State Panthers opened the season 2-2 S/U and 0-3 ATS their first four games. They too though have won their last two games, over Texas A&M-Comm and last game over UNC-Asheville, 74-68, as a 1-point road dog. The Panthers are 9-3-1 ATS their last 13 games following a straight-up win. Georgia State is a small home dog here today. I like the Panthers to win this one straight up. |
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11-26-22 | East Carolina +4.5 v. Old Dominion | Top | 50-71 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
The East Carolina Pirates out of the gate with a good 5-1 S/U and ATS start. The Pirate are coming off a win over Texas Arlington, 79-65, as a 6-point favorite. Their most impressive win was a 86-75 win over Toledo as a 12-point underdog. The Old Dominion Monarchs are 3-3 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss to Davidson, 61-66, as a 3.5-point dog. The Pirates offense is hitting well, averaging 79.3 ppg this season. East Carolina is led by Javon Small who averages over 20 ppg on the season. I like the scoring ability of East Carolina, especially as a dog here today. Take East Carolina. |
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11-26-22 | Kent State +19.5 v. Houston | 44-49 | Win | 100 | 3 h 38 m | Show | |
Kent State Golden Flashes off to a 5-1 start this season. They have also covered all five of their spread games. They are coming off al loss to College of Charleston, their first loss of the season, 72-74, as a 2.5-point dog. Their shooting has been very consistent this year, hitting at least 40% from the field in every game. The No 2 ranked Houston Cougars are 5-0 S/U and ATS after winning at Oregon last game, 66-56 as a 6.5-point favorite. Kent State is loaded again this year after a 23-11 campaign last year that saw them lose in the MAC Championship game. Houston lost four players from last year and is still a team that could win it all this season. Houston is great and should do well this year if they stay healthy. However, hard to lay this kind of number to a very good Kent team. I look for Kent to give them much more trouble than the oddsmaker thinks. Play Kent State. |
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11-25-22 | Vermont v. Ball State +4 | 78-73 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 35 m | Show | |
Early action in the Nassau Championship Tournament here today from the Bahamas with Vermont taking on Ball State. The Vermont Catamounts have struggled out of the gate, going 1-5 to start the season with a 2-4 spread record. Vermont coming off a loss at Yale, 44-73 as a 1-point favorite. That makes three straight games that the Catamounts have scored 57 or fewer points. Ball State is 3-1 S/U and 1-1 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Indiana South Bend, 86-72 with no line. The Cardinals have scored at least 71 points in all four games. Vermont has trouble scoring while Ball State can score. Take an early gift with Ball State here on Friday. |
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11-23-22 | Bulls v. Bucks -6 | 118-113 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bulls are 7-10 S/U and 9-8 ATS this season. The Bulls coming off a home win over Boston, 121-107, as a 5.5-point dog. The Bulls hit 51.7% from the field and a season high 48.3% from 3-point stripe. That win snapped a four game s/u and ats losing streak by the Bulls. The Milwaukee Bucks are 12-4 S/U and 10-6 ATS on the season. The Bucks are coming off a win at home over Portland, 119-111, but failed to cover the 9-point favorite line. The Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games vs a team with a losing road record. They are also 7-3 ATS their last 10 overall home games. The Bucks are 6-2 ATS the last eight meetings vs the Bulls. I'll take the Bucks here tonight. |
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11-23-22 | Kent State +2.5 v. College of Charleston | 72-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
The Kent State Golden Flashes look to keep their perfect 5-0 record in tact tonight as they take on College of Charleston. The Flashes are also 4-0 ATS on the year. They are coming off a win over Chicago State, 88-59, as a 20.5-point favorite. College of Charleston Cougars are 5-1 S/U and ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Virginia Tech, 77-75, as a 6-point dog. They have also beat Colorado State and Davidson. Their lone loss coming to North Carolina, 86-102. The Golden Flashes are 17-5-1 ATS thehir last 23 games and 8-2 ATS their last 10 vs a team with a winning record. Both teams look good thus far. I'll take the few points here with the dog. Play Kent State. |
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11-22-22 | Wright State -1.5 v. Cal-Riverside | 65-70 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
The Wright State Raiders are 4-1 S/U and 3-1 ATS to start the season. They are coming off a win last night over Abilene Christian, 77-61, covering the +2.5-point line. Their lone loss coming in their opening game to Davidson, 97-102, just missing the cover at +4-points. UC Riverside Highlanders won their tourney game last night over Weber State, 72-65, as a 3-point favorite. That win makes them 3-2 S/U and 2-2 ATS on the season. They have losses to Colorado and Creighton thus far with wins over Occidental College and Loyola Marymount. Not impressed with the Riverside wins. They haven't done well vs the better teams being blow out by 29 and 16 points. I'm taking Wright State tonight. |
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11-22-22 | Creighton -1 v. Arkansas | Top | 90-87 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
Maui Invitational Second Round action here tonight has Creighton taking on Arkansas. Both teams are undefeated with Creighton at 5-0 and Arkansas at 4-0 on the season. Creighton won their opener in this tourney last night with a 76-65 win over Texas Tech as a 3-point favorite. They hit 55.1% from the field in the win. In fact, their last four wins the team has hit at least 51.4% from the field. They also hit 45% from 3-point line last night, their high on the season. The BlueJays are 3-2 vs the spread thus far. Creighton is now 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games dating back to last year. Moreover, they are 7-0 ATS in their last seven on a neutral court. Arkansas improved to 4-0 with their win over Louisville last night, 80-54 as a 14.5-point favorite. The Razorbacks had a season high 56.9% from the field. The Hogs are 2-1-1 ATS on the season. Great matchup here tonight, but I'm really impressed with the overall shooting of this BlueJays team overall on the season. I'll take Creighton here tonight. |
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11-21-22 | Mississippi State v. Marquette +3.5 | 58-55 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
College hoop tourney action continues tonight with the Beach Division of the Fort Myers Tipoff. Mississippi State is 4-0 both S/U and ATS so far on the season. They are coming off a win on Thursday over South Dakota, 79-42, as a 14.5-point favorite. This will be their first game away from their home court, though not a true road game. The Marquette Golden Eagles are 3-1 S/U and ATS on the season. Their lone loss coming at Purdue, 70-75, as a 7.5-point dog. Their last game was a win over Long Island, 95-58, as a 29-point favorite. This Marquette team is 36th in the nation in scoring and tonight the Bulldogs will find it difficult to slow them down. Add to that the Bulldogs issues from 3-point arc and this looks to me like a game Marquette should take. This is the best offense that Miss State has faced and will be a big test for them here tonight. Take Marquette. |
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11-21-22 | Heat v. Wolves -8.5 | 101-105 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
The Miami Heat are 7-10 S/U and 4-12-1 ATS on the season. They are on the fourth game of a four game road trip. They have also been without star player Jimmy Butler and he looks to be out the remainder of this road trip. Also missing is Tyler Herro (ankle) who has miss six straight. The Heat were down to seven players over the weekend. Meanwhile, Minnesota goes for four straight wins here tonight. They have covered two of those, but came up a half point short in their last game, a win over the Sixers, 112-109, as a 3.5-point favorite. Not only are the Heat playing shorthanded, but they have to play the second of a back-to-back spot here on the road. Those spots are hard enough with a healthy bench, let alone a injury depleted one. It will be a while before I can play on Miami. Take Minnesota. |
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11-20-22 | Pistons v. Kings -9 | 129-137 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 39 m | Show | |
The Detroit Pistons are 3-14 S/U and 7-8-2 ATS on the season. Detroit on the third game of their six game road trip as they play at Sacramento today. The Pistons coming off a loss at the Lakers on Friday, 121-128, pushing the +7-line. That makes six straight losses and a 3-4-1 ATS mark their last eight. The Pistons are 2-7-1 ATS their last 10 road games. The Sacramento Kings are 8-6 S/U and 11-3 ATS this season. The Kings have covered six straight games and are 5-1 S/U during that span. They are coming off a home win over the Spurs, 130-112, as a 7.5-point favorite. The Kings are playing very well and I look for them to extend their win and cover string here today. Play Sacramento. |
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11-20-22 | VCU +10.5 v. Memphis | 47-62 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
VCU is 3-1 S/U and 0-3-1 ATS so far this season after a win over Pittsburgh last Thursday, 71-67, pushing the 4-point favorite line. Their one loss coming at home to Arizona State, 59-63, as a 4-point favorite. Today is their first time in the dog role at Memphis. The Memphis Tigers are 1-1, beating Vandy in their opening game, 76-67 and the losing last time out at St Louis, 84-90, as a 3-point dog. Memphis shot only 40% in their loss after hitting over 50% in their win. The Tigers play their first game at home here today. Both these teams excel on defense and both have played some good competition. Not sure Memphis should be a double-digit favorite here today. My numbers have them considerably less. VCU has not covered but they also haven't been a dog either. I'll take the VCU Rams here plus these generous point. |
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11-19-22 | San Jose State +5.5 v. Northern Colorado | 80-69 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
The San Jose State Spartans hit the road today to take on Northern Colorado. The Spartans are 3-1 to start the season, losing their first game last time out at home to Hofstra, 76-85, as a 2.5-point dog. The Spartans led this game by 10-points at half but couldn't hold on in the 2nd half. Northern Colorado Bears are 1-2 and coming off a road loss to Baylor, 62-95, failing to cover the generous 28-point dog line. They are 0-3 vs the number thus far after failing to cover vs Houston and Texas A&M-Commerce. They lost to Houston in their opener 36-83. Spartans could easily be 4-0 if they didn't go to sleep in the 2nd half of the game against a very good Hofstra team. The Bears just too erratic thus far with some huge losses. I'll take San Jose State today. |
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11-19-22 | Maryland +3.5 v. St. Louis | 95-67 | Win | 100 | 3 h 42 m | Show | |
Hall of Fame basketball Tip Off Tourney heads into their Semi-Finals today and the early matchup has Maryland taking on St Louis. The St Louis Billikins are 3-0 to start the season after their win over Memphis, 90-84. Same goes for the Maryland Terps, a perfect 3-0 heading into today's contest. Maryland's wins not as impressive with victories over Niagara, Western Carolina and then last game over Binghamton, 76-52. Though they have covered all three games. Billikin wins have been a bit more impressive with an opening win over Murray State, 91-68, Evansville, 83-65 and then last game over Memphis as a 3-point favorite. They are 2-1 ATS in their three games. One big advantage for the Terps today will be in height and that should help them on the defensive boards where they have struggled thus far. St Louis has lost five straight to the Big 10, yet here they are a favorite today. Maryland is 8-3 ATS their last 11 games and I'll take a Big 10 team here on Saturday getting points. Play Maryland. |
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11-18-22 | Hornets v. Cavs -9 | 122-132 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
The Charlotte Hornets just 4-12 so far this season. They are coming off a loss to Indiana, 113-125. That makes 1-8 S/U and 2-7 ATS their last nine games. The Cleveland Cavaliers are 8-6 S/U and ATS on the year. They have played six of their last seven games on the road before returning home here tonight. They have lost five straight games both S/U and ATS after starting the season 8-1. The Cavs are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 Friday games and 6-1 in their last seven home games. The Cavs have been in a funk of late, but home cooking looks to be the fix for that. Play Cleveland. |
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11-18-22 | Massachusetts v. Murray State +2 | 71-69 | Push | 0 | 2 h 51 m | Show | |
Myrtle Beach Invitational from Conway, SC has second round action here early on Friday as Murray State takes on U Mass. U Mass Minutemen beat Colorado last night in this tourney, 66-63, covering the 5.5-point dog line. That makes U Mass, 2-1 both S/U and ATS on the season. In their lone loss at home to Towson, 55-67, they shot just 34.5% from the field and 21.4% from 3-point arc. They held Colorado to just 34.2% last night in their win. Murray State Racers are 2-1 S/U and 1-1 ATS after beating Texas A&M last night, 88-79 as a 13-point dog. This was by far their best effort of the season as they shot 50% from the field and hit 45.5% of their three-point shots. U Mass a small favorite here today, but my own numbers show that Murray should be the small favorite. I'll take the points. Play Murray State. |
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11-17-22 | Towson -1 v. NC-Greensboro | 56-53 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
Towson State Tigers look to keep their perfect record in tact as they hit the road to play at NC Greensboro. The Tigers are 3-0 S/U and 2-1 ATS on the season after beating Penn in their last game, 80-74, as a 3-point favorite. They have played two road games and won and covered both, outscoring the home teams by a 73.5 to 64.5 ppg average. The Greensboro Spartans are 1-1 S/U and 0-1 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss at Miami, 65-79, as a 10-point dog. Their win coming at home over J&W Charlotte, 93-60. Towson has been a very good road team, going 15-4 ATS their last 19 away games. The Spartans are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games and 0-6 ATS their last six overall. Towson looks the better team here tonight. Play Towson. |
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11-17-22 | Boise State v. Charlotte +5.5 | 42-54 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
Myrtle Beach Invitational first round here tonight from Conway, SC has Boise State taking on NC Charlotte. Boise State is 1-1 this season after winning their last game over Washington State, 71-61, as a 2-point dog. The NC Charlotte 49ers are coming of a win over Maryland Eastern Shore, 80-47, as a 12.5-point favorite. Boise State opened with a loss to South Dakota State. The 49ers look to remain perfect tonight. They have averaged 81 points through two games and hit 56.9% of their field goals and 40% from three point arc. I don't like the way the Broncos have struggled offensively through two games. Meanwhile the 49ers have been hot. It's early but I like the way Charlotte has played. Take Charlotte. |
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11-16-22 | Knicks v. Nuggets -3.5 | 106-103 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
The Knicks played last night in Utah and despite trailing by double digits at one point they rallied to win the game 118-111, as a 4.5-point dog. Now they come right back tonight and hit another high altitude city as they play at Denver. The Knicks are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 overall games. They are also 0-5 ATS their last five games following a straight up win. The Knicks are 7th in the East with a 7-7 record and -1.5 point differential. The Nuggets are 2nd in the West with a 9-4 record and are 4-0 at home. The Nuggets rebounded from their loss at Boston on Friday with a win on Sunday at Chicago, ending their road stint at 3-1 S/U and 1-3 ATS. Now they return home where they have yet to lose and are 3-1 vs the spread with a _14.3 point differential. The Nuggets have covered the last four in this series and six of the last eight in Denver. I give it to the Knicks for winning at Utah last night, but can't see them taking down two of the best teams in West in back-to-back games. Play Denver. |
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11-16-22 | Missouri State +10 v. BYU | 64-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
The Missouri State Bears visit Provo, Utah tonight to take on the BYU Cougars. The Bears are 1-0 while BYU is 1-1. These teams played each other last year in Missouri State with BYU winning that game, 74-68 as a 1.5-point favorite. Mo State beat Missouri Science Tech last week, 82-47. Can't take a lot away from that game though against such an inferior opponent. This early in the season offensive and defensive stats mean little against the teams they are playing. Byu beat Idaho State, 60-56, but didn't come close to the 23.5-favorite line. Then last time out the Cougars lost at No 17 San Diego State, 82-75, this time as a 11-point dog. Missouri State getting almost 10 points here tonight. Considering the BYU outcome against Idaho State, this Mo State team should do better. I'll take the points early in the season. Play Missouri State. |
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11-16-22 | SE Missouri State +2 v. Evansville | 67-61 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
SE Missouri State Redhawks are 2-0 as they hit the road tonight to play at Evansville. The Hawks opened their season with a win over South Florida, 64-61, as a 11-point dog. Then came back last game against Lyon and won easily, 83-46 with no line on the game. The Evansville Aces are 1-1 on the season, beating Miami Ohio in their opener, 78-74 as a 6-point dog and then lost at St Louis last game, 65-83 as a 23.5 point dog. SE Mo looks the better team early in the season, playing well on both ends of the court. They allow just 53 ppg thus far and their defense should have little issues today with this Evansville team. Looks to me the Redhawks should have been favored in this one, but that's ok, I'll take the small points with the visitors. |
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11-16-22 | Iowa +1.5 v. Seton Hall | 83-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
Iowa Hawkeyes (2-0) hit the road today to Newark, NJ to take on the 2-0 Seton Hall Pirates. Iowa coming off an easy win over NC A&T, 112-71. Seton Hall coming into tonight after beating St Peter's, 8-44. Iowa also beat Bethune Cookman to start the season, 89-58. The Hawkeyes covering both spreads as 20+ favorites. Seton Hall beat Monmouth in their opener, 79-52, also covering both games thus far. Tonight will be the first good test for both clubs. Both teams put up excellent numbers against poor opposition. Iowa is 8-2 ATS their last 10 games while Seton Hall is 3-10 ATS their last 13 home games. I'll take the Big 10 team here today. Play Iowa. |
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11-15-22 | Knicks v. Jazz -4 | Top | 118-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
The NY Knicks are 10th in the NBA in the East with a 6-7 record. They have a -2.1 point differential and are coming off a loss to OK City, 135-145. The Knicks led that game by double digits in the first half but couldn't contain the Thunder offense. The start a five game road swing tonight at Utah. It's always difficult to play in Utah at the altitude. The Knicks are now 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games and 2-5-1 ATS their last eight after 1 day rest. The Utah Jazz are 3rd in the West with a 10-5 record and have a +4.2 point differential. The Jazz look to snap a two-game losing skid here tonight. Utah won the opener of their three game road trip at Atlanta, but then lost to Washington and last game at Philly, 98-105. Until these last two losses, the Jazz had covered seven straight games. The Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. Utah is 25-9 ATS in their last 34 vs the Knicks and 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings in Utah. Take the Jazz tonight. |
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11-15-22 | Marquette +8.5 v. Purdue | 70-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Two very good teams meet in a marquee matchup here tonight as 2-0 Purdue hosts 2-0 Marquette. It's the Big 10 vs the Big East. Marquette opened with win over Radford, 76-69 and then beat Central Michigan, 97-73. They failed to cover vs Radford but did get the cover against Central Michigan as a 18-point favorite. Purdue opened with an easy win over Wisc Milwaukee, 85-53 and then beat Austin Peay, 63-44, as a 25-point favorite. Purdue is 3-7-1 ATS their last 11 games at home and 3-10-2 ATS their last 15 games overall. Marquette will try to push the pace in this game while Purdue looks for a half court game. Both teams haven't played anyone of consequence yet. I'm going to take the points in this one. Play Marquette. |
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11-14-22 | Raptors v. Pistons +5.5 | 115-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference clash here tonight has the Toronto Raptors taking on the Detroit Pistons. The Raptors are in 6th place in the East with a 7-7 record. They have a +2.3 point differential this season. The Raptors are on a road trip and have dropped the first two games of this trip to Oklahoma City, 113-132 and last game at Indiana, 104-118. They look to get back in the win column tonight against the worst team in the East, Detroit. The Pistons are just 3-11 on the season and have the worst point differential at -10.0 ppg. The Pistons have lost their last three games and are 1-4-1 ATS their last five games. They are coming off a loss at home to Boston, 108-117, failing to cover the 8-point dog line. The Raptors have not been good to bettors, going 0-4 ATS their last four games and 3-7 ATS their last 10 games following an ATS loss. Detroit is 4-1 ATS their last five games at home vs a team with a losing road record. The Pistons have also covered the last six games in this series and are 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings in Detroit. I'll take a shot here with the points at home on the Pistons and hope the Raptors continue their poor road play. Take Detroit. |
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11-13-22 | Youngstown State +10.5 v. Notre Dame | 81-88 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
Youngstown looking to improve to three wins here today at Notre Dame. The Penquins have wins over Canisius and UT Martin. Not exactly in the same class as today's opponent. Notre Dame Irish had to come from behind in a shaky first start vs Radford, winning 79-76 but failing to cover the 18-point favorite line. This is a very experienced Youngstown team and are shooting a very good 47% from the field this year. Still yet to be seen if this Notre Dame team will get better on defense. We know they have the power on offense, but they will need to cover some big spreads. Once again they are laying double digits today. This should be a very good contest today and I believe Youngstown gives the Irish all they can handle. Take the points with Youngstown St. |
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11-13-22 | Towson -3.5 v. Pennsylvania | 80-74 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
The Towson Tigers off to a 2-0 start to this season will be looking for their second road win here today at Penn. The Penn Quakers are still looking for that first win after dropping their first two games. Towson is coming off a win over U Mass, 67-55 as a 3.5-point dog. Penn is coming off a loss to Missouri, 85-92 as a 12-point dog. Towson has been good defensively thus far, allowing an average of just 58.5 ppg. Penn has averaged just 67.5 ppg, though struggling on defense as they have allowed 85 ppg. The offensive struggling Quakers will play right into the defensive minded Towson Tigers today. Defense makes the difference in this one. Play Towson. |
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11-13-22 | Oklahoma State v. Oakland +8.5 | 91-62 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
Non conference battle here as the Big 12's Oklahoma State travels to Michigan to take on Horizon League's Oakland U. Ok State couldn't quite get there in in their last game at home, losing to Southern Illinois, 60-61. Oakland also coming off a loss at home to Bowling Green, 82-87. Oklahoma State struggled against a mid-major team on their home court and that loss dropped them to 1-1 on the season. The Cowboys only averaging 68.5 ppg thus far. Oakland Golden Grizzlies look to upset the Cowboys for the second straight season. The Grizzlies also dropped to 1-1 after that recent home loss. The Grizzlies are scoring though, averaging 87 ppg thus far. They are also playing well on defense, allowing just 57 ppg. Both teams looking to this game to get them back on track. For me, Oakland getting generous points at home and is able to put points on the board. Play Oakland. |
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11-13-22 | Pacific v. North Dakota State -5.5 | 91-86 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 22 m | Show | |
The Pacific Tigers are just 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 road games and 6-22-1 ATS in their last 29 overall games. Pacific looks to get into the win column after losing their opening game to Stanford, 78-88. ND State Bison also looking to rebound from an opening loss to Kansas, 59-82. ND State is 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games. Both teams struggled early though the Bison played a very good Kansas team. Have to go against Pacific here as they just are not a good road team. PLay North Dakota State. |
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11-13-22 | Thunder v. Knicks -4.5 | 145-135 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 5 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City Thunder are 5-7 on the season and snapped a four-game S/U and ATS losing streak last time out with a win at home over Toronto, 132-113. The Thunder are 1-4 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the road this season and getting outscored 107.8-113.6 thus far. The Knicks look to get above the .500 mark today as they sit at 6-6 overall. The Knicks are coming off a home win over the Pistons, 121-112, pushing the 9-point favorite line. They are 3-2 S/U and 1-2-1 ATS in their last five games. The Knicks are 4-2 S/U and 2-3-1 ATS at home and out scoring opponents 119-116 thus far on their home court. This is the first game of a four game road swing for OKC. I will take the Knicks at home here in this early Sunday start. Always tougher for the West/Mid West teams to make the East coast trip, especially starting at this early time. Play New York. |
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11-12-22 | Rockets v. Pelicans -10.5 | 106-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
A pair of Western conference teams face off today as the Houston Rockets play at New Orleans to face the Pelicans. The Rockets are dead last in the West with a 2-10 record and the worst point differential in the West with a -7.5 ppg. Rockets coming off a loss at Toronto, 109-116, though they covered the +10 dog line. The Rockets are just 1-5 ATS in their last six trips to New Orleans. The Pelicans are 6-6 and in 8th in the West. They have a +2.7 point differential. The Pelicans are coming off a loss at Portland, 95-106, as a 9-point favorite. New Orleans is 10-4 ATS their last 14 times they are coming off a straight-up loss. This should be a good spot for the Pelicans tonight against a poor Houston club. Take New Orleans. |
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11-12-22 | Arkansas State +19.5 v. LSU | 52-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
Both teams looking for their second wins of the young season after opening with wins. Arkansas State Red Wolves are coming off a dominating win over Harding, 86-55. Ark State dominated both ends of the court as they cruised to the easy win. LSU is coming off a win over Kansas City, 74-63 and was much closer then expected. Not convinced the Tigers are all that great at this juncture of the season as they struggled vs a team they should have dominated. I'll take Arkansas State plus the generous points today. |
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11-12-22 | Ball State +7.5 v. Indiana State | 71-83 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
Non-Conference battle here has the MAC and MVC bash heads. Ball State takes to the road to face Larry Bird's Alma Mater at Indiana State. The Ball State Cardinals opened with a win over Earlham College, DIV 3 foe, 109-39. Indiana State also had an easy time against Green Bay, 80-53. I look at these early contests when we are waiting to see how the talent pans out further down the season. I like that Ball State had an easy time while Indiana State had to struggle a bit more. The Confidence in Ball State should be the difference here today. Take Ball State. |
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11-11-22 | Bucks v. Spurs -1.5 | 93-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
It's going to be a tough night for the Bucks as they will be short some of their star players. Forward Giannis Antetokounmpo is out with a knee issue, Khris Middleton is out with a wrist injury and point guard Jrue Holiday is also out with an ankle injury. Holiday averages 19.6 ppg and Gio averages almost 32 ppg. That's a lot of points to makeup on the rest of the team. Milwaukee has lost just one game and that was on Monday to Atlanta, 998-117. They are coming off an OT win at OKC, 136-132. The Spurs are 5-7 on the season and look to snap a five game losing streak here tonight, after a 5-2 start to the season. Spurs laying 2-points here tonight. I'll take them with all that firepower missing for the Bucks. Play San Antonio. |
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11-11-22 | Villanova -5.5 v. Temple | 64-68 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
Local battle among rivals here as a couple of Philadelphia teams battle tonight with Temple taking on Villanova. No 16 Villanova is coing off a win over LaSalle, 81-68. Meanwhile Temple dropped their opener to Wagner, 76-73. Villanova has handled Temple with seven straight wins dating back to 2014, though their last meeting was in 2020 when Villanova won, 76-56. Kyle Neptune is the new coach at Villanova and looks to get some early wins for the team. Temple looked good in the first half of their game vs Wagner, but came out of the half flat and lost the second half and the game. This is not good as they now play one of the better teams in the country in Villanova. The Cats have a great starting five and have all the edges in this game including speed and talent to blowout their intra-city rivals. Take Villanova. |
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11-10-22 | Mavs -3 v. Wizards | 105-113 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
Dallas Mavericks are in 6th place in the West with a 6-4 record and are coming off a loss at Orlando, 87-94 as a 8.5-point favorite. The Mavs are 0-5-1 ATS their last six games. The Mavs are 5-1 at home but just 1-3 on the road with a -1.8 point differential. The Mavericks are just 3-8 ATS their last 11 road games. The Washington Wizards will remain without Bradley Beal here tonight as the star guard is in quarantine. The Wizards are in 8th place in the East with a 5-6 record and are 2-3 at home. The Wizards are coming off a win at Charlotte, 108-100 on Monday and have had a pair of days off now. The Wizards have covered six of the last seven in this series, but the Mavs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 trips to Washington. I'm taking Dallas here today as Beal continues to miss time for the Wizards. |
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11-09-22 | Cavs -4.5 v. Kings | 120-127 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Cavaliers are in 2nd in the Eastern Conference with a 8-2 record. The Cavs also have the best point differential in the NBA at +10.9 points. The Cavs had their eight game win streak snapped last time out at the Clippers, 117-119, also failing to cover the spread for the first time in their last eieght games. Sacramento is in 13th place in the Western Conference with their 3-6 record. The Kings are coming off a loss at Golden State, 113-116, though they did cover the 8-point dog line. The Kings return home from their four game road trip tonight. They don't usually do well in their first game back home after being away for 7 days or more, going 4-9 ATS the last 13 times. I like the way the Cavs are playing right now and will lay the points with them here tonight. Play Cleveland. |
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11-09-22 | Pelicans v. Bulls +2 | 115-111 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Pelicans are 5-5 and looking to get ablove .500 here tonight at Chicago. The have a +3.9 point differential and have lost two games in a row. The Pelicans have lost the first two games on this road trip at Atlanta, 121-124 and then last game at Indiana, 122-129. They have also dropped four straight vs the line. Chicago is 6th in the East with a 6-6 record and have are coming off a win at home vs Toronto, 111-97. The Pelicans are just 1-4 ATS in their last five road games and 1-6 ATS their last seven on the road vs a team with a winning home record. The Bulls are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 home games vs a team with a losing road record. Thee Bulls a small home dog here tonight and for me they are the better team right now. Your free play is on the Bulls. |
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11-08-22 | Rider +13 v. Providence | 65-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
High hopes for both teams after very successful campaigns in 2021-22. Rider returns their top player in Dwight Murry Jr and Allen Powell. They also had several transfers come over to bolster the team. Providence went 27-6 last year and won it's first-ever Big East Regular Season title before making a run in the NCAA tournament to the Sweet 16. Providence will have to rebuild after that excellent season last year. The Friars lost all five starters. Returning experience makes a big difference early in the season and that favors Rider here today. With Providence losing all their starters from last year it might take them a bit to get this team going again. Play Rider. |
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11-07-22 | Suns -2 v. 76ers | 88-100 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
The Phoenix Suns are off to a good start this season at 7-2 S/U and 6-3 ATS. The Suns rebounded from their loss at home to Portland on Friday with a beating of the Blazers on Saturday, 102-82 to cover the 11.5 point line. The Suns might be the deepest team in the NBA as all 12 players scored in their win. The Suns will be without Cameron Johnson who tore his meniscus and will be out indefinitely. Johnson was a finalist for the 6th man award last season. The Philadelphia 76ers have struggled to a 4-6 S/U and ATS mark this year, mainly due to injuries. Their best player, Joel Embiid, has been sideline with a non-covid illness for three games and is close to returning. James Harden is out another month with a tendon issue in his foot. Embiid though is the key to the Sixers winning and right now he's about 50/50 to return, though he struggled in their last practice according to HC Doc Rivers. Rivers is thinking long term and doesn't want to rush Embiid back if it hurts him more. That puts a lot of pressure on the other players to pick up the slack. I look for the Suns to continue their winning ways here on Monday, especially with the Sixers hurting the way they are. Play Phoenix. |
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11-07-22 | Ohio +6.5 v. Belmont | 69-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
This will be the second straight season these teams start the season against each other. Last year this was a high scoring game as the Ohio Bobcats came away with a 92-80 home win. Now the venue moves to Nashville. Nine new players will grace the Ohio roster this season. Returning will be Miles Brown and Ben Roderick from last year and a lot will be expected of them. To get his young team ready for the season HC Boals had his team to Spain for a three-game set so he could get the freshmen playing time. They lost all three games, but the minutes of experience could be invaluable early in the season. Meanwhile, Belmont moves to the toucher MVC this season and that will be a big challenge for them. Only one starter returns for this Belmont squad. Moreover, depth will be an issue for the Bruins. Both teams in rebuilding mode this year, but for me I'll take the points with Ohio. |
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11-07-22 | Mt. St. Mary's v. West Virginia UNDER 130.5 | 58-76 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
Mount St Mary's finished last year with a 14-16 record and now open at West Virginia for this season. They only hit 44.3% from the field and were 302nd in the nation in scoring. The defense was good, allowing 65.3 ppg (57th in nation). West Virginia coming off a losing campaign last year, going 16-17. The offense was 314th in the nation and the defense was 173rd in the nation. The Mountaineers are 3-12-1 Ov/Un in their last 16 overall games. I look for the defenses to be better early in the season than the offense and I'm taking UNDER here tonight. |
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11-07-22 | South Dakota State +4 v. Akron | 80-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
Akron opening their season at home here tonight. The Zips finished 24-10 last year and 14-6 in the MAC. They lost two big players from that squad, Ali who avg 13.9 ppg and Bryan Trimbles who avg 10.4 ppg. The Zips won the 2022 MAC Tournament last year under 6th year HC John Groce. Akron is 3rd in the preseason MAC Poll. South Dakota coming off a great season that saw the team win 30 games and 21 games in a row. The JackRabbits lost in the NCAA Tournament to Providence in the first round. Both teams had excellent seasons in 2022 but SDK State looks pretty good getting points in this spot. Take South Dakota State. |
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11-06-22 | Wizards v. Grizzlies -10 | Top | 97-103 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 36 m | Show |
The Washington Wizards hit the road today for a game at Memphis. It's an East vs West contest in the NBA and like usual, the West is just the way better conference. That is panning out again this year. The Wizards are 4-5 S/U and 3-6 ATS on the season. They are coming off a brutal beating in Brooklyn, 86-128 as a 3-point favorite. That makes them just 1-4 S/U and ATS their last five games. The Wizards don't have much magic on the road either where they are 5-11 ATS their last 16. They are also 6-18 ATS in their last 24 road games vs a team with a winning home record. The Memphis Grizzlies are 6-3 S/U and 3-4-2 ATS on the season. Memphis is 3-0 S/U and 2-1 ATS at home with a point differential of 14.7 ppg as they score an average of 126. 3 points on their home court. It pans out then that the Griz are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 home games. Memphis is 17-5-1 ATS their last 23 meetings at home vs the Wizards and 5-1 ATS their last six overall. I look for a Memphis blowout here today. Play Memphis. |
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11-05-22 | Thunder v. Bucks -7.5 | 94-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Bucks are the only undefeated team in the NBA left at 8-0 after they easily cruised to another win on Friday over the Minnesota T'Wolves, 115-102. The Bucks have the best point differential in the East at +11.3 and 2nd in the NBA. Milwaukee is coming off a back-to-back set vs the Pistons where they won both but only covered Wednesday's contest, 116-91. The Bucks have covered seven of their eight games this year and are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games. The Bucks will be without Khris Middleton tonight who will sit out with a wrist injury. The OKC Thunder are 4-4 on the season after losing at home on Thursday to Denver, 110-122 as a 6.5-point dog. That snapped a four game s/u and ATS win streak by the Thunder after they started the season 0-3. The Thunder are 1-2 S/U and 3-0 ATS on the road with just a 2-point differential. The Thunder have played well, but I'm sticking with the Bucks who should be 9-0 after this game tonight. Play Milwaukee. |
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11-04-22 | Bucks -3.5 v. Wolves | 115-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Bucks are the only undefeated team in the NBA left at 7-0 and sitting atop the Eastern Conference. The Bucks have the best point differential in the East at +11.3 and 2nd in the NBA. Milwaukee is coming off a back-to-back set vs the Pistons where they won both but only covered Wednesday's contest, 116-91. The Bucks have covered six of their seven games this year and are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games. The Bucks will be without Khris Middleton tonight who will sit out with a wrist injury. They will have Giannis A though who has nursed a knee injury. The Minnesota Timberwolves are 4-4 on the season and have lost two straight games. They are coming off losses at home to the Spurs, 98-107 and then last time out at Phoenix, 107-116. The Wolves are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games and 3-7 ATS their last 10 games coming off a ATS loss. The Wolves also battling injuries. Center Rudy Gobert (Illness) and guard Anthony Edwards (Illness) are both questionable tonight. I'm going to stick with the Bucks until they prove me otherwise. Take Milwaukee |
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11-02-22 | Jazz v. Mavs -5.5 | Top | 100-103 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
The Utah Jazz are in 3rd place in the Western Conference with a 6-2 mark and have won two straight games. The Jazz are coming off back-to-back wins over Memphis at home, 121-105 and 124-123, covering both games. Now they hit the road again where they are 2-2 both S/U and ATS and have allowed 119.5 ppg this season. The Dallas Mavericks are 3-3 so far and coming off a win at home over Orlando, 114-105, pushing the number. The Mavs remain at home where they are 2-1 S/U and 1-1-1 ATS. The Mavs have averaged 120.7 ppg at home while allowing 106.0 point. Even though Utah has the better record, they are just +3.9 point differential this year compared to the Mavs +7.3 point differential. The Jazz have not been kind to bettors on the road, going 8-22-1 ATS their last 31 away games. They are also 4-12 AT in their last 16 games coming off 1-day rest. The Mavs have been good at home, going 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 home games. The Mavs are 10-1 ATS the last 11 in this series and 5-1 ATS the last six at Dallas. I'll be on the Mavericks here tonight. |
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11-01-22 | Wolves v. Suns -5 | Top | 107-116 | Win | 100 | 20 h 3 m | Show |
The Minnesota T'Wolves in 6th in the West with their 4-3 record. The Wolves coming off a loss at the Spurs, 98-107 as a 6-point favorite. The Wolves only have played twice on the road and are 1-1 both S/U and ATS. The Phoenix Suns are tied for 1st in the West with a 5-1 record. They also have the highest point differential at +12.4 points. The Suns have won and covered four straight games including their last game vs Houston, 124-109. The Suns are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games. They have also gone 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings with the T'Wolves and 9-4 ATS the last 13 meetings in Phoenix. Take the Suns here on Tuesday. |
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10-31-22 | Pistons v. Bucks -12.5 | 108-110 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 26 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Bucks are the only undefeated team in the NBA right now with a 5-0 record. They host Detroit in a home back-to-back series and I fully expect them to be 7-0 after this series. The Bucks have a +10.4 point differential. The Detroit Pistons are 2-5 on the season and coming off a win at home over the Golden State Warriors on Sunday, 128-114. The Pistons have to turnaround and play again here on Monday. The Pistons are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games. The Bucks had Sunday off after beating the Hawks on Saturday, 123-115, covering the 5.5-point line. The Bucks have covered all five games this season. They have also average 119.3 ppg at home this season. Milwaukee has owned the Pistons, going 14-3-1 ATS their last 18 meetings and 7-2-1 ATS their last 10 meetings in Milwaukee. Look for a Bucks blowout here on Monday. |
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10-30-22 | Knicks v. Cavs -4.5 | 108-121 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Cavaliers sit in 2nd place in the Eastern Conference with a 4-1 record and the best point differential thus far in the East and tied in the overall NBA with +11.8 points. The Cavs started the season with a loss at Toronto, 105-108, but have won four straight games including last game at Boston, 132-123. The Cavs have also covered their last four games. The Knicks are 3-2 both S/U and ATS on the season. They lost last time out at Milwaukee, 108-119 as a 6-point dog. I like the Cavs here at home laying the points. |
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10-29-22 | Hawks v. Bucks -4.5 | 115-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Bucks lead the early standings in the NBA East with a 4-0 record and with Atlanta right on their heels at 4-1. Both teams play yesterday and both teams coming off wins. Atlanta played last night in Detroit, beating the Pistons 136-112, as a 6-point road favorite. Their only loss thus far coming at home vs Charlotte, 109-126. The Milwaukee Bucks are 4-0 after their win last night at home over the Knicks, 119-108 as a 6-point favorite. They have covered all four games this year. The defense has yet to allow more than 109 points and two opponents have been held under 100 points. The Hawks are now just 8-18 ATS in their last 26 road games and 6-23 ATS in their last 29 games on the road vs a team with a winning home record. The Bucks have covered four of the last five meetings with the Hawks in Milwaukee. I look for another Bucks win and cover here tonight. |
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10-28-22 | Lakers v. Wolves -8.5 | 102-111 | Win | 100 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
The LA Lakers looking for that first win of the season are now 0-4 S/U and ATS. As if things weren't in enough disarray, now they could be without star forward Anthony Davis who is questionable with a back injury. They played their last game without guard Russell Westbrook who has a hamstring issue. Not that Westbrook has contributed much, with just 10 point average in the three games this season. He's hitting 28.9% from the field and 8.3% from three point arc. Westbrook didn't work too well last year either and some are calling for his trade to get someone who can help Lebron get this team back on track. Minnesota is 3-2 S/U and 2-3 ATS so far this season. They are coming off a back-to-back series with the Spurs in which they lost the first game, 106-115, but won the last game on Wednesday, 134-122. The Lakers are so lost right now with injuries, looking to maybe get rid of Westbrook and now they head to The Midwest to take on the Wolves. I'm going to go against the Lakers until they show me some team play. |
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10-27-22 | Clippers -7.5 v. Thunder | Top | 110-118 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 4 m | Show |
These teams play the 2nd of a back-to-back set here on Thursday as the Clippers lost at OKC a few days ago, 94-108. The loss dropped the Clips to 2-2 on the season and got the Thunder their first win, 1-3. LA played without some starts as Kwahi Leonard, Paul George and Marcus Morris (all starters) missed the game. But the defense really shut down OKC, holding the Thunder to just 38% from the field and 13% from three-point arc. It was turnovers and defensive rebounding that killed the Clippers though with 18 give aways and 13 fewer rebounds, especially on the defensive boards where they gave the Thunder 21 offensive boards or 2nd tries. Leonard is out again here tonight, but Paul and Morris are both questionable and likely will try to make it on the floor Thursday. The Thunder are not that good and I don't expect the Clippers to lose two in a row here tonight. They just need to shore up the turnovers and boards and even without Leonard they should pull out the win here tonight. Play the Clippers. |
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10-26-22 | Lakers v. Nuggets -5.5 | Top | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
The season is just a few games old and the Lakers are already panicking after starting the season 0-3. They are already considering trades that can help bolster LeBron James and cast to at least be competitive. The Lakers opened the season with a loss at Golden State, 109-123, then lost to the Clippers, 97-103 and then again dropped their last game at home to the Trailblazers, 104-106. The Lakers might be without guard Russell Westbrook who is nursing a hamstring injury. Not that he's contributed much as it is, with just 10 point average in the three games this season. He's hitting 28.9% from the field and 8.3% from three point arc. Westbrook didn't work too well last year either and some are calling for his trade to get someone who can help Lebron get this team back on track. Meanwhile, Denver is 2-2 after four games played, coming off a loss to the Blazers, 110-135. The Lakers have had a couple days off, but they are just 4-12 ATS in their last 16 when having two days off. Denver is 3-1-1 ATS the last five vs the Lakers and until this Westbrook situation is cleared up, I believe the Lakers will continue to struggle. Play Denver tonight. |
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10-25-22 | Pistons v. Wizards -5.5 | Top | 99-120 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
NBA Season just underway and the Detroit Pistons are 1-2 after three games. The Pistons opened with a win over the Washington Magic, 113-109, but have lost two straight games. The Washington Wizards are 2-1 after three games. Washington won its first two games but lost its last game at Cleveland in OT, 107-117. Bradley Beal leads the team with 23 ppg average. Center Kristaps Prozingis is averaging eight rebounds and 1.7 blocks per game. Still early in the season but I like the talent on this Wizards team more than the Pistons. I'll lay the points at home tonight with Washington. |
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10-21-22 | Pelicans -6.5 v. Hornets | 124-112 | Win | 100 | 4 h 19 m | Show | |
The good news for New Orleans is that they will have Zion Williamson in the lineup. He dominated in his Pelicans return last Wednesday night. He had 25 points, nine rebounds and four steels in their 130-108 win over the Nets. The Hornets will be without forward Miles Bridges and point guard LeMelo Bell. Charlotte also looked good in their opener, beating the Spurs in San Antonio, 128-102. The Pelicans are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 road games. They are also 6-0 ATS in their last six trips to Charlotte and 23-11-1 ATS overall their last 35 meetings with the Hornets. With WIlliamson back, I'll take the Pelicans tonight. |
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10-18-22 | Lakers v. Warriors -6.5 | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Opening night of the NBA season and we get a good one to start with the LA Lakers heading North to take on the Golden State Warriors. Golden State begins defense of their NBA Championship from last year. The season hasn't started and it's back to the same old issues for the Lakers, injuries. The Lakers will be hurting at guard with both Russell Westbrook and Dennis Schroder uncertain about playing. The Warriors will get their Championship rings before the game so the place will be rocking. I'm going to take the Warriors with questions still lingering on the Lakers side. Play Golden State. |
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06-16-22 | Warriors v. Celtics -160 | 103-90 | Loss | -160 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
The Boston Celtics went into Game 5 saying that they weren't going to let Steph Curry beat them like he had in previous games. They did just that, keeping Curry under check and keeping Curry from hitting a 3-point shot for the first time in is playoff career. However, Wiggins went off on the Celtics and so did Thompson as other stepped in to lead Golden State to the win and cover in game 5. Tonight, the venue moves back to Boston as the Warriors can win the NBA Championship on the road here tonight. I have hit my last four NBA playoff selections including my last two NBA Totals. Tonight, I see another physical, low scoring game. The more I look at this game tonight the more I expect the Celtics to pull this one out and force a game seven. I'll take the Celtics on the Money Line. |
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06-16-22 | Warriors v. Celtics UNDER 210.5 | Top | 103-90 | Win | 100 | 57 h 29 m | Show |
The Boston Celtics went into Game 5 saying that they weren't going to let Steph Curry beat them like he had in previous games. They did just that, keeping Curry under check and keeping Curry from hitting a 3-point shot for the first time in is playoff career. However, Wiggins went off on the Celtics and so did Thompson as other stepped in to lead Golden State to the win and cover in game 5. Tonight, the venue moves back to Boston as the Warriors can win the NBA Championship on the road here tonight. I have hit my last four NBA playoff selections including my last two NBA Totals. Tonight, I see another physical, low scoring game. I won't get involved with the line here tonight. Rather I'll be on the UNDER. |
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06-13-22 | Celtics v. Warriors -165 | 94-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Game 5 of the NBA Finals tonight as they move venues back to Northern Cal. The teams have traded punches thus far with Boston winning games one and three, both S/U and ATS. The two games that the Warriors won, game two and four, both also went under the total. The Warriors defense is what has gotten them wins and with that defense has come the under in the game too. Tonight, the winner will be down to winning one of the final two games. That makes this a pivotal contest for both teams, since neither team has won two-in a row yet. I look for this game to be very physical and low scoring. I have to give the edge here tonight to the home team and with that I'll be on Golden State with the MONEY LINE, just to WIN. |
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06-13-22 | Celtics v. Warriors UNDER 211.5 | 94-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Game 5 of the NBA Finals tonight as they move venues back to Northern Cal. The teams have traded punches thus far with Boston winning games one and three, both S/U and ATS. The two games that the Warriors won, game two and four, both also went under the total. The Warriors defense is what has gotten them wins and with that defense has come the under in the game too. Tonight, the winner will be down to winning one of the final two games. That makes this a pivotal contest for both teams, since neither team has won two-in a row yet. I look for this game to be very physical and low scoring. For me, I'll be on the UNDER. |
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06-10-22 | Warriors +4 v. Celtics | 107-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
The Boston Celtics jumped out to a big lead in game three of the NBA Finals, only to have Golden State rally in the third and take a lead entering the fourth quarter. However, like game one, the Warriors collapsed in the fourth quarter and Boston won going away to also cover the spread, 116-100. Thus far none of the three games have been close, with Boston winning game one by 12, Golden State game two by 19 and the Celtics game three by 16. First, Stephen Curry hurt his foot in game two and while he's probable today. The Warriors have proved they can come back from big deficits. They just need to get their act together in the fourth quarter. With the experience of this team and leadership of Curry, I can't see another fourth quarter collapse. I'll take the points here on Friday and won't be surprised by a straight-up win by Golden State. Take the Warriors. |
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06-10-22 | Warriors v. Celtics UNDER 214.5 | Top | 107-97 | Win | 100 | 18 h 21 m | Show |
The Boston Celtics jumped out to a big lead in game three of the NBA Finals, only to have Golden State rally in the third and take a lead entering the fourth quarter. However, like game one, the Warriors collapsed in the fourth quarter and Boston won going away to also cover the spread, 116-100. Thus far none of the three games have been close, with Boston winning game one by 12, Golden State game two by 19 and the Celtics game three by 16. Today, I'm looking at the under. Just one of the first three games have gone under and that was game two in Golden State, 88-107. First, Stephen Curry hurt his foot in game two and while he's probable today, have to wonder if that will effect his performance here today. 2nd, I'm looking for a much more physical game here in game four. That will mean fewer scoring opportunities. So far it's been over, under and then over. If the bounce comes right, we are looking at another under here in game four. Play the UNDER. |
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06-08-22 | Warriors v. Celtics UNDER 212.5 | Top | 100-116 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 42 m | Show |
Game three of the NBA Finals moves to Boston for tonight's contest. The Warriors returned their game one blowout loss with their own blowout in game two to even the series at 1-1. The Celtics were close in game two but came out the break and shot very badly in the third quarter which led to their demise. The Celtics also missed a lot of wide open shots in game two, something they need to fix tonight if they want to win. Tonight, I'm looking at the UNDER. The Warriors have gone under in 11 of their last 13 vs a team with a winning straight up record. They are also 1-4 O/U in their last five games when the dog. The UNDER has also been quite dominant in this series, with seven of the last 10 meetings in Boston going under and 20 of the last 28 overall meetings going under. I'll take the under here today in game three. |
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06-05-22 | Celtics v. Warriors -175 | Top | 88-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
It's really this simple, the Warriors blew a huge lead they held for three quarters of game one. They got totally blown out in the fourth quarter to lose badly. They have to regroup here in game two or this series is likely done. I don't believe the Warriors can win four of five games with three of those at Boston. So tonight, the Warriors can't let what happened in game one happen here. They are too experienced and too good to let it happen again. I have to take the Warriors here tonight. And as big as the money line will be, I'm going to lay the money line with Golden State. |
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06-02-22 | Celtics v. Warriors -155 | Top | 120-108 | Loss | -155 | 57 h 3 m | Show |
Game one of the NBA Finals here tonight as the Boston Celtics make the long trip West to take on the Warriors from Northern Cal. The Celtics had to withstand a big comeback in game seven of their Eastern Conference finals against Miami to hold onto their four point win, 100-96. Meanwhile, the Warriors had little trouble dispatching the Dallas Mavericks in five games, including their final win 120-110. The Warriors are on familiar ground, having been to the NBA Finals in six of the last eight years. And, while the Celtics have been to the Finals 22 times, they have not been here in the last 12 seasons. That gives the Warriors a huge experience factor here of 132 games to zero. The other factor to figure here in game one is fatigue. Golden State winning has everything to do with fresh legs and the penalty of travel. The Warriors have not played for a week while the Celtics have seen their last two series go to seven games, including a highly emotional win at Miami Sunday. Between the history and the recent play, I'll take the Warriors here in game one on the Money Line. |
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05-29-22 | Celtics v. Heat +2.5 | Top | 100-96 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 30 m | Show |
I believe the Boston Celtics could have cost themselves a NBA Finals appearance by losing game six at home the Miami Heat. The series returns to Miami for game seven and the winner moving on to the Finals against the Golden State Warriors. Two things stand out to me; 1st is that the Heat took all the momentum in this series after losing game six. The other and bigger thing is that NBA home teams have a distinct advantage in game 7 of a series. Let take a quick look. The Celtics have the most games 7's in NBA history, with 33 and that will be 34 after Sunday's game. There have been 133 games 7's with the home team winning 79% of the time or 105-28. That is a huge stat when it comes to home court advantage. And yet, here we have the Miami Heat a home dog in game seven. Not only do they not have to win, but they have a couple of points to play with as they currently are +2.5 or +3 points. For me, the momentum has shifted to Miami and with home court here in game seven, I'll take the points. |
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05-27-22 | Heat v. Celtics -8.5 | Top | 111-103 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 59 m | Show |
The Boston Celtics took a 3-2 lead in this NBA Eastern Conf Finals Championship series with their win on Wednesday night, 93-80. In what was a very low scoring contest, the Heat led at the half, 42-37. However, the Celtics came out of the half firing and won the third quarter 32-16 and then the fourth quarter 24-22. Now the Heat are force to win the last two games in this series, including Friday's contest at Boston. The Celtics are a 3-point shooting team, they live and die beyond the arc and that's why we've pretty much seen blowouts in every contest. The Celtics opened game six line as a 9-point favorite and that's for good reason. Miami guard Tyler Herro missed Wednesday's game and that's a big loss for this team. With his status in question for game six here on Friday and the game in Boston, this becomes my favorite play in the championship series. Take Boston. |
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05-26-22 | Mavs v. Warriors -6.5 | 110-120 | Win | 100 | 19 h 19 m | Show | |
The Golden State Warriors have to wait at least one more game to wrap-up their NBA Western Conference Finals and move on to the NBA Championship series. The Warriors led 3-0 in this series before not showing up in game four in their loss to Dallas, 109-119. Despite the loss, the Warriors did shoot fairly well in game four, hitting 48.8% from the field and 35.7% from 3-point arc. Both those numbers were actually better then their game three win at Dallas. The big jump came in the Mavs shooting as they had their best game in this series hitting 50% from the field and 46.5% from 3-point arc. Line has gone up significantly here tonight but for me I'm going to lay this in what looks like another blowout win. Take Golden State. |
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05-25-22 | Celtics v. Heat +2 | Top | 93-80 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
The Boston Celtics and Miami Heat are tied 2-2 in this best-of-seven Eastern Conference Finals Championship. The Heat got beat bad ly in game four on their home court, 82-102. In fact, these teams have alternated win/losses with the winning team covering the spread. The Heat had to play game four without their guard Tyler Herro, who has a groin injury. Herro is questionable today and the Heat could really use his 20.7 ppg average. The Heat also need this game to maintain home court advantage or else they face going back to Boston down 2-3. For me, this is a key game for the Heat, lose and they are likely done in the series, win and they only have to win one of the last two games. I'll take Miami here tonight, especially since I believe Herro will return. Play Miami. |
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05-24-22 | Warriors +1.5 v. Mavs | Top | 109-119 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
The Golden State Warriors can wrap-up their Western Conference Finals with the Dallas Mavericks tonight. The Warriors took a 3-0 lead in this series after beating the Mavs in Dallas last game, 109-100. The Mavs led early, but once they fell behind in the 2nd quarter they never were able to fully recover. The question for me here tonight is how much does the Warriors want to win this game. A win and they get a nice rest while the Eastern Conference teams battle it out for their rep in the Title match. Sometimes too much rest can take away from a teams momentum too. But tonight, I think the Warriors want the rest and will do all it takes to put this series to an end. Play Golden State. |
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05-23-22 | Heat v. Celtics -6.5 | Top | 82-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
The Boston Celtics look to even this best of seven series at 2-2 with a win tonight at home over the Miami Heat. The Celtics lost game one in Miami, 107-118, took game two 127-102 and then lost at home in game three, 103-109. The Heat will be with0out guard Tyler Herro tonight who has a groin injury. They do look to have guard Jimmy Butler playing though who was upgraded to probable with a knee injury. The Celtics Jayson Tatum is expected to play with a cervical sprain. Celtics can't afford to lose another game on their home court. This line is a bit stiff, but I look for the Celtics to win here tonight. Play Boston. |
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05-22-22 | Warriors v. Mavs -145 | Top | 109-100 | Loss | -145 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
The Mavericks could easily be tied 1-1 in this series, but instead they are 0-2 after their two games at Golden State. The Mavs led by double digits at half time in game two and led at the end of the third quarter. However, they were outscored by 11 points in the third quarter and not only lost 117-126, but failed to cover the 6-point dog line. That means game three is pivotal here today for the Mavs. Lose and they go down 0-3 in this best of seven series. Win, and they are back in it. Something that could help their cause is that Warriors' guard Andrew Wiggins is questionable today with a ankle injury. I look for this to be the game the Mavs must win and I'll give them a shot. Take Dallas on the Money Line. |
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05-21-22 | Heat +6.5 v. Celtics | 109-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Game three of the NBA Eastern Conference Finals changes venues here tonight as this best-of-seven series moves to Boston. The Heat took game one at home 118-107 and then lost in game two, 102-127. The Celtics live and die from the 3-point line and that proved out thus far. In their game one loss, the Celtics hit 32.4% from beyond the 3-point arc. Then in their game two blowout, the Celtics hit 50% from 3-point land. The Heat are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as a road dog. They are also 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 road games overall. The Heat have also done well in this series, covering 10 of the last 13 games in Boston. If the Heat can keep the Celtics three-point shots from getting out of control, they should cover if not win this game outright tonight. Play Miami. |
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05-20-22 | Mavs +6.5 v. Warriors | Top | 117-126 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
The Dallas Mavericks and Golden State Warriors play game two of their series here tonight in Northern California. The Warriors blew out the Mavs in game one, 112-87. The Warriors were red hot, hitting 56.1% from the field and 34.5% from 3-point arc. The Mavs had their worst shooting performance in the playoffs, hitting just 36% from the field and 22.9% from the 3-point line. The Mavs have been a good covering team, going 9-4 ATS their last 13 games. The Warriors are 2-6 ATS their last eight as a favorite. The Mavs have done well vs the Warriors, going 11-4 ATS their last 15 meetings and 6-2 ATS their last eight meetings in Golden State. I don't see the Mavs shooting that bad again here tonight. I'll take the Points with Dallas. |
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05-19-22 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 207.5 | 127-102 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
Game two of the Eastern Conference Championship has the Miami Heat with a 1-0 lead in the best of seven series. The Celtics took pretty good pounding in game one, though the 107-118 final made the game look closer than it was. The Celtics have lived and died by the three-point shot this year. They had 110 attempts vs the Bucks and that was third all time in the NBA playoffs for 3-pointers attempted. In game one they hit 32.4%, well below their game seven win over the Bucks of 40%. Still, the Celtics do well as road dogs, going 7-1-1 ATS their last nine. They also bounce back well, going 4-1 ATS their last five after losing straight-up by 10 points or more. As for the total, the Celtics have gone under in five of their last seven games. Miami has been a very good under team of late with nine of their last 11 playoff games going under when they are favored. Game one went over, but I'm taking game two to go under here tonight. |
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05-19-22 | Celtics +3.5 v. Heat | Top | 127-102 | Win | 100 | 19 h 38 m | Show |
Game two of the Eastern Conference Championship has the Miami Heat with a 1-0 lead in the best of seven series. The Celtics took pretty good pounding in game one, though the 107-118 final made the game look closer than it was. The Celtics have lived and died by the three-point shot this year. They had 110 attempts vs the Bucks and that was third all time in the NBA playoffs for 3-pointers attempted. In game one they hit 32.4%, well below their game seven win over the Bucks of 40%. Still, the Celtics do well as road dogs, going 7-1-1 ATS their last nine. They also bounce back well, going 4-1 ATS their last five after losing straight-up by 10 points or more. The Celtics have done well vs the Heat, going 13-6 ATS their last 19 meetings in Miami and 23-11-1 their last 35 overall. I look for the Celtics to bounce back here in game two. |
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05-18-22 | Mavs v. Warriors OVER 214.5 | Top | 87-112 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
Game one of the NBA Western Conference Championships here tonight as the Dallas Mavericks take on the Warrior in Golden State. The Mavs pulled the big upset thus far, beating the regular season best team in the NBA the Phoenix Suns. And they did so by taking games seven in Phoenix in a blowout win, 123-90. Three of the seven games went over the total and three of the four on the road went over for the Mavs. The Mavs have now gone over in eight of their last 11 road games. Golden State beat the Memphis Grizzlies 4-2 in their series. They split the over/unders with three over and three under. The Warriors have been a very good over team when they have rest, evidenced by their 15-5-1 O/U/P record their last 21 with 3 days or more of rest. This has also been a over series with 12 of the last 16 games going over. I'm taking game on OVER here tonight. |
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05-17-22 | Celtics v. Heat -117 | Top | 107-118 | Win | 100 | 31 h 26 m | Show |
It took seven game but the Boston Celtics advanced to the Eastern Conference Championships after beating Milwaukee. They had little trouble with the Bucks in game game, cruising to a 109-81 win. The Celtics were 4-2-1 ATS in the series. The Miami Heat advanced to the Championship series by beating the Philadelphia 76ers in six games. They were 4-2 vs the number and their two losses were on the road. They had little trouble on their home floor, winning by 40, 16 and 14 points. This will be a rematch of the 2020 conference finals when they were played in the bubble in Orlando. The Heat won that series in Orlando. The Celtics live and die by the 3-point shot. They had 53 more 3-pointers than the Bucks in that seven game series. With their 110 3-pointers, the Celtics tied for third most in any playoff series. The Heat had the East's best home court record at 29-12 this year in the regular season. They are 6-0 at home in the playoffs. I'll take the Heat here in game one on the money line. |
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05-15-22 | Bucks v. Celtics UNDER 206.5 | Top | 81-109 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
It's Game 7 of this Eastern Conference Clash between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Boston Celtics. The Bucks extended the series with a game 6 win, 108-95 to force this game seven back in Boston. Four of the six games in the series have gone UNDER the total. Milwaukee has had some very poor shooting games in this series, hitting just 41.5% or worse in four of the six games. Their three-point shots have also been bad with half their games having a 26.5% or worse mark. Two of the three games in Boston have gone under and for me, I'm sticking with a lower scoring game here today. Play UNDER. |
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05-13-22 | Grizzlies +8.5 v. Warriors | 96-110 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
The Memphis Grizzlies facing elimination here tonight as they play game six of this Western Conference best of seven series from Golden State. The Grizzlies staved off elimination in game five with a blowout of the Warriors, 134-95. Now they return back to Golden State where they once again get 8 to 9 points as they did in game four. Sure, they are without star Ja Morant, but they are now like 25-4 without him in the lineup this year. And they have played a lot without and done well. I don't see that changing here tonight. They will be close when this game is over. I'll take the points. Play Memphis. |
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05-13-22 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 212.5 | 108-95 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
Game six of this Eastern Conf Semifinal has the Celtics taking on the Bucks from Milwaukee. The Celtics somehow lost game five, despite a large 4th quarter lead. Now the Celtics face elimination with a loss here tonight. In their previous two games at Milwaukee, Boston lost 101-103 and won 116-108. The Celtics live and die outside the paint. They did well last game hitting 51% from the field but just 32% from 3-point line. Only one other game they shot worse and that was also a losing effort. The first three games in this series went under the total with the last two going over. I'm going back to the UNDER here tonight. |
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05-13-22 | Celtics +1.5 v. Bucks | Top | 108-95 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
Game six of this Eastern Conf Semifinal has the Celtics taking on the Bucks from Milwaukee. The Celtics somehow lost game five, despite a large 4th quarter lead. Now the Celtics face elimination with a loss here tonight. In their previous two games at Milwaukee, Boston lost 101-103 and won 116-108. The Celtics live and die outside the paint. They did well last game hitting 51% from the field but just 32% from 3-point line. Only one other game they shot worse and that was also a losing effort. I look for the Celtics to rebound here today and take this game six and force a game seven back in Boston. |
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05-12-22 | Suns v. Mavs +2 | Top | 86-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
Game 6 of this best of seven series tonight shifts back to Dallas after the Mavericks lost game five in Phoenix, 80-110. The Mavs now face elimination tonight with a loss. Like a lot of other series, this has been dominated by the home team. The Mavs lost the first two games in Phoenix and failed to cover either game, then won and covered the next two at home, before getting blown out in game five at Phoenix. The Suns are a small favorite, but I'm sticking with the home team in this series and that means a small dog here on Dallas. |
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05-12-22 | Heat v. 76ers -133 | 99-90 | Loss | -133 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
Game six of this best of seven series and the Philadelphia 76ers now facing elimination after losing game five at Miami, 85-120. This has been a home series with the home team winning and covering every game thus far. The Sixers return home tonight where they won game three 99-79 and game four, 116-108. Good news it that Joel Embiid is probable tonight for the Sixers with his thumb injury he sustained earlier. How effective he will be is yet to be seen. But for me, I'll take the Money line here and only ask the Sixers to win this game. |
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05-11-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies +4.5 | Top | 95-134 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
The Memphis Grizzlies face elimination here tonight in this Western Conference Semifinal matchup with the Golden State Warriors. The Grizzlies lost game four, 98-101, but played well and were in the game from the start. And, they played without star Ja Morant. That makes them 24-5 this year when Morant has been out of the lineup. It appears Morant will miss again here tonight with that knee injury. The Grizzlies played both games on their home court tough, winning 106-101 and losing 116-117. In fact, they have covered three of the four in this series. I'm going to take the Grizzlies again here in game five plus the points and won't be surprised by a straight-up win. |