Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-12-20 | Rockets v. Lakers UNDER 216.5 | 96-119 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
Game 5 here today between the Rockets and the Lakers has the LA Lakers up 3-1 and on the brink of sending the Rockets out of the Bubble with another loss. The Lakers are coming off a game four win, 110-100. All four games in this series have gone UNDER the total. Considering that Houston has lived and died by the 3-point shots and their defense, it's not surprising this series has been one of UNDERs. Today, I'm sticking with what these teams have been doing all series and that is a slower, lowing scoring game. I'm taking UNDER once again. |
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09-11-20 | Celtics v. Raptors UNDER 204.5 | 92-87 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
The Boston Celtics could have won this series a few times over now, but they keep finding ways to give the Raptors new life. After a double OT loss in game six, 122-125, the Celtics have to feel they have won at least five of these games already. This series has been low scoring. In fact, game six was a dead under if not for that first OT and it took most of the OT just to get the OVER. So far, in four of the six games at least one team has failed to score 100 points. The oddsmakers have adjusted and we get a total just over 200 here today, but I'm still sticking with the UNDER. Play UNDER. |
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09-11-20 | Nuggets v. Clippers UNDER 216 | 111-105 | Push | 0 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
Game five here tonight between the Nuggets and the Clippers. The Clippers won a low scoring game four, 96-85. That makes the Clippers one game away from advancing and kicking the Nuggets out of the bubble. So far we've seen somewhat lower scoring series. The last game was indicative of what this series has been trending toward. The Nuggets have been held under 100 points in two of the four games. Tonight's total up around 216 and for me that's still a bit too high considering how all the NBA playoff games have trended. I'm taking UNDER here in game five. |
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09-06-20 | Rockets v. Lakers UNDER 223 | 109-117 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
The Rockets pummeled the Lakers in game one of this best of seven series, 112-97. The top seeded Lakers look for an answer to the Rockets "Small Ball" where they fire away from 3-point land. I expect the Lakers to make that adjustment here today. Just as Denver did in game two of their series with the Clippers. The Top seeded Lakers will face that almost no-defense Houston team that relies on outscoring their opponents. Look for LA to put some brakes to the Rockets here tonight. I don't look for the Lakers to get into a run and gun shootout with Houston. LA will play defense and slow the pace here tonight. Play the UNDER. |
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09-05-20 | Nuggets v. Clippers OVER 222 | 110-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
The Nuggets got overpowered in game one of this series with the Clippers, losing 97-120. Kawhi Leonard scored 29 points for the Clippers and got to rest the entire 4th quarter. The Nuggets really had no time to prepare for the Clippers as they were forced to a game seven in their opening series with the Jazz. The Nuggets came out flat and that isn't surprising. Now, they have had time to reflect and adjust. I see the Nuggets getting back at least to a competitive game here in game two. Look for the Nuggets to get back into the higher scoring here today as I look for this game to go OVER. |
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09-04-20 | Rockets v. Lakers OVER 225.5 | 112-97 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
The Rockets and Lakers begin game one of their seven-game series here tonight. The Rockets barely survived a surge by the OKC Thunder and it took last second heroics in game 7 to get here. The Thunder imposed a defensive and slow town philosophy that worked against the 3-point shooting mad Rockets. Don't expect that here against the Lakers. The Lakers will run and gun with the Rockets and I fully expect to see a series that is filled with lots of high scoring games. I'm taking OVER here in game 1. |
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09-04-20 | Bucks v. Heat UNDER 223.5 | 100-115 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
While many have considered the Bucks the best team in the NBA this year and almost a lock to make the Championship round, they face the real possibility of going down 0-3 here in their best of seven series with the Heat. The Heat took game one 115-104 and then game two 116-114. Milwaukee needs to get back to a defensive style of play that got them through the last round of playoffs. They are giving up way too many points to the Heat in this series. They came around in the Orland series, holding the Magic to 107, 106 and 104 in the last three wins. That's just what I see them need to do here tonight or they will be facing possible bubble ejection if they aren't careful. I'm taking the UNDER here in game three. |
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09-02-20 | Thunder v. Rockets UNDER 217.5 | Top | 102-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
Game 7 here between the OKC Thunder and the Houston Rockets. The Thunder staved off elimination in game six by taking the Rockets out of their run-and-gun normal game plan. The Thunder slowed the game way down and it resulted in a win, 104-100. Now, can they do it again here in game seven? That's the question. Turnovers also were a big part of the Rockets losses. They turned the ball over on average 17.3 times per game in their three losses. I think these teams will once again be playing a low scoring game. I'm taking the UNDER. |
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08-29-20 | Thunder v. Rockets OVER 227.5 | 80-114 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
NBA back on the hard court here tonight as the Thunder and the Rockets resume their series. The Rockets took game one and two of this series and looked ready to wipe out the Thunder. However, OKC came roaring back in games three and four to even this series at 2-2. These games have been high scoring with three of the four hitting at least 226 points. Only game two was a low scoring affair in a Houston win, 111-98. With some rest the last few days I like these teams to come out scoring and Houston to continue firing from the 3-point stripe. Take the OVER. |
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08-25-20 | Jazz v. Nuggets OVER 219 | Top | 107-117 | Win | 100 | 1 h 15 m | Show |
The Utah Jazz look to close out their series with the Denver Nuggets tonight. The Jazz lost game one to Denver and have since won three straight. Utah has had little trouble scoring against Denver with 125, 124, 124 and 129 points in their four games. Denver finally broke a two-game scoring drought with 127 points in game four, but still came up short. I don't see any reason to change in tonight's contest. I'm going to take the OVER here in game four. |
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08-22-20 | Lakers v. Blazers UNDER 225 | Top | 116-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
The Lakers flexed their muscles in game two of their series with the Blazers. After losing game one in bad fashion they rebounded with a resounding shutdown of the high scoring Portland offense, winning game two easily. The Lakers look to continue that here in game three. The Blazers realize that they need to play more of an uptempo game against the Lakers. The Blazers are led by Damian Lillard, who has been unstopable up until game two of this series. Problem for Blazers is that he hurt his index finger in game two, dislocating the finger. He will be playing today in game three, but how will this effect his play? Lilliard had only 18-points before leaving in the 3rd quarter with his injury. For me, even with a healthy Lilliard the Lakers have found out how to shut down this offense of the Blazers. Number a bit high for me here today, so I will go with the UNDER. |
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08-21-20 | Nuggets v. Jazz UNDER 218.5 | 87-124 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
This series is tied 1-1 after Utah took game two, 124-105 over the Nuggets. Donovan Mitchell has been amazing for the Jazz. Mitchell had 57-points in a losing game one effort and then chipped-in another 30-points in the game two win. What made the difference for Mitchell was how he got more of his team mates involved in game two and didn't need to shoulder all the scoring himself. The Jazz put it all together in game two with both offense and defense. The Nuggets found the Jazz defense tough to get good shots in game two. I don't see that changing here in game three. Jazz have found what works and will do it again here. I'm taking the UNDER today. |
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08-20-20 | Blazers v. Lakers OVER 229 | Top | 88-111 | Loss | -104 | 18 h 4 m | Show |
The Portland Trailblazers and LA Lakers play game two of their best of seven series. The Blazers have been basically in the playoffs since they returned, as every game was crucial to them making the postseason. They did so by beating the Grizzlies in a play-in game last Saturday, 126-122. The Blazers shocked the Lakers in game one, taking the opening stanza of this series. Damian Lillard has been unstoppable, as he collected 34 points in the game one victory. The Lakers could see the return of Rajon Rondo, who has been cleared to play and is day-to-day. Still, the Blazers will continue to pile on the points as they have done since returning to play. The Lakers will have to match the here on Thursday. Take the OVER. |
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08-17-20 | 76ers v. Celtics UNDER 218.5 | 101-109 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
NBA playoffs begin today with the Sixers taking on the Celtics. The Sixers finished 6th in the East with a 43-30 record. Still, can't help but believe they underachieved this season as more was expected from them. Philly finished losing three of their last four games. The Celtics were the third seed in the East with a 48-24 record. Boston has won four of its last five games. Today, I'm looking at the UNDER. The Celtics have toned down the scoring in the playoffs, with six of their last eight playoff games going UNDER. I look for these clubs to play a bit slower paced game then we've seen recently. With that, I'm taking the UNDER here in game 1. |
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08-12-20 | Pacers v. Rockets UNDER 231.5 | 108-104 | Win | 100 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
Not much to play for here in this early Wednesday start between the Pacers and the Rockets. Pacers are in 5th place in the East and the Rockets are in 4th place in the West. Should stay that was as we head into the playoffs. I don't expect either team to be fully vested in this contest as they rest up for the upcoming playoffs. I'm taking UNDER. |
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08-05-20 | Raptors v. Magic UNDER 223 | 109-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
Toronto Raptors are in 2nd place in the Eastern Confernece. They have won six straight games dating back to pre-Covid break. Toronto coming off a win over the Jazz, 101-92 in a low scoring UNDER game. The Magic are coming off a win over the Grizzlies, 120-115. They have gone over in 13 straight games dating back before the break. This really comes down to the Raptors defense vs the Magic offense. I like the Raptors to control the pace of this game and slow the Magic down. These clubs have been very good under plays when they meet, evidenced by their 3-9 O/U record their last 12 meetings. That's what I like here tonight. I'm taking UNDER. |
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08-03-20 | Spurs v. 76ers UNDER 228 | 130-132 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
San Antonio Spurs looking to grab one of those last playoff spots sit just outside right now at 9th in the West, 2-games back of the Memphis Grizzlies. The Spurs coming off a big win over these Grizzlies on Sunday, 108-106. That win moved them a bit closer to the Grizzlies for that last playoff spot. Meanwhile, the Sixers sit 6th right now in the East, well ahead of 7th place Orlando. In fact, the Sixers have locked-up a playoff spot. They are coming off a loss to the Pacers, 121-127. I'm not all that impressed with how the Sixers are playing these days. I don't see San Antonio wanting to get into a running and transition game here tonight. That being said, I'm looking at this game to go UNDER the total. |
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07-31-20 | Celtics v. Bucks OVER 218.5 | 112-119 | Win | 100 | 16 h 48 m | Show | |
The Bucks had the NBA best record by far before the break. Can they pick up where they left off after the long off time? The Bucks also lead the NBA in scoring with a 118.6 ppg average. The Bucks will be without guards Bledsoe and Connaughton who both will miss this game after recovering from Covid. The Celtics have plenty of scoring on their team too with Walker, Tatum, Hayward and Brown. The Celtics have done well as a dog, going 20-8 their last 28 in that role. Two teams that can both score in bunches here. Hoping the rust is off both teams as I'm taking OVER here for my total play. |
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03-09-20 | Green Bay v. Northern Kentucky UNDER 151 | Top | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
Horizon league conference tourney action here today has Wisconsin Green Bay taking on Northern Kentucky in Indianapolis, IN. Wisconsin Green Bay Phoenix are 16-15 S/U and 15-14 ATS on the season. They have won three straight game and have gone under in their last two. That's what I am looking at today, the total in this matchup. While Green bay has been an over team most of the year, the long season and now the grind of daily tourney play seems to be making them more a defensive team. They held Cleveland State to 67 points and Oakland to 63 points in their last two games. The oddsmaker has a 150 total on today's contest, which is high for a college contest. The Northern Kentucky Norse are 21-9 S/U and 16-12 ATS. They have been more of an under team this year, posting an overall 12-16 O/U record. The Norse have gone under in their last two games and held their last three opponents to 59, 59 and 64 points respectively. The two times these teams have met this year have both gone under. Back on Dec 30th they totaled 132 points and then on Jan 31st they only got to 133 points. Well below the 154 and 155 totals posted. Today we see a small reduction in the total to 150, but I still like it under. Play UNDER. |
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03-07-20 | North Carolina v. Duke OVER 153.5 | 76-89 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
These ACC rivals will play out their regular season tonight as they head to their conference tournament. It's been a terrible season for North Carolina, going 13-17 S/U and 12--18 ATS. They have given up a lot of points too, allowing 70 or more points to each of their last five opponents. Duke is 24-6 S/U and 15-15 ATS on the season. This team can score too, with 88 or more points in three of their last four games. Should be easy pickin's today for Duke against this poor NCU club. The Tar Heels have gone over in five of their last six games. Duke has gone over in seven of their last eight home games and thei |
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03-07-20 | Alabama v. Missouri OVER 151 | 50-69 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 37 m | Show | |
SEC action concludes for both these teams as they will head to tourney action next. Alabama is 16-14 S/U and 19-11 ATS. They have also gone over in their last two games. They are also 6-2 O/U in their last eight games and 3-1-1 O/U in their last five road games. That's what I'm looking at in this game today. Missouri has gone over in seven of their last eight home games and 6-2 O/U in their last eight overall. Moreover, when Missouri has been installed as the favorite, they have gone over in 11 of 16 games. Let's take the OVER here today and enjoy the points. Play OVER. |
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03-05-20 | Idaho State v. Eastern Washington UNDER 152 | 75-100 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 42 m | Show | |
Big Sky conference here tonight has Idaho State playing Eastern Washington. Idaho State Bengals are 6-20 S/U and 12-12 ATS. The biggest knock against this team is how many points they give up, more than 80 in two of their last three and over 70 in 5 of six and 12 of their last 13. Eastern Washington is 21-8 S/U and 16-11 ATS. The Eagles are 1st in the conference and won't lose here tonight. So don't be surprised if they rest players against this poor Idaho State team. This EWU team has a very good defense, allowing 64 and 51 points in each of their last two games. They have gone under in three straight and five of their last seven. I'm taking the UNDER here tonight. I look for Eastern Washington to hold Idaho to few points but also rest some of their star offensive players tonight. Take the UNDER. |
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02-29-20 | San Diego State v. Nevada UNDER 143 | 83-76 | Loss | -128 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
Late Mountain West action tonight on the college hard court. The San Diego State are ranked 5th in college hoops with a 21-1 S/U and 17-10 ATS record. Their lone loss coming just a week ago at home to UNLV, 63-66 as a 13.5-point favorite. I think the Aztecs have been a bit shell shocked losing to UNLV, as they have failed to cover their last two home games. They return on the road here tonight at Nevada. The Aztecs are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games. Tonight though I like the UNDER in this game. The Aztecs have gone under in their last four games, holding three of their last four opponents to 59 or fewer points. Nevada brings a six-game win streak into tonight's contest. The Wolfpack have covered four of their last six. While this is a higher scoring team, I expect the Aztecs to control the tempo tonight and play their defensive half court game. I'm taking the UNDER. |
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02-28-20 | Wolves v. Magic OVER 234 | 125-136 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Timberwolves won't be going to the postseason as they sit next to last in the West conference with a 17-40 record. They have lost eight of the last 10 games. The Wolves also allow 116.9 ppg, which is 2nd worst in the West in scoring defense. The Wolves have gone over in their last four games and seven of their last eight games. The Orlando Magic are holding onto 8th place in the East with a 26-32 record. Even though this is one of the better defensive teams in the league, they have been a good over team of late. The Magic have gone over in five straight games and 5-1 O/U in their last six games playing on one day rest. These teams have gone over in five of their last six meetings and four of the last five in Orlando. I'm taking the OVER here tonight. |
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02-27-20 | Knicks v. 76ers UNDER 211.5 | 106-115 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
The New York Knicks have lost five straight games and are one of the worst offensive teams in the East, only Charlotte is worst. They will take on one of the better defensive teams here tonight in the Philadelphia 76ers. The Sixers allow just 106.5 ppg, that's tied for 3rd least in the East behind top Orlando which allows 106.1 ppg. The under has been pretty dominant when these teams have met, with 15 of the last 20 meetings in Philly going UNDER the total. That's what I expect again here tonight. Play the UNDER. |
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02-26-20 | North Dakota v. Nebraska-Omaha OVER 152.5 | 83-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
The Summit League has been a great over conference this year. That's mainly because these teams love to run and gun in this conference. North Dakota has gone over in two of their last three games and is 10-5 O/U in their last 15 games. Nebraska-Omaha has also been a good over team with a 8-3 O/U mark in their last 11 conference games. They have allowed over 80 points in eight of their last 11 conference games. I look for back and forth action in this one as both teams grab plenty of points. Take the OVER. |
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02-26-20 | Denver v. IUPU Ft Wayne OVER 145.5 | Top | 51-58 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
I have really loved playing the Summit League games OVER this year. This has been overall a great league to look for over plays. Tonight we have Denver playing at Indiana-Fort Worth. IPFW Mastadons have kind of bucked the trend in the conference, with six of their last seven going UNDER. They have also seen 4 of their last 9 road games go OVER the spread. The real reason I like this game over is the visitor, the Denver Pioneers. Denver has seen 11 of their last 13 games go OVER the total. They allow a lot of points, 85 or more in their last three games. They have allowed 90 points or more in three of their last six games. Denver is not a good team with just 6-wins on the year, but they can score and they do allow a lot of points. At home I look for Purdue Fort Worth to get their share of good points tonight against this poor Denver team. I'll take the OVER. |
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02-24-20 | Suns v. Jazz UNDER 223.5 | 131-111 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
The Phoenix Suns improved this year, but not enough to likely make the post season. The Suns are 12th right now in the West, five games back of the Grizzlies for 8th place. The Suns have lost seven of their last 10 games. As for the Jazz, they will make the post season, just where in the group will they land. Right now the Jazz are 5th, just four games back of 2nd place. I'll be looking at the total in this matchup. The Suns have gone under in four straight games. They are also 5-16 O/U their last 21 vs a team with a winning record. These teams have gone under in 25 of the their last 35 meetings and 4 of the last five in Utah. Take the UNDER tonight. |
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02-21-20 | Pelicans v. Blazers OVER 238.5 | Top | 128-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
The New Orleans Pelicans need to pick up the pace if they hope to make the playoffs. The Pelicans are 11th in the West, five-games back of 8th place Memphis. Same goes for the Blazers who are in 9th place, 3 1/2 games back of the Grizzlies. Tonight though, I'm looking at the OVER in this contest. The Pelicans are the third highest scoring team in the West at 115.8 ppg. Bad news is that they are the worst defensive scoring team with 117.3 ppg. The Pelicans have gone over in four straight games and six of their last eight. They are 16-11 O/U on the road this year. The Portland Trailblazers have gone over in six of their last eight games and 11 of their last 14. They average 117 points per game at home and allow 115 ppg at home. This one should be very high scoring tonight. I'm taking the OVER. |
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02-19-20 | Boise State v. San Jose State OVER 154 | 80-62 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
Bailout Total : Late Mountain West conference action here on Wednesday night has Boist State playing at San Jose State. The Boise State Broncos are 17-10 S/U and 5th in the Mountain West. San Jose State is just 7-19 S/U on the season. The Spartans have been a good over team with their last six games going over the total. That's because the defense is horrible, allowing 80 points or more in six of their last seven games. San Jose has given up 90 or more points in three of their last five games. This will be the second and final matchup of the regular season between these teams. They met back on January 29th in Boise where the Broncos won that game 99-71 and went over the total. I expect a similar shootout here tonight. I will take the OVER again in this one. |
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02-19-20 | Auburn v. Georgia UNDER 150 | 55-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
SEC action here tonight has 13th ranked Auburn playing at Georgia. Auburn is 2nd in the SEC with their 22-3 S/U and 11-14 ATS records. They are also 10-3 S/U and 5-8 ATS in conference play. Georgia has not had a very good season with just a 12-13 S/U and 12-12 ATS record. The Bulldogs have played better in the SEC games, where they are 10-3 S/U and 5-8 ATS in conference play. I'm looking at the UNDER in this matchup. Georgia has been a good under team at home, evidenced by their 1-3 O/U mark in their last four home games and 3-5 O/U their last eight home games. Georgia has no chance for the NCAA other than the SEC tournament. So they might rest starters in these last games of the regular season as they head toward that SEC tournament. Take the UNDER tonight. |
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02-19-20 | Butler v. Seton Hall UNDER 136 | 72-74 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
Big East action here this evening has Butler playing at Seton Hall. Both teams having decent seasons with Butler at 19-7 S/U and 12-12 ATS. The Seton Hall Pirates are 18-7 S/U and 15-9 ATS. In this game I'm going to look at the UNDER. This time of the season we tend to see more teams resting players as they prepare for their conference tournaments. Butler has gone under in their last two road games. They have also not scored all that well on the road, with 66 or fewer points in six of their last eight away games. Seton Hall has gone under in two of their last three home games and seven of their last 9 home games. I like the UNDER here tonight. |
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02-18-20 | Baylor v. Oklahoma UNDER 134 | 65-54 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
Big 12 conference play here today has No 1 ranked Baylor taking to the road to play Oklahoma. I'll be looking at the UNDER in this game tonight. I had the under in Baylor's last game at home vs West Virginia and we just got their by 1-point. The Bears have gone under in two straight games now and four of their last six games. One reason why is because the Bears are not a great 3-point shooting team. And lets face it, 3-pointers is what tends to get these games over totals. The Bears defense has also been good, holding West Virginia to 59 points and Texas the game before that to 45 points. In fact, they have held five of their last seven opponents to 59 or fewer points. Oklahoma is 16-9 S/U and 11-12 ATS on the season. The Sooners have gone under in two of their last four games and five of their last eight games. I like this game to go under here tonight with the good Baylor defense. Play UNDER. |
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02-15-20 | West Virginia v. Baylor UNDER 130.5 | 59-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
Big 12 Conference play here today has West Virginia playing at Baylor. Number 14 ranked West Virginia is 18-6 S/U and 12-11 ATS on the season. The Mountaineers have had a very good defense, holding three of their last four opponents to 61 or fewer points. In addition, they have gone under in four straight games and five of their last six. Top Ranked Baylor is 22-1 S/U and 15-8 ATS on the season. The one knock against this team is their lack of hitting 3-point shots. That will play to our advantage here today as I'm looking at the UNDER in this matchup. The Bears also have a good defense, holding five of their last seven opponents to 61 or fewer points. They are off a win at Texas where they held the Longhorns to just 45 points. Baylor is 4-8 O/U in their 12 conference games this season. I look for a lower scoring game here today. Play the UNDER. |
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02-13-20 | Thunder v. Pelicans OVER 233.5 | 123-118 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
The LA Clippers are 3rd in the Western Conference and lead fourth place Utah by just one game as they travel to Boston tonight to play the Celtics. The Clippers games average 225.3 ppg this season. They are also 11-16 O/U on the road with their road games averaging 225.4 ppg this season. The Boston Celtics are 3rd in the Eastern Conference and have won eight of their last 10 games. The Celtics average 112.6 ppg this year with their games averaging 218.3 ppg. The Celtics home games are a bit higher scoring with Boston averaging 115.9 ppg and their games 221.8 ppg. This one should be high scoring tonight as both teams can put up points. I'm taking the OVER. |
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02-13-20 | Clippers v. Celtics OVER 227.5 | 133-141 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City Thunder have lost their last two games but are still 7-3 their last 10 games. They are 7th in the West. Their last two games have gone OVER. The Thunder are 10-15 O/U on the road with their games averaging 213.0 ppg. Meanwhile, the Pelicans are 11th in the West and one of the highest scoring team in the West with a 115.7 ppg average. The problem for the Pelicans is that they also allow the most points in the West at 117.2 ppg. The Pelicans home games are 15-12 O/U on the season and aveaging 235.5 ppg. The Thunder can score, but they can't hold down opponents either. Big number here tonight, but these teams can get there. Play the OVER. |
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02-13-20 | Memphis v. Cincinnati UNDER 138.5 | Top | 86-92 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
American Athletic conference action tonight has Memphis playing at Cincinnati. Memphis is 17-6 S/U and 12-9 ATS on the season. They are also 6-4 S/U and 4-5-1 ATS in conference play. They are also 1-3 O/U on the road in conference play. Cincinnati is 15-8 S/U and 10-13 ATS on the season. The Bearcats are 8-3 S/U and 7-4 ATS in conference play. They are 1-4 O/U in their four home conference games. That's what I'm looking at here tonight, the UNDER. Memphis also has some injuries with Forward Precious Achiuwa questionable with a back injury and Center James Wiseman out for the season. Cincinnati might be without guard Jarron Cumberland tonight who is questionable. Cumberland averages 15.1 ppg this season. With the injuries and the O/U records of these clubs, I'll take UNDER. |
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02-12-20 | Hornets v. Wolves OVER 227.5 | 115-108 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
The Charlotte Hornets have been struggling, posting a 2-8 record in their last 10 games. The Hornets have a -7.5 scoring differential this year as they allow 110.2 ppg and score 102.7 ppg. Charlotte has gone over in three of their last four games, thanks to allowing 112 or more points in those overs. Charlotte is 16-12 O/U on the road this year with their games averaging 210.2 ppg. The Minnesota Timberwolves are next to last in the West. They score a lot of points, 112.5 ppg, but they give up the most points in the West at 116.0 ppg. They have seen their last three games go OVER and eight of their last 12 go over. I'm going to take this game over here tonight, the Wolves aren't stopping anyone and while the Hornets are not a big scoring team, they should get their share tonight against this poor defense. Play OVER. |
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02-12-20 | Indiana State v. Bradley UNDER 133.5 | 61-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
Missouri Valley action here tonight has Indiana State playing at Bradley. I'm going to look at the total in this matchup. Indiana State not a very high scoring team, with three of their last six games hitting 61 or fewer points. The defense has been decent too, holding three of their last five opponents to under 60 points, including just 39 points to Loyola Chicago. Bradley has seen its last three games go UNDER the total. Bradley has also been one of those teams that hits those low scores, with two of their last three games at 60 or fewer points. This is the second time these teams have met this year, with the first resulting in a Bradley win, 61-53 and going under the 137.5 total. Today's total is down to around 133 but I still look for this one to go UNDER. Play UNDER the Total. |
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02-12-20 | Pistons v. Magic OVER 207.5 | 112-116 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
The Detroit Pistons look to snap a 3-game losing streak here tonight at Orlando. The Pistons have also lost seven of their last 10 games. We get a relatively low total here tonight, something not usually seen this year in the NBA with a 207 in this game. That's because the Pistons' games have not been all that high scoring. In fact, their last two games have been well below the 200 threshold. On the season, Detroit is 13-13 O/U on the road, scoring 105.9 ppg and allowing 110.1 ppg. Those number much higher then their recent play. The Orlando Magic have lost eight of their last 10 games. The Magic are 9-18 O/U at home with their ppg at just 103.2 and allowing 102.8 ppg. The Magic have been one of the better defensive teams this year. That being said, this is a low total considering how many points the Pistons allow. I'm going to take the OVER here and look for the Magic to have a good night scoring. Play OVER. |
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02-11-20 | Blazers v. Pelicans UNDER 240 | 117-138 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
Very high total here tonight, more in line with All-Star game totals as we see a 240 on this game between the Blazers and the Pelicans. Blazer road games have averaged 226.0 ppg this year. They have a 13-14-1 O/U/P record on the road. The Pelicans home games have averaged 234.2 ppg this year with 14-12-0 O/U record on their home court. Portland has to play tomorrow night, so I am not expecting them want to get in an end-to-end shootout here tonight. Look for the Trailblazers to maybe slow this tempo in a bit to conserve some energy. I'm taking the UNDER. |
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02-11-20 | Bulls v. Wizards OVER 230 | 114-126 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
Chicago Bulls have dropped out of the top 8 as we approach the All-Star Break. The Bulls have done so thanks in part to a five-game losing streak and losing seven of their last 10 games. The Washington Wizards sit just a half game ahead of the Bulls in the East in 9th place and 3 1/2 games back of 8th place Orlando. Tonight I'm looking at the OVER in this contest. The Bulls have been a very good over team of late with seven straight games going OVER the total. They allow 111.5 ppg on the road this year and are 15-11-1 O/U/P on the road. Washington has gone over in seven of their last nine games. They have a 13-11-1 O/U/P record at home and allow 116.2 ppg while scoring 115.0 ppg. This one should be high scoring. Take the OVER. |
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02-10-20 | Kings v. Bucks OVER 227.5 | 111-123 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
Milwaukee is the best team in the NBA as we head to the ALL-Star game next week. The Bucks are 45-7 on the season and 30-22 ATS. They are also 24-3 at home and outscoring other teams by 13.2 ppg. Sacramento is 21-31 on the season and 26-26 ATS. They are 10-16 on th road with 14 of their 26 games going over. That's what I'm looking at here in this game, the over. The Kings allow an average of 110.4 ppg on the road this year while the Buck average 121.5 ppg at home. Really I look at this one as the Bucks can score what they want. If they get big leads they will pull starters and that's how we see the games go UNDER. With the total at 227 in this one we don't need a lot of points out of the Kings. I'll take the OVER. |
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02-09-20 | Knicks v. Hawks OVER 226.5 | 135-140 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
The New York Knicks still haven't found the recipe for success, as they sit 12th in the East with a 17-36 record. They have won four straight though, both S/U and ATS. The Knicks are 9-18 on the road this season. They also allow a whipping 112 ppg on the road this season. That should be good for the Hawks here on Sunday who are averaging over 110 points at home. They have gone over in six of their last eight games and 10 of their last 13 games. I expect a lot of points here between these two bad teams. Play the OVER. |
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02-08-20 | Spurs v. Kings UNDER 223.5 | 102-122 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
Both these western teams are on the outside of the current playoff picture looking in. The Spurs are 10th right now, 3 1/2 games back of 8th place Memphis. The Kings are 13th and 5 1/2 games back of the Grizzlies. The Spurs have lost three straight games and six of their last eight. They are also 4-4 O/u in those eight games. The Kings had to play last night and beat the Miami Heat, 105-97. That game looked like an easy over, but they combined for just 43 4th quarter points as the game went under. Both clubs looked tired out the last eight minutes of the game. Now they have to come back and play again tonight. I'm not a big fan of UNDERS in the NBA this year, but this looks like a good spot for one with a tired Kings team. Play UNDER. |
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01-31-20 | Raptors v. Pistons OVER 223 | Top | 105-92 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
The Toronto Raptors have ridden a nine-game winning streak to 2nd place in the Eastern conference. The Raptors are still 7 1/2 games back of conference leading Milwaukee. The Raptors are 17-7 on the road and scoring an average of 109.6 ppg away from home. The Detroit Pistons are 10th right now in the East, 5-games back of the Nets for that 8th place spot. The Pistons have lost four straight and seven of their last 10 games. The Pistons have also seen five straight games go over and eight of their last nine go over. At home the Pistons are averaging 111.4 ppg and allowing 112.2 ppg. I expect a lot of points in this game tonight. I'm playing the OVER. |
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01-27-20 | North Carolina v. NC State OVER 147.5 | Top | 75-65 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
ACC action here this evening has two old rivals meeting as North Carolina takes on neighboring NC State. The North Carolina Tar Heels are not having a good season with just 9-10 S/U and 5-14 ATS season. The Heels started the season in fine fashion, winning their first five games. Since then, NCU is 4-10. They are coming off a nice win at home over Miami-Florida, 94-71. The Tar Heels have been a decent over team, with a 5-1-1 O/U/P record in their last seven games. NC State having a good year with a 14-6 S/U and 9-10 ATS record. The Wolfpack are off a loss at Georgia Tech, 58-64. The Pack are 5-3 S/U and 4-4 ATS in conference play. This will be a contrast of styles, the fast play of the Tar Heels vs the slower style of NC State. I made this total in the 150's and the oddsmaker made it around 146 to 147. I like the over here as I expect North Carolina to dictate the pace. Play the OVER. |
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01-09-20 | Montana v. Eastern Washington OVER 149 | 90-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Big Sky conference play tonight has Montana playing at Eastern Washington. Montana is 7-8 S/U, 5-8 ATS. The Grizzlies are 3-1 S/U and 2-2 in conference play. They are also 2-2 over/under in conference play. Eastern Washington is 9-5 S/U and 7-5 ATS on the season. The Eagles are 2-1 S/U and 0-3 in conference play thus far. The Eagles are a high scoring team, with 70 or more points in nine of their last 10 games with that lone game coming in at 69 points. They also give up points too, with 10 of their last 12 opponents getting 70 or more points against them. I like the over here tonight. I expect both these teams to get their share of points in what should be a high paced contest. Take the OVER. |
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12-03-19 | Butler v. Ole Miss UNDER 131 | 67-58 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
Butler puts its perfect 7-0 record on the line tonight when they play at Mississippi tonight. The Butler Bulldogs just won both of their tournament games over Stanford and Missouri. Tonight though, I'm looking at the UNDER in this game. Butler has been a very good defensive team, allowing just less than 60 points in six of its eight games. They also have a 2-5 O/U mark on the season. Ole Miss is 5-2 S/U this season and coming off a tournament loss to Oklahoma, 37-78. They have gone under in four of their seven games. We saw what the Ok State defense did to this team, now they face an even better defense in Butler. Don't expect many points here tonight. Play the UNDER. |
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11-10-19 | James Madison v. Virginia UNDER 124 | 34-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Let's face it, the hallmark of this Virginia championship team is their defense. They play the best defense in the country and it looks to be the backbone of the team again this year. In their opening game at Syracuse they held the Orange to jut 34 points. No 11 ranked Virginia held the Orange to just 17.6% shooting on 5 of 29 from 3-point and 23.6% overall shooting on 13 of 55 shots. That doesn't bode well for a lower echelon team like James Madison today. If the Cavs can hold a conference opponent like Syracuse to under 30% shooting, what will they do today? I'm playing UNDER today. |
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11-10-19 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. Illinois State OVER 137 | 70-75 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Arkansas LR opened its season with a road win shocker over Missouri State, 67-66 as a 13-point dog. Today they play again on the road at Illinois State before returning for one home game and then three more road games. Illinois State opens with three home games and won their first over Belmont 79-71. Illinois St was a 5.5-point home dog in that game. They just went under the 151.5 point total line. Today, that total line drops significantly to 137 or around there. I like the OVER as Illinois State will score and Arkansas LR should keep pace. Play the OVER. |