Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-15-23 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays -128 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
The season enters its final few weeks and every game is important to those in the playoff hunt. The Boston Red Sox are not one of those teams. They are coming off a big rivalry series with the Yankees where they lost three of the four game set. They are also 3-7 over their last 10 games. The Jays have no shot at the AL East, but they are in the midst of a Wildcard race. Toronto is 1.5-games back in the AL Wildcard race with just three teams ahead of them. However, one of those teams is Tampa Bay and they have a lock on the top spot as they lead by nine-games. So right now the second spot is between Texas, Seattle and Toronto. The Sox will start Brayan Bello today who is 12-8 on the season with a 3.68 ERA. The Jays will start Jose Berrios who is 10-10 with a 3.63 ERA. Berrios has allowed just four total runs over his last two starts (13 innings) both wins for the Jays. Every game is important to Toronto and that means they need this game tonight. Play Toronto. |
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09-14-23 | Vikings +6 v. Eagles | 28-34 | Push | 0 | 22 h 32 m | Show | |
Minnesota hits the road here to start week 2 as the Vikings play at Philadelphia. The Vikings and Eagles both coming off excellent seasons last year with Minnesota at 13-4 and the Eagles 14.3. The Eagles just coming up short in the Super Bowl, losing to the Chiefs. Last year the Vikings played at Philly in week two again, losing this matchup last year, 7-24. The Vikings coming off that week one loss to the Bucs, 17-20 at home. The Vikings used the pass extensively last week, rushing for just 41 total yards. QB Kirk Cousins was 33-of-44 for 344 yards and two TD's. The Vikings defense allowed just 242 total yards to the Bucs and held them to nine total first downs. The Eagles opened with a tough game at New England and were able to escape with the win, 25-20. The Eagles jumped out to a 16-0 lead over the Pats, but had to hold on for the win. The Eagles had just 251 totals yards as Jalen Hurts went 22-of-33 for 170 yards and a touchdown. The Eagles have had to adjust to both new offensive and defensive coordinators this year. This was an Eagles team that ranked first in the NFL in total defense last year. If the Vikings can establish a rushing game here on Sunday they should be able to compete and keep Hurts and the Eagles offense off the field. I'm still looking for the Eagle to adjust to new coordinators and early in the season is the time to take advantage. Play Minnesota plus the points. |
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09-14-23 | Reds +108 v. Tigers | 2-8 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
The Reds and Tigers finish their set and final meeting of the season against each other here on Thursday. The Reds look to sweep the series after taking Tuesday's game 6-5 and yesterday's 4-3. They will start Derek Law for the third time and first time since May. Law will only be the opener here as he went 1 1/3 innings in his other two starts. So how is the bullpen? It's actually quite good with a 3.86 ERA and over the last seven games a 1.34 ERA. Detroit will start Reese Olson today who is 2-7 in his 15 starts with a 4.99 ERA. I like the Reds bullpen which will be in this game early. Take the Reds today. |
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09-13-23 | Royals v. White Sox OVER 9 | 7-1 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
Two teams not going anywhere this postseason meet for the final time as the White Sox host the Royals. The Royals took game one of the series 11-10 and then lost yesterday, 2-6. The Royals called up Steven Cruz from Triple-A Omaha to start tonight's contest. Cruz likely just an opener here today. Cruz has been on the big club before, giving up four runs in five innings in late August. Don't expect Cruz more than an inning or two. The Bullpen has a 5.30 ERA so that isn't great news either. The Sox will stick with a conventional starter in Mike Clevinger who is 7-7 in his 20 starts with a respectable 3.64 ERA. I expect the Royals to all quite a bit of runs here today. Take the OVER. |
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09-13-23 | Guardians v. Giants -136 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 3 h 29 m | Show | |
With just weeks left in the regular season the Cleveland Guardians are 7.5 games back of the Twins in the AL Central and 11.5-games back in the AL Wildcard race. Looks like the Guardians won't be going anywhere this postseason. The Giants have no chance of catching the Dodgers in the NL West, but they are only 1.5 games back in the NL Wildcard race that sees six teams with a chance (all 1.5 games of each other) to get the two spots. The Guardians will start Logan T Allen today who is 7-7 in his 22 starts with a 3.68 ERA. The Giants can ill afford any losses right now so Kyle Harrison will try to get them a win today. Harrison is 1-1 in his four starts with a 4.87 ERA. He has two home starts with the Giants 2-0 in those games and a 2.38 ERA. I'll take the Giants here on Wednesday. |
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09-12-23 | Cardinals v. Orioles OVER 10 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 45 m | Show |
These teams playing the second of their set here on Tuesday after the Orioles took game one on Monday, 11-5. The Cardinals had gone over in six straight before a couple of Unders vs the Reds. The Overs got back on track last night with 16 total runs scored. Adam Wainwright has had a tough year for the Cardinals at 3-11 with a 8.19 ERA. Hard to believe he's been even worse of late, going 0-7 in his last seven starts with a 9.74 ERA. John Means will make his first start for the Orioles after joining the team in Boston over the weekend. Means makes his first MLB start in nearly 17 months here on Tuesday. Means, a one time All-Star, was runner up to rookie of the year in 2019. This will be a big test for the young pitcher to see if he's making it back from his long recovery from surgery. For me, I'll wait and see. But no matter what, Wainwright has been horrible and I'll take the OVER here on Tuesday. |
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09-11-23 | Padres v. Dodgers OVER 9.5 | 11-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
The San Diego Padres visit Chavez Ravine to face the LA Dodgers in what many thought would be a late season battle for the NL West. But a poor season by the Padres have them 21 games back of the Dodgers. They have also lost two straight games. The Dodgers were red hot out of the All-Star break, but have cooled down a bit, going 4-6 in their last 10 games. They have a comfortable 13-game lead over Arizona though in the division. The Padres will start Pedro Avila who is 1-2 in his four starts with a 3.50 ERA. He has two starts on the road and is 0-1 with a 6.48 ERA. The Dodgers will start Gavin Stone who will make his fourth start today. He's had issues in his prior three, allowing 16 total runs for a 14.40 ERA. Walks have also been a issue with seven free passes in just 10 innings. Two good hitting teams and two suspect pitchers on the hill. I'll take OVER tonight. |
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09-11-23 | Bills v. Jets UNDER 46.5 | 16-22 | Win | 100 | 114 h 20 m | Show | |
Great way to finish week one of the NFL with this AFC East clash between Buffalo and the Jets. The Jets were good last year and then they go out and get Aaron Rodgers this year to bolster an offense to go with that outstanding defense. The AFC East should be interesting with Buffalo, the Jets, Dolphins and Pats. The Bills and Jets both won two preseason games with the Jets having the extra Hall of Fame game. The Bills won their third straight division title last year and made the postseason for the fourth consecutive season. The Bills will once again be one of the favorites to win the Super Bowl. The Jets hope bringing in Rodgers will get them into the postseason for the first time since 2010. Allen Lazard and Randall Cobb also reunite with Rodgers on the Jets. The Jets were fourth in scoring defense last year and total defense. This matchup should feature two of the premier defenses in the AFC. The line is too close for me, but the total I do like and will go with the UNDER. |
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09-10-23 | Cowboys v. Giants +3.5 | 40-0 | Loss | -115 | 94 h 33 m | Show | |
Already a key NFC East battle here on Sunday night has the NY Giants hosting the Dallas Cowboys. Both teams were 1-2 in the preseason. The Giants scored 61 points and allowed 72 while the Cowboys scored 68 and allowed 66. The Cowboys turn the backfield over to Tony Pollard with the departure of Ezekiel Elliot to the Patriots. Dak Prescot is back and healthy. The Cowboys are one of the favorites to get to the Super Bowl, despite a disappointing end to last season. Their defense will be great again this year, led by LB Micah Parsons. The Giants surprised everyone by making the playoffs last year and winning their first playoff game since Super Bowl 46. QB Daniel Jones is much improved and RB Saquon Barkely is back after a contract dispute. I know it's early, but I like the Giants here to win this game. But I'll gladly take the points too. Play NY Giants. |
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09-10-23 | Texans v. Ravens UNDER 43.5 | 9-25 | Win | 100 | 93 h 45 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Ravens long string of preseason wins came to an end this year as they actually went just 1-2. They scored 68 points while allowing 74 in the preseason. Meanwhile, Houston was 2-1 in the preseason scoring just 40 points while allowing 50 points. Houston made a big change, bring in DeMeco Ryan to coach the team after winning just eight games over their last three seasons. Also taking over at QB is C.J. Stroud, the Ohio State star QB. On the defensive side of the ball they bring in Alabama pass rusher Will Anderson Jr, who should also make a big impact. The Ravens won 10 games last year and double digits in four of the last five seasons. QB Lamar Jackson has a new contract in hand and they bring in Odel Beckham Jr as one of his targets along with Nelson Agholor. The defense was third in scoring defense last year and returns most of that unit this year. The Ravens were leaders in a number of defensive categories last year. I'm going to take the under here as the Texans likely will take some time to get the offense in sync and this is not the defense to start out again. Play UNDER. |
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09-10-23 | Panthers v. Falcons UNDER 39.5 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 93 h 45 m | Show | |
NFC South action here on Sunday has Atlanta hosting Carolina. The Panthers didn't win a preseason game and only scored 36 points in their three games. The Falcons were 1-1-1 in preseason and scored just 32 points and allowed just 40 points. Atlanta has seen five of their last six regular season games. Not a lot to go on the first game of the season so I will take into consideration in these early games. But if the preseason is any indication, both these teams will struggle to put points on the board. QB Bryce Young takes over for Carolina and while he may prove to be the future, there could be a rough learning curve for the rookie. I'll stick with the UNDER here in game one. |
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09-10-23 | Bengals v. Browns +2.5 | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 92 h 0 m | Show | |
The season starts with a big rivalry already as the Cleveland Browns host the Cincinnati Bengals in this Battle for Ohio. Bot teams didn't do much in preseason as Cleveland finished 1-2-1 and scored 86 points in their four games. The Bengals were 0-2-1 and scored 51 points while allowing 71 points. Cincinnati won in double digits for the second consecutive season last year. The offense will be very good once again with Burrows at QB, Mixon in the back field and a core of excellent receivers. Burrows suffered a calf injury in preseason but is probable for this contest. The Bengals defense lost some key players in the secondary with Jessie Bates III and Vonn Bell both departing. The Browns look to get back to the postseason after missing the playoffs the last two years. DeShaun Watson will be the key cog for this team after starting just six games last year and looking very rusty. This offense has one of the best backs in the NFL in Nick Chubb so that should take some heat off Watson. With Burrow not playing in the preseason I'll look for him to take some time to get back on track. I like the home dog Browns in this opener. |
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09-10-23 | 49ers v. Steelers +2.5 | 30-7 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 60 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Steelers and 49ers open the season here in Pittsburgh. The Steelers were a perfect 3-0 in the preseason and outscored their opponents by a 78-32 margin. Meanwhile, the 49ers were 1-2 in the preseason and scored just 40 points while allowing 77. This will be the sophomore season for Steelers QB Kenny Pickett. You can expect the reigns to be pulled off him this year. Last year he was held back but not this year. A lot is expected out of the 2nd season QB and I do look for him to have a breakout year. He can do it throwing and with his legs. It looks like Brock Purdy will start for the 49ers after the bad injury in the playoffs vs the Eagles. Should be interesting against a Steelers teams that was very good at intercepting the ball last year. I like home dogs, especially ones coming off impressive preseasons with the better QB playing. I'll take the Steelers on Sunday. |
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09-10-23 | Cardinals v. Commanders -7 | Top | 16-20 | Loss | -110 | 91 h 21 m | Show |
Arizona had a good preseason, going 2-1. However, they were outscored 46-72. Washington was a perfect 3-0 and scored 67 points while allowing 62. The Commanders came off a decent season last year. HC Ron Rivera had to shuffle some QB's, but the team performed well and finished 8-8-1, narrowly missing the playoffs. They start this season with a new offensive coordinator in Eric Bieniemy. The team was also sold as Daniel Snyder gave up ownership to Josh Harris. All these changes could be a new start for the Commanders. The defense has a lot of talent and stacked with draft picks. The D-Line is made up of all 1st round picks. The Defense finished 7th last year in scoring and should be even better this year. The Cardinals could and likely will be the worst team in the division this year. QB Kyler Murray will be out with an ACL tear and that leave David Blough and Jeff Driskell as the candidates. I see a huge difference in talent between these teams. I especially like the Commanders defense and they should shut down this anemic Cardinals attack. Take Washington here in week one. |
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09-10-23 | Titans +3 v. Saints | 15-16 | Win | 105 | 88 h 11 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints came off their preseason with a 2-1 record and outscored opponents by a 61-58 mark. As for the Titans, they also were 2-1 and outscored opponents 64-46. The Titans hope to rebound from a 7-10 season that saw them drop their last seven games. Mike Vrabel will be in his sixth season and the team under his control haven't missed the playoffs in two straight seasons. They come back with QB Ryan Tannehill and RB Derrick Henry. They added WR DeAndre Hopkins which should help the receiving corp. The New Orleans Saints have seen their win totals drop each of the last four seasons to just seven wins last year. In comes new QB Derek Carr. This might be the first time since Drew Brees that they will have a solid option at QB. Word is that WR Michael Thomas looks like his old self and could give a huge boost to both Carr and the receivers. Thomas has battled injuries over the last few seasons that has seen his playing time drop drastically. The Titans want to prove they aren't the team that finished last season. It will yet to be seen if Carr can keep the mistakes that plagued him in Vegas last year to a minimum. I have to take the points here with Henry carrying the load here on Sunday. Play Tennessee. |
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09-09-23 | Cardinals v. Reds OVER 10.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 33 m | Show | |
The St Louis Cardinals continue their torrid tear with the bats. The Cardinals just came off a 3-game set vs the Braves where they scored 26 runs and went over all three games. They opened vs the Reds on Friday and it was another hit fest with nine more runs and another over. That put a dent into the Reds playoff hopes as they are close to Milwaukee in the NL Central and within a game of the NL Wildcard. The Cardinals will start Zack Thompson here on Saturday with a 2-2 record with a 3.60 ERA. The Reds will start Carson Spiers who has no record after one start and a 6.75 ERA. Don't really care who pitches here on Saturday, I'm sticking with the hot bats of the Cardinals and taking the OVER. |
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09-09-23 | New Mexico State +10.5 v. Liberty | 17-33 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 54 m | Show | |
Conference USA Action here on Saturday has two teams expected to make some noise in the conference this year as Liberty hosts New Mexico State. New Mexico State Aggies finished last year 7-6 under HC Jerry Kill while Liberty was 8-5 under HC Jamey Chadwell. New Mexico State opened this season with a loss to U Mass before beating Western Illinois in their second game, 58-21. They had 438 yards of offense in the 2nd half alone last week. This Aggies team was 38th in defense last season. Liberty is 1-0 with a win in their opening week over Bowling Green, 34-24. Though leading 24-0 they had to hold off a furious rally by Bowling Green. They were led by sophomore QB Kaidon Salter who had 143 yards and two TD's. Liberty had five interceptions on defense, the most by a Liberty defense since 1995. New Mexico State won this matchup last year 49-14. Double digit favorite is Liberty this year and I think that's just too many points to give this New Mexico State squad. Play New Mexico State. |
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09-09-23 | Appalachian State +19.5 v. North Carolina | 34-40 | Win | 100 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
App State hits the road for the first time this season after beating Gardner-Webb last week at home, 45-24. North Carolina opened with a win over South Carolina last week, 31-17. App State struggled a bit last week, pulling away in the 2nd half and allowing 24 points on defense. The Tar Heels had 269 yards passing and 168 yards rushing last week. A lot of points to cover here this early in the season against what has been a good App State program in season's past. I'll take the points here with App State. |
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09-09-23 | Ole Miss -7 v. Tulane | Top | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 16 h 25 m | Show |
Ole Miss travels to Tulane here on Saturday to face the Green Wave from Yulman Stadium. These teams last met two years ago with Ole Miss taking that one, 61-21. The Rebels closed out last season by losing their last four games of the year and five of the last six. The Rebs did open with a win in their opener, scoring 70 points in the process, but that was against Mercer. Today will be a much tougher test for this team. They do have an explosive offense though with one of the best QB's in Jaxson Dart. Quinshon Judkins looks to carry the load running the ball. Tulane is coming off that bowl win vs USC last season. They dominated South Alabama at home last week with a 20-point win. Now comes an SEC team to town, which is going to be a early test for this Tulane squad. Michael Pratt will be at QB after a 14-of-15 performance last week for four TD's. The Rebels will be out to get that bad taste from the end of last year from their mouths. I don't see them overlooking this Tulane team. I'll lay the points with Ole Miss. |
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09-09-23 | Western Michigan v. Syracuse OVER 56.5 | 7-48 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
Western Michigan heads to Syracuse to take on the Orange from the JMA Wireless Dome. Western opened the season with a win over St Francis PA, 35-17 while Syracuse routed Colgate, 65-0. The Western Michigan Broncos have a very good rushing attack, gaining 339 yards on the ground last week. They are ranked 7th in the nation in rushing. Syracuse ranked 5th in scoring after 65 point performance last week. They also had 677 yards of total offense. QB Garrett Shrader passed for 257 yards and four TD's. Both these teams looked great on offense last week against inferior opponents. I expect one of them will show it was the real deal and put up plenty of points again here on Saturday. Take the OVER. |
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09-08-23 | Cardinals v. Reds OVER 10 | Top | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
The Cincinnati Reds have won seven of their last 10 games and still within striking distance of 1st place Milwaukee in the NL Central. The Reds trail by just two games. They are also in the hunt in the NL Wildcard race, just a half game back in those standings. So every game is big for the Reds. They face a Cardinals team that just took two of three games from the Braves and scored 26 runs in the three game set. The Cards have also gone over in five straight games, scoring at least five runs in each of those. The Cardinals start Drew Rom today who is 0-2 in his three starts with a 7.24 ERA. The Reds will start Andrew Abbott who is 8-4 in 17 starts with a 3.22 ERA. Not quite so good lately, going 2-2 in his last seven starts with a 5.67 ERA. I'm sticking with the OVER in these Cardinals games as they continue to hit the ball well with little pitching on the other end. Play OVER. |
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09-07-23 | Lions v. Chiefs OVER 54.5 | 21-20 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 14 m | Show | |
The start of the NFL Season and a great game on tap as the Kansas City Chiefs host the Detroit Lions. Detroit had one of their best seasons in memory, finishing at 9-8. However, they missed the playoffs for the sixth straight year. Detroit improved though last year under Dan Campbell, winning eight of their final 10 games. Gone are RB's Jamaal Williams, D'Andre Swift and Justin Jackson. Coming in is 1st round pick Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery. The Lions were 8th in passing last year and 11th in rushing, averaging 26.6 ppg. Kansas City begins defense of their Super Bowl Championship. They were 14-3 in the regular season last year and beat the Eagles in the Super Bowl. They were first in the NFL in passing offense with 297.8 ypg. They were also first in scoring offense with 29.2 ppg. They will have some early issue on the defensive line with Chris Jones holding out. Expect the Lions to throw a lot in this game and with the high scoring Chiefs on the other side I'm taking the OVER here in game one of the season. |
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09-07-23 | Cardinals v. Braves OVER 10.5 | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
Yikes! What in the world is going on with the Braves. Did they change uniforms with the A's or something?? The Braves have gotten their butts kicked the last two nights by the Cardinals. Both games the Braves were North of a two dollar favorite and they gave up 10 runs on Tuesday and 11 runs on Wednesday. They fell way behind in both games and never came close. Even their Ace, Striker, was rocked last night in a 6-11 loss after the Cards jumped out to a 5-0 lead. Today they start Max Fried who is 6-1 with a 2.52 ERA. Adam Wainwright will start for the Cardinals with a 3-10 record and 8.10 ERA. The way this series is going, I won't be surprised at all by the Cardinals scoring big again here tonight. I'll just play the OVER. |
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09-06-23 | White Sox v. Royals OVER 9.5 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Wild game between these two teams on Tuesday as the Royals rallied in the bottom of the 9th inning for two runs to beat the White Sox, 7-6. The Sox jumped out to a 5-0 lead in the 2nd inning but couldn't hold on as the Royals chipped away and finally won. Neither team going anywhere this postseason so these games are just for enjoyment right now. That doesn't mean there isn't money to be made. The White Sox start Touki Toussaint who is 2-7 in his 11 starts with a 5.54 ERA. He's been slightly worse on the road with a 2-3 record and 6.35 ERA. It's been a rough season for Royals starter Jordan Lyles. Lyles is 4-15 in 26 starts with a 6.17 ERA. He's been slightly better at home where he is 2-6 with a 4.81 ERA. Either way, two bad pitchers on two bad teams with bad bullpens. I'll take the OVER and let them score at will today. |
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09-06-23 | Twins -122 v. Guardians | 1-2 | Loss | -122 | 3 h 36 m | Show | |
The Twins have opened up the AL Central lead to seven games over today's 2nd place Cleveland Guardians. The Twins have won two straight and six of the last 10. They are also the only team in the Central with a positive run differential (+70). The Guardians have lost three straight as they fade in the AL Central race. It isn't any better in the Wildcard as they trail by 11 games. Joe Ryan starts today for the Twins with a 10-8 record and 4.20 ERA. Ryan has allowed just two runs total over his last two starts (11 innings). Cleveland will start Gavin Williams who is 1-5 in his 13 starts with a 3.46 ERA. Twins can really put this division away with a sweep and today they come one step closer. Play Minnesota |
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09-05-23 | Phillies -106 v. Padres | 0-8 | Loss | -106 | 22 h 21 m | Show | |
The Phillies jumped out to a huge lead in Monday's game at San Diego, but had to hold on late for the win 9-7. While the Phillies have no shot in the NL East, they are the leader right now in the NL Wildcard race with a 5.5 game lead. The Padres fell back to 6.5-games back in the Wildcard race and with six teams ahead of them, the odds don't look good. The Phillies start Michael Lorenzen tonight. It's been three starts since Lorenzen threw his no hitter vs the Nationals on Aug 9th. Since then he's allowed 13 runs over 15 innings. The Padres will start Pedro Avila. Avila is 0-2 in his three starts with a 5.56 ERA. Phillies just might be the scariest team right now in the Wildcard race and I look for them to increase their lead here on Tuesday. Play Philadelphia. |
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09-04-23 | Giants v. Cubs -132 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
It's an early start to your holiday winning with Jim today as the Chicago Cubs host the San Francisco Giants. The Giants coming off a three-game set at San Diego where they were swept by the Padres. The Giants are in second place, but that doesn't mean anything since they are 14.5 games back of the Dodgers. However, the Wildcard still in striking distance as they are just 3-games back of today's opponent, the Cubs. That being said, the Cubs have the 2nd Wildcard spot right now with the Marlines, Giants, D'backs and Reds are three games back of them. Logan Webb starts for the Giants with a 9-11 mark and 3.64 ERA. He's been slightly worse on the road with a 4-5 record and 4.63 ERA. Justin Steele having a great season for the Cubs with a 15-3 record and 3.06 ERA. He's 5-0 in his last seven starts with a 3.35 ERA. Steele is a steal at this price today. Play Cubs. |
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09-03-23 | LSU v. Florida State +110 | 24-45 | Win | 110 | 19 h 13 m | Show | |
One of the marquee matchups of week one takes place tonight in Orlando as Florida State takes on LSU. These same two opened last season with FSU taking an exciting game 24-23 on a blocked extra point. FSU finished last year 10-3 and ranked No 11 in the nation. Lots of excitement in this team to push Clemson in the ACC and in the conference and maybe a playoff push. QB Jordan Travis is back to lead this high octane offense while the defense returns eight starters. LSU recovered from their opening loss to Florida State and got better as the year went along and beat Alabama 32-31 and finished 10-4 overall. They went on to the Citrus Bowl where they pounded Purdue. FSU will be a tough beat though here in Orlando where they lead the all time series with LSU, 10-0-2. They have also won eight of the last 10 overall with LSU. I'm taking Florida State here on the money as a small dog. Play Florida State Money Line. |
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09-03-23 | Tigers -140 v. White Sox | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show | |
Two teams playing out the season meet in the final game of this set here on Sunday. The Detroit Tigers look to win their fourth game in a row and sweep this series with the White Sox after Saturday's blowout win, 10-0. The Tigers will start Tarik Skubal today who is 3-3 in his 10 starts with a 3.93 ERA. The White Sox will start Michael Kopech who is 5-12 in his 25 starts with a 5.08 ERA. He's been worse of late, going 1-4 in his last seven starts and a 7.39 ERA. I look for a Tigers sweep here on Sunday. Play Detroit. |
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09-03-23 | Northwestern v. Rutgers -6.5 | Top | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 71 h 29 m | Show |
Big 10 action already on tap here on Sunday as Rutgers hosts Northwestern. The Northwestern Wildcats had one of their worst years in history, finishing 1-11 on the season. They return a couple of QB's who will battle for the starting job. Rutgers looks for a winning season after losing since 2014. They had a 4-8 campaign last season. The QB job is wide open this season with a trio of players competing for the job. The defense should be solid this year, led by the pass rush and a good secondary. Both teams looking to get off to that winning start. For me I'll take Rutgers here at home. |
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09-02-23 | Orioles -132 v. Diamondbacks | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 16 m | Show | |
Baltimore's lead in the AL East has dropped to just 1.5 games over the Tampa Bay Rays. The Orioles lost on Friday at Arizona, 2-4. That makes two straight losses for Baltimore. The D'backs have won six of their last 10, though they still have a negative run differential of -19. Kyle Bradish starts for the O's tonight. Bradish is 9-6 in his 24 games with a 3.03 ERA. He's been very good of late too, going 5-2 in his last seven starts with a 2.98 ERA. Slade Cecconi starts for the D'backs, making just his four start. He has no record with a 3.14 ERA. Cecconi has gone into the 5th inning just one time. I like the first place Orioles here tonight. Play Baltimore. |
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09-02-23 | Old Dominion +16.5 v. Virginia Tech | 17-36 | Loss | -115 | 55 h 28 m | Show | |
Reason: Virginia Tech looks to start its season on a positive note and that means avenging a loss to Old Dominion from last year. The Monarchs defeated Tech, 20-17 last year and sent Tech on a 3-8 season. Bhayshul Tuten transfers over from NC A&T to bolster the running game for the Hokies. Old Dominion finished last year 3-9 and had some major roster overhauls. So it's yet to be seen how those will effect this year's team. Still, the Hokies not a team to be laying this many points even in a revenge situation. I'll take the points with ODU here on Saturday. |
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09-02-23 | South Alabama +6.5 v. Tulane | 17-37 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Both teams open the season here on Saturday night. South Alabama Jaguars finished with a 10-3 record last season while the Tulane Green Wave were 12-2. The Jags won 10 games for the first time in school history which has them one of the top teams to win the Sun Belt this year. They averaged 29.8 ppg last year while have a very balanced offense rushing for 156 ypg and passing for 267 ypg. Carter Bradley is back at QB after hitting on 65% of his passes and having 28 TD's last year. South Alabama should be just as good as last year with most players returning. They had a very good defense that held opponents to 22.5 ppg. Tulane did lose their leading rusher from last as Shaadie-Clayton-Johnson is expected to fill the void. The Jags had an excellent offense and balance attack with a good defense. The Green Wave did struggle against the run last year and that could be exploited here today. The Jags had the 6th best run defense in the country last year and should disrupt the Tulane rushing attack today. This South Alabama team just too good on both sides of the ball to be getting this many points. Take South Alabama. |
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09-02-23 | West Virginia v. Penn State UNDER 50.5 | 15-38 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 56 m | Show | |
West Virginia looking to improve on a 2022 season that saw the Mountaineers win only five games. This team looks to be a run first type offense again with a very good backfield. They still have questions to answer at the QB position though. The defense also needs to improve as they allowed 32 ppg last season. Meanwhile Penn State comes into the season with high expectations. They rank in the top 10 preseason polls and won 11 games last season. They also have 14 returning starters including their QB Drew Allar and top running back. This was one of the best defensive teams last season. They have depth on defense and look to use their defense to lead the way. That's what I look for here in week 1 for the Nittany Lions. I expect them to shut down this West Virginia offense. The home crowd will be up for this one and inspire a great effort from the Penn State defense. I'm not going to lay the big number, but rather take the UNDER in this game. |
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09-02-23 | Northern Illinois +9 v. Boston College | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 47 h 28 m | Show | |
Opening game for both these teams as Northern Illinois Huskers look to improve on their 3-9 season last year. However, five of those losses came by one score. Rocky Lombardi is back at QB for NIU after 645 yards and five TD's last year. NIU suffered through a lot of injuries last year so they are looking for more consistent play this season. Boston College had its worst season since 2015 last year, finishing with a 3-9 record. They also return last year's QB as Emmett Moorhead is back behind center. NIU is 5-2 ATS in its last seven road games while BC is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 overall games. Getting more than a TD with a team that lost five games last year by one score is good for me. I'll take the points with Northern Illinois. |
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09-01-23 | Tigers -128 v. White Sox | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 55 m | Show |
The Tigers won on Thursday, beating the Yankees 4-3 in 10 innings. They led 3-0 in the top of the 9th with two outs before giving up the game tying home run. However, they were able to prevail in the bottom of the 10th inning for the win. They open this series with the White Sox. Both teams just looking to play out the rest of the season as neither will make the postseason. Detroit starts Eduardo Rodriguez here today who is 9-7 with a 3.21 ERA. Touki Toussaint will counter for the White Sox. He is 2-6 in his 10 starts with a 5.59 ERA. Both pitchers have been inconsistent of late, but I'll take the Tigers here on Friday. |
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09-01-23 | Red Sox v. Royals OVER 9.5 | 2-13 | Win | 100 | 21 h 55 m | Show | |
Both these clubs had Monday off as they begin this set from Kansas City. The Red Sox have no shot in the AL East as they trail by 14 1/2 games. The Wildcard isn't too easy either as they trail by 6.5 games. The Royals are one of the two AL teams already eliminated from the playoffs. James Paxton will start for the Red Sox with a 7-4 record in his 18 starts and a 3.99 ERA. He's been worse of late, going 2-2 in his last seven starts and a 4.80 ERA. He's also allowed 10 runs over his last two starts (8 1/3 innings). Jordan Lyles will start for the Royals with a 3-15 record and a 6.39 ERA. He's also been worse of late, going 2-4 in his last seven starts with a 7.71 ERA. I like this game to go OVER here on Friday. |
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09-01-23 | Central Michigan +14 v. Michigan State | 7-31 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
Battle of Michigan teams here today has the Central Michigan Chippewas taking on Michigan State from Spartan Stadium. C.Michigan picked to finish fourth in the MAC has a somewhat difficult non-conference schedule with Michigan State and Notre Dame on tap. Michigan State takes on Richmond and Washington in their other non-conference games. C.Mich was 4-8 last year and turned the ball over a lot (-18 turnover ratio). Jim McElwain looks to improve the team as he did at Colorado State and Florida. They will start Sophomore QB Jase Bauer or reshirt freshman Bert Emanual Jr. The defense has talent at every level with a experience secondary. Michigan State has not announced a QB yet for week one as redshirt junior Noah Kin and redshirt freshman Katin Houser both compete for the spot. Michigan State will have to rely on a good defense until the offense finds its footing. Early on here I am like some nice dogs and today is one of them. I'll take the points with Central Michigan. |
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08-31-23 | Nebraska +7.5 v. Minnesota | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Big 10 football on tap to start both Nebraska and Minnesota season. Nebraska parted ways with HC Scott Frost after losing four straight seasons. In comes Matt Rhule, former Carolina Panthers head coach. Rhule has shown he can help rebuild teams as he did at Temple and Baylor. The Huskers averaged 22.6 ppg last year. Jeff Sims, former Georgia Tech QB, will be the starter at Nebraska this year. Minnesota has won at least nine games in three of the last four years (Covid season the exception). They averaged 28.2 ppg last year. The bad news is they lost both QB's from last year and their leading rusher. Western Michigan transfer Sean Tyler is expected to replace their leading rusher, Mohamed Ibrahim. The defense lost some key members to a squad that was one of the best defensive teams in the country, allowing just 13.3 ppg last year. How the replacements will be is yet to be seen. The Minnesota team was a rushing team last year and didn't throw the ball much. How the loss of Ibrahim will effect them will be the big test. The defense also has lots of questions, losing their top three tacklers from last year. I'm looking for the Huskers to give them a good game here on Thursday under their new head coach. I'll take the points with Nebraska. |
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08-31-23 | NC State v. Connecticut +14 | 24-14 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
NC State travels to Hartford tonight to kickoff the season with U Conn for both teams. NC State finished last year 8-5 and lost in the Mayo Bowl to Maryland. U Conn finished 6-7 and lost in the Myrtle Beach Bowl to Marshall, 14-28. NC State will be rebuilding this season after losing a number of starters off of last year's team. That includes losing QB Devin Leary who transferred to Kentucky. They did get Virginia transfer Brennan Armstrong though. The defense returns six starters which finished 15th overall in scoring defense. As for U Conn, they look for another bowl bid this year and that would mark the first time for back-to-back bowl seasons since 2008-10. They will have Maine transfer Joseph Fagnano at QB. He had 15 TD's and 2231 yards last year at Maine. He will have an offensive line in front of him that returns four starters. Last time these teams met was 2022 with NC State winning at home, 41-10. Both teams have lots of new faces on both sides of the ball. I'm taking the points here today at home with the Huskies. Play U Conn. |
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08-30-23 | Reds v. Giants -1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Reds look to snap a 3-game losing streak here tonight at San Francisco. The Reds have dropped to seven games back in the NL Central behind the Brewers. The Reds have a better shot at the NL Wildcard as they are just 2-games back in that race. The Giants are 1-game back in the Wildcard race and 13.5-games back of the Dodgers in the NL West. Hunter Greene starts for the Reds with a 2-6 record in his 16 starts and a 5.06 ERA. He's allowed 13 runs over his last two starts (6 2/3 innings). The Giants will start Logan Webb who is 9-10 in his 27 starts with a 3.67 ERA. He's been a bit better at home with a 5-5 record and 2.78 ERA. I'm taking the Giants here on Wednesday and laying the Run Line. Play Giants -1.5 Runs. |
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08-30-23 | Angels v. Phillies -1.5 | 10-8 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
Reason: The AL West is a 3-team race as the Rangers, Mariners and Astros are all tied right now for the lead. That leaves the Angels the odd man out as they sit 12.5-games back of those three teams. They are also 12.5-games back in the AL Wildcard race. The Phillies are in 2nd place in the NL East but have no shot at first place Atlanta as they are 12.5 games back in the race. However, the NL Wildcard is a different story. The Phillies hold a 5-game advantage as they are the top NL Wildcard team right now. The Cubs are four games back and the Giants five games back. Reid Detmers starts today with a 3-10 record in his 23 starts and a 5.03 ERA. He's been worse of late, going 1-4 in his last seven starts with a 6.82 ERA. Cristopher Sanchez starts for the Phils with a 2-3 record in his 13 starts and a 3.33 ERA. He's allowed two runs in each of his last three starts, going six innings in each. I'm taking the Wildcard leading Phillies here today in this IL Game and laying the run Line. Play Philadelphia -1.5 Runs. |
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08-29-23 | Astros v. Red Sox OVER 10 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
It's a tight race in the AL West as one game separates the top three teams. One of those are the Houston Astros, who are 1 game back of the Seattle Mariners. The Mariners have surged into first place thanks to a 9-1 run. Meanwhile, Texas has been struggling to 2-8 their last 10 and Houston 5-5. The Red Sox are in 4th in the AL East, 13.5-games back of the Orioles. The Sox still have a shot at a AL Wildcard as they are 4.5-games back with four teams ahead of them. Houston will start J.P. France today. France is 8-5 in his 18 starts with a 3.62 ERA. He's coming off a horrible start, where he allowed 11 hits and 10 runs over just 2 1/3 innings to the Red Sox. Now he has to face them again here today. Boston will start Brayan Bellow who is 10-7 with a 3.56 ERA in 22 starts. He's been slightly higher with the ERA in his last seven starts, having a 4.46 mark. Both these teams can score as they both average five runs per game. The Houston bullpen has been bad of late, posting a 6.37 ERA in his last seven games. Boston has been even worse, allowing a 7.07 ERA over their last seven games. Two struggling pens and two very good scoring teams. I'll take the OVER today. |
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08-28-23 | Padres -1.5 v. Cardinals | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
The San Diego Padres arguably the biggest disappointment of the 2023 season. After a bunch of high profile signings and moves the Padres were expected to contend with the Dodgers for the AL West title. However, here they sit, 19 games back in the West. The Wildcard even a longshot at this point, as they sit eight games back with six teams ahead of them. Blake Snell has been a bright spot though for this team, especially since the All Star break. Snell is 10-9 overall in 26 starts with a 2.73 ERA. However, he has allowed more than two runs in a start just one time dating back to May 25th. He has been very good and the teams best starter. The Cardinals also a disappointment this season as they are in last in the NL Central, 16.5-games back of the Brewers. The Cardinals have lost two straight games and eight of their last 10. Adam Wainwright has not been good either, going 3-9 in his 17 starts with a 8.61 ERA. That number is even worse lately with a 0-6 record in his last seven starts and a 10.55 ERA. Huge difference in starters here today. I'll take the Padres with Snell and lay the Run Line. |
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08-28-23 | Yankees v. Tigers OVER 8.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
It's been a long time since the Yankees have been this far under .500 at this juncture of the season. Yet, here they sit at 62-67, 19 games back in the AL East. They have lost eight of their last 10 games and have the only negative run differential in the division at -20 runs. Detroit sits third in the AL Central, 7.5 games back of the Minnesota Twins in the AL Central. They can pretty much forget the AL Wildcard as they are 14 games back in that race. The Yankees will start Luis Severino today with a 3-7 record and a 6.97 ERA. He's been horrible on the road, posting a 0-5 record in eight starts and a 9.08 ERA. Reese Olson will toe the rubber for the Tigers with his 2-5 record in 12 starts and a 6.11 ERA. He's allowed 10 runs over his last two starts (7 2/3 innings). With these two starters on the hill today I'll be on the OVER. |
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08-27-23 | Rockies v. Orioles OVER 9 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -111 | 2 h 19 m | Show |
Interleague action has the Colorado Rockies playing on the East Coast at Baltimore. The Rockies have lost six games after dropping the first two of this series at the Orioles. The Orioles have taken both the first two games by the same score, 5-4. The Rockies have been a good over team, with a 8-1-1 O/U mark their last 10 games. The Rockies will start Ty Blach here today who is 1-1 in his six starts with a 3.25 ERA. The Orioles continue to lead the AL East by three games over the Rays. Baltimore has won four straight and seven of their last eight games. They are also 6-3-1 O/U in their last 10 games. Jack Flaherty makes his first start since Aug 15th. He is 8-8 in his 23 starts with a 4.73 ERA. He is coming off a bad start on the 15th where he allowed seven runs over three innings to the Padres. I like this one to go over today. Play OVER. |
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08-26-23 | Guardians v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | 3-8 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 1 m | Show | |
The Guardians are losing ground in the AL Central as the now trail the Twins by six games. The news is even worse in the Wildcard as they are 11.5-games back. As for the Jays, they are in the race for the Wildcard, just 2.5 games back despite losing three straight games. The Guardians will start Logan T. Allen who is 6-6 in his 19 starts with a 3.31 ERA. He's been very good of late, allowing five total runs over his last four starts (23 innings). The Jays will start Hyun-Jin Ryu who is 2-1 in his four games since coming off the DL. Ryu had a rough outing in his first start, allowing four runs over five innings. However, Ryu has gotten his form back since then, allowing no runs over his lat three starts (14 innings). Both starters are very good and I'll be on the UNDER here today. Play UNDER. |
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08-26-23 | Navy +20.5 v. Notre Dame | 3-42 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 46 m | Show | |
This is the first game of the college football season as Notre Dame hosts Navy. Notre Dame has high aspirations for this season and a CFB playoff in part to Wake Forest transfer Sam Hartman. The Irish were 9-4 last year in the debut of HC Marcus Freeman. Still, they need improvement after losses last year to Marshall and Stanford. Navy will have a new look at HC as DC Brian Newberry takes over after 15-year HC Ken Niumatalolo was fired. Notre Dame a huge favorite here on Saturday. Hartman was one of College football's top QB's and will be a big upgrade at the position for Notre Dame. One thing Navy has going for it is the option. Always hard to prepare for a good option team. And this year you can expect more passing from this Middie tea under new OC Grant Chestnut. This more passing attack could catch the Irish off guard today. The offensive line should be very good with three returning seniors. Navy needs to get the ground game going and keep the Irish offense off the field. Navy covered last year, losing by just three points to the Irish, 32-35. I'll take the big points here with Navy on Saturday. Play Navy. |
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08-25-23 | Padres v. Brewers -110 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
The Milwaukee Brewers and San Diego Padres begin their set here tonight. The Brewers are in 1st place in the AL Central, three games ahead of the Cubs. The Brewers have won five straight games and seven of their last 10. They will face a Padres team that had huge expectations entering the season but have fallen flat. The Padres are 18 games back of the Dodgers in the AL West and six games back in the NL Wildcard race. While they may have a shot at the Wildcard, they have six teams ahead of them in that race. Yu Darvish starts for the Padres with a 8-9 record in his 23 starts and a 4.35 ERA. He has allowed eight runs over his last two starts (12 innings). Brandon Woodruff will start for the Brewers with a 2-1 record in his five starts and a 2.89 ERA. Woodruff has allowed two runs or fewer in four of his five starts. I like the Brewers here tonight against a struggling Padres club. Play Milwaukee. |
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08-25-23 | Calgary v. Toronto -9.5 | 31-39 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
The defending Grey Cup Champion Toronto Argonauts return home to host the Calgary Stampeders. The Argos are 7-1 and have the CFL 2nd best point differential of +93. They are 4-0 at home this season and coming off a bye week. The Argos are 5-0 ATS in the week following a bye week. They are also 5-0 ATS in their last five home games and 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 overall games. Calgary is 3-7 and have lost two straight games. They have a -38 point differential. Lots of points to lay here tonight, but Toronto should be able to pull it off. Play Toronto. |
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08-25-23 | Guardians v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Guardians have lost two straight games and six of their last 10 to drop six games back of the Minnesota Twins in the AL Central. The Toronto Blue Jays are 3rd in the AL East with a 70-58 record and have also lost two straight games as these teams begin their new set here on Friday. The Jays are just 1.5 games back in the AL Wildcard race and right now that looks their best avenue to make the postseason. The Guardians will start Tanner Bibee today who is 9-3 in hi 20 starts with a 3.01 ERA. He's been even better of late, going 4-1 in his last seven games with a 2.47 ERA. The Jays will start Chris Bassitt today who is 12-6 with a 3.92 ERA. He's also been good his last seven starts with a 4-1 record and 3.21 ERA. Two very good starters here today should keep this game lower scoring. Play the UNDER. |
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08-24-23 | Rangers v. Twins -117 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 18 h 53 m | Show | |
A battle of AL first place teams as the Central leading Twins host the East leading Rangers. The Twins have lost two straight including last night in 10 innings at Milwaukee, 7-8. Their lead over 2nd place Cleveland is 4.5-games. The Rangers lead over the Astros has dropped to one-game after Texas is in the midst of a 6-game losing streak. The Rangers start Andrew Heaney here tonight who is 9-6 in his 24 starts with a 4.27 ERA. The Twins will counter with Pablo Lopez who is 9-6 in his 25 starts and a 3.51 ERA. Lopez has gone three straight starts without allowing a run (19 innings). As long as the Rangers are in this losing skid I will take the Twins and a very hot Lopez here tonight. Play Minnesota. |
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08-23-23 | Rockies v. Rays -1.5 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -119 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
Tampa Bay has won two straight games and seven of their last 10 games to close back within two games of first place Baltimore Orioles. The Rockies are in last in the NL West and have the second worst run differential in baseball with a -177 mark. The Rockies have lost two straight games and seven of their last 10. Colorado will start Austin Gomber who is 9-9 in his 25 starts with a 5.52 ERA. The Rays will counter with Aaron Civale who is 6-3 in his 16 starts and a 2.44 ERA. He's been even better of late, going 3-1 in his last seven starts with a 2.27 ERA. I'll lay the Run line here today with the Rays. |
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08-22-23 | Reds v. Angels OVER 9 | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
This game scratched from Monday because of lingering effects of tropical storm Hillary. They get it underway here tonight. The Cincinnati Reds have lost two straight games and six of their last 10 as they play today in this Interleague game at the LA Angels. The Reds are four games back of the Brewers in the NL Central and now trail the Cubs by one game for 2nd place. The Reds are just one game back in the NL Wildcard race. However, there are six teams all within 1 game of those top two spots. The LA Angels were buyers instead of sellers at the trade deadline as they were within striking distance of a playoff spot. That has change though as they are now in 4th in the AL West, 11.5-games back of the Rangers and 8.5 games back in the AL Wildcard race. The Reds will start Graham Ashcraft today who is 6-8 in his 23 starts with a 4.89 ERA. One of those players the Angels picked up was today's starter Lucas Giolito who has not done well in his short stint with the Halos. Overall he's 7-9 in his 25 starts with a 4.44 ERA. Last seven games he's 1-4 with a 7.12 ERA. I'll take the OVER here today. |
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08-22-23 | Blue Jays v. Orioles -114 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
AL East battle here on Tuesday has the division leading Baltimore Orioles taking on the third place Toronto Blue Jays. The Jays are 8.5 games back of the O's and have won two straight games and five of their last 10. Baltimore has won three games in a row and seven of their last 10 games. Toronto is also just a half game back in the AL Wild Card race. The Jays will start Yusei Kikuchi today who is 9-4 in his 24 starts and a 3.44 ERA. Grayson Rodriguez will start for the O's with a 3-3 record and 5.44 ERA. That number goes down a bit of late to 4.62 over his last seven starts. What I like most though is that he's allowed two runs or fewer in each of his last five starts. I'm taking the O's at home here tonight. |
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08-21-23 | Red Sox v. Astros OVER 8.5 | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
The Boston Red Sox look to keep their modest 3-game win streak going here today as they start a set at the Houston Astros. The Sox have also won seven of their last 10 starts and have a plus 36 run differential. While the Red Sox are 11-games back of the Orioles, they are just 3-games back in the AL Wildcard race. The Astros have lost three straight and missed a great opportunity to retake first place in the AL West. The Astros trail the Rangers by just 2.5-games but gained only a half game during the Rangers four-game losing streak. Good news is that Houston holds the 2nd AL Wildcard spot, a half game lead over Seattle. James Paxton starts for the Red Sox today with his 7-3 record in 16 starts and a 3.34 ERA. Those numbers are up of late with a 3-2 record in his last seven starts and a 4.21 ERA. The Astros will start Cristian Javier today who is 8-2 in his 23 starts and a 4.49 ERA. Like the Sox starter, his numbers get worse of late with a 1-1 record in his last seven starts and a 6.37 ERA. I'll take the OVER here today. |
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08-20-23 | BC -9.5 v. Saskatchewan | 29-34 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
CFL West action here on Sunday to close out the week has British Columbia taking on Saskatchewn. BC is in 2nd place in the West with a 7-2 record, one game back of Winnipeg. BC has a plus 80 point differential this season. Saskatchewan is 4-5 and sits in third place in the division. They have a -67 point differential. BC does well vs losing teams, covering their last five times. They are also 5-1-1 ATS their last seven vs the West. The Lions are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games overall. The Roughriders are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games overall and 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games after a straight-up loss. BC in a fight for first so I don't see any letup here today. Take B.C. Lions. |
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08-20-23 | Mets v. Cardinals OVER 10 | Top | 3-7 | Push | 0 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
Two teams that this time of the year are usually figuring in the playoff picture just playing out the rest of the season at this point. The Mets are 58-66 and 23 games back in the AL East. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are in last in the AL Central. The Mets will start Carlos Carrasco today who is 3-6 on the season with a 6.40 ERA. He's been even worse lf late, going 1-3 in his last seven starts with a 7.18 ERA. The Cardinals will start Dakota Hudson who is 3-0 in his four starts with a 4.15 ERA. Not a lot to see on Hudson, though the team has won all four of his starts. I'm taking the OVER in this one on Sunday. |
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08-19-23 | Pirates v. Twins -1.5 | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 22 m | Show | |
The Minnesota twins opened their series with the Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday with a 5-1 win. The Twins now lead the AL Central by five games over the Cleveland Guardians. Minnesota also is the only team in the division with a positive differential of runs at +44. The Pirates have dropped two straight and seven of the last 10 games. They are 11 and 1/2 games back of the Milwaukee Brewers in the NL Central. They will start Mitch Keller here today who is 9-8 on the season in his 25 starts with a 4.27 ERA. Keller has been even worse of late going 0-4 in his last seven starts with a 6.35 ERA. Sonny Gray will take the hill for the twins with 6-5 record in 24 starts. Gray has an excellent 2.97 ERA. He's also coming off an excellent start at Philadelphia allowing just two hits and no runs over six innings for the win. I'm taking the twins today on the run line |
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08-19-23 | Montreal -1 v. Ottawa | 25-24 | Push | 0 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
CFL east division action here has the third place Hamilton Tiger-Cats taking on the second place Montreal Alouettes. Montreal is 5-3 on the season, they've won three straight games and have a plus 44 point differential. Hamilton is 3-6 on the season and has lost two straight games. Montreal has done well versus the number going 26-12 ATS their last 38 games. They are also 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games versus the Eastern conference. Ottawa has not been so good going just 19-41 ATS in their last 60 home games they are also 3-7 ATS in their last 10 overall games. Moreover they are 0-5 ATS in their last five versus the east conference teams The Alouettes are 7-1 ATS their last eight meetings versus Ottawa. I'll be on Montreal on this one. |
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08-18-23 | Winnipeg v. Calgary +5 | 19-18 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
CFL West action here today has the Winnipeg Blue Bombers taking on the Calgary Stampeders. Winnnipeg sits in 1st place in the West with a 7-1 record and has won three straight games. The Stampeders are in 4th place with a 3-6 record and is coming off a loss last week. The Bombers have been very good, going 26-11 ATS vs the West. However, they are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games and 1-6 ATS in their last seven week 11 games. Calgary has been great in week 11 games, going 15-0-1 ATS their last 16 times. They are also 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games following an ATS loss. No doubt Winnipeg is the better team, but I'm not discounting Calgary out here today. I'll take the points at home with Calgary. |
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08-18-23 | Pirates v. Twins -1.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
The Minnesota Twins are benefiting by arguably the worst division in baseball as they lead the AL Central by 4.5-games over the Guardians despite a 63-59 record. The Twins will take on NL Pittsburgh Pirates. The Pirates are in 4th in the NL Central with a 54-67 record. They lost yesterday and have dropped six of their last 10 games. The Pirates will start Andre Jackson who makes just his second start. In his first he went 3 2/3 innings vs the Reds and gave up five hits and three runs. The Twins will start Pablo Lopez who is 8-6 in his 24 starts with a 3.66 ERA. He's been very good of late, going 4-1 in his last seven starts with a 2.36 ERA. I'm taking the Twins here today and laying the Run Line. |
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08-17-23 | Edmonton Elks v. Hamilton -5 | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
The Edmonton Elks are in last place in the West with a 0-9 record. They have the worst point differential in the CFL with a -116 mark. The Elks are also 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games and 6-20 ATS their last 26 after covering the previous week. Hamilton is coming off a bye week and that has been good for this club as they are 10-1 ATS their last 10 following a bye. They are also 4-1 ATS their last five vs a team with a losing record. The Tiger-Cats are third in the East with a 3-5 record. The Cats have also covered five of the last six meetings in this series. I'm taking Hamilton as they should be well rested vs this poor Elks club. Play Hamilton. |
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08-17-23 | Mets v. Cardinals OVER 10 | 4-2 | Loss | -130 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Two teams not heading to the postseason meet here tonight as the St Louis Cardinals host the NY Mets. The Mets are 23.5-games back in the NL East while the Cardinals are in last in the NL Central, 11 games back. The Mets coming off a 2-1 series win over the Pirates and scored 19 runs in the three game set. Jose Quintana starts today with a 0-4 record and 3.03 ERA in his five starts. The Cardinals took two of three at home over the A's, scoring 13 runs in the first two games before getting shutout in game three, 0-8. Adam Wainwright will get the start today with a 3-7 record in his 15 starts and a very high 8.77 ERA. That number is horrible over his last seven starts, as he is 0-6 with a 14.87 ERA. I'm taking these two teams to score plenty of runs and go OVER the total. |
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08-16-23 | Brewers v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
The Red-hot LA Dodgers look to run away with the NL West as they now lead the Giants by nine games after a 9-1 run. They beat the Milwaukee Brewers in game one of this series last night, 6-2. The Brewers are 3.5-games in first place in the NL Central. Wade Miley starts today for the Brewers and he's been one of their best this year. Miley is 6-2 in his 15 starts with a 2.90 ERA. He's been better of late, going 3-0 in his last seven starts with a 2.00 ERA. He's also allowed just two total runs over his last three starts (16 innings). Clayton Kershaw makes his second start since coming off the DL. He pitched well in his return to the rotation, going five innings vs the Rockies and allowing just three hits and one run. That win made Kershaw 10-4 on the season with a 2.51 ERA. He's been great at home with a 4-1 record in seven starts and a 1.71 ERA. I like both these pitchers and I'll take the UNDER here tonight at Chavez Ravine. |
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08-16-23 | Phillies v. Blue Jays -140 | Top | 9-4 | Loss | -140 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
The Toronto Blue Jays look to make it three wins in a row after their win over the Phillies on Tuesday, 2-1. The Jays are 7.5 games back of the Orioles in the AL East. However, they are just two-games back of the Astros in the race for that 2nd Wild Card spot in the AL. Philly has no chance at the NL East, as they trail the Braves by double digits. However, they are in 1st place in the NL Wildcard race, leading the Giants by one game and the Marlins by 2.5-games. Aaron Nola will start today for the Phils. Nola is 9-8 on the season with a 4.49 ERA. He's 5-5 on the road in 14 starts with a 5.15 ERA. The Jays will send Kevin Gausman to the hill. Gausman is 9-6 in his 23 starts with a 3.04 ERA. He's been very good at home with a 3-2 record in 11 starts and a 2.71 ERA. Two very good pitchers, but my nod goes to the Jays in this one. |
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08-15-23 | Tigers v. Twins -1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 110 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Twins took two of three games from the Phillies, outscoring them 11-1 in the last two games of that set after giving up 13 runs in game one. Today, they begin a series with the Detroit Tigers. The Twins have increased their lead to 4.5 games over the Cleveland Guardians in the AL Central. The Tigers are in third in the division, 8-games back. The Tigers have no shot for the AL Wildcard as they are 12-games back with eight teams above them. The Tigers start Alex Faedo who is 2-4 in his eight starts with a 5.80 ERA. The Twins start Bailey Ober who is 6-6 in his 19 starts and a 3.40 ERA. I'll go ahead and lay the Run line here today with the Twins. |
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08-15-23 | Phillies v. Blue Jays -101 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
The Toronto Blue Jays are 66-54 in the AL East but still 8.5-games back of the Baltimore Orioles. Their best shot to make the postseason looks to be the AL Wildcard. The Jays trail the Astros by just 2-games for that second spot. Meanwhile, the Phillies have no shot for the NL East crown as the Braves hold a 11.5-games lead. However, the Phillies are the top NL Wildcard team right now with a 2.5-game lead. The Phils will start Zack Wheeler today who is 9-5 in his 23 starts with a 3.68 ERA. He will take on Yusei Kikuchi who is 9-4 in his 23 starts and a 3.53 ERA. Kikuchi has allowed one or no runs in each of his last five starts (4 total runs over 29 innings). I like the way Kikuchi is pitching. I'll take the Blue Jays tonight. |
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08-14-23 | Mariners -140 v. Royals | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -140 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
The Seattle Mariners chasing the Texas Rangers in the AL West. The Mariners are 63-54 and 6.5-games back of first place. Their odds of getting a Wildcard are better as they are just 1.5-games back of one of the two playoff spots with just three teams ahead of them. The KC Royals are 38-81 and a lock for last in the AL Central. They have one of the worst run differentials in baseball with a -160 mark. Brady Singer has been the one bright spot for the Royals this year with a 8-8 mark in his 23 starts and a 5.05 ERA. Those numbers a bit better at home with a 5-4 mark and 4.12 ERA. The Mariners will start one of their best here today in Logan Gilbert. Gilbert is 10-5 in 23 starts with a 3.66 ERA. The M's have won Gilbert's last seven starts. During those seven games Gilbert is 5-0 with a 2.58 ERA. We get a decent price on Seattle here today because of Singer on the hill for the Royals. I'll take the Mariners as they need to beat teams like this to stay in the WildCard race. Play Seattle. |
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08-14-23 | Pirates v. Mets OVER 8.5 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 11.5 games back in the NL Central behind Milwaukee Brewers. The news is a bit better in the NL Wildcard race as they sit 8.5-games back. However, with seven teams to climb over that doesn't look good either. The Mets cleaned house before the trade deadline as they sit 22.5 games back of the Braves in the NL East. They have also lost seven of their last 10 games. Little bit of question who the Pirates start today, but for it doesn't matter. I'm taking the over no matter who starts. Quinn Priester looks to be the likely candidate. Priester is 2-1 in five starts with a 8.75 ERA. Carlos Carrasco will start for the Mets with a 3-6 record in his 17 starts and a 6.42 ERA. Either way, either starter, take the OVER. |
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08-13-23 | Ottawa v. Toronto -10 | 31-44 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
The Defending Grey Cup Champion Toronto Argonauts six game win streak came to end last week at Calgary. Toronto returns home for the first time in over a month with their game against Ottawa this evening. Ottawa has played much better of late but are still 3-5 overall and 0-3 vs other East teams. Ottawa is 11-23 ATS in their last 23 games following an ATS loss. They are also 1-4 ATS in their last five vs a team with a winning record. Toronto is 4-0 ATS in their last four vs an East team and 4-0 ATS in their last four home games. They have also covered eight of the last nine games overall. Toronto is 6-2 ATS in the last eight in this series and 4-1 ATS in the last five at Toronto. With Toronto having a much need week off next week I expect a great effort here after that loss last week. Play Toronto. |
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08-13-23 | Padres -134 v. Diamondbacks | 4-5 | Loss | -134 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
The San Diego Padres have dropped to 14.5 games back in the NL West as they lave lost six of their last 10 games. Despite their losing record, they still have a plus 58 run differential, which is odd for a losing team. They play the third place Diamondbacks today. Arizona has been one of the worst teams in baseball since the All star break. A big drop for a team that led the division for most of the first half of the season. The Padres start Seth Lugo today who is 4-6 on the season with a 4.19 ERA. Lugo had a excellent run of starts before the Dodgers pounded him for eight runs over 3 1/3 innings his last outing. Before that Lugo had allowed two runs or fewer in six of his last eight starts. Brandon Pfaadt will go for the D'backs and he's still looking for his first win in 11 starts. Pfaadt is 0-6 with a 7.16 ERA. That number is worse at home where he's 0-4 in six starts with a 8.65 ERA. I'm taking the Padres here today. Play San Diego. |
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08-13-23 | Rangers v. Giants -132 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
The Texas Rangers and San Francisco Giants wrap up their Interleague set here on Sunday. The Giants have lost the first two games of this series, 1-2 on Friday and 3-9 on Saturday. They turn to Logan Webb to salvage game three here today. Webb is 9-9 on the season with a 3.56 ERA. He's been better at home with a 5-4 record and 2.58 ERA. Webb has also allowed just three total runs over his last two starts (12 2/3 innings). The Rangers lead the AL West by 2.5-games over the Astros and have won nine of their last 10 games. Dane Dunning starts today with a 7-4 record in his 17 starts and a 3.59 ERA. He hasn't been as good of late, going 2-3 in his last seven starts with a 4.24 ERA. Looks to be a good game here on Sunday. I just don't see the Giants being swept at home. Take San Francisco. |
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08-12-23 | A's v. Nationals OVER 9.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
A battle of last place teams here on Saturday has the AL West last place Oakland A's taking on the NL East last place Washington Nationals. The Nationals have a bullpen that has allowed a 5.01 ERA this year. That doesn't bode well for starter Jake Irvin. Irvin is 3-5 on the season with a 5.04 ERA. Irvin has gone into the 6th inning twice in his last six starts. The A's bullpen isn't any better with a 5.48 ERA and a road mark of 6.28. Luis Medina will start for the A's with a 2-7 record and 5.55 ERA. Two average to poor starters and neither backed up with a good pen. I'll take the OVER here today. |
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08-12-23 | Calgary v. BC -6 | 9-37 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Calgary's long streak of post season appearances is in jeopardy this year as they sit just 3-5 on the season both S/U and ATS. They will face a BC Lions team that is 2nd in the West with a 6-2 record, a half game back of Winnipeg who won last night. BC also has a positive point differential of +52 compared to Calgary's -9 mark. Calgary coming off a win and cover last week. Though that hasn't been good of late as they are just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 times coming off a cover. They are also 1-4 ATS in their last five games vs the West teams. BC coming off a loss and they usually bounce back, evidenced by their 5-0 ATS mark the last times in that spot. They are also 4-0 ATS the last four vs a losing team and 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games at home. The Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings with Calgary. They are also 16-6-1 ATS in their last 23 vs Calgary at British Columbia. I'm taking BC here tonight. |
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08-12-23 | Twins v. Phillies +108 | 8-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
Some Interleague action here on Saturday has the 1st place AL Central Minnesota Twins playing at the NL East 2nd place Philadelphia Phillies. The Twins are 3.5-games ahead of the Guardians. However, the Twins have lost four straight games and have a 27-34 away record. The Phillies are 65-52, but trail 1st place Atlanta by 9.5-games. The Phils have won three straight games and seven of their last 10 games. The Twins will start Pablo Lopez who is 7-6 in his 23 starts and a 3.81 ERA. Lopez has been one of the Twins more consistent starters this year, despite his almost .500 record. Taijuan Walker will toe the rubber for the Phillies with his 13-4 record and 4.05 ERA. He's been better at home this year with a 6-1 record (9-2 team record) in his 11 starts and a 3.06 ERA. I'm sticking with the Phillies here on Saturday. |
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08-11-23 | Rangers -105 v. Giants | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
The first place Texas Rangers make the trip to the Bay area to take on the NL West 2nd place San Francisco Giants. The Rangers holding onto a slim 2.5 game lead over the Astros. The Rangers have the best run differential in baseball with a +175 mark. The Giants have lost two straight games and fallen to 6.5-games back of the red-hot Dodgers. The Giants have only a +24 run differential this season. Good news for the Giants, they hold the 2nd NL Wild card spot right now by 2.5-games over the Marlins. The Rangers will start Jon Gray today who is 7-5 in his 20 starts with a 3.72 ERA. The Giants will counter with Scott Alexander who is 0-2 in his five starts and a 10.37 ERA. Alexander looks like just an opener at this point as he goes little over one inning of work. I'll take the Rangers here today. |
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08-11-23 | Commanders v. Browns -3 | Top | 17-15 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
Washington plays its first preseason game here tonight at Cleveland. The Browns played in the Hall of Fame game and used a very good defense to hold the Jets to under 200 total yards of offense. They also defended well against the run, allowing just 2.3 ypc. That isn't good for Washington here tonight which relies a lot on their ground game. The Browns also moved the ball well on offense. Also, expect Deshaun Watson to see playing time tonight. I also expect the Browns to play more starters here tonight. I liked the way this Cleveland team looked in their win over the Jets and expect that momentum to spill into tonight's contest. Take Cleveland. |
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08-11-23 | Saskatchewan v. Montreal -4.5 | 12-41 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Reason: It's the East vs the West here tonight as the Montreal Alouettes host Saskatchewan. Montreal is 2nd in the East with a 4-3 record and have won their last two games. Saskatchewan sits third in the West with a 4-4 record. They have also allowed more point then they have scored for a negative 38 point differential. Sas Roughriders are just 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games and 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight road games. They also have trouble against winning teams with a 0-6-1 ATS mark their last seven. The Roughriders have lost three of their last four games while Montreal has covered back-to-back games. In addition the Alouettes margin of victory in those games has been 10-points. Take Montreal today. |
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08-11-23 | Cubs v. Blue Jays -144 | 6-2 | Loss | -144 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
The Chicago Cubs are just 2.5 games back of the Milwaukee Brewers in the NL Central. They are 3-games back of the NL Wild Card. They will take on the AL East Toronto Blue Jays. The Jays are seven back in the division and only 1.5 games back in the AL Wildcard race. The Cubs will start Javier Assad who has just two starts this season with a 5.40 ERA. Toronto starts Jose Berrios who is 9-7 in 23 starts with a 3.37 ERA. He's been slightly better at home with a 2.71 ERA in 10 starts. I'll take the Jays here tonight at home. |
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08-11-23 | Sweden W v. Japan W +129 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 59 m | Show | |
Sweden advanced to this stage by knocking out favorite USA in penalty kicks. It looked like the USA was going to win the kickoff, but they missed two late shots to give Sweden the win. Meanwhile, Japan is coming off a win over Norway, 3-1. Japan has also scored 14 goals while allowing just one goal. That makes Japan the top team in the World Cup in goal differential. Sweden is third in goal differential with a 9-1 advantage. Have to think Sweden might be in for a bit of a letdown after beating the USA in that emotional penalty kick segment. Plus Japan just has so many weapons on offense. I'll take Japan here today on the money line as a small dog. Play Japan money line. |
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08-10-23 | Winnipeg -12 v. Edmonton Elks | Top | 38-29 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
One of the best CFL teams plays one of the worst here today. Or, as I like to phrase it, the Penthouse vs the Outhouse. You have Winnipeg Blue Bombers who are 6-2 and atop the CFL West standings. They have scored 240 points (tops in the West). They face the Edmonton Elks here today who are looking for their first win of the season after losing all eight games. They have a CFL low 105 total points and have allowed a high of 212 points. Winnipeg is 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a bye week. They are also 44-21 ATS in their last 65 vs the West. Edmonton is 2-7 ATS in their last nine games and 5-13 ATS their last 18 vs the West. Winnipeg is also 6-2 ATS in the alst eight meetings with Edmonton. It's a lot of points to lay on the road, but I don't see Edmonton getting much if any here tonight. Play Winnipeg. |
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08-10-23 | Royals v. Red Sox OVER 10.5 | 0-2 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
Two last place teams face off here today as the last place AL East Red Sox host the last place AL Central Royals. Boston has won two of the three games in this series after Wednesday's 4-3 win. The Sox will start James Paxton who is 6-3 in his 14 starts with a 3.60 ERA. The Royals made a early Thursday pitching change to Austin Cox. Cox is 0-1 in his two starts with a 7.55 ERA. Cox has allowed seven runs in his 8 2/3 innings but has six walks against just six KO's. Cox hasn't made it out of the fifth inning in either start. That likely means the Royals will rely on their pen a lot here today and that has not been good. The pen has a 8.10 ERA over their last seven games and a 5.26 ERA on the season. The Boston bullpen isn't much better, especially lately where they have a 9.00 ERA over the last seven games. This one has all the appearances of an over play today. Play OVER. |
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08-10-23 | Braves -1.5 v. Pirates | 5-7 | Loss | -127 | 2 h 7 m | Show | |
Reason: After suffering through a 3-game losing streak, the Atlanta Braves have won two of three vs the Pirates as they play this final game of the set early here on Thursday. The Braves took Wednesday's game, 6-5 and have scored 20 runs in the three games. However, they have also allowed the Bucs to score 18 runs. Bryce Elder starts for the Braves with a 8-3 record in his 22 starts and a 3.43 ERA. The Pirates will start Bailey Falter who is still looking for his first win of the season against six losses. Falter has a 5.40 ERA on the season. I'm taking the Braves and laying the run line here today. |
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08-09-23 | Dodgers -125 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
The LA Dodgers have won seven of their last eight games after taking Tuesday's opener of this set with the Diamondbacks. The Dodgers gained a game on Arizona, San Diego and the Giants - all of whom lost on Tuesday. LA now leads by five games in the NL West. As for Arizona, this was a team that lead the division for most of the first half of the season. However, since the All Star game, they have the worst record in baseball with just five wins. LA starts Bobby Miller today who is 6-2 in his 12 starts with a 4.26 ERA. He's been excellent on the road with a 4-0 mark in six starts and a 2.61 ERA. The D'backs start Merrill Kelly who is 9-5 in 19 starts with a 3.38 ERA. Arizona has lost three of his last four starts despite good efforts by Kelly. The Diamondbacks just not playing good and the Dodgers look to do no wrong right now. Play LA. |
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08-09-23 | Cubs v. Mets OVER 9 | 3-4 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
The Chicago Cubs beat the Mets on Tuesday 3-2, snapping a three game over run. They are 59-55 and in 2nd in the NL Central, just 1.5-games back of the Brewers. They are also the only team in the division with a positive run differential (+67). The Mets are just playing out the season as they are 21-games back in the NL East and 7.5 games back in the Wild Card. They have eight teams ahead of them in the Wild Card. And, they cleaned the roster of high priced talent at the trade deadline. Kyle Hendricks starts today for the Cubs with a 4-6 record and 4.21 ERA. That number goes up of late with a 1-3 record in his last seven starts and a 5.44 ERA. He is coming off a game vs the Braves where he went just four innings and gave up eight hits and seven runs. The Mets start David Peterson who is 2-7 in his 12 starts with a 6.12 ERA. Peterson has pitched better of late, going 1-4 in his recent seven starts and a 5.12 ERA. However, neither pitcher all that good and I'll take the OVER here today. |
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08-08-23 | Blue Jays -121 v. Guardians | 0-1 | Loss | -121 | 17 h 15 m | Show | |
The Blue Jays took game one of this set with the Guardians on Monday, 3-1. That makes the Jays winning streak at four games as they are seven games back of the Orioles in the AL East. The Blue Jays are one game bac of the Astros for the 2nd Wild Card spot in the AL. The Guardians have lost three straight and eight of their last 10 games. They only trail the Twins by 5.5-games so they aren't out of the race yet. They do trail in the AL Wildcard by 8.5-games with seven teams on top of them. So their best bet looks to catch the Wins right now. Yusei Kikuchi will start for the Jays with a 9-3 record in his 22 starts and a 3.67 ERA. Kikuchi has allowed just three total runs over his last four starts (23 innings). Tanner Bibee will start for the Guardians with a 7-2 record and 3.14 ERA. He's been very good in his last seven starts with a 4-0 record and 1.96 ERA. Both pitchers have been at their best of late, but Toronto so much better of the team. I'll take the visitor in this one. Play Toronto. |
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08-08-23 | Braves v. Pirates OVER 10 | Top | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
The Braves and Pirates play game two of this set here on Tuesday as the Bucs took Monday's game from the Braves, 7-6. The Braves have a huge cushion in the AL East as they lead by 10-games over the Phillies. The Braves also have the second best run differential in baseball at +162. The Bucs are fourth in the NL Central, nine games back of the Brewers. They are also 7.5-games back in the NL Wild Card race with a lot of teams in front of them. The Braves will start Yonny Chirinos today who is 2-2 in his six starts with a 6.67 ERA. The Bucs will counter with Mitch Keller who is 9-8 in his 23 starts and a 4.35 ERA. He's been worse of late, going 1-5 in his last seven starts and a 6.58 ERA. He's allowed 24 runs over his last four starts 21 2/3 innings. Don't expect either of pitchers to be around long. I'm taking the OVER. |
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08-07-23 | Marlins -130 v. Reds | 2-5 | Loss | -130 | 18 h 21 m | Show | |
Two teams in the thick of the Wild Card race matchup here on Monday. The Marlins are in 5th place, a half game back of both the Cubs and Reds. The Reds are in 3rd place, 3-games back of both the Phillies and Giants. There are seven teams all within three games of the top two wild card spots. The Marlins will start Eury Perez who is 5-3 in his 11 starts with a 2.36 ERA. Perez has allowed one run or no runs in six of his last seven starts. The Reds have lost six straight games as the Washington Nationals came to town and swept Cincinnati. They will turn to Brandon Williamson to snap the losing streak here today. Williamson is 3-2 in his 14 starts with a 4.85 ERA. He's coming off a poor start where he allowed five runs over 4 1/3 innings to the Cubs. I like the matchup here with Perez on the hill. Add to that the slump the Reds are in and I'll take the Marlins. |
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08-06-23 | Dodgers v. Padres OVER 9 | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
The Dodgers and Padres have split the first two games of this four game set from San Diego. The Dodgers used a big, late rally on Friday to win and the Padres returned the favor on Saturday. The Padres trailed 1-3 in the eighth inning before scoring seven runs to win the game, 8-3. That snapped a five-game winning streak by the Dodgers over the Padres. The Padres are now three-games back in the NL Wild Card race. The Dodgers will start newly acquired Lance Lynn. Lynn makes his second start for the Dodgers after beating Oakland in his LA debut, 7-3 for the win. The Padres will also show off their new arm in Rich Hill. Hill brings a 7-10 record over to the Padres with a 4.84 ERA. Both games have been high scoring with 15 runs on Friday and 11 runs on Saturday. The Dodgers have gone over in four straight games while the Padres have seen two of their last three go over. I don't think either of these pitchers will go much past five in this one. I'll take the OVER. |
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08-06-23 | Ottawa -2 v. Saskatchewan | 24-26 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Two CFL teams both in need of a win meet here today as the Saskatchewan Roughriders host the Ottawa Redblacks. Ottawa is 3-4 on the season while Saskatchewan is also 3-4. Ottawa is also 3-4 ATS this season and their last four games have been decided by just one possession. The Roughriders offense is not good and has been even worse the last two weeks as they have combined for just 22 points vs Toronto and BC. They are also 2-4-1 ATS this season. The Redblacks have been competitive while Saskatchewan has not been. I look for a Ottawa road win here today. Play Ottawa. |
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08-06-23 | Marlins v. Rangers -122 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
The Texas Rangers look to extend their winning streak to six games here today as they hold onto first place in the AL West by 2.5-games over the Astros. The Rangers Also have the 2nd best run differential in baseball with a +164 mark. The Miami Marlins are in third place in the NL East, 14 games back of the Braves. However, they are just a half game back in the NL Wild card race, now obviously their only path the playoffs. The Marlins will start Sandy Alcantara who is 4-9 this season in his 22 starts with a 4.27 ERA. Alcantara definitely down this year after that great season he had last year. Andrew Heaney will toe the rubber for the Rangers with a 8-6 record in 21 starts and a 4.36 ERA. Heany coming off a excellent start where he allowed just two hits and no runs over six innings to the White Sox. I'll take the Rangers here. They have this great run differential for a reason and it's their hitting that leads the way. Play Texas. |
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08-06-23 | USA W v. Sweden W +0.5 | 0-0 | Win | 100 | 29 h 33 m | Show | |
In what might be their biggest test thus far, the USA Women's team looks to continue defending of their World Cup Championship here early on Sunday against Sweden. The USA really limped through the group section. First they beat Vietnam 3-0 as a 6 1/2 goal favorite. Then they had to come from behind to gain a draw with the Netherlands, 1-1. And in their final group game, they needed a draw or win to advance vs Portugal. A loss and they were eliminated. They did draw, 0-0. But three games they were big favorites in and they just did get by. As for Sweden, they are the World's 2nd ranked team. They opened World Cup with a win over South Africa, 2-1, then easily beat Italy, 5-0 and finally a 2-0 win over Argentina. They have a 9-1 goal advantage this World Cup. I have not been impressed with the way the USA has played thus far. And, to make matters worse they will be without a key player for this game. Rose Lavelle picked up her second yellow card in the game vs Portugal and will be suspended for this round of 16 game. Lavelle is considered one of the team's top players. I will take Sweden here on Sunday on the goal line +1/2 goal. |
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08-05-23 | Pirates v. Brewers -1.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -124 | 17 h 23 m | Show |
The Milwaukee Brewers lost to the Pirates in game one of this 3-game series, 4-8. Despite the loss, the Brewers hold onto a slim 1/2-game lead in the NL Central. The Reds are right behind them and the CUbs have moved to within 2.5-games. The Cubs are the only team in the division with a positive run differential (+71). The Pirates are in 4th in the division, 9-games back of the Brewers. The Bucs will start Bailey Falter today who is 0-6 in his seven starts with a 5.75 ERA. Falter has allowed nine runs over his last eight innings of work. The Brewers will start Corbin Burnes who is 9-6 in his 22 starts with a 3.44 ERA. He's been better of late, going 4-1 in his last seven starts with a 2.42 ERA. Burnes has not allowed more than two runs in any of his last six starts. I'm taking the Brewers here on Saturday and laying the Run Line. |
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08-05-23 | Montreal -2.5 v. Hamilton | 27-14 | Win | 100 | 17 h 15 m | Show | |
Montreal is in 2nd place in the CFL East with a 3-3 record, but that's six points back of the 1st place Toronto Argonauts who lost their first game of the season on Friday and fell to 6-1. They will take on third place Hamilton who is 3-4 on the season, also with six points. Both these teams are coming off wins. This will also be the second time these teams have met this season with Montreal taking game one, 38-12 at Hamilton in week three. Six of the last eight meetings between these teams have gone UNDER. Montreal is 25-12 ATS in their lats 37 road games and 5-2 ATS in their last seven vs a losing team. Hamilton is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 vs the East and 2-6 ATS in their last eight following an ATS WIN. I like Montreal here on the road to take their second straight game vs Hamilton. Play Montreal. |
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08-05-23 | Rays -136 v. Tigers | 2-4 | Loss | -136 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay Rays still sit in 2nd place in the AL East, 2-games back of the Orioles. The Rays won their game with the Tigers on Friday, 8-0. That makes them 6-4 over their last 10 games and a division leading +145 run differential. The Tigers are in 3rd place in the AL Central, eight games back of the Twins and on a 3-7 streak their last 10 games. The Rays will start Aaron Civale today who is 5-2 in his 13 starts with a 2.34 ERA. He's been very good on the road with a 2-1 record in his seven away starts and a 1.66 ERA. Civale has been a model of consistency, not allowing more than two runs in any of his last six games. The Tigers will start Tarik Skubal who is 1-1 in his five starts and a 4.57 ERA. He's allowed 11 runs over his last three starts. Big difference in quality of these two teams from the hitting to pitcher. I'm taking the Rays to keep the pressure on the Orioles. Play Tampa Bay. |
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08-04-23 | Toronto -8 v. Calgary | 7-20 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 38 m | Show | |
The Toronto Argonauts are the best team in the CFL this year with a 6-0 record and a league leading 217 points. Their defense is very good too as the team has a +93 point differential. Meanwhile, Calgary is 2-5 on the season and allowing 192 points with a -22 point differential. The Argos are 6-0 ATS following a S/U win and 4-0-1 ATS in their last five road games. They are also 17-5-2 ATS in their last 24 overall games. Calgary is just 7-22 ATS in their last 29 homes games and 1-4 ATS in their last five overall games. Toronto should pull away in this contest for an easy win. Play Toronto. |
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08-04-23 | Rockies v. Cardinals OVER 9.5 | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 19 h 52 m | Show | |
The Rockies travel to St Louis to being this set with the Cardinals. The Rockies have lost two straight games and are in last place in the NL West. They also have the worst run differential (-160) in the National league. The St Louis Cardinals are also in last place in the NL Central. They will send Adam Wainwright to the hill today. Wainwright is 3-5 with a 7.18 ERA in 13 starts. He's 1-4 in his last seven starts with a 8.42 ERA. The Rockies will star Chris Flexen who is 0-5 this year with a 10.71 ERA. Two bad pitchers on two last place teams. That's a recipe for a lot of runs here on Friday. Play the OVER. |
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08-04-23 | Astros -139 v. Yankees | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 42 m | Show |
The Astros came up just short in their game with the Yankees on Thursday, losing 3-4. The loss snapped a three-game winning streak for Houston. The Astros trail first place Texas by 1.5-games. The Yankees won their second straight games but still trail first place Baltimore by 10-games. The Astros will start Hunter Brown today. Brown is 7-7 in his 20 starts with a 4.12 ERA. Brown has put good back-to-back starts together, allowing four total runs over 12 innings. The Yankees will counter with Luis Severino who is 2-5 in his his 12 starts with a lofty 7.49 ERA. Those numbers are up over the last seven starts with a 2-4 record and 8.26 ERA. Severino has allowed seven or more runs in three of his last five starts. I'll take the Astros to rebound here on Friday. Play Houston. |
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08-03-23 | BC v. Winnipeg -5.5 | 14-50 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
The two top teams in the CFL West conference meet here today as the 6-1 BC Lions take on the 5-2 Winnipeg Jets. BC is known for their defense as they have allowed just 94 points this season. They will have their work cut out for them tonight as the Blue Bombers are 2nd in the CFL in points scored. Winnipeg is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games and 40-19 ATS in their last 59 vs a team with a winning record. The Blue Bombers have also done well in this matchup, going 5-1 ATS the last six vs B.C and 22-8-1 ATS the last 31 meetings. I'm going to take Winnipeg as I see them being able to score a lot of points tonight. Play Winnipeg. |