Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-23-22 | Giants +3.5 v. Jaguars | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
The NY Giants won their third game in a row after last week's win over Baltimore, 24-20, as a 5.5-point dog. The Giants have also gone 5-1 ATS on the season. The Jacksonville Jaguars lost at Indianapolis last week, 27-34, as a 1.5-point dog. That makes three straight losses since their big win at the Chargers Sept 25, 38-10. The Giants offense is ranked 17th overall while Jacksonville is 11th overall. The Giants defense is 15th while Jacksonville is 11th. The Giants are now 19-7 ATS their last 26 games on grass and 18-8-1 ATS their last 27 vs a team with a losing record. The Jags are just 4-9 ATS their last 13 at home and 3-11 ATS their last 14 games overall. I like the way the Giants have been playing and the Jags, while improved, still have a ways to go. Take the Giants. |
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10-23-22 | Falcons +6.5 v. Bengals | 17-35 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
Who's the only team in the NFL with a perfect spread record this year? If you guessed Atlanta you guessed right. The Falcons are 6-0 vs the spread this year and one of the surprise teams after beating San Francisco last week at home, 28-14. The Falcons rushing game has been great this year, ranked 3rd overall in the NFL. They have 151 or more yards rushing in all but one game this year. They had 168 yards on the ground against a the NFL's top rated defense in San Francisco last week. The Falcons defense is another story, ranked 27th overall in the NFL and 31 st vs the pass. Good thing the rushing game is so good, they can play keep away and not have their defense on the field as much. Cincinnati came from behind last week to win on the road at New Orleans, 30-26, just covering the field goal line. That was the fourth straight cover the for Bengals. The Bengals offense isn't as prolific this year, ranked just 20th overall, though the passing game behind Joe Burrows is ranked 8th. This looks to be an interesting matchup here on Sunday. But for me, I like this Atlanta rushing game and will take the Falcons plus the points. Take Atlanta |
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10-22-22 | Utah State +5 v. Wyoming | 14-28 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 57 m | Show | |
Utah State Aggies are 3-4 after winning their last two games over Air Force and Colorado State. The latter as a 10.5 point favorite, failing to cover the 17-13 S/U win. That also makes them 2-4 ATS on the season. Utah State had 390 yards of offense last week to Colorado State's 262 yards. They had 10 more first downs and a +1 turnover ratio. Wyoming snapped their two game losing streak with a win at New Mexico last week, 27-14 as a 3.5-point favorite. The Cowboys are now 4-3 S/U and 4-2 ATS on the season. The Cowboys offense is not that good, ranked just 120th in the country with a poor 64.7 Red Zone efficiency mark. Utah State has a 89th ranked offense. The Aggies are 69th in defense with Wyoming coming in at 78th. Utah State has covered six of their last eight games and are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games. Wyoming is 2-5 ATS in their last seven vs a team with a losing record. Your free play is on Utah State. |
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10-22-22 | Kansas State +3.5 v. TCU | 28-38 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 23 m | Show | |
TCU sits atop of the Big 12 Conference with a 3-0 conference record and 6-0 over record this season. Kansas State is right behind them with a 3-0 conference mark and 5-1 overall mark. Winner of this game takes over sole possession of the Big 12 Conference. A bit surprising that the TCU defense is ranked 89th in the country and the K State defense is 44th. TCU does have the third ranked offense in the country with K State coming in at 64th. The Wild Cats have covered the lst four meetings in this series, including a 31-12 win at K State last week. K State is 11-5-2 ATS in their last 18 road games and 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games on grass. TCU has not done well at home, going 14-30-1 ATS their last 45 home games. Should be a very good battle for the top conference spot, I'll take the points with Kansas State. |
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10-22-22 | Texas A&M v. South Carolina +3.5 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 66 h 54 m | Show | |
East vs West in the SEC here today as Texas A&M of the West takes on the East's South Carolina. A&M is 1-2 in conference play and just 3-3 overall. South Carolina is also 1-2 in conference play and 4-2 overall. Neither took looks to be contenders in the SEC title, but both are looking to improve their bowl chances. The Aggies lost a close game two weeks ago to one of the best in the country in Alabama, 20-24 as a 24.5-point dog. They had last week off to ponder that loss as they prepare to hit the road today. South Carolina beat a very good Kentucky team two weeks ago on the road, 24-14. They also had last week off to prepare for this game. A&M doesn't have a very good offense, ranked 110th in the nation and a poor red zone efficiency of just 65.5%. South Carolina is 77th in offense and 42nd in defense. A&M is ranked 54th in defense. The Aggies are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games and 8-21 ATS in their last 29 coming off a bye week. I'll take the home dog here today and that's South Carolina. |
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10-22-22 | Boise State +3.5 v. Air Force | 19-14 | Win | 100 | 65 h 24 m | Show | |
The Mountain West conference is split into the West and Mountain divisions. The Mountain being the much stronger one with both Boise State and Air Force among the list. Boise Leads right now in the Mountain division with a 3-0 conference record and 4-2 overall mark. Air Force is 2-2 in conference play with a 5-2 overall mark. Air Force went to UNLV last week and trounced the Rebels, 42-7 as a 9.5-point favorite. The Falcons had four take aways that all led to points and an easy win. Boise State had last week off after beating Fresno the week before, 40-20 as a 7.5-point home favorite. Air Force took the game last year in Boise, 24-17, breaking a four game Boise streak of winning and covering. The Broncos are 7-2-2 ATS their last 11 games on grass. The strength of this Boise team is their 2nd ranked national defense that has held opponents to just 236 yards per game. Air Force is no slouch though, ranked 9th in the nation. Air Force has the 39th ranked offense which is led by their top ranked rushing attack which averages 360 yards a game. This one really comes down to the Boise defense being able to contain that Air Force rushing attack. I'm going to take the small points here today with Boise. |
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10-22-22 | Astros v. Yankees UNDER 7 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 17 h 22 m | Show | |
The Astros look to take a commanding lead in this ALCS after taking the first two games in Houston, 4-2 and 3-2. Both games going under the total with both sides showing off their pitching. The Padres will start Cristian Javier today who is 11-8 overall on the season with a 2.68 ERA. Javier makes his first start since October 1st today. Javier has not allowed a run over his last four starts (23 innings). Gerrit Cole will hope to get the Yankees in the win column today. Cole is 15-8 overall on the season with a 3.41 ERA. Cole had two starts in the Cleveland series, allowing just three total runs over his 13 1/3 innings. Two very good pitchers and a series that has already shown off the defense and pitching. I'll stick with the UNDER today. |
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10-22-22 | Astros +133 v. Yankees | 5-0 | Win | 133 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
The Astros look to take a commanding lead in this ALCS after taking the first two games in Houston, 4-2 and 3-2. Both games going under the total with both sides showing off their pitching. The Astros will start Cristian Javier today who is 11-8 overall on the season with a 2.68 ERA. Javier makes his first start since October 1st today. Javier has not allowed a run over his last four starts (23 innings). Gerrit Cole will hope to get the Yankees in the win column today. Cole is 15-8 overall on the season with a 3.41 ERA. Cole had two starts in the Cleveland series, allowing just three total runs over his 13 1/3 innings. Should be another close game here on Saturday. I'll take the dogs with Houston as Javier has been great and we'll see if that carries over to his first postseason start. Play Houston. |
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10-22-22 | UCLA +6.5 v. Oregon | Top | 30-45 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 55 m | Show |
UCLA and Oregon face off today in Eugene for the PAC 12. UCLA is 3-0 in conference play and 6-0 overall. Oregon is 3-0 in conference play and 5-1 overall. UCLA had last week off to prepare for today's contest. They are coming off a home win over Utah, 42-32. The Bruins have scored at least 32 in all six games and 40 or more in five games. Oregon also had last week off after demolishing Arizona the previous week, 49-22. The Ducks have scored 41 or more points in every game since their opening week loss at Georgia where they scored just three points. Oregon has the 7th ranked offense in the country and UCLA has the 11th ranked offense. UCLA's defense ranks 33rd overall while Oregon comes in at 60th. UCLA has now covered seven of their last eight road games and are 7-2 ATS overall their last nine games. Oregon is 3-8 ATS their last 11 games following a ATS win. UCLA around a 6-point dog here today. I won't be surprised one bit with a UCLA straight up win. I'll take the points. |
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10-22-22 | West Virginia v. Texas Tech UNDER 65.5 | 10-48 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show | |
West Virginia 3-3, 1-2 in Big 12 will head to Texas on Saturday to take on Texas Tech (3-3 S/U, 1-2 in Big 12). West Virginia has the 2nd best passing game in the FBS in yards. But something will be different today and that is what is influencing my decision in this game that that's the weather. The wind to be specific. A West wind will be blowing through Lubbock here on Saturday. The Winds will be blowing and swirling around 25 miles an hour all day. To me, nothing effects passing more than wind and that's what will effect this 2nd ranked passing attack of WVU. I'm taking the UNDER and betting on the wind. |
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10-22-22 | Toledo v. Buffalo +7.5 | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 59 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a MAC Conference matchup that might be for the conference championship as the MAC East leader, Buffalo, takes on MAC-West leader Toledo. Both teams undefeated in conference play at 3-0. Toledo came into MAC play just 2-2 S/U and 1-2 ATS. But three straight conference wins and covers have changed things. The Rockets have scored 52 points in each of their last two games and 142 so far in three conference games. Buffalo may only be 5-3 S/U overall, but they have a perfect 6-0 ATS mark. Their defense has been excellent, holding their last two MAC opponents to just seven points each. Moreover, they have allowed just 34 total points in three MAC games. Their non conference games though still have them at 73rd overall on defense, though they have risen in the past three weeks. Toledo has the 48th ranked defense and 67th ranked offense. Toledo has covered eight of the last 11 road games. Buffalo is 9-3-2 ATS in their last 14 vs a team with a winning record. Clash of first place teams here today, but I'll be on Buffalo as they get at least a TD at home in this contest. |
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10-21-22 | UAB v. Western Kentucky -1.5 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
Conference USA matchup here on Thursday has the 4-2 UAB Blazers taking on the 4-3 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers. Both teams are 2-1 in the conference and trail both North Texas and UTSA who are 3-0. UAB is coming off a home win over Charlotte last week, 34-20, though they failed to cover the 23-point spread. The Blazers piled-up 510 yards of offense in the game. Western Kentucky won on the road at Middle Tennessee State last week, 35-17, cover the 7-point favorite line. They held Mid-Tenn to just 291 yards while gaining 443 yards. These teams have met just twice in the last five years with UAB taking the game in 2020, 37-14 and W.Ky taking the 2019 contest, 20-13. Western has the 15th ranked offense in the country with 144 yards rushing and 344 yards passing. UAB comes in at 34th. UAB has the slightly better defense as they are 19th in the nation with Western at 52nd. Western has covered seven of their last 10 home games and are 8-1 ATS in their last nine conference games. I'll take the home team here tonight. Play Western Kentucky. |
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10-21-22 | Padres -113 v. Phillies | 2-4 | Loss | -113 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
After just one hit in game one of this NLCS, the Padres erupted in game two with 13 hits and eight runs as they evened this best of seven series at one game apiece. Manny Machado had three hits for the Padres and Brandon Drury had three RBI's. Joe Musgrove will start game three tonight in Philly. Musgrove is 11-7 on the season with a 2.83 ERA. In his two postseason starts he held the Mets to just one hit over seven innings and held the Dodgers to two runs over six innings, both as a dog. Musgrove has a 1.56 ERA over his last seven starts. Ranger Suarez starts for the Phillies. Suarez is 10-7 this season with a 3.63 ERA. In his one postseason start, he went just 3 1/3 innings vs the Braves and allowed three hits and five walks. I like Musgrove as I give a big edge in pitching with both their starter and bullpen here today. Play San Diego. |
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10-21-22 | Pelicans -6.5 v. Hornets | 124-112 | Win | 100 | 4 h 19 m | Show | |
The good news for New Orleans is that they will have Zion Williamson in the lineup. He dominated in his Pelicans return last Wednesday night. He had 25 points, nine rebounds and four steels in their 130-108 win over the Nets. The Hornets will be without forward Miles Bridges and point guard LeMelo Bell. Charlotte also looked good in their opener, beating the Spurs in San Antonio, 128-102. The Pelicans are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 road games. They are also 6-0 ATS in their last six trips to Charlotte and 23-11-1 ATS overall their last 35 meetings with the Hornets. With WIlliamson back, I'll take the Pelicans tonight. |
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10-20-22 | Yankees v. Astros -135 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
The Houston Astros took game one of this ALCS on Wednesday, 4-2. The game was tied early on but the long ball put the Astros ahead and they rode the arm of Justin Verlander to the win. The Yankees will turn to Luis Servino today who is 7-3 overall in his 20 starts. Severino has a 3.26 ERA and is 3-1 with a 3.03 ERA in his last seven starts. That includes one postseason start against the Guardians where he went 5 2/3 innings, gave up eight hits and three runs. The Astros will start Framber Valdez who was very good this year with a 17-6 overall record and 2.78 ERA. Valdez had one postseason start and that was against the Mariners where he went 5 2/3 innings, allowed four hits and two earned runs. Astros look strong with the extra rest and I'll be be on them and Valdez here today. |
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10-20-22 | Yankees v. Astros UNDER 7 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
The Houston Astros took game one of this ALCS on Wednesday, 4-2. The game was tied early on but the long ball put the Astros ahead and they rode the arm of Justin Verlander to the win. The Yankees will turn to Luis Servino today who is 7-3 overall in his 20 starts. Severino has a 3.26 ERA and is 3-1 with a 3.03 ERA in his last seven starts. That includes one postseason start against the Guardians where he went 5 2/3 innings, gave up eight hits and three runs. The Astros will start Framber Valdez who was very good this year with a 17-6 overall record and 2.78 ERA. Valdez had one postseason start and that was against the Mariners where he went 5 2/3 innings, allowed four hits and two earned runs. Two big hitting teams that both have been good under plays this year. The Astros are 61-95 Ov/Under on the season while the Yankees are 77-85 Ov/Un on the year. I'm taking the UNDER here in game two. |
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10-19-22 | Yankees v. Astros -1.5 | 2-4 | Win | 130 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
The Yankees and Guardians finally got their decisive game five completed on Tuesday with the Yanks taking the contest, 5-1. Houston finally gets back into the game after being off since last Saturday when they took care of Seattle, 1-0 in 18 innings. Justin Verlander will get the start in game one tonight. Verlander had a rare bad start in his last game on Oct 11th vs Seattle where he allowed six runs over four innings of work. Still, he's a favorite for Cy-Young this year with his 18-4 record and 2.01 ERA. The Yankees will counter with Jameson Taillon who is 14-5 overall but has yet to start in the postseason. Tallion has a overall 3.91 ERA but a 4.36 road ERA. Rough series for the Yankees against Cleveland and they might be in for a bit of a letdown here in game one at Houston tonight. I'll lay the Run Line with the Astros. |
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10-19-22 | Phillies v. Padres UNDER 7 | 5-8 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
Pitching once again seems to be the name of the game in the National League playoffs. After great pitching in the Padres/Dodgers series, we got treated to another gem in game one in this series on Tuesday night. The Phillies got three total hits, though two were home runs including a 488 foot shot by Kyle Shwarber. The Padres could manage just one single in game one. Aaron Nola goes tonight for the Phillies. Nola was just 13-13 in the season but beat both the Cardinals and Braves in the playoffs, allowing no earned runs over his 12 2/3 innings of postseason work. Blake Snell will go for the Padres. Snell has nine innings of work in two postseason starts, allowing three runs. Looks like another pitcher's duel here tonight to me. Play the UNDER. |
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10-18-22 | Lakers v. Warriors -6.5 | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Opening night of the NBA season and we get a good one to start with the LA Lakers heading North to take on the Golden State Warriors. Golden State begins defense of their NBA Championship from last year. The season hasn't started and it's back to the same old issues for the Lakers, injuries. The Lakers will be hurting at guard with both Russell Westbrook and Dennis Schroder uncertain about playing. The Warriors will get their Championship rings before the game so the place will be rocking. I'm going to take the Warriors with questions still lingering on the Lakers side. Play Golden State. |
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10-18-22 | Phillies v. Padres -114 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
This was the new season for this playoff format where we had three wildcard teams and the top two teams in the division got a first round bye. So after the dust settled the top four teams in the National League, including the 111 win LA Dodgers are all gone. The Dodgers, Braves, Mets are all gone with the No 5 seeded Padres hosting the No 6 seeded Phillies in game one tonight. The Padres used great pitching and an amazing bullpen along with timely hitting to upset the heavily favored Dodgers. And tonight no one has been bigger for the Padres than Yu Darvish. Darvish was 18-8 on the season, including big wins over the Mets and Dodgers in the playoffs. He held the Mets to one run over seven innings and the Dodgers to three runs over five innings. His ERA this year is 3.09 and 2.60 at home. The Phillies will start Zack Wheeler tonight. Wheeler was 12-8 overall on the season and held the Cardinals to no runs over 6 1/3 innings and the Braves to three runs over six innings in his two postseason starts. I really like Darvish and the Padres pen as they take game one here tonight. |
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10-18-22 | Ducks v. Devils OVER 6.5 | 2-4 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Anaheim opened the season with a win over the Seattle Kraken, 5-4. However, they have since lost their next two on the road at the Islanders, 1-7, and at the Rangers, 4-6. They have allowed 17 goals in three games while scoring 10 goals. The NJ Devils are 0-2 to start the season, losing to the Flyers, 2-5, and then to the Red Wings, 2-5. They have allowed 10 games in two games. The Ducks are 6-0-1 ov/Un their last seven games dating back to last season. The Devils are 5-0 Ov/Un their last five games dating back to last season. The way these teams are giving up goals, I don't know if the oddsmaker can put up a big enough total here tonight. Play the OVER. |
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10-18-22 | Guardians +167 v. Yankees | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 37 m | Show | |
They may actually get this ALDS game going today so we can move on to the ALCS against Houston. The Guardians have changed pitchers, now going with Aaron Civale instead of Bieber. Civale was only 5-6 during the regular season and has yet to start in the playoffs. He has a 4.92 ERA and is slightly better in his last seven starts with a 3-1 record and 3.23 ERA. The Yankees will stick witht Nestor Cortes today. Cortes is 12-4 on the season and has one start in this series back on the 14th. He went five innings and gave up six hits and two runs in the Cleveland win, 4-2. Must be a good reason for Civale starting today. Either he matches up well against the Yankees, he has been much better of late, or he will only go one or two innings as an opener and then bring in Bieber. Whatever the reason, the Guardians should be in this game until the end. I'll take the dog price with Cleveland. |
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10-17-22 | Broncos +4.5 v. Chargers | Top | 16-19 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
The honeymoon of Russell Wilson in Denver looks to be over as the fans must be wondering what they got for all their money as QB Geno Smith was the highest rated passer in the NFL, taking the place of Wilson. The Broncos lost for the 2nd consecutive game last week to the Colts, 9-12. They could manage just three field goals in the loss. They have scored more than 20 points just once this season and that was 23 against the Raiders in a loss. However, their defense has been great, ranking 3rd overall in the NFL an 1st in the NFL vs the pass. The offense ranks 18th overall. The Chargers have won two straight games since their loss at home to the Jaguars back on Sept 25th. They beat the Browns last week in Cleveland, 30-28 as a 1.5-point favorite. The offense ranks 5th overall in the NFL with their passing game coming in at 2nd. Should be a good matchup of the Denver passing defense against the Chargers passing offense. Denver has covered four of the last six in this series. The Broncos have had 11 days to get ready for this game. Plus all the criticism of Wilson's play might actually motivate him here tonight to play well. This is a AFC West clash and division games are usually played quite tight. I don't believe the Chargers should be this big a favorite against a very good Broncos defense. I'll take a shot with Wilson and the underdog Broncos tonight. |
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10-17-22 | Canucks +124 v. Capitals | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
NHL just under a week old into the new season and Vancouver still looking for that first win after two games. The Canucks are 0-2 and have scored five goals while allowing eight goals. They will take on the Washington Capitals tonight. The Caps have played three games and are 1-2 with seven goals scored and nine goals allowed. Neither team off to a great start. The Caps have not been all that good dating back to the end of last season. They are 1-5 in their last six games and 2-5 in their last seven home games. They are also 3-7 in their last 10 vs the West's Pacific division. Vancouver a small road dog here tonight. I'll take them in this spot to get their first win of the young season. Play Vancouver. |
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10-16-22 | Cowboys +6.5 v. Eagles | Top | 17-26 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 25 m | Show |
NFC East showdown here between the 5-0 Philadelphia Eagles and the 4-1 Dallas Cowboys. No one really expected much from the Cowboys when they lost QB Dak Prescot early on this year. However, Cooper Rush has come in and led the team to four wins. Who would have thought that one of the worst, if not the worst division in football in recent years would be the best this year with a pair of 4-1 teams and the 5-0 Eagles. With Rush at QB, the Cowboys are 7th ranked on offense while the Eagles are 4th ranked. Philly has the 2nd ranked defense in the league while Dallas comes in at 27th. Dallas beat the Rams last week 22-10, holding their second straight opponent to just 10 points. They held the Rams to just 38 rushing yards last week. Philly just got by the Arizona Cardinals last week, 20-17 as a 5.5-point favorite. Dallas has now covered 10 of their last 11 road games. They are also 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games vs the NFC and 22-7 ATS their last 29 vs the NFC East. The Cowboys are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 trips to Philly and 7-2 ATS their last nine overall vs the Eagles. I'm going to take the points with the Cowboys here tonight. |
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10-16-22 | Bills v. Chiefs +3 | 24-20 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 29 m | Show | |
Rematch of that amazing playoff matchup last year between the Bills and the Chiefs. Maybe one of the most exciting games in NFL history as the Chiefs pulled off the comeback in Overtime to shock the Bills. Now we get to see these teams again here in Kansas City. The Chiefs had to hold off the Raiders last week and a late two-point conversion that would have given the Raiders the lead late. KC held on for the win though, 30-29 as TE Kelso had FOUR touchdown receptions in that game. The Chiefs are 4-1 S/U and 2-3 ATS on the season. KC also took over the top spot in the AFC West, one game ahead of the Chargers and two games ahead of the Broncos. Buffalo had little issues at home last week against the Steelers, winning handly 38-3. The Bills had their best offensive output of the season with 120 yards on the ground and 432 yards through the air. The Bills are also 4-1 S/U and 3-1-1 ATS on the season. Their only loss coming at the hands of the Dolphins, 19-21, back on Sept 25th. The Chiefs have covered three of the last four meetings in this series. They will face a Bills team that ranks first in the NFL in offense (15 rushing and 1st in passing) and 2nd in defense (2 vs rush, 4th vs pass). Kansas City has the 6th ranked offense and the 14th ranked defense. The Bills are only 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight vs a winning team and 0-5 ATS in their last five games on grass. The Chiefs are 7-3 ATS their last 10 vs a winning team and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games on grass. The Chiefs have covered six of the last eight in this series and getting a field goal here is what I'm going to side with. Take the home dog Chiefs in this one. |
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10-16-22 | Bills v. Chiefs OVER 54 | 24-20 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 28 m | Show | |
Rematch of that amazing playoff matchup last year between the Bills and the Chiefs. Maybe one of the most exciting games in NFL history as the Chiefs pulled off the comeback in Overtime to shock the Bills. Now we get to see these teams again here in Kansas City. The Chiefs had to hold off the Raiders last week and a late two-point conversion that would have given the Raiders the lead late. KC held on for the win though, 30-29 as TE Kelso had FOUR touchdown receptions in that game. The Chiefs are 4-1 S/U and 2-3 ATS on the season. KC also took over the top spot in the AFC West, one game ahead of the Chargers and two games ahead of the Broncos. Buffalo had little issues at home last week against the Steelers, winning handly 38-3. The Bills had their best offensive output of the season with 120 yards on the ground and 432 yards through the air. The Bills are also 4-1 S/U and 3-1-1 ATS on the season. Their only loss coming at the hands of the Dolphins, 19-21, back on Sept 25th. The Chiefs have covered three of the last four meetings in this series. They will face a Bills team that ranks first in the NFL in offense (15 rushing and 1st in passing) and 2nd in defense (2 vs rush, 4th vs pass). Kansas City has the 6th ranked offense and the 14th ranked defense. Buffalo is now 10-3-1 Ov/Un in their last 14 games on grass and 4-1 Ov/Un in their last five games overall. KC is 8-2 Ov/Un in their last 10 games on grass, 10-3 Ov/Un in their last 13 games overall and 8-3 Ov/Un in their last 11 vs the AFC. These two teams have gone over in five of the last six meetings in Kansas City. I'll be on the OVER today. |
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10-16-22 | Cardinals v. Seahawks OVER 50.5 | 9-19 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 8 m | Show | |
Reason: Arizona looking to rebound from their close loss at home over Philadelphia last week, 17-20. The Cardinals are 2-3 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. Arizona's offense ranks 14th overall with the defense coming in at 18th. Seattle lost a shootout last week at New Orleans, 32-39. The Seahawks are 2-3 S/U and ATS this season and have gone over in three straight games. The Seattle offense ranks 8th overall and the defense is dead last at 32nd. The Hawks allow the most rushing yards in the NFL this year at 170 per game. The Hawks will have issues containing the Cardinals scrambling QB and that should open up the passing game. Geno Smith has this Seattle offense 11th in passing and he should keep them in the game here today. I'll take the OVER. |
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10-16-22 | Patriots +2.5 v. Browns | 38-15 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
The Patriots in that unusual position of last in the AFC East with a 2-3 record. The Patriots did snap a two game losing streak last week with a shut-out win over Detroit, 29-0, as a 3-poin favorite. New England ranks 17th overall on offense and 16th on defense. The Browns are in 2nd place in the AFC North with a 2-3 record, one game back of Baltimore. Cleveland has the 19th ranked defense and the 4th ranked offense. That offensive united has the NFL's top ranked rushing attack at 192 yards per game. These teams have met just twice in the last five years with the Patriots winning both and covering both games. The Pats are 29-10 ATS their last 39 games vs a losing team. They are also 19-9-1 ATS their last 29 games on grass. The Browns are just 2-5 ATS their last seven games and 2-6 ATS their last eight home games. The Pats are a small road dog here and I expect them to be in this game and get the straight-up win today. Play New England. |
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10-16-22 | Bengals v. Saints +3 | 30-26 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Bengals came up short last week at Baltimore, 17-19, though they did cover the 3-point dog spread. The Bengals saw their two-game win streak snapped as they fell to 2-3 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. The Bengals offense ranks 22nd overall, but 25th rushing. The defense is 13th overall, 7th vs the rush. The Saints beat the Seahawks last week, 39-32, covering the 5.5-point favorite line. The win snapped a three game losing streak to make them 2-3 S/U and ATS overall. The offense had their best output of the year with 438 total yards and 235 rushing yards. The Saints defense ranks 16th overall while the offense is 7th overall. The dog has covered four of the last five in this series and the Saints are a small home dog here today. QB Jameis Winston will miss another game here today with a back injury but ageless Andy Dalton will be behind center. Bengals not exactly looking like the team of last year and with that a small dog at home with the Saints looks good to me. Play New Orleans. |
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10-15-22 | Mississippi State -4 v. Kentucky | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 39 m | Show | |
Mississippi State has been on a offensive explosion of late, scoring 40 points or more in its last three games and 39 or more points in five of its six games. No wonder the offense ranks 26th in the country with one of the best red-zone efficiency marks of 92.5%. The Bulldogs are coming off a blowout win over Arkansas last week, 40-17, easily covering the 8-point spread. They had 568 yards of offense last week vs the Hogs with a +2 turnover ratio. The Dogs are 5-1 S/U and ATS with their only loss coming to LSU back on Sept 17, 16-31. Kentucky lost its second straight game of the season last week to South Carolina, 14-24, failing to cover the -10.5 point line. That coming on the heals of their loss at Ole Miss the week before, 19-22. The losses dropped the team to 4-2 S/U and 3-2 ATS. Miss State beat Kentucky last year, 31-17, doubling them in yards and having a +4 turnover ratio. Miss State is 4-1-1 ATS their last six games and 6-1 ATS their last seven vs a team with a winning record. They have also covered five of their last seven on the road. I'm not happy with the way Kentucky has performed the last two weeks. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs look to be firing on all cylinders. I'll take the visitor in this one on Miss State. |
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10-15-22 | Wisconsin -7.5 v. Michigan State | 28-34 | Loss | -105 | 66 h 7 m | Show | |
The Wisconsin Badgers rebounded from their 10-34 loss to Illinois two weeks ago with a road win at Northwestern last week, 42-7. The Badgers are now 3-3 S/U and ATS on the season. A tough Big 10 schedule follows the next six games if they hope to get bowl eligible. Wisconsin had 515 yards of offense last week at Northwestern and a +3 turnover ratio. Michigan State is coming off a loss last week at home to Ohio State, 20-49. The Spartans had just 202 total yards of offense in the loss while allowing 614 yards. The Spartans have now lost four straight games and are 2-4 overall on the season. Wisconsin has covered six of their last seven conference games and 4-0 ATS their last four overall. Michigan State might be the worst team in the Big 10. Their offense is not good, their defense is not good and they don't score many points. I'll stick with the Badgers here today as they need wins against teams like this. Play Wisconsin. |
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10-15-22 | Alabama v. Tennessee +7.5 | 49-52 | Win | 100 | 66 h 48 m | Show | |
Tennessee has their biggest game of the season here this week as they welcome Alabama to town. The Vols are 5-0 S/U and having one of their best seasons. They have also covered four of their five games this year. They are coming off a decisive road win last week at LSU, 40-13, as a -2.5-point favorite. The Vols can go all out in this one as they have Tennessee-Martin up next. Alabama just did get by Texas A&M last week at home, 24-20, not coming close to covering the 24.5 point favorite line. The Tide still are a perfect 6-0 on the season and 4-2 vs the number. Alabama won this game last year in Tennessee, 52-24, covering the 24-point line. This year different story as they are just a 7.5-point road favorite. Alabama is just 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games vs a team with a winning record. History is on the side of the Tide in this one. But you Tennessee will be rocking on Saturday as the faithful look for a huge upset win of the top ranked Tide. I'm taking the points in this one as I expect Tennessee to be there at the end. Play Tennessee. |
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10-15-22 | Oklahoma State +4 v. TCU | 40-43 | Win | 100 | 66 h 36 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State hits the road this week after a home win last week over Texas Tech, 41-31, as a 9-point favorite. The Cowboys are now 5-0 S/U and 3-1 ATS. The offense has been clicking, now ranked 20th in the nation and having a red-zone efficiency of 81.5%. The defense isn't quite as good, coming in at 104th. TCU got by Kansas last week in the whining moments of the game, 38-31, pushing the 7-point spread. The Horned Frogs are now 5-0 S/U and 3-1 ATS. Their offense ranks 3rd in the nation with a 81.2% red zone efficiency. The defense comes in at 93rd. Ok State won last year's matchup with TCU, 63-17, covering the 11.5-points spread. Ok State is now 9-0 ATS in their last nine road games against a winning home team. They are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 conference games and 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 road games. TCU is 2-6-1 in their last nine conference games and 14-29-1 ATS in their last 44 home games. The dog has covered six of the last seven in this series and that's what I look for here today. Play Oklahoma State. |
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10-15-22 | Braves v. Phillies OVER 9 | 3-8 | Win | 101 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
The Braves face elimination today at the hands of the Phillies as they trail one game to two. Atlanta took a beating in Friday's contest, 1-9. Win or go home today for the Braves. That task will fall to Charlie Morton who is 9-6 on the season with a 4.34 ERA. He's been slightly worse over his last seven starts with a 5.65 ERA. The Phillies turn to Noah Syndergaard today who is 10-10 on the season with a 4.00 ERA. The Braves have gone over in six of their last eight road playoff games and are 25-9-3 Ov/Un in their last 37 games vs a team with a winning record. Philly has gone over in four straight home games and is 11-3-2 Ov/un in their last 16 home playoff games. I like today's game to go OVER. |
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10-15-22 | Iowa State +17 v. Texas | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 62 h 10 m | Show | |
Texas looks like the read deal this year as they rolled past Oklahoma last week, 49-0. That made them 4-2 S/U and 5-1 ATS. Their only losses came to Alabama in the final seconds of that game, 19-20 and then lost to Texas Tech, 34-37. Texas ranks 35th overall on offense and 33rd in defense. Iowa State looks to snap a three-game losing streak here today. The Cyclones lost last week to Kansas State, 9-10 and the previous week to Kansas, 11-14. That makes them 3-3 S/U and 4-2 ATS on the season. Iowa State has covered against Texas the last two years, last year winning 30-7 at home and the previous year winning 23-20 at Texas. Texas is just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 conference games. Texas has their big intra-state rivalry game next week at Oklahoma State. They might have their eyes set on that game and not on this one. Big points here with the dog and I'll take a shot with them. Play Iowa State. |
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10-15-22 | Penn State +7 v. Michigan | 17-41 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 8 m | Show | |
Tough Big 10 matchup here today as Penn State travels to Michigan to take on the Wolverines. The Nittany Lions are coming off a win two weeks ago at home over Northwestern, 17-7, but failed to cover the 25.5-point lines. The Lions are now 5-0 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. Michigan beat Indiana last week, 31-10, but just missed covered the 21.5 point line. The Wolverines improved to 6-0 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. The Michigan offense ranks 27th in the country with Penn State coming in at 37th. The Michigan defense ranks 4th in the country, making it three of the top four defenses coming from the Big 10. The Penn State defense isn't bad though, ranking 37th overall. Penn State is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games. Michigan is just 4-9 ATS their last 13 games against a team with a winning record. Looks like a good defensive battle here today. I'll take the points in this one and see if the Lions can get in under the line. Play Penn State. |
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10-15-22 | Minnesota v. Illinois +6.5 | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 62 h 7 m | Show | |
The Illinois Illini are coming off a hard fought home win over defensive Iowa last week, 9-6, though they didn't cover the 3.-5 point line. That makes them 5-1 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. Illinois managed just 316 yards of offense in that game and had a -2 turnover ratio. They did rush for 200 yards though against the 8th ranked Iowa defense. Minnesota came up short last week at home against Purdue, losing 10-20 as a 12.5-point favorite. That makes the Gophers 4-1 S/U and 3-1 ATS. The loss was their first of the year and the most points they have allowed this year. The Gophers defense still ranks as the best in the nation, allowing just 222 yards per game and with just three TD's allowed in the red zone this year. Illinois though ranks second in the nation in defense and has a 30.2% red zone efficiency on defense, allowing just one red zone TD. Illinois has covered four of their last five home games and is 7-2 ATS their last nine games. This looks to be a great defensive battle between the top two rated defenses in the country. I'll take Illinois though in this one. |
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10-15-22 | Kansas +9 v. Oklahoma | 42-52 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 46 m | Show | |
Kansas saw its undefeated 5-0 mark come to an end last week with a loss to TCU, 31-38. Kansas QB Jalon Daniels left that game with a shoulder injury and is out this week. Jason Bean came in and performed well in the loss. Bean completed 16 of 24 passes for 262 yards and four TD's in relief. Meanwhile Oklahoma got demolished at the Cotton Bowl by Texas last week, 0-49. That was the team's third loss in a row. That dropped the Sooners to 3-3 on the season. The Sooners were outgained by Texas, 195-585 yards. OU QB Dillon Gabriel was injured in that game, but unlike Kansas, the Sooners had no one to replace him at QB. At least quality QB. That Sooners loss was the largest in school history. The Sooners also have lost three straight for the first time since 1998. Not Kansas gets a struggling OU team. Looks like Bean will once again be at the helm for Kansas. The Run game should do well though, as Oklahoma ranks last in the Big 12 and 122nd in the nation in run defense. This game really looks to be a question of whether Oklahoma will show up and it looks like they will do so maybe without their staring QB who is questionable with a concussion. Not sure how the line is OU -9 or thereabouts. I look for a straight up Kansas win, but I'll gladly take the generous points in this one. Play Kansas. |
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10-13-22 | Temple v. Central Florida -23 | Top | 13-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
Temple looking to get back to 3-3 today with a win at UCF. The Owls are 2-3 after losing two weeks ago at Memphis, 3-24, as a 20-point dog. Temple has a good defense, 11th in the country. However, you have to take that with a grain of salt when you realize they have played Lafayette, Rutgers, U Mass and Duke, none of which are offensive powerhouses. The offense is not good, ranking 124th in the country. They were shutout by Duke and scored just three points against Memphis. Meanwhile, Central Florida looks to improve to 5-1 with a win tonight. UCF only loss coming against Louisville, 14-20 back on Sept 9th. They are coming off a win over SMU back on Oct 5, 41-19. The UCF offense ranks 17th in the nation with the defense at 40th. Temple is 3-13 ATS in their last 16 conference games and 0-6 ATS in their last six road games. UCF has covered four of the last five in this series and the favorite is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings. UCF has too much offense and defense for the Owls here tonight. Lay the points with Central Florida. |
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10-11-22 | Phillies +179 v. Braves | 7-6 | Win | 179 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
The Phillies shocked everyone by beating the Cardinals in two straight games in St Louis. That included that huge comeback in game one where down 0-2 in the top of the 9th the Phils scored six times. The one bad thing for the Phillies is this is their 13th straight road game. However, the Braves have been off all week as they got the bye in the first round and the hitters might not be in game timing for this first game. Philly will start Ranger Suarez who did not get a start in the NL Wild Card round. Suarez is 10-7 on the season with a 3.65 ERA but better on the road with a 6-3 record and 3.20 ERA. The Braves last played on October 5th at Miami and lost 9-12. They tied with the Mets for the NL East division but by virtue of head-to-head won the division and the bye. Max Fried will start today with a 14-7 record and 2.48 ERA. Fried has been very good and continues to be a solid option for the Braves. I'm going to take a shot here with the big dog Phillies in this one. Lets see if we can catch the Braves hitters a bit rusty in this one. Play Philadelphia. |
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10-10-22 | Raiders +7 v. Chiefs | Top | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 28 h 14 m | Show |
The Las Vegas Raiders finally got Josh McDaniels his first win last week at home over the Denver Broncos, 32-23. The Raiders had 212 yards on the ground and another 173 yards through the air while holding Denver to 299 total yards. Kansas City went to Tampa Bay last week and led the entire way to a 41-31 win. The Chiefs are now 3-1 S/U and 2-2 ATS on the season. They held Tampa Bay to just three rushing yards, though Tom Brady did get 373 yards through the air. The Raiders defense ranks 22nd overall, 10th vs the rush. The Chiefs are 13th overall and top against the rush allowing just 66 yards per game average. The Chiefs are 5th on offense with the Raiders coming in at 13th. For some strange reason, the Chiefs are only 1-7 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a losing record. They are also 2-5 ATS their last seven vs the AFC. The Raiders have been in every game this year, losing by five to the Chargers, six to the Cardinals and two to Tennessee. Tonight they get at least seven points and the way this offense has played I'll take the points here with the visitor. Play Las Vegas Raiders. |
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10-09-22 | Bengals +3.5 v. Ravens | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 24 h 36 m | Show |
The Cincinnati Bengals have had a rough start to the season but they play in the AFC North and right now are tied with the Browns and Ravens for first place at 2-2. The Bengals started the season 0-2, losing to Pittsburgh and then to Dallas. They have rebounded though with wins at the Jets, 27-12, and last week beating Miami, 27-15. The Bengals defense has been very good, ranked 11th overall in the NFL and 4th vs the rush, allowing just 86 yards per game. The offense improving to 16th overall and 8th in passing behind Jeff Burrows. Baltimore has the 2nd most points scored in the AFC with 119, though they rank just 12th overall in yardage. Baltimore jumped out to a lead last week at home over Buffalo, but couldn't hold on as the Bills won late, 23-20. The Ravens offense was held to just 296 yards by the league's top ranked defense. It's the Ravens defense that will have to improve. They are ranked 30th in the NFL and dead last vs the pass. Now they have to face a very good Burrows and the Bengals passing attack. Cincinnati has won and covered both games last year, 41-21 at home and 41-17 at Baltimore. The Bengals are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 AFC games, 6-1 ATS their last seven road games and 10-2 ATS their last 12 overall games. The Bengals have covered four of the last five in this series and the road team is 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings. I don't see Baltimore stopping Burrows and the Bengals offense here today. I'll take Cincinnati. |
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10-09-22 | Cowboys v. Rams UNDER 42.5 | 22-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
The surprising Dallas Cowboys bring their 3-1 record to LA this week to take on the 2-2 Super Bowl defending Rams. The Cowboys had QB Dak Prescott go down in week 1, but since they they are 3-0 with backup QB Rush leading the team. Dallas beat the Washington Commanders last week, 25-10 as a 3-point favorite. All four teams in the NL West are at 2-2 with the Rams having come off that Monday Night loss last week to the 49ers, 9-24. Now they are on the short week as they return home to face Dallas. Dallas has a very good defense, ranked 7th overall in the NFL and 5th vs the pass. They should give Rams QB Mathew Stafford all he can handle this week. The Rams defense ranks just 16th. Surprisingly, the Rams offense ranks 28th in the league with the rushing attack 29th. The Cowboys are 1-5-1 O/U in their last seven road games. They are also 3-12-1 O/U in their last 16 overall games. The Rams have gone under in five of their last six games and are 5-15-1 O/U their last 21 games in October and 7-19 O/U their last 26 home games. I'll be on the UNDER here on Sunday. |
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10-09-22 | Cowboys +5.5 v. Rams | 22-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 38 m | Show | |
The surprising Dallas Cowboys bring their 3-1 record to LA this week to take on the 2-2 Super Bowl defending Rams. The Cowboys had QB Dak Prescott go down in week 1, but since they they are 3-0 with backup QB Rush leading the team. Dallas beat the Washington Commanders last week, 25-10 as a 3-point favorite. All four teams in the NL West are at 2-2 with the Rams having come off that Monday Night loss last week to the 49ers, 9-24. Now they are on the short week as they return home to face Dallas. Dallas has a very good defense, ranked 7th overall in the NFL and 5th vs the pass. They should give Rams QB Mathew Stafford all he can handle this week. The Rams defense ranks just 16th. Surprisingly, the Rams offense ranks 28th in the league with the rushing attack 29th. Dallas has covered their last five road games and are 16-5 ATS their last 21 vs the NFC. The Rams are 1-5 ATS their last six games. The Rams still don't look like the team that won the Super Bowl last season while the Cowboys keep winning. I'll take the road dog in this one. Play Cowboys. |
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10-09-22 | 49ers v. Panthers UNDER 39.5 | 37-15 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 19 m | Show | |
San Francisco is 2-2 but tied with all the rest of the NFC West for 1st place. The 49ers won't turn any heads with their offense, but their defense is top notch. They have allowed just 46 points this year, tops in the division and best in the NFC. They are also the the only team in the division with a plus points differential at +25. The Giants held the highly vaulted Rams offense to just three field goals last week in their win on Monday night, 24-9. The Rams could muster just 257 total yards and 57 on the ground. They also had a +2 turnover ration. The defense is tied for the top spot in the NFL with Buffalo as both teams allow just 235 yards per game. The 49ers have the 2nd ranked rush defense and the 2nd ranked pass defense. Meanwhile Carolina is coming off a home loss last week to Arizona, 16-26. The Panthers have gone under in three straight weeks, thanks to an offense that has 275, 293 and 220 yards in each of those weeks. Not surprising the offense ranks last in the NFL with 262 yards per game. That doesn't bode well this week against this stingy 49ers defense. The 49ers have gone under in 13 of their last 16 overall games, 10 of their last 11 games on grass and their last six vs the NFC. Carolina has gone under in five of their last seven overall games and five of their last six vs the NFC. Looks to be a low scoring game here today with the Panthers struggling to find points in this one. Play the UNDER. |
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10-09-22 | Dolphins -3 v. Jets | 17-40 | Loss | -120 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
Miami will be without QB Tua Tagovailoa this week as he will be out with a concussion. Up next with Tua out will be veteran QB Teddy Bridgewater. Tua has bad an excellent season with a 109.9 QB rating this season. Bridgewater took over after Tua had to leave the Bengals contest. Bridgewater finished 14-of-25 for 193 yards and a TD and one INT. Bridgewater played last season for the Broncos. Bridgewater is alwo been amazing on the road, posting a 24-6 record in his last 30 away games. The Dolphins would have been around a 6-7 point favorite in this game, but we have seen the number adjusted to 3 1/2 when Tua was ruled out. For me, that's a way over adjustment here on Sunday and I'm making a big play on the Dolphins in this game. Your free play is on the Dolphins. |
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10-09-22 | Seahawks v. Saints OVER 44.5 | 32-39 | Win | 100 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
Not many gave the Seahawks much of a chance after Russell Wilson left the team for Denver. However, they are 2-2 and in a four way tie for first place in the NFC West. The Seahawks offense erupted last week for a season high points in their win over the Detroit Lions, 48-45. The offense had 555 yards, 235 on the ground and 320 through the air. That makes two straight over plays for the Hawks after a 50-point combined effort the week before vs the Falcons. Today, they travel to New Orleans to take on the Saints. The Saints QB Jameis Winston is currently doubtful with a back injury. However, they do have RB Alvin Kamara back in the lineup with a rib injury. Ageless Andy Dalton looks to be at QB for the Saints on Sunday. The Saints lost a close game at home last week to the Vikings, 25-28. The Saints defense has been good, ranked 12th overall, but 20th vs the rush. Seattle's defense ranks second to last in the NFL at 31st, 29th both vs the rush and pass. The Seahawks have gone over in five of their last seven games. The Saints are 7-1 O/U in their last eight games in October. With the poor Hawks defense and the Saints with Kamara back, I look for plenty of points on the board today. Play the OVER. |
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10-09-22 | Falcons +11 v. Bucs | 15-21 | Win | 100 | 16 h 13 m | Show | |
The NFC South is wide open with Tampa Bay and Atlanta both at 2-2 and the Panthers and Saints at 1-3. The winner here today takes over sole position in first place in the division. The Falcons have surprised many as they lead the division in points (103) with the Bucs in 2nd (82). The Falcons offense ranks just 15th, but their rushing attack is 4th. That took a hit last week when Cordell Patterson went down with an injury. He will be out this week, however, two solid rookies picked-up the slack last week and should both see lots of time today. The Falcons beat Cleveland last week, 23-20. They rushed for 202 yards, most of those with their rookie backs. Tampa Bay might be tied for first but they haven't clicked this year. QB Tom Brady has not looked all that good and the offense is ranked 25th after four weeks. The rushing game is just 31st while the passing game is 9th. The best part of the team has been the defense, which ranks 8th in the league. They are 12th rushing and 14th passing. The Falcons have now covered their last four games and are 43-20 ATS their last 63 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing the previous game. Don't expect the Bucs anemic rushing attack to do what the Browns did last week to the Falcons. The Falcons get double digits here today and for me that's too much to give to a team that has been playing very well. The Bucs have lost two straight games and while they likely won't lose today, I look for the Falcons to sneak in under the spread. Take Atlanta. |
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10-09-22 | Chargers v. Browns +2 | 30-28 | Push | 0 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
The LA Chargers rebounded from their horrendous home loss to the Jaguars two weeks ago with a win last week at Houston, 34-24. That makes them 2-2 S/U and 3-1 ATS on the season. The offense has been very good, despite playing without a key WR in Keenan Allen. Allen missed his second game last week and will be out again this week. The offense ranks 7th overall in the league and 1st in passing. The Browns are 4th in offense because they have the 2nd ranked rushing attack in the league. The Browns lost last week at Atlanta, 20-23. They have rushed for at least 171 yards in each of their first four games this season. The Browns are 2-2 S/U and ATS on the season. The Browns 9th ranked defense will be tasked with controlling Justin Hebert and the Chargers offense. The Browns have covered six of the last eight in this series. The dog has also covered seven of the last eight in the series. It's going to be the ball control rushing of the Browns against the pass attack of Hebert and the Chargers. Whoever wins the turnover battle likely wins this game. I'll take the Browns at home with their great rushing attack to keep the ball out of the Chargers hands. Play Cleveland. |
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10-08-22 | Padres +165 v. Mets | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
Padres can pull the huge upset with a win here on Saturday and a 2-0 sweep of the Mets. Not only did the Mets give away the division title, but now they face elmination at home at the hands of the Padres. San Diego isn't known for their home run power, but they had three big long balls in their 7-1 win over the Mets on Friday. The Padres will start Blake Snell here on Saturday who is 8-10 overall with a 3.45 ERA. He's been much better of late, going 3-3 over his last seven games with a nice 1.76 ERA. In fact, he's allowed just two total yards over his last four starts (25 Innings). The Mets will get deGrom started here today. deGrom is 5-4 in his 11 starts with a 3.08 ERA. deGrom has been good, but not great. And here we get the Padres as a big dog with a hot Snell on the hill. Take San Diego. |
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10-08-22 | Washington State +13 v. USC | 14-30 | Loss | -120 | 50 h 12 m | Show | |
USC definitely the team in the PAC-12 as the favorite to win the conference. The Trojans really improved with the transfer portal and bringing in a new head coach. The difference has resulted in a 5-0 S/U start and 3-2 ATS mark. The Trojans have failed to cover the last two weeks though as the oddsmaker has really adjusted this team up. I believe they have over corrected and made them bigger favorites then they should be. That's the case here this week as they host Washington State. The Cougars are 4-1 S/U and ATS on the season and coming off a win over Cal last week, 28-9 as a 4-point favorite. The Cougars held cal to just 311 totals yards and had a +2 turnover ratio in the game. The defense ranks 68th overall while the offense is 94th. USC ranks 19th on offense and 55th on defense. Washington State is 20-6 ATS their last 26 games in October, 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games and 4-0 ATS in their last four PAC-12 games. USC is just 1-7 ATS in their last eight conference games and 2-5 ATS vs a team with a winning record. The road team is 7-2 ATS the last nine meetings in this series. I think 12.5 points is too many for the Trojans to be laying to a very good Washington State team. I'll take the points in this one. |
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10-08-22 | Iowa v. Illinois -3 | Top | 6-9 | Push | 0 | 50 h 12 m | Show |
Big 10 action here today as Illinois hosts Iowa. Iowa fell behind early last week at home against Michigan and couldn't quite rebound in their loss to the Wolverines, 14-27, as a 10.5-point dog. The Iowa offense just not good enough to come from behind like that. Iowa has the 129th ranked offense in the country and really has to rely on their 6th ranked defense to keep them in games. Illinois went to Wisconsin last week and put a big-time whipping on the Badgers, 34-10, as a 7-point dog. Take makes the Illini 4-1 S/U and 3-1 ATS on the season. Illinois has the nation's 54th ranked offense and 2nd ranked defense. Iowa is now 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 October games. Illinois is 7-1 ATS int heir last eight overall games and 4-1 ATS in their last five conference games. Despite both teams have top 10 defenses, I give the nod here to Illinois. And with the Illini offense much better than Iowa, I'll be on the home team here today. Play Illinois. |
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10-08-22 | Army v. Wake Forest -16.5 | 10-45 | Win | 100 | 50 h 11 m | Show | |
Wake Forest rebounded last week from their loss the week before to Clemson, 45-51. They beat Florida State last week, 31-21, as a 7-point dog. The win makes the Deamon Decons now 4-1 S/U and ATS on the season. Army coming off a loss last week at home to Georgia State, 14-31. The Black Knights dropped to 1-3 S/U and 0-3 ATS on the season. Their only win coming against FCS Villanova two weeks ago, 49-10. Army gave up 456 yards to Ga State despite having 19 more plays and four more first downs. It was their three turnovers that contributed to the loss. Army was trounced last year at Wake, giving up 638 yards and 70-points in the 56-70 shootout loss. Army has now covered just one of their last six games overall. Wake is 9-3-1 ATS their last 13 games against a losing team. I look for another Wake blowout this week against an overmanned Army squad. Take Wake Forest. |
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10-08-22 | Rays v. Guardians -105 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
Cleveland can put this Wildcard series away here on Saturday after winning game one on Friday, 2-1. Shane Bieber went 7 2/3 innings and allowed just three hits and one run with 8 KO's and one walk. Tampa Bay will turn to Tyler Glasnow who makes just his third start of the season. Glasnow last started on Oct 3 and went 3 2/3 innings against Boston and allowed two hits and no runs. Triston McKenzie is 11-10 this season with a 2.91 ERA. He's allowed just two runs in his last two starts (11 innings). It looks like a Cleveland sweep as they win game two. The Rays finished the season 0-5 and now are 0-6. They just didn't get hot at the right time. Play Cleveland. |
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10-08-22 | TCU v. Kansas +7 | 38-31 | Push | 0 | 43 h 41 m | Show | |
TCU coming off a big win over Oklahoma last week. The Horned Frogs were a 7-point dog at home but demolished the Sooners, 55-24. TCU had 668 yards of offense in the win, 361 on the ground and 307 through the air while holding the potent OK offense to just 355 yards. Kansas plays its third home game in a row this week vs the Horned Frogs. The Jayhawks are coming off a win last week at home over Iowa State, 14-11, as a 3-point dog. That makes them 5-0 S/U and 4-1 ATS on the season. Kansas covered last year's contest in TCU, 28-31, as a 21-point dog. TCU has the nation's 2nd ranked offense while Kansas comes in at 59th. TCU is ranked 64th on defense with Kansas at 78th. TCU is just 4-9 ATS their last 13 on field turf. They are also 2-6 ATS in their last eight conference games. Kansas has covered their last eight games and is 5-0 ATS in their last five conference games. Not only has the dog covered seven of the last 10 in this series, but the Jayhawks have covered seven of the last 10 at home in this series. I'll take the points here with Kansas. |
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10-07-22 | Mariners v. Blue Jays -128 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -128 | 16 h 57 m | Show |
AL Wild Card action here on Friday has the Seattle Mariners traveling North of the border to take on the Blue Jays. The Blue Jays finished with the top Wild Card spot as the Mariners snuck in for the 2nd spot. Both these clubs have won seven of their last 10 games. Seattle will start Luis Castillo who is 8-6 on the season with a 2.99 ERA. Toronto will counter with Alek Manoah who is 16-7 on the season with a 2.24 ERA. He's been even better of late, going 4-1 in his last seven starts with a 0.94 ERA. I like the way Manoah has been pitching and the Jays have home field here today. I'll take Toronto. |
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10-07-22 | Rays v. Guardians -109 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
AL Wild card looks different this year than last. Last year it was two wild card teams and they played one game with the winner moving on. Now, we have three wild card teams and they play the best of three in this opening series. This early game on Friday has Tampa Bay Rays going to Cleveland to play the Guardians. Tampa Bay didn't finish well, losing their last five games as they head into the playoffs. Shane McClanahan will start today for the Rays with a 12-8 record this season and a 2.54 ERA. That number was slightly higher of late with a 2-3 record in his last seven starts and a 3.55 ERA. Cleveland finished the regular season winning its last two games. Shane Bieber will start this game one. Bieber has a 13-8 record with a 2.93 ERA. He has been better of late, going 5-1 in his last seven starts with a 2.44 ERA. I'm taking Cleveland in this opening Wild Card contest. |
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10-06-22 | Colts v. Broncos UNDER 43.5 | Top | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 44 h 13 m | Show |
The Indianapolis Colts dropped to 1-2-1 after losing last week to the Titans, 17-24 as a 4-point home favorite. That coming after that big win over the Chiefs the week before. All four games for the Colts have gone under this year. The Colts offense ranks 19th overall in the NFL, 27th rushing. The defense has been better, ranked 6th in the NFL. Despite losing last week, the Colts won the stat sheet, holding Tennessee to just 243 yards. The issue were the three turnovers the Colts had in the contest. The Denver Broncos dropped to 2-2 after losing at the LV Raiders last week, 23-32. The Broncos defense, which was ranked 3rd over, was torched for 32 points. Actually six of those coming on a turnover returned for a TD. The defense gave up 212 yards on the ground after not allowing 100 yards in the first three games. The teams have meet twice in the last five years with both games going UNDER. The Colts have been a very good under team of late, going under in nine straight games. They are also 0-8 U/U in their last eight vs the AFC. The Broncos are 4-11 O/U in their last 15 games and 2-6 O/U in their last eight home games. Two very good defenses here and I'm looking for an UNDER. |
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10-03-22 | Rams v. 49ers UNDER 42.5 | Top | 9-24 | Win | 100 | 24 h 6 m | Show |
NFC West battle here on Monday Night as the Rams make the trip North to face San Francisco. The Rams can move back into first place with a win tonight. The Cardinals and Seahawks are both 2-2 after four weeks and the Rams can go to 3-1 with a win. San Francisco is in last place at 1-2. However, a win by the 49ers and all four division teams will be a 2-2. The Rams opened their season with a loss at home to Buffalo, 10-31. They have rebounded with wins over Atlanta and then last week at Arizona, 20-12. Two of their three games have gone under. Now they face the 2nd best defense in the NFL in San Francisco. The Niners have the leagues best passing defense. The Rams offense hasn't been like last year, as they rank just 25th overall and 30th in rushing. San Francisco isn't much better, coming in at 24th overall and 29th passing. San Francisco lost their QB , Trey Lance, to a season ending injury in week 2. Back at starter is Jimmy Garoppolo. After leading the 49ers to a win in the game Lance went down, they lost last week at Denver, 10-11. All three of their games have gone under thanks to their 2nd ranked defense. The Niners have now gone under in 10 of their last 11 games and four of their last five home games. These teams have gone under in seven of the last nine meetings in San Francisco and four of the last five overall. With the Rams offense not firing on all cylinders, I will be the UNDER. |
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10-03-22 | Rams v. 49ers -1.5 | 9-24 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
NFC West battle here on Monday Night as the Rams make the trip North to face San Francisco. The Rams can move back into first place with a win tonight. The Cardinals and Seahawks are both 2-2 after four weeks and the Rams can go to 3-1 with a win. San Francisco is in last place at 1-2. However, a win by the 49ers and all four division teams will be a 2-2. The Rams opened their season with a loss at home to Buffalo, 10-31. They have rebounded with wins over Atlanta and then last week at Arizona, 20-12. Two of their three games have gone under. Now they face the 2nd best defense in the NFL in San Francisco. The Niners have the leagues best passing defense. The Rams offense hasn't been like last year, as they rank just 25th overall and 30th in rushing. San Francisco isn't much better, coming in at 24th overall and 29th passing. San Francisco lost their QB , Trey Lance, to a season ending injury in week 2. Back at starter is Jimmy Garoppolo. After leading the 49ers to a win in the game Lance went down, they lost last week at Denver, 10-11. The Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last five games and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs a team with a losing record. The 49ers are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games and 6-1 ATS in their last seven vs the NFC. The 49ers have covered the last five vs the Rams and are 5-2 ATS their last seven vs the Rams in San Francisco. I'm going to take the 49ers and their very good defense here today. |
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10-03-22 | Diamondbacks v. Brewers -1.5 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
This is it for the Milwaukee Brewers. With the final series of the season at hand the Brewers trail the Philadelphia Phillies by two games for the final Wild Card spot. The Phillies have a tough 3-game series at Houston so it's no cake walk for them. However, the Brewers welcomen the Arizona Diamondbacks to town. The D'backs start Tommy Henry tonight who is 3-4 in his eight starts with a 5.98 ERA. Henry has allowed 17 earned runs over his last three starts (13 innings). The Brewers hopes ride with Brandon Woodruff who has been excellent all season with a 13-4 record and 3.05 ERA. He's been very perfect at home with an 8-0 record and 1.98 ERA. I'm taking the Brewers on the Run line tonight in what should be a blowout Milwaukee win. |
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10-02-22 | Patriots v. Packers UNDER 40 | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 17 m | Show | |
The New England Patriots just 1-2 and tied for last in the AFC East with the Jets. The Patriots were beat at home last week by the Baltimore Ravens, 26-37. They had more yards than the Ravens (447-394), more plays (60-55) and more first downs (22-19), but it was turnovers that hurt as the offense had four last week. The Patriots offense isn't bad though, ranked 10th in the NFL. The Defense comes in at 12th. The Green Bay Packers opened the season with a loss, but have since won two straight games to tie the Vikings for the lead in the NFC North. Green Bay held off Tampa Bay last week to win on the road, 14-12 as a 1-point dog. It was a defensive battle as the Packers got 315 yards to the Bucs 285. You have to go back to 2018 for the last time these teams have met, and that went to the Pats, 31-17. The Patriots have now gone under in 24 of their last 31 games on grass. They are also 2-6 O/U in their last eight road games. Green Bay has gone under in four straight and are 0-8 O/U in their last eight October games. With four of the last five going under in this series, I think I will be on the UNDER here on Sunday. |
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10-02-22 | Broncos v. Raiders UNDER 45.5 | 23-32 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 17 m | Show | |
The Denver Broncos are tied for first in the AFC West with the Kansas City Chiefs at 2-1. That despite a rocky start under new QB Russel Wilson. The Broncos defense has been excellent, ranked 3rd overall in the NFL, 3rd against the pass and 6th against the run. The offense ranks 16th, 11th rushing and 18th passing. As for the Raiders, after a 4-0 preseason they are now 0-3 to start the regular season. They have lost those games by a combined 13-points. Still, have to think Josh Daniels on the hot seat after some questionable calls. Another home loss here and he might be in trouble in Vegas. The Raiders offense one behind Denver at 17th. This with Carr at QB, Adams and WR, Jacobs at RB and Waller at TE. They have the talent, but they have yet to put up the numbers. Vegas has dominated this series going back to when they were in Oakland, covering eight of the last nine times. They have also gone UNDER in eight of the last 10 games. The Raiders are now 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs the AFC. They are 0-4 ATS in their last four games. This game looks to be close like all the Raiders games have been thus far. I look for another low scoring game with these two anemic offenses going today. Take the UNDER. |
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10-02-22 | Broncos +3 v. Raiders | 23-32 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 14 m | Show | |
The Denver Broncos are tied for first in the AFC West with the Kansas City Chiefs at 2-1. That despite a rocky start under new QB Russel Wilson. The Broncos defense has been excellent, ranked 3rd overall in the NFL, 3rd against the pass and 6th against the run. The offense ranks 16th, 11th rushing and 18th passing. As for the Raiders, after a 4-0 preseason they are now 0-3 to start the regular season. They have lost those games by a combined 13-points. Still, have to think Josh Daniels on the hot seat after some questionable calls. Another home loss here and he might be in trouble in Vegas. The Raiders offense one behind Denver at 17th. This with Carr at QB, Adams and WR, Jacobs at RB and Waller at TE. They have the talent, but they have yet to put up the numbers. Vegas has dominated this series going back to when they were in Oakland, covering eight of the last nine times. They have also gone UNDER in eight of the last 10 games. The Raiders are now 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs the AFC. They are 0-4 ATS in their last four games. This game looks to be close like all the Raiders games have been thus far. But for me, I think I'd rather be on the side getting points. Take Denver. |
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10-02-22 | White Sox v. Padres -146 | 2-1 | Loss | -146 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
The NL Wild Card race still in doubt. The Mets or Braves will take the top spot, depending on who wins the NL East. However, San Diego, Philly and Milwuakee still battling for two spots. Baring a complete collapse in these final days, the Padres should finish second as they lead the Phillies by two games and the Brewers by three. The White Sox hope to just finish at or above .500 as they sit at 78-80 on the season. They will start Lance Lynn today. Lynn is 7-7 in his 20 starts with a 4.16 ERA. The Padres will start Blake Snell. Snell is 8-9 with a 3.54 ER. Snell has been very good of late, allowing no runs over his last two starts, just three hits, 19 KO's and five BB's. Padres look for that clinching win and Snell looks to be a great bet to do it today. |
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10-02-22 | Washington Commanders v. Cowboys -158 | 10-25 | Win | 100 | 22 h 51 m | Show | |
The Dallas Cowboys are 2-1 and just one game back of NFC East leader Philadelphia. Despite losing QB Dak Prescott, the Cowboys have looked good with QB Rush leading the team. He's been efficient and done enough to win with his RB duo of Ezekiel Elliot and Pollard. After that opening week loss at home to Tampa Bay, 3-19, they have beaten Cincinnati, 20-17, and last week beat the Giants on Monday Night, 23-16. The offense wont set anyone on fire as they rank just 23rd, but they have been efficient. The defense has been good though, ranked 9th overall. The Washington Commander brought in QB Wentz to hopefully energize the offense this year. They opened with a win over Jacksonville, 28-22 and then lost to Detroit, 27-36 and last week managed just eight points in their loss at home to Philly, 8-24. After a couple of 300+ passing games, the offense fell flat last week with just 153 yards through the air and 87 on the ground. Now they have to play at Dallas against a very good defensive unit. The Washington defense only ranks 27th in the NFL with the offense coming in at 19th. Dallas has won and covered the last two games in 2021 and covered five of the last last seven vs Washington. Dallas has covered their last six games against a losing team. They are also 12-3 ATS teir last 15 vs the NFC and 21-7 ATS their last 28 vs the NFC East. The favorite has covered five of the last seven in this series and I look for the Cowboys to do just that again on Sunday. |
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10-02-22 | Chargers v. Texans +6 | 34-24 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 51 m | Show | |
The LA Chargers off to a slow start at just 1-2. After beating the Raiders at home to start the season, the Chargers have found it rough the last two weeks. Injuries have played a part though. They lost their star WR Keenan Allen in game two with a hamstring and he could return this week but likely will miss another week. QB Justin Herbert has been playing hurt the last two weeks and it's showed. The Chargers were trounced at home last week by Jacksonville, 10-38. The Jags had 413 yards to just 312 by LA. The Jags also had 18 more plays and nine more first downs as they grinded out 151 yards on the ground. Houston is 0-2-1 S/U to start the season, but they have been competitive. They tied the Colts to start the season, then lost at Denver by seven points and last week lost at Chicago by just three points. They are 2-0-1 vs the number. The Houston offense is just 29th overall and the defense is 29th. The Chargers are 19th on defense and 12th on offense. Houston is 5-0 ATS their last five games vs the AFC. With the Chargers still dealing with some injuries they will continue to struggle here this week in Houston. Take the Texans. |
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10-02-22 | Browns v. Falcons +1 | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show |
The LA Chargers off to a slow start at just 1-2. After beating the Raiders at home to start the season, the Chargers have found it rough the last two weeks. Injuries have played a part though. They lost their star WR Keenan Allen in game two with a hamstring and he could return this week but likely will miss another week. QB Justin Herbert has been playing hurt the last two weeks and it's showed. The Chargers were trounced at home last week by Jacksonville, 10-38. The Jags had 413 yards to just 312 by LA. The Jags also had 18 more plays and nine more first downs as they grinded out 151 yards on the ground. Houston is 0-2-1 S/U to start the season, but they have been competitive. They tied the Colts to start the season, then lost at Denver by seven points and last week lost at Chicago by just three points. They are 2-0-1 vs the number. The Houston offense is just 29th overall and the defense is 29th. The Chargers are 19th on defense and 12th on offense. Houston is 5-0 ATS their last five games vs the AFC. With the Chargers still dealing with some injuries they will continue to struggle here this week in Houston. Take the Texans. |
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10-02-22 | Bills v. Ravens +3.5 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills are 2-1 and can move into a tie with the Miami Dolphins for 1st place in the AFC East with a win today. They will take on the 2-1 Baltimore Ravens who are tied with the Cleveland Browns for first in the AFC North. After that horrendous collapse in week 1 vs the Dolphins, the Ravens have bounced back with a pair of wins. Last week they won on the road at New England, 37-26, as a 2.5-point favorite. They were out-gained by the pats, 394-447, had five fewer offensive plays and three fewer first downs. The offense has been very good, ranked 4th overall in the NFL. It's their last place defense that has been the problem. Now they face Josh Allen and the Bills offense that is ranked 2nd in the NFL. The Bills also have the NFL's top ranked defense. The Bills are only 1-4 ATS in their last five road games vs a winning home team. The Ravens are 9-4 ATS their last 13 vs a winning team. Ravens have covered four of the last five vs the Bills and the home team is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings. I'll take the Ravens plus the points here on Sunday. |
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10-01-22 | NC State +7 v. Clemson | 20-30 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
NC State 4-0 to start their season will play their toughest game here on Saturday as they take on Clemson on the road. The Wolfpack beat Connecticut last week, 41-10, but couldn't quite cover the 39-point favorite line. Their toughest game thus far happened two weeks ago when they beat Texas Tech, 27-14. Clemson also 4-0, but they were pushed to the bring last week at Wake Forest, winning 51-45 but not covering the 7-point line. That makes them 1-2 ATS on the season. NC State got the upset last year at home, beating Clemson 27-21 as a 10.5-point dog. NC State is now 11-5 in their last 16 conference games. Meanwhile, Clemson is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games and 4-19 ATS in their last 13 games on grass. Take NC State plus the points in this one as they stay close to Clemson. |
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10-01-22 | Georgia Southern v. Coastal Carolina -9.5 | 30-34 | Loss | -107 | 42 h 21 m | Show | |
Georgia Southern looks to improve to 4-1 S/U after a win last week at home over Ball State, 34-23. The Eagles are also 3-1 ATS. Southern was actually out gained in yardage last week by the Cardinals, 474-481 and had two fewer plays. Still the Eagles were able to cover the 9.5 point favorite line. Coastal Carolina off to a 4-0 S/U and 2-1 ATS start. Coastal has scored at least 31 points in each game. They handled Georgia State easily last week, 41-24. They had 540 yards to just 309 by Ga State. They also had 25 more plays and 11 more first downs. Ga Southern does have one of the better offenses this year, ranked 10th overall in the country. Coastal coming in at 37th in the nation. Defensively Coastal holds the edge, ranked 65th to Southern's 109th. Coastal has the edge of late in this series, covering four of the last five. Should be a good offensive show here on Saturday. I'm taking Coastal Carolina on their home turf. |
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10-01-22 | Alabama v. Arkansas +17.5 | 49-26 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 13 m | Show | |
Alabama continues its dominance of the FBS with a 4-0 S/U and 3-1 ATS record Their one close call was a late win at Texas on Sept 10, 20-19 as a 20-point favorite. Since that close loss they beat LA Monroe, 63-7 and last week Vandy, 55-3. The Tide had 628 yards last week to Vandy's 129. They also had 34 first downs to nine and 77 plays to 52. Arkansas had the tough loss last week to Texas A&M in Arlington, Tx, 21-23, but did cover the 2.5-point spread. The Razorbacks had more yards (415-343), more first downs (24-16) and more plays (73-55) than the Aggies. Arkansas is now 3-1 S/U and ATS on the season. Alabama has the nation's 6th ranked offense with Arkansas coming in a 27th. Alabama has the 2nd ranked defense with Arkansas at 89th. Arkansas covered last year in their game at Alabama, losing 35-42 as a 20.5-point dog. Alabama has covered just one of their last five road games and are 1-6 ATS on the road their last seven against a team with a winning home record. Arkansas has covered four of their last five at home. The Hogs getting 17-points at home here on Saturday. I'll take that with a very good Arkansas team. |
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10-01-22 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays -145 | 0-10 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
Entering these final days of the regular season the Toronto Blue Jays holding onto that top Wild Card spot, 1.5 games ahead of 2nd place Seattle and 2-games ahead of third place Tampa Bay. The Orioles have been eliminated, so the only thing left is the order of finish. The Red Sox will start Brayan Bello today. Bello is 2-6 on the season with a 4.47 ERA. Those numbers are slightly worse on the road where he is 1-3 in five starts with a 4.81 ERA. Ross Stripling will toe the rubber for the Jays. Stripling is 8-4 in his 23 starts with a 3.07 ERA and a 2.56 home ERA. Jays still want to lock in that top stop so I'll take them here today as they have something to play for. Play Toronto. |
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10-01-22 | Michigan v. Iowa +10.5 | 27-14 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 8 m | Show | |
Michigan puts its 4-0 record on the line as they travel to Iowa to take on the Hawkeyes. The Wolverines have scored 50 points or more in three of their four games. However, that does include Connecticut and Hawaii. They are coming off a home win over Maryland, 34-27, though they failed to cover the 17-point favorite line. The offense ranks 19th overall and will get their first real test against the 5th ranked Iowa defense. Iowa's offense has struggled, in fact they are ranked last in the FBS. Though the offense has scored 27 points in each of their last two games, including their win last week over Rutgers, 27-10. The defense, ranked 5th, has allowed a total of 23 points in four games. Iowa will be looking for some payback after losing at Michigan last year, 3-42. Michigan is just 3-8 ATS their last 11 games against a team with a winning record. If the Iowa defense continues like it has and the offense can get some points, the Hawkeyes can pull the upset here on Saturday. I'll take the points at home with Iowa. |
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10-01-22 | Kentucky +7 v. Ole Miss | 19-22 | Win | 100 | 21 h 8 m | Show | |
Kentucky brings a 4-0 record into today's contest at Ole Miss. The Wild Cats are coming off a win over Northern Illinois, 31-23, though they failed to cover the 25.5 point favorite line. They are also 2-1 ATS on the season. Kentucky had 406 yards of offense last week, while holding NIU to 327 yards. The Cats are 87th nationally in offense. The defense does better at 16th nationally. Mississippi also is 4-0 after beating Tulsa last week, 35-27. But, like Kentucky, they couldn't cover the big favorite line of 20.5 points. The Rebels have the 28th ranked defense and 20th ranked offense. Kentucky is 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games and 23-7-2 ATS their last 32 games vs a team with a winning record. They are also 7-3-1 ATS their last 11 games in conference play. Ole Miss is just 1-4 ATS in their last five home games and 2-5 ATS their last seven when having more than 450 yards offense their last game. Both teams have decent defenses and I'll take the points with Kentucky in this one. |
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09-30-22 | Marlins +166 v. Brewers | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
Miami is a nice sized dog here today. Nothing new with that. However, anytime you can get Sandy Alcantara as a big dog you really have to take a look. Alcantara is 14-8 with a 2.32 this season. He has allowed just four total runs over his last three starts (24 innings). Milwaukee will also have one of their best on the mound in Corbin Burnes. Burnes is 11-8 on the season with a 3.25 ERA. He's been not so good of late, going 2-3 in his last seven with a 5.95 ERA. Yes, Milwaukee is fighting for a Wild Card, but I have to take a shot with Alcantara. Play Miami. |
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09-30-22 | UTSA -4 v. Middle Tennessee State | 45-30 | Win | 100 | 29 h 1 m | Show | |
Texas San Antonio is 2-2 S/U and 2-1 ATS after four games. The Roadrunners are coming off a easy win over Texas Southern last week, 52-24. They lost their opening game in a shootout with Houston, 35-37 and then beat Army, 41-38 and lost to Texas, 20-41. Middle Tennessee State is 3-1 and beat a Top 25 opponent for the first time every last Saturday with a win over No 25 Miami. The Blue Raiders had 507 yards of offense in that win as they won 45-31. UTSA has won three straight in this series, including last year, 27-13. UTSA is led by QB Frank Harris. Harris and the offense lead the Conf-USA in passing yards and are 6th nationally (351.5 ypg). They also rank 2nd in the conference in total offense with 478.5 ypg and 37 ppg. Both these teams have potent offenses, but I look for one defense to make a big play in this game and likely the difference. I like Harris at QB as I believe he will also make a huge difference in this conference game. I'm going to lay the points on the road with UTSA. |
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09-30-22 | Mets v. Braves +120 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 120 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
This looks to be the biggest series in baseball this weekend. The NY Mets and Atlanta Braves both fighting for the NL East title with the loser getting the top Wild Card spot. Right now the Mets lead the Braves by one game in the standings. The Mets are a favorite here in this first game. But for me, I'm a big shocked by this. The Mets start Jacob deGrom who is 5-3 with a 2.93 ERA. However, he has not been all that sharp of late, allowing 11 runs over his last 15 innings. And, when we look at the Braves, they are starting Max Fried who is 13-7 with a 2.50 ERA. But Fried has been very good of late, allowing five total runs over his last four starts (22 innings). The Braves lose this game and I believe they are done for the division title. Take the Braves as a small dog here in what I see is their must win spot. Play Atlanta. |
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09-30-22 | Royals v. Guardians UNDER 7 | 3-6 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
Nothing left for the Guardians to play for as they ran away with the AL Central in the 2nd half of the season. The Guardians are 11 games in front of Chicago. The Guardians won't get a first round bye and will have to face one of the Wild Card teams. Kansas City has lost three games in a row but will have their best pitcher on the hill today in Brady Singer. Singer is 10-4 on the season with a 2.92 ERA. He's been even better of late, going 4-0 in his last seven starts with a 2.27 ERA. Cleveland will counter with Aaron Civale who is 3-6 in his 18 starts with a 5.19 ERA. HE's been better of late, going 1-1 in his last seven starts with a 3.38 ERA. In fact, he's allowed two runs or fewer in seven of his last eight starts. I'm taking the UNDER here on Friday. |
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09-30-22 | Tulane +2.5 v. Houston | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 33 h 41 m | Show | |
Tulane lost its first game of the season last week, dropping the Green Wave to 3-1 on the season S/U and 2-1 ATS. Tulane lost at home to Southern Miss, 27-27, as a 13-point favorite. On paper, it looked like a Tulane easy win as they had 451 yards to So.Miss 253 yards. They also had double the first downs (26-13) and ran 24 more plays. The Green Wave did have one turnover to Southern Miss's no turnovers. Houston has scored at least 30 points in each of its first four games. They are 2-2 S/U and 0-3-1 ATS though. The problem is the defense that is ranked 113th in the nation. They did beat Rice at home last week, but did not cover as they won 34-27 as a 17.5-point favorite. Despite their good scoring offense, the unit ranks only 81st overall in he nation with 393 yards per game. Meanwhile, Tulane has the 59th ranked offense in the nation. The Green Wave are now 5-1 ATS in their last five games and 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games on turf. Houston is only 2-5 ATS their last seven games and 2-6 ATS vs a team with a winning record. I'm going to take the points tonight with Tulane. |
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09-29-22 | Dolphins v. Bengals UNDER 48 | Top | 15-27 | Win | 100 | 21 h 19 m | Show |
Miami Dolphins bring a 3-0 record into this Thursday matchup with the Cincinnati Bengals. The Dolphins had little issues with the Patriots (20-7) and then had the huge fourth quarter comeback against the Ravens, 42-38. Last week they just got by the Buffalo Bills, 21-19, covering all three games and going under in two of the three games. The Bengals didn't look like the team of last year to start this season, with back-to-back losses to the Steelers and Cowboys. Then last week they finally broke through with a win over the Jets, 27-12. The defense had four turnovers compared to just one offensive turnover. The Dolphins have been a good under play on Thursday night, going 2-10-1 O/U their lasts 13 Thursday games. They are also 1-5 O/U their last six road games. The Bengals have now gone under in eight straight games. They are also 0-6 O/U in their last six vs the AFC. These two teams have gone under in their last five meetings in Cincinnati and 1-5-1 O/U their last seven overall. I'm taking the UNDER here on Thursday. |
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09-29-22 | Rays -115 v. Guardians | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 60 m | Show |
The ever changing AL Wild Card positions are tight as we head into the last games of the regular season. The Tampa Bay Rays are in 2nd place in the race, 1.5-games back of Toronto and a half game ahead of third place Seattle. Meanwhile, the Indians have nothing at stake as they have clinched the AL Central and just await the playoffs and who they will face. Right now the Indians look to face the third place Wild Card team, which could be these Rays. The Rays will turn to Jeffrey Springs today. Springs is 8-4 on the season with a 2.79 ERA. He's been better of late, posting a 4-1 record in his last seven starts and a 2.67 ERA. Cleveland will counter with Cal Quantrill who is 14-5 on the season with a 3.49 ERA. Quantrill has also been better of late with a 5-0 mark his last seven and a 2.52 ERA. Good pitching matchup here tonight, but the Rays have more at stake and I'll take them in this one. Play Tampa Bay. |
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09-28-22 | Royals v. Tigers -125 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
Nice comeback for us on Tuesday night as we had the Tigers and they rallied to force extra innings and won it in the bottom of the 10th, 4-3. So we are coming back with them again here today. The Royals will send Daniel Lynch to the hill today with a 4-11 record and 5.06 ERA. That number goes up of late with a 0-4 record and 6.48 ERA in his last seven starts. The Tigers have now won four straight games and six of their last seven games. Matt Manning will toe the rubber today for the Tigers with a 2-3 record in his 12 starts and a 3.43 ERA. He's been a bit better at home with his ERA dropping to 2.52 in seven starts. I like the Tigers to continue their winning ways here tonight. |
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09-27-22 | Royals v. Tigers -110 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
The Royals and Tigers begin a three game set here from Detroit on Tuesday. Kansas City took two of three game from Seattle and has won five of their last six games. Zack Greinke will start today with a 4-9 record in his 24 starts and a 4.21 ERA. He's been much worse on the road with a 0-7 record in his 12 starts and a 6.36 ERA. Detroit is coming off a sweep at the Chicago White Sox. They outscored the Sox by a 16-6 mark in the three games. Joey Wentz will get the start today for the Tigers. Wentz is 2-2 in his five starts with a 3.13 ERA. He has allowed just two runs total over his last four starts (20 2/3 innings). As bad as Grienke has been on the road and as good as Wentz has been lately, I'll be on the Tigers here today. |
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09-26-22 | Cowboys +1 v. Giants | Top | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 25 h 37 m | Show |
After losing in week one to the Bucs and losing QB Dak Prescot, things looked bleak for the Cowboys heading into week two vs AFC Champion Cincinnati. However, a solid passing game by backup QB Rush and a defense that held the Bengals to just 89 rushing yards and 165 passing yards, resulted in a Dallas win, 20-17. Now the Cowboys hit the road for the first time as they head to New York to play the Giants in a divisional matchup. The Giants also had a 3-point win last week at home over the Carolina Panthers, 19-16. On paper the game was almost dead even with the Panthers having 275 yards and the Giants 265 yards. The difference were the two Carolina turnovers to none by the Giants. Dallas has covered the last two in this series and eight of the last 10 meetings. The Giants have the 21st ranked offense and the Cowboys have the 25th ranked offense. Dallas has the 6th ranked defense to the Giants 12th ranked defense. The Cowboys have covered their last four road games and are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 vs the NFC and 20-7 ATS vs the NFC East. The Giants are just 10-22-1 ATS in their last 33 home games. They are also 2-6 ATS in their last eight overall games. I'll take the Cowboys here on Monday night. |
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09-25-22 | Falcons +1 v. Seahawks | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 41 h 32 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Falcons and Seattle Seahawks are both teams rebuilding after their star QB's left for other teams in the off-season. Falcons QB Matty Ryan fled to Indianapolis while Seattle QB Russel Wilson went to Denver. The Falcons opened the season with a close loss at home to the Saints, 26-27, though they did cover the spread. Then last week, another close game at home to the LA Rams, but another loss 27-31, covering the 10-point line. Seattle beat Wilson and the Broncos in week 1, 17-16. However, they were beat pretty handily last week in San Francisco, 7-27, by the 49ers. The rushing game has been horrible, with 76 yards in game one and 36 yards last week. Not surprising the Seahawks offense is ranked 31st in the NFL with the rushing attack ranked last. The Falcons are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine road games. Seattle is 6-13 ATS in their last 19 vs the NFC. The Falcons have covered four of the last five in this series and that's what I'm looking for here on Sunday. I'll take the Falcons. |
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09-25-22 | Packers v. Bucs UNDER 42 | 14-12 | Win | 100 | 41 h 31 m | Show | |
Two future Hall of Fame Qb's will matchup here today as Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers take on the TB Bucs and QB Tom Brady. Brady hasn't looked all that sharp thus far and his frustration was on full display in the Saints contest. Lucky for the Bucs, the Saints had no offensive stars left and thus it was a defensive win for the Bucs, 20-10. The Bucs managed just 260 total yards and Brady threw for just 188 yards. The Bucs defense was the star of the game with multiple sacks and five take aways in the game. Green Bay had little issue with the Chicago Bears. The Packers had 414 yards and 211 passing yards by Rodgers. They had 26 first downs to just 11 by the Bears and held the Bears to just 228 total yards. The Tampa Bay offense ranks just 24th overall in the NFL with Green Bay coming in at 11th. The Bucs defense is 5th ranked with Green Bay at 10th. The Packers have gone UNDER in nine of their last 12 games on grass. Tampa has also gone under on grass with a 3-8 O/U record their last 11. I'm still not sold on Brady fully being back with limited targets. With the Bucs defense playing very well and Brady still not looking like his old self, I'll take this game to go UNDER. |
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09-25-22 | Packers +1 v. Bucs | Top | 14-12 | Win | 100 | 40 h 30 m | Show |
Two future Hall of Fame Qb's will matchup here today as Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers take on the TB Bucs and QB Tom Brady. Brady hasn't looked all that sharp thus far and his frustration was on full display in the Saints contest. Lucky for the Bucs, the Saints had no offensive stars left and thus it was a defensive win for the Bucs, 20-10. The Bucs managed just 260 total yards and Brady threw for just 188 yards. The Bucs defense was the star of the game with multiple sacks and five take aways in the game. Green Bay had little issue with the Chicago Bears. The Packers had 414 yards and 211 passing yards by Rodgers. They had 26 first downs to just 11 by the Bears and held the Bears to just 228 total yards. The Tampa Bay offense ranks just 24th overall in the NFL with Green Bay coming in at 11th. The Bucs defense is 5th ranked with Green Bay at 10th. The Bucs have won and covered two of the last three in this series. Green Bay is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs a winning team and 20-8 ATS their last 28 on the grass. I'm still not sold on Brady fully being back with limited targets. I'll take the points with Green Bay. |
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09-25-22 | Giants v. Diamondbacks -115 | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
Two teams playing out the season has Arizona hosting the San Francisco Giants today. The Giants and D'backs have split the first two games with San Fran winning on Friday and the D'backs winning yesterday, 5-2. Scott Alexander makes only his 2nd start of the season for the Giants. Alexander only went one inning in his first start, allowing no runs and no hits. Looks like it's another bullpen day for the Giants as Alexander likely won't be around much past another first inning start. Arizona will start Drey Jameson who has only two starts under his belt. However, unlike Alexander, Jameson is a real starter and is 2-0 with a 1.38 ERA. He went six solid innings vs the Dodgers in his last start, allowing seven hits and just two runs for the win. He's now beaten both LA and San Diego thus far. I doubt the Giants will give him much of a fight here today. I'll take Arizona and Jameson. |
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09-25-22 | Brewers -142 v. Reds | 1-2 | Loss | -142 | 2 h 27 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Brewers need every win they can get at this point. The Brewers are in 4th in the NL battle for the Wild Card race where only three teams will make it. The Brewers trail 3rd place Philadelphia by 1.5 games and 2nd place San Diego by 2-games. Freddy Peralta will start today for the Brewers with a 4-3 record and 3.45 ERA. He's been better of late, going 1-1 in his last seven starts with a 2.27 ERA. Nick Lodolo will start for the Reds with a 4-7 mark in his 17 starts and a 3.90 ERA. Lodolo has been good for the Reds though, allowing three runs or fewer in five straight starts. Still, the Brewers need these games and Peralta should be good enough to get the job done today. Play Milwaukee. |
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09-25-22 | Texans +3 v. Bears | 20-23 | Push | 0 | 37 h 6 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears looked bad last week as they traveled to Green Bay and took the loss to the Packers, 10-27. The Bears managed just 228 total yards with 48 passing yards by Justin Fields. The Packers had 63 offensive plays to just just 38 by the Bears. Houston also came up short, though they gave the Broncos all they could handle last week in a 9-16 loss. All the Texas could manage were three filed goals as they totaled just 234 yards. The Broncos didn't exactly light the stat sheet with 16 points and 350 total yards. The Bears are dead last in the NFL in total offense, though 8th vs the rush and last in passing. The Texans aren't much better at 29th. These teams have met only once in the last five years and that was in 2020 when the Bears won 36-7 as a 1-point dog. The Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last six overall games. They are also 11-5 ATS in their last 16 after scoring 15 points or fewer in their previous game. The Bears are now just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall. They are also 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games. Don't expect a lot of points in this contest and as such I'll take the Texans plus the points. |
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09-25-22 | Lions v. Vikings OVER 51.5 | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 37 h 6 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions have showed a lot of offense the last two week with Jared Goff at QB. The Lions beat the Washington Commanders last week at home, 36-27, going over the posted 48-point line. The Lions scored 35 points in week one loss at home to Philly, 35-38. The Lions offense is ranked 4th overall in the NFL with the rushing game averaging a league's 3rd best 186 yards per game. As for the Minnesota Vikings, they opened the season with a nice home win over the Green Bay Packers, 23-7. However, they came up very short last week at Philly, 7-24. The offense had just 264 total yards and Kirk Cousins tossed three interceptions. The Lions defense has not performed well, ranking 30th in the NFL with 426 yards allowed per game. Three of the last four games in this series have gone over, including last year's 29-27 Detroit win. The Lions have now gone over in four straight games. They are also 8-2 O/U in their last 10 September games. The Vikings are 4-1 O/U in their last five home games and 6-2 O/U in their last eight games vs the NFC. I look for this Detroit offense to get their share of points and the Vikings to exploit the Detroit defense. Take the OVER. |
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09-25-22 | Saints v. Panthers UNDER 41 | 14-22 | Win | 100 | 37 h 5 m | Show | |
The Saints piled-up the injuries and it showed in their loss to the Bucs last week. QB Jameis Winston was sacked and hit many times by the Tampa Bay defense and is probable this week though he has a back injury. RB Alvin Kamara is questionable with a rib injury this week after missing last week. QB Tyson Hill is also questionable with a rib injury. The Saints lost at home to Tampa Bay last week, 10-20. They had five turnovers in the game and were sacked six times though they did have more total yards than the Bucs, 308-260. That loss makes them 1-1 S/U and 0-2 vs the spread. The Panthers lost a close game at the NY Giants last week, 16-19 as a 1-point favorite. The stats were almost dead even, though the Panthers had two turnovers to none by the Giants. Carolina's defense is ranked 9th overall and third against the pass. The Saints have now gone under in seven of their last nine games. They are also 4-9 O/U in their last 13 vs the NFC South. Carolina has gone under in five of their last seven vs the NFC South. With the Saints hurting on offense, I'm going to stick with this game to be low scoring. Play the UNDER. |
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09-24-22 | Utah -15 v. Arizona State | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 58 h 25 m | Show | |
Utah coming off a big win last week at home over San Diego State, 35-7, as a 21.5-point favorite. Utah held the Aztecs to just 173 total yards and just 60-yards passing. They also had 22 first downs to just nine for Sdg St. Meanwhile, Arizona State might have been the biggest favorite to get upset last week. The Sun Devils hosted Eastern Michigan and lost at home 21-30 as a 19.5-point favorite. The Devils allowed 458 yards to just 352 yards of their own. They also allowed 305 yards rushing to E.Mich. That's not good since Utah had 174 yards on the ground last week. Utah has covered the last two in this series, winning last year at home, 35-21. Utah is 17-7 ATS in their last 24 PAC-12 games. They are also 12-5 ATS in their last 17 following an ATS win. The Utes have covered six of the last eight in this series and I look for a Utah win and cover here on Saturday. |
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09-24-22 | Arkansas +2.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 69 h 29 m | Show |
A pair of top 25 SEC teams battle today as No 10 Arkansas takes on No 23 Texas A&M from AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Tx. Arkansas will be looking for its second straight 4-0 start to the season today. Arkansas moved into the FCS last week to take on Missouri State and came away with the win, 38-27. That makes wins over Cincinnati, South Carolina and Missouri State to start the season. Texas A&M beat Miami Florida last week, 17-9. The Aggies were 5-point favorites and were outgained in total yards, 264-393 by the Hurricanes. A&M also had only 16 First downs to 27 by Miami. Arkansas is ranked 18th overall in offense with A&M coming in at 109th. A&M does hold the defensive edge, coming in at 30th with Arkansas at 103rd. Arkansas is 5-1-1 ATS their last seven games and 4-0 ATS in their last four in neutral site. Arkansas has covered the last four in this series and I look for the hogs to do just that again here today. Take Arkansas. |
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09-24-22 | Cubs +103 v. Pirates | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
The Chicago Cubs have won four straight games after taking the first two games in this series with the Pirates. That includes last night's win, 6-5. They have not only won four straight, but eight of their last 11 games. Wade Miley looks to keep it going here today with a 1-1 record in his seven starts with a 3.48 ERA. Miley hasn't allowed more than three runs in any of his seven prior starts. The Pirates have now lost eight straight games after last night's loss. Johan Oviedo will take the hill with a 1-2 record in his five starts and a 4.82 ERA. Neither pitcher has a huge resume to draw on this year, but I'll take the team with the momentum here. Take the Cubs. |
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09-24-22 | Notre Dame v. North Carolina -1 | 45-32 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 0 m | Show | |
Notre Dame will have to travel to NCU this Saturday and do so without their QB Tyler Buchner. Buchner was injured last week and will miss the rest of the season with a shoulder injury. That's not good for a Notre Dame team that started this season 1-2. The Irish did get their first win of the season last week with a home win over Cal Bears, 24-17. They failed to cover the 10-point spread however. And, neither team really did much as the Irish held a small yardage lead, 297-296. Cal had one more first down and four more offensive plays. On paper the game was dead even. North Carolina got last week off to prepare for this game. The Tar Heals are 3-0 S/U and 1-1-1 ATS on the season. They beat Georgia State the week prior, 35-38, pushing the 7-point chalk line. North Carolina has the nation's 5th ranked overall offense and an impressive 91% red zone efficiency rating. They have scored 10 TD's in their 11 redzone trips this year. Notre Dame is 113th in offense. With Notre Dame working in a new QB and the Tar Heel having last week off to prepare, I'll lay the very small line with North Carolina. |
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09-24-22 | Clemson v. Wake Forest +7.5 | 51-45 | Win | 100 | 62 h 30 m | Show | |
Two ranked ACC teams battle this week as Clemson hits the road for the first time to take on Wake Forest. Clemson won easily last week over Louisiana Tech, 48-20, but failed to cover the 34-point line. The Tigers had 521 total yards to just 317 by Tech. The Tigers were also a +3 in the turnover battle. Clemson's tough defense held Tech to just six yards rushing on the day, though they did give up 311 yards through the air. Clemson ranks 34th in total defense and 63rd in total offense. Wake Forest took on Liberty last week and just did escape with the win, 37-36 as a 16.5-point favorite. The Demon Deacons were out-gained 346-437, but were +2 in the turnovers. Wake might have had their sights set on this game today and not on Liberty last week. Clemson won last year's battle at home over Wake, 48-27. Clemson has not done well to open seasons, at least vs the spread. The Tigers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 September games. They are also 2-7 ATS their last nine times following an ATS loss. Meanwhile, Wake has covered four of their last five games in September and are 4-0 ATS their last four times following an ATS loss. Getting a TD at home with Wake is too much for me to pass on today. I'll take Wake and won't be surprised if they shock the Tigers with a straight up win. |
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09-23-22 | Giants -164 v. Diamondbacks | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
NL West battle here between two teams that have no shot at any postseason action. Far cry from the Giants team that won the NL West last year with over 100 wins. The Giants are only 73-77 this year though they have won four straight games. Carlos Rondon will toe the rubber today with a 13-8 record in his 29 starts and a 2.85 ERA. Rondon has allowed two runs or fewer in eight of his last nine starts. The Diamondbacks just came off a series with the Dodgers where they split the four games. They could have easily won three of those but couldn't hold a 2-1 lead in the bottom of the ninth last night, finally losing 2-3. That makes five losses in their last seven games. Tommy Henry starts today for the D'backs with a 3-4 record in his seven starts and a 5.50 ERA. He's allowed 12 runs over his last 8 1/3 innings of work. I'll take the Giants here today. |