Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-11-23 | Fordham +5.5 v. Davidson | 73-71 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
Atlantic 10 action here on Saturday has 5th place Fordham taking on 13th place Davidson. The Fordham Rams are 6-4 in the Atlantic 10 and 18-5 overall. Davidson is 4-7 in conference and 11-12 overall. Fordham rebounded from their loss at Richmond on Sunday with a win over U Mass, 77-67, as a 6.5-point favorite. The Rams are 7-2 S/U and ATS their last nine games. Davidson Wildcats can get to the .500 mark if they win today. The Cats snapped a two-game losing skid with a win last game over U Mass, 93-78, as a 2-point favorite. Still, the Cats are just 2-6 S/U and 5-3 ATS their last eight games. What surprises me most is that Davidson is a 5-point favorite here today. The Cats are just 2-5 ATS this season as a home favorite. Personally I won't be one bit surprised by a outright Fordham win here on Saturday. Play Fordham. |
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02-11-23 | West Virginia +7 v. Texas | 60-94 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
Big 12 action here on Saturday has the leader of the conference, Texas, taking on 8th place West Virginia. Texas is 8-3 in conference play and 19-5 overall. West Virginia is 3-7 in conference and 14-9 overall. The Mountaineers have won two straight games after their win over Iowa State, 76-71, as a 4.5-point favorite. Texas is coming off a loss at Kansas in their last game, 80-88, as a 4-point dog. That makes them 4-3 S/U and ATS in their last seven games. They are also 1-4 ATS in their last five home games vs a team with a road record under 40%. The dog has covered five of the last six in this series and that is the play I'll be on here today. Take West Virginia. These teams met back on Jan 21st with Texas winning 69-61, as a 1-point favorite. Now the venue changes to Texas and the Longhorns are 6.5-point favorites. |
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02-10-23 | Akron v. Ohio +1.5 | Top | 81-90 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
MAC action here on Friday has Akron taking on Ohio. Akron is tied with Kent and Toledo in the MAC at 9-2 in conference play and Akron is 17-7 overall. Ohio is 7th in the MAC with a 5-6 record and 13-11 overall mark. The Zips had their eight game win streak snapped last time with a loss at home to Toledo, 74-84, as a 2-point favorite. They are 4-3 S/U and 3-4 ATS on the road this season. In addition, the Zips are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight road games. The Ohio Bobcats are looking to extend their win streak to three games here tonight. They have recent wins over Miami-Ohio and las game over Northern Illinois, 82-76, as a 5-point favorite. Ohio is now 10-1 S/U and 6-3-1 ATS at home this season. Ohio is a small home dog and the dog is 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings between these teams. I'll take Ohio here tonight. |
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02-10-23 | Knicks v. 76ers -6 | 108-119 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
The New York Knicks are 30-26 on the season but play in one of the toughest divisions in the Eastern Conference, the Atlantic. Boston leads the Atlantic with Philly 2nd and Brooklyn third before you get to the Knicks. the Knicks have won two straight games and three of the last four both S/U and ATS. THey are coming off a road win over Orlando, 102-98, as a 1-point favorite. Philly is 34-19 on the season and looks to snap a 2-game losing streak here tonight. They are coming off losses at New York and last game at Boston, 99-106, as a 4-point dog. The Sixers return home tonight where they are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 games. I'll lay the points here tonight with Philly. |
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02-09-23 | St. Mary's v. Loyola Marymount +7.5 | 74-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
St Mary's pulled the big win over Gonzaga in their last game, though they had to go to OT to do it. That makes St Mary's 10-0 in the West Coast and in 1st place, two game ahead of Gonzaga. That makes the Gaels 20-4 overall on the season. You have to go back to Dec 18th for the last time they lost and that was at home to Colorado State, 60-62, as a 11.5-point favorite. Loyola Marymount is third in the West Coast with a 6-5 record and 16-9 overall mark. They look to snap a two-game losing streak after a pair of games on the road. They return home tonight where they are 11-2 S/U and 9-3 ATS on the season. St Mary's could be in for a bit of a letdown after that big win last game. I'll take the points at home here tonight with Loyola. |
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02-09-23 | Charlotte +3 v. UTEP | 62-53 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
Two of the bottom teams in the Conference USA meet here tonight. Both Charlotte and UTEP are 4-8 in conference play and sit just above last place UTSA. Charlotte is 13-10 overall and looks to snap a 3-game losing streak here today. They are coming off a loss to Florida Atlantic, 52-67, as a 5.5-point home dog. The 49ers are 3-6 S/U and 5-4 ATS on the road and average 65.3 ppg while allowing 65.5 ppg. UTEP can get back to the .500 mark as they sit 11-12 overall. The Miners have lost four straight games both S/U and ATS. Neither of these teams likely heading to any postseason tournaments. About the best they can hope for is a winning season. I'll take the dog in this matchup. Play Charlotte. |
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02-09-23 | Northwestern +5.5 v. Ohio State | 69-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
Big 10 Clash here tonight as Ohio State hosts Northwestern. Northwestern is 7-5 in conference play and 16-7 overall as they sit5th in the Big 10. Ohio State not so lucky as they are 3-9 in the Big 10 and are next to last in the conference. Only Minnesota is worse. The Northwestern WildCats snapped a two-game losing streak with a win over Wisconsin on Sunday, 54-52, as a 3.5-point road dog. That makes them 4-2 ATS their last six games. The Ohio State Buckeyes having a season they would sooner forget. Not only are they next to last in the Big 10, but they are just 11-12 overall. They have also lost four straight both S/U and ATS. They are also 1-9 both S/U and ATS their last 10 games. Yet, somehow the Buckeyes are laying around 5-points tonight to a winning team that could make the NCAA tournament. I'll take Northwestern plus the generous points. |
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02-08-23 | St. Joe's +4.5 v. Loyola-Chicago | 83-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
Atlantic 10 conference clash here between St Joes and Loyola Chicago. St Josephs is tied for 8th in the conference with George Mason and Richmond, all with 5-6 conference records. Loyola is having a rough year as it sits last in the conference with a 2-8 record and 8-14 overall mark. St Joe's Hawks can get back to the overall .500 mark with a win tonight. They are coming off a loss to La Salle, 65-73, as a 6-point favorite. Still, the Hawks are 5-2 S/U and 6-1 ATS in their last seven conference games. Loyola Ramblers would like to forget about this season as they are just 8-14. They are coming off a win vs George Mason, 69-61, as a 1.5-point home dog. Still, they are just 2-9 S/U and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games. Not sure why Loyola laying points here in this contest. I'll take them though, play St Josephs. |
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02-08-23 | Drexel +3.5 v. Delaware | 58-54 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
Colonial Athletic Association clash here tonight has Drexel taking on Delaware. The Drexel Dragons are 5th in the conference with a 7-5 record and 13-11 overall record. The Delaware Blue Hens are four places back of Drexel with a 4-8 conference record and 12-13 overall record. Drexel is coming off a loss at Monmouth, 67-69, as a 6.5-point favorite. That makes the Dragons 1-3 S/U and ATS in their last four games. Drexel does do well off a loss though, evidenced by their 20-6 ATS record their last 26 games following a loss. Delaware looks to snap a two game losing streak here tonight after dropping games to Monmouth and last game to Charleston, 67-84, as a 7-point dog. They are now 3-6 S/U and 3-5-1 ATS their last nine games. They are also 2-5 ATS their last seven home games. The road team is 3-0-1 ATS the last four in this series and that is who I will be on tonight. Play Drexel. |
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02-08-23 | Creighton v. Seton Hall +4.5 | Top | 75-62 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
The Big East is filled with quality teams and two of those go head to head tonight. This game could make the difference between a NCAA bid and a NIT or lower conference big. Creighton is tied for fourth in the conference with a 9-3 record. Right behind them is Seton Hall with a 8-5 record. Creighton has won six straight games after their win over Villanova, 66-61, as a 10-point favorite. They are just 3-5 ATS their last eight games. The Bluejays have faltered on the road though, going 2-4 S/U and ATS in their six away games. Seton Hall has won three straight games and seven of their last eight. They are also 5-2-1 ATS their last eight games. These teams met back on Jan 3rd at Creighton with the Bluejays taking that game 61-83, as a 8.5-point favorite. This has been a home series with the host covering 10 of the last 14 games. Seton Hall getting points at home here tonight. I'll take those points. Play Seton Hall. |
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02-07-23 | Suns -4.5 v. Nets | 116-112 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 30 m | Show | |
The Brooklyn Nets had high hopes when they added Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving. However, those hopes were crushed as they just didn't materialize. Now, the Nets have decided to trade Irving away to the Mavericks. Now Durant is hurt and missed yesterday's game vs the Clippers. It looks like the Nets have given up on their Superstars as leading them to the promised land. The Nets lost last night to the Clippers, 116-124. Now they have to play the 2nd of a back-to-back spot. They are just 5-16-1 ATS their last 22 home games vs a team with a road winning record. They are also 18-41-2 ATS their last 61 home games. The Suns had the last two nights off after beating Detroit on Saturday, 116-100, as a 4.5-point favorite. They have won two straight and four of their last five both S/U and ATS. They are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games and 4-1 ATS in their last five road games. With this Nets team now in flux and Durant possibly missing another game here tonight, I'll lay the points with the Suns in this one. |
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02-07-23 | Rutgers +4.5 v. Indiana | Top | 60-66 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 5 m | Show |
Big 10 action here on Tuesday has Rutgers taking on Indiana. Indiana is third in the Big 10 with a 7-5 conference record and 16-7 overall mark. Rutgers is 2nd in the Big 10 with a 8-4 record and 16-7 overall record. The Rutgers Scarlet Knights have won two straight games since their loss to Iowa on Jan 28th. They are coming off a win over Michigan State, 61-55, as a 5-point favorite. They have also covered three of the last four and 10 of the last 13 games. Indiana rebounded from their last on Jan 31 to Maryland with a win over top ranked Purdue, 79-74 last game. That huge win could be an issue here today if the Hoosiers find themselves in a bit of a letdown spot following that win over the top ranked team in the nation. I'm going to take the points here today. Rutgers is good enough to pull out the straight-up win and I'm not convinced that win over Purdue won't have a lasting effect on Indiana here. Take Rutgers. |
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02-06-23 | Green Bay +17.5 v. Wisc-Milwaukee | 80-79 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
Wisconsin Milwaukee is 10-3 in the Horizon league and in 2nd place, one game back of Youngstown State. Green Bay is in last place in the conference, 1-12 in Horizon play and 2-22 overall. Green Bay looks to snap a 14-game losing streak here tonight when they travel to Milwaukee to play their instate rivals. Milwaukee has won four of it's last five games including last game at IUPUI, 72-69. Yes, Green Bay is arguably the worst team in college basketball. They lost their opening seven, won two of three, then lost their last 14 games. The Phoenix have lost to Milwaukee once this season, 81-67, on Dec 1 as 7-point home dogs. Milwaukee should have little issues here tonight to stay on pace with Youngstown State. So why in the world would I even consider taking Green Bay here tonight. Well, the points are +17 and that's a tall number no matter who you are playing. And I also figure Milwaukee to rest many of their regulars as they prepare for the final push in conference play. They have little interest in this game tonight while Green Bay would like nothing better than to upset their rivals. I'll take the points and give them a shot. Play Green Bay. |
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02-06-23 | Clippers v. Nets OVER 220 | 124-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
The LA Clippers have been playing very well, winning seven of their last nine games. They have been on the road for five games, going 3-2 S/U and 4-1 ATS. They are coming off a win over the Knicks, 134-128, as a 2.5-point favorite. They play the final game of their road sweep here tonight before returning to the Staples Center. The Clippers have been a very good over team, with a 17-6 Ov/Un record their last 23 road games. They are also 5-2 O/U in their last seven overall games and 15-7-1 O/U their last 23 vs a team with a winning home record. The Nets rebounded from their loss at Boston on Wednesday with a win over the Wizards, 125-123, as a 1.5-point dog. It was their second straight over game and fifth in their last six games. They are also 5-3 S/U in their last eight games. The Nets have gone over in five of their last six games and are 3-1-1 O/U in their last five playing on one day rest. Both teams are playing well, but I'll just stick with the OVER here tonight. |
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02-05-23 | Stanford +5.5 v. Colorado | 62-84 | Loss | -114 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
PAC 12 conference clash here on Sunday as Colorado hosts Stanford. Colorado is 7th in the conference with a 5-8 record and 13-11 overall mark. Stanford is right behind them with a 4-7 conference record and 10-12 overall record. Stanford has won five straight games, covering five of their last six games. That includes their most recent win at Utah, 78-72, as a 6-point dog. Colorado is just 9-15 vs the spread on the season. They snapped a two game losing streak with a win over Cal last time out, 59-46, as a 15.5-point favorite. Still, they are just 2-5 S/U and 1-6 ATS their last seven. Moreover, they are 4-11-2 ATS their last 14 home games vs a team with a losing road record. Stanford playing and cover well of late and I'll take the points with them here tonight. Play Stanford. |
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02-05-23 | Northwestern +4 v. Wisconsin | 54-52 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Big 10 action has Northwestern hitting the road for a game at Wisconsin. Northwestern is 7th in the Big 12 with a 6-5 conference record and 15-7 overall mark. Wisconsin is tied with Northwestern in conference play with a 5-6 mark and a 13-8 overall record. Northwestern looks to snap a two-game losing streak here today after dropping back-to-back games to Iowa and last time out to Michigan, 51-68, as a 3.5-point favorite. The WildCats are 3-2 ATS their last five games. Wisconsin snapped a three game losing streak with a win at Ohio State last game, 65-60, as a 7.5-point dog. Still, the Badgers are just 2-6 S/U their last eight games and 1-10 ATS their last 11 games. They are also 0-6 ATS in their last six home games. Have to go against this bad covering Wisconsin team here today who is laying some points in this contest. Play Northwestern. |
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02-05-23 | Houston v. Temple +11.5 | 81-65 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
Can lightning strike twice in the same place? Well, it can and Temple sure hopes so tonight. The Owls went to top ranked Houston and stunned the Cougars back on Jan 22nd, 56-55, as a 19-point dog. Tonight, they welcome Houston to their home and once again are a double-digit dog. The Cougars are 1st in the AAC conference with a 9-1 record and 21-2 overall record. Temple is in 2nd place with a 8-2 conference record and 14-9 overall mark. Houston has won their last three since that shocking loss to Temple, including a win over Wichita State last game, 70-61, as a 12.5-point favorite. The Cougars are 14-9 ATS on the season and 6-1 on the road. Temple has won its last four games, including last game at UCF, 77-70, as a 5-point dog. The Owls have covered eight of their last 10 games. Temple is also 10-1 ATS in Sunday games and 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 vs a team with a winning record. I'm sure Houston wants some payback, but this confident Owls team is looking for the season sweep of the mighty Cougars. Play Temple. |
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02-04-23 | North Carolina +3.5 v. Duke | 57-63 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
Two longtime ACC rivals meet today as North Carolina takes on Duke. Both teams down just a bit this year as Duke is 6th in the ACC with a 7-4 conference record and 16-6 overall mark. North Carolina is tied with Duke at 7-4 in conference and 15-7 overall. The Tar Heels had their four game win streak snapped last game vs Pitt, 64-65 as a 8.5-point favorite. Meanwhile, Duke has won two straight games after their loss at Virginia Tech on Jan 23rd, 75-78, as a 2.5-point dog. They have since beat Georgia Tech and then last game over Wake Forest, 75-73, as a 8-point favorite. Duke has covered just one of their last eight games and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games. The road team has covered four of the last five in this series and that's who I will be on today. Take North Carolina. |
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02-04-23 | Alabama -11 v. LSU | Top | 79-69 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
SEC action today has to the conference leader Alabama (9-0) taking on LSU (1-8). Alabama has a strong hold on the conference right now with no losses and and overall record of 19-3. The take on a struggling LSU team that has won just one of their nine ACC contests. The Crimson Tide is coming off a win over Vandy, 101-44, as a 15-point favorite. They hit a whooping 59% from the field and 46.3% from the 3-point stripe. That make them 10-1 S/U and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games. The LSU Tigers have been in free fall, losing nine straight games and failing to cover their last eight games. They are coming off a loss at Missouri, 77-87, as a 9-point dog. home hasn't been very kind either, toing 2-11 ATS in their 13 home games. Big number, but I'll lay it with the Tide on Saturday. Play Alabama. |
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02-04-23 | Virginia v. Virginia Tech UNDER 129.5 | 68-74 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 51 m | Show | |
ACC action early on Saturday has a pair of rivals facing off as Virginia Tech host Virginia. Virginia looks headed to another NCAA tournament with a nifty 17-3 overall record. The Cavs are also 9-2 in conference play and a half game behind ACC leading Clemson. Tech is going to need a big last push if they hope to make the Big Dance as they sit 13-9 overall and just 3-8 in conference play. Virginia has won seven straight games and is 4-3 Over/UNDER in that span. One of those is also against Tech back on Jan 18th in which they won at VT 76-68, as a 5-point favorite. Virginia Tech is coming off a loss at Miami, 83-92, as a 3.5-point dog. The Hokies are just 2-8 S/U and ATS in their last 10 games. The Hokies have gone under in five of their last six games when playing a team with a winning record. Same for the Cavs, they have also gone under in five of their last six vs a winning team. While these teams went over last time at Virginia, I'm taking them under here today. Play the UNDER. |
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02-03-23 | Magic v. Wolves -4 | 127-120 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
The Orlando Magic are 20-32 S/U and 29-22-1 ATS on the season. The Magic are 1-3 S/U and 2-2 ATS in their last four games, including coming off a loss at Philly, 94-105, as a 9.5-point dog. The Magic are 7-19 S/U and 13-12-1 ATS on the road and getting outscored by a 107.4 to 113.2 margin. The T'Wolves are coming off a win over Golden State, 119-114, as a 3.5-point dog. That was their fourth win in their last five games both S/U and ATS. They are also 6-2 S/U their last eight games and 6-2-1 ATS their last nine games. They have covered five of their last six home games and are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games vs a team with a win % below 40 percent. I'll take the home team here today. Play Minnesota. |
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02-03-23 | Blazers v. Wizards OVER 236 | 124-116 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
Portland can get back to the .500 mark with a win tonight over the Wizards. The 25-26 Blazers are coming off a win at Memphis, 122-112, as a 5.5-point dog. That makes four wins in their last five games. Washington is two-games under .500 with their 24-26 record. The Wizards look to extend their win streak to seven games both S/U and ATS tonight. They have scored at least 113 points in five of those six wins. They have been a decent over team at home, going 35-17-2 O/U in their last 54 home games. These teams have also gone over in 12 of their last 17 meetings. Moreover, five of the last six meetings in Washington have gone over. I'll take OVER here tonight. |
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02-02-23 | Clippers v. Bucks -3.5 | 105-106 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
It's West vs East here tonight as the East's 2nd place Milwaukee Bucks take on the West's 4th place LA Clippers. The Clippers are 29-25 overall on the season and 27-27 vs the spread. The Clippers are coming off a win over Chicago, 108-103, as a 3-point favorite. They have won six of their last seven games. The Milwaukee Bucks are 34-17 overall and 27-27-21-3 vs the number. The Bucks have won five straight and seven of their last eight games. They have scored at least 124 points in their last three games and four of the last five. I'll lay the points here at home tonight with the Bucks. |
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02-02-23 | IUPU Ft Wayne +2.5 v. Oakland | 82-73 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
Horizon League action has 6th place IP Fort Wayne taking on 5th place Oakland. IPFW is 14-9 overall and 6-6 in conference plays. The Mastodons are coming off a loss at Cleveland State, 74-79, as a 3.5 point dog. This team can score as they average 75.1 ppg on the season and allow 67.3 ppg. They are also 17-7 ATS in their last 24 road games vs a team with a winning home record. The Oakland Grizzlies may only have nine wins, but seven of those have come in conference play. However, they have lost two straight games and are 2-3 their last five. They are also 2-4 ATS their last six games. The Grizzlies are also just 2-7 in their last nine home games. The road team has covered the last five meetings in this series and the dog is 7-3 ATS the last 10. I'll take the road dog here on Thursday. Play IPFW. Oakland is 9-14 overall and 7-5 in conference play. |
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02-01-23 | Blazers v. Grizzlies -5.5 | Top | 122-112 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
The Portland Trailblazers are just under the playoff line right now as we get closer to the half way point of the season. The Blazers are 24-26 in the tough Western Conference, but are a couple games back of New Orleans right now for that last playoff spot. Portland is coming off a home win over Atlanta, 129-125, as a 2.5-point favorite. Despite the win, they are just 3-4 S/U and ATS their last seven games. They are also 4-10 ATS their last 14 overall games and 0-8 ATS their last eight road games. Meanwhile, Memphis sitting 2nd in the Western Conference with a 32-18 record, 2.5-games back of Denver. The Grizzlies have been great at home, going 21-3 S/U and 16-8 ATS. They also outscore their visitors by a 119.7 to 108.5 ppg average. Moreover, they are 36-14-1 ATS in their last 51 home games. I'll take the Grizzlies here tonight and lay the points. |
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02-01-23 | Pittsburgh +8.5 v. North Carolina | 65-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
ACC Clash here on Wednesday has 15-7 Pitt taking on 15-8 North Carolina. Pittsburgh is third in the ACC with a 8-3 record and UNC is 4th with a 7-3 record. Pitt has won two straight games, including last game vs Miami, 71-68, as a pick'em. That makes the Panthers 4-1 S/U and 3-2 ATS in their last five games. Pitt is 5-2 S/U on the road and a perfect 7-0 vs the spread. They have also outscored their hosts by a 75.4 to 66.6 ppg average. Pitt has been great to bettors with a 14-3 ATS mark their last 17 overall games. NCU might have 15 wins, but unlike Pitt they have not been good to bettors. The Tar Heels are just 7-13-1 ATS overall and 5-5 ATS at home. The Heels have won four straight and six of their last seven. However, they are just 1-5 ATS in their last six games vs a team with a winning record above 60 percent. I'll take the points with a very good covering team here tonight. Play Pittsburgh. |
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02-01-23 | Penn State +10 v. Purdue | 60-80 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
Top ranked Purdue will host Penn State this afternoon in a Big 10 clash. The Boilermakers are 10-1 in the Big 10 and 21-1 overall. Purdue's only loss this season came in their opening Big 10 game to Rutgers, 64-65, as a 8.5-point favorite. Since then they have won eight straight and gone 5-2-1 ATS. Purdue hasn't done so well at home, going 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine home games. They are also 3-10-2 ATS in their last 15 home games vs a team with a losing road record. Penn State is 5-5 in conference and 14-7 overall. Penn State is coming off a win over Michigan, 83-61, as a 3.5-point favorite. They are 3-4 S/U and 4-3 ATS in their last seven games. This will be the second meeting between these teams with Purdue winning back on Jan 8th at Penn State, 63-76, as a 5-point favorite. Penn State does well on the road, going 8-3 ATS their last 11 away games. They are also 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games vs a team with a winning record. The dog has gone 7-3-1 ATS the last 11 meetings in this series and the road team is 7-2-1 ATS the last 10 meetings. I'll take Penn State tonight. |
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02-01-23 | Providence +4 v. Xavier | 83-85 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
A Big East Battle between two ranked teams here today as No 17 Providence takes on No 15 Xavier. Providence and Xavier are in a three way tie at the top of the Big East with 9-2 record. Both also have 17-5 overall records. The Providence Friars have been a good spread team this year, with a 14-8 ATS record overall. The Friars have won three straight games and covered all three, including last game over Villanova, 70-65, as a pick'em on the road. The Friars are 5-3 S/U and 6-2 ATS on the road and outscoring their hosts, 72.4 to 68.5 ppg. Providence is 12-2 ATS their last 14 games and 6-1 ATS their last seven on the road. The Xavier Musketeers are coming off a loss at Creighton, 67-84, as a 6-point dog. That makes them 2-2 S/U and 1-3 ATS in their last four games. The dog has covered eight of the last 11 in this series. That's who I am on today, take Providence. |
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01-31-23 | Hornets v. Bucks OVER 243.5 | 115-124 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
The Charlotte Hornets are just 15-36 overall this season. They have won two straight games though, with wins over Chicago and last game over Miami, 122-117. They have gone over in four of their last seven games. They average 112.2 overall and slightly more on the road, 113.8 ppg. However, they allow 120.4 ppg this year on the road. Charlotte has gone over in 23 of their last 32 road games this season. Milwaukee is 33-17 and has won four straight games and six of their last seven. They have gone over in two straight and three of their last four. The Bucks are 13-3 O/U in their last 16 home games. These teams have also gone over in five of the last six meetings in Milwaukee. Tall number to climb tonight, but I'll take the OVER. |
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01-31-23 | Ball State v. Bowling Green OVER 152.5 | 69-60 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
Two teams trying to improve their position in the MAC face off today as 4th place Ball State takes on 5th place Bowling Green. Ball State is 5-3 in the MAC and 14-7 overall. Ball State is coming off a win over Northern Illinois, 87-69. They have gone over their last three games. The Cardinals have also gone over in their last four road games and 6-2 O/U their last eight overall games. Bowling Green is 4-4 in the MAC and 10-11 overall. Bowling Green looks to rebound from their loss at Toledo, 77-91. The game went over and they are 4-1-1 O/U their last six games. The Falcons have also gone over in four of their last five home games. I will take the over here tonight between these teams. |
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01-31-23 | Akron v. Buffalo OVER 146.5 | 81-64 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
Akron tied for the best record in the MAC right now with a 7-1 conference record and 15-6 overall mark. The Zips have also won six straight games. Buffalo sits in tied for 5th with Bowling Green at 4-4 and 10-11 overall. Akron has gone over their last two games, totaling 160 and 141. The Zips have gone over in five of their last seven overall. Buffalo is only 2-4 their last six games, going over in four of those. The Bulls average 86.7 ppg at home this year while allowing 74.3 ppg. I like this game to go over here tonight. |
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01-30-23 | Hawks v. Blazers OVER 236.5 | Top | 125-129 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
The Atlanta Hawks look to get above the .500 mark as they continue their Western road trip at Portland tonight. The Hawks have dropped to 25-25 with their recent 1-3 slide. They are coming off a loss at home to the Clippers, 113-120, as a 1-point favorite. The Hawks are just 10-24 ATS their last 34 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Portland is 23-26 on the season and is coming off a loss at home to Toronto, 105-123, after wins over Utah and San Antonio. This team can score too, getting 134 vs the Jazz and 147 vs the Spurs. They eclipse 130 quite frequently. The Blazers are 14-9-1 ATS at home and average 119.4 ppg. Five of the last six meetings in this series have gone OVER. The Hawks have also gone over in six of their last seven games. With the points the Blazers can score, this one could be a high scoring affair. Take the OVER. |
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01-29-23 | Pelicans v. Bucks OVER 233 | 110-135 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
Two of the best in their respective conferences meet today as the 3rd place Eastern Conference Bucks host the 5th place Western Conference Pelicans. The Pelicans have a winning record but you wouldn't know it by their play of late, as they are riding a seven game losing streak. They are 9-15 on the road but a good over team on the road with a 16-8 Ov/Un record. They are also 18-4 O/U their last 22 games vs a team with a winning straight-up record. The Milwaukee Bucks are 32-17 overall on the season and bring a 3-game winning streak into today's contest. They have a good home over/under record, going over in 16 of their 24 home games. They are also 12-3 in their last 15 home games. These teams have gone over in their last six meetings in Milwaukee and 26-9 O/U in their last 35 overall meetings. I'll be on the OVER here today. |
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01-29-23 | Bengals +1.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -125 | 149 h 31 m | Show |
AT this point of the season you can pretty much make a case for either side in a matchup. The Bengals jumped out to a 14-0 lead last week at Buffalo and really shut down one of the best offenses in the NFL and QB's in Josh Allen. It was a complete game for the Bengals who controlled the game from the opening kickoff to the final whistle. If QB Jeff Burrow were to retire today, he would have the highest completion rate EVER in the NFL among QB's. Pretty impressive. The Chiefs hosted the Jaguars last week and while I had KC, the Jags got the back door cover on the last drive. Happens, they could allow a field goals so the Chiefs played a prevent defense and allowed the Jags to march down the field in last minute to get a field goal to cover the spread. But the biggest news was the high ankle sprain to QB Patrick Mahomes. He came out a a brief time, but came back in and finished with 195 yards and two passing td's. QB Chad Henne came into the game and led the Chiefs on a 98-yard touchdown drive while Mahomes was being tended to. Mahomes vows to play this week and I believe he will play. However, we will see a different Mahomes here in this game. One that can't scramble as well and definitely won't be doing a lot of running. He will be more of a drop back passer and will likely have more "dump off" options. This game comes down to QB's. I feel Burrows is arguably the best QB in the NFL and he proved it last week. Yes, Mahomes is great, but how limited will his game be with an injury that some players take weeks off to heal from? I'll take the Bengals and Burrow in this game. Play Cincinnati. |
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01-29-23 | Bengals v. Chiefs UNDER 48.5 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 27 h 2 m | Show | |
AT this point of the season you can pretty much make a case for either side in a matchup. The Bengals jumped out to a 14-0 lead last week at Buffalo and really shut down one of the best offenses in the NFL and QB's in Josh Allen. It was a complete game for the Bengals who controlled the game from the opening kickoff to the final whistle. If QB Jeff Burrow were to retire today, he would have the highest completion rate EVER in the NFL among QB's. Pretty impressive. The Chiefs hosted the Jaguars last week and while I had KC, the Jags got the back door cover on the last drive. Happens, they could allow a field goals so the Chiefs played a prevent defense and allowed the Jags to march down the field in last minute to get a field goal to cover the spread. But the biggest news was the high ankle sprain to QB Patrick Mahomes. He came out a a brief time, but came back in and finished with 195 yards and two passing td's. QB Chad Henne came into the game and led the Chiefs on a 98-yard touchdown drive while Mahomes was being tended to. Mahomes vows to play this week and I believe he will play. However, we will see a different Mahomes here in this game. One that can't scramble as well and definitely won't be doing a lot of running. He will be more of a drop back passer and will likely have more "dump off" options. This game comes down to QB's. I feel Burrows is arguably the best QB in the NFL and he proved it last week. Yes, Mahomes is great, but how limited will his game be with an injury that some players take weeks off to heal from? With Mahomes hobbled and the excellent rushing of the Bengals, I look for this game to be lower scoring. Take the UNDER. |
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01-29-23 | 49ers v. Eagles UNDER 46.5 | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 24 h 33 m | Show | |
The two best defensive teams in the NFL will meet here in the NFL Championship round. The Eagles topped the NFL, allowing just 297 yards per game. They were 17th vs the rush but first vs the pass. That should be good here today against rookie QB for San Francisco Purdy. Purdy has been great this year, but we'll see how he holds up in hostile Philly against the top ranked passing defense. Where the Eagles might get exploited is rushing. The Giants have Christian McCaffrey who could do well here today. San Francisco has the 2nd ranked overall defense, allowing 301 yards per game. They are 2nd vs the rush and 20th vs the pass. They will be tasked with containing Philly QB Jalen Hurts. The 49ers have gone under in their last seven playoff road games. They are also 1-5 O/U in their last six overall playoff games. Philly has gone under in their last four games on grass and are 1-4 O/U their last five overall. The Eagles are 3-12-1 O/U their last 16 playoff games at home. These teams have also gone under the last four times they have met. I like defenses come playoff time and I for both these units to do well here today. I'm taking the UNDER. |
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01-29-23 | Rutgers +4.5 v. Iowa | 82-93 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 37 m | Show | |
Big 10 matchup here on Sunday has Rutgers hitting the road for a game at Iowa. The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are 14-6 overall on the season. They have won three of their last four in the Big 10 including last game vs Penn State, 65-45 as a 6.5-point favorite. Rutgers is tied for 2nd in the Big 10 with a 6-3 overall record. Iowa is 12-8 overall and 4-6 in the Big 10 and in the bottom half of the conference. The Hawkeyes have lost their last two games, including last game at Michigan State, 61-63, but covered the 2.5-point dog line. The dog has been the play in this series as they have gone 9-2-1 vs the spread. Rutgers getting some points here today and I like them to even win this game outright. Play Rutgers. |
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01-29-23 | Rider +2.5 v. Fairfield | 78-69 | Win | 100 | 2 h 37 m | Show | |
The Rider Broncs hit the road for their second straight away game here today. They are coming off a road win at Marist, 68-52, as a 2.5-point favorite. That makes four wins in a row for the Broncs. They have done well on the road, covering six of their last nine away games this year. The Fairfield Stags look to get above the .500 mark here today as they sit 10-10 on the season. The Stags have won four straight game including last game over Mt St Marys, 63-60, just covering the 2.5-point favorite line. The road team has covered 21 of the last 28 games in this series. I'll be on the road team here today. Play Rider. |
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01-28-23 | Rockets v. Pistons OVER 236 | 117-114 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
It's a battle of the bottom dwellers as the last place team in the East, Detroit, takes on the last place team from the West, Houston. The Pistons are 13-37 on the season. They are coming off a rare win at Brooklyn, 130-122, as a 8.5-point dog. It was the second straight game the Pistons have scored 130 points, though they gave up 150 to Milwaukee on Monday. The Pistons allow the most points in the East, coming in at 120.3 ppg. The Rockets are 11-38 on the season adn have lost two straight after beating Minnesota last Saturday. They have lost 15 of their last 16 games. Houston also allows a lot of points per game, 117.1 ppg. These teams have gone over in nine of the last 12 meetings in Detroit. I expect a lot of points in this one today. Take the OVER. |
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01-28-23 | Arkansas +7 v. Baylor | 64-67 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
Non-Conference clash here on Saturday has SEC's Arkansas taking on the Big 12 Baylor Bears. Baylor is 15-5 overall on the season and tied for fourth in the Big 12 with a 5-3 record. Arkansas is 14-6 overall and 3-5 in the SEC. Arkansas snapped a four-game losing streak with back-to-back wins over Ole Miss and last game over LSU, 60-40, as a 12.5-point favorite. Baylor has won five straight games after their last win over Kansas, 75-69, as a 2-point favorite. The Bears usually don't do well putting back-to-back covers together, evidenced by their 3-7-1 ATS mark the last 11 ATS wins. My numbers show a close game here on Saturday and with that I'll take the points with the dog. Play Arkansas. |
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01-28-23 | Xavier +5.5 v. Creighton | 67-84 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
The No 12 ranked Xavier Musketeers stay on the road here on Saturday for an early game at Creighton. Xavier is 17-4 on the season and coming off a win at Connecticut, 82-79, as a 6-point dog. They have won 12 of their last 13 games and covered six of the last eight. They are also leading the Big East with a 9-1 conference record, one game ahead of both Marquette and Providence. Creighton is 12-8 overall on the season and 10-10 vs the spread. They are 4th in the Big East with a 6-3 conference record. Creighton has won three straight, covering two of those games. That includes a win over St Johns, 104-76, as a 10.5 point favorite. These teams met back on January 11th in Xavier with Creighton losing a close game, 87-90, as a 2.5-point dog. The dog has covered 14 of the last 19 meetings in this series. I like the dog here today as I expect Xavier to possibly walk away with the straight-up win. Play Xavier. |
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01-27-23 | Magic v. Heat UNDER 220 | 105-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference clash here on Friday has Orlando taking on their intrastate rivals, Miami. Orlando is 13th in the East with a 19-29 record and 6-17 road mark. The Miami Heat are 6th in the East with a 27-22 record and 16-9 home mark. Orlando has won two-straight games, beating Boston and then Indiana at home. Overall, the Magic have been a slightly over team with a 25-22-1 O/U mark. However, that changes on the road where they are 10-12-1 O/U and their ppg drops almost four points. Not sure what it is about Friday's, but the Magic are 3-14 O/U their last 17 on this day. Miami has also won two straight, going UNDER in both of those home games. The Heat have gone under their last four at home and are 3-9 O/U their last 12 games overall. Like Orlando, they are also 4-9 O/U their last 13 on Friday. These teams have gone under in five of their last seven meetings in Miami. I'll be on the UNDER here tonight. |
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01-27-23 | Grizzlies v. Wolves OVER 237.5 | 100-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
Two playoff bound Western Conference teams meet up today in Minnesota as the T'Wolves host the Memphis Grizzlies. Memphis is 2nd in the West with a 31-17 record, but they have a losing road record of 11-14. Minnesota is 8th right now with a 25-25 record and 16-10 home mark. Memphis saw their 11 game win streak snapped and since have lost four straight games. On that win streak they were also 7-2 O/U the last nine games. Minnesota is coming off a win at New Orleans, 111-102, as a 3-point dog. They average 117.5 ppg at home while allowing 115.7 ppg. Tall total here at 238 or 239, but when Memphis wins they tend to get the overs and that's what I'm looking for here today. Play the OVER. |
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01-27-23 | IUPU Ft Wayne +4 v. Cleveland State | 74-79 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
Horizon league action here on Friday has IPFW taking on Cleveland State. 6th place IP Fort Wayne is 6-5 in conference and 14-8 overall on the season. 4th place Cleveland State is 7-3 in conference and 12-9 overall. The Fort Wayne Mastodons are coming off a win over IUPUI, 81-75, but failed to cover the 18.5 point favorite line. They have a winning road record at 5-4 both S/U and ATS. They also have outscored their hosts, 68.9 to 68.8, though barely. They have also gone 7-2 ATS their last nine on the road vs a team with a winning home record and 20-8 ATS their last 28 vs a team with a winning home record. Cleveland State Vikings are coming off a win over Wright State, 85-77 as a 3.5-point road dog. They are 6-3 S/U at home but are just 3-4 vs the spread. The road team is 5-1 ATS the last six in this series and the dog is 5-0 the last five. I'll take the road dog here today. Play IPFW. |
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01-26-23 | Cavs v. Rockets OVER 221 | 113-95 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Cavaliers are 5th overall in the Eastern Conference with a 29-20 record. They have been averaging 111.5 ppg while allowing 107.2 ppg on the season. The Cavs are coming off a loss at New York, 103-105, as a 3.5-point favorite. That makes them 4-6 S/U their last 10 games. They have also gone 5-5 Ov/Un their last 10 games. The Houston Rockets are dead last in the Western Conference with a 11-37 record. They have averaged 109.7 ppg while allowing 117.2 ppg. They have lost 13 of their last 14 games. I'll be looking at the over in tonight's contest. The Cavs are 11-5-1 O/U in their last 17 on the road vs a team with a losing home record. Houston has gone over in five of their last seven games. They are 19-8 O/U in their last 27 games playing on no rest. I'll take the OVER tonight. |
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01-26-23 | Iowa +2.5 v. Michigan State | 61-63 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
Big 10 action here today has Iowa taking on Michigan State from Lansing, MI. Both teams around the middle of the pack. Iowa is 12-7 Overall and 4-4 in conference while Michigan State is 13-7 overall and 5-4 in conference. Iowa had its 4-game win streak snapped last time out at Ohio State, 77-93, as a 3-point dog. Michigan State has been slumping of late, going 1-3 their last four games including losing their last game at Indiana, 69-82, as a 4.5-point dog. The road team has covered four of the last five in this series. I look for Iowa to stay close and have a shot at the win here tonight. Play Iowa. |
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01-25-23 | Utah State +7 v. San Diego State | 75-85 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
Late action here on the college hoop slate has a Mountain West clash between Utah State and San Diego State. The San Diego State Aztecs sit atop the division with a 6-1 conference record and a 15-4 overall mark. Utah State is 4th with a 5-2 conference mark and a 16-4 overall record. Utah State looks to win three in a row here tonight after their wins over UNLV and last time out over San Jose State, 75-74, as a 11.5-point favorite. While they have failed to cover their last three games, they are still 11-8 ATS on the season. San Diego State has had a good season. But don't ask bettors, as the Aztecs are just 6-11-1 vs the number this year. Two of those covers have come in their last two games over Colorado State and last game over Air Force, 70-60, as a 9.5-point favorite. At home, Sdg St is 9-1, but they are just 1-7-1 vs the spread. Now they have to lay 7-points to a very good Utah State team. I'll take those points tonight with Utah State. |
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01-25-23 | Raptors v. Kings -3 | 113-95 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
It's East vs West tonight as the Eastern Conference Toronto Raptors make the long trip West to face the Western Conference Sacramento Kings. Right now the Raptors are below the playoff breakoff point as they sit 12th in the East with a 21-27 record. They are also 6-17 on the road this year. In addition, the Raptors are just 5-11 ATS their last 16 road games. The Sacramento Kings are having a fine season, sitting third in the West with a 27-19 overall mark and 16-10 home record. The Kings are 7-1 S/U their last eight games and 6-2 vs the spread. The Kings are also 20-6-1 ATS playing on one day rest. Not sure why the Kings such a short favorite here tonight. I won't look a gift horse in the mouth though. Take Sacramento. |
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01-25-23 | Xavier +6.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 82-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
Xavier looks to keep hold of their top spot in the Big East Conference. Xavier is 16-4 overall on the season and 8-1 in conference. Meanwhile, Connecticut is 16-5 overall and 5-5 in conference and in 5th place. Xavier rebounded from a loss on last Wednesday to Depaul, 72-73 as a 8-point road favorite with a home win over Georgetown, 95-82, but failed to cover the 17-point line. Still, they are 5-2 ATS their last seven games and have lost straight up just one time in their last 13 games. They have also been good on the road, going 4-1 S/U and 3-1-1 ATS their five away games, outscoring the home teams by an average of 85.2 to 79.6 points. Xavier has also been a very good over team with a 15-5 O/U record on the season. That makes them 19-7-1 O/U their last 27 overall games. In addition, they are 5-2 O/U their last seven road games. The U Conn Huskies came into conference play with a 11-0 record. However, the Big East hasn't been kind as they have gone 5-5 since. In fact, they are just 2-5 S/U their last seven games and 2-7 ATS their last nine games. They have been a decent over team too, going 3-1 O/U their last four and 6-3 O/U their last nine. They have also gone 36-17 O/U in their last 53 overall home games. I like Xavier here as they look to be the team to beat in the Big East this year. Play Xavier. |
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01-25-23 | Xavier v. Connecticut OVER 153.5 | 82-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
Xavier looks to keep hold of their top spot in the Big East Conference. Xavier is 16-4 overall on the season and 8-1 in conference. Meanwhile, Connecticut is 16-5 overall and 5-5 in conference and in 5th place. Xavier rebounded from a loss on last Wednesday to Depaul, 72-73 as a 8-point road favorite with a home win over Georgetown, 95-82, but failed to cover the 17-point line. Still, they are 5-2 ATS their last seven games and have lost straight up just one time in their last 13 games. They have also been good on the road, going 4-1 S/U and 3-1-1 ATS their five away games, outscoring the home teams by an average of 85.2 to 79.6 points. Xavier has also been a very good over team with a 15-5 O/U record on the season. That makes them 19-7-1 O/U their last 27 overall games. In addition, they are 5-2 O/U their last seven road games. The U Conn Huskies came into conference play with a 11-0 record. However, the Big East hasn't been kind as they have gone 5-5 since. In fact, they are just 2-5 S/U their last seven games and 2-7 ATS their last nine games. They have been a decent over team too, going 3-1 O/U their last four and 6-3 O/U their last nine. They have also gone 36-17 O/U in their last 53 overall home games. Both these teams are good over teams and both can score. I don't think the oddsmaker made a tall enough over/under line for these two. Take the OVER. |
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01-24-23 | Oklahoma +5.5 v. TCU | Top | 52-79 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
Big 12 is a very competitive conference, as usual. Kansas State leads the conference right now. Oklahoma is 2-5 in conference and sits 8th right now. They are also 11-8 overall on the season and 10-9 vs the spread. The Sooners have lost two straight games, coming off a setback to Baylor, 60-62, but just covering the 2.5-point dog line. The Sooners are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games vs a team with a winning home record. They are also 7-3 ATS overall their last 10 road games. TCU is 15-4 overall and 4-3 in conference. The Horned Frogs are 6th in conference. They are coming off a big road win at Kansas, 83-60, as a 7-point dog. That makes them 2-3 S/U and 3-2 ATS their last five games. They are 12-7 ATS overall on the season. The dog has covered eight of the last 10 in this series and that's what I'm sticking with here today. Take Oklahoma. |
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01-22-23 | Cowboys v. 49ers -3.5 | Top | 12-19 | Win | 100 | 104 h 50 m | Show |
The Dallas Cowboys sent Tom Brady and the Bucs home with their dominating performance in the Wild Card game last week, 31-14. Dak Prescot was red-hot, throwing four TD's and running in another. Now the Cowboys will hit the road for this Divisional game at San Francisco. The 49ers are the hottest team with 11 straight wins and QB Brock Purdy, last man in the draft taken last year, now proving his worth. The 49ers are the best defense in the league and lead in point differential with a +10.6 mark. Don't put a lot of stock into that Cowboys win last week, the Bucs have looked bad all season as they limped into the playoff spot with a losing record. Dallas actually has the short week to prepare having played on Monday night. I expect the 49ers to be run heavy in this game with Chrisitan McCaffrey carrying the load. This team is filled with weapons on offense and the Cowboys won't have the cake walk they had last week. Also, the 49ers defense will give Dak plenty of problems here this week. I look for a higher scoring game here if the weather permits and the 49ers in a blowout win. My Playoff Game of the Year is on the San Francisco 49ers. |
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01-22-23 | Cowboys v. 49ers OVER 46 | 12-19 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 32 m | Show | |
The Dallas Cowboys sent Tom Brady and the Bucs home with their dominating performance in the Wild Card game last week, 31-14. Dak Prescot was red-hot, throwing four TD's and running in another. Now the Cowboys will hit the road for this Divisional game at San Francisco. The 49ers are the hottest team with 11 straight wins and QB Brock Purdy, last man in the draft taken last year, now proving his worth. The 49ers are the best defense in the league and lead in point differential with a +10.6 mark. Don't put a lot of stock into that Cowboys win last week, the Bucs have looked bad all season as they limped into the playoff spot with a losing record. Dallas actually has the short week to prepare having played on Monday night. I expect the 49ers to be run heavy in this game with Chrisitan McCaffrey carrying the load. This team is filled with weapons on offense. I look for a higher scoring game here if the weather permits and it looks good right now. Both teams have been offensive juggernauts thus far and I don't see that changing. Play the OVER. |
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01-22-23 | Memphis +3.5 v. Cincinnati | 75-68 | Win | 100 | 2 h 38 m | Show | |
Memphis travels to Ohio today to take on Cincinnati in an American Athletic Conference clash. The Memphis Tigers are 14-5 overall and 5-2 in conference while the Cincinnati Bearcats are 14-6 overall and 5-2 in conference. Memphis has won two straight games but has failed to cover the spread in any of their last eight games. They are coming off a win over Wichita State, 88-78, pushing the 10-point line. Today they are a small road dog here at Cincinnati. Cincinnati has won three straight after their loss to Houston back on Jan 5th. They are coming off a win over South Florida, 85-69, as a 4-point favorite. Memphis has one of the best offenses in the country, ranked 32nd in scoring, though they score most of their points inside 3-point line. The road team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four games of this matchup. Both teams are good, but I'll take the points with the visitor in this one. Play Memphis. |
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01-21-23 | Giants +7.5 v. Eagles | 7-38 | Loss | -108 | 31 h 16 m | Show | |
The NFC East battle between the NY Giants and Philadelphia Eagles will once again take place here on Saturday. The Eagles had the NO 1 seed in the NFC with their win over the Giants in week 18. The Giants rested most of their starters in that game with nothing to play for. They hit the road last week and beat Minnesota, 31-24. QB David Jones shined as he threw for over 300 yards and a pair of TD's while also using his legs to get key yards totaling 7. That performance earned him the status of being the only player in NFL history to throw for 300 yards and 2 TD's while also rushing for more than 70 yards in a playoff games. The Eagles had last week off after beating the Giants in the final week of the regular season. QB Jalen Hurts returned after missing weeks 16 and 17. The Eagles defense is ranked 2nd in the NFL with a 389.1 average per game. However, the did fail to cover three of their last four games heading into this contest. The Giants have been a great playoff road team, going 10-1 ATS in their last 11 tries. They are also 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games on grass. I will take the points here with the Giants as Jones will be the deciding factor in this cover. Play NY Giants. |
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01-21-23 | Middle Tennessee +4 v. Louisiana Tech | 68-51 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
Conference USA battle here today has Mid Tennessee State taking on La Tech. Mid Tenn is 12-7 overall on the season and 5-3 in conference play. They currently tied for 3rd in the conference. La Teach is 11-8 overall and 4-4 in the conference and in 6th place. Mid Tennessee State Blue Raiders are 8-8-1 vs the spread this season. They have won and covered their last three games, including last time out vs Charlotte, 62-58, as a 2.5-point favorite. La Tech Bulldogs have covered nine of their 16 games including last time out in their win over Western Kentucky, 85-74, as a 4-point favorite. Mid Tenn has been a decent long term bettor team, as they are 33-16-3 ATS in their last 52 games. I'm not sure that Tech should be laying around 3.5 points in this game. Looks more like a pick'em or even Mid Tenn favorite in this matchup. Play Middle Tennessee State. |
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01-21-23 | Jaguars v. Chiefs -8.5 | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 31 m | Show | |
Another miraculous comeback in the NFL last week, something we've seem much of lately, as the Jacksonville Jaguars looked horrible in their first half vs the Chargers. But a different team came out of the locker in the 2nd half and rallied to beat the Chargers, 31-20 behind Trevor Lawrence's four touchdowns. Now the young Jags will have to face the very experienced Kansas City Chiefs on the road. That is a big edge for me in this game, the experience of the Chiefs over the Jags. The Chiefs also had last week off with the first round bye and will be well prepared and rested for this game. I have high hopes for this Jaguars team with all the young talent, but it's not their season yet. The Chiefs still remain a big favorite to make the Super Bowl and I will take them here today. Play Kansas City. |
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01-21-23 | Fordham +8 v. Duquesne | 65-58 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
The Fordham Rams returned three starters to a team that finished 16-16 last year and 8th in the Atlantic 10. They are 14-4 this year, but only 2-3 in conference play. The Rams rebounded from their loss to Dayton on Monday with a win at La Salle, 66-64, as a pick'em. The Rams started the season 12-1 but have since gone 2-3. Duquesne is 13-6 overall and 3-3 in conference play. The Dukes are coming off a loss at St Bonny's, 56-65, as a pick'em. That makes them 3-3 S/U and 4-2 ATS their last six games. The road team has done well in this series, going 19-6-1 ATS the last 26 meetings. The dog has also gone 15-5-1 ATS the last 21 meetings. I'll be on the road dog here today. Play Fordham. |
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01-21-23 | Vanderbilt +4.5 v. Georgia | 85-82 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
SEC action here on Saturday has Vanderbilt taking on Georgia. Vandy looks to get above the .500 mark today as they sit at 9-9 S/U and 8-10 ATS. The Commodores are coming off a loss to Alabama, 66-78, as a 9-point dog. That makes them 1-3 S/U and 3-1 ATS in their last three games, all in the SEC. The Commodores are 22-5-1 ATS their last 28 road games. They are also 19-6-1 ATS their last 26 road games vs a team with a winning record. Georgia is 13-5 S/U and 10-8 ATS on the season. The Dogs are 5th in the conference with a 3-2 record while Vandy is 2-3. Georgia is coming off a loss to Kentucky, 71-85, as a 11-point dog. They are 3-2 S/U and 4-1 ATS over their last five games (all in conference). Georgia is 4-14 ATS in their last 18 home games vs a team with a losing road record. I'll take the points here on Saturday with Vandy. |
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01-20-23 | Heat -1 v. Mavs | 90-115 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
Another Inter-conference matchup here tonight has Miami (25-21) traveling to Dallas (24-22) to take on the Mavericks. Miami leads the Southeast division with that 25-21 record and is also 18-26-2 vs the spread. Not much of a spread here tonight as they are just a 1 or 1 1/2 point favorite at Dallas. They are coming off a win at New Orleans, 124-98, as a 3.5-point favorite. That makes them 3-1 S/U and 2-1-1 their last four games. The Dallas Mavericks are in third place in the Southwest Division with their 24-22 record and are also 15-28-3 vs the spread. The Mavs look to snap a 3-game losing streak here tonight. They are coming off a loss at home to Atlanta, 122-130, as a 2.5-point dog. That made them 1-5 S/U and ATS in their last six games. Miami is 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 overall meetings and 15-5-1 ATS their last 21 meetings in Dallas. Take Miami tonight. |
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01-20-23 | Warriors v. Cavs -8 | 120-114 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
The defending champion Golden State Warriors can get back to the .500 mark here tonight at Cleveland. The Warriors are 23-22 S/U and ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss at Boston on Thursday, 118-121, as a 7-point dog. Now they play in the 2nd of a back-to-back spot tonight at Cleveland. They are 2-5 S/U and 3-3 ATS their last six games. The Warriors are also 5-18 S/U and 7-16 ATS on the road this season. The Warriors guard Andre Igoudale is questionable tonight with a hip injury and guard Klay Thompson will sit out as he rests tonight. Cleveland has been one of the surprise teams this year with a 28-18 S/U record and 24-20-2 spread mark. The Cavs have gone back and forth with wins of late, going 4-4 their last eight games both S/U and ATS. They have played six of their last seven games on the road and gone 3-4 S/U. They return home tonight where they have been very good, going 19-4 S/U and 16-7 ATS on the season. They have also outscored opponents by a 113.9 to 105.7 margin. I like the Cavs at home a lot, especially with Thompson resting tonight. Play Cleveland. |
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01-19-23 | UCLA v. Arizona State +5 | 74-62 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
No 5 UCLA hits the road tonight to take on Arizona State in a PAC-12 clash. The Bruins are having a fine season at 16-2 S/U and 11-7 ATS. They have won 13 straight games since that two game string where they lost to Baylor and Illinois. They are also 8-5 ATS during this 13 game win streak. The Bruins are coming off a win vs Colorado, 68-54, as a 11.5-point favorite. This is a big game in the PAC-12 standing as the 7-0 Bruins are one game ahead of Arizona State, 6-1. The Sun Devils are 15-3 overall on the season, 6-1 in conference and have won four straight games. They just returned from a two-game road stint in Oregon that saw them beat Oregon, 90-73, as a 5.5-point dog and Oregon State, 74-69, as a 9-point favorite. The Bruins will be without two players tonight. Evan Manjikian is out indefinitely with an arm injury. But the bigger injury is that of Amari Bailey, the talented guard who is having foot issues and is listed as questionable. Arizona State is 8-1 at home and will make a tough opponent tonight for UCLA. This game means a lot for this Arizona State team that is looking for some respect in the PAC-12 and a win here tonight will put them on everyone's radar. Arizona will be led by an excellent defense that ranks 8th in the country in field goal defense. ASU a small home dog here tonight and while I can see them winning outright, I will take the points and look for the cover. Play Arizona State. |
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01-19-23 | Cleveland State +4.5 v. Northern Kentucky | 56-57 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
The Cleveland State Vikings play their third game in a row tonight as they take on Northern Kentucky. The Vikings have won both games on this road trip, beating IUPUI and IUPU Fort Wayne. The latter by a 72-60 mark, as they covered the 5.5-point underdog line. Cleveland State is 6-2 in the conference and in a four way tie for first place in the conference with Youngstown, Milwaukee and Northern Kentucky. Cleveland State had two starters returning to the club this year after a 20-11 mark last year and 15-6 Conference record. They made the NIT and lost in the first round. Northern Kentucky is 11-8 and 6-2 in conference. However, they have not been good to bettors, going 4-13 vs the number and 3-6 ATS at home. They are coming off a win and cover a Wisconsin Green Bay, 74-53, as a 10-point favorite. That makes them 2-8 ATS their last 10 games. The Norse returned four players this year after a 20-12 mark last season and 14-6 Horizon League finish. The Norse made it to the Horizon League Championship game, but lost. It's no wonder they are contending for another Horizon League title with the talent returning this year. However, their poor results at covering spreads concerns me. I will take the points here tonight with Cleveland State. |
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01-17-23 | Clemson v. Wake Forest -2.5 | 77-87 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
The 19th ranked Clemson Tigers hit the road in the ACC for their game at Wake Forest. Clemson is 15-3 S/U and 10-8 ATS this season. The Tigers have won seven straight games, covering six of those in the process. The Tigers lead the ACC with a 7-0 conference record, with Miami at 6-2 in 2nd place and Wake 5-2 in conference. Wake Forest is 13-5 S/U and 10-8 ATS vs the spread. They have won three straight games including last game at Boston College, 85-63, as a 2.5-point favorite. The Demon Deacons have covered five of their last six games. They are also 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games. Should be a great game in the ACC, I'll take the home team to give Clemson their first conference loss. Take Wake Forest. |
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01-17-23 | Baylor +2.5 v. Texas Tech | 81-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Big 12 action here tonight has Baylor taking on Texas Tech. Baylor is 12-5 S/U and 8-9 ATS on the season. Baylor had to endure a three-game losing streak that ended on Jan 11 when they beat West Virginia, 83-78, as a 1.5-point dog. They made it two straight wins by beating Oklahoma State last game, 74-58, as a 7.5-point favorite. Baylor has been a good road team historically, going 34-16-2 ATS their last 52 away games. Texas Tech is 10-7 S/U and 6-11 ATS on the season. The Red Raiders bring a five-game losing streak into this game tonight. They are coming off a loss at Texas, 70-72, as a 8-point dog. That was their only cover in the last five games. They are now 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games vs a team with a winning road record. Going to stick with Baylor here tonight as the Raiders lose their six in a row. Play Baylor. |
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01-17-23 | Alabama v. Vanderbilt +8.5 | 78-66 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
Reason: SEC has Alabama hitting the road tonight to face Vanderbilt. The Alabama Crimson Tide are 15-2 on the season with a 11-6 spread record. Alabama brings a six game win streak into tonight's contest. They are coming off a blowout win over LSU, 106-66, as a 14.5-point favorite. The Tide has also covered five straight games. The 4th ranked Tide don't score 100 point or more often, but when they have they have come out the next game and covered just one of the last six times. Meanwhile, Vanderbilt snapped their two game losing streak with a win last time out over Arkansas, 97-84, as a 3-point dog. That made three covers in a row. The Commodores are 7-3 S/U at home this year, outscoring opponents 73.7 to 65.9 ppg. They are a big home dog here tonight and while the Tide are the better team, the home crowd will be raucous tonight and could fuel an upset win by the Commodores. Play Vanderbilt. |
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01-17-23 | Texas v. Iowa State -2.5 | Top | 67-78 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
Great matchup here tonight between a pair of ranked teams as 7th ranked Texas travels to Iowa State to take on the 12th ranked Cyclones. Texas is 15-2 S/U and 6-11 ATS on the season. The Longhorns have won three straight games after only their second loss of the season to Kansas State back on Jan 3, 103-116, as a 8.5-point favorite. While Texas has a great S/U record they have struggled vs the spread covering just one of their last six games and three of their last 12 games. Iowa State is 13-3 S/U and 11-5 ATS on the season. The 12th ranked Cyclones lost just their third game of the season at Kansas last game, 60-62, as a 7.5-point dog. They have covered five straight games and four of their last five home games. The home team has covered five of the last seven in this series and I will be on that home team here tonight. Play Iowa State. |
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01-17-23 | Tennessee -5.5 v. Mississippi State | 70-59 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
More SEC action tonight has Tennessee hitting the road to take on Mississippi State. 9th ranked Tennessee is 14-3 S/U and 9-8 ATS on the season. The Volunteers look to rebound from just their third loss of the season after dropping a home game to Kentucky, 56-63 as a 11-point favorite. They hit a season low 14.3% from the three-point line in the loss. The Vols usually rebound nicely after a straight-up loss, going 5-1 vs the spread the last six games. Mississippi State is 12-5 S/U and 7-9-1 ATS on the season. The Bulldogs look to snap a two-game losing skid here tonight vs the Vols. They are coming off a loss at Auburn, 63-69, as a 7-point dog. That makes them 1-5 S/U their last six and 2-6 ATS their last eight games. The Dogs are also 4-9 ATS their last 13 home games vs a team with a winning road record. Moreover, they are 3-9-1 ATS their last 13 games overall and 1-7-1 ATS their last nine home games. I'll lay the points here with Tennessee. |
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01-16-23 | Cowboys v. Bucs OVER 45 | 31-14 | Push | 0 | 24 h 40 m | Show | |
Monday Night Football has the Cowboys playing at the Tampa Bay Bucs. For the first time in his career Tom Brady had a losing season with a team. That and the fact that on paper the Cowboys are the better team is why the Bucs are a home dog of a Field goal here on Monday. Yes, you can make many arguments why to back the Cowboys here on Monday. How poorly this Bucs team played this year, how much trouble they had putting points on the board, their last place rushing offense.... and on and on. However, I'm backing the Bucs for one reason and only one reason here on Monday and that reason is TOM BRADY. It's playoff time and that's where Tom shines. And I do expect to see a lot more upempo pace from Brady here on Monday. Brady and this offense has looked stagnant, expect under pressure of late game time clock. I see them doing a lot more no huddle and hurry up here on Monday. And with that I'm taking a shot on the OVER here on Monday Night. |
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01-16-23 | Cowboys v. Bucs +3 | 31-14 | Loss | -120 | 24 h 40 m | Show | |
Monday Night Football has the Cowboys playing at the Tampa Bay Bucs. For the first time in his career Tom Brady had a losing season with a team. That and the fact that on paper the Cowboys are the better team is why the Bucs are a home dog of a Field goal here on Monday. Yes, you can make many arguments why to back the Cowboys here on Monday. How poorly this Bucs team played this year, how much trouble they had putting points on the board, their last place rushing offense.... and on and on. However, I'm backing the Bucs for one reason and only one reason here on Monday and that reason is TOM BRADY. It's playoff time and that's where Tom shines. Now he is a home dog.... I'll take that shot here tonight. Give me the points at home with Tom Brady in the playoffs anytime. Take Tampa Bay tonight. |
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01-16-23 | Hofstra +2.5 v. Towson | 47-68 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 52 m | Show | |
Hofstra Pride returned three starters to this year's edition of their team. They were 21-11 S/U and 13-5 Colonial Conference. The Towson Tigers were 25-9 last year and tied for first in the Colonial Athletic Conference with a 14-4 record. They made the NIT, but lost in the first round. Hofstra is 12-7 this season and 10-8 ATS. They have won four straight games including last time out over Delaware, 86-62, as a 9.5-point favorite. The Price have also covered four straight games and held all four opponents to 62 or fewer points while scoring at least 67 or more in each game. Towson is 9-9 S/U and 8-10 ATS this season. The Tigers rebounded from their loss to Delaware on the 11th with a win over Monmouth on Saturday, 64-48, as a 18-point favorite. The Tigers are now 3-5 ATS in their last eight games. Hofstra getting points here today and I think they should be the favorite. I'll take Hofstra. |
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01-15-23 | Ravens v. Bengals -8.5 | 17-24 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 19 m | Show | |
If you look strictly at the best covering teams in the NFL this year, then you need look no further than the Bengals. They were 11-4 on the season vs the spread and only the Giants had a better spread covering percentage. Can't say the same for the Ravens who where just 7-9 vs the number. The Ravens closed out their season with a loss to the Bengals on the road, 16-27, but covered the 12-point dog line. That makes six games in a row they have scored more than 17 points. Most of that is due to Lamar Jackson being out of the lineup. Right now it's a question if Jackson will be able to play this week. If he doesn't it could get ugly for the Ravens offense. Baltimore finished 16th in total offense while Cincinnati was 8th (4th in passing). The Bengals have been very good at home, going 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. They are also 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 games on field turf. I like the Bengals here on Sunday, especially if Jackson isn't in the lineup again. Play Cincinnati. |
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01-15-23 | Giants +3 v. Vikings | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 20 h 44 m | Show | |
The NY Giants covered their fourth straight game and six of their last seven after losing to Philadelphia in the regular season finale, 16-22, as a 16.5-point dog. The Giants offense was mediocre all season, finishing 19th overall though 5th in rushing. The Vikings were 7th ranked on offense, 28th rushing and 6th passing. The Giants defense ranks 25th while the Vikings are 31st. This will be the first time in six years that the Giants will have made the postseason. These teams met just three weeks in Minnesota with the Vikings winning a close game, 27-24. The Vikings closed out their regular season with a win over the Bears, 29-13, covering the 6.5-point line. That cover snapped a four game spread losing streak. The Giants have covered their last four road games and are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 playoff road games. The Vikings are just 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 vs the NFC. The road team has covered nine of the last 13 in this series and I'll be on the road team here today. Play the Giants. |
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01-15-23 | Maryland +5.5 v. Iowa | 67-81 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
Big 10 Action here on Sunday has Maryland playing at Iowa. The Terrapins look to improve on last year's 15-17 record and 7-13 Big 10 mark returning two starters to the team. Maryland is 11-5 S/U and 10-6 ATS on the season. They snapped a two-game losing streak with a win over Ohio State last game, 80-73, as a 1.5-point favorite. Maryland has had the last week off so they are plenty rested for today's contest. This team has one of the most experienced teams in the nation with 3.1 years of experience on the entire roster. The Iowa Hawkeyes are 11-6 S/U and 10-7 ATS on the season. After losing three straight games, two in conference, the Hawkeyes have won three straight in conference. They are coming off a win over Michigan, 93-84, as a 5.5-point favorite. Iowa returned three starters to a team that was 26-10 last year and 12-8 in conference. They lost in the NCAA first round. The Terps are getting 5.5-points here today. I'll take the dog in this one. Play Maryland. |
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01-15-23 | Dolphins v. Bills -13.5 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 8 m | Show |
The Miami Dolphins make the trip North to take on the Buffalo Bills. The Dolphins just did get into the postseason with their close win over the Jets in the final week. These teams split the two regular season games. The Dolphins beat the Bills back in Week 3 in Miami, 21-19. covering the four-point dog line. They lost on Dec 17 at Buffalo, 29-32, as a 7-point dog. There is a possibility that they could get Tua Tagovailoa back this week after he's missed time with a concussion. The Dolphins look for the huge upset against a Bills team that has won seven straight games. Buffalo has the 2nd ranked offense and the fourth ranked defense in the NFL. They also have the best point differential in the league at +10.6. Meanwhile, the Dolphins defense didn't do well down the stretch, allowing five of the final six opponents to score at least 23 points. Their defense has dropped to 18th in the NFL. The Dolphins are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games on turf and 0-4 ATS in their last four playoff games. Buffalo is 7-3-1 ATS their last 11 at home vs the Dolphins and have won the last six straight up. The Dolphins have not found an answer for Bills QB Josh Allen who has torched them. In his 10 games vs the Dolphins he as 27 TD's and 5 INT's. At home, Allen has a +16.6 average margin of victory over the Dolphins. I'm taking the Bills here on Sunday as my Wild Card Game of the Year. |
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01-15-23 | Northwestern +4.5 v. Michigan | 78-85 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 19 m | Show | |
Northwestern Wildcats look to rebound from their 4th loss of the season on Wednesday vs Rutgers, 62-65, as a 1-point dog. The Cats are 12-4 S/U and 9-7 ATS on the season. This will only be their fourth road game, but they are a perfect 3-0 S/U and ATS away this season and outscoring opponents by a 76.3 to 69.7 margin. There was much optimism for Northwestern this year as they returned four starters to this team. This team lost a lot of close games last year and looked to change that this season. They are 2-2 S/U and ATS so far in the Big 10 this year. The Michigan Wolverines are just 9-7 and look to snap a 2-game losing streak after their most recent setback at Iowa, 84-83, as a 5.5-point dog. The Wolverines are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games vs a team with a winning road record. I see Northwestern as the better team and with them getting points here today I'll take them. Play Northwestern. |
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01-14-23 | Chargers v. Jaguars +2.5 | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 35 h 58 m | Show | |
This playoff game will feature two of the young, emerging QB's in the NFL with Justin Herbert for the Chargers taking on Trevor Lawrence of the Jags. The Jaguars had an incredible run this season just to make the playoffs. HC Doug Peterson has done a great job with this team after the debacle left by Urban Meyer. Jacksonville was 4-8 at one juncture of the season and was already looking toward the NFL draft. However, five straight wins later they took control of the AFC South. And, for the first time since 2018, they will host a playoff game. Also look for the Jags to take advantage of a poor Chargers rush defense that allows 145.8 ppg this year. Also, I'm not a fan of Chargers HC Staley. I feel he's made some bad coaching decisions and this is one intangible that goes to the Jags. I'm looking for Jacksonville to control the ball on the ground and keep Herbert and his receivers off the field. I'll take the Jags at home here in week one of the playoffs. |
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01-14-23 | Seahawks v. 49ers OVER 42 | 23-41 | Win | 100 | 31 h 18 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks are all Lions fans today after they backed their way into the Playoffs when the Lions went into Lambeau field and beat the Green Bay Packers. If I had a vote, Dan Campbell of the lions would get NFL Coach of the Year. The 9-8 Seahawks don't have to travel far as they play the 13-4 49ers. The Seahawks (9-8) are the No 7 seed in the playoffs. These teams have met two times this year with the 49ers taking both games. The 49ers have been on a roll, winning 10 straight games. The Niners lost both their 1 and 2 QB's when Trey Lance and Jimmy Garoppolo both when down with injuries. However, Rookie Brock Purdy has been excellent in the role of QB with 13 TD's and just three INT's. The 49ers backbone is their defense, with the top ranked defense. They also allow just 16.3 ppg (tops in the NFL) and have held the Seahawks to just 20 points total in both games this year. While the under seems the logical choice here, I'm actually going against that. The Seaahawks have gone over in their last five playoff road games. The 49ers have gone over their last four hme games and 5-1 Ov/Un in five of their last six overall games. I'll take the OVER here today. |
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01-14-23 | Seahawks v. 49ers -9.5 | 23-41 | Win | 100 | 31 h 17 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks are all Lions fans today after they backed their way into the Playoffs when the Lions went into Lambeau field and beat the Green Bay Packers. If I had a vote, Dan Campbell of the lions would get NFL Coach of the Year. The 9-8 Seahawks don't have to travel far as they play the 13-4 49ers. The Seahawks (9-8) are the No 7 seed in the playoffs. These teams have met two times this year with the 49ers taking both games. The 49ers have been on a roll, winning 10 straight games. The Niners lost both their 1 and 2 QB's when Trey Lance and Jimmy Garoppolo both when down with injuries. However, Rookie Brock Purdy has been excellent in the role of QB with 13 TD's and just three INT's. The 49ers backbone is their defense, with the top ranked defense. They also allow just 16.3 ppg (tops in the NFL) and have held the Seahawks to just 20 points total in both games this year. I don't see any problem here today for the 49ers. Take San Francisco. |
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01-14-23 | Fordham +1.5 v. La Salle | 66-64 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
The Fordham Rams look to improve on their 13-4 record as they head to La Salle today. The Rams have stumbled a bit of late, going 1-3 in their last four games including losing last time out to Dayton, 58-82, as a 7.5-point dog. The Rams were 16-16 last year and 8-10 in the Atlantic 10 as they return three starters to this year's team. This team is based on defense as they have in the past. They have allowed 67.9 ppg this season while scoring 72.5 ppg. The La Salle Explorers have won two straight games, covering both. Still, the team is just 3-4 over their last seven games. La Salle is just 5-2 S/U and 4-3 ATS at home this year and about even in scoring with a 70.9-70.4 average. La Salle did pick up a big win in their last game at U Mass, 78-77, as a 9-point dog. These teams are pretty evenly matched but my numbers favor the dog in this matchup. Take Fordham. |
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01-14-23 | Wisconsin +4.5 v. Indiana | 45-63 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Big 10 action here on Saturday has Wisconsin taking on Indiana from Bloomington. Wisconsin is 11-4 S/U and 8-7 ATS on the season. They have lost their last two games, both in conference to Illinois and then last game to Michigan State, 65-69, as a 1.5-point dog. The Badgers returned three starters to a team that was 25-8 S/U and 15-5 in the Big 10 last season. The Badgers lost in the 2nd round of the NCAA tournament. Wisconsin was the king of close games last year, winning 12 straight games that were decided by five points or fewer. They are 5-3 this year in games decided by 5 point or fewer. Indiana is 10-6 S/U and 6-9-1 ATS this season. The Hoosiers look to snap a three-game losing streak after they dropped games at Iowa, vs Northwestern and last game at Penn State, 66-85, as a 2-point dog. They have also failed to cover the spread in seven straight games. I'll take the points here today with Wisconsin. |
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01-14-23 | West Virginia +4.5 v. Oklahoma | 76-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
A pair of 10-6 Big 12 teams meet here today as West Virginia takes on Oklahoma. The WV Mountaineers had just one player return this year to a team that was 16-17 last year and 4-14 in the Big 12. West Virginia has lost all four of their Big 12 games, but three of those losses where by single digits and an OT loss to Kansas State. Oklahoma would like to forget their start to the season, losing to Sam Houston State as a 16-point favorite. They have just one Big 12 win and that was over Texas Tech last Saturday in OT. Oklahoma has lost three of its last four games including last time out to Kansas, 75-79, as a 10.5 point dog. Both teams struggling in conference play. But I'll take the dog in this one with West Virginia and not be surprised by a straight up win. |
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01-14-23 | Kentucky +12 v. Tennessee | 63-56 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Kentucky looks to improve to 11 wins as they hit the road to take on the Tennessee Volunteers today. The Wildcats are 10-6 S/U and 4-12 ATS on the season. They look to snap a two game losing streak here today after dropping a pair of conference games to Alabama and then last time out to South Carolina, 68-71. The Wildcats were 26-8 last year and finished second in the SEC with a 14-4 mark. They lost in the first round of the NCAA tournament. HC John Calipari usually has great defensive teams that has been his key to success. Last year this team was 98th in defense and that was due to shot blockers in the middle. Calipari's teams are usually near the top in shot blocking and this year they look to return to that echelon. Tennessee is 14-2 S/U and 9-7 ATS this season. They have won five straight games including last game over Vandy, 77-68, as a 16.5-point favorite. The Vols are 3-4 ATS in their last seven. Kentucky getting double digits here today. I'll take a Calipari team with this many points. Play Kentucky. |
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01-14-23 | Miami-FL +4 v. NC State | 81-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
A pair of ACC teams that are having a fine season meet today as Miami Florida takes on North Carolina State. The Miami Hurricanes are 14-2 S/U and 9-7 ATS on the year. The Canes rebounded from only their second loss this year at Georgia Tech, 70-76, as a 6.5-point favorite with a win over Boston College, 88-72, as a 11-point favorite. The Canes are 3-1 S/U and ATS on the road and outscoring their opponents by a 73-64.5 ppg average. Miami only returned 2 starters to a team that was 26-11 last year and 4th in the ACC with a 14-6 record. They lost in the NCAA Elite 8 with a nice run. NC State is 13-4 S/U and 8-7-2 ATS on the season. The Wolfpack have won two straight games both S/U and ATS. They are 8-1 S/U at home but just 4-4-1 vs the spread. They returned three starters to a team that was 11-21 last year and 4-16 in the ACC. Miami is 20-7 ATS in their last 27 road games vs a team with a winning home record. The Pack are only 6-23 ATS in their last 29 Saturday games. Miami is a very good team and getting some points here today. I'll take the Hurricanes. Play Miami. |
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01-13-23 | Rockets v. Kings -9.5 | 114-139 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
The Houston Rockets make the trip to Sacramento tonight to face the Kings. The Rockets are 10-31 S/U and 16-22-3 ATS on the year. They have lost eight straight games since their last win on Dec 26th over Chicago, 133-118. They are also just 1-7 ATS their last eight games. Meanwhile the Sacramento Kings are having a decent season with a 22-18 S/U and 23-17 ATS mark. They are 1st place in the Western Conference Pacific Division. They have won two straight games both S/U and ATS including last time out against these Rockets, 135-115 as a 9-point favorite. Back-to-back spot here tonight in Sacramento and I don't see any other outcome than the first time these teams met on Wednesday. Your free play is on the Kings. |
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01-12-23 | Utah +12.5 v. UCLA | 49-68 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
PAC-12 clash here late tonight has Utah playing at UCLA. The Utah Utes are 12-5 S/U and 10-7 ATS on the season. The Utes had their three-game win streak snapped last game by Oregon, 60-70, as a 4.5-point favorite. They are 3-1 S/U and ATS on the road and outscoring opponents by a 65.5 to 62.3 margin. They are also 4-1 S/U and ATS in the PAC-12 thus far. UCLA is 14-2 S/U and 9-7 ATS on the season. They have won 10 straight games and are 5-5 ATS during that span. The Bruins are coming off a win over USC, 60-58, but failed to cover the 11-point line. The Bruins are 9-0 S/U at home but just 5-4 vs the spread. They are also 1-4 ATS in their last five home games. A lot of points for the Bruins to by laying here tonight. I like Utah to stay close in this one. Play Utah. |
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01-12-23 | Pepperdine +2.5 v. San Diego | 89-92 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
West Coast Conference clash here late on the Thursday schedule has Pepperdine (7-10 S/U, 5-10 ATS) traveling South to play San Diego (8-10 S/U, 5-11 ATS). The Pepperdine Waves look to snap a four-game losing streak here tonight. They are coming off a loss vs Pacific, 75-80, as a 7.5-point favorite. The San Diego Toreros look to snap a 2-game losing streak here tonight. They are coming off a loss to BYU, 48-68, as a 5-point home dog. They shot jus 31.6% in that loss to the Cougars and 13% from three-point arc. The Toreros are just 3-6 ATS in their nine home games and 7-18-1 ATS their last 26 overall games. The road team is 9-4 ATS the last 13 meetings between these teams. I'll take a shot here tonight plus the points with that road team. Play Pepperdine. |
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01-11-23 | TCU +6.5 v. Texas | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
TCU and Texas both come into tonight's contest with 13 wins each and just two losses. The TCU Horned Frogs are 8-6-1 vs the spread. The Horned Frogs are coming off a home loss to Iowa State, 67-69, as a 5.5-point favorite. They had 18 turnovers in that game and missed 12 free throws, hitting jus 57.1% from the charity stripe. TCU allows just 63.5 ppg this season while scoring 79 ppg. They are also 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 road games vs a team with a winning home record. In addition, they are 21-8-1 ATS their last 30 road games. Texas rebounded from their loss to Kansas State last Tuesday with a win over Oklahoma State, 56-46 as a 3-point favorite. Texas ranks in the top 20 in both offensive and defensive efficiency. They have to recover from losing HC Chris Beard who was fired over alleged domestic violence charges. The Longhorns average 82.3 ppg and will give the TCU defense one of their best tests this season. This should be a great game between two very good teams. I'm going to take TCU here tonight plus the points with their very good defense. |
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01-11-23 | Florida State +8.5 v. Wake Forest | 75-90 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
ACC Action here tonight has Florida State taking on Wake Forest. The Seminoles have had a tough time thus far, going 5-11 S/U and 7-9 ATS. They started the season real bad, going 1-9 through the first 10 games. Since then they are 4-2 S/U and ATS. They are coming off a win over Georgia Tech, 75-64, as a 2.5-point home favorite. FSU only had one returning starter to a team that was 17-14 last year and 10-10 in the ACC. So it could have taken time for the new players to come together as they have lately. Wake Forest is 11-5 and 8-8 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Louisville, 80-72, as a 9.5-point favorite. They have struggled a bit of late, going 4-4 S/U and 3-5 ATS their last eight games. FSU getting decent points here today and they are improving. I'll take the shot with the dog in this one. Play Florida State. |
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01-11-23 | Virginia Tech v. Syracuse +3.5 | 72-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
ACC battle here as Syracuse hosts Virginia Tech. The Va Tech Hokies are 11-5 but bring a four game S/U and ATS losing streak into tonight's contest. The Hokies are coming off a loss vs NC State, 69-73, as a 5.5-point favorite. Not a good start to conference play for the Hokies as they have lost three straight. They haven't played well on the road either, going 7-19-1 ATS their last 27 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Syracuse is 10-6 S/U on the season and coming off a loss at Virginia, 66-73, as a 13-point dog. The Orange return home where they are 7-3 S/U and 6-4 vs the spread this season. The home team has covered five of the last seven in this series. The way Tech is playing of late and especially on the road, I'll take Syracuse here tonight. |
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01-10-23 | Dayton v. Fordham +7.5 | Top | 82-58 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
Atlantic 10 matchup here has the 11-5 Dayton Flyers taking on the surprising 13-3 Fordham Rams tonight. Dayton is 3-0 in conference play after their win over St Joseph's, 75-56, as a 14-point favorite. They have also covered six straight games since their crushing loss at Virginia Tech on Dec 7, 49-77, as a 6.5-point dog. Meanwhile, Fordham is coming off a win over St Joe's, 66-54, as a 4-point favorite. That win snapped a two game losing streak for the Rams which included losses to Rhode Island and Davidson. Dayton shoots pretty poorly on the raod at just 36.4% and average just 56.7 ppg. Difficult to cover mid-size spread when you don't shoot well or score well on the road. I'll take the points here at home with Fordham. |
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01-10-23 | Florida v. LSU +1.5 | 67-56 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
SEC action tonight has Florida hitting the road at LSU. The Florida Gators are 8-7 S/U and 6-9 ATS on the season. The Gators are coming off a win over Georgia, 82-75, but failed to cover the 8.5-point chalk line. That makes Florida, 1-3 S/U their last four games and 4-7 ATS their last 11 vs the number. The win over Georgia was their first SEC win vs two losses. LSU was 12-1 to start the season before losing its last two games including last game at Texas A&M, 56-69. LSU has had an easy non-conference schedule, however they did have a quality win over a very good Arkansas team 60-57 at home as a 4-point dog. With the line basically a pick'em, I like LSU on their home floor. Play LSU. |
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01-09-23 | TCU +13 v. Georgia | 7-65 | Loss | -110 | 106 h 55 m | Show | |
College Football Championship game here has TCU a big dog to defending Champion Georgia. Georgia really could not be here if the Ohio State kicker made that last second 50-yard Field Goal. Ohio State truly deserved to be here as much as Georgia as they led a lot of the way in that semi-final game. Yet, Georgia survived that missed field goal and here they are. TCU surprised everyone with a dominating performance over Michigan. TCU will have to contend with a Georgia team, though torched by Ohio State, still ranks 5th in the nation in scoring defense. TCU is no slouch though, ranking 5th in the nation in scoring defense (14.8 ppg). They also rank fifth in the FBS in scoring (41.1 ppg). Both teams you can make an argument for. But for me, I have to take these points with TCU. They have a great defense and offense and can stay with Georgia tonight, just as they did with Michigan. Take the points here with TCU. |
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01-08-23 | Houston v. Cincinnati +10 | 72-59 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
The No Houston Cougars would like to get back to the top spot but they have to play here at Cincinnati today. The Cougars have won six straight games after their last win over SMU on Thursday, 87-53. No 1 Purdue lost earlier this week so they could get back that top spot with a win here today. Houston leads the nation in offensive rebounds and it showed in their win over SMU as they held a 21-7 advantage on the offensive glass. A win here today by Cincinnati and that would do wonders for their resume. The Bearcats have won eight of their last 10 games and five of the last six. They have also covered the spread in nine of the last 10 games including eight straight covers at home. Cincy a big home dog here today and I will look for them to stay close and get inside that big number. Play Cincinnati. |
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01-08-23 | Jets v. Dolphins UNDER 37 | 6-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
For one of these teams they will snap a five game losing streak, the other will finish with six straight losses to end the season. The Jets looked like a team heading for the playoffs until this run of five loss and now they can only play for pride. The Dolphins still have a shot at the playoffs, but need a win coupled with a Patriots loss or tie to the Bills. The Dolphins lost at New England last week, 21-23. Teddy Bridgewater has taken over at QB for injured Tua Tagovailoa. With Tua. Bridgewater was solid, but dislocated his pinky finger and had to be replaced by Skylar Thompson. Still unsure if Bridgewater will go today or back to Thompson. Joe Flacco will start for the Jets with Zach Wilson a huge disappointment in New York. The Jest will also be without three starting offensive linemen today. I don't see the Jets rolling over here today, but do they have the offensive weapons or line for that matter? What I expect is a defense to come out fired-up and ready to play. With Thompson at QB for the Dolphins I don't see a lot of points on that side of the ball either. I'll take this game UNDER. |
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01-08-23 | Browns v. Steelers UNDER 40.5 | 14-28 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
A big AFC North game here on Sunday has the Browns playing at the Steelers. The Browns have been eliminated from the playoffs but look to play spoiler and keep the Steelers home too. The Browns did it last week, beating Washington and eliminating them from the playoffs. The Browns have lots of injuries though, especially on the offensive side of the ball so points might be difficult today for Cleveland. The Steelers have won three straight games and five of their last six. The Steelers have the best rushing defense in the league and will look to stop the Browns potent rushing attack. The Steelers offense has struggled though as QB Kenny Pickett has more INT's then TD's. Either way this game goes, I expect a low scoring contest here today. Play the UNDER. |
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01-08-23 | Bucs v. Falcons -3.5 | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay Bucs are 8-8 on the season and just 3-4 on the road as they head to Atlanta for this AFC South contest. The Bucs beat the Panthers last week, 30-24 while the Falcons beat the Cardinals, 20-19. The Bucs QB Tom Brady has never lost to the Falcons and who can forget that NFL Super Bowl combeack he led when with the Patriots. The Bucs are the 4th seed in the playoffs. HC Todd Bowles said he will play the starters here today. Though have to wonder how long Brady will be in the game. Should he come out Blaine Gabbert would take over. The Bucs average just 18.5 ppgs this season and are last in rushing. The Falcons have lost six of their last eight and play for pride here today. Desmond Ridder will make his fourth pro start today. The Bucs already have offensive line issues so with that I don't expect Brady to be in this game a long time. The Bucs are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games. I have to believe this game means more to the Falcons then the Bucs. Play Atlanta. |
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01-08-23 | Vikings v. Bears +7.5 | 29-13 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Final week of the season and the Bears only can look to break a nine game losing streak here today at Soldier Field. As for the Vikings they are still playing for position in the NFC playoff picture. The Bears got clobbered last week by the Lions, 10-41 for their ninth straight loss. The Vikings are also coming off a loss last week as the Packers pounded them, 17-41. The Bears will be without QB Justin Fields who will sit out with various injuries today. Nathan Peterman will get the start. A lot of Bears younger players will try to impress for better roles next season with this team or another team. The Vikings looked like one of the best after nine weeks, going 8-1. Then Dallas beat them badly, 3-40. Since then, they are just 4-3. The Vikings have the division won, but a win today could improve their playoff position. I believe the Vikings will do just enough to win here today, but not be able to cover this big line. Play Chicago. |
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01-07-23 | Titans +7 v. Jaguars | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 7 h 0 m | Show | |
The AFC South title is on the line as the final week of the regular season begins here on Saturday with a pair of games. The Titans can salvage a bad finish to the season with a win here and playoff berth, while the Jaguars are looking to win five straight. The Jaguars have a one-game lead over the Titans with their 8-8 mark and the Titans 7-9. A Tennessee win and they would take the division because of their better AFC South record. A Jags loss and they could still make the playoffs, but they need help with losses by the Pats, Dolphins and Steelers. With Ryan Tannehill out at QB for the Titans, Mike Vrabel will start Joshua Dobbs over his rookie backup. Dobbs will be making only his second start of his six season NFL career. But I like this move from Vrable as Dobbs is highly intelligent, though lacking starter experience. The only issue is that Dobbs has only been with the team a few weeks. What I also like about this spot is that Vrable has had two weeks to prepare for this game with the Titans off last week. The Pressure is on the Jags today as they are a pretty big favorite. The Jags have done well as a dog, but as much as the chalk. In all likelihood a Jax loss puts them out of the playoffs. Vrable also had done great with teams in the dog role, covering at a very high rate. Plus add the fact that RB Derrick Henry is healthy for this game and I believe the Titans have a great shot here today to win. But lets take the points anyways. Play Tennessee. |
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01-07-23 | Chiefs v. Raiders +9.5 | Top | 31-13 | Loss | -114 | 31 h 36 m | Show |
The Kansas City Chiefs will have all hands on deck here on Sunday as a win will give them the AFC best record and home field throughout the playoffs. The Raiders season is done, QB Derek Carr likely done with the Raiders as Jarrett Stidham makes his second straight start here today. Stidham did well vs the NFL's top defense last week with both his arm and legs, but the Raiders came up just short at home. Stidham passed for 365 yards in that loss. Another potential big loss is that of AFC leading rusher Josh Jacobs. While Jacobs has some nagging injuries, it's a personal issue that may keep him out today. These teams last met back in week 5 and the Raiders comeback fell just short in the loss at KC, 29-30. Jacobs rushed for 154 yards in that contest. KC qb Patrick Mahomes has dominated the Raiders, going 8-1 in career with 26 TD's and just three INT's. The Vegas defense is 29th in the league so look for Mahomes to torch them again here on Saturday. Chiefs should win here today, but can they cover the big spread? I look for the Raiders with Stidham to at least stay inside the number as the KC starters might be pulled if they get up by double digits in this game. No pressure on the Raiders also, and that also helps. I'll take Vegas here on Saturday. |