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Joseph D'Amico WNBA Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
07-09-26 Storm +10.5 v. Dream 78-89 Loss -105 9 h 30 m Show

Seattle Storm.

Guys, I know the WNBA can be a little “tricky “. But I really don’t understand why Atlanta is laying this much wood in this matchup. Seattle has taken the only meeting this season back at the end of June at home, 105-90. As a matter of fact, they’ve taken the last two meetings, and overall, six of the last 10 matchups with Atlanta. Yes, this team leaves a lot to be desired, particularly on the road where they are just 2-9 straight up. But they are pretty decent at shooting beyond the arc, are excellent from the free-throw line, and defensively, are pretty darn stout, ranking sixth in the league, and yielding just 85.0 PPG. Not only that, they also rank third in field goal percentage allowed and first in three-point percentage allowed. Yes, I understand the Atlanta Dream are 12-9. But this team is spiraling. They have lost five in a row SU, and have failed to cover their last six outings. While they themselves own a pretty decent defense, and they’re pretty good on the defensive glasses as well, I just don’t see them laying this type of wood. I don’t feel the disparity in their standings warrant nearly a double-digit line here. Take the Seattle Storm. Thank you.

06-26-26 Mystics -4 v. Sun 57-68 Loss -115 9 h 53 m Show

Washington Mystics.

Not only is Washington starting to heat up, they are a very good road team. The Mystics have won and covered three of their last four games, all wins and covers on the road. They are also overall a good away team, going 6-4 as a visitor this season. They just took down the Sun on June 17 on this very same court, 88-81. That was in the middle of a Connecticut losing streak in which they dropped seven straight games straight up, failing to cover four of those seven. This is a team that struggles at home, going just 2-7 straight up on their own court this season. I feel they are at a big disadvantage on the boards here, and just can’t keep pace offensively against a very stout defense. Take the Washington Mystics. Thank you.

06-21-26 Liberty -5 v. Sparks 97-98 Loss -110 10 h 41 m Show

New York Liberty.

Laying points on the road in any sport is always shaky. But I don’t feel that is the case in this situation here as New York travels to Los Angeles to take on a heated and hated rival. The Liberty were riding an eight-game straight up win streak before Friday night’s embarrassing home loss against Washington, 86-83, a game in which they were favored by 12.5-points. I look for this team to come back and make a statement here against an opponent they certainly do not like. Please remember the NY is one of the best road teams in the WNBA, going 5-1 away from home this season. L.A. is inconsistent at best. Not only that, but they are just 2-6 SU at home, and have only covered five of 15 overall outings this season. They are a big disappointment thus far, coming off back-to-back SU/ATS losses. While playing on their own court, things have not benefited this team as they have lost and failed to cover four of their last five games when playing host. To add fuel to the New York fire, they dominate Los Angeles, taking eight of the last 10 matchups SU. Not one of those victories have come by less than the pointspread they are laying here today. They score more, allow less, and will absolutely dominate on the boards here. Take the New York Liberty. Thank you.

06-19-26 Lynx -145 v. Golden State Valkyries 81-75 Win 100 12 h 53 m Show

Minnesota Lynx in the MoneyLine.

Very quietly, Minnesota owns the best overall record in the WNBA at 12-3. They’re equally good on the road as they are at home, going 6-1 as a visitor this season. As a matter of fact, they have covered all seven games played away from home in 2026, thus far. To say they have dominated the Golden State Valkyries would be an understatement. They took the only matchup this season at home back at the beginning of June, 87-84. That victory gave him their seventh consecutive win in this rivalry going back to June 2025. They are currently riding a 10-1 straight up hot streak in which they’ve covered nine of those 11 contests. This team is for real, my friends, topping the league in scoring, and ranking second in defensive points allowed. In just about every major category on both sides of the court, they rank in the top few in the WNBA. Golden State is playing some good basketball, possessing an overall record of 10-5. They do tend to be overvalued as they are just 8-7 ATS this season. They are on their own hot run, winning four in a row. But only covering the last two games. Prior to that, they failed to cover five of their previous seven outings. This is a good team. But they just don’t measure up offensively here. On defense, they are one of the best teams in the league in points allowed. But one place they certainly are going to be overmatched is on the boards. They rank ninth on the offensive glass and 11th on the defensive glass. That is where this game will be won. Oh, one more item, they are one of the worst teams in the WNBA at defending the arc, and they are facing an offense that’s hitting 39% from downtown, which ranks them #1 in the league. Take Minnesota. Thank you.

06-17-26 Aces -7 v. Mercury 86-76 Win 100 12 h 48 m Show

Las Vegas Aces.

The defending WNBA champions, are once again, proving that they are a force to be reckoned with. The Aces sit in second place in the Western Conference at 10-4, tied for the second-best overall record in the league. However, following a six-game straight up winning streak in which they went 4-2 against the spread, they were absolutely humiliated on Monday on the road at the Dallas Wings, 96-66. In the season opener back on May 9 at home against Phoenix, Las Vegas was humiliated back then as well, 99-66. They then went on a four-game run in which they shredded all comers. This is a very prideful team that does not take losing lightly, particularly an embarrassing defeat. I feel they will come back strong here today with one of the best offenses in the WNBA, and redeem themselves against a lesser opponent. Prior to the season opening loss against the Mercury, this team had taken seven consecutive matchups with this opponent, covering six of those seven meetings. Meanwhile, Phoenix is now riding a three-game straight up losing streak in which they have failed to cover their last two contests. This is a team that has just one victory at home this season, and seems to be in real trouble. There is no way the Aces will allow them to put up a good showing as they did in their earlier matchup. This is one of the poorest scoring offenses in the league, and one of the worst defenses as well. I look for Las Vegas to dominate them at both ends of the court, and devour them on the glass. Take the Aces. Thank you.

06-13-26 Wings -6 v. Portland Fire 83-84 Loss -110 10 h 57 m Show

Dallas Wings.

Not only is Dallas winning, they are covering as well. This is a team that is 8-4 overall on the season, and has also covered eight of their 12 contests thus far. They come into this game running hot, winning and covering five of their last six, and seven of their last nine overall outings. With a combination of an outstanding offense, and a swarming defense, I feel they will frustrate the Portland Fire pretty badly here. Speaking of which, Portland is just 6-8 overall, and have been overvalued, covering just five of their 14 games this season. They come into today’s game ice cold, losing and failing to cover four consecutive outings. Funny thing, though folks, their last three opponents, Las Vegas, Los Angeles, and Phoenix, they have lost by 16, 15, and six-points. These three teams have all recently been beaten by the Wings, as they took down the Mercury by 15, the Sparks by eight, and the Aces also by eight. The Fire, ironically enough possess some of the coldest numbers in the league. They rank 12th in scoring and 10th on defense. This is a mismatch. Take the Dallas Wings. Thank you.

06-12-26 Toronto Tempo +2.5 v. Mystics 85-86 Win 100 9 h 55 m Show

Toronto Tempo.

Toronto comes into this matchup winning two straight games against Chicago and Connecticut. Just in the last few weeks, they’ve won for their last five overall outings against them solid competition. Yes, they did drop the only meeting against Washington this season, back on May 8 at home, 68-65. However, the Mystics are having some issues. They have dropped two in a row and six of their last nine overall contests. I believe this team, who has not taken the court since the June 8, is being overvalued here. On their 13-player roster, just two players are not either rookies or in their second year in the League. They don’t have the overall experience, and certainly have not meshed yet. The visiting team will come in here, with rhythm, having taken the court just two nights ago. I believe the time off will hurt the home team here. Very surprisingly, the Tempo ranks in the top-10 in just about every major offensive category. And although the Mystics are good on defense, I just feel overall, Toronto is a better team, riding momentum. Giving them points as a mistake. Take the Tempo. Thank you.

06-01-26 Lynx -160 v. Mercury 111-77 Win 100 12 h 58 m Show

Minnesota Lynx on the Moneyline.

Very quietly, the Minnesota Lynx possess the best overall record in the WNBA 6-2. Not only are they winning, they are covering as well. They have covered seven of their eight outings this season, and are a perfect 4-0 as a road team, both straight up and against the spread. They took down the Phoenix Mercury in the only meeting thus far this season back on May 12 on the road, 88-84. They were an underdog in that game of 5.5-points. But since that a lot of things have gone from bad to worse for the the Mercury. As a matter of fact, they one of the worst teams in the league at 2-7 straight up, and only covering three of their nine outings. They are a horrible 1-3 at home this season, and are riding an overall five-game, straight up losing streak in which they’ve only covered one of those five contests. Looking at the statistics, Minnesota scores more and allows less. They are much better on the boards. As a matter of fact, they top the WNBA on the offensive glass and ranked third in defensive points allowed. That’s a combination that will produce wins. Take the Lynx on the moneyline. Thank you.

05-24-26 Mystics -4.5 v. Storm 85-97 Loss -110 8 h 43 m Show

Washington, Mystics.

It may be just the beginning of the WNBA regular season. However, things are starting to take shape. Remember one thing, my friends, sportsbetting is not about who wins. Sportsbetting is about who covers. And right now, the Washington Mystics are covering, going 3-1 ATS this season. They have also covered five straight meetings with the Seattle Storm, including both matchups played on the road during that span. I believe the Storm which are just 1-2 straight up at home this season, are in for a long season. I believe they’re in trouble today. These two teams have already played two common opponents in Toronto and Indiana. The Tempo took down the Storm on May 13, 86-73. The Fever took down the Storm on May 17, 89-78. Meanwhile, Washington had their way with both teams, besting Toronto on May 8, 68-65, and Indiana on May 15, 104-102. I see a pattern emerging here. By the way, going back a bit, the Mystics have covered six of their last eight overall outings. This is about who covers, and this team covers. Take the Mystics. Thank you.

05-23-26 Lynx -125 v. Sky 85-75 Win 100 3 h 35 m Show

Minnesota Lynx MONEYLINE.

They say revenge is a dish best served cold. Minnesota, on this very same court lost to Chicago six days ago, 86-79. Prior to that, the Lynx took down the Sky in the two previous meetings, and going back a bit, six of the last seven matchups. They are a perfect 2-0, both straight up and against the spread as a visitor this season, while the home team has yet to be victorious on their own court. By the way, Minnesota has covered four of five games on the campaign. I feel this is a good situation for them to exact some revenge. Take the Lynx. Thank you.

05-18-26 Mystics +4 v. Wings 69-92 Loss -110 9 h 6 m Show

Mystics.

The Washington Mystics are 2-1 SU this season, but have covered all three contests thus far. They have also done quite well in this rivalry winning five of the last six matchups SU, and going 4-2 ATS during that span. They have already covered both games played on the road thus far against some very good opponents. Meanwhile, Dallas is 1-2, both SU and ATS, and are riding a two-game slide (SU and ATS). I just don’t see why this team is this high of a favorite against an opponent that is winning on the road and has played them very tough historically. Take the Mystics. Thank you.

05-17-26 Sky v. Lynx -4.5 86-79 Loss -110 9 h 51 m Show

Lynx.

Minnesota is playing at home in front of their loyal fans for the first time since their season-opening heartbreaking loss to Atlanta, 91-90. Since then, this team has rattled off back-to-back straight up victories. But one thing for us specifically, they have covered all three outings this season. Chicago has covered two of three this season already. But I feel they don’t match up well here. The Lynx have dominated this rivalry taking two in a row and six of the last seven matchups. I am fully aware they lost a few key players to free agency and the WNBA expansion draft during the off-season. However, this team is on a mission to prove that they are an elite team in this league. I feel this is the matchup that they have circled because it is the first time this season they are favored. Take Minnesota. Thank you.

05-17-26 Toronto Tempo +8 v. Sparks 106-96 Win 100 9 h 41 m Show

Tempo.

These two teams just met two nights ago on this very same court, as Los Angeles prevailed, 99-95. Nothing has changed since then, my friends. Toronto may be a new team. But there is a lot of talent here. Being they are the newest kids on the block, they’ll look to make a splash here, especially in one of the biggest media cities in the country. The Sparks are just 1-2, and have failed to cover a game yet. Once again, this season, they are being overvalued by oddsmakers. They do have talent. But, let’s face it, this team is pointspread poison. Going back to last season they have now failed to cover four straight outings.  Take the Tempo. Thank you.

05-17-26 Aces -150 v. Dream 85-84 Win 100 3 h 16 m Show

Aces on the moneyline.

Following a season-opening embarrassing 30-point loss at the hands of Phoenix, Las Vegas has now won three consecutive contests. They have also covered two of those last three outings, as well. They face an Atlanta opponent they have owned, taking five consecutive meetings, and overall, nine of the last 10 matchups. This includes four of the last five played on the road. The Dream are undefeated at 2-0. But have yet to really face a solid opponent. I feel they are overmatched and outclassed here. Take the Aces. Thank you.

08-15-25 Storm v. Dream -135 80-78 Loss -135 11 h 26 m Show

Atlanta Dream on the ML.

Slam Dunk Play.

Game 634.

7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST.

Can someone please explain to me why a team that is on a six-game losing streak, is only a small underdog against a team that has won six straight? This just doesn't make sense to me, my friends. The Storm has dropped and failed to cover six in a row, and eight of their last 10 games, which includes a 10-point beating as a favorite of 3.5-points, at home just a few nights ago, to this very same opponent. I feel the oddsmakers are giving Seattle way too much credit here as a visitor. They are struggling badly. Their offense has been erratic, while their defense has gotten absolutely steamrolled. Meanwhile, Atlanta is red-hot, as I mentioned earlier, winning six in a row, and eight of their last nine straight up, and covering seven of those last night outings against the spread. They are playing excellent basketball, and are looking to maintain a lead in the Eastern Conference. The Liberty are just over their shoulder, a game back, and they know they must keep their foot on the gas. Take the Dream on the ML. Thank you.

08-15-25 Sparks -5 v. Wings 97-96 Loss -108 9 h 9 m Show

Los Angeles Sparks.

Oddsmaker's Mistake Play.

Game 625.

4:30 PM PST 7:30 PM EST.

I think the line in this contest is short. Los Angeles is playing good basketball, winning and covering seven of their last 10 games. As a matter of fact, they've also been money on the road, winning and covering five of their last six games played as a visitor. Dallas, on the other hand is struggling badly, losing seven of their last 10 straight up. The Sparks have had their way with the Wings, winning three of the last four meetings straight up, and covering four straight in this rivalry, which does include the only meeting this season back at the beginning of June on the road, 93-79. I doubt very much you will see any different of an outcome in this August matchup. Take Los Angeles. Thank you.

08-13-25 Dream +2.5 v. Storm 85-75 Win 100 12 h 48 m Show

Atlanta Dream.

Slam Dunk Play.

Game 623.

7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST.

I feel the line in this matchup is off. Atlanta enters this matchup winning five in a row, and eight of their last 10 straight up, covering four straight, and seven of those last 10 outings. This does include five straight up wins on the road, covering four of those five games. They took the most recent matchup against Seattle back at the beginning of July at home, 80-79. Speaking of the Storm, they are struggling, losing and failing to cover five consecutive games. Going back a little further, they have lost and failed to cover four straight at the Climate Pledge Arena. Even if Dreams starting guard, Canada is out again (check status as she is day-to-day), it doesn't matter. This team has enough firepower, and enough momentum to get a big victory here today. Please remember Atlanta has a real opportunity to take over the top spot in the Eastern conference. Maybe even the number two seed overall in the WNBA. Just to err on the side of caution, take the Atlanta Dream. Thank you.

08-08-25 Storm v. Aces -115 86-90 Win 100 11 h 54 m Show

Las Vegas Aces on the Moneyline.

Game 624.

7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST.

After a difficult start to the season, the Vegas is starting to heat up. They enter today's contest winning seven of their last 10, and covering four of their last five games. Seattle, which owns the same record as their opponent tonight (16-14) are struggling. The team has dropped three in a row, and six of their last 10 straight up, only covering three of those 10 outings. This is a team, during their current three-game slide, that was favored in all three of those games, and lost out-right. I just see the momentum of the Aces, especially at home in front of the loyal followers, to be the deciding factor here. Take Las Vegas. Thank you.

08-03-25 Fever +3 v. Storm 78-74 Win 100 4 h 42 m Show

Indiana Fever.

Game 625.

12:00 PM PST 3:00 PM EST.

I really don't see the line being very sharp here. I feel the oddsmakers are looking to bait us. But we aren't gonna’ fall for it. Indiana has won and covered the last two meeting in this series, one from last August, and one from about five or six weeks ago. They enter this matchup striding, winning and covering four straight, including both games played as a visitor. Meanwhile, Seattle has been inconsistent, splitting out their last 10 games straight up, and only covering four of those 10 contests. During that span, they are only 1-4 ATS in the five games played at the Climate Pledge Arena. The Fever have set out to do something, and are doing it. They are winning without Caitlin Clark on the floor. They are proving to the rest of the league they are a team to be reckoned with. I feel they have what it takes to win this game outright. But I will take the points the oddsmakers are giving us as a gift. Taking the Indiana. Thank you.

08-01-25 Fever -4.5 v. Wings 88-78 Win 100 9 h 19 m Show

Indiana Fever.

Game 611.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

Many people out there felt without Caitlin Clark on the floor the Indiana Fever would fall apart. Well folks, they're playing pretty good basketball with their star player sidelined. They enter today's contest winning and covering three straight outings. They have started to win on the road, and have dominated the Dallas Wings. The Fever have taken four in a row in this rivalry going back to September of last season, two home and two on the road. They have won and covered both matchups this season by eight and 19 points. The Wings are struggling, dropping seven of their last nine straight up, and five of those nine against the spread. I feel Indiana is out to prove that they can win without Clark on the floor, and make a statement to the rest of the league. Take the Fever. Thank you.

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