Seattle Seahawks.

Yes, we all know both Seattle and New England were not favored to be in the Super Bowl this season. But yet, they both deserve to be here. The Seahawks are 16-3 overall this season, while the Patriots possess a 17-3 record. Both teams have covered 14 games this season, and both are excellent playing away from home. Seattle enters this matchup winning nine consecutive games and covering six of their last eight, while New England has won six in a row, covering five of those six. Both offenses are explosive, and both defenses are among the best in the NFL. There is no question that there are a few things that certainly stand out to me. For starters, Seattle has a much more experienced and seasoned quarterback, especially in the postseason than does New England. Sam Darnold started in this league in 2018, and has over 90 starts under his belt, while Drake Maye has just 29 starts at the helm. I'm not looking to take away anything from Maye’s talent or ability, but when you get to this platform, experience especially in the postseason plays a big part. Both offenses have solid ground games, and an arsenal of receivers. I do feel, the more complete running back lines up in the Seahawks backfield in Kenneth Walker III. As I mentioned a moment ago, both defenses are among the best in the league. But the Seahawks stop-unit is a lot stronger against the run, which tells me they can force some three-and-outs. One more thing my friends, the Seattle defense has also snagged 18 takeaways to just 10 takeaways for the New England "D". I believe this game will be won with experience, a solid ground game, the defense that is better against the run, and the stop-unit that forces more turnovers. And in my opinion, all those point to the Seattle Seahawks. Thank you.

Indiana Hoosiers.

Game 288.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

There is no question that both Miami and Indiana deserve to be in the National Title game. The Hurricanes have rattled off seven consecutive victories covering the last four with a few of those games winning outright as an underdog. This game is also being played in their home venue. They will look in the stands and see a lot of their loyal fans, for sure. Meanwhile, Indiana is a perfect 15-0 this season, and also enter this game covering four straight outings. There is no question that Mario Cristobal and Curt Cignetti are two of the best coaches in the nation. There is a lot of talk that one of Cignetti's assistants is now on the sidelines for Miami and would be a disadvantage for him. But to be quite honest my friends the head coach has gone up against some of the best head coaches in the history of college football, and he's beaten all of them. Without question the Indiana offense is certainly a little more well-balanced. They have a much stronger running attack, and Heisman winner, Fernando Mendoza at the helm. I do feel he's a little more stable than his counterpart, who is a very good quarterback, Carson Beck. There's also a big advantage in the fact the Hurricanes pass defense ranked 62nd in the nation. The Hoosiers defense can create turnovers, and will create turnovers. They rank second nationally against the rush, and are one of the most frustrating pass defenses in the nation ranking 23rd. Defensively, the Hoosiers have held 11 opponents to season lows in points and six to season lows in yardage. They are just so much more well-balanced and polished on both sides of the line scrimmage. I feel the Hurricanes are a very good team, but are outclassed in this matchup. You may not realize this but Indiana in their two Bowl/CFP games have outscored Alabama and Oregon by a combined 94-25. With a combination of a more solid quarterback, a more stable ground game, and the better defense, we're going to take the Hoosiers here. Take Indiana. Thank you.

Los Angeles Rams.

Game 393.

3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST.

Yes, Los Angeles has to travel for this matchup. And yes again, the weather is possibly going to be frigid, windy, and snowy. But that's where the benefits for the home team ends. I am aware Los Angeles doesn't have a ton of cold weather experience. But last January, they did play the defending Super Bowl Champions, the Philadelphia Eagles on the road very tough. As a matter of fact, it came down to the wire in the Divisional playoff game with the home team prevailing, 28-22. They enter this matchup winning their last two games including a hard-fought road victory over the Carolina Panthers eight days ago, 34-31. As far as the Bears go, they certainly deserve to be here. But let's face it, did they really win last week or did the Packers just fall apart? In my opinion it's the later. Yes, the Chicago defense is tops in the NFL in takeaways. But they rank 23rd in points allowed, 27th against the rush, 22nd against the pass, and 29th in total yards allowed. This does not bode well as they're going up against one of the most complete and well-balanced offensive units in pro football. Los Angeles tops the league in scoring, ranks number one in yards, number one in passing, and number seven in rushing. They also don't turn the ball over a ton. Both teams can run the ball with efficiency which will be a major factor here if the weather is as expected. But something I want you to know my friends, the Rams are much better against the rush than the Bears. This was a weakness for Chicago all season long. Not only that, but Chicago, prior to this weekend, had the worst record against current playoff teams. Guess who had the best? That's right my friends, Los Angeles had the best record prior to this weekend against current playoff teams. As I mentioned a moment ago, the Bears defense on paper isn't as good as many people think. Let's not sell short how good the Rams stop-unit is as just last week they held the Panthers to 0-3 on fourth down. This is a defense that has come up big when needed. Their offense is so good and so well-balanced that they keep opponents defenses on the field and their opponents offenses off of it. There is also no comparison in the playoff experience Matthew Stafford has over Caleb Williams. And my friends, trust me when I tell you postseason experience by a quarterback and team leader is huge. Take Los Angeles. Thank you.

Seattle Seahawks.

Game 390.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

There are enough reasons on the surface to play Seattle here. For starters, they had an extra week off to rest, heal, and prepare. Next, they are playing at home at Lumen Field which is arguably one of the loudest and craziest places in all of sports for a visitor to come into and try to compete. Then there's the fact Seattle knows that they took down San Francisco in the most recent matchup just a few weeks ago on the road. But there's one more factor, and the earlier meeting back at the beginning of September in Seattle, on their very own field, the Seahawks lost to the 49ers in a heartbreaker. So revenge also motivates this team as well. They don't lose too many games at home. Granted the road team has done very well as a visitor this season as well. Let's also throw into the mix San Francisco played just six days ago in Philadelphia, to a hard-fought four-point victory. However, they then had to travel across the country up to Seattle for this matchup. As I mentioned earlier, the Seahawks had a week off to rest, heal, and prepare for this matchup. This is a big edge for this team, my friends. Now let's talk specifics. The 49ers lost starting tight end and one of their biggest contributors, George Kittle who tore his achilles in the win over the Eagles last week. I believe their head coach Kyle Shanahan has really done it with smoke and mirrors this season and deserves a lot of praise. But without Kittle, Brock Purdy's go-to guy, this offense becomes more one-dimensional. While I feel Christian McCaffrey is one of the most valuable players to his team in the NFL, let's be honest, this team ranks 24th in the league in rushing. They must go up against the third-best rushing defenses in the NFL. Both teams turn the ball over quite a bit. But I think the big difference here will be on the defense side of the ball where San Francisco has only forced six turnovers, compared to the 18 turnovers forced by the Seattle defense. Let's face it, their defense is far superior topping the league in points allowed, only giving up 17.2 PPG, is better rested, is healthier, and is much more ferocious. Take the Seahawks. Thank you.

Jacksonville Jaguars.

Game 380.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Buffalo might've taken down Jacksonville at home last season, but they have not won in Jacksonville since 2013. We also must come to the realization the Bills are not the same team on the road as they are at home. There are 5–-3 overall as a guest this season, but when it comes to the playoffs, let's be honest, Josh Allen is 0-4 both SU and ATS on the road in the playoffs. The Jaguars enter this matchup winning and covering eight consecutive outings including all four games played on their own field during that span. Their defense has been stellar, not allowing a single opponent to post better than 24-points since early-November. The Buffalo offense revolves around its ground game. But they're going to be in for some issues in this matchup as they go up against the leagues No.1 run defense. Overall, the Jacksonville stop-unit is one of the best in the NFL, yielding just 19.8 PPG and snagging 22 takeaways. Yes, the Bills are a solid team. However, their track record in the postseason is less than impressive. Offensively, I feel the Jaguars will give a big dose of their ground game, to open up their passing attack. Please understand, on the flipside their defense has been one of the best in the NFL for quite a while now, they're great at forcing turnovers, and must be salivating knowing they get a crack at an offense here that has committed 19 turnovers. I'll take the home team. Take the Jaguars. Thank you.

Carolina Panthers.

Game 376.

1:30 PM PST/4:30 PM EST.

My friends, winning on the road in the NFL postseason is no small task. Winning and covering on the road in the postseason is even a tougher test. You know what the toughest task of all is? Winning and covering on the road is a double-digit favorite in the postseason. While I believe the Rams will win this game, laying double-digits I feel prompt us to take the home underdog here. The Rams are just 5-4 as a visitor this season failing to cover two of their last four played as a guest. I know the Panthers offense sputtered the last several weeks. But this is a that is 5-3 this season straight up at home and took the only meeting against today's opponent back at the end of November also at home, 31-28. The Los Angeles defense seems to be a little fatigued and a little overworked, as they have allowed 34, 38, 27, and 20-points in consecutive contests. On paper, the Rams offense is one of the most explosive in the NFL. But they do make some costly mistakes, and are facing a defense that has played some decent football over the last month of the regular season. I just feel this is way too many points to give a very game Panthers team at home. By the way, they have also covered both games played this season as a double-digit doggie. Take Carolina. Thank you.

Buffalo Bills.

AFC EAST GOM.

Game 348.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

While the Buffalo Bills can certainly better their postseason situation with a victory here today, the New York Jets are in line for a very nice draft pick. Having said that, reports are Josh Allen might just see a small amount of action to keep his consecutive game start streak alive. But even he does not see any action at all, I still feel the Bills are the play here. The Jets possess one of the worst teams in all of the NFL, going 3-13 straight up this season. This is a team that has just one win since the first week of November losing four in a row and six of their last seven SU, and failing to cover their last four outings. Those six losses in those last seven games came by 13, 13, 24, 28, 21, and 32 points. Their offense is non-existent and their defense has been steamrolled. Meanwhile, the Bills come off their first loss following a four-game win streak. They're playing at home where they are 6-2 this season, and I feel even though the number went up a little bit this week the line is still very short. The Buffalo will be motivated by trying to get out of the number seven seed. The difference between being the number seven seed and a likely trip to New England versus the number five or six seed and a possible trip to either Pittsburgh or Jacksonville is big. They have dominated the Jets taking four in a row and eight of the last 10 SU, covering four in a row and six of those 10 meetings. Trust me when I tell you their head coach and the team wants to go into the postseason with a little confidence as well, and this is just a game to do just. Both teams can run the ball with efficiency, while both defenses are a little lax against the rush. However, no matter who is at the helm for New York (likely Brady Cook, check status), they rank dead-last in passing in the NFL. They go up against the league's top pass defense. Something else I want you to know, the Jets defense ranks 30th in points allowed and has forced zero turnovers this season. They don't post too much of a threat to opposing offenses and their quarterbacks. I feel this game will get out of hand, I feel Buffalo needs a big confidence boost, and I feel that their coach and the team really want to get out of the playoff situation basement. One more item folks:  this will be the Bills final game played ay Highmark Stadium and certainly want to end their tenure there on a high-note. Take Buffalo. Thank you.

Wake Forest.

Mississippi State comes in here with a 5-7 overall record, losing three in a row and seven of their last eight straight up, failing to cover their last three outings. Their defense has allowed 41, 31, 23, 45, 35, 41, 49, and 38 points in consecutive contests. They face a Wake Forest opponent comes in here angry following an ugly loss at their hands of Duke in their last outing. Prior to that, they won three in a row and six of the last seven SU, covering seven of their last nine overall contests. The Demon Deacons will be without a couple of key players. But their quarterback, Robbie Ashford will be on the field. He's a solid play-caller with quite a bit of experience. He is no stranger to lighting up the scoreboards even against some SEC opponents. Their opponent will be without their quarterback Blake Shapen. This team is pretty decent offensively. However, they have coughed up the ball 15 times and go up against one of the stingiest defenses in the nation. Wake Forest allows just 21.5 PPG equally good against the pass as they are against the Rush. Offensively, you can expect the Demon Deacons to move the ball with ease against one of the worst run defenses in the nation, and an overall defense that allows nearly 30 PPG (29.2 PPG). Take Wake Forest. Thank you.

Arizona.

Like many teams this time of year, Arizona as expected to be without a few opt outs and transfer. But quarterback, Noah Fifita will not be one of those players. He has stepped it up over the last few months of the season, leading this team to five consecutive wins and four ATS covers over those five games. SMU has one of the most explosive passing attacks in the nation. They cannot run the ball at all and have committed 16 turnovers. Defensively is where this game will be won and that edge certainly goes to the Wildcats. Their stop-unit is one of the best in the nation yielding just 18.9 PPG and have forced 19 turnovers, solid against the run, and fourth nationally against the pass. I feel they have a more well-balanced offense as well, can keep up the pace offensively with any team in the nation, and have a decent running attack to keep their opponents defense honest. They also make a lot less mistakes. Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

Navy.

The list of Cincinnati's opt-outs is one of the longest in college football. They lost their quarterback, and at least five starters on defense that are going into the transfer portal. This is bad enough. But their secondary is absolutely depleted. A large portion of their starting stop-unit will not be on the field for this matchup. I'm not going to debate they play a little stiffer competition than Navy does. But this team enters this matchup on a four-game slide both SU/ATS. Meanwhile, the Midshipmen enter today's game winning three in a row and covering two of their last three against some very formidable opponents like the Bulls, Tigers, and Black Knights. If you're into angles, playing a service academy in a Bowl game hasn't been easy for any opponent. Since 2021 Navy, Army, and Air Force have combined to earn seventh straight Bowl game wins. Navy is led by Blake Horvath who is coming in to his own as a quarterback, and leads the number one rushing attack in the nation. Please remember the Bearcats rank 97th against the rush. They will be dominated here as the Midshipmen offense will keep them on the field and their offense off of it. As we all know, all of the service academies can run the can also stop the run. That's no different here. Navy is extremely strong against the rush, and only allows 26.0 points per game. Take the Midshipmen. Thank you.

Texas State.

Rice has dropped and failed to cover their last two games as their defense has gotten plowed for a combined 108 points in those contests. They are just 5-7 SU/ATS this season with five of those seven defeats coming by a lot more than the pointspread here today. This is a team that has no passing game whatsoever, nor can they stop the pass. As a matter of fact, their defense ranks among the worst in college football forcing just three turnovers and allowing over 35.2 points per game. Offensively, they can run the ball well, but they account for just 21.6 PPG. They will be without their leader and starting quarterback Chase Jenkins. This will be a big blow for the team as he is also a dual-threat quarterback. While the Texas State defense is a little more well-balanced, they still allow a lot of points. But their offense is so explosive both in the air and on the ground, they rank 12th nationally posting over 36.1 PPG. I doubt very much their counterpart can keep up with them on the scoreboard. Take the Bobcats. Thank you.

Joe D got everyone paid again on Wednesday in BOWLS, bouncing back from his only “off” day this Bowl season. Today, we continue to BEAT THE BOOKS in college football with my SUGAR BOWL WINNER between MISSISSIPPI/GEORGIA.

MISSISSIPPI.

As of posting this play, most of the money this week is coming on Georgia. I understand why. I mean they possess a defense that allows just 15.9 points per game. But several teams have put up a lot of points on them. In overtime, Tennessee accounted for 41 points, in their only loss of the campaign, Alabama accounted for 24 points, and this very same Mississippi opponent put up 35 points against them. Their last few games of the regular season were against some less than stellar opponents as they were a 43-point fav over Charlotte, and a 16-point favorite over Georgia Tech. I feel their lopsided victory over Alabama in the conference championship was earned for sure, but put them an ideal situation for a letdown here. Let's face it, the Mississippi defense was almost as good yielding just 19.3 PPG. The big disparity in this matchup is on offense. Both teams rank about the same on the ground, while the Rebels account for almost a touchdown more per game, and they possess certainly one of the most explosive passing attacks in the nation. That's where this game will be won. Led by Trinidad Chambliss, the Ole Miss offense ranks sixth nationally in passing for over 312.4 yards per game in the air. They are very good against the pass, as well. This is a weakness for the Georgia offense as they were lackluster at best ranking 79th in passing. Let's face it, the Bulldogs defense is what got them their wins. However, defensively they're one flaw is against the pass where they rank 44th in the nation. I believe this is way too many points to give a team so well-balanced like the Rebels. The last four meetings in this rivalry were each won and covered by the home team. That angle is negated as this game is being played in New Orleans. Take Mississippi. Thank you.

TEXAS TECH.

I keep hearing strength of schedule, strength of schedule, strength of schedule. However, I don't feel in my opinion the Ducks played that much more of a stronger schedule than the Red Raiders. I'm not going to deny their talent on both sides of the line of scrimmage. I mean this is a team that averages 39.2 PPG while allowing 16.3 PPG. But at times this season they did allow certain opponents to light them up. Penn State, which let's face it isn't the most talented team forced them in to overtime and put up 24 points, USC put up 27 points, and most recently in the Bowl first round, they allowed James Madison to post 34 points on them. Meanwhile, Texas Tech has not allowed a single opponent to put up better than 26 points, and that was in their only loss this season, a fluke loss by four points at the hands of Arizona State. Every other opponent this season has put up 20 points or less. They did face some solid offenses this year as well. This is a team that lights up scoreboards for 42.5 PPG, while yielding just 10.9 PPG. They have a smart coach, and a quarterback who has not lost a game he has started this season. They possess the number one run defense in college football. I believe the team that will run the ball successfully in this matchup will control the clock, and eventually win this game. I feel the wrong team is favored. Take Texas Tech. Thank you.

TEXAS.

Without question, Michigan and Texas are Bowl game powerhouses and college football royalty. But distractions this time of year can take its toll. The Wolverines fired their head coach, have an interim coach in charge of this game, and a big-name coach coming in next year. In my opinion this is a distraction. They're also going to be without several veteran starters on both offense and defense that are going to be very hard to replace in this short period of time. Yes, I also feel that getting shredded in their last outing at the hands of Ohio State is going to mentally take its toll on this Michigan team as well. Meanwhile, Texas has a heck of a defense, ever-improving Arch Manning at the helm who declared he is coming back next year, and momentum coming into this game. This is a game obviously both teams want, but the Longhorns have what it takes to not just win, but win with authority. Take Texas. Thank you.

Vanderbilt.

My friends, I am fully aware the Iowa Hawkeyes have a solid defense, and their four losses have come by 3, 5, 2, and 5 points. But those losses were all against well-balanced offenses. Guess what? Vanderbilt has an extremely well-balanced offense. This is a team that has only suffered two defeats this season, an early-October 16 point loss on the road at Alabama, and a 3 point heartbreaking loss in the first week of November, on the road of Texas. Other than that, this team has shown not only they can score offensively, but they're pretty frustrating defensively as well. The Hawkeyes offense accounts for 28.9 PPG while the Vanderbilt offense posts over 39.4 PPG. The Commodores are very well-balanced ranking 14th in the air and 35th on the ground, while the Hawkeyes heavily rely, or should I say solely rely on their ground game. They have no passing attack whatsoever. Now defensively, their numbers are extremely impressive yielding just 15.2 PPG. But as I mentioned a bit ago, their four defeats have come against opponents whose offenses are extremely well-balanced. I mentioned Iowa has no passing attack whatsoever, because they rank 131st in the nation in passing. This is a perfect fit for Vandy who is not great at all against the pass, but ranks 15th against the rush. The Commodores quarterback just might be the best in the nation and will show off his prowess here. Take Vanderbilt. Thank you.

USC.

As we all have come to understand during this time of year, both USC and TCU will be without some key cogs in their wheels. The Trojans are expected to be without two of their top receivers while the Horned Frogs will be without their best quarterback. The difference in this matchup in my opinion is the fact that USC is so deep at their wide receiver position it's not going to matter. They also have a very experienced quarterback at the helm, and rank eighth in the nation in passing. This team, I believe will absolutely exploit and pick apart the 106th ranked pass defense of TCU. They also have a pretty decent ground attack to keep their opponent honest. They don't commit nearly as many turnovers as their opponent does either. Having said all that, the Horn Frogs will be without their best quarterback, and will have a backup in Ken Seals leading their offense. While he has been around for a bit, he has thrown a total of six passes this season. Last season he threw a total of 13 passes. That was following his transfer from Vanderbilt after three seasons with them so he does have experience, but enough here that he should be comfortable within this offense today. The Trojans also possess a considerably better defense, both in the air and on the ground, they are equally solid. Take USC. Thank you.

Louisiana Tech.

Coastal Carolina somehow made it to a Bowl game. This is a team that has a 6-6 SU, covering just five of their 12 outings this season, entering this Bowl matchup losing and failing to cover three straight. As a matter of fact, during their three-game slide, their defense has gotten plowed for a combined 155 points. Their offense has stalled badly accounting for a total of 17 points over their last two outings. This is a team that gets outscored by over 11.1 points per game and have committed 20 turnovers. They rank 133rd in total yards allowed, 113th in passing yards allowed, 130th in rushing yards allowed, and 126 in points allowed. They face one of the best running attacks in football averaging just under 200 yards per game on the ground (196.6 YPG). This is the team that averages over 27.7 points per game and doesn't make too many mistakes. They have a very well-balanced defense, and have been a nightmare to offenses ranking third in the nation forcing 20 turnovers. Louisiana Tech closed this season winning and covering their last two games against some very good opponents in Liberty and Missouri State. Reports are they will be without several defensive starters, but I don't think that's going to matter too much here. Please understand the Chanticleers only defeated one Bowl team this season in Appalachian State which was 5-7. They face a Bulldog's opponent, which six of their seven wins this season came by 10 or more points. Trey Kukuk settled in quite nicely at the quarterback position, and I expect him to light up the scoreboard here. Take Louisiana Tech. Thank you.

Buffalo Bills.

GOM.

Game 428.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

Philadelphia clinched their division with last week’s, 29-18 victory over Washington. Buffalo, with four consecutive wins and seven victories over their last eight outings, can still catch New England in the AFC East as they have a lot to play for. The Bills are 16-1 straight up at home since the start of last season. It's true, the Eagles have taken three straight against the Bills going back a decade, which includes a late-November 2023 OT victory, 37-34. But I think we can all agree despite Philadelphia possessing a 10-5 record, Jalen Hurts just isn't the same. Because the passing game has diminished quite a bit, opponents are loading up against the run. I will admit the Buffalo defense has been hit or miss, no pun intended. But I believe they step up big in this matchup because they know what is on the line here. I doubt very much Hurts and the 23rd-ranked passing attack in the NFL will do any damage in the air against the second-best pass defense in the league especially because there is supposed to be (check status) inclement weather. While the Eagles do rely heavily upon the rush, and this is a place where the Bills defense has struggled, I just don't see it happening here. On the flipside, Buffalo enters this matchup with the top rushing attack in the NFL and will absolutely steamroll the 21st-ranked run defense of Philadelphia. They will control the clock and the tempo, keeping their opponents’ “D” on the field.  Overall, I believe the Eagles defensive statistics are a little skewed. They are third in scoring “D”, but 24th in yards per pass against and 21st in yards per carry against. I look for Josh Allen to have one of his best performances of the campaign. Take Buffalo. Thank you.

Jacksonville Jaguars.

AFC SOUTH BEST BET.

Game 423.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Both AFC South combatants need a victory here. The Colts are fighting to stay alive, and the Jaguars are fighting to clinch the division, and possibly even one of the best records in the conference. Jacksonville enters this match up winning six in a row straight up and against the spread. To say they have dominated this series would be an understatement. They have taken six of the last eight SU, covering six of those eight as well. This includes a December 7 home victory, 36-19. Meanwhile the Colts have been one of the most disappointing teams the second half of this season. After starting the campaign 7-1, they have now dropped five in a row and six of their last seven. They have also failed to cover five of those last seven as well. Their defense is overworked and tired and getting steamrolled. Meanwhile their offense is lackluster at best. Yes, the Phillip Rivers comeback story has been a nice story. But he is still a very old quarterback and has to face one of the most frustrating and fierce defenses in football. The Jaguars allow a mere 20.8 PPG, and have forced 19 turnovers. They top the NFL against the rush. They do leave a bit to the desired against the pass. But I don't think that's gonna’ matter in this matchup. Offensively, they've been very consistent all season long, ranking in the top-10 in scoring, posting an average of 27.3 PPG. It's hard to deny the success of Trevor Lawrence this season and they have a solid ground attack in Travis Etienne jr. With their final regular season game coming next week at home against the Titans, I expect the Jaguars to come out here with something to prove. If they were due for a letdown, it would've happened against a very competent, Broncos team last week. But they came out and got the job done. During their current six-game win streak, they’ve yielded just 15.3 PPG. Meanwhile their offense has taken it to another level. They are truly motivated, and are far superior in this matchup. Take Jacksonville. Thank you.

Fresno State Bulldogs.

ARIZONA BOWL WINNER.

Game 234.

1:30 PM PST/4:30 PM EST.

Sports fans, there aren't many teams that could rebound following a beating like Miami took at the hands of Western Michigan back on December 6. Maybe it didn't show it in the 23-13 loss, but their offense had just 73 yards rushing and 199 yards passing. As a matter of fact, I don't see their “O” doing too much more here. This is a team that lost they're starting quarterback Dequan Finn in early-November, and tried a freshman in Tommy Gotkowski and a veteran in Henry Hesson but just couldn't get in sync with either. Things go from bad to worse for the offense as they lost their best receiver to the transfer portal in Kam Perry. This is a team that's dropped three of their last five straight up and against the spread coming into this matchup. Meanwhile, Fresno State comes in here winning and covering three of their last four outings. First year head coach, Matt Entz has this team believing they can win. They can run the ball with success in this matchup, and defensively they are very stout, snagging 19 takeaways, and allowing just 20.1 PPG. There are monsters against the pass, and just about as good against the run. Over their last five outings they have allowed an average of 15.0 PPG, and that was even with two losses. By the way, the Bulldogs are changing conferences moving from the MWC to the Pac-12 next year and want to finish on a high-note. Take Fresno State. Thank you.

BYU.

POP-TARTS BOWL WINNER.

Game 232.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

In my opinion, this might be one of the best games for us this entire college football postseason. Georgia Tech is a good team. I'll give them that. However, they have lost two in a row and three of the last four straight up covering only one of those last four outings. Their defense has gotten plowed yielding 48 points to NC State, 34 points to Boston College of all teams, and 42 points to Pitt before allowing just 16 points in their last game to Georgia. I believe their stop-unit is tired, is overworked, and is outclassed here in this matchup. You know the Yellow Jackets haven't played a ranked opponent all season long (I don’t count Clemson, who were #12 when they played and dropped considerably). They have a defense that is very beatable, and I believe is in real trouble here, as they rank 80th against the pass and 94th against the run. By the way, they've only forced three turnovers this season as well. They must go up against a BYU team that comes in here angry as they feel they were snubbed for the CFP. The Cougars misfortunate this season was having to play the Red Raiders twice. The last outing on December 6, was the most points they yielded and the least points that they scored all season long. I believe they'll come in here looking to redeem themselves and prove a point. This is a team that is extremely well-balanced, led by a very smart quarterback that leads an offense that averages over 31.9 PPG. That would be enough here, but their defense is just as solid. They allow just 19.0 PPG, and have snagged 16 takeaways as well. They're one of the stingiest stop-units in the nation against the run, a place where their opponent heavily relies upon to move the chains. I feel this is one of the biggest mismatches you will see if this college football postseason. The Cougars are looking to redeem themselves, prove a point to the pollsters, are good in Bowl games, and our lead by sharp coach and a ton of seasoned veterans. Take BYU. Thank you.

UConn.

Fenway Bowl WINNER.

Game 229.

11:15 AM PST/2:15 PM EST.

With all respect to the Black Knights, we know their game plan. Army will come into this Bowl matchup, with their fifth-ranked rushing attack and pound the ball up the middle on the ground. This is what they do. This is a good team, my friends. But I think we all saw what happened in the legendary Army/Navy matchup when they lost 17-16. Meanwhile, Connecticut enters this contest one of the hottest teams in college football, winning four in a row and eight of their last nine straight up, covering six of their last eight outings. This is a team that is no stranger to stepping up in class, or even facing and containing run-oriented offenses. They did lose to Rice, 37-34, which is a team that heavily favors the rush. But they did then take down another military opponent in Air Force who also runs the ball a lot, 26-16. This is a team themselves that has taken down, and even competed against some strong opponents. Let's not forget this team finished the regular season taking down UAB, Duke, Air Force, and FAU. Thet possess a very well-balanced offense that makes very few mistakes. As a matter of fact, the ranked sixth in passing, 69th in rushing, 12th in points scored, and top the nation only committing two turnovers. Yes, I am aware that their run defense leaves a lot to be desired. But they're so well-balanced offensively, that I feel this will be a very competitive matchup. By the way, they're also better defensively at creating turnovers as they have snagged 11 takeaways compared to Army’s eight takeaways on the stop side of the ball. I think this is way too many points. FYI, the Black Knights have not covered as a double-digit favorite this season. Take the Huskies. Thank you.

Utah State Aggies.

Idaho Potato Bowl.

Game 210.

11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST.

While Washington State which has dropped six of their last 10 straight up, has covered seven of their last 10 outings, they've undergone some changes recently. Their head coach is gone, and although their defensive coordinator will be gone as well, he's acting as interim coach in this matchup. Meanwhile, Utah State enters this game covering four in a row, and 10 of 12 this season. These two teams did meet November 2024 as the Cougars hosted the Aggies, and took them down to 49-28. This won’t happen again here. Utah State will be exiting the Mountain West Conference and joining Washington State in the Pac-12 this upcoming season. The Aggies certainly have a more explosive offense accounting for 8.3 points per game more than does the Cougars, and certainly turn the ball over less. WSU coughed up the ball 18 times this season. Speaking of the Cougars, they cannot run the ball at all and they only rank 86th in passing. Compare that to the very well-balanced offense of Utah State which are just as good in the air they are on the ground, and I think it's gonna’ be a long day for the Cougars. Defensively, the Aggies leave a lot to be desired, but being that they have such a good ground game on offense, I feel they're gonna’ run the ball quite a bit, control the clock keep their opponents defense on the field, and more importantly their offense off it. Another thing my friends, Washington stage defense has only forced five turnovers while the Utah State “D” has forced 10 turnovers. Offensively, the Aggies have too much, not to mention the distraction the Cougars have with the whole coaching situation. Take Utah State. Thank you.

New England Patriots.

TD PLAY.

Game 115.

5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST.

New England will come in here angry looking to redeem themselves coming off their first loss since the third week of September. They had a 10-game win streak end in their last outing as they gave away 24-7 halftime lead to eventually lose to buffalo, 35-31. That was also the most points they've allowed all season long as their defense is one of the most frustrating in the NFL, ranking seventh overall, yielding just 19.7 PPG. I understand Baltimore following a two game straight up slide, got a big 24-0 victory last week on the road at Cincinnati. But this is the same team that also failed to cover four straight prior to last week’s win. They are just 3-5 straight up at home this season and are playing a team that's a perfect 6-0 on the road. Prior to last week's blanking of the Bengals, the Ravens defense got plowed for a combined 59 points in their two previous outings against some less than stellar offenses. Next week they have Green Bay on the road before they finish up their regular season schedule on the road against their arrival Pittsburgh. Meanwhile, the Patriots have the Jets up next on the road before finishing their schedule at home against the Dolphins. They can certainly win out and finish with the best record in their division, and one of the best overall records in the AFC. I expect their defense to frustrate an erratic Ravens offense. I also expect their very well-balanced offensive unit which averages over 27.3 PPG, to move the chains at will, and light up the scoreboard here. Take New England. Thank you.

Detroit Lions.

Game 126.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

Let's be honest, while Pittsburgh is always a formidable foe, they lose a little luster when they travel. The Steelers are just 3-3 on the road this season, and they failed to cover three of their last four games played as a guest. Meanwhile, they go into Ford Field to face the Detroit Lions who are 5-2 at home on the campaign. Yes, they have failed to cover four of their last five games, but this team is money coming off a loss. They took a tough 41-34 road defeat last week at the hands of the Los Angeles Rams. They are a remarkable 11-0 SU, and 10-1 ATS at home coming off a loss going back to 2022. Statistically, they rank in the top few in just about every offensive category including scoring in which they top the NFL averaging over 30.6 PPG. They commit very few turnovers which they also lead the league. Their offense is so well-balanced, most defenses have problems anyway. However, the Steelers defense is getting burned both in the air and on the ground. Things do not look good for this team here. They also lost TJ Watt which will be huge for them here. Aaron Rodgers doesn't have young legs anymore, and to be honest despite coming off decent outings the last two weeks, is in for a long day here. I look for the Detroit team led by a very smart head coach, to do what they need to do the not just win, but win big. Take the Lions. Thank you.

Carolina Panthers.

NFC SOUTH BEST BET.

Game 116.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

This is a big game for both Tampa Bay and Carolina. They are both tied at 7-7 sitting atop the NFC South. But for the life of me, I can't figure out why the Buccaneers are this much of a favorite on the road. Let's face it, this is a team that has dropped two in a row and five of their last six straight up, failing to cover all six of those outings. This does include losses and no covers in both road games played during that span. Yes, they've had their way in this rivalry, taking five in a row SU. But I feel the Panthers catch them at the right time. This is a team that's played well at home going 4-2 SU on their own field this season, and have covered six of their last 10 outings which does include three of five played on their own field. The Tampa Bay offense is struggling resulting in a defense that's overworked and tired. Their numbers on offense are lackluster at best ranking in the bottom third in just about every category while they are 30th on defense against the pass, and 24th in points allowed. I feel Carolina can come in here and not just compete but win with the ninth-ranked rushing attack in the league, control the clock and the tempo, and keep their opponents defense on the field and their offense off it. Take the Panthers. Thank you.

Los Angeles Chargers.

HI ROLLER PLAY.

Game 119.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

The Cowboys playoff hopes are dwindling while the Chargers, believe it or not at 10-4, still need to win. Los Angeles enters this matchup winning three in a row and six of their last 7 SU, covering five of those seven games, but is still behind the Denver Broncos in the AFC West. Following this week's matchup with the Cowboys, they have a home game against the Texans then finish up the regular season against the Broncos. Victories are something this team needs and they need them now. They face a Dallas Cowboys team that has lost and failed to cover their last two outings despite possessing one of the top-scoring offenses in the NFL. No matter what they do on offense, their defense ranks 32nd against the pass, 18th against the rush, 29th in total yard allowed, and 31st in points allowed. They've also forced just six turnovers. To be honest with you, I don't feel Dak Prescott is the guy that can take them to the next level. Just as I felt Tony Romo wasn't the guy either. When must-win situations occur, Prescott falls way short. This is a team that is overvalued each preseason, while always finishing the regular season underachieving. The Chargers offense is solid. But their defense is outstanding. They rank in the top-10 in every single category defensively and have forced 17 turnovers to boot. You can't pass on them, and running against them is almost as difficult. They allow a mere 20.3 PPG and have held some very good offenses in check this season. They are rolling, need to win, and have what it takes to come out victorious in this matchup. Take Los Angeles. Thank you.

‘Ole Miss.

I know this is a lot of points, my friends. But why would anyone think, even for a split-second, that this outcome will be any different than the September 20, Mississippi 45-10 victory over Tulane? It isn't going to be any different. We all know the Rebels offense is one of the most-explosive in college football, scoring 37.3 PPG, ranking third in total yards, fifth in passing yards, and 34th in rushing yards. Now with all respect to the Green Wave, which have respectable numbers, they just don't compare. Please also understand the Mississippi offense makes considerably less mistakes than does the Tulane’s “O”. That would be enough for me here. But as I mentioned a moment ago, Trinidad Chambliss leads one of the most-explosive passing attacks in the nation, and they lineup across from a pass defense ranking 122nd. I just don't see this meeting not having the same outcome as the first meeting. That would be enough, but the Rebels defense is also one of the toughest in the nation, allowing a mere 20.1 PPG. Granted, the Green Wave stop-unit doesn't allow too many more points. But they haven't faced the same level of competition, either. Shutting down teams like Tulsa, East Carolina, Temple, and Charlotte, isn't like facing a team like Mississippi, or even the squads they have taken down like LSU, South Carolina, Oklahoma, Florida, etc. This game will get out of hand. Take Mississippi.

Miami.

At first glance, I had a big lean on Texas A&M here, especially following their first defeat of the campaign. But as I did my due diligence, I quickly switched to backing Miami. The Aggies, prior to losing to the Longhorns, their SEC schedule was against opponents that are a combined 11-40. They haven't faced too many strong teams in conference play. As a matter of fact, outside of Texas which they lost by 10-points, they weren't very impressive. You could have the best record in the world, but it all depends on who you beat. Looking at their games played, the Texas A&M defense several times this season gave up significant points to some less than stellar opposition. The same can't be said for the Hurricane’s stop-unit. Miami's defense ranks sixth in the nation allowing only 13.8 PPG, and have forced 12 turnovers. While the Texas A&M "D" yields 21.9 PPG, they've only snagged just three takeaways. Offensively, they’ve coughed the ball up 16 times compared to Miami's 11 turnovers. The A&M offense relies strongly upon their ground game, but runs into the seventh-ranked rush defense in the nation. I do feel the difference in this matchup will also be at the quarterback position. With all respect to Marcel Reed, he just isn't Carson Beck.

Alabama.

Alabama dropped the first meeting with Oklahoma back in mid-November because of turnovers and a lack of a sufficient ground game. They also didn't show up in the conference championship at the beginning of this month against Georgia. They were without several key cogs in their offensive wheel that are expected to be back here this week. These are two of the best defenses in football, but the Crimson Tide are certainly better against the pass which will significantly affect the Sooner offense. They also turn the ball over less on offense, and create more turnovers on defense. Beating Alabama once in a season its tough. Beating them twice, is impossible.

Jacksonville State.

The second-best team in the Sunbelt will face the second-best team in the Conference USA as two Alabama representatives face one another in Montgomery. Very simply, I just don't see why the Trojans are favored here (as of post). Maybe it's because the Gamecocks ran for 210 yards on 40 carries in a losing effort at the hands of a very weak run defense against the Owls of Kennesaw State not long ago. But this is a very well-disciplined team with a very smart coaching staff. I doubt you're gonna’ see that happen again. Jacksonville State possesses the nation’s sixth-ranked rushing attack accounting for over 258.0 yards per game on the ground. I doubt very much their opponent which does rank 107th against the run, is going to be able to slow down let alone contain the potent ground game. The Gamecocks will take a page out of their last games playbook and make sure they control the clock here once again but take it one further and light up the scoreboard. I will admit Troy played a solid game against a very tough James Madison opponent in their last outing before a late meltdown. They are a good team against the spread, covering nine of 13 this season, but this team is very susceptible to the run. They are expected to be without a couple of key cogs in their offensive wheel. Most likely Tucker Kilcrease is supposed to take the helm for an injured Goose Crowder (check status), but to go on further their top ball-carrier, Tae Meadows is in the transfer portal and is expected not to participate here. Please remember Jacksonville State hung in tight as a three-touchdown underdog losing by only seven-points in their season opener on the road at Central Florida, and then took down a very talented Liberty opponent at home, as a touchdown underdog. This team knows how to step up in big situations. While they did fall short against Kennesaw State in the conference championship, a team that they did beat only three weeks before at home. As far as Troy goes, they hung in tight against an overvalued Clemson opponent in the second week of the season while they took a beating against Memphis just a week later. Without some of their starters on the field and the fact that they fall short little bit in big games situations, tells me Jacksonville State will take this game. Take the Gamecocks. Thank you.

Cowboys.

Following a four-game loss and no cover streak, the Minnesota Vikings came up big last week and blanked the Washington Commander at home, 31-0. Well, this is a team that has lost and failed to cover the last several games played as a visitor. I do feel that when they travel. they lose a little luster and they are due for a letdown. Meanwhile, following a three-game win and cover streak against some good opponents, Dallas got outgunned 10 days ago on the road at the hands of the Detroit Lions, 44-30. I feel they bounce back here in a big way, coming in better rested and better prepared. No matter what you say about the Cowboys, their offense can score points. They rank third in the NFL averaging over 29.3 points per game, with the league’s top passing unit. I just don't see the lackluster Vikings offense which averages under 20 points per game, (19.6 PPG) keeping pace on the scoreboard. Something else do you need to know, the Minnesota offense ranks dead last in mistakes committing 26 turnovers. I think that is just as astounding. I feel the Cowboys defense which has gotten beat quite a bit this season will come up big in this matchup and create some turnovers. Meanwhile, I just don't see the Minnesota defense even slowing down the juggernaut which is the Cowboys offense, as they rank 22nd against the rush, and 30th in takeaways with just five. Dallas gets a big win and cover at home. Take the Cowboys. Thank you.

Bears

The Chicago Bears certainly redeem themselves following losses. From September until October, they won four straight and fell badly on the road at the Baltimore Ravens. However, they bounced right back to win five straight games before last week’s 28-21 loss to their division rival, the Green Bay Packers. This is a team that certainly knows how to bounce back, especially at home where they are 4-1 this season. Following last week's loss, I expect them to bounce back in a big way here with a hungry defense going up against a rookie quarterback. Yes, Shadeur Sanders has put up some impressive numbers but it is still a rookie and is prone to making mistakes. Please understand Cleveland is just 1-5 on the road this season and doesn't need any help making mistakes as they have committed 17 turnovers on offense. This does not bode well when you're going up against a defense that leads the league forcing 18 turnovers. Take Chicago. Thank you.

Chargers.

I do put some stock in revenge matchups. However, I just don't see that happening here. Los Angeles took down Kansas City in Week 1 of this regular season, 27-21. What I do put more stock in is riding a hot team and fading a cold one. Currently, the Chargers are playing great football, winning five of their last six straight up and covering four of those six while Kansas City is on a 1-4 SU run, failing to cover five consecutive outings. Checking the injury reports, Kansas City is missing quite a few key players. And I do feel last week's win by Los Angeles over Philadelphia, in which they allowed seven sacks, will be remedied here this week. I expect their offensive line to come up big and their defense to further frustrate a struggling Kansas City offense. The LAC stop-unit is equally good against the pass as they are against the run, and have forced 15 turnovers already. I think this will be a competitive matchup, certainly a lot closer than the pointspread. Take the Chargers. Thank you.

Army.

These two teams know each other very well, and let's face it, their numbers offensively are very similar, almost mirroring one another. Yes, Navy accounts for significantly more points per game, but the Army defense is much better both against the run, and against the pass. Not only that, but they have forced more turnovers defensively, and committed less turnovers offensively. Last season saw the Midshipmen prevail in this matchup, but I feel that perhaps the Black Knights were a bit hungover from playing in the conference championship just prior. Army took the two previous meetings before that, and six of the last eight overall meetings. I think this is way too many points. Take the Black Knights. Thank you.

Los Angeles Chargers.

You know folks, a lot of people are gonna’ put some stock in the fact Philadelphia lost back-to-back games and must win here tonight. But they have an offense that is struggling badly, and a defense that has allowed 48 points over the last two outings. Saquon Barkley is not contributing at all, which seriously hurts the offensive unit. As a matter of fact, over the last two weeks he's accounted for a combined 78 total rushing yards. Because the offense is so lackluster, their defense is a bit overworked and tired. That's not the case with the home team here. As a matter of fact, the November 30th, 31-14 home victory for Los Angeles over Las Vegas, is the only game they've played up until this point over the last 22 days. This team has had time to rest, heal, and prepare for this matchup. They need victories right now as the team is 8-4, and plays a tough schedule for the remainder of the regular season. This team is striding at the right time. They have won four of their last five straight up, including wins and covers in three straight home games. Their defense is playing very well. As a matter of fact, in those four victories in the last five games, they have yielded an average of 13.5 PPG, while getting to opposing quarterbacks. Offensively, Justin Herbert bounced back from a broken left hand very smoothly. This team is also one of the best in the league at hogging the football, ranking second in time of possession. Running back, Omarion Hampton is expected (check status) to play tonight. This will certainly bolster an offense that is starting to really stride. On the defensive side of the ball, you can expect the Chargers third-ranked pass defense, to frustrate Jalen Hurts and the lackluster passing offense of the Eagles. Los Angeles playing at home, and having Philadelphia travel across the country will be a factor as well. Take the Chargers. Thank you.

Houston Texans.

LATE BAILOUT.

Game 143.

5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST.

I am sure there are those out there that feel the Kansas City Chiefs are in a "due for" situation. I mean, they're just 6-6 with only a handful of games remaining in the regular season, dropping three of their last four straight up, and all four against the spread. Yes, there are 5-1 at Arrowhead Stadium this season, and have dominated the Houston Texans winning five in a row. But Houston enters this matchup red hot, winning four in a row and seven of their last nine straight up, covering six of those nine. CJ Stroud looked sharp in his return last week, throwing for 276 yards, and having a luxury of a ground game that ran for over 100 yards in their road victory at the Indianapolis Coast, 20-16. Throw into the mix the Kansas City Chiefs team is seriously banged up, and maybe without several key contributors (check status), and I feel the Chiefs are once again in trouble. Maybe they are due for a win but that doesn't mean they are going to get that win. I'm sure we can all agree Kansas City isn’t the team that we are used to seeing them be. Even last week, they had a chance to win in Dallas but fell short. Where they were once almost unstoppable in one-score contests, this year they're just 1-6 in that situation. By the way if you're keeping stats, that's the worst since 2009 for them. I feel Patrick Mahomes is going to have further issues against the NFL's top defense. Take the Houston Texans. Thank you.

Green Bay Packers.

NFC NORTH GOM.

Game 134.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

My friends, I understand why (as of posting this play), most of the general public is coming in in Chicago here. The team has won five in a row and nine of their last 10. Why shouldn't the general public be all over them? I'll tell you why, my friends, because Green Bay is a much better team. There are a few key factors that prompt me to take the home team here. First of all, they are playing at home in a very hostile environment for any visitor, especially the hated Bears. Secondly, they're looking for a little revenge as after nine consecutive victories in this division rivalry, Green Bay dropped last January’s matchup at home on the very same field to Chicago, 24-22. Lastly, this is one of the better defenses the Bears have had to face in quite a while. Oh, wait my friends, there is more. Chicago has also had problems against NFC North opponents going 1-2 against the division this season while Green Bay is a perfect 3-0 in the division in 2025. I see quarterback Jordan Love riding momentum from a Thanksgiving Day victory over the Detroit Lions on the road, in which he threw for 234 yards and four touchdowns. The Chicago defense is overworked and at a big disadvantage here. The well-balanced offense of Green Bay will light up the scoreboard in this matchup while their defense takes care of the rest. Take the Packers. Thank you.

Seattle Seahawks.

TOUCHDOWN PLAY.

Game 129.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

The Seahawks can very well be the first team in the NFC to earn 10 victories. They currently sit at 9-3 in the NFC West, tied with the Los Angeles Rams. And, I will tell you this team can certainly finish the regular season with one of the best overall records in the conference. After this week they have a home game against the Colts, followed by another home game against their division rival the Rams, then two road games to finish out the regular season at the Panthers and the 49ers. Everything starts with a victory here this week. They face a Falcons opponent that has dropped six of their last seven straight up, just 2-3 at home this season, and has only covered five games in 2025. Let me remind you Seattle is one of the best road teams in the NFL going 5-1 as a visitor in 2025, covering five of those six games played as a guest as well. Last season’s matchup saw them prevail on the road on this very same field, 34-14. Atlanta is a train wreck. Their offense is horrible and their defense is overworked. On both sides of the line of scrimmage they are outclassed. Let's face it, Seattle ranks fourth in scoring averaging 29.2 PPG, and third in points allowed, allowing just 18.1 PPG. This game gets ugly. Take the Seahawks. Thank you.

Jacksonville Jaguars.

AFC SOUTH BEST BET.

Game 132.

10:00 AM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Two of the better teams in the AFC, happened to both reside in the same division, at the AFC South. On Sunday, the Colts travel to Jacksonville to face the Jaguars, who happen to be tied at 8-4. There is a big difference here, one team is struggling while the other is striding. Indianapolis has dropped two in a row and three of their last four straight up, failing to cover three of those four as well. Jacksonville is red hot, winning and covering three in a row. The Jaguars have covered three of the last four most recent meetings with the Colts, as the last two matchups have each been decided by three-points. I don't know if you're aware, but the Colts never win in Jacksonville going 0-10 SU the last 10 games played down there. I look for one of the most frustrating defenses in the NFL, to contain an Indy offense that has accounted for a combined 36 points the last two weeks. I just don't see them keeping pace on the scoreboard in this matchup either, as the Jaguars "O" has averaged 29.0 PPG during their current win streak. Take the Jaguars. Thank you.

Buffalo Bills.

AFC GOW.

Game 142.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Short and sweet, guys. Cincinnati, following a four=game slide, took down Baltimore in their last outing on the road, 32-14, back on November 27. They come back down to earth here. They travel to Orchard Park to face a Buffalo Bills opponent that is still one of the best teams in the NFL, and desperately needs to put some wins in the plus column. It's true, Buffalo has struggled a bit this season. But their offense is absolutely crushing it, leading the team to four victories in their last six outings. They might be missing a key contributor on offense (check status), but this team is a smart team, a deep team, is at home, and does what it takes to win this time of year. How about a little payback as well, my friends? The Bengals have taken six of the last eight meetings in this AFC rivalry going back 14 years. This includes the two most recent, January 2023 and November 2023. That January matchup saw Cincinnati devour Buffalo, 27-10, on their own field, and end their season.  The way the Bills “O” is surging, and the fact they lineup across from the 32nd-ranked, that's right the worst defense in the NFL allowing 31.2 PPG, I feel this game will get out of hand. The top-ranked running game in football will move the chains on the ground, and allow Josh Allen to open up the passing game. Take the Buffalo Bills. Thank you.

Ohio State.

My friends, throw logic out the window on this one. I know that just about everybody out there as of posting this play likes Indiana. I know that a lot of handicappers out there are coming up with Indiana as well. Once again, the masses are wrong. Yes, on paper the Hoosiers have blown up in higher-fashion some of the same opponents the Buckeyes took down this season. They also average 8.0-points per game more on offense, are a little better at running the ball. But this game isn't played on paper my friends. And let's face it, Indiana has not had to face a defense like they're going up against here this week. Please remember they allowed Penn State to almost beat them a few weeks back. Then they had some throwaway games against Wisconsin and Purdue. They have not faced a defense like they're going to face her again, I had to repeat that. Ohio State's offense is just as explosive, averaging 40.4-points per game and only committed eight turnovers. That is huge. They are better in the air for sure. All that said, yes, this game is being played at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana, but it doesn't matter where this is played. The Buckeyes have dominated the Hoosiers taking 10 consecutive meetings straight up, covering three of the last four most recent matchups. As a matter of fact, over the last four years they've won by 47, 42, 20, and 23-points. Ohio State will come out and prove a point that they are the best team in the country. No. 1 in points allowed (8.5 PPG), No. 1 in total yards, No. 1 in passing yards, and No. 4 in rushing yards. Indiana is in trouble here.

Alabama.

Guys, I know most of the money is coming in on Georgia as of posting this play. But I'm here to tell you, the general public once again has it wrong. Yes, the Bulldogs are on an eight-game straight up win streak covering five of those eight outings. And yes, despite Alabama's offense averaging a little more than one more point per game, I would say the Georgia offense is a little more well-balanced. So, on paper, the Bulldogs look like the play. But I think we can all agree, college football isn’t played on paper, it is played on the gridiron, and Alabama rules the gridiron, especially in this matchup. The Crimson Tide have taken three in a row and nine of the last 10 meetings against their conference rival. This does include a 24-21 road win and cover this season back at the end of September. Not only do they beat this team, they cover against them too, covering three straight, and five of the last six matchups. In that first matchup, the Bulldogs could not stop the Crimson Tide quarterback, Ty Simpson and the passing attack. The quarterback threw for 280 yards passing, and two touchdowns. Statistically, the Georgia defense has tightened up against the past since then. But I don't think it's because they’ve gotten better, I think it's because their schedule permitted them to on paper, improve. Obviously beating a team twice in one season especially a team of this level is difficult. But going back to this matchup, I am not in love with the Bulldogs offense. They only put up 24 points on the Gators, and 16 points on the Yellow Jackets in their last outing. Defensively, they're one of the worst in the country at sacking the quarterback, and they also rank 50th against the pass. By the way, they've only snagged eight turnovers as well. Their defense succeeds because they are very good against the rush. But what good is that when you're facing an offense that does not rely upon rushing the ball. The ‘Bama offense ranks 101st, averaging 137.6 yards per game on the ground. They only run to keep defenses honest, and allow their passing game to open up. That's where you're gonna’ see a big difference. The 17th-ranked passing attack of the Crimson Tide going up against the 50th-ranked pass defense of the Bulldogs. By the way, let's not forget Alabama's defense has been stellar this season, not allowing a single opponent since their first week of the season to put up better than 24-points on them. They allow just 18.0 PPG, have forced 10 turnovers, are ninth against the pass and 37th against the rush. They have been extremely stingy against the run, and that's how Georgia offense moves the chains. One last thing, guys don't be fooled by the fact the Crimson Tide have two losses this season. Don't let that influence you. They enter this matchup with confidence knowing they've dominated this rivalry.

Texas Tech.

My friends, I'm not gonna’ tell you that many times I feel in a revenge situation from a recent blowout embarrassing loss, I would automatically look to come on the loser of that first game in the second matchup. But that's not the case here. Texas Tech dominated BYU back on November 8 at home, 29-7. Now guys, the Cougars are a very good team. Obviously sporting an 11-1 straight up record and covering nine of their 12 outings, proves that statement. But the Red Raiders are a great team. In that first matchup, Texas Tech quarterback, Behren Morton was under pressure for a lot of the game. And yet he's still threw for over 219 yards, one touchdown, while the running game accumulated 149 yards. As a matter of fact, the quarterback was -47 yards personally in rushing in the game because of sacks. It was the Texas Tech defense that made the difference. I feel Morton will have a much better performance in this outing, while the nation’s third-ranked stop-unit takes care of the rest. Yes, the Red Raiders defense allows just 12.3 points per game, ranking number one in the nation against the rush and 29th against the pass. No matter how you cut it, the Cougars offense is in trouble here. On the flipside, I look for Morton and the eighth-ranked aerial assault in the nation to go out of their way, prove a point, and light up the scoreboard in the air. Remember, this is a this is a very well-balanced offense that not only averages over 322.5 yards in the air per game, they also average over 211.2 yards per game on the ground. I don't see why this matchup will be any different than the earlier matchup.

Boise State.

As a Las Vegas resident of 36 years, I know the Mountain West Conference very well. While I try to support my local teams as much as possible, my loyalty is to my bankroll and to you. My friends, Superman had kryptonite and UNLV has Boise State. The Rebels cannot beat the Broncos, who have taken 10 consecutive meetings in this rivalry, covering seven of those 10, which does include six consecutive ATS covers. This season, these two conference rivals met on October 18 here in Vegas, as BSU prevailed 56-31. Both teams come in here on winning streaks, but Boise State had an extra day to rest, heal, and prepare. This is also a home game for the Broncos, and you know how loyal their fans are. Quarterback, Madsen (nearly 2,000 YP, nearly a 60% CR, 15/7) is returning from injury, but reports are he is 100%. There is also the storyline the Broncos are leaving the mountain west for the Pac 12 next year. They want to leave on a high note. This is also going to be a cold game, which does not benefit UNLV. There is no question the Broncos defense is tougher. Yes, I will admit the Rebels offense scores a bit more, but Boise State has frustrated better offenses than this. They continue their domination in this rivalry.

Jacksonville State.

Sports fans, in all sincerity, the wrong team is favored in this matchup. Yes, Kennesaw State sports a better overall record at 9-3, and a better ATS mark as well, at 7-4-1, but they've lost and failed to cover the last three meetings with Jacksonville State, which does include a November 15 game, 35-26. The Gamecocks are a heck of a team, going 8-4 SU, and covering six of their 12 outings this season. One of the biggest differences in this matchup is the home record of Jacksonville State, as they are 5-0 when hosting this season. This game is being played in Jacksonville, Alabama and will be filled with Gamecock fans. With all respect to the Owls, they are just 3-3 on the road in 2025. Playing away from home has been an issue for the team. The K State defense leaves a lot to be desired, while their offense turned the ball over 14 times this season. The Jax State offense possesses the nation’s third-ranked rushing attack. They also possess a pretty decent defense that has snagged 12 takeaways. They will control the clock and the tempo of this game offensively, and win this game outright. But I will take the points the odds makers are giving us.

Broncos.

If you would have been asked in the preseason which team would have a 9-2 record and which team would have a 3-8 record thus far, you would've said Washington would have the better mark, while Denver would be struggling. But that's not the case here. The Broncos are the hottest team in the NFL winning eight in a row and going 5-3 against the spread during that time. With a combination of a surging offense and a defense that is downright ferocious, I can see them dominating one of the biggest disappointments this season, the Commanders. Washington is now on a six-game losing streak both SU/ATS, and just can't do anything right. Momentum plays a big part in the NFL, right now Denver has momentum.

Bills.

Dropping their last outing nine days ago on the road at the Texans, the Bills must come back here and put a big victory up against a Steelers team that has dropped four of their last six overall. It's true, Buffalo has won and covered each of the last two meetings against Pittsburgh, and as I mentioned earlier are in a must-win situation here. I feel Josh Allen will absolutely pick apart the 31st ranked past defense of Pittsburgh, while the Buffalo defense comes up back here following several lackluster performances.

Texans.

Yes, the Colts are 6-0 at home this season and 2-0 against division opponents. However, I believe they're coming in here a bit overvalued by oddsmakers as they have failed to cover two of their last three outings. They have lost the last three meetings against the Texans, all close games but still lost all three. Houston enters this matchup red hot winning three in a row and six of their last eight straight up. Very quietly, their defense ranks in the top five in every single category. Their stop unit will frustrate the top scoring offense in the league. On the flipside, the Colts are getting absolutely decimated in the air with their secondary which ranks 28th in the NFL. I think this game comes down to the wire and possibly even the visitor winning out right. But I will take the points with Houston.

Jaguars.

The Jaguars are putting themselves in a position for a nice post season slot. They have won two in a row and three of their last four straight up, which does include road victories in two of three during that span. Compare that to the Titans 0-6 home record, and it makes you think. Tennessee is just atrocious. Maybe they have covered three in a row, but let's face it, they were ‘dogs of 10, 5.5, and 13 points. The Titans offense is nonexistent, ranking 30th in scoring averaging just 15.2 points per game, and have committed 14 turnovers. The rank 30th in passing in 32nd in rushing which really does concern me even more. They do not have any ground attack whatsoever to keep a defense honest. It really wouldn't matter here as the Jaguars stop unit tops the league against the rush. I just don't see how the home team can compete here on the scoreboard at all.

Dolphins.

We've waited for the Dolphins to start getting hot, and they are. They've won and covered their last two outings both at home, against the Bills and Commanders. They now host one of the poorest teams in the NFL, the Saints. New Orleans is just 2-9 straight up, covering only three of their 11 games this season, and sporting a 1-4 road record. With the way the Miami “O” has found their rhythm is starting to surge, and a defense that had has held two solid offensive units at bay, I just don't see the visitor here keeping pace. I mean they average just 15 points per game, and they're gonna’ have trouble against the stout Miami “D”. Yes, the Dolphins have their own issues on offense, but they will come in here with confidence having taken down two formidable opponents in the last two outings.

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Alabama.

Alabama controls their own destiny in reaching the SEC championship game. A victory here will send them to Atlanta for that title game. Yes, Auburn is looking for their sixth victory on the season to become bowl eligible. But let's face it, outside of a slim victory over Arkansas, and a routing of Mercer, this team has dropped every other game going back to mid-September. They are just 1-6 in conference play this season, and no matter what, they still must face a defense that has been stellar this season yielding just 17.8 PPG. I look for the Crimson Tide and they're explosive aerial assault to absolutely pick apart the 75th-ranked Tigers pass defense. One thing for sure, ‘Bama knows how to win in big game situations.

Texas Tech.

Texas Tech will come in here well-rested having come off a bye week, and with a victory here today, they will earn their first ever spot in the conference championship game, and basically clinch a spot in the CFP. The Red Raiders are 10-1 SU this season covering nine of those 11 games. As a matter of fact, during their current four-game win Streak, the average margin of victory has been by 32.0 PPG. They currently rank fifth overall in the polls, and there are some tough matchups today with some of the teams that are ranked in the top-five. Anything could happen, my friends. But this game is an early game, and they need to win with authority. West Virginia is a train wreck at 4-7 SU this season ranking 110th in scoring, and getting steamrolled for nearly 30 points per game (29.2 PPG). They just won't be able to keep pace on the scoreboard in this matchup. Texas Tech averages over 42.6 PPG and will absolutely pick apart the very lax defense of their opponent here. On the opposite side of the line of scrimmage, the Red Raiders are holding teams to suggest 12.3 PPG. They will completely shut down the Mountaineers offense.

Georgia Tech.

It's true, the Bulldogs have dominated the Yellow Jackets taking seven consecutive meetings straight up, but Georgia Tech has covered three straight. They also enter this matchup playing some good football. With all respect to Georgia, I feel they're overvalued here. Yes, I know the Georgia Tech defense leaves a lot to be desired. But they have a one of the most explosive running attacks in the nation, and will give their opponent a heavy dose of their ground game. Believe it or not, they average more points than their arrival does. They know the game plan, they'll stick to it, and they will cover.

Chicago Bears.

Chicago comes into this matchup one of the hottest teams in the NFL, winning four in a row and eight of their last nine straight up, covering seven of those nine outings. Meanwhile, Philadelphia was running hot winning and covering four straight before last week's debacle. The Eagle’s had a 21-0 lead over the Cowboys, only to fall apart, and drop the game 24-21. I do feel they'll come out with something to prove in this matchup, and they have dominated this rivalry taking six in a row straight up going back more than a dozen years, but this is way too many points to give a surging Bears team that is finding no one improved ways to win.

Mississippi.

Mississippi has an outside shot at reaching the SEC championship game, but a few things must happen that is beyond their control, along with them winning here today. That is certainly something they can control. The visitor in this storied matchup is 8-1-1 ATS the last 10 meetings. I don't have any concerns worrying about ‘Ole Miss lighting up the scoreboard against their old rival, Mississippi State. I mentioned the Rebels have a chance at the conference title, but without question, a big dominating victory here today would ensure them a spot in the CFP. Their opponent has it getting plowed in recent games, yielding 41, 31, 23, 45, 35, 41, 49 points in consecutive outings. The well-balanced Mississippi offense, will move the chains with ease on the ground, allowing them to open up their passing game, and light up to scoreboard.