New York Knicks.

New York has shown not just talent, but true heart in this year’s Finals. More than once in this series they’ve been down by double-digits, and have come back to win. Being down as many as 29-points in Game 4, and then coming back to win shows me exactly what this team is made of. While I feel San Antonio is a very good team, and has a very bright future ahead of them, they are just not ready this year. You see folks, their best player is young, and easily frustrated. As a matter of fact, the entire team is easily frustrated. When you look at the Knicks, this is one of the most unselfish, without ego teams I have seen in the NBA in as far back as I can remember. On any given night, any one player can lead in points another and rebounds, etc. They don’t care who gets the headlines. They only care about winning. Many teams don’t have what it takes to bounce back after giving up a 29-point lead to lose in the Final’s. And I really feel the Spurs are not one of those teams. As good as the home team is, New York is playing with momentum, playing very unselfishly, has the depth, the talent, and the coaching to not just keep this game competitive, but to win this game. I feel this will be very close, a lot closer than the pointspread. Take the Knicks. Thank you.

New York Knicks.

New York took game one over with authority, in the final three quarters. That was their third straight up win against San Antonio this season in four meetings, and their fourth ATS cover. Very quietly, the Knicks have now rattled off 12 straight wins this postseason. On the road in this years playoffs, they have covered seven straight outings. The one thing about the visiting team here, they are very unselfish. On any given night, someone can lead them in points, another player can lead a rebound, etc. They don’t care about the glory, my friends. They care about winning. While San Antonio certainly deserves to be here, I think we can all agree they can be frustrated easily. Especially their top player, Victor Wembanyama. I’m not going to deny he is a great player with an extremely bright future. However, he is still a young player and psychologically, I think New York can and will frustrate him badly. I know he led the Spurs in the series opener with 26-points. But he was just 6-of-21 from the floor. People forget how good the New York defense really is. The Knicks forced 13 turnovers in game one. They also shot better overall, offensively in that matchup as well. I believe once again they will be able to frustrate Wembanyama and the rest of the team, while they put a very physical style of play on San Antonio. I also feel their defense is way underrated. Not to mention they have a trio of players that have been playing together one way or another since early college days. They have a great rhythm and play unselfishly as I mentioned earlier. I feel this game will be extremely close if not another underdog outright winner. Take the New York Knicks. Thank you.

New York Knicks.

Not many people out there are giving New York any sort of a chance to win this series. Meanwhile, this is a team that has amassed of very good record, is strong on the road, and has covered the number quite often this season. They enter this matchup having won 11 straight playoff games this postseason. As a matter of fact, they have one and covered six straight games played on the road in this season’s playoffs. They come into this Game 1 better-rested having had four extra days to rest, heal, and prepare for the Finals. This season alone, they have covered all three meetings against the San Antonio Spurs, winning two of the games outright. The second game, which was sandwiched on the road between two home games, was a two-point loss in which they covered. With all respect to the Spurs, who do deserve to be here, they come in here, not as well-rested, coming off a grueling seven-game series against the Thunder. They are a very good team, my friends. But they are led by a young player in Victor Wembanyama. While he is extremely talented and has a very bright future, he is still young, and gets frustrated easily. I feel the physicality of New York is going to frustrate the center as well as the rest of the team. Something else I want you to understand; the Knicks are a very unselfish team. On any given night one player can lead the team in points and another player in rebounds, etc., and the next night it changes. They’re not here for glory. They’re here to win a championship. I think this game will be very close. Take New York. Thank you.

New York Knicks.

New York was getting crushed in the series opener, before they outscored Cleveland in the final quarter, 32-18, forcing overtime. They then dominated the Cavaliers 14-3. If there was to be a letdown, or a big step up by Cleveland, it would’ve happened in the second game of this series. However, the Knicks prevailed, 109-93. I feel they can ride momentum into this game three on the road. Very quietly, the has won won nine consecutive games, going 8-1 against the spread during that span, which includes wins and covers in all four road games played. Granted, they had problems over the last season or so in Cleveland, but this is a different New York team, my friends. The Cavaliers have failed to cover three of their last four outings. This is the team that is pointspread poison, failing to cover 58 games this season. Take the Knicks. Thank you

New York Knicks.

New York overcame a huge deficit in the series-opener to take down Cleveland at home, 115-104. This is one of the better home teams in the league, and let’s face it, the Cavaliers lose a little luster when they travel. If you recall, in the last round, which went seven games, Cleveland had problems on the road at Detroit in the first two games, losing and failing to cover both. I feel that will be the same situation here. By the way, they also lost games three and four on the road in the first round of this postseason in Toronto. They obviously have problems on the road. As a matter fact, they are 2-6 as a visitor this postseason against the spread. New York will ride the momentum from that big victory in game one, and take them down here in game two, going up two games to none. Take the Knicks. Thank you.

Minnesota Timberwolves.

LVSM.

Game 515.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

We all know Victor Wembanyama left Game 4 early and it had a significant impact on the outcome of the game. He will be playing here, my friends. But I still feel this is way too many points to give a very game, Minnesota Timberwolves visitor. San Antonio is a very good team, and certainly deserving of all their accolades. They also cover a lot of games. There are monsters at home, as well. However, Minnesota knows they cannot drop down in the series. It would make it very difficult for them to then win two in a row to advance to the Conference Finals. They must get a big victory here tonight. Even if they lose this game, my friends, I still feel they’re gonna’ be very competitive and keep this game a lot closer than the double-digit pointspread. Take the Timberwolves. Thank you.

Pistons.

Detroit is the definition of a streaky team. Right now, they are streaking in the right direction winning five consecutive games and covering their last four outings, which does include wins and covers in both games played in this series thus far. To be quite honest, Cleveland is a very good team. However, not only are they showing signs of fatigue, they are crushing followers against the spread. This is a team that has dropped five of their last seven games SU, and six of those last seven ATS. I believe they’re being overvalued here once again. There is no denying the Pistons and their frustrating defense. They matched up quite well with the Cavaliers, and I feel this game will be very competitive and come down to the final seconds. Therefore, we’re taking the visitors. Take Detroit. Thank you.

Minnesota Timberwolves.

Fast Break Play.

Game 563.

6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST.

As good as the San Antonio Spurs are, their kryptonite is the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Timberwolves took Game 1 of this series with authority winning outright, 104-102, as an 11.5-point underdog. That was their sixth straight up victory in this rivalry over the last seven meetings. People forget how deep, talented, and well-coached the Timberwolves are. This is a team that is red-hot, win seven of their last nine outings both straight up, and against the number. They match up well with the Spurs. Yes, on paper San Antonio scores a little more and allows a little less. But the NBA isn’t played on paper. It is played on the hardwood, and to be quite honest, I just see this game being another competitive matchup, certainly closer than the pointspread. Take Minnesota. Thank you.

Toronto Raptors.

SLAM DUNK.

Game 541.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

It’s true, each team has taken each of the home games in this series. However, the way the Raptors won an overtime in Game 6, tells me they can ride momentum into Game 7, and play very competitively here. Please understand that while the Cavaliers are a very good team, they have covered just of 35 of 88 games this season. They tend to be seriously overvalued by oddsmakers. Meanwhile, Toronto has covered four straight coming into this game, while Cleveland has failed to cover their last four. This is way too many points. Takes the Raptors. Thank you.

Orlando Magic.

FAST BREAK PLAY.

Game 545.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

Toronto has covered the last four meetings in this series. But yet, they come into this matchup an underdog of around 7.5-points. To me. this is way too many points to give a team that is not intimidated playing Cleveland, and furthermore, playing on the road in Cleveland. I feel this is way too many points for a Game 7 matchup in which the visitor could certainly win outright. Take the Raptors. thank you.

Toronto Raptors.

FAST BREAK PLAY.

Game 522.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

Cleveland is a 3-2 in this series. However, bad news for the Cavaliers is they are not the same team on the road as they are at home, especially against Toronto. They lost and failed cover both games played in this round one matchup, on the road. Going back a bit further, they have lost and failed to cover three straight games played against the Raptors as a visitor. Looking at their season overall, they have lost and failed to cover three straight games played away from home. Don’t get me wrong, this is a good team. But they lose something when they travel. Speaking of the Raptors, they have won and covered five straight games played on their own court. They are money at home, my friends. They are also significantly stronger overall against the spread this season then their opponent as well. They are faced with elimination here, and I feel you will see their best basketball played in this postseason, thus far, in this game. They have covered three straight games in this series. Ingram (status) is listed as questionable. He is a significant part of the team. However, they are deep at the position, and I feel although his uncertainty may reflect in the number right now, it doesn’t affect the team overall, as I feel, they will win this game out right. But giving them points at home is a mistake made by the oddsmakers. Their frustrating defense, particularly from beyond the arc is going to be big here in this matchup, as their superior defensive rebounding core. Take Toronto. Thank you.

Orlando Magic.

SLAM DUNK.

Game 526.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

With another victory, Orlando will send the Eastern Conference’s top seed home packing. The Detroit Pistons had an amazing season, amassing an overall record of 62-25. But let’s be honest, when they travel, they lose a little bit of luster, and that is the issue in this series too. They have dropped both games on the road at the round 1 matchup, being outscored by eight and six-points. I feel this line is way too high. The Magic are a very good team, especially at home where they are 28-15 this season. They are also significantly better at covering the number than their opponent is. Going back a bit, Orlando is 3-0. both straight up and against the number this post season at home. Going back even further, they have won and covered five straight on their own court. This is a team that plays amazing basketball in front of their loyal fans. Yes, it looks like (check status) Franz Wagner is going to miss this game. But this squad is so deep upfront, I feel that although it reflects in the number here, it really doesn’t affect them overall. Statistically, the Pistons own better numbers. But not very much. And I feel playing at home gives the Magic a huge advantage. Take Orlando. Thank you.

Celtics.

Fast Break Play.

Game 509.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

After taking a commanding 3-1 lead in this series, Game 5 was a debacle for the Boston Celtics. Going into the fourth quarter, they had a slim lead only to watch themselves unravel and be outscored 28-11 in the period. This is a very deep, very talented, very experienced team that will come out here and finish this series up before going onto the next. The Celtics have taken both meetings with the 76ers in this series on the road. Going back a bit, they have taken three of the last four away meetings in this rivalry. They are one of the best road teams in the NBA, and are looking to exact revenge from an embarrassing Game 5 performance. Boston will dominate the boards at both ends of the court here, while their top-ranked defense stifles the Philadelphia offense. Take the Celtics. Thank you.

New York Knicks.

New York is one of the best home teams in the NBA. They opened up this series with a commanding 113-102 victory at Madison Square Garden. They lost the next few games. But something was missing. I think we can all agree their chemistry wasn’t right. Meanwhile, they only dropped each of those games by just one-point. In Game 4 on the road in Atlanta, this team found their rhythm. I feel coming back home in front of their loyal fans, they will get another big victory. Atlanta is not one of the better road teams in the league. They lose a little luster when they travel. The Knicks are healthy, playing at home in front of the loyal fans, and still possess one of the most frustrating defenses in basketball. They will dominate the glass here, and when it comes to getting physical, they will shoot better from the free-throw line. Take New York. Thank you.

Denver Nuggets.

FAST BREAK WINNER,

Game 506.

7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST.

Very simply, that Denver Nuggets outclass, the Minnesota Timberwolves. They are just a better team, my friends. Denver has dominated Minnesota once again this season taking four of five meetings, both straight up as well as against the number. Obviously, this includes Game 1 of this series by a score of 116-105. Momentum is a big thing this time of the year in the NBA. Right now, no team can match the momentum of the Nuggets who have not dropped a game since mid-March. That’s right, my friends, they have won 13 straight contests. They are monsters at home, sporting a record of 29-13 SU on their own court. With the 11-point victory on Saturday, they have also covered three straight. There’s no question that T-Wolves are a decent theme. However, they have struggled down the stretch, dropping six of their last 10 outings. There is no way the home team is going to allow them back in this series. Once again, we see Edwards listed as questionable. He was listed as questionable for the series-opener and came out and scored 22-points with nine rebounds. Let’s go on the assumption he will play (If he does, that’s fine. If he doesn’t, that’s fine, too). Their defense has gotten beaten recently like they stole something (lol). They rely heavily upon their outside shooting. But this does not bode well here because the Nuggets own one of the best three-point shooting defenses in the NBA. They’re also a little bit better at both ends of the court on the boards, and let’s not even get into how much better they are from downtown. They op the league in three-point shooting, hitting nearly 40% (39.6%), and will pick up part the 13th ranked three-point shooting defense of the visitors here. This game will get out of hand. Take Denver. Thank you.

New York Knicks.

ATR PLAY.

Game 504.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

I released the New York Knicks as a free play in Game 1 of this series. But watching that game, I should’ve released it as a premium play. New York dominated Atlanta for most of the game. As a matter of fact, they didn’t trail at all, after the first half of the first period. Even towards the end of the game, went Atlanta went on an 11-0 run, New York kept their composure to prevail, 106-98. Playing at Madison Square Garden is certainly a huge advantage for the Knicks, who own a 31-10 record on their own court. Not only that, but they cover as well. They are riding a five-game home cover streak. I believe the team knows they have to make a run at the NBA title, and they have to do it now. They have taken six of the last seven meetings against Atlanta, straight up, covering four of those seven meetings. Speaking of the Hawks, they are certainly not the same team on the road as they are at home. They have lost and failed to cover four of their last five overall games, which does include all three games played as a guest during that span. OG Anunoby is listed as questionable as of this morning (check status). But even if the forward it does not play, I feel that the Knicks have the depth, the confidence, and the motivation to win big here tonight. They know that going on the road for games 3 and 4, is going to be a tough task. So, they must get a big victory here and take a commanding lead in this series. I expect very little change from the series-opening performance as New York outrebounded Atlanta, shot better from the free-throw line, shot better from the three-point line, and of course, shot better overall from the floor. Take the Knicks. Thank you.

Blazers.

The general public is all over the fav here, and I can understand why. This team is 62-21 overall, covering 45 games this season, and possessing a home record of 32-8. They enter this matchup winning eight of their last 10 SU, and covering six of those 10 contests. However, this is way too many points to give a very game, surging visitor. These two teams have met three times this season, and yes, San Antonio prevailed in two of the three matchups. But Portland enters this game, winning three in a row and seven of their last 10 SU, also covering seven of those 10 outings. They have covered three of four as a visitor, and I feel have they possess mindset that they are not intimidated by Victor Wembanyama or the San Antonio team. Portland is one of the youngest teams in the NBA. Certainly, too young to be intimidated by the host team. While the Spurs, I will admit do have experience, youth accounts for a lot this time of year. Statistically, on both sides of the court, the Spurs do own better numbers. But I feel this will be quite even on the boards and when the game gets physical, also evenly matched from the free-throw line. I just feel giving the Blazer better than double-digits is a mistake. Take Portland. Thank you.

Nuggets.

With the status (as of post) of Anthony Edwards, still not known, in my opinion that reflects in the number. If he plays, the number will drop. If he is out, the number will rise. Having said that, the Nuggets have taken three of four meetings with the Timberwolves this season both straight up and against the spread. While Minnesota is a solid road team, Denver is one of the best home teams in the NBA. Not only that, but they've covered 44 games this season while the visitor here has only covered 37 outings. Coming into tonight's matchup we cannot ignore how strong the Nuggets finished the regular season, winning 12 consecutive games to close out the campaign. I think you'll see that they got better as the season progressed because they got healthier. They possess the league’s top scoring offense, and rank in the top-five in just about every major offensive category. They're strong on the boards at both ends of the court, and will take away Minnesota’s heavily relied upon three-point shooting offense, with the NBA's third-ranked three-point shooting defense. I feel there's a big mismatch on the glass in here. I also feel the Timberwolves cannot compete on the scoreboard offensively. Take the Nuggets. Thank you.

Toronto.

As a releasing this game, more of a percentage of the general public are playing the visiting team here. I agree with them, for once. Yes, the Raptors took all three meetings this season against the Cavaliers, covering them as well. And also yes, they were all before James Harden joined the Cav’s squad. While he is one of the most significant players in the NBA, I just don't feel his addition warrants being this much of a favorite against a team who plays well on the road, covers the number, and is chock full of talent. Please also remember, despite possessing an overall record of 52-30, the Cleveland has only covered 33 games this season. They tend to be overvalued by oddsmakers. And I believe that's what's happening here again today. Take the Raptors. Thank you.

Arizona.

I don't think it would be an outlandish statement to say these two teams are the best two teams remaining in college basketball. They have combined this season for a 71-5 record. Both teams have annihilated everybody in their way for most of the campaign, let alone the postseason. But looking closely at these two combatants, I feel there's a big edge for Arizona. They have the size to frustrate Michigan in the paint. And in my opinion, possess the best overall rebounding core in the nation. By the way, it can't sit well with them they have a slightly better record than their opponent, and yet on a neutral site, they are considered the underdog. Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

Oklahoma.

Very simply, Oklahoma comes into this matchup with more momentum. This is a team that has won and covered seven of their last eight games against them solid opposition. I feel the Sooners are also motivated due to the fact they had a good argument to make the Big Dance and did not. So, they're gonna’ come out here and prove a point that they are the best team in this Tournament. One further item, my friends it is no secret Baylor has had their way in this rivalry, so revenge plays a big part for Oklahoma as well. The Sooner and Bears possess very similar statistics both offensively and defensively. The one thing that is certainly a big edge for Oklahoma, is there a far better from shooting beyond the arc, a place where Baylor has had problems defending. Take the Sooners. Thank you.

Duke.

Looking at the money on this game, as of posting this release early morning on Sunday, the general public is all over the underdog. I understand why. I mean come on, this is a lot of points to give a team that is rolling, taking down some solid opposition for most of the season, and particularly very recently. UConn discarded Furman in the opening round of the Big Dance, not covering, but certainly was in control most of the game. Then they took down UCLA with authority only to follow up with a four-point squeaker over Michigan State. The one thing many people do not know about the Huskies is they have only covered 15-of-37 lined games this season. Sports fans, I'm here to tell you the Duke Blue Devils are on a mission. I know they struggled a little bit, despite their 35-2 record. Yes, there were times they did not cover the number, but still went 20-17 AYS this season. But they are at full force right now, at full strength as both Caleb Foster and Patrick Ngonba look to be in top form. Both players were out for a bit but have returned. In their last outing, the Blue Devils were down by as many as 10-points against the Red Storm. They came back to win by five-points, not covering, but showing what they are truly made of. I am comparing this game to that game because both St. John's and Connecticut play in the Big East, one of the more physical conferences in college basketball. Just FYI, the Huskies lost for to the Red Storm on March 14 by 20-point (wink wink nudge nudge). Looking at their rosters, during the regular season, Connecticut possessed five double-digit scorers. But yet they were 145th in scoring, averaging a mere 78.2 PPG, and they’re not very good on the offensive boards either, and in this matchup that will definitely hurt. Duke possesses three double-digit scorers with one player, Cameron Boozer, averaging over 22.7 PPG during the regular season. During the postseason, he's averaging over 21.0 PPG. While the Huskies possess a top-10 defense, the Blue Devils “D” ranks second nationally. I believe they're going to further frustrate the lackluster offense of their opponent here, while they absolutely dominate the defensive glass. This is a team that allows just 38.9% shooting overall from the floor, and ranks seventh nationally on the defensive boards. Please understand offensively, Duke averages over 83.0 PPG, hitting 49.6% overall from the floor, and rank 15th in the nation on the offensive glass. They give themselves a ton of second-chance opportunities. After experiencing a scare in their last outing against St. John's, I feel this team will come out here and take no prisoners, and go full throttle from start to finish. Oh, by the way, this game is being played in Washington, North Carolina, only 131 miles away from Durham. You will see a huge Duke presence in the stand, making this like a home game for them. Ahem, they went 15-0 at home this season. Maybe not technically a home game, but close enough. Take the Blue Devils. Thank you.

Arizona.

You may look at this line and feel it's a little high. In my opinion, it isn't high enough. Yes, Purdue owns a record of 30-8 this season and enters today's game winning all seven of their postseason outings. And, let's face it, they took down some notable opponents like Nebraska and Michigan. But this is a matchup does not benefit them at all. Arizona is 35-2, and is riding their own hot streak, winning 12 consecutive contests. They have faced and taken down some solid opposition during their flawless postseason, beating such teams as Iowa State and Houston. Looking at their statistics, yes, the Boilermakers can score points, and they own a solid defense. However, the Wildcats are chock full of scorers, averaging over 86.1 PPG. They hit 50.0% overall from the floor, 36.4% from downtown, and ranked No.2 in the nation on the offensive boards. This is where this game will be won. They are amazing at giving themselves second-chance opportunities. Granted, Purdue enters this matchup with a great defensive rebounding core. But I think they are at a disadvantage here. While the Boilermakers rely heavily upon outside shooting, hitting 38.5% from downtown, they are going up against one of the most frustrating three-point defenses in college basketball. Arizona yields just 31.1% from beyond the arc. Now on the flipside, the Wildcats, as I mentioned earlier hit 36.4% from three-point land, and will absolutely pick apart the very lax Purdue 220th-ranked three-point shooting defense. I feel on the boards, the depth, the size, the strength, etc., all belongs to the Wildcats. Take Arizona. Thank you.

Michigan State.

UConn is a very good team. As you know, they are 31-5 this season, and play a very physical game of basketball. MSU, is also a very good team, amassing a record of 27-7 this season. The one thing about the Spartans, they can match the Huskies physicality. Connecticut cannot steamroll Michigan State at all. Oh, by the way. UConn is pointspread poison, only covering 14-of-36 lined games this season.  Yes, Dan Hurley is an excellent coach. But he is facing one of the most experienced and seasoned Big Dance coaches in the history of college basketball. Tom Izzo is crafty, and knows how to prepare his team for each opponent. UConn heavily relies upon their big man, their center, Reed. However, MSU has a deep frontcourt they can rotate to frustrate and tire out Reed. As good as the Huskies are on offense, the Spartans can keep pace with them as they do average almost a point more per game. Defensively, they are just frustrating. This game is going to come down to two things: rebounds and free-throws. Without question, the Spartans are going to be one of the toughest rebounding squads the Huskies have had to face in a while. And they will rebound them here. And when this game gets physical, and it will get physical, Michigan State is significantly better from the free-throw line. I feel the wrong team is favored here. But I will take the points with the Spartans. Thank you.

Alabama.

Very simply, this is way too many points for Michigan to give this opponent. Please understand the Wolverines have only covered 16-of-36 lined games this season. My friends, the oddsmakers seriously overvalue this team. I'm not looking to take anything away from them, they are a monster squad. But when it comes to covering the number, they are pointsspread poison, failing to cover four of five games played this postseason, and going back a little bit eight of their last 10 outings. The Crismon Tide have covered five of their last seven outings, and I believe are being undervalued in this matchup. It is true, the Wolverines own a monster defense. However, Alabama ranks third in the nation, averaging over 91.8 PPG. They are also monsters on the offensive glass, are very accurate from downtown, and are better from the free-throw line. I just feel this is way too many points. Take the Crimson Tide. Thank you.

Iowa.

Yes, these two teams met just 18 days ago as Nebraska prevailed at home in overtime, 84-75. Prior to that, Iowa took four straight matchups in this rivalry, covering all four as well. The Cornhuskers are a good team, my friends. I am not questioning that. I just feel the Hawkeyes match up well with them. On paper, Nebraska possesses more guys that can score points. But college basketball especially this time of year is not played on paper. Iowa can and will compete with their depth and accuracy. They score just about as much and hit 49% overall from the floor. Defensively, they allow less and rank fourth in the nation on the boards taking away any second-chance opportunities this opponent will have. I feel the wrong team is favored in this matchup. Take the Hawkeyes. Thank you.

Texas.

It's hard to believe Texas had to fight to get into the NCAA Big Dance. This is a team traditionally we see making it in very easily. They took down NC State in the First Four bracket to earn the 11th seed and the West Regional. They entered that game as a small underdog and won outright. They then took on BYU in the first round of this NCAA Tournament again as an underdog, and prevailed 79-71. Most recently four days ago, yet again they were an underdog, a big underdog at that, and took down Gonzaga, 74-68. This team is playing with motivation and certainly striding at the right time. Please remember that they have covered 19 of 34 lined games this season. Playing with momentum certainly plays a part here, I feel. They score more than their opponent, they are extremely good on the boards, far superior than their opponent. They have the size to compete in the paint. And I feel Purdue is once again overrated. Don't get me wrong, the Boilermakers are a good team. And they have covered three straight and four of their last five. But prior to that, they failed to cover five in a row, and 14 of their previous 18 contests. I wasn't joking when I said that they tend to be overvalued. Purdue has, let's just say, a slower front line which allowed conference opponents to hit 56% from inside the arc. They're going up against a very fast-moving team, that can keep pace on the scoreboard. Texas accounts are over 84.4 PPG, hitting 49% overall from the floor, is excellent on the offensive glass, and ranks 10th nationally on the defensive boards. Yes, the Boilermaker have a good defense too, and hit 50.1% overall from the floor, but I just feel they are once again overvalued and their opponent will compete here. Take the Longhorns. Thank you.

Nevada.

My friends, sportsbetting is not about who wins. Sportsbetting is about who covers. Put a pin in that we will come back around to it. It’s true, the Mountain West Conference is not as powerful as the SEC. It is also true, that on a regular basis, the Wolfpack do not face the same level of competition as does the Tigers. But Nevada enters this matchup winning and covering four of their five postseason games. Auburn on the other hand, has failed to cover three straight, and going back a while, 13 of their last 15 outings. This team is being overvalued, once again in this tournament. Yes, they took down South Alabama by 11-points, but they were giving 17.5-points. They also eked out a six-point victory over Seattle in their last outing as a 13.5-point favorite. They are the No 1 seed in their region in this Tourney. But (and there is always a but), but Nevada is a No. 2 seed in their region in the NIT. We all know the SEC consists of teams that can score. Auburn is no different averaging over 82.5 PPG. It is more than the 75.9 PPG Nevada averages. However defensively, the Tigers give up a ton of points as well, yielding 79.4 PPG, while the Wolfpack only allows 72.0 PPG. I also feel Nevada can compete in the paint on the boards in this contest, and they shoot considerably better from downtown. Let's not forget they're also better from the free-throw line. I think this is way too many points. Take the Wolfpack. Thank you.

UConn.

My friends, it looks like both teams are dealing with some injury issues. Always do your due diligence and check status. But even if the UCLA issues are resolved and the UConn issues are not, I still think the line is way short here. You see, the Bruins are not as deep as the Huskies. Nor do they have the muscle to compete in this matchup. UCLA had their hands full with Central Florida in the first round while Connecticut toyed with Furman. They will come in here with fresher legs. Both teams score about the same. However, defensively the Huskies own one of the most frustrating and swarming units in college basketball ranking ninth in the nation, and allowing a mere 65.3 PPG. You will also see a major mismatch on the boards here. At both ends of the court, Connecticut is bigger and stronger and will dominate the glass. While UCLA is very good from beyond the arc, they must face one of the best three-point defenses in college basketball here. I just see a major mismatch, my friends. Take the Huskies. Thank you.

Arizona.

Against some very solid opposition, Arizona has won 10 consecutive games. Just over the last month or so, they have taken down BYU, Houston twice, Baylor, Kansas, Iowa State twice, Colorado, Central Florida, and most recently LIU. Now I'm not gonna’ put their last opponent, the Sharks in the same category as the rest of the teams I just mentioned. But the way they took down LIU tells me this team is on a mission. Laying 30.5-points, they bested the LIU, 92-58. This team has no problem beating up lesser opponents or covering big numbers. As a matter of fact, they've covered five of their last seven outings, and three of four laying double-digits during that span. Utah State is a good team with a good record. But I think we can all agree they don't face the same level of competition on a regular basis as their opponent does. Yes, during this postseason, the Aggies took down the Rebels, the Wolfpack, the Aztecs, and most recently the Wildcats. They won and covered all four of those games. But none of those themes are going to prepare Utah State for the Arizona team they're going to face here today. The Wildcats, during the regular season possessed seven players either flirting with or averaging double-digits. They also are monsters on the boards, and are very deep on the bench, as well. They are far superior athletically, and defensively, they possess a swarming and frustrating squad. I feel they will dominate at both ends of the court on the glass here with their second-ranked offensive rebounding core and their 21st-ranked defensive rebounding core. If the Aggie’s try to shoot from outside, they must face one of the best three-point shooting defenses in college basketball, too. I just don't see Utah State competing in any aspect of this game. Take Arizona. Thank you.

Florida.

The Gators are in the hunt for their second straight National Championship. Yes, in their opening around demolishing of Prairie View A&M, they won by the second-largest winning margin in NCAA Tournament history, 59-points. Now I'm not saying the Panthers are as good as the Hawkeyes. But what I am saying is, this team is running hot, very focused, and on a mission to duplicate last year’s title. Coming into today's contest, Florida is red-hot, winning 13 of their last 14 games straight up. By the way, they also us paid, covering pet of those 14 outings. Just FYI, over recent games, they have covered four of five laying double-digits. With all respect to Iowa, in all sincerity, they have been erratic, dropping and failing to cover six of their last 10 contests. They are also going to be at a disadvantage as this game is being played in Tampa, Florida, and you will see mostly Florida shirts in the stands. With a bigger, stronger frontcourt, and a very talented backcourt, I see the Gators dominating this matchup. They own the fifth-ranked scoring offense in college basketball, top the nation on the offensive glass, and are much better in field goal percentage allowed. Oh, by the way, they will also dominate on the defensive boards, as well. I just feel that in every aspect of the game, Florida is far superior. Take the Gators. Thank you.

Michigan State.

As of posting this play, Louisville is expected to once again be without one of their top contributors and their floor general, guard Mikel Brown Jr (check status). This will be the matchup they will sorely miss the standout player. This is a team at times that shows signs of brilliance. However, they also show major signs of inexperience, and inconsistency. Case in point, their last outing against South Florida in which they allowed a 23-point lead with 12 minutes remaining in the game, dwindle as they eked out a four-point victory. They will be going up against Tom Izzo, one of the most seasoned head coaches especially this time of year, in the history of college basketball, and a team that plays very physical basketball. The Cardinals do not have the muscle or the physicality to compete in the paint with Spartans. It's true, Louisville possesses an explosive offense and does score a few more points per game than does the MSU offense. However, they're going up against one of the most frustrating and swarming defenses in the nation here. Not only that, but at both ends of the court they are at a major disadvantage on the boards. This game will get out of hand. Take Michigan State. Thank you.

UConn.

Just like me, this breakdown is going to be extremely short, and very sweet (lol). Furman does not play anyone, my friends. I looked at their schedule this season, and they opened the regular season losing by 26-points to High Point. Looking further at their games, they lost by 16 to Northern Iowa, by nine to ETSU, and by 19 to WCU. After yesterday's close call by Duke experienced with Siena, I doubt very much Connecticut is going to take their foot off to gas at all here from start-to-finish. Please remember the Huskies are a team that sports a 29-5 overall record, and has taken down some of the biggest and best teams in the nation. They possess five double-digit scorers. But it is their defense that will shine here. This season they have allowed a mere 65.3 PPG, which ranks ninth nationally, just 40.1% overall from the floor, 30.8% from downtown, and are one of the best in college basketball on the defensive boards. There is no way the Paladins and their lackluster offense which puts up only 76.5 PPG against some less than stellar opposition, is going to have any success in this matchup. This game will be one of the ugliest in the opening round of the Big Dance. Take UConn. Thank you.

UCLA.

Momentum certainly plays a part in Tournament play. Central Florida has struggled recently, losing and failing to cover four of their last five games. Meanwhile, UCLA, has won six of their last eight straight up, covering seven of those eight outings. A big problem for the Knights for a large portion of the season has been inconsistency especially on the defensive side of a court. Just over the last month, their defense has gotten steamrolled for over 82.3 PPG. Both teams have scorers, that's a fact. Central Florida accounts for 81.0 PPG, while UCLA puts up 77.8 PPG. But there are a few differences, and major differences at that. The Bruins “D” is frustrating, allowing a mere 71.0 PPG, and at both ends of the court on the boards they will dominate here. UCF likes to shoot the ball from downtown, and they are pretty good at it ranking 63rd in the nation and hitting 36.2% beyond the arc. However, there are lousy at defending the arc, and this will be a problem for them as their opponent ranks 18th nationally hitting over 38.2% from downtown. O, by the way, they also yield just 31.8% from three-point land. This will be fatal for the Knights. Take the Bruins. Thank you.

Alabama.

To put a very simply, Hofstra does not stand a chance in this matchup. I am fully aware Aden Holloway is suspended from the team for Alabama. But that just makes me feel they come out and make a statement to the rest of the Midwest bracket, they can win without him. Let's not make any mistake of it, Alabama goes up against and takes down better competition than their opponent. Hofstra is a good team in their conference. They do not have the size or muscle up front to compete here. ‘Bama certainly has a deep frontcourt of size and muscle to rotate in and dominate in the paint. I think the line a short here. I think it's because of the Holloway situation. But I also think it's a trap set by the oddsmakers. Take the Crimson Tide. Thank you.

Santa Clara.

It's no secret Kentucky has fallen short of expectations this season. This team was supposed to be an absolute powerhouse, and yet although a respectable record, they are just 21-13. One thing for sure, to beat the Wildcats, you've just got to frustrate their office. Something many opponents have done this season, and I believe the Broncos will do it too. The Santa Clara defense is very frustrating, causes a ton of turnovers, and plays very smart basketball. Please remember this is a team that early this season took down opponents like Xavier, Nevada, hung in tight in a one-point defeat with Saint Louis, beat Minnesota, hung in tight with Arizona State, and beat almost every opponent in their conference. Offensively, they possess some scorers as putting up over 83.5 PPG. But I just feel they are a very smart, well-coached squad, and defensively they will frustrate and cause turnovers to the Kentucky offense. Take Santa Clara. Thank you.

Saint Louis.

Very simply, I think the line is wrong in this matchup. Maybe the oddsmakers are looking to make it attractive to both Saint Louis and Georgia backers. But in my opinion once again, the line is off. The Billikens possess an offense that can certainly keep pace on the scoreboard with the Bulldogs. Yes, we all know Georgia averages 90.4 PPG. But SLU is right there with them averaging over 87.8 PPG. They are also more accurate overall from the floor, better from downtown (put a pin in that will come back around to it), and better on the offensive and defensive glass, as well. Oh, and by the way, they also allow approximately 10.1 PPG less defensively. I mentioned earlier about their outside shooting. They rank second nationally hitting 40.5% from three-point land, and defensively from the arc, they rank sixth, allowing just 29.1%. I feel they'll be able to exploit their opponent’s weaknesses defensively here, big time. Take the Billikens. Thank you.

Houston.

I'm gonna’ keep this analysis very short and very sweet, just like me (lol). I know this is a large number to lay with Houston. But looking at their last two opening rounds of the Big Dance, trust me when I tell you they will cover the number. Two years ago, they blew out Longwood by 40-points, and then last year, they destroyed SIU-Edwardsville by 38-points. This is a team that likes to destroy their opponents in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. I will give Idaho the respect they deserve. They amassed a 21-14 overall record this season, and enter this matchup winning and covering all four of their postseason games. But playing the likes of Sacramento State, Montana State, Eastern Washington, and Montana, is not going to prepare this team for their opponent here. In their season-opening game on November 3 on the road at Washington State, the Vandals took down those Cougars by two points as a 7.5-point underdog. The only other time they really stepped up this season was a December 10th road game at Notre Dame in which they lost by 15-points and could not cover. The Cougars lost their last outing to the Wildcats on March 14th, 79-74. I look for them to bounce back here with authority, make a statement to the rest of South bracket. Very few teams have competed with the nation’s third-ranked defense of Houston, which yields a mere 62.7 PPG. They will frustrate Idaho here and furthermore, dominate the Vandals on the glass at both end of the court. I don't think this line is nearly as high as it should be. Take Houston. Thank you.

VCU.

We all know Caleb Wilson is out. This is a big blow for the Tar Heels. Don't get me wrong, they have a smart coach, and a deep and talented team. But playing without their floor general and one of their top-contributors during the regular season is much different than playing in the Tournament without him. Yes, center Henri Veesaar is a force to be reckoned with. And he does have a good supporting cast. But I feel this will be a matchup North Carolina will sorely miss Wilson. The VCU frontcourt can certainly challenge the big center, and outmuscle UNC in the paint. That would be enough for me in this matchup. However, they are also deadly from downtown hitting over 36.7% beyond the arc. This is a place defensively the Tar Heels have gotten burned badly once again this season. I also feel the Rams can compete at both ends of the court on the boards in this matchup. Let's not forget, they average a few more points offensively than UNC does. I feel the Rams can win this game outright. But I will take the points the oddsmakers are giving us as a gift. Take Virginia Commonwealth. Thank you.

MSU.

Size, experience, the more seasoned coach, and the much better rebounding core all belongs to the Spartans. Let's not forget Michigan State certainly faces much better opposition throughout the season than does North Dakota State. As a matter of fact, the Bison have only faced one team this season that you could say they stepped up in class out of their conference and that was the Beavers of Oregon State in their season opener, and they dropped that game on the road, 67-65. Since then, they have not had to go up against a single opponent anywhere near the caliber they're gonna’ face here in the opening round of the Big Dance. The fact that Tom Izzo has had some close calls in previous Tournament opening rounds, tells me he will not allow his team to take their foot off the gas here from start-to-finish. This game will get out of hand early, and stay that way. Take the Spartans. Thank you.

Cal.

Very simply, Cal is a better team than Illinois Chicago. My friends, this is the first postseason appearance for the Flames in 22 years. Unfortunately, it's going to be a short appearance (lol). Let's be honest, this team does not play a very solid level of competition, and yet they are still not an outstanding basketball team. Each time they have faced a worthy adversary this season, it seems as they have gotten crushed. They do possess three double-digit scorers, despite an offense that ranks 216th in scoring. What does that tell you? They do own a respectable defense. But once again, they don't face the level of competition like they are going to face here tonight on a regular basis. Meanwhile, the Golden Bears are 21-11 this season, covering 16-of-31 lined games, are 16-4 at home, and despite dropping three of their last four games, they do face serious competition. Cal possesses four double-digit scorers and some really good ones at that. Not only that, but they've got a strong presence upfront that can certainly dominate on the boards in this matchup. They score more points, are significantly better from downtown, and if this game gets physical, not only will they win that battle, they will also have an advantage from the free-throw line where they shoot significantly better. I just think the visitor here is outclassed. Take the Golden Bears. Thank you.

Nevada.

I love going against the grain, and today in this matchup, I am doing it once again. Early money is coming in on Murray state. My friends, the general public is once again wrong. The Racers enter this matchup losing four of their last five straight up, and seven consecutive against the number. This team is pointspread poison, my friends, and to go one further, this is a road game for them and they do not travel well. They must go into Reno to face a Nevada opponent which is 15-2 on their own court this season. If you have not been to Lawlor Events Center, it is very impressive, and there will be 12,000 screaming fans to support their home team. The visiting team last took to court on March 6 and will come in here rusty. By the way, that 13-point loss at home to UIC followed a nine-point defeat on the road at Bradley. This team is cold, my friends. While their offense can score, their defense is absolutely atrocious, they cannot shoot the “three” offensively, and they are at a disadvantage on the boards in this matchup. Their opponent, the home team, is excellent from downtown, possesses a very frustrating defense, and has a big strong frontcourt to dominate on the glass. Take the Wolfpack. Thank you.

Prairie View A&M.

As of posting this release, I see the early money coming in on Lehigh. This is a team that finished second in the Patriot League with an overall record of 18-16, and covered 19-of-32 lined games this season. They took early season losses at the hands of Houston, West Virginia, and Rutgers, just to name a few. Now I'm not trying to compare today's opponent to those teams. But don't fool yourself when I tell you Prairie View is a worthy adversary. And I believe this game should be closer to a pick ‘em. The Panthers, who are riding a seven-game SU win streak, and nine of their last 10, finished eighth in the SWAC. And yes, they took some beating themselves in their early season nonconference matchups. But this team can cover. They are on a 10-game ATS cover streak and overall, have covered 12 of their last 14 outings. As a matter of fact, they have covered against Oklahoma State, Missouri, North Texas, LSU, and Texas A&M. Their offense accounts for more points than the Mountain Hawks, while they are certainly better at both ends of the court on the glass. They also shoot significantly better from the free-throw line. I feel the wrong team is favored here. But I will take the points with Prairie View A&M. Thank you.

Penn.

These two teams were only separated by two games in Ivy League play this regular season. With all respect to Yale, who has taken six straight meetings in the rivalry, I believe they're being overvalued to here. This is a team that is 3-7 ATS their last 10 overall games. In the last matchup between these conference rivals back in the third week of February at home, the Bulldogs booked down the Quakers 74-78 to give the visitor the ATS cover. As a matter of fact, Pennsylvania is a covering machine riding a seven-game ATS cover streak. They are money, my friends. I believe they are being undervalued in this matchup. On paper, Yale does possess (during the regular season) five double-digit scorers. But the best scorer on the floor wears a Penn uniform. They are a team that can keep pace offensively, and on the boards here. But the mismatch I really do give the Quakers an edge for, is the fact that they're better at defending the arc. Both teams can shoot the “3”. But the Quakers are better on the decent side of the three-point line. This is way too many points. Take Penn. Thank you.

UCLA.

It's one thing to win. It's another thing to cover. While Purdue is a very talented basketball team, they have failed to cover five of their last six games. Meanwhile, UCLA has covered four in a row and six of their last seven contests. I doubt very much they're in a letdown situation today following yesterday's beat down of Michigan State. Please remember the Bruins took down the Boilermakers in the only matchup this season back in the third week of January at home, 69-67. I don't see Purdue coming in here with vengeance trying to redeem themselves from that earlier season lost. I see this team, which is one of the better teams in the nation on the boards, having trouble once again in this matchup with UCLA's size. On the first meeting, they only outrebounded the Bruins 25-23. The Boilermakers are very good from beyond the arc, but so is UCLA, which also happens to be better at defending the three-point line. This game will be much closer than the pointspread. Take the Bruins. Thank you.

Wisconsin

With all respect to Michigan, who I do feel is one of the best teams in the nation, they have played a lot of top teams and might at this point be a little tired from the long season. The one thing about the Wolverines, at least lately they have not covered, going 1-5 ATS their last six outings. Meanwhile, Wisconsin enters this matchup winning five in a row and eight of the last 10 SU, which includes covers in four of their last five outings. Just to let you guys know, the last four matchups between the two conference rivals have been separated by 4, 3, 6, and 3-points. While I feel Michigan is a better team on paper and certainly can rebound with any team in college basketball, I just think this is way too many points. Take the Badgers. Thank you.

Nebraska.

Please remember, sportsbetting isn't about who wins. Sportsbetting is about who covers. With yesterday's half-point ATS no cover, the Boilermakers under head coach Matt Painter are now 1-17 versus the spread in his last 18 Big ten tournament games. As a matter of fact, coming into today's matchup, Purdue has failed to cover five straight outings. Meanwhile, Nebraska, who owns a 26-5 overall record and has covered 17 of 31 lined games this season, will enter this matchup well-rested having not taken the court since March 8. They finished the regular season playing some solid basketball going 4-1 SU, and covering three of their final five games. It's true, on their own court back on February 10, the Cornhuskers lost a heartbreaker to the Boilermakers in OT, 80-77. Don't think for a moment they're not looking for some serious payback. Believe it or not, they are the 11th ranked team in the nation, and they're getting points from the 18th ranked team, as they are rested. I feel this line is off, my friends. They possess a stifling defense from the likes of which their opponent here today will have a problem with. Especially because in that first matchup approximately a month ago, Nebraska fell short on the glass, and that will be something they avenge here today. Take Nebraska. Thank you.

Tennessee. 

Maybe Vanderbilt and Tennessee split out both meetings this season. But going back a bit, the Volunteers have had their way with the Commodores, winning seven of the last 10 matchups. They will come in here a little fresher, having taking down the Tigers yesterday 72-62. Meanwhile Vanderbilt has not taken the floor since March 7. They did finish their regular season winning three of their last four games. But I feel they'll come in here a little bit rusty. Maybe they're only playing a short distance from their own campus, but Vanderbilt is in for a tough matchup here today. Take note Tennessee on both sides of the court is one of the best rebounding teams in college basketball. Then rank fourth on the offensive glass, and first on the defensive glass. They also own one of the most swarming and frustrating defenses not just in the SEC, but across the land. They are just as good at defending in the paint as they are defending from downtown. And that will be the difference in this matchup. Take the Volunteers. Thank you.

Florida.

This will be Kentucky's third game played in 48 hours. While they beat LSU and Missouri over the last two games, they are certainly stepping up in class. Please remember this team has struggled down the stretch dropping five of their last nine straight up, and three of their last four against the number. Meanwhile, Florida enters this matchup well rested and running hot. The Gators come in here not having taken the court since March 7, and rolling, riding an 11-game SU winning streak, covering nine of those 11 contests. These two conference rivals met twice this season, with the earlier meeting on Valentine's Day as Florida prevailed at home 92-83. The later matchup was on March 7 on the road, with once again the Gators prevailing, 84-77. Maybe they only won by nine-points and seven-points, but this is a much difference situation. The Wildcats are certainly stepping up in class significantly, and once again playing their third game in 48 hours. This will take its toll on this team. With one of the most explosive offenses in college basketball, a very frustrating defense, the best offensive rebuilding core in the nation, and one of the stingiest in the nation on the defensive boards, I feel Florida will come out here and make a statement. Take the Gators. Thank you.

Colorado State.

My friends, I'm going against the grain here. I know as of posting this play, most of the general public are coming in on San Diego State. I mean they are a 20-game winner and finished second during the regular season in the MWC. But this is a team that has struggled late, dropping four of their last six straight up, and five of their six against the spread. One of those losses and no covers was against this very same Colorado State opponent. Speaking of which, the Rams are one of the hottest teams in the nation, winning nine of their last 10 games SU, and covering six of their last nine. They did play yesterday, taking down the Bulldogs of Fresno State. But I don't think they'll come into this matchup fatigued. They'll have enough time to rest and prepare for this contest. They have taken down San Diego State in two of the last three meetings, both SU and ATS, and come into this matchup with momentum. While SD State is a good team, they're not explosive offensively, not particularly good on the boards at either end of the court, and aren't as strong as their opponent here on defense. CSU which does possess five players either accounting for or flirting with double-digits, can keep pace on the scoreboard here. I also feel they're deep enough with talent to rotate in fresh players when they need to. This is way too many points. Take the Rams. Thank you.

Georgia.

Georgia comes into this contest well-rested, riding momentum, and looking for a little payback. The Bulldogs have last taken the court on March 7, which was their third consecutive win and cover and their fifth over their last six outings. They also dropped a heartbreaker in overtime at home in mid-January against Mississippi. Losing by two-points in OT on their own court can’t sit well with the Bulldogs. Speaking of the Rebels, they did hand the Longhorns a 10-point defeat yesterday as a 5.5-point underdog. That was the third cover over the last four outings. But only their second SU victory over their last 10 contests. Going back to UGA, this is a team that set a school regular-season record for wins at points scored. They rank sixth nationally, accounting over 90.4 PPG. They are monsters on the offensive glass, which allows them quite a few second-chance opportunities. I don't see Mississippi with their lackluster offense which posts only 75.3 PPG, keeping pace on the scoreboard here. I also see them being outmuscled in the paint by a much stronger, much bigger much more physical Bulldog’s opponent. I don't think this line is anywhere near where it should be. Take Georgia. Thank you.

Texas Tech.

The Red Raider took the only meeting against the Cyclones this season on the last day of February on the road, 82-73. Maybe they did lose their last two outings, but they do come in here better-rested having not taken the court since March 7. Iowa State following that loss took a beating on the road at Arizona and then played against Arizona State twice which does include yesterday’s drubbing over the Sun Devil, which are a far cry from the opponent they're facing here today. Now the Red Raiders are still without JT Toppin (check status). But this team has a very smart coaching staff, is very deep, and has the talent to compensate. They're very strong at both ends of the court on the boards, and are one of the best three-point shooting teams in college basketball hitting 39.6% from downtown. Granted ISU is quite good from downtown as well, but they are facing a very frustrating defense, particularly from the arc. I think this is way too many points. Take the Red Raiders. Thank you.

Virginia.

Virginia had no problems taking down NC State in both matchups this season, each time holding the Wolfpack to a mere 61-points. In the early-January meeting on the road they took them down 76-61, and then in the late-February matchup at home, they really put a hurting on them, 90-61. The Cavaliers comes in here a little better rested, and certainly the hotter team. I just don't see NC State having any success here offensively against one of the most frustrating defenses in college basketball. Oh, by the way, Virginia can also keep pay offensively, and are much stronger at both ends of the court on the boards. Take the Cavaliers. Thank you.

Ohio State.

Yes, Iowa took down Ohio State this season at home at the end of February, 74-57. As a matter of fact, they took each of the last two meetings both straight up and against the spread. But they don't come in here running hot as they have dropped three of their last four games SU, and overall, six of their last nine. They are also 3-7 ATS. The Buckeyes enter this matchup better-rested and hotter winning and covering three straight. They've been money covering six of their last seven outings. I feel the extra rest will certainly benefit this team. While the Hawkeyes lack the explosive offense, they do own a solid defense. However, the Buckeyes score more, and are better at both ends of the court on the boards. I expect them to absolutely decimate their opponent from downtown as they ranked 55th in the nation in three-point shooting, and will light up their opponents 187th-ranked three-point defense. Take Ohio State. Thank you.

TCU.

TCU owns Oklahoma State taking five consecutive meetings straight up, and overall, eight of the last 10 matchups. This includes both meetings this season. They come in here red hot, winning and covering five in a row. Going back a bit, they have won eight of their last nine SU, and seven of their last eight ATS. Yes, the Cowboys have covered three in a row coming into tonight's matchup. But this is a team that has struggled lately winning just three of their last overall 10 outings SU. The Oklahoma State squad has four DD scorers but only accounts for a few more PPG than does TCU, which possesses a significantly better and more frustrating defense. The Horned Frogs will frustrate the Cowboys, and with one of the best defensive rebounding units in the conference, will take away quite a few second-chance opportunities for their opponent. I don't think the line is where it should be. Take TCU. Thank you.

Clemson.

Wake Forest went into overtime yesterday as they and Virginia Tech combined for 34-points scored in the OT. alone. I feel the Demon Deacons will come in here a little tired and come the second half, start to lose their legs. Yes, they took the most recent matchup with Clemson almost a month ago at home, 85-77. But prior to that, the Tigers dominated the rivalry taking six of the previous nine matchups straight up. I'm not going to deny the recent surge by Wake Forest winning six of their last nine SU, and covering eight of their last 10. However once again, they played yesterday, went to overtime, and I feel that will be fatal for them here today. The last time the Tigers took the floor was four days ago, and they eased up on the gas against Yellow Jackets opponent they could've devoured. They will come in here better rested and with fresher legs especially come the second half. Please remember Clemson was a very respectful 12-6 in conference play en route to an overall record of 22-9. They also covered 17 of 31 lined games this season. Both teams score about the same offensively. But there is no question the Tigers defense which ranks 18th in the nation, is much better and more frustrating. They're also better at both ends of the court on the boards and that will be a big factor here. I think this line should be higher. Take Clemson. Thank you.

*7-1 in the 2025/2026 Season* My BIG TEN BEAT DOWN releases are an astounding 87.5% in NCAAB this season. I hit my first speed bump in NCAAB yesterday in more than a month. Today, I bounce back and get us paid with another BEAT DOWN WINNER.

Northwestern.

My friends, to say the Wildcats have had their way with the Hoosiers, would be an understatement. They have taken six in a row both straight up and against the number in this rivalry. They come into this matchup also covering the number. Northwestern has covered three in a row, four of their last five, and six of their last nine overall outings. Meanwhile, one thing Indiana does not do, is cover the number as they have failed to cover seven of their last nine contests. This team gets seriously overvalued, and I think that's the case here again today. The ‘Cats also took down the Nittany Lions yesterday in this very same auditorium, 76-66. I believe they'll come in here with momentum against a team that really hasn't shown too much lately, losing five of their six SU. Without question, the best player on the floor is Nick Martinelli, forward for Northwestern. Yet, Lamar Wilkerson is pretty darn good as well. But overall, when it comes to scoring, passing, and rebounding Martinelli is the most talented player on the court in this matchup. He has a good supporting cast, and the team has the confidence of knowing they have dominated this rivalry. Oh, by the way, over their last 10 meetings, the Wildcats are 9-0-1 against the spread. Take Northwestern. Thank you.

Stanford Cardinal.

Stanford took down Pitt just 13 days ago at home, 75-67. While the Panthers enter this matchup winning three of their last five SU, they also dropped their previous five prior to that. Maybe they've covered three in a row, as well, but once again, they have been pointspread poison this season. Prior to covering three straight, they failed to cover 10 of their previous 14 outings. The Cardinal have won and covered four in a row and going back a bit, they have got us paid, covering seven of their last nine. Coming into the conference tournaments with a little more momentum, and certainly hitting the 20-win mark, will boost Stanford even further in this matchup. Pitt does not possess explosive scorers like their opponent does. They average more than 6.4 points per game less, and while they have a decent defense, I just don't see them slowing down let alone stopping their opponent’s offense. Take Stanford. Thank you.

Michigan State Spartans.

These rivals only met once this season, at the end of January with a game Michigan prevailed. Prior to that, MSU took the previous four matchups and overall, have played them very tough over the years. While the Wolverines, despite what happens today, will finish the regular season as the Big Ten champion. However, the Spartans will solidify the second-spot in the conference with a victory here. There are a couple of teams just behind them that are also playing today in the Cornhuskers and the Fighting Illini. There's no question MSU head coach, Tom Izzo takes this matchup seriously. He has been an underdog three times away from East Lansing this season has covered all of those games. In the earlier meeting, the Spartans missed 19 of 23 from downtown. That won't happen again, my friends. I will also tell you the home team Wolverines, are being overvalued lately by the oddsmakers only covering one of their last four games. Getting nearly double-digits in a rival game, on the final outing of the regular season, while their home team has already clinched the conference regular season crown, tells me to take the away doggie. Take Michigan State. Thank you.

UCLA BRUINS.

UCLA has won and covered the last three meetings with USC, which does include a February 24 home beatdown, 81-62. They enter this matchup winning and covering three of their last four games while the Trojans are ice cold losing six in a row straight up, and failing to cover five straight. The Bruins are rolling. And I do feel, this is the game USC will severely miss Chad Baker-Mazara. He was one of their top-contributors and has been released from the team following their February 28th 15-point loss at their hands of the Nebraska Cornhuskers. They got crushed in their last outing on the road at the Washington Huskies by 19-points, and I do believe this game could get even uglier. UCLA is much deeper, much hotter, and much stronger on the defensive side of the court. Take the Bruins. Thank you.

Georgia Bulldogs.

A victory here would likely give Georgia a first-round bye in the upcoming SEC Tournament, and more importantly give them a better opportunity for their first back-to-back NCAA Tournament bids since the 2001/2002 seasons. They enter this contest red hot, winning and covering four of their last five outings against some solid opposition. They took down Kentucky on the road, Texas at home, crushed South Carolina at home, and then in their most recent contest, handed Alabama a 10-point defeat also at home. These two teams have not met this season, but Mississippi State enters this game ice cold, losing and failing to cover four in a row. Going back a bit, they have dropped seven of their last nine straight up, and six of their last eight against the spread. Mississippi State has a solid star player in Josh Hubbard. But in all honesty, his supporting cast falls way short. This is an offense that averages just 77.6 PPG, while their defense is getting plowed for over 81.2 PPG. I just don't see them keeping pace on the scoreboard with the explosive Georgia offense that ranks seventh in the nation, lighting up scoreboards for over 90.0 PPG while possessing a defense that yields several points less per game. They're also a little bit better at both ends of the court on the boards. This game is going to get out of hand. Take Georgia. Thank you.

Stanford Cardinal.  

A few things would have to happen for Stanford to move up from their current No. 10 position in the ACC. One thing for sure, they must win here today. My friends, I feel this line is off by a mile. Yes, both teams are looking for their 20th-victory. But coming into this matchup, NC State is ice cold losing three in a row and five of their last six straight up, and failing to cover three in a row and seven of their last eight. Meanwhile, on the opposite side of the spectrum, Stanford is starting to stride winning and covering three straight. Going back a bit, they have won five of their last seven SU, and seven of their last 10 ATS. This team has been covering the number for anyone who follows them. Granted, on paper the Wolfpack score significantly more points. But they're not the greatest on the boards at either end of the court, and they possess a defense that has been getting plowed. As a matter of fact, during their three straight losses they have allowed 90 or more points in each. If you look at the Cardinal defense over the last month or so, only one opponent in their last 10 games have put up more than 79-points on them. I think this line is way off. Take Stamford. Thank you.

Virginia Tech.

On paper Virginia is certainly a better team. However, the Cavaliers have locked up the No. 2 seed and a double bye next week's ACC Tournament. And in all honesty, they are shoo-in for the NCAA Tournament. While they do have loyal fans, the student body is on Spring Break and we don't know how many of those loyal fans will be in the stands for this one. Having said that, I am aware Virginia Tech is 3-6 in road games and have only taken down two of their five top-25 opponents this season. However, this is a team that plays their archrival very competitively. As a matter of fact, the Hokies won the only meeting between these two teams this season at home back on December 31 in overtime, 95-85. The two previous matchups, both last season played in February, resulted in a one-point game and a three-point game. Yes, the home team would love to exact some revenge from the earlier meeting which resulted in a loss. But how hard are they going to go in this game knowing they've already locked up a top-four seed in the ACC, and an invite to the Big Dance? The Cavs are just 2-4 ATS their last six games laying 9.5 or more points. This is a lot of wood to lay my friends, as the Hokies score just as much offensively. As a matter of fact, they account for a little bit more per game offensively. It is on defensive side of the court in which the home team is significantly stronger. But at both ends of the court on the boards, the visitor can certainly compete, and are a little bit better from downtown and more frustrating at the defensive end from the three-point line. I feel this game will be a lot closer than the pointspread.. Take Virginia Tech. Thank you.

Loyola Marymount.

With all due respect, San Diego is a very poor basketball team. They have thrown in the towel on the season losing four in a row and seven of their last eight straight up. They've also failed to cover seven of those eight outings, as well. This is a team that is just 11-20 overall, which does include a 5-13 record in conference play. Things go from bad to worse for the Toreros on the road where they are only 2-11. They have failed to cover four straight games played away from home. Granted this game is being played in Las Vegas, but anytime this team travels, they lose whatever luster they possess. LMU is only a little bit better than them against West Coast opponents going 6-12 in conference play this season. But they do possess an overall record of 15-16, would love to finish the regular season at .500, and enter this matchup with confidence knowing they have downed this opponent six consecutive meetings. That's right, the Lions have taken six straight in this conference rivalry covering five of the six which includes four consecutive ATS covers. They have taken those six games by 34, 7, 16, 26, 20, and 12-points. The most recent two meetings both in February of this year, saw an average margin of victory come by 16.0-points per game. The LMU squad possesses four double-digit scorers, are much better on the boards, and own a much more frustrating defense. Look for the Lions to continue their domination of the Torreros. Take LMU. Thank you.

South Florida Bulls.

It was only a season ago the Memphis Tigers were 29-6. But for head coach, Penny Hardaway, it must seem like a decade. This season they are just 12-17, riding a six-game losing streak, and are sitting at a 7-9 in AAC play. Not only is this team losing, they're losing badly. As a matter of fact, during their current slide they have been defeated by 7, 24, 21, 9, 6, and 16-points. Prior to this season, Memphis dominated South Florida taking seven of the eight previous meetings. However, in the only matchup this season, just about three weeks ago on the road they were picked apart, 87-66. Speaking of the Bulls, this team is playing some amazing basketball. They currently sit atop the AAC at 13-3, possessing an overall record of 21-8, a road record of 8-3, winning seven in a row and nine of their last 10 straight up, and seven of those last 10 against the spread. A victory here this evening would lock up the conference for South Florida. It wouldn't matter what happens in their last outing of the regular season against Charlotte. You may not realize it, but very quietly the Bulls rank 17th in the nation in scoring averaging over 88.3 points per game, and 14th on the offensive boards. They're also better on the defensive glass than their opponent here, as well. I feel this might be one of the biggest mismatches on the board not just today, not just this week, but so far this month. Take South Florida. Thank you.

Southern Illinois.

It's true, Drake had their way with Southern Illinois for a while taking six consecutive meetings. However, the most recent matchup back in mid-February on the road, the Salukis took them down, 66-61. The Bulldogs have not won a single contest since the last few days of January, riding a nine-game straight up losing streak, and failing to cover nine of their last 10 overall outings. This is a team that is just 12-19 overall on this season covering just 10 of their 29 lined-games, sporting a 4-7 away record, and are one of the worst teams in the conference going 6-14 against Missouri Valley opponents. To say Southern Illinois has started to stride, would be an understatement. This team has won four in a row and seven of their last nine, both straight up, and against the number. As far as the last meeting goes, SIU dominated Drake, despite shooting just 35% from the floor. That was over 10% less than their season average (45.4%). This is a team that possesses two double-digit scorers and two more contributors that are flirting with double-digits. Meanwhile, the visitor here has just one standout player in guard, Jalen Quinn. His supporting cast has just fallen way short, thus why this team possesses some of the ugliest numbers in the conference offensively. That would be bad enough, but defensively they rank 251st in points allowed. This game will get ugly. Take the Salukis. Thank you.

Miami Hurricanes.

Winning two in a row, six of their last seven, and eight of their last 10, Miami has put themselves into the top-25 rankings (No. 22). This is a big game for the Hurricanes, my friends, as they are one win away from tying the school record for regular season victories. They have their final regular season game at home on March 7 against Louisville. A victory here tonight will put this team one step closer to solidifying a top-for finish in the Atlantic Coast Conference. Meanwhile, SMU is starting to show signs of cracking losing and failing to cover their last two outings, both road games, and both against teams they really should've beaten. They have been pointspread poison, failing to cover six of their last 10 outings. The Mustangs are expected to be without one of their top contributors, and guard, BJ Edwards (check status). This team is already struggling, and must face one of the most frustrating defenses in college basketball. I feel the wrong team is favored. Take the Hurricanes. Thank you.

Minnesota Golden Gophers.

In all sincerity, my friends, Indiana is sliding at the worst possible time. The Hoosiers have dropped four in a row both straight up and against the spread, and going back a little bit further, five of their last seven SA, and six of their last seven against the number. Not only are they losing, they are getting crushed. Granted, a couple of those losses were against some real good opponents, but they are still sliding and showing no competitive fight. Whether it's offensively or defensively, this team is going through some serious issues. Meanwhile, one team that's starting to heat up is Minnesota, winning three of their last four SU, and covering four consecutive outings. They took down Oregon, Rutgers, and UCLA while keeping it close against Michigan. They come into this game with some confidence knowing they took down this opponent back at the beginning of December at home, 73-64. Under head coach Niko Medved, the Golden Gophers have slowed down their tempo from recent squads, and this style of play is paying off. This is way too many points. Take Minnesota. Thank you.

Kentucky Wildcats.

There is an argument that Kentucky doesn't need to do too much to make it to the Big Dance. And yes, up next for the Wildcats is a home game against the Gators. But I'm here to tell you this team does not want to finish the regular season possibly off back-to-back losses. One thing for sure, they can take down tonight's opponent. The Wildcats have dominated the Aggies taking five of the last seven meetings in this rivalry. They also enter tonight's contest winning two in a row and covering three straight and seven of their last eight overall contests. This does include four consecutive ATS covers as a visitor. Meanwhile, Texas A&M is definitely struggling dropping five of their last seven SU, and only covering one of their last six. They have had problems in conference play for sure, and I believe their problems will continue. Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

Alabama Crimson Tide.

Alabama will continue their hot run in conference play (8-0 L8) and lock up a top-four finish in the SEC. They come in here one of the hottest teams in the nation, winning eight in a row and nine of the last 10 straight up, and have dominated Georgia. That's right my friends; the Crimson Tide have taken three in a row and seven of the last eight against the Bulldogs. Not only do they win, they cover as well going 7-1 ATS during that span. Speaking of the home team, they have starting to heat up winning three of the last for both SU and ATS. But overall, this team has been erratic. They have dropped six of their last 10. Coming off a victory in their last outing, which gave in their 20th win of this season, I see Georgia maybe not going all out here tonight. Neither team is impressive defensively. But running hot, riding momentum, dominating tonight's opponent, all benefits the Crimson Tide. Take Alabama. Thank you.

Iowa State Cyclones.

My friends, on paper Arizona looks like the play. But college basketball isn't played on paper, especially this time of year. Yes, the Wildcats can lock up an outright Big 12 regular season championship and the No. 1 seed in the conference tournament with a victory here today. Now, they do have a matchup with the Buffaloes on the road to finish the regular season. But trust me when I tell you they would love to get that victory here tonight so they can ease back in their final outing of the regular season. They are riding a four-game straight up win streak. But the way they come off of their manhandling of Kansas in their last outing at home, I feel this team is in for a letdown situation here. They dominated the Jayhawks from start to finish in every aspect of that matchup, and I feel once again they are due for a letdown. Let's not forget this team has been overvalued quite a bit lately, only covering three of their last eight outings. Meanwhile, Iowa State enters this matchup splitting out their last six games SU. Now they have won seven of their last 10 SU, and have covered six of those 10 as well. But getting them off an embarrassing nine-point loss as nearly a double-digit favorite at home against Texas Tech, tells me they bounce back with authority here and redeem themselves. Granted, the home team accounts for a few more points per game, but the road team is so frustrating defensively ranking 10th in the nation and yielding 65.6 points per game. They're also monsters on the defensive glass as well. Yes, the Wildcats offense is explosive, and there are monsters on the boards too. But I just feel this game is about situations. They also will have a problem from the perimeter here. They are so good on the inside. However, they're going up against the nation’s 11th-ranked three-point shooting offense. This game is going to be a lot closer in the pointspread. Take Iowa State. Thank you.

Boston Celtics.

Boston comes into this matchup with confidence knowing they took down Milwaukee in the most recent meeting back on February 1 at home, 107-79. They have also won eight of their last 10 overall games SU, and have covered six of their last seven. As a matter of fact, they have won and covered four of their last five games played as a visitor. Meanwhile, the Bucks look like sitting ducks without Giannis (check status) on the floor. They have lost and failed to cover their last two games by a combined 52-points. They just don't have the personnel up front to contend with the big strong frontcourt of the Boston Celtics here. Both teams played last night, but the visiting team had a much easier contest and will come in here less fatigued. With the way Milwaukee has been struggling offensively, I feel they're in for a very long and frustrating evening going up against the NBA's top-ranked defense. Take Boston. Thank you.

Ohio State Buckeyes.

My friends, both Purdue and Ohio State need victories. The Boilermakers are looking to finish in a top-four spot in the conference while the Buckeyes are looking for a top-eight finish in the conference. It all begins with victories here today. While I will admit, Purdue owns a better record of 22-6 overall, and a better mark in the Big Ten at 12-5, they're starting to struggle. They have lost two of their last three games both SU and ATS. Meanwhile, Ohio State enters this matchup covering three consecutive outings. They are playing some very competitive basketball, my friends. I would check the status on their center, Tilly. But whether he plays or not (as of post), I still like this team. They have the depth, the muscle, and the talent to compete here in the paint. I feel the Buckeyes backcourt is a little more athletic and will be the difference in this matchup. Take the points with Ohio State. Thank you.

Maryland Terrapins.

They say revenge is the best serve cold Well Maryland is looking to exact some revenge against Rutgers, as the Scarlet Knights took the only meeting this season in this conference rivalry back in mid-February, at home 68-57. Prior to that Maryland won and covered all three previous meetings. The visitor enters this matchup losing and failing to cover each of their last two games, my friends. As a matter of fact, they have struggled dropping eight of the last 10 SU, which includes four of five games played on the road during that span. Meanwhile the home team comes in here covering three in a row and five of their last six overall games, winning and covering both games played on their own court during that time span. There is a big disparity in the way Rutgers plays on the road and Maryland plays at home. The visitors are just one 1-8 as a true guest this season while the home team is 7-6 on their own court. The statistics aren't too pretty for either team, but I feel certainly there is an edge for the Terrapins, who possesses the deeper and more athletic unit. And there's always that revenge factor. Take Maryland. Thank you.

SMU.

SMU is looking for their 20th-victory this season and for a little redemption following a four-point road loss at the hands of Cal just three days ago as a 3.5-point fav. Prior to that, this team won six of their last nine SU, and is just outside the top-25 rankings. They must finish strong if they want to make a statement on the season. They play a Stanford opponent that has dropped two of their last three and seven of their last 10 overall SU, splitting out those last 10 games ATS. For a decade, the Mustangs dominated the Cardinal, taking all meetings during that span before March 1 of last season when on the road they were taken down by five-points. There are certainly healthier, have a much more explosive offense, a deeper squad, and are better at both ends of the court on the glass. I look for their 21st-ranked three-point shooting offense to absolutely pick apart the 187th-ranked three-point shooting defense of the home team here. Take SMU. Thank you.

Nebraska Cornhuskers.

I feel this is a big mismatch here, my friends. One thing for sure, this time of year you ride a hot team, and fade a cold one. The Cornhuskers have won two in a row and six of their last 10 while the Trojans have dropped four in a row, and six of their last 10. The home team is also pointspread poison, failing to cover three straight and five of their last seven outings. This is a big revenge game as these two teams have not met since last January when Nebraska, as a 7.0-point fav, lost on their own home court, 78-73. This is a team that plays good on the road winning six of eight as a true visitor this season, and with three games remaining in the regular season, and sitting in a tie at 13-4 in second place in the Big Ten, another victory here would basically solidify a top-four finish in the conference. The Cornhuskers defense ranks 13th in the nation, yielding just 65.4 PPG, and will absolutely frustrate the Trojans lackluster offense. Take Nebraska. Thank you.

Kansas Jayhawks.

With all their issues this season, Kansas still sits in a four-way tie in second place in the Big 12 at 11-4. The top team in the conference, Arizona is 13-2 in league play. Now the Jayhawks did take down the Wildcats 19 days ago at home, 82-78. And they come into this matchup winning eight of their last 10 SU and covering seven of those 10 outings. This includes four wins and covers in the five games played as a visitor during that span. While Arizona is a very good team, they tend to be overvalued by oddsmakers, as they have failed to cover five of their last seven overall, which includes two of three games played at home during that span. Yes, I'm aware how good Arizona is. But let's not forget, Kansas is a team that frustrated them in the only matchup this season, can certainly stay with them defensively, and have a very smart coach on the sidelines as well. He is excellent at preparing his squad for big games. Take the Jayhawks. Thank you.

Michigan Wolverines MONEYLINE.

Well, my friends, I could certainly see why some out there might come in on the home team in this matchup. I mean, they have dominated this rivalry, taking nine consecutive meetings against their conference rival. They have also covered eight of those nine matchups, as well. This season, they rank No. 10 in the polls, are 22-6 overall, 13-4 in Big Ten play, and possess a 13-2 record at home. But there are a few things that do jump out about Illinois that makes me fade them here tonight. For starters, they have dropped three of their last five both SU and ATS. Over the last three weeks during those losses, they took a three-point heartbreaking defeat on the road at the hands of Michigan State, then followed that up with a home loss by two-points against Wisconsin as a double-digit favorite. But it was the most recent loss, six nights ago on the road at the hands of UCLA that I feel will haunt this team. They had a pretty commanding lead only to see it dwindle and eventually lose in overtime to a team they should've beaten. Not many teams can bounce back right away from a loss like that, and I feel this team is one of those teams. Michigan enters this contest ranking No. 3 in the nation, sporting a 26-2 overall record, sit atop the conference at 16-1, and are a perfect 9-0 away from home on the campaign. They do have games remaining on their regular season schedule on the road at Iowa and then at home against Michigan State. None of these three remaining opponents are pushovers. But I do feel this is the game that will set the pace for their final two games of the regular season. Offensively and defensively, the Wolverines possess better numbers. They are also just as good on the boards at both end of the courts as Illinois. I see a big mismatch in this contest though, my friends. You see the Fighting Illini despite ranking 92nd in three-point shooting and hitting just 35.7%, take as many or more shots from downtown than any other team in the Big Ten. This is where the mismatch occurs, as the Wolverines rank 10th in the nation against the "3" allowing just 29.5%. I feel you're going to see a lot of misses and mistakes the Michigan defense creates on the Illinois offense, and when this occurs, remember the visitor also ranks 15th in the nation on the defensive boards. Take the Wolverines. Thank you.

Dayton Flyers.

Sitting in a tie at 10-5 in conference play, and having three-games remaining on their regular season schedule, the Dayton Flyers would love a victory here tonight to try to solidify a top-four spot in the Atlantic 10. After tonight they go on the road to Richmond then finish up the regular season at home against Virginia Commonwealth. The Flyers took the only meeting with the Revolutionaries this season back on January 6 at home, 79-72. That was their eighth win over the last 10 meetings with their conference rival straight up, and the seventh cover during that span as well. They come into today's contest running hot winning and covering four straight while their opponent despite going 3-1 their last four game SU, have been pointspread poison dropping five of their last seven against the number. My friends, I feel the wrong team is favored here. Maybe the oddsmakers feel that following their 15-point blowout as a four-point underdog in their last outing against St. Louis, maybe Dayton would be in for a letdown here. But I doubt that very much my, friends. This team is running strong, riding momentum, and winning. While George Washington is not a bad team, I mean they score over 83.6 PPG, but their defense is atrocious. They're OK on the boards, as well. But I just don't see their offense having the same success on the scoreboard here as they have had against lesser opponents. Take Dayton. Thank you.

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Wichita State.

The Shockers took the only meeting this season against the Tigers at home back in the third week of January, 74-59. That was the third victory over the last five meetings in this rivalry straight up for Wichita State, and their sixth consecutive ATS cover in this rivalry. They come in here running hot again winning three in a row and eight of their last 10 SU, covering seven of those 10 games. Memphis is struggling dropping four in a row both SU and ATS, and seven of their last overall both SU and ATS. Granted, Memphis is 10-4 at home this season overall, but I just feel this team is getting too much credit in this matchup. They're obviously struggling, have trouble covering against today's opponent, are outclassed at both ends of the court both in scoring and defense, and on the boards. Take the Shockers. Thank you.

MSU.

I feel giving Tom Izzo and his Michigan State team this many points are overvaluing the home team by the oddsmakers. You see, the Spartans have covered three straight in this series, and six of the last seven overall matchups with the Boilermakers, as they play them tough all the time. They also enter this matchup off of back-to-back straight up victories, and seven wins over the last overall 10 outings. Yes, Purdue comes into this game, winning five of the last six SU, but covering just four of their last 10 overall outings, which includes ATS no covers in three of four games played on their own court during that span. Purdue doesn't have Zach Edey anymore to rely upon, which in my opinion was the thorn in MSU’s side for a while. Please don't forget the Spartans defense ranks 17th in the nation, while they rank seventh on the offensive boards and first on the defensive boards. This game will be a lot closer than the pointspread. Take Michigan State. Thank you.

Wisconsin Badgers.

In my opinion this is one of the biggest mismatches on the board this week, let alone tonight. Maybe Wisconsin fell out of the top-25 this week, but they still have an opportunity to earn a top-four seed in the Big Ten tournament. This is a team that has played some good basketball going in 19-8 overall, covering 15 of their 27 lined games, and owning a winning road record of 4-3. They enter this matchup with confidence knowing they just took down a formidable opponent three nights ago at home, in Iowa, 84-71. That was their sixth straight up win over the last 10 outings and their fifth ATS cover in their last six games. Meanwhile, Oregon has won two of their last three SU, but prior to that, they dropped seven consecutive games SU, and have been pointspread poison failing to cover six of their last nine. As a matter of fact, the Ducks have failed to cover four of their last five games played on their own court. No matter how you look at this matchup, offensively, defensively, in the paint, on the perimeter, or on the boards, Wisconsin is far superior. Take the Badgers. Thank you.

Oregon State Beavers.

Oregon State is a good basketball team. With a victory here tonight, they would almost guarantee themselves a top-four finish in the WCC. They have dominated San Diego taking four consecutive meetings. This includes the only matchup this season back on January 31 on the road in overtime, 78-76. Speaking of the Toreros, this is a dismal basketball team, who have struggled recently dropping two in a row, five of their last six, and seven of the last eight overall contests. They have been pointspread poison as well covering just one of their last six outings to boot. Compare that to the Beavers which have covered five of their last seven games. While the visiting team does account for a couple of more points offensively per game, the home team here certainly has a more stout, more frustrating defense. They're also better at both ends of the court on the glass, as well. They have dominated this rivalry, and come into this matchup a lot hotter both SU and ATS. Take Oregon State. Thank you.

Ohio State Buckeyes.

Yes, Ohio State is just 4-5 on the road this season while Iowa owns a 13-2 record at home. And yes, the Hawkeyes took the most recent matchup last March, 77-70. They did take that game on the road at the Buckeyes. However, this isn't about who wins, this is about who covers, and Ohio State has covered four of the last five, and seven of the last 10 meetings in this rivalry. They also enter this matchup covering three straight including competitive games against the Cavaliers, Badgers, and Spartans. Iowa has lost three of their last four overall, and four the last five against the number. They are being overvalued. I feel the paint will be dominated by Ohio State, while they're very swarming three-point defense further frustrates the Iowa offense from downtown. Take the Buckeyes. Thank you.

St. John’s Red Strom.

This is a big game, my friends with serious implications as to which team might finish atop the competitive Big East regular season. While both are monster teams, you cannot deny the Red Storm have taken three in a row in this series straight up, covering four straight. They took the only matchup this season 19 days ago on their own court, 81-72. I feel the line here is too high. They also come into this matchup riding a 13-game SU winning streak, and are a perfect 8-0 as a true road team this season. Yes, the Huskies are a good team. But they have dropped two of their last five SU, and have failed to cover seven of their last 10 overall games. This includes failing to cover four of their last five games played on their own court. While both coaches are highly-respected, in a big game situation I have to go with Rick Pitino. His offense is certainly more explosive, and his big men are a little more explosive on the glass. Take the Red Storm. Thank you.

Central Florida.

Maybe BYU has taken the last four meetings against Central Florida. But the average margin of victory has come by 6.7 PPG. Coming off back-to-back victories over the Horned Frogs and the Utes, the Knights have put themselves in a position on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament. With games remaining after tonight against Baylor, Oklahoma State, West Virginia, Central Florida can certainly win out the regular season to put themselves over the cut line, for sure. Being competitive in this matchup would certainly help. Yes, BYU has won three of their last four both SU and ATS, but overall, this team has been overvalued. They have covered just 11 of 27 lined games this season, and have failed to cover seven of their last 10 overall. And when playing on their own court, they are significantly overvalued, failing to cover five of their last six when playing host. The Cougars will be once again without one of their top contributors, guard Saunders (18.0 PPG/5.8 RPG), and I feel this will hurt them in this matchup. Obviously, the Cougars are known for their offense, but losing one of their best back court contributors is going to hurt them here, not to mention they are going up against a team that is one of the better in the nation on the defensive glass, taking away second-chance opportunities for the home team. I also look for Central Florida's extremely accurate (37.3%) three-point shooting team to light up the scoreboard against their opponents 163rd-ranked three-point shooting defense. This game will be a lot closer than the pointspread. Take the Knights. Thank you.

Arizona State.

Arizona State will have to most likely win their final four regular season games to earn a first-round bye in the Big 12 tournament. This is no small task as tonight they're on the road at TCU before playing two home games back-to-back against Utah and Kansas, and then finishing out the regular season on the road at Iowa State. A lot of things have to happen and there's a lot of scenarios here. But one thing for sure, they must win here tonight. Meanwhile, TCU is trying to stay in the hunt for an NCAA Tournament berth. Having said that, it is true, the Horned Frogs have taken the last three meetings against the Sun Devils going back several seasons. However, two of those three meetings were separated by two-points and four-points. Speaking of ASU, they enter this matchup covering games, going 3-0 ATS their last three and 7-1 ATS their last eight, which includes ATS covers in three of four games played on the road during that span. This team is being undervalued, for sure. TCU has been overvalued, for sure. Despite covering three of their last four overall, this team is just 4-6 ATS their last 10 outings. The Horned Frogs boast a little bit better of a defense, but offensively, these two teams match up very well. Remember my friends, this isn't about who wins, this is about who covers, and the Sun Devils are covering. Take Arizona State. Thank you.

North Carolina.

With all respect to Louisville, who are a very good basketball team, they lose a little luster when they travel. Sporting an overall record of 20-7, they are just 3-5 as a true visitor this season. They are also crushing any bettors, covering just 13 of 27 lined games. They enter this matchup failing to cover two in a row, and six of their last nine outings. This includes failing to cover three of their last four games played as a guest. Yes, they took the most recent matchup against North Carolina on New Year's Day a year ago at home, 83-70, and I will also admit, North Carolina being without Wilson, is a big blow. They do expect the standout forward to be back for the regular season finale against Duke. But having the 7’0” big man, Henri Veesaar back on the floor is huge for the Tar Heels. He is a monster, averaging over 16.5 PPG, an 8.8 RPG. Playing at home will also be a big bonus for UNC as they are a perfect 15-0 on their own court this season. With regular season games remaining at home against Virginia Tech and Clemson before taking it on the road to Duke, North Carolina needs this win. I feel they can beat tonight's opponent and their next two comfortably before a big showdown with the Blue Devils on March 7. This would give them a very good opportunity to finish the in the ACC in the top-four and get all the bonuses that go along with it. Playing at home, having the depth, and the smarter coaching staff, gives the Tar Heels a big edge here. Take North Carolina. Thank you.

Kentucky Wildcats.

Kentucky coming off back-to-back losses, still has a little room for error, but not too much. They are in a must-win situation here against Auburn. The Wildcats were striding winning nine of 10 prior to dropping their last two games. But they have been covering, going 4-1 ATS their last five outings. This is a team that will not be in a look-ahead situation as they have the Gamecocks, Commodores, and then Aggie's up before they finish the regular season at home against the Gators. They have to stay focused here because they can certainly win the next three games without question. Having said that, they face Tigers opponent that I feel comes in here overvalued. They have dropped five in a row SU, six straight ATS, and eight of the last 10 overall against the spread. They are certainly overvalued. This does include no covers in fourth straight games played on their own court. They may account for a few more points, but they're going up against the very frustrating defense, and a team that could certainly rebound with them at both ends of the court. I think this is too many points. Take Kentucky. Thank you.

Illinois Fighting Illini.

I am aware Illinois has Michigan up next in six days at home. But I don't feel this team will be in a look-ahead situation here. They have been very focused. As a matter of fact, there are 7-1 SU on the road this season, have covered 16 of their 27 games overall, and enter today's matchup with conference knowing they took down UCLA in each of the last two meetings back in November 2022, and February 2025. They're back-to-back losses a few weeks back, have been redeemed as they have won and covered their last two outings, at home against Indiana, and on the road at USC. As a matter of fact, they took down the Hoosiers by 20-points, and the Trojans by 36-points. The Bruins are starting to struggle losing two in a row and three of their last five SU, failing to cover three straight and six of their last nine outings. They might be 14-1 SU at home, but they are in way over their heads in this matchup. The Fighting Illini are much stronger offensively, much better on the boards, and much more accurate from the line. Let's not forget their defense is significantly more frustrating too. I think the line is short. Take Illinois. Thank you.

West Virginia Mountaineers.

While West Virginia is certainly playing better than TCU in Big 12 play, they are sitting on the bubble for an invite down the road. This is a must win situation for the Mountaineers who have some tough opponents in the next few games. They took down the Horned Frogs in the most recent matchup late last February at home, 73-55. The earlier meeting last season was in the first week of February, where on their own court, TCU prevailed 65-60. West Virginia has covered three of the last four games played as a visitor while TCU is just 1-3 ATS their last four games played at home. It's true, the Horned Frog's offense is certainly better and puts up some bigger numbers. But the Mountaineers defense ranks fifth in the nation, yielding just 63.7 PPG. As a matter of fact, they have held five consecutive opponents to 70 points or less scored. Let's not forget they're just as good on the boards at both ends of the court. This is a team that has frustrated some better offenses than they are facing here today. This is too many points. Take West Virginia. Thank you.

Houston Cougars.

There is no denying both Arizona and Houston are deserving of their national rankings. Yes, the Cougars have taken three straight matchups in this series going back to 2022. Neither team has been covering lately as both are riding three-game no cover streaks. Following their only two losses of the campaign in back-to-back contests on February 9 and February 14, the Wildcats bounced back to take down a formidable foe in the BYU Cougars, 75-68. Meanwhile, the home team Cougars here come off their first loss since the end of January, a road defeat at the hands of the Cyclones, 70-67. Yes, they are 13-0 at home this season, but don’t overlook ‘Zona is 6-1 as a visitor this season. This is a classic matchup between one of the best offenses in the nation and one of the best defenses in the nation. While Arizona accounts nearly 10.0 PPG more offensively, Houston yields almost 7.0 PPG less defensively. But I feel the difference here is going to be the accuracy of the Wildcats, along with their superior outside shooting, and their second-ranked offensive rebounding core and 15th-ranked defensive rebuilding core against a team that they can certainly out maneuver on the boards. This is way too many points. Take Arizona. Thank you.

Florida Gators.

At first glance, you might want to take the points with 'Ole Miss. I mean they are at home. However, this is a team that is struggling badly, losing eight in a row SU, only covering two of their last seven lined games. To make matters worse, they are just 3-10 in conference play. Meanwhile, Florida sits atop the conference at 11-2, and can certainly finish this season with the SEC Crown. Overall, the Gators rank 12th nationally, possessing six players averaging 9.9 PPG or better. They are also monsters on the boards as well. As a matter of fact, they rank No. 1 in the nation on the offensive glass, and No. 14 in the nation on the defensive glass. The Rebels are in real trouble here. They cannot compete at either end of the court in this matchup and they will be overwhelmed and outmuscled in the paint. This game will get out of hand. Take Florida. Thank you.

Miami-Oh Redhawks.

The Redhawks are currently ranked No. 22 in the nation, despite being the only undefeated team in men's division one college basketball. We all know it's because of their schedule and opponents. They must come out here against a far inferior opponent and keep their foot on the gas the entire game. Miami cannot afford to let their foot off the gas as they must impress the pollsters. This team is a perfect 14-0 at home this season and overall have covered 17 of 23 lined games. They have dominated the Falcons, taking three in a row and seven of the last 10 meeting straight up, which does include the only matchup this season back at the end of December on the road, 93-83. Speaking of Bowling Green, they are just 16-11 overall, have only covered 11 of their 24 lined games this season, and possess a road record of 5-5. To make matters worse they are playing just .500 ball in conference play at 7-7. They have failed to cover three of their last four games played as a visitor this season. Miami does not have a solid opponent up on deck until possibly March 3 and March 6 against Toledo and Ohio. In all sincerity, they could finish the regular season undefeated, and confirm their top spot in the conference. As I mentioned earlier, they cannot take their foot off the gas. This is a team that ranks in the top-10 in scoring nationally, averaging over 92.4 PPG, is No. 1 nationally in field goal percentage, hitting over 53.5% overall from the floor, and No. 5 nationally from downtown, hitting over 40.2% from three-point land. Neither on the offensive or the defensive side of the court, does Bowling Green match up with this team. I feel they're going to get picked apart everywhere, outmuscled in the paint, and literally killed from downtown. Take the Redhawks. Thank you.

Saint Louis Billikens.

Having said that, St. Louis ended their 18-game winning streak three nights ago at the hands of Rhode Island on the road. They lost 81-76, as near nearly a double-digit (9.5-point) favorite. I feel this team will come back here looking to redeem themselves and make a point. They are a perfect 16-0 at home this season, and sit atop the Atlantic 10 with a one-game cushion. With games remaining against VCU tonight, Dayton, Duquesne, Loyola-Illinois, and George Mason, this team can certainly finish out with the regular season crown, and stay perfect at home. They have won and covered each of the last two meetings with VCU, both by nine-points. The Rams are a good team riding their own win streak of 10 games. The last time they dropped a game was in the second week of January. But this team tends to get overvalued as they are just 7-11 ATS their last 18 outings. With the hot streak they have been running on, I feel they' are overdue for a letdown situation. Don't get me wrong, playing a team the class of the Billikens, would not be technically a letdown situation. But I feel they're in for a poor performance. If you look at SLU's loss the other night, they turned the ball over and uncharacteristic 18 times. That will not happen again. This is a team that possesses seven players averaging better than 9.0-points per game. While VCU has a good team themselves, they aren't as deep as their opponent tonight, not nearly as frustrating on the defensive side, and certainly aren't as good on the glass. I feel they are in for a poor performance against a team that is looking to revenge their first bad outing this season. St. Louis’ only other loss was a one-point defeat on a neutral court back at the end of November against Stanford. Take the Billikens. Thank you.

Kansas Jayhawks.

Following an eight-game straight up win streak in which they covered seven of their eight contests, Kansas comes off an embarrassing loss on the road on Valentine's Day at the hands of Iowa State, 74-56. I look for the Jayhawks to get back on track and redeem themselves against an opponents that is not only struggling, but an adversary they have had their way with. Oklahoma State is on a three-game SU/ATS slide, and have not beaten tonight's opponent since January 2021. That's right, Kansas has taken eight consecutive meetings in this rivalry, covering four in a row and seven of those eight matchups. This is the time of year when Bill Self normally has his boys prepped, ready, and striding. Granted the Cowboys account for a few more points, but they also allow 81.3 PPG. They have to face one of the stingiest, nastiest, and most-frustrating defenses in college basketball, as the Jayhawks "D" yields just 68.0 PPG. There are equally strong on “D” overall from the floor as they are from downtown, and are monsters at both ends of the court on the glass. This game will get out of hand. Take Kansas. Thank you.

Arkansas Razorbacks.

It's true, Alabama has had their way with Arkansas, taking five consecutive meetings straight up. However, the Razorbacks have covered three in a row and eight of the last 10 matchups in this conference rivalry. As a matter of fact, the visiting team comes in here red-hot, winning three in a row, six of their last seven, and seven of their last nine overall outings SU, covering their last three, and six of their last nine overall contests. This includes wins and covers in three consecutive games played as a visitor against the likes of the Sooners, the Bulldogs, and the Tigers. The Crimson Tide are a good basketball team but I feel the oddsmakers are once again giving them too much credit as they have failed to cover six of their last 10 outings, which does include ATS no covers in four of their last five games played on their own court. Both teams can score as they both rank in the top-10 offensively, but defensively, Arkansas is a little bit more frustrating. Alabama is a little bit better on the offensive glass, and the Razorbacks are certainly better on the defensive boards. I think this is way too many points. Take Arkansas. Thank you.

North Carolina Tar Heels.

To put it very simply, the line is way off in this matchup. Yes, the Wolfpack are 18-8 overall, which includes a 10-4 record at home. But this is a team struggling right now, riding a two-game SU losing streak, and failing to cover their last four outings. They have also been dominated by their in-state rival, dropping two in a row, four of the last five, and eight of the last 10 overall meetings. Speaking of North Carolina, they are starting to stride, winning six of their last seven SU, and covering five of those seven. Both teams score about the same, and yield about the same. The difference you'll see in this matchup is on the glass where the Tar Heels are significantly stronger at both ends of the court. Yes, one of their biggest contributors, center Wilson is expected (check status) to miss tonight's game. But this is a team that is very deep up front, and have the personnel to step in without a missing a beat. The absence of the center might be the reason why this line is a little bit high. But don't fool yourself, North Carolina is a deep, talented, and smart team, coached well, and know this game is a big one for them. Take the Tar Heels. Thank you.

Boston College Eagles.

BC took down FSU a season ago at home, 77-76. Neither of these teams are playing great basketball right now. But this isn't about who wins, this is about who covers the number. Granted, the Seminoles have covered seven of their last eight games, but they have not had to lay this type of wood in any of those outings. As a matter of fact, since the New Year began, they were either an underdog, or a favorite of no higher than 3.5-points. I understand the Eagles are on a six-game straight up losing streak, but this is a team that can cover the number. They are on an 8-3 ATS cover streak. They have a very underrated defense, and can compete at both ends of the court in this matchup. This is way too many points. Take Boston College. Thank you.

Belmont.

The top team in the MVC, the Belmont Bruins travel to Kentucky to take on the Murray State Racers, the second-best team in the conference. I doubt very much the Bruins are going to be shaken at all, as they enter this matchup with confidence knowing they have taken five consecutive meetings straight up against their conference rival, and seven straight against the spread. This does include the only matchup this season, a January 31 home victory, 103-86. This is a team that's playing some great basketball, my friends, sporting an overall record of 23-4, and covering 15 of their 26 lined games this season. They only have a few games remaining in the regular season schedule, and trust me when I tell you none of them are against teams that could really threaten them. So, they can finish this season off with the regular season crown. But it all starts with a victory here today. The home team is a decent team at 19-8, and yes, they have won 11 of the 13 games played on their own court this season. Bu let's not forget the visitor possesses an away record of 10-2. However, Murray State is pointspread poison failing to cover seven of their last nine outings, which includes three or four during that span played at home. They may score a few more points, but their defense is absolutely deplorable. Belmont comes in here with the fourth-ranked field goal percentage shooting team in the country hitting over 51.6 % overall from the floor, and the fifth-ranked shooting team from downtown, making over 40.1% of their three-point shots. Defensively, they yield almost 10 PPG less than their opponent. The wrong team is favored here. Take the Bruins. Thank you.