Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-26-12 | Carolina Panthers v. NY Jets -2 | Top | 17-12 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
The NY Jets fit a situation that has produced 63.6% winners in the NFLX the last 8 years, so the play is on the NY Jets.
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08-25-12 | Indianapolis Colts +3.5 v. Washington Redskins | Top | 17-30 | Loss | -105 | 67 h 23 m | Show |
The NFLX week 3 is the truest form teams take here as it is dress rehersal week. Starters will play more minutes in this game, than any other NFLX week. The results are a truer sense of what teams have and what they don`t have. This game plays on a situation that has been 55-33- ATS and has to do in part with teams on short rest in week 3. It also applies to a subset which is 10-1-1 ATS. The play is on Indianapolis.
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08-24-12 | Chicago Bears +3 v. NY Giants | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 47 h 25 m | Show |
The NFLX week 3 is the truest form teams take here as it is dress rehersal week. Starters will play more minutes in this game, than any other NFLX week. The results are a truer sense of what teams have and what they don`t have. This game plays on a situation that has been 55-33- ATS and has to do in part with teams on short rest in week 3. It also applies to a subset which is 10-1-1 ATS. The play is on Chicago
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08-24-12 | San Diego Chargers +3 v. Minnesota Vikings | Top | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 47 h 24 m | Show |
The NFLX week 3 is the truest form teams take here as it is dress rehersal week. Starters will play more minutes in this game, than any other NFLX week. The results are a truer sense of what teams have and what they don`t have. This game plays on a situation that has been 55-33- ATS and has to do in part with teams on short rest in week 3. It also applies to a subset which is 10-1-1 ATS. The play is on San Diego.
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08-23-12 | Arizona Cardinals +3 v. Tennessee Titans | Top | 27-32 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 27 m | Show |
The NFLX week 3 is the truest form teams take here as it is dress rehersal week. Starters will play more minutes in this game, than any other NFLX week. The results are a truer sense of what teams have and what they don`t have. This game plays on a situation that has been 55-33- ATS and has to do in part with teams on short rest in week 3. It also applies to a subset which is 10-1-1 ATS. The play is on Arizona
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08-23-12 | Jacksonville Jaguars +7 v. Baltimore Ravens | Top | 17-48 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 8 m | Show |
Expert Analysis: The NFLX week 3 is the truest form teams take here as it is dress rehersal week. Starters will play more minutes in this game, than any other NFLX week. The results are a truer sense of what teams have and what they don`t have. This game plays on a situation that has been 55-33- ATS and has to do in part with teams on short rest in week 3. It also applies to a subset which is 10-1-1 ATS. The play is on Jacksonville.
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08-18-12 | Kansas City Chiefs +1 v. St Louis Rams | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 52 m | Show |
The Kansas City Chiefs have been one of the worst teams in the NFLX for years. The last 8 years they have gone 6-26 in these games, and outscored 631-437. Hardly a team you'd want to back, or has something changed? Apparently it has as Romeo crennel is now on the sidelines, and in his first year in Cleveland he made a statement about culture and winning, and the Browns went for the 4-0 ATS sweep! It looks like things are different in KC now as well as they won 27-17 in game 1. The Chiefs went for 21 first downs, and moved the ball all game long,scoring in all 4 quarters. The Colts went for over 400 yards on the Rams, and they were on the wrong end of a 38-3 score in week one. We have the trunover situation live here as well, which has prodcued 65.5% winners the last 9 years Play on Kansas City
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08-16-12 | CINCINNATI +3.5 v. Atlanta Falcons | Top | 24-19 | Win | 100 | 72 h 56 m | Show |
The Bengals threw a perfect game against the Jets in week 1. They did not turn the ball over, while the jets were struggling to get anything going. New Yoek was limited to 173 yards on 47 plays, and the Bengals had just 3 penalties called against them the entire game. Mike Smith has shown that the energy he puts into winning here is minimal unti it is the dress rehersal game 3. The Falcon loss in week 1 has left him at 3-10 in 13 preseason games. There is a longterm situation at work in this game as well. team's coming off a plus turnover week (Cinn +2), and playing against a team that is off a negative turnover week (ATL -3), have covered 65.5% of their NFLX games the following week over the last 9 years if they are on the road. Play on Cincinnati.
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08-09-12 | NEW ORLEANS +3.5 v. New England Patriots | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
The New England Patriots saw another Superbowl last year, and they have been there frequently with Tom Brady and Bill Belichick. The New Orleans Saints have had their own share of good seasons thed last few years, including a Superbowl of their own. While most coaches tip their hand in these games, the stoic one, Bill belichick doesn't often tip his hand even when the games are meaningless. Drew Brees will certainly make more than the 5 throws he did in game 1, and Chase Daniel looks to be a good backup as he completed 15 of 20 for 203 yards in the Saints opener, along with a TD pass. Brady sat out last year's opener, and it would not surprise me to see him sit out this year's opener as well as thed Patriots offensive line is in shambles. All Pro eft guard Logan Mankins is recovering from ACL surgery, and right guard Brian Waters has yet to report. Right tackle Sebastian Vollmer is out with a back issue. I doubt belichick is going to subject Brady to a front that is likely in trouble. there is also this consideration. The Superbowl loser is 3-14 ATS in their last 17 preseason openers the following year, and has not won at home at least back to the 1994 season, where they have averaged 12 points a game. Saints are on short rest, but that plays into their hands as certain teams on short rest (the Saints qualify), are 54-32-2 ATS in preseason games. Take New Orleans and the points in this one.
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08-05-12 | ARIZONA v. NEW ORLEANS UNDER 37.5 | Top | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 33 h 37 m | Show |
The history of this game has seen 48 games to date, with last year, and one other the onl exceptions. A pair of games were suspended due to lightning, but overall this is what the history shows. The first 8 games were still in what I call the "novelty" period. teams came out firing and those first 8 games saw 337 points scored or 42.13ppg. The 40 subsequent games in 5 year blocks, have not see an average oer 35ppg except 1 time since. The fact is the last 25 games have averaged just 31.48ppg. Those 25 games have seen just 6 top the 37 point mark, or 24%, so there certainly is historical evidence that this gasme is poised to plasy under the total. The betting public has raised this total to 37 to 37.5 now from an opener of 34.5 to 35. Over 5% of the public has cast its vote on the over, but I'll be riding low here, play on the under
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08-27-11 | Houston Texans -3 v. San Francisco 49ers | Top | 30-7 | Win | 100 | 36 h 1 m | Show |
The NFL exhibition season is shunned by some, and savored by others. I am one that savors the opportunity these games present, as there are some long term things that happen during the NFLX that lead to predictability and profits. There are a lot of forces at work here from quarterback rotations, playing time of starters, coaches philosophies, new coaches, and several other leading indicators that have served me well over the years. I will not be making specific writeups as these games don't have a lot of fundamental handicapping associated with them, they are typically under the realm of situational handicapping, an art I have mastered over the years. The play here is on Houston
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08-27-11 | New England Patriots v. Detroit Lions +4 | Top | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 36 h 58 m | Show |
The NFL exhibition season is shunned by some, and savored by others. I am one that savors the opportunity these games present, as there are some long term things that happen during the NFLX that lead to predictability and profits. There are a lot of forces at work here from quarterback rotations, playing time of starters, coaches philosophies, new coaches, and several other leading indicators that have served me well over the years. I will not be making specific writeups as these games don't have a lot of fundamental handicapping associated with them, they are typically under the realm of situational handicapping, an art I have mastered over the years. The play here is on Detroit
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08-27-11 | Miami Dolphins +4 v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Top | 13-17 | Push | 0 | 36 h 32 m | Show |
The NFL exhibition season is shunned by some, and savored by others. I am one that savors the opportunity these games present, as there are some long term things that happen during the NFLX that lead to predictability and profits. There are a lot of forces at work here from quarterback rotations, playing time of starters, coaches philosophies, new coaches, and several other leading indicators that have served me well over the years. I will not be making specific writeups as these games don't have a lot of fundamental handicapping associated with them, they are typically under the realm of situational handicapping, an art I have mastered over the years. The play here is on Miami
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08-27-11 | Atlanta Falcons +3.5 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | Top | 16-34 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 26 m | Show |
The NFL exhibition season is shunned by some, and savored by others. I am one that savors the opportunity these games present, as there are some long term things that happen during the NFLX that lead to predictability and profits. There are a lot of forces at work here from quarterback rotations, playing time of starters, coaches philosophies, new coaches, and several other leading indicators that have served me well over the years. I will not be making specific writeups as these games don't have a lot of fundamental handicapping associated with them, they are typically under the realm of situational handicapping, an art I have mastered over the years. The play here is on Atlanta
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08-27-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars v. Buffalo Bills -2.5 | Top | 32-35 | Win | 100 | 35 h 59 m | Show |
The NFL exhibition season is shunned by some, and savored by others. I am one that savors the opportunity these games present, as there are some long term things that happen during the NFLX that lead to predictability and profits. There are a lot of forces at work here from quarterback rotations, playing time of starters, coaches philosophies, new coaches, and several other leading indicators that have served me well over the years. I will not be making specific writeups as these games don't have a lot of fundamental handicapping associated with them, they are typically under the realm of situational handicapping, an art I have mastered over the years. The play here is on Buffalo
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