3-unit play. Take 431 Montreal Alouettes +3.5 over Saskatchewan Roughriders (Saturday, Nov. 15th, 6:00 p.m. EST CBS Sports Network)

The Alouettes enter the Grey Cup as live underdogs, riding a surge of momentum and a quarterback who refuses to lose. Montreal has won seven of its last eight, including a 48-31 road demolition of the Riders, and history leans their way with three prior playoff victories over Saskatchewan. Davis Alexander’s perfect 13-0 record as a starter and playoff explosion highlight why Montreal’s offense can pierce even elite defenses.

Alexander’s efficiency, with 10 touchdowns against just three interceptions, has fueled Montreal’s balanced attack. The Alouettes’ front seven ranks second in sacks and limits big plays. Saskatchewan needed a miracle drive to escape BC, and its secondary remains vulnerable underneath. In a parity-driven league where most playoff games are decided by a single score, Montreal’s consistency and firepower point to a tight contest.

Montreal’s recent run underscores their edge: 7-1 straight up with a +8.8 scoring margin, highlighted by a 48-31 rout of Saskatchewan in Regina. Running back Stevie Scott III adds balance, pounding out 133 yards and two playoff touchdowns. The Riders’ earlier 34-6 win came without Alexander, making it an outlier in an otherwise even split. History leans Montreal’s way, with three prior playoff victories over Saskatchewan, including consecutive Grey Cup triumphs in 2009 and 2010. In a league defined by parity, where eight of the last 10 division finals were decided by one score, Montreal’s front seven, second in sacks and stingy against big plays, stands toe-to-toe with Saskatchewan’s line.

4-unit play. Take 231 Montreal Alouettes -3 over Hamilton TigerCats Saturday, Nov. 8th, 3:00 p.m. EST CFL+

Montreal enters the Eastern Final with a decisive upgrade at quarterback and momentum on both sides of the ball. Davis Alexander returns after missing both regular-season losses to Hamilton, and his impact is immediate. Undefeated in 12 career starts, Alexander's playoff line against Winnipeg, where he went 24 of 34 for 384 yards with 1 TD and 1 INT, showcased his precision and poise. Earlier matchups saw Montreal score just 9 and 17 points without him. With Alexander back, the offense regains balance and can exploit Hamilton's porous run defense, which ranks last in the league at 111 yards allowed per game. Stevie Scott III, fresh off a 133-yard, two-touchdown performance, is well-positioned to control tempo and limit Hamilton's offensive possessions.

Defensively, Montreal matches up well against Bo Levi Mitchell and Hamilton's explosive passing game. The Alouettes allow just 5.4 yards per carry, often forcing opponents into predictable passing downs. While Zach Collaros posted 306 yards against them last week, Montreal's secondary, led by Lorenzo Burns, Kabion Ento, and Marc-Antoine Dequoy, has the range and discipline to contain Kenny Lawler, Kiondre Smith, and Tim White. Pressure will be critical, and Montreal's edge rushers Isaac Adeyemi-Berglund and Geoffrey Cantin-Arku have already proven disruptive, combining for multiple sacks and forced fumbles a week ago.

Montreal's recent stretch reinforces its edge. They've won six of their last seven games with an average margin of nearly 10 points, including a commanding 35-20 playoff victory. Hamilton's 2-2 finish came against backup quarterbacks from non-playoff teams, which inflated their defensive statistics. Their pass defense ranks sixth in yards allowed per attempt, but struggles against top-tier starters, giving up over 9 yards per throw. Even with injuries to Ciante Evans and Austin Mack, Montreal's depth remains intact, as Charleston Rambo stepped up with 95 receiving yards last week.

In a postseason environment where execution outweighs regular-season narratives, Montreal's health, versatility, and defensive pressure give them a clear path to success. This version of the Alouettes mirrors the early-season squad that opened with three straight wins, now peaking at the right time with a trip to the Grey Cup within reach.

4-unit play 421 Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ Montreal Alouettes (Sat., November 1st, 2:00 p.m. CFL+)

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers enter Percival Molson Stadium as a very lively underdog against the 10-8 Montreal Alouettes in the Eastern Semi-Final today. Despite identical records, Winnipeg holds key advantages in defensive efficiency, quarterback experience, and a ground game built for playoff football. The Bombers led the CFL in second-down stops and opponent two-and-outs during the stretch run, anchored by a disruptive front and disciplined secondary. Even with backups in last week's finale, they held Montreal to just 10 points, exposing schematic edges that coordinator Jordan Younger can exploit to contain Davis Alexander. The Alouettes quarterback has yet to start a postseason game, despite being undefeated in the regular season as a starter.

Zach Collaros, on the other hand, brings a wealth of postseason experience with his 7-1 mark in non-Grey Cup playoff games since 2016 and thrives in high-pressure moments. His ability to protect the football and extend drives with quick reads contrasts with Winnipeg's earlier-season inconsistencies. Even though Montreal paces the CFL in pass defense with 238.8 ypg allowed, Winnipeg can use its stout rushing attack (2nd in the league at 124.1 ypg) to set up short passes and control the clock, limiting the amount of possessions Montreal has. The Blue Bombers' Brady Oliveira, fourth in league rushing, is primed for a 100-yard performance against a unit surrendering 5.4 yards per carry. With cold, wet weather expected, Oliveira's downhill style and the return of slotback Nic Demski should help Winnipeg dictate tempo and open up play-action opportunities.

Winnipeg holds a narrow 51-49-2 all-time edge over Montreal and has covered in four of the last six meetings, including a 19-10 win last week in a battle of backups. The Bombers are 28-10 against the spread in their last 38 games as road underdogs and have won three of their last four against playoff-bound opponents. They closed the regular season 5-1, though three of those wins came against sub-.500 teams, following a five-game skid against playoff-caliber competition. Injuries impact both sides, but Winnipeg's depth at receiver and an offensive line that has allowed just 12 sacks since Week 10 help offset the loss of Dalton Schoen. Montreal will be without Sean Thomas Erlington and may also miss edge rusher Shawn Lemon, further weakening a defense already vulnerable on the ground. Winnipeg controls the pace, wins the turnover battle, and leans on its playoff-tested core, giving the Bombers a clear path to advance and keep their Grey Cup hopes alive.

4-unit play. Take 244 Edmonton Elks +5 over Calgary Stampeders (Friday, October 24th, 9:30 p.m. CFL+)

The Elks have found their stride at Commonwealth Stadium, riding a four-game home winning streak that includes victories over playoff-caliber opponents, such as these very same Calgary Stampeders. This surge has been fueled by sharper execution on both sides of the ball, with improved quarterback protection and a defense that has become increasingly disruptive. Calgary, by contrast, has faltered on the road, posting a losing record and struggling in tight contests. Edmonton holds a clear advantage in the ground game, having rushed for over 200 yards in their last meeting with the Stampeders. Their lead back has averaged more than five yards per carry in recent weeks, giving them the ability to control the clock and limit Calgary's high-powered passing attack. Calgary's run defense ranks near the bottom of the league, often allowing explosive gains that set up favorable down-and-distance situations for opponents. If the Elks can establish the run early, they'll open up play-action opportunities to exploit Calgary's secondary.

Defensively, Edmonton has made strides, recording multiple interceptions in recent home games. Calgary's quarterback has shown a tendency to make mistakes under pressure, particularly when the pocket breaks down. The Elks' pass rush, anchored by emerging edge threats, is well-positioned to force hurried decisions or drive-ending sacks. Injuries have also hampered the Stampeders, including the loss of a top receiver, which narrows their offensive options and increases reliance on an inconsistent run game. Weather could further tilt the matchup, as cooler October conditions in Edmonton favor a physical, ground-based approach that aligns with the Elks' strengths. While Calgary is still jockeying for playoff seeding, that urgency could lead to risky decisions. Edmonton, playing with nothing to lose, has shown resilience down the stretch, covering the spread in four of its last five home games.

7-unit play. Take #705 Winnipeg Blue Bombers -3 over Edmonton Elks (Sat., Oct. 11th, 7:00 p.m. CFL+)

Winnipeg quarterback Zach Collaros looks to be rounding into form after a 2025 season marred by injuries. That's bad news for an Edmonton defense that ranks dead last in total yards allowed (387.7 per game) and passing yards allowed (295.5 per game). Collaros already carved up the Elks' porous secondary back in Week 2, completing 25 of 30 passes (83.3%) for 334 yards and three touchdowns without a single interception in a 36–23 Blue Bombers win. With the passing game firing, Winnipeg can lean on the CFL's top rushing attack (121.7 yards per game) to extend drives and dominate time of possession.

The matchup doesn't get any better for Edmonton when its offense takes the field. The Elks rank ninth in total offense (321.1 yards per game) and sit at the bottom of the league in scoring with just 24.2 points per game. Winnipeg, meanwhile, boasts the second-best scoring defense, allowing only 24.9 points per contest. Cody Fajardo didn't start for Edmonton in the Week 3 loss, but history suggests his presence won't tilt the odds. The Bombers have consistently stifled Fajardo throughout his 10-year CFL career, holding him to a 4–11 record as a starter. One of those wins came with Montreal in the 2023 Grey Cup, but the rest have been few and far between.

Winnipeg has dominated this series for nearly a decade. The Blue Bombers haven't lost to Edmonton since November 3, 2018. Over the course of their 13-game winning streak, they've gone 12–3 against the spread and have won by an average of 16.5 points. The closest margin came in 2019, when Winnipeg escaped with a 34–28 victory.

The numbers, the matchups, and the history all point in one direction. Winnipeg has the more efficient quarterback, the more balanced offense, and the more disciplined defense. Edmonton continues to struggle on both sides of the ball, and there is little evidence to suggest a breakthrough is coming. The Blue Bombers have dominated this series for six straight years, covering spreads and controlling games with methodical precision. Unless something fundamental changes, this will be another chapter in a rivalry that has long since ceased to be competitive.

7-unit play. Take 722 B.C. Lions -3.5 vs. Calgary Stampeders (Sat. Oct 4th, 7:00 pm CFL+)

These division rivals are currently on opposite trajectories, and we believe this trend will continue. Calgary is heading to British Columbia on a three-game losing streak, while the Lions have won five of their last seven games, including a current three-game win streak. One of those victories was a decisive 52-23 dismantling of the Stampeders two weeks ago in Calgary.

B.C. has established itself as an offensive powerhouse this season, dominating the league in yards (429.1 yards per game), passing yards (309.7 yards per game), and points scored (30.5 points per game). Quarterback Nathan Rourke is having a remarkable season, averaging 278 yards per game and achieving 320.8 yards with nearly two touchdowns for every interception. In the 13 games he has played, he has surpassed the 300-yard mark nine times, and his 331 red zone passing yards are unparalleled in the league. Additionally, he has added an impressive 455 rushing yards on 55 carries, leading the CFL at a staggering 8.3 yards per carry. The Lions also feature the league's premier rusher, running back James Butler, who averages 75.8 yards per game and has amassed a total of 1,061 rushing yards, including three games with over 100 yards—both top performances in the CFL. Unsurprisingly, Lions receiver Keon Hatcher dominates nearly every receiving category: targets (119), receptions (83), yards (1,404), and an impressive 503 yards after the catch.

Calgary's offense has shown some promising moments, but it remains inconsistent overall. The only area where they have excelled is in their rushing attack, averaging 120.7 yards per game. Running back Dedrick Mills is notable as the third and final running back in the league to surpass 1,000 rushing yards, currently sitting at 1,035 yards with an impressive average of 5.3 yards per carry. He has recorded 30 carries of 10 or more yards, which is a solid 15.4% of his 195 total attempts, although he has only five carries that went for 20+ yards. On the receiving end, wide receiver Dominique Rhymes leads the Stampeders with 711 yards on 40 receptions but ranks only 15th in the CFL for receivers. For context, both Hamilton and Toronto have three wide receivers listed in the Top 15.

On the defensive side, BC has allowed an average of 351.3 yards per game, which is the second-best in the CFL, bolstered by having the top pass defense at 247.7 yards per game. They have allowed an average of 28.7 points per game this season, which is somewhat concerning. However, during their current three-game winning streak, they have improved this statistic, reducing the points allowed to 24 per game. In contrast, Calgary allows a significant amount of yardage at 377.4 yards per game, but they have managed to keep their points allowed lower at 23.9 per game, the second-lowest in the league.

BC Place has been a challenging venue for the visiting Stampeders in recent seasons. Calgary has posted a record of 1-5 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in their last six visits to British Columbia. This trend extends beyond home games, as the Lions are 4-1 SU and ATS in their last five matchups against Calgary, with an average score of BC 30, Calgary 21. Three weeks ago, BC was struggling at the bottom of the standings alongside Edmonton, while Calgary was firmly in second place for a playoff spot in the West. As they head into Week 18, both teams are now tied with Winnipeg for the final playoff position, each having 16 points. The Stampeders have a slight edge, however, since they have one less loss due to a game-in-hand. This makes the upcoming game crucial for BC. We anticipate that the Lions will dominate the Stampeders this evening.

2-unit play. Take 705 Winnipeg Blue Bombers +3 (-110) @ Ottawa RedBlacks (Saturday, Sept. 20th, 3:00 p.m. CFL+)

Winnipeg will cover the spread against Ottawa tonight due to their superior ability to exploit Ottawa's defensive weaknesses, particularly on the ground. Despite Ottawa's defensive front showing strength against the run in previous seasons, its current performance has deteriorated significantly, allowing 89.0 rushing yards per game and a league-high 15 rushing touchdowns this season. This presents a perfect matchup for Brady Oliveira and Winnipeg's ground game, especially considering Oliveira's demonstrated ability to gain yards after contact with 891 rushing yards after contact in 2025. The Bombers' defense, currently ranked 5th in the CFL while allowing 27.1 points per game, features linebacker Tony Jones as an anchor with 82 defensive tackles, three sacks, and an interception, giving them the stability needed to contain Ottawa's inconsistent offense that averages just 25.6 points per game. Even with Zach Collaros potentially sidelined, Chris Streveler has proven he can effectively manage Winnipeg's offense, as demonstrated in previous starts where he contributed both through the air and on the ground with rushing touchdowns, making the spread highly achievable for the visitors.

Winnipeg's historical dominance on the road against Ottawa, 5-2 straight-up and against the spread in their last 7 meetings, and their consistent road covering ability, 8-4 ATS in their last 12 road games, directly contradict the market's narrow spread assignment. This trend is catastrophic for Ottawa with their abysmal 5-15 straight-up record over their last 20 games, exposing them as fundamentally flawed despite home-field advantage. The Bombers demonstrated their ability to withstand late Ottawa comebacks just weeks ago in Week 11, holding the RedBlacks out of the end zone through the entire first half and ultimately winning 30-27 on a walk-off field goal. While Dru Brown returns to Ottawa's lineup, Winnipeg's proven resilience in this specific matchup, coupled with Ottawa's systemic collapse, creates an overwhelming case that oddsmakers have severely undervalued the visitors.

4-unit play: Take 702 Montreal Alouettes +6 over Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Thursday, August 21st, 7:30 p.m. CBSSN)

Montreal enters familiar territory as a home underdog against Winnipeg, having covered the spread in three of the last five meetings while posting a 2-3 record straight up. The Alouettes boast the CFL’s second-ranked run defense, allowing just 79.4 yards per game. That sets up a strong matchup against Blue Bombers running back Brady Oliveira, who averages 59 yards on 5.2 yards per carry, ranking fourth in the league.

Quarterback James Morgan showed promise off the bench against the CFL’s top pass defense, completing 20 of 33 passes for 211 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. With a full week of first-team reps, he faces a Winnipeg secondary that ranks second-worst in passing yards allowed at 280.4 per game, gives up 9.23 yards per attempt, and has only seven interceptions.

Winnipeg’s 5-4 record conceals road struggles, with a 1-3 mark on the road compared to their 4-1 at home. The Bombers have also struggled to close games, including a recent collapse after leading Ottawa 17-0. Quarterback Zach Collaros has thrown multiple interceptions in five of seven starts, offering Montreal’s defense a chance to capitalize.

Despite a two-game skid and injury setbacks, the Alouettes sit at 5-5 and typically rise to the occasion at Percival Molson Memorial Stadium. If they contain Oliveira early, pressure shifts to Collaros, setting the stage for a close, physical fight, the kind that the Als thrive in. 

3-unit play: Take 732 BC Lions -7 over Montreal Alouettes (Saturday, August 16th, 7:00 p.m. CBSSN)

Nathan Rourke’s aerial assault continues to overwhelm defenses, torching opponents for over 330 passing yards in four of his last five games. That stretch includes a 408-yard clinic in BC’s overtime win over Hamilton. Paired with James Butler, the CFL’s rushing leader at 704 yards, the Lions’ balanced attack is primed to shred Montreal’s vulnerable front seven. BC leads the league in total offense at 420 yards per game, averages 7.5 yards per play, and converts second downs at a 54.6% clip. Those numbers translate perfectly to the fast track at BC Place, where they’ve routinely jumped out early and sustained pressure.

Montreal, meanwhile, is unraveling. Starting quarterback Davis Alexander remains on the six-game injured list. Backup McLeod Bethel-Thompson is now sidelined with an elbow injury. That leaves third-stringer Caleb Evans to make his first start on the road against a surging Lions squad. The Alouettes are also missing key playmakers, including receivers Austin Mack and Tyson Philpot, running back Sean Thomas-Erlington, center Justin Lawrence, and defensive anchors Mustafa Johnson and Kabion Ento. The result is a 2-4 straight-up and 1-5 against-the-spread skid, punctuated by a home loss to the league-worst Elks, where Montreal managed just 263 yards and 22 points.

BC has dominated this matchup at home, going 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. With the line moving from 4.5 to 6.5, there’s still solid value. Montreal’s injury-riddled roster and third-string quarterback make it unlikely they’ll keep pace. The Lions’ offensive efficiency and defensive pressure set the stage for a comfortable margin, and we feel confident backing a team built to cover big numbers against depleted competition.

3 Unit Play. Take #727 Toronto Argonauts +3 over Edmonton Elks (Friday, August 15th, 9:00 p.m. CFL+)

Toronto's potent offense, averaging 34.4 points over their last seven games and led by quarterback Nick Arbuckle who has thrown for over 300 yards in each of his past three starts, is poised to exploit Edmonton's dismal defense that ranks second-last in points allowed at 30.1 per game and dead last in sacks, takeaways, and opponent pass efficiency.

With the Elks allowing a league-high 76.7 percent completion rate and 307.5 passing yards per contest, Toronto should generate enough scoring drives to keep the game close, especially considering their 4-2 against-the-spread record in the past six visits to Edmonton.

Additionally, the Argonauts' defense, while vulnerable against the run, excels at forcing turnovers and creating big plays, which could disrupt Edmonton's struggling ground game that ranks third-last in rushing yards despite a solid yards-per-carry average. Even though we're getting 3 points with the Argos, I wouldn't be surprised in the least to see Toronto win outright. 

7-unit Play: Take #707 Hamilton Tiger-Cats +2.5 over BC Lions (7:00 p.m., Sunday, July 27th CFL+)

Hamilton brings real bite into this matchup—not just as the CFL’s top-scoring team at 31.3 points per game, but as a complete unit that wins through vertical explosiveness, quarterback efficiency, and turnover control. Bo Levi Mitchell’s 12-to-2 TD-to-INT ratio keeps the offense efficient and aggressive, especially with the league’s most dangerous receiver stretching defenses for 107.3 yards per game and 19.5 per catch. That passing dominance becomes even more valuable against a BC team that’s been reckless through the air, tossing 10 picks—second-most in the league—while Hamilton’s defense leads the CFL in interceptions with 11, setting up short fields and momentum swings. Add in BC’s lackluster 2-4 straight up and ATS record in their last six home games vs. Hamilton, and you’re looking at more than just a trend—it’s a convergence of matchup value, form, and style. The Lions are laying points to a team that’s statistically sharper and situationally stronger across the board, and that’s a line you grab hold of, not fade.

4-units Take #705 Winnipeg Blue Bombers over Toronto Argonauts (Saturday, July 26th 7:00 p.m. CBSSN) Zach Collaros suiting up for the Winnipeg Blue Bombers and Chad Kelly being ruled out for the Toronto Argonauts pushed the line from -2.5 to -5.5, and even that doesn’t fully reflect how lopsided this matchup has become. Winnipeg’s rushing attack, churning out 123.8 yards per game, now faces Toronto’s porous rush defense, which allows 118.0 yards per game — second-worst in the CFL. On the other side, the Argos are leaning on Nick Arbuckle, who leads the league in interceptions (8) and has been sacked 16 times, the second-most in the CFL. Yes, Winnipeg hit turbulence with back-to-back losses, but those came against Calgary’s league-best defense, ranked first in both points allowed and points per game. Toronto's unit ranks eighth, allowing 31.5 points per game. Add in the trends: Bombers are 6-1 straight-up and 5-2 against the spread in their last seven road games. Toronto has struggled at 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS over its last six. It’s a prime spot for Winnipeg to roll and cover.

7-unit Play. Take 729 Hamilton Tiger-Cats over Ottawa Red Blacks (Sunday, July 20, 7:00 p.m. CBSSN)

Now and then, bettors can take advantage of the sportsbooks' overreaction to recent results. The Ti-Cats have handled Ottawa consistently, going 12-2 straight up and 9-5 against the spread in their last 14 meetings. That edge sharpens on the road, where they've gone 7-4 SU and 8-3 ATS against the Redblacks. But because Hamilton defeated Ottawa by a field goal, failing to cover the 5.5-point spread, we have been blessed with a small 2-point line for Sunday's contest.

This year’s Hamilton team isn’t just winning with smoke and mirrors. They lead the CFL in scoring at 31.6 points per game, finishing drives, creating explosive plays, and forcing defenses to adjust. Ottawa sits last at 22.2 ppg, a gap that shows up in game scripts and betting margins.

When Ottawa loses straight up, they usually lose against the spread as well. Their only exception this season was last week’s 3-point loss to these same Ti-Cats. That was on their home field. This rematch is in Hamilton, and the situational setup leans harder toward the favorite.

Also worth noting, Hamilton's only two losses came against two of the best teams in the league. They’ve shown they can handle middle-tier opponents, and Ottawa fits that mold. Redblacks are struggling to finish drives and haven’t shown the playmaking edge needed to close late.

Hamilton’s historical dominance and scoring edge give you a number worth acting on. Lay it before it drifts.

3-Unit Play. Take #724 Montreal Alouettes -10 (-110) vs. Toronto Argonauts (Thursday, July 17, 7:30 p.m. CBSSN)

Montreal’s setup to cover tonight isn’t about a single mismatch—it’s about layers of advantage on both sides of the ball. Davis Alexander returns after a two-game absence, and the Alouettes’ offense has looked entirely different with him at the helm. In three starts, Alexander has led Montreal to double-digit wins each time, completing over 75% of his passes and posting a 116.1 efficiency rating. His timing and command have turned Montreal’s short passing game into a scoring engine.

Toronto’s defense, meanwhile, has been exposed repeatedly. The Argos have allowed 38+ points in two of their last three games and rank second-worst in opponent offensive points per game. They’ve surrendered 22 explosive plays of 20+ yards and have just three takeaways all season. That’s not just a bad stretch—it’s a structural problem, especially after losing key pass rushers like Jake Ceresna and Folarin Orimolade in the offseason.

Montreal’s defense has been the opposite: disciplined and disruptive. They’re allowing just 22.4 points per game and lead the league in yards per rush allowed. In Week 1, they held Toronto to 10 points and forced three turnovers, including a scoop-and-score. With Nick Arbuckle under center, the Argos face a front seven that’s built to collapse the pocket and limit second-level reads.

Montreal is 6-4 SU/ 5-5 ATS in its last 10 home games and has already beaten Toronto by 18 this season. Between Alexander’s return, a defense that’s already proven it can frustrate the Argos, and a matchup that tilts toward Montreal’s strengths, the Alouettes are positioned to control tempo and cover again. Lay the points. This is their game to dictate.

4 Unit Play. Take #713 BC Lions -2.5 over Edmonton Elks (Sunday, July 13th, 7:00 p.m. CBSSN)

I'm taking the road favorite B.C. Lions and laying the points against the Edmonton Elks. The -2.5 spread is short for a team that boasts clear advantages in quarterback play, defensive production, and historical success against this specific opponent. With Edmonton struggling across key metrics and BC trending upward, the matchup leans heavily in favor of the visitors.

Nathan Rourke remains the centerpiece of BC’s attack, throwing for 925 yards and five touchdowns in just three starts. Last week’s 352-yard performance against Montreal reaffirmed his command under pressure. He now draws an Edmonton defense that has yet to record an interception and allows a league-worst 323.2 passing yards per game. Rourke’s track record against the Elks only strengthens this position: he’s 4-0 in previous matchups, completing over 81 percent of his passes for 1,442 yards and 13 touchdowns with only one interception.

Defensively, BC leads the CFL in total yardage allowed (321.8 per game) and pass defense (185.4 per game). Their front has produced ten sacks and will face an Edmonton offensive line that’s missing starters, including David Beard, who is active but not in the starting rotation. The Elks’ defense ranks last in both scoring and total yardage allowed, surrendering 34.5 points and 432.7 yards per contest. While BC’s defensive depth has minor concerns, their starting unit remains intact and effective.

This isn’t just about stats—it’s about repeated performance. BC is 9-1 straight up and 8-2 against the spread in its last ten games against Edmonton. That includes a 31–14 win in Week 1, where they covered a -4.5 number with ease. Edmonton, meanwhile, is just 1-4 ATS in its last five overall and equally poor at home.

Injuries further tilt this game toward BC. Edmonton will be without defensive lineman Robbie Smith and linebacker Eteva Mauga-Clements—two pieces critical to containing Rourke. BC, while missing center Michael Couture, will plug in veteran Andrew Peirson without significant drop-off. Kick returner Seven McGee’s return also adds upside in the field position battle.

When you line up the pieces, BC’s efficient offense, Edmonton’s defensive liabilities, historical precedent, and a soft spread, the play is clear. BC has the tools and momentum to win by a margin, and -2.5 doesn't seem to be asking much.

4-unit Take #717 Calgary Stampeders +5.5 over Saskatchewan Roughriders (Friday, July 11, 9 p.m. CFL+)

Calgary’s path to covering the 5.5-point spread Friday night starts with a defense that’s been the most efficient in the CFL. The Stampeders are allowing just 20.2 points per game, and while they’ve given up yards on the ground—ranking second-worst in rush defense—they’ve been elite at keeping teams out of the end zone. Calgary has allowed only 16 red zone plays all season, the fewest in the league. That’s not just situational toughness—it’s a system that forces offenses to settle for field goals after long drives.

That’s especially relevant against a Saskatchewan team that leads the CFL in scoring at 33.8 points per game and features A.J. Ouellette, the league’s top rusher. Ouellette will likely find success between the tackles, but Calgary’s bend-don’t-break structure is built to absorb that damage without letting it dictate the scoreboard.

Offensively, Calgary has the balance to keep Saskatchewan’s defense honest. Dedrick Mills leads the league in carries and rushing touchdowns, and his slashing style has been a perfect complement to Vernon Adams Jr., who’s thrown for over 1,000 yards and has a history of success against the Riders. In six career starts, Adams has averaged 367 yards with 11 touchdowns, and now he faces a secondary that’s allowing 279.2 passing yards per game—the worst in the CFL.

The Stamps have also thrived in this spot historically, going 5–1 straight up and against the spread in their last six trips to Regina. That’s not just a trend—it’s a reflection of how well Calgary’s style matches up with Saskatchewan’s.

Between red zone discipline, a quarterback who’s consistently produced against this defense, and a run game that can control the tempo, Calgary has the tools to keep this game tight. Take the points. The Stampeders are built to cover.

4-units Take #713 BC Lions over Montreal Alouettes (Saturday, July 5th, 7:00 p.m. CBSSN)

The BC Lions are catching 2.5 points in Montreal, but this number doesn’t reflect the current trajectory of either team. The return of Nathan Rourke at quarterback gives BC a clear edge—not just in talent, but in offensive identity. Rourke steps back into a system that’s already producing at a high level, ranking second in the CFL in both total yards (379 per game) and passing yards (282.5). The Lions have been especially efficient in the red zone, running a league-high 29 plays inside the 20. That kind of sustained offensive pressure is difficult to match, especially for a Montreal team that’s coming off its worst performance of the season.

The Alouettes dropped to 3–1 after a 35–17 loss in Hamilton, a game that exposed serious concerns at quarterback. With Davis Alexander sidelined for a second straight week, Montreal turns again to 37-year-old McLeod Bethel-Thompson. MBT looked overwhelmed against a mediocre Tiger-Cats secondary, finishing with a 59.3 QB rating, 5.0 yards per attempt, and two interceptions. He’s now lost four straight starts dating back to last season in Edmonton, and the sharpness he showed in relief against the Elks has quickly faded. Now he faces a BC defense that’s far more disciplined and athletic than Hamilton’s. The Lions lead the league in pass defense (183.8 yards allowed per game) and rank second in total defense (324.2). They’ve also allowed just 18 red zone plays all season, third-fewest in the CFL. While BC’s run defense has been a weak spot—giving up a league-worst 140.5 yards per game—Montreal hasn’t shown the consistency on the ground to exploit it.

This isn’t just a favorable matchup on paper—it’s one that’s historically tilted toward BC. The Lions are 7–3 straight up and 8–2 against the spread in their last 10 trips to Montreal. Even more compelling: they’re a perfect 10–0 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog against the Alouettes. That’s not noise—it’s a trend. With Rourke back at the controls, a defense that can smother MBT’s limited downfield attack, and a long track record of covering in this exact role, BC is the right side. Take the points, and don’t be surprised if they leave Montreal with a win.

7-unit Play. Take #703 Montreal Alouettes -2 over Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Friday, June 27th, 7:30 p.m. CFL+)

Hamilton’s defense has been a turnstile through two games, surrendering a CFL-worst 435 yards per game and 33 points per contest. The front seven has been especially soft, allowing 5.6 yards per carry and failing to generate consistent pressure. That’s a problem against a Montreal offense that’s been humming, even with a quarterback change. Davis Alexander left the last game with a hamstring injury, but veteran McLeod Bethel-Thompson stepped in—a two-time East All-Star who looked sharp. Whoever steps behind center will be running an offense averaging 35 points per game and featuring one of the league’s most efficient ground attacks, led by Sean Thomas Erlington (5.0 YPC) and a physical O-line that’s controlled the trenches all season.

Hamilton’s offense hasn’t been able to mask its defensive issues. Bo Levi Mitchell is putting up volume and leads the league with 320 passing yards per game, but the run game is non-existent—just 49 yards per game, dead last in the CFL. That one-dimensionality has made them easy to scheme against, especially with a shaky offensive line that’s allowed too many clean looks for opposing pass rushers. Montreal’s defense, which has forced 10 turnovers and held opponents to 18.7 points per game, should feast.

Despite Montreal’s dominance on both sides of the ball, the line has quietly shifted from -2.5 to -2, suggesting some market interest in the home dog. Hamilton is coming off a bye and playing at Tim Hortons Field, where they’ve historically been more competitive, except against Montreal, who have won and covered four out of their last five trips to Hamilton. Montreal’s edge in the trenches and turnover margin make them the more trustworthy side until proven otherwise.

7-unit Play: Take #722 Calgary Stampeders -3 over Ottawa Redblacks (Saturday, June 21st 4:00 p.m. CBS Sports Network)

Ottawa is reeling right now. The Redblacks' stop unit hasn't done much stopping, allowing a league-high 35 points per game. Ottawa's injury report is littered with players from both sides of the ball, most notably being starting QB Dru Brown. His replacement, QB Matthew Shiltz, was benched for QB Dustin Crum last week after Shiltz tossed 3 picks in a 39-18 loss to Montreal. Crum is prone to interceptions, with 14 picks in his CFL career (3.2%) against just 10 touchdown passes (2.3%). He is, however, a threat to run the ball, as he has averaged 6.5 yards a carry in his 921 career yards and 18 rushing touchdowns. It's never ideal for your quarterback to have more rushing than passing touchdowns unless you're running a triple-option offense.

3-Unit Play: Take #717 Montreal Alouettes -6.5 over Edmonton Elks (Thursday, June 19th, 9:00 p.m. EST) 

It's tempting to take a home dog getting almost a touchdown at home, with a week to prepare. Unfortunately, there aren't enough weeks in a month to help Edmonton right now. It's difficult to see what is worse, the Als' punchless offense, or their powerless defense. One of QB Tre Ford's explosive weapons, WR Arkell Smith, has seen limited practice time from a concussion suffered last week and is questionable. Montreal is 4-1 SU/ATS in its last 5 visits to Commonwealth Stadium. All signs point to them adding another victory on both sides of that tally.

7-unit Play: Take 713 the Calgary Stampeders PK over Toronto Argonauts (Saturday, June 14th, 4:00 p.m. CBSSN)

In their season opener, the Toronto Argonauts struggled, falling 28-10 to Montreal with a league-low 10 points and 276 yards of total offense. Free agency hit their defense hard, with the loss of three defensive linemen, and it showed as they allowed 163 rushing yards. Roster turnover also crippled the offense, with RB Ka'Deem Carey and QB Cameron Dukes released just a week before the season. Backup QB Nick Arbuckle was mediocre, completing 20 of 32 passes (62.5%) for 273 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions. Meanwhile, Calgary's Vernon Adams, a significant upgrade over the turnover-prone Jake Maier, led the Stampeders to a 38-26 win over Hamilton. Adams was effective, generating 24 first downs and 428 yards of total offense. With Toronto's overhauled defensive front, Calgary should dominate the run game, opening up play-action passes. The Stamps' defense, average in their win against Hamilton, is likely to handle Toronto's weakened offense. Calgary has dominated this series for 12 years, boasting a 16-4 SU and 13-6-1 ATS record, including 7-3 SU and 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 road games against the Argonauts. Toronto's future may brighten, but not with Arbuckle under center.

4-unit Play: Take #711 Montreal Alouettes -5 over Ottawa Redblacks (Friday, June 13th, 7:30 p.m. CFL+)

The Ottawa Redblacks are reeling after a season-opening loss to the Saskatchewan Roughriders and a devastating hip injury to quarterback Dru Brown, sidelining him for their Week 2 clash against the Montreal Alouettes. Montreal, who has dominated this matchup with eight straight wins over Ottawa—six by 7+ points—and 10 consecutive victories at TD Place, opened as a slight underdog but saw the betting line shift sharply in their favor after Brown's injury was announced. With back-up Matt Shiltz stepping in for Ottawa, the Redblacks face an uphill battle against a confident Alouettes squad led by undefeated starter Davis Alexander (5-0), who threw 19-of-26 in Week 1, supported by a robust 163-yard rushing attack.

The Alouettes' offense, which scored 6+ points per quarter against Toronto, is clicking early. At the same time, their defense, fresh off two interceptions against Nick Arbuckle, is poised to exploit Ottawa's reshuffled playbook and backup QB. Montreal has enjoyed its yearly trek to Ottawa, boasting an astounding 10-0 SU and 8-2 ATS record, with its last loss coming at the home of its division rival in 2018. Ottawa's 413 receiving yards in Week 1 may not translate against Montreal's playmakers, especially with the Redblacks' dismal 2-8 ATS record in their last 10 games. With Montreal's balanced game plan and Ottawa's mounting challenges, the Alouettes are primed to extend their dominance in this lopsided rivalry.

6 Unit Play. Take #704 Montreal -5 over Toronto (7:30p.m., Friday, June 6 CFL+) Montreal is favored over the defending champions and it is with good reason. They are playing at home and the Argonauts had their team gutted, especially on defense. Montreal went 6-1 at Memorial Stadium in 2024 and they should challenge for the No. 1 seed this season in the East. The Alouettes had a top defense in the league and they are riding a quarterback that finished 4-0 last season as a starter. QB Nick Arbuckle for Toronto is not a top quarterback in the league at this point. Toronto is still the defending champion and thus the line is lower than what it should be.

4-unit Play: Take #702 Saskatchewan Roughriders -3 vs. Ottawa Redblacks (Thursday, June 5th, 9:00 p.m. EST)

Saskatchewan hasn't been a very hospitable host to Ottawa in the last decade, going 7-3 SU/ 6-4 ATS in the past 10 games in Regina. The Roughriders return the league-leading passer from last season, Trevor Harris, with a 108.4 QB rating. A.J. Ouellette, a 1,000-yard rusher two seasons ago, was limited to just 558 yards in 8 games in his first season with the Roughriders, and he looks to be healthy. Ottawa is all-in with the promising but inconsistent QB Dru Brown, as Jeremiah Masoli was part of the CFL's quarterback carousel and is now with the BC Lions. Brown had the second-lowest completion percentage (67.2%) and QB rating (97.6) among the starting QBs from a year ago. He only had three starts before his 15 last season, so perhaps his second year in Ottawa will be more productive. However, we don't believe it's going to start tonight on the road in Regina. 

8 Unit Play. Take 221 Toronto Argonauts +2 over Montreal Alouettes (3p.m., Saturday, November 9 CFL+) CFL Playoff Game of the Year This game marks the third consecutive season that these two teams have met in the Eastern Divisional Finals. Montreal reminds me a little bit of the Philadelphia Eagles last season. The Alouettes jumped out to a 5-0 record and eventually ran that up to a sterling 10-1 mark. However, it seems that the offense left after Labor Day, and the team limped home the last 6 weeks with a 2-4-1 record. It's not often you see a football team with the best record in their league with the lowest total yards in offense, but that is exactly where Montreal's offense (335.8 ypg) resides. The Als' QB, Cody Fajardo, season has taken a similar path as the team he leads. In the last six games of the regular season, Fajardo threw for 1,133 yards with 6 TDs and 2 INTs. Toronto comes into the Division Championship game on the opposite side of the spectrum, as they are 4-1 over their last 5 games, including last week's 58-38 drubbing of Ottawa in the opening rounds of the playoffs. They are led by the reigning CFL Player of the Year, QB Chad Kelly. The only quarterback hotter than Kelly since Labor Day was Bo Levi Mitchell. The Args' gunslinger racked up 2,165 yards with 13 TDs and 6 INTs in his last six games, including Toronto's playoff win. What will make Kelly's passing so much more effective is Toronto's ability to run against Montreal. The Alouettes have the 3rd-worst rush defense in the league, giving up 115.9 ypg on the ground. Montreal's rush defense allowed 173.3 ypg to the Args ground game in the three meetings this season between these division rivals. If Toronto can establish a powerful ground game, Kelly's play-action passes become more effective and lethal. Toronto is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games against the Alouettes and 4-1 SU in the last 5 visits to Montreal. Kelly had a horrific game last year in the playoffs, where he threw 4 picks en route to a 38-17 loss to Montreal. He exorcised one demon last week with his performance and will complete his personal redemption tour on Saturday with a Toronto victory. 

3 Unit Play. Take 774 Toronto -3.5 over Ottawa (Sat., Oct. 19th, 3:00 p.m. CFL+) After having an off-game last week going against Winnipeg's leading pass and scoring defense (and leading his team to a 14-11 victory), Argonauts QB Chad Kelly looks to light up a Redblacks defense he's already torched for 463 yards and 3 TDs (with 4 INTs) in a 41-27 defeat on Sept. 7th. Since that setback, Toronto is 3-1 SU/3-1ATS. Ottawa is in the midst of a 1-5 SU/ATS stretch and welcome back QB Dru Brown who missed the last two weeks with an ankle injury, along with his main aerial target, WR Justin Hardy. This is an important game for the Args as a win will clinch the East Division and home field for the opening round of the CFL playoffs. After scraping of the rust in the game against Ottawa in which he threw 3 picks and was sacked 6 times, Kelly has settled down. He's completed 65.4% of his passes over his last 4 games, throwing for 1,013 yards and 3 TDs to only 2 INTs (after throwing 6 interceptions in his first 3 games back from suspension). Kelly also has 189 yards on 38 carries (5.0 ypc) and 4 rushing TDs. In the loss to the Redblacks, however, not only was he sacked 6 times but he only scrambled twice for 6 yards. With Ottawa's ferocious pass rush (2nd in the CFL with 37 sacks, right behind the league-leading Argonauts with 44), Kelly needs to make use of his mobility to threaten Ottawa's flanks. Ottawa's weak run game (86.4 ypc) will make it easier for Toronto to use that rentless pass rush to disrupt the Redblack's passing attack. In the last 6 games played between these two division rivals, Toronto has gone 5-1SU/ATS. In addition, when the Args are favored and playing the Redblacks in Toronto, the Argonauts are 13-1 SU and 10-4 ATS. Chad Kelly continues his redemption tour and slowly starts to wipe away the first half of the season that he missed.