Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-22-16 | Arkansas v. Auburn -9.5 | Top | 3-56 | Win | 100 | 101 h 43 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #401 Take Auburn Tigers over Arkansas Razorbacks (Saturday 6 pm ESPN) The line on this game is very telling! Both teams have two losses and Arkansas is ranked higher than Auburn the polls yet the Tigers come in as close to a double-digit favorite. Arkansas had to run the gauntlet the first three weeks of conference play with games against Texas A & M, Alabama, and Ole Miss. It is hard to believe that they will have much left in the tank for this game especially since they have yet to have a bye this year (this is their 8th game in 8 weeks). Auburn is coming off a bye and they enter this game on a three game winning streak. Auburn lost a 4OT game to Arkansas last year but Auburn is trending way up in 2016. The Tigers are 12th in the country in rushing and the Razorbacks are 80th in the country in rushing defense. |
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10-22-16 | TCU v. West Virginia -5.5 | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 98 h 14 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #326 Take West Virginia Mountaineers over TCU Horned Frogs (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC) Do not like to play a team we went against the week before but West Virginia has something very few teams in the Big XII have ever seen: A DEFENSE! Texas Tech has a better offense than TCU does and West Virginia shut them down for sixty minutes TCU struggled to put away Kansas last week and they will be in for a rude awakening today in Morgantown. TCU has allowed 41 points in three games this season and I expect WVU to get that mark as well. This line should be double digits and we will take full advantage of a favorable situation. |
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10-22-16 | Memphis v. Navy +2.5 | 28-42 | Win | 100 | 46 h 9 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #372 Take Navy Midshipmen +2.5 over Memphis Tigers (Saturday 3:30 pm CBSSN) The Midshipmen are coming off a long break and will be ready to crack some pads on Saturday in Annapolis. Navy beat Memphis last year by a score of 45-20 rushing for 374 yards and expect more of the same on Saturday. Memphis is playing their third road game in four weeks and they have a new coach this season with new systems on both sides of the football. Memphis is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games played during the month of October. Navy is 18-6 ATS in their last 24 home games. |
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10-22-16 | Wisconsin v. Iowa +4 | 17-9 | Loss | -115 | 43 h 37 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. #334 Take Iowa Hawkeyes +4 over Wisconsin Badgers (Saturday 12 pm ESPN) TOP NCAA PLAY OF THE WEEK. Hard for Wisconsin to get up for this game as they continue to run the gauntlet of this brutal schedule. Wisconsin is banged up at a couple of key positions on both sides of the football and they should not be this big of a favorite on the road in Iowa City. The underdog has covered the spread 8 times in Wisconsin’s last 10 games. Iowa won last year in Madison and I see them taking this game down to the wire as well and pulling out the victory. Do not be fooled by the score last week at Purdue, as Iowa dominated that game before pulling their starters and allowing Purdue to score points late in that game (Purdue still fired their coach). This is the biggest rivalry for fans and Iowa needs a marquee win to this year and I expect them to get it on Saturday. Wisconsin is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after rushing for over 200 yards in their previous game. |
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10-22-16 | NC State v. Louisville -19 | 13-54 | Win | 100 | 43 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #338 Take Louisville Cardinals -19.5 over NC State Wolfpack (Saturday 12 pm ABC) Great spot for the Cardinals to be getting the Wolfpack. NC State is playing their second straight road against a Top 7 team and they have got to be upset after missing a short field goal that would have beaten Clemson last week. I do not believe they will have much left in the tank facing a Louisville team that needs to impress the selection committee to keep their playoff hopes alive. NC State has not been lighting up the scoreboard of late, and that does not bode well when facing an offense as explosive as Louisville, led by Lamar Jackson, the Heisman Trophy frontrunner. NC State is 6-9 ATS (1 push) in their last 16 games as an underdog on the road. Louisville has won two straight conference games against NC State, and they will complete the trifecta on Saturday. |
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10-15-16 | UNLV v. Hawaii -9 | 41-38 | Loss | -102 | 104 h 7 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #210 Take Hawaii Warriors over UNLV Rebels (Saturday 11:59 pm themwc.com) Apparently Hawaii got respectable again! They will enter this game having won two straight games including back-to-back blowout wins against MWC teams that are better than UNLV (Nevada & San Jose State). UNLV appears to have taken a step back this season under Coach Tony Sanchez having lost three of their last four games. Their loss to San Diego State was not as close as the 26-7 final would indicate as the Rebels completed just two passes and just 122 yards of total offense. UNLV is lacking talent at the wide receiver position with just three scholarship players and that does not bode well with a young quarterback as well. This is homecoming for the Warriors and a win here will give them a great shot at making a bowl game. UNLV is 21-48 ATS (4 pushes) in their last 73 road games. Hawaii has covered the spread in four of their last five games. |
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10-15-16 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin +10 | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 101 h 29 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #196 Take Wisconsin Badgers over Ohio State Buckeyes (Saturday 8 pm ABC) Beating Rutgers has overvalued both Michigan and Ohio State. This will be the best defense Ohio State will have faced to this point in the season. Ohio State’s offense is their strength but Wisconsin’s defense is by far their strength. Wisconsin is coming off a bye and will be able to move the football much better at home compared to their last game in Ann Arbor. This is a night game and the crowd will be engaged early and ready to help lead their team to a victory. Finally, Wisconsin just does not get blown out in many games. Yes, they were pounded two years ago in the Big 10 Championship Game but most of their losses over the last decade have come by single digits. Wisconsin is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games following a bye. |
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10-15-16 | West Virginia v. Texas Tech +1 | 48-17 | Loss | -105 | 93 h 21 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #156 Take Texas Tech Red Raiders over West Virginia Mountaineers (Saturday 12 pm FS1) West Virginia has not handled prosperity well under Dana Holgorsen and he seems to be on the hot seat every year. The Red Raiders are a much tougher team in Lubbock and will have revenge on their minds as they blew a double digit lead in Morgantown last season. West Virginia is 1-12 ATS in their last 13 games following a bye. This is also their first true road game of the season for WVU. Texas Tech will give up yards but I see them winning this game straight-up. West Virginia is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. Texas Tech has covered the spread in five straight Big 12 games. |
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10-08-16 | BYU v. Michigan State -6 | 31-14 | Loss | -106 | 98 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #324 Take Michigan State Spartans over BYU Cougars (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC) BYU going independent has been a disaster for this program. They cannot get a balanced schedule and they are beat up having played one of the nation’s most difficult schedule. Everyone of their games have been close but I truly believe they will struggle to win one of their next four games. Taysom Hill struggled to throw the football last week against Toledo but was saved by a big running game from Jamaal Williams. I do not believe BYU will be able to run over Michigan State like he did Toledo. BYU has not even close to stopping Toledo last Friday night and this is clearly a get well game for Michigan State’s offense. Taysom Hill is a terrible quarterback in Ty Detmer’s systems and expect Michigan State to frustrate them for 60 minutes. Michigan State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss in their previous game. |
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10-01-16 | Utah State v. Boise State -19.5 | Top | 10-21 | Loss | -105 | 106 h 48 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #214 Take Boise State Broncos over Utah State Aggies (Saturday 10:15 pm ESPN 2) The Mountain West is a battle between two teams for the top spot and Utah Stat is not one of those teams. Boise State has traditionally dominated this league and this match-up going 12-1 against Utah State. That being said the Broncos were embarrassed last year in Logan losing 52-26 despite being a 9-point favorite. That loss was solely on the play of the Broncos giving away the game with 8 turnovers. Utah State has been on a downward trend after reaching the pinnacle in 2012 going 11-2. They lost to Akron last year in a bowl game (The Zips first ever bowl win) and they are just 2-2 this season. Coach Matt Wells has messed up the offense with a rotation of numerous quarterbacks over the last couple of years and now falls to Kent Myers, a former wide receiver. He showed some promise earlier in his career but like most of their quarterbacks has gotten worse the more he plays and gets coached. The Broncos are back to normal and they are on a mission to run the table and still have an outside shot at a spot in the college football playoff if San Diego State continues to win games as well. Their game last week against Oregon State was not as close as the final score would indicate and you can be sure they will not take this game lightly whatsoever. Utah State is 2-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games. The last time these two teams met in Boise is was a 50-19 victory for the Broncos and that was against a more talented Aggies team that what they will see on Saturday. |
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10-01-16 | Wake Forest v. NC State -10.5 | 16-33 | Win | 100 | 48 h 19 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. #190 Take NC State Wolfpack over Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Saturday 3:30 pm ACC Network) When the Wolfpack win it tends to come by double digits, and that sets up a nice situation on Saturday afternoon in Raleigh. The last three home games against Wake Forest for NC State have been bloodbaths, with the home team winning by 35,31, & 29 points. NC State is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite. Wake Forest is off of a deceiving victory against Indiana in which they were outgained by 259 yards but were the beneficiary of five turnovers. That good fortune ends this afternoon. NC State is 19-4 ATS in their last 23 games following a bye in their previous week. |
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09-24-16 | Louisville v. Marshall +26 | 59-28 | Loss | -110 | 102 h 50 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #352 Take Marshall Thundering Herd over Louisville Cardinal (Saturday 8 pm CBSSN) The whole country is fascinated with Louisville at the moment and thus this line is way too high for a true road game against a traditionally strong mid-major. This is the definition of a trap game for Louisville coming off their most impressive win in school history and will likely be facing an undefeated Clemson team next week. These are still college kids and I just do not see them getting up to play a mid-major. Marshall beat Louisville in Kentucky the last time these two teams faced off against one another (Teddy Bridgewater played in that game). Marshall is 16-6 ATS in their last 22 home games. |
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09-24-16 | Florida v. Tennessee -6.5 | Top | 28-38 | Win | 100 | 97 h 16 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #384 Take Tennessee Volunteers over Florida Gators (Saturday 3:30 pm CBS) I just cannot get out of my head how well Tennessee played to close out the 2015 season. Sooner or later they will get back to that level since they return most of their 2015 talent. It has not really happened this season but this is the game they will breakout and performance at a high level. They have no excuses not to be up for this game since Florida has beaten them 11 straight years. But the Gators will be without their starting quarterback and that does not bode well playing in a hostile environment. All three of Tennessee’s victories this season have come over the posted number for today’s game. Tennessee is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. Florida is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. |
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09-17-16 | Oregon +3 v. Nebraska | Top | 32-35 | Push | 0 | 68 h 3 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #167 Take Oregon Ducks over Nebraska Cornhuskers (Saturday 12:30 pm ABC) Nonconference Game of the Year. Do not be misled by the final score of the Wyoming – Nebraska game last week. It was 24-17 before Wyoming had four consecutive turnovers giving Nebraska 28 fourth quarter points and the cover. Oregon will not be as giving and will make Nebraska go the length of the field in order to score points. That is something QB Tommy Armstrong struggles to do, as he did not look that impressive last week and has trouble hitting is receivers in stride. Throw in the fact that Mike Riley is just 4-10 against Oregon and we will gladly take the points with the better and more talented team. The Ducks will never reach the heights they did under Marcus Mariota but they still have an explosive system that can put on points in the blink of the eye. Despite being a decent Michigan State team last year with the help of a controversial call, Nebraska has underperformed in big games through most of the last decade and whenever fans start to believe in this team they just lay an egg. Oregon is 22-5 ATS in their last 27 road games. The points are just icing on the cake as Oregon will win this game straight-up. |
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09-10-16 | BYU v. Utah -3.5 | 19-20 | Loss | -100 | 77 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #384 Take Utah Utes over BYU Cougars (Saturday 7:30 pm FOX) The Holy War is renewed after meeting last year in the Las Vegas Bowl. Utah has dominated this series of late winning five straight games and covering the spread in 4 of those 5 games. BYU has a new coach but is still one of the dirtiest teams in FBS football. That being said Utah is very familiar with their style and you can bet Coach Willingham will be well prepared for this game. The magic with Taysom Hill is gone as injuries have taken its toll on him and I do not believe he is as effective with his legs as he needs to be. It actually reminds me of Utah State last year with Chuckie Keaton, as he was just a shell of himself and not very good. Utah is the big brother in the state and expect them to flex their muscles yet again. I believe they have an upgrade over the previous years at quarterback in Troy Williams compared to the inconsistent Travis Wilson. BYU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. Utah is 40-19 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 61 nonconference games. |
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09-10-16 | South Carolina v. Mississippi State -6.5 | Top | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 71 h 17 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #364 Take Mississippi State Bulldogs over South Carolina Gamecocks (Saturday 7 pm ESPN 2) SEC Game of the Year. We went against the Bulldogs last week and won outright despite getting 28.5 points! Now the odds makers feel that the public will overreact to that game and put a pile of money on South Carolina since they won on the road last week in Nashville. That just sets up great for us and we will gladly lay less than a touchdown with a much better team that is used to the Dan Mullen system. Mississippi State should have knocked out South Alabama last week as they jumped out to a 17-0 lead before falling apart in the second half. South Carolina does not have a high powered offense and Will Muschamp was fired at Florida for his lack of innovation. South Carolina will not be able to cover this spread unless the score in the twenties and I expect them to struggle doing that. Both teams play multiple quarterbacks but Dan Mullen is the better offense coach and thus the Bulldogs will bounce back in a big way on Saturday. South Carolina is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a losing record. Mississippi State is 14-6 ATS in their last 20 SEC games. Beating Vanderbilt is one thing, but Mississippi State is clearly a step-up from that bottom feeder program and will be USC by double digits allowing us to collect big in the process. |
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09-10-16 | Utah State v. USC -16 | 7-45 | Win | 100 | 66 h 18 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #380 Take USC Trojans over Utah State Aggies (Saturday 2 pm PAC-12 Network) I am not big on the Trojans but this is a get well game against another team trending downward. Utah State was under .500 last year including an embarrassing loss to Akron in the Potato Bowl. Now they must replace 8 starters on defense against a team that was humbled last week against the best team in college football for the last decade. USC has much more talent than does Utah State and the Aggies have lost 33 straight road games against Power 5 Conference teams. Utah State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. USC is 28-11 ATS in their last 39 games following a loss in their previous game. |
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09-10-16 | Wyoming v. Nebraska -24.5 | 17-52 | Win | 100 | 69 h 19 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #378 Take Nebraska Cornhuskers over Wyoming Cowboys (Saturday 12 pm ESPN 2) the Cowboys are coming off a marathon game that was delayed by two hours and did not finish until the Sunday morning in Laramie. I just do not expect them to have much left in the tank for this cash game at Nebraska with an early start. Nebraska beat a better MWC team last week in Fresno State by 33 points and I see this game finishing around 33-35 points. Nebraska is starting to run the football better and they should be able to overpower the smaller Cowboys. Wyoming Coach Craig Bohl needs to show improvement or he may be out of a job come seasons end. He is a former coach at Nebraska with ties to Tom Osborne but those type of people no longer coach at Nebraska and thus I do not see them taking this game lightly or letting up at the end of the game. Nebraska is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against MWC teams. |
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09-03-16 | USC v. Alabama -11.5 | 6-52 | Win | 100 | 101 h 12 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. #202 Take Alabama Crimson Tide over USC Trojans (Saturday 8 pm ABC) Just feel that USC is a team trending down and they have yet to find a coach after Pete Carroll to bring this team back to the promise land. Alabama will have a massive edge in crowd and they are very familiar in playing Arlington. USC did not get a bump from naming Clay Helton their permanent head coach, as they got blown out against Stanford and lost as a favorite in their bowl game against Wisconsin. Alabama has to replace a lot of talent but that was the case last year as well and they beat Wisconsin by 18 points and won a National Championship. Since 1999 the National Championship Winners is 17-0 in their opening game the following season with an average margin of victory of 29 points. I see them winning this game by around 20 points against an overrated USC team. The Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. |
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09-03-16 | Hawaii v. Michigan -40 | Top | 3-63 | Win | 100 | 112 h 1 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #156 Take Michigan Wolverines over Hawaii Warriors (Saturday 12 pm ESPN) This is a ton of points to be laying but I just do not see anyway Hawaii keeps it close. Hawaii is faced with a brutal travel situation having played in Australia last Friday late night and now must come to Michigan this week. Hawaii faced two Big 10 teams last year in Wisconsin and Iowa and they failed to score a single point in either of those two games. I do not believe this Hawaii team is better than the 2015 version despite an upgrade in coaching. This is a complete rebuild for new coach and I believe they will lose this game by 50 points. Michigan is expecting big things this year and they could not ask for an easier start to the season with six of their first seven games at home. Michigan is 23-3 in home openers and if a bad Hawaii team can get pounded by Cal last week (backdoor covered that game) I just do not see that happening today. Jim Harbaugh is not the type of coach to take the foot of the peddle and allow Hawaii to backdoor cover this game. Michigan gets close to 60 points and wins this game and covers the spread. |
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09-01-16 | Appalachian State v. Tennessee -20 | 13-20 | Loss | -112 | 52 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #190 Take Tennessee Volunteers over Appalachian State Mountaineers (Thursday 7:30 pm SEC Network) The Mountaineers are coming off an impressive 11-2 season but the fact remains they are a low end mid-major program from a very low end FBS Conference. Tennessee is everyone’s darling this season and while I am not as high on them as most people, they still have a ton of talent. Butch Jones has struggled to win big games but this is certainly not one of them. Tennessee has blown out better mid-majors in their home opener the last two years (Utah State & Bowling Green) than what they will see on Thursday night in Appalachian State. I always believe the defense has the advantage when facing a run heavy team when they have more than one week to prepare. Tennessee wins this game by close to 30 points. The Volunteers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teams from the Sun Belt Conference. |
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01-02-16 | TCU v. Oregon +1 | 47-41 | Loss | -110 | 126 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #278 Take Oregon Ducks over TCU Horned Frogs (Alamo Bowl, Saturday 1/2 6:45 pm ESPN) Both of these teams can be explosive on offense but I feel Oregon was the better team going down the stretch. The Horned Frogs will be without Josh Doctson for this game and that is a major void since he was far and away their leading receiver. Oregon has won six straight games including a victory at Stanford. A ton of yards will be produced in this game, I just believe Oregon will be able to win this shootout. Oregon has covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 bowl games. TCU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 bowl games. |
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01-01-16 | Ole Miss v. Oklahoma State +7.5 | 48-20 | Loss | -120 | 104 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #272 Take Oklahoma State Cowboys over Ole Miss Rebels (Sugar Bowl, Friday 1/1 8:30 pm ESPN) The Pokes continue to be underrated and the Rebels just do not warrant being this big of a favorite especially since they are without Robert Nkemdiche. The Rebels got embarrassed in a bowl game last year against TCU, another team from the Big 12. Oklahoma State has a good defense that will pressure the quarterback and the Rebels have a tendency to tighten up in close games. Oklahoma State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. Take the points in this game. |
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01-01-16 | Tennessee v. Northwestern +8.5 | 45-6 | Loss | -115 | 95 h 7 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #264 Take Northwestern Wildcats over Tennessee Volunteers (Outback Bow, Friday 1/1 12 pm ESPN 2) All the media loves this Tennessee team and I just do not get it. They have yet to produce at a high level under Butch Jones and have lost numerous close games during his tenure. If Northwestern can avoid a knockout punch early in this game, I feel that they can win straight-up. Look for Northwestern to run the football and they should have some success since Tennessee allows 4.2 yards per carry. Northwestern is 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games following an ATS win in their previous game. Tennessee is 6-17 ATS (1 push) in their last 24 games following an ATS win in their previous game. |
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12-31-15 | Oklahoma -3.5 v. Clemson | 17-37 | Loss | -106 | 75 h 11 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #261 Take Oklahoma Sooners over Clemson Tigers (Orange Bowl, Thursday 12/31 4 pm ESPN) Not too often do you find the lower seed this big of a favorite but I believe it is with good reason in this game. Clemson was not as impressive down the stretch as was Oklahoma and playing in the Big 12 is much different than playing in the ACC. Since the Sooners loss to Texas, they have been on an offensive tear averaging close to 600 total yards per game. Clemson has struggle against elite competition on their schedule and that will catch up with them today in Miami. Oklahoma is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 nonconference games. Clemson is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. |
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12-30-15 | Wisconsin +3.5 v. USC | 23-21 | Win | 100 | 58 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #255 Take Wisconsin Badgers over USC Trojans (Holiday Bowl, Wednesday 12/30 10:30 pm ESPN) Wisconsin is a poor man’s version of Stanford, a team that beat USC twice on the season. Wisconsin has a good defense and their power running game will pose some problems for the Trojans. USC played in this bowl last year and struggle to put away an average team from the Big 10. I just do not believe that the fan base is all that excited about Clay Helton as their head coach, as he let go five coaches on the defensive side of the football after the regular season ended. USC is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played during December. Wisconsin takes this game down to the wire and we collect with whoever comes out on top. |
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12-29-15 | Nevada v. Colorado State -3 | 28-23 | Loss | -111 | 457 h 59 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #246 Take Colorado State Rams over Nevada Wolf Pack (Arizona Bowl, 12/29, Tuesday, 7:30 pm ASN) This is a rarity for a bowl game as it featuring two teams from the same conference doing battle in a bowl game in Tucson that is not on the ESPN family of networks. Nevada played in the much weaker West Division of the MWC and despite one of the easiest schedules in the country still finished 6-6. That includes losses to Wyoming and UNLV, two of the worst teams in the country. The Rams finished out the season strong winning their final four games. Nevada is 1-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 bowl games. Colorado State is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. |
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12-29-15 | Air Force v. California -7 | 36-55 | Win | 100 | 192 h 19 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #242 Take California Golden Bears over Air Force Falcons (Armed Forces Bowl, Tuesday 12/29 2 pm ESPN) We will use the team from the much better conference today in Fort Worth. Cal has a good quarterback Jared Golf who should be able to pick apart this suspect Falcon defense. Air Force is coming off two straight losses to close out the season and will have trouble containing this Golden Bear offense for 60 minutes. Air Force is 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games following a loss in their previous game. Cal pulls away late to win this game by double digits. |
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12-28-15 | Pittsburgh +3.5 v. Navy | 28-44 | Loss | -115 | 169 h 52 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #237 Take Pittsburgh Panthers over Navy Midshipmen (Military Bowl, Monday 12/28 2:30 pm ESPN) Just do not believe Navy is playing their best football down the stretch and a defensive mind like Pat Narduzzi should be able to stop the triple option. Navy struggled against a terrible team in Army a couple of weeks ago and things will not be getting much easier today. The Panthers won two of their last three games and did win 8 games that went under the radar this season. Navy is 3-8-1 in bowl games since 1979. Pittsburgh has already faced a triple option team in Georgia Tech and that should only help them in this game. I also like the fact that they have had a month to prepare for Navy. Pittsburgh is 26-10 ATS (1 push) in their last 37 games after a loss in their previous game. Navy is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against teams from the ACC. Pittsburgh has a great chance to win straight-up and getting points is just icing on the cake. |
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12-26-15 | Nebraska v. UCLA -6.5 | 37-29 | Loss | -110 | 127 h 27 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #236 Take UCLA Bruins over Nebraska Cornhuskers (Foster Farms Bowl, Saturday 12/26 9:15 pm ESPN) The Bruins look for their third straight second tier bowl win this season when they take on the 5-7 Nebraska Cornhuskers in Santa Clara, CA. From top to bottom the PAC-12 was the best conference in the country this season and I just believe that UCLA is better on both sides of the football. The verdict is still out on Coach Mike Riley and I just do not see the fan base buying all-in since he has been nothing more than a mediocre coach. Jim Mora’s team has dominated their last two bowl games (UCLA led Kansas State last year 31-6) and I see this as a double digit victory for the Bruins. UCLA is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Big 10 teams. Nebraska is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against PAC-12 teams. |
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12-26-15 | Indiana -2 v. Duke | Top | 41-44 | Loss | -110 | 122 h 55 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #231 Take Indiana Hoosiers over Duke Blue Devils (Pinstripe Bowl, Saturday, 12/26 3:30 pm ABC) Nothing better than watching a football game in a baseball stadium but that will be the case today when the Hoosiers invade the Big Apple. Indiana has a very shaky defense but a good offense that can put up points. But this play is more about going against Duke, as they have yet to recover from their loss to Miami that featured some bad calls by the officials. The Blue Devils would go on to lose their next three games and only beat Wake Forest by six points in their season finale. Duke gave up over 350 yards per game passing in their last four games and expect the Hoosiers to move up and down the football field. Duke has lost three straight bowl games and actually has not won a bowl game since 1961. Indiana finished the season strong with two blowout wins and was very competitive with Ohio State, Iowa, and Michigan. Indiana played a very difficult schedule and thus their 6-6 record does not look that bad. Duke is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Indiana is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 nonconference games. |
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12-22-15 | Toledo v. Temple -1.5 | 32-17 | Loss | -105 | 167 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #216 Take Temple Owls over Toledo Rockets (Boca Raton Bowl, Tuesday 7 pm ESPN) Temple is a very veteran team and should be able to take out a coach in his debut tonight in South Florida. Both teams had good seasons but came up short in their conference but I am just not a fan of the MAC this season. Temple has a much better defense than does Toledo, as the Owls finished No. 14 in the nation in total defense. The Rockets will accumulate some yards in this game but in the end defense will rise to the occasion. Temple has always bounced back well after a loss going 11-4 ATS in their last game. |
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12-22-15 | Akron v. Utah State -6.5 | 23-21 | Loss | -106 | 163 h 1 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #214 Take Utah State Aggies over Akron Zips (Famous Idaho Potato Bowl, Tuesday, 3:30 pm ESPN) The Aggies were one of the most disappointing teams in college football this season. They once again had quarterback injuries but Chuckie Keaton will close out his career as a starter in this game. The Aggies have won their last three bowls games and this is important game for them to ensure a winning season and keep Coach Matt Wells as a hot name in the industry. The Zips are just happy to be bowling for the second time ever and the first time under Coach Terry Bowden. They played in the much weaker MAC East and thus their 7-5 record is not as good as it would seem. Utah State still has a good defense and if they can hold onto the football they will win this game by double digits. Utah State is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss in their previous outing. Akron is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 nonconference games. |
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12-19-15 | San Jose State v. Georgia State +3 | 27-16 | Loss | -102 | 95 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #208 Take Georgia State Panthers over San Jose State Spartans (Cure Bowl, Saturday 7 pm CBSSN) The Spartans are a perfect example of why there are too many bowl games. They are 5-7 and literally have no fan base but were one of a handful of teams to receive a bowl berth since not enough teams with 6-6 or better were available. The Panthers are playing outstanding football and closed out the season with 4 straight wins to get to 6-6 on the season. The Panthers beat one of their rivals Georgia Southern (8-4 team) by a score of 34-7 in their regular season finale. They should be favored it his game and they will have more fans for this game. Georgia State is 6-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 games. This is the Panthers first ever bowl game and they should win this one straight-up. The line is already coming down and the smart money is on the underdog. |
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12-19-15 | BYU v. Utah -2 | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 117 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #204 Take Utah Utes over BYU Cougars (Las Vegas Bowl, Saturday 3:30 pm ABC) The Bronco Mendenhall era at BYU comes to a close on Saturday facing a familiar foe in Las Vegas. These two teams have not played since 2013 and there seems to be a clear pecking order for teams in Utah. 1) Utah, 2) BYU, 3) Utah State. It just seems that the higher ranked team wins most of these games and today will be no different. Kyle Whittingham is 7-1 in this last 8 bowl games and I just do not see BYU without their quarterback winning this game. Utah is without Devontae Booker but they have other ways to win with outstanding special teams and a very aggressive defense. The PAC-12 has won the last two Las Vegas Bowl games by a combined score of 90-30 and I see a similar result today. Utah is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 bowl games. |
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12-05-15 | Air Force v. San Diego State -6.5 | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -115 | 102 h 13 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #328 Take San Diego State Aztecs over Air Force Falcons (MWC Championship Game, Saturday, 7:30 pm ESPN 2) Nobody expected the Aztecs to run the table in the MWC going a perfect 8-0 and they have yet to have a competitive game. Air Force still is a triple option and I expect the Aztec defense to be ready for it, as they have the best defense in the conference. The host team has won both MWC Championship games and tonight should be no different. SDSU has the best player in the league in Donnel Pumphrey and Air Force will have no answer for him, as the Falcons gave up 377 rushing yards last week against New Mexico. San Diego State is 4-1 against Air Force and a perfect 5-0 ATS. SDSU is 6-2 in their last 8 home games against Mountain West teams. Air Force is 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road Mountain West games. San Diego State has won 8 straight games by double digits and 10 straight home games against MWC teams (25 point margin of victory). This is a high powered train and we will ride them to another victory. |
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11-28-15 | Notre Dame +4 v. Stanford | 36-38 | Win | 100 | 79 h 43 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #217 Take Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Stanford Cardinal (Saturday 7:30 pm FOX) The Irish let Boston College back in the game last week at Fenway Park, and the final score was not an indication of the domination by Notre Dame. They have a ticket into the four-team playoff with a victory tonight in Palo Alto. Stanford needs a lot of help to reach the playoff after suffering a setback to Oregon a couple of weeks ago. These two teams have battled to close games the last four years, with the average margin of victory just 4 points. Just not a big fan of Coach David Shaw in big games, as he seems to be lost when his team cannot run the football. I like the Irish defense better than that of the Cardinal, and if Notre Dame can take care of the football they will win this game straight-up. Notre Dame is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. The Luck of the Irish becomes evident in this game. |
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11-28-15 | Wisconsin -2.5 v. Minnesota | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 75 h 45 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #211 Take Wisconsin Badgers over Minnesota Golden Gophers (Saturday 3:30 pm BTN) Paul Bunyan’s Axe will be on the line for this annual meeting between Wisconsin and Minnesota. We will side with Wisconsin, as they have beaten Minnesota 11 straight times. Minnesota must win this game to reach .500 on the season and become bowl eligible. With Corey Clement likely back that gives Wisconsin another playmaker that is so desperately needed for this offense. Minnesota has lost a ton of close games this season, and I think that has taken its toll on this team. I just do not see them being able to win a close game and the, “Here we go again” will creep into their minds in the fourth quarter. I am also not a fan of new coach Tracy Claeys as a game manager as well. |
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11-28-15 | UCLA v. USC -3.5 | 21-40 | Win | 100 | 75 h 42 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #226 Take USC Trojans over UCLA Bruins (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC) This is a winner-take-all game that most people expected at the start of the season. But most people didn’t expect seven combined losses between these two teams entering play on Saturday at the Coliseum. The Trojans have played well down the stretch, winning four of their last five games. They did lose to Oregon last week, but UCLA does not have the explosiveness that Oregon does. I also do not trust Jim Mora in big games and expect UCLA to play tentative under the pressure. UCLA is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games coming off an ATS victory in their previous game. |
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11-28-15 | Northwestern -3.5 v. Illinois | Top | 24-14 | Win | 100 | 75 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #195 Take Northwestern Wildcats over Illinois Fighting Illini (3:30 pm ESPN U) The Wildcats have rebounded nicely after a two-game losing streak to win their last four games. They are coming off a nice victory at Wisconsin and have a big advantage since this neutral game in being played in Chicago. The Illini need this game to become bowl eligible, but they will not get it since Northwestern is the better-rounded team. Illinois has lost five of their last six games, with their only win during this time coming against hapless Purdue. Northwestern is 18-7 ATS in their last 25 games following an ATS victory in their previous game. |
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11-21-15 | San Diego State -13 v. UNLV | 52-14 | Win | 100 | 104 h 1 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #415 Take San Diego State Aztecs over UNLV Rebels (Saturday 10:30 pm CBSSN) It is still hard to imagine how good the Aztecs are after going 1-3 in the nonconference portion of the season. But they have been on a roll in MWC play currently 6-0 and should easily run the table to a perfect 8-0. All they have left are games against the Nevada schools and neither one of them should present much of a challenge. UNLV gave up 49 points to a below average Colorado State team and expect the Aztecs to run over them early and often with the best player in the league Donnel Pumphrey. SDSU has beaten UNLV 10 of the last 13 match-ups and UNLV is just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog. San Diego State wins by 20+ points and we collect in the process as well. |
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11-21-15 | Notre Dame -17 v. Boston College | Top | 19-16 | Loss | -106 | 123 h 19 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #407 Take Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Boston College Eagles (Saturday 7:30 pm NBC) The Eagles have a solid defense and a terrible offense. This team has trouble moving the football at all through the ground or the air and they are one of the worst offenses in the entire country. They have major quarterback issues and this is causing their defense to wear down as the season goes on. We went against Boston College in their last two home games as top plays and easily collected on both of them despite so-so teams in Virginia Tech and NC State. Notre Dame has a clear path into the playoffs if they just win out, but expect them to go for some style points in this night game on national TV. Both teams will be pumped about playing at Fenway Park, but I just do not see Boston College being able to score enough points to stay within this posted number. Boston College is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. Notre Dame is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games. Notre Dame gradually increases their lead to wins this by close to 28 points. |
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11-21-15 | Miami (OH) v. UMass -9.5 | 20-13 | Loss | -110 | 94 h 20 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #332 Take UMASS Minutemen over Miami Ohio RedHawks (Saturday 1 pm ESPN 3) It is not very often you find a pair of teams with just two wins each and this big of a spread. But it is worth it and expect the Miami to close out the season with another blowout loss. This is a true home game for UMASS and thus they should have a good crowd on senior day. The Minutemen also have revenge on their minds from a 42-41 loss last year to Miami. UMASS is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with a losing road record. |
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11-21-15 | Indiana +3 v. Maryland | 47-28 | Win | 100 | 93 h 29 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #329 Take Indiana Hoosiers over Maryland Terrapins (Saturday 12 pm BTN) We will gladly grab the points with the better team on Saturday. Neither team has won a game in the conference but Indiana is the much more stable program. They finish with two winnable road games and if they win them both they will become bowl eligible. Maryland got a break last week against Michigan State when Connor Cook got hurt and thus some of their stats are misleading. Maryland is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams with a losing road record. |
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11-21-15 | Rutgers -4.5 v. Army | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 93 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #325 Take Rutgers Scarlet Knights over Army Black Knights (Saturday 12 pm CBSSN) Both of these teams stink but Army just cannot hang onto the football. That does not bode well running the triple option. All Army has left to play for is their annual beating by Navy in a few weeks and they just do not have the talent this year to complete with bottom feeder teams from the Big 10. Rutgers has won 9 straight games against Army (8-1 ATS). |
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11-14-15 | Oklahoma v. Baylor -2.5 | 44-34 | Loss | -110 | 102 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #188 Take Baylor Bears over Oklahoma Sooners (Saturday 8 pm ABC) The Bears are still unstoppable despite their starting quarterback going down to injury. Baylor has won 3 of the last 4 meetings and is a perfect 4-0 ATS. In the game last year, Oklahoma laid down in the second half allowing Baylor to score 45 straight points to close out the game. I believe that they same thing will happen this game and whenever adversity hits, Oklahoma will crumble. Baylor is 26-7 ATS in their last 33 home games. This will be a shootout but in the end I just cannot envision Baylor losing a home game. |
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11-14-15 | Oregon +10 v. Stanford | 38-36 | Win | 100 | 102 h 0 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #209 Take Oregon Ducks over Stanford Cardinal (Saturday 7:30 pm FOX) The Ducks have long been forgotten after their start losing three of their first six games. But they have fixed some issues and will enter this game under the radar having won three straight games. During this streak they have won two games on the road and just destroyed California last week in Eugene. Oregon has won 10 of the last 13 match-ups with Stanford and the Cardinal still have some holes on defense that can be exploited. Do not expect the Ducks to be able to shutdown the running game from Stanford but I believe they will put up some points and only lose this game by single digits. Oregon is 25-9 ATS in their last 34 games against teams with a winning record. |
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11-14-15 | Tulane +3 v. Army | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 94 h 16 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #139 Take Tulane Green Wave over Army Black Knights (Saturday 12 pm CBSSN) Both of these teams stink but Tulane has played a brutal schedule this season but they close out the season with three winnable games. The Green Wave has already seen a triple option team (better one) in Navy and they held up well against them. Army is coming off a tough loss to Air Force and all that they have left to play for is the Navy game in December with will have a national audience. Tulane has a decent defense and that will be the difference in this game. Tulane is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a losing record. Army is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. |
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11-07-15 | Michigan State -4.5 v. Nebraska | Top | 38-39 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 32 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #421 Take Michigan State Spartans over Nebraska Cornhuskers (Saturday 7 pm ESPN) If it has not become clear by now that the Mike Riley hire is a failure and the AD who made that hire is in serious trouble. Nebraska is 3-6 on the season and they have lost four of their last five games. This team has lost in a variety of ways but how you can give up 55 points to Purdue and lose by double digits is beyond me. Now they face the toughest team on their schedule and we will gladly lay this number with a team is starting to hit their stride. The Spartans are coming off of a bye and they have won two straight games against Nebraska. Last year’s final was 27-22 but it was not as close as it would seem with Nebraska trailing 27-3 in that game. The Spartans have not been as dominating as they were last year but they are still undefeated and played their best game of the season last time out putting up 52 points against Indiana. Michigan State still has a great quarterback in Connor Cook and he has 17 touchdowns on the season and just two interceptions. Nebraska QB Tommy Armstrong will likely return but much of his production has come in the second half or against bad teams. Michigan State is 18-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 26 road games. Nebraska is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games against teams with a winning road record. These two teams are heading in opposite directions and Nebraska cannot get out of its own way. |
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11-07-15 | TCU -4.5 v. Oklahoma State | 29-49 | Loss | -105 | 51 h 13 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #383 Take TCU Horned Frogs over Oklahoma State Cowboys (Saturday 3:30 pm FOX) The Big XII Conference finally will enter the playoff picture as the top teams will play each other over the next five weeks. At this point I just trust QB Trevone Boykin more than any player the Pokes have on offense. He is an electric player that can beat you with his arm or his legs, and he will be tested by Oklahoma State -- he will be more than up for the challenge. Except for Kansas (possibly the worst team in the country) Oklahoma State has not been dominating in any of their last five games, and this will be their toughest test thus far. If they fall behind I do not see them being able to rally against TCU in the second half. The Horned Frogs are second in the country in total yards per game, and I just do not believe that the Pokes can match them score for score. TCU is 17-6 ATS in their last 23 games overall. Oklahoma State is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog. I just do not put Oklahoma State on the same level as I do TCU, Baylor, & Oklahoma. |
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11-07-15 | NC State -3.5 v. Boston College | Top | 24-8 | Win | 100 | 113 h 0 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #357 Take NC State Wolfpack over Boston College Eagles (Saturday, November 7th, 2015, 12:30 pm ESPN 3) We went against Boston College for our 6-unit selection last week against Virginia Tech and will come right back fading them this week. Boston College has a good defense but they have one of the worst offenses in the entire country. They have major quarterback issues and they have lost five straight games including just 300 yards of total offense combined in their last two games. NC State took a body blow from the best team in the ACC last week. They hung with Clemson for a little bit but just could not get off the field enough to win the game. They should have a much easier time stopping Boston College on Saturday, an Eagles team that cannot get out of their own way. North Carolina State is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games. Lay the points with the better team. |
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10-31-15 | Stanford v. Washington State +12 | 30-28 | Win | 100 | 104 h 4 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #150 Take Washington State Cougars over Stanford Cardinal (Saturday 10:30 pm ESPN) The Cardinal are playing another night game but this one comes on the road in Pullman, WA. Stanford did not really look that impressive last week against Washington, a team with very little offense. They should get a much better test tonight against Wazzou, a team that can light up the scoreboard. Stanford has dominated this series but this is far and away the best team Mike Leach has had at Washington State. The Cougars have won three straight games including road games at Oregon and Arizona. Wazzou has also covered 4 straight games and I believe they can stay with 95% of the teams in the country when playing at home. |
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10-31-15 | Virginia Tech -2 v. Boston College | Top | 26-10 | Win | 100 | 94 h 3 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #193 Take Virginia Tech Hokies over Boston College Eagles (Saturday 12:30 pm ESPN 3) Both teams are coming off heartbreaking losses last week but Virginia Tech has a much better offense than does Boston College. QB Michael Brewer is back from injury and this will be his second start since returning and he should be even better in this game. Boston College has a strong defense but a terrible offense evident by the fact they had only 79 total yards last week and 4 first downs against Louisville. Their 14 points were the result of two short fields with a blocked punt and a fumble return. Boston College has major quarterback issues and they are completing just 43% of their passes and that includes games against Maine and Howard. Boston College is 1-3 ATS (1 push) in their 5 home games. If Virginia Tech can ovoid turnovers they should roll to a victory. |
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10-24-15 | Utah +3.5 v. USC | Top | 24-42 | Loss | -106 | 120 h 24 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #345 Take Utah Utes over USC Trojans (Saturday 7:30 pm FOX) Utah will put their undefeated record on the line tonight in Los Angeles taking on USC. The Trojans have an interim coach and they have already lost two games at the Coliseum this season. USC had some moments last week against Notre Dame but still suffered a double digit loss and I do not see them being able to turn things around tonight. USC has lost three of their last four games I believe Utah is a better team that Washington and Notre Dame. Utah has a very aggressive style of defense that will pose problems for Cody Kessler. Utah is very balanced on offense and getting points with the better team is just icing on the cake. Utah is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games. USC is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games against teams with a winning road record. |
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10-24-15 | Washington State +7.5 v. Arizona | 45-42 | Win | 100 | 75 h 4 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #411 Take Washington State Cougars over Arizona Wildcats (Saturday 4 pm PAC-12 Network) The Wildcats are not the same team that they were last year or even at the start of the season. They have key injuries to many of their playmakers and they have not looked that impressive this season. The Pirate has Washington State playing its best football under his tenure winning four of their last five games including a victory at Oregon two weeks ago. QB Luke Falk should be able to pick apart this Wildcats defense that has not improved much from last year and likely will still be without all-everything player in Scooby Wright. QB Falk has a 21-4 touchdown to interception ratio and that is outstanding considering how much Washington State throws the football. Arizona is coming off back to back wins against the bottom of the PAC-12 and possibly the country (Oregon State and Colorado) and are not prepared for the offensive explosion they will see today. Washington State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. Arizona is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games. Take the points with the better team as we expect Washington State to win this game straight-up. |
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10-24-15 | Iowa State v. Baylor -37 | 27-45 | Loss | -106 | 71 h 53 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #370 Take Baylor Bears over Iowa State Cyclones (Saturday 12 pm ESPN) I just do not believe the odds makers can set the Baylor games lines high enough. We had no business collecting with Baylor last week but they will go out a 21 point run at some points and blow Iowa State away. Baylor has a decent defense to go along with an explosive offense. West Virginia is better on both sides of the football than is Iowa State. Baylor has won by an average of 42 points against Iowa State the last two years. Iowa State is 2-8 ATS in their last 11 games. Baylor is 20-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 27 games against teams with a losing record. Until proven otherwise, Baylor is the play. Doc’s Sports www.docsports.com. |
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10-17-15 | USC v. Notre Dame -5 | 31-41 | Win | 100 | 125 h 12 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #204 Take Notre Dame Fighting Irish over USC Trojans (Saturday 7:30 pm NBC) For whatever reason USC has not been able to play consistently up to their talent level in recent years. Now they will feature a new coach and a team hungry for revenge after USC embarrassed them last year by a score of 49-14. Notre Dame has just one loss on the season to Clemson where weather played a role in that game. They are a perfect 4-0 at home this season and all four games have been blowouts and I see this game as being no different. USC has lost two of their last three games and I believe Notre Dame is a better team that Stanford or Washington. USC is 6-14 ATS in their last 20 road games. Notre Dame has covered 5 of their last 7 games against PAC-12 teams. |
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10-17-15 | Florida v. LSU -9.5 | 28-35 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #162 Take LSU Tigers over Florida Gators (Saturday 7 pm ESPN) The Gators have been one of the surprise teams in the country this season pulling out a couple of big wins to remain undefeated and currently No. 8 in the country. I feel when Florida finally does lose a game it will come via a blowout and tonight will be that occurrence. LSU got a big break when their game last week was moved to Baton Rouge and thus they did not have to travel for their blowout victory against South Carolina. They also get a big break this year when Gator QB Will Grier is out for this game after failing a drug test. LSU is 4-1 ATS against Florida the last five years. Florida still has a solid defense but they have not seen a rushing attack as strong as LSU has behind Leonard Fournette and I see him going over 200 yards in this game. The Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played during the month of October. This game will come down to which offense plays better and I just trust LSU more at this point especially with Will Grier. |
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10-17-15 | West Virginia v. Baylor -21 | 38-62 | Win | 100 | 94 h 31 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #176 Take Baylor Bears over West Virginia Mountaineers (Saturday 12 pm FOX) This is a game Baylor has had circled and expect them to take out their frustrations in a big way against the only team that beat them in the regular season in 2014. This is not the same West Virginia team, as we went against them last week with an underdog that beat them straight-up. Now pressure is again mounting on Dana Holgorsen and this will be his third straight loss. The odds makers are having trouble setting the line high enough for Baylor as they are an offensive machine and have a good defense this year as well. Baylor is on pace to lead the country in total offense for a third straight year and they are a very healthy team at the moment as this have been able to rest their starters numerous times in the second half this season. Baylor is 12-3 ATS as a home favorite in their last 15 games. West Virginia is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games played during the month of October. |
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10-17-15 | Louisville v. Florida State -7 | 21-41 | Win | 100 | 94 h 30 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #202 Take Florida State Seminoles over Louisville Cardinals (Saturday 12 pm ESPN) I still believe that the Seminoles continues to be undervalued for a second straight year. FSU is coming off a victory over Miami, a team I believe is much better than Louisville this year. Louisville is 1-8 straight-up when they play in Tallahassee. The Cardinals have allowed over 200 yards rushing in all three of their losses and that should bode well for Dalvin Cook and company. This is still a rebuilding year for Louisville and I do not believe that they are ready to challenge the top teams in the ACC. Louisville is 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. |
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10-10-15 | San Jose State -2.5 v. UNLV | Top | 33-27 | Win | 100 | 73 h 13 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #407 Take San Jose State Spartans over UNLV Rebels (Saturday 9 pm the MWC) The Rebels were lucky to escape last week against Nevada as they did nothing in the second half but got a key pick-six to hang on for the victory. I do not see them being as fortunate in this game against San Jose State. I am a real big fan of Spartan QB Joy Gray and he has held his own against some stiff competition including Auburn last week. San Jose State actually outgained Auburn last week and should be the same this week since Rebel starting quarterback Blake Decker is out again this time with a shoulder injury. It is important for San Jose State to stop the running game of UNLV and if they do that they should be victorious. The Spartans have a pair of big name coordinators in Greg Robinson and Al Borges and expect them to come up with a solid gameplan to defeat a coach that was at a high school one year ago. SJSU is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a losing record. UNLV has covered just 1 of their last 4 home games. |
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10-10-15 | East Carolina v. BYU -7.5 | 38-45 | Loss | -115 | 100 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #354 Take BYU Cougars over East Carolina Pirates (Saturday 7:30 pm ESPN U) We will fade the Pirates as they must make a cross country flight to Provo and the high elevation. BYU has played a brutal schedule thus far and now it is lightening up and they are in the middle of four straight home games. BYU turned it on in the fourth quarter against Connecticut in a game they dominated in total yards but where done in by turnovers. BYU is a perfect 9-0 against American Athletic Conference teams in Provo. Beating SMU does not justify this low of a line and expect BYU to come out strong early and cruise to a double digit victory. East Carolina is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games. BYU is 22-9 ATS in their last 31 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. |
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10-10-15 | Oklahoma State +7 v. West Virginia | 33-26 | Win | 100 | 100 h 54 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #317 Take Oklahoma State Cowboys over West Virginia Mountaineers (Saturday 7 pm ESPN 2) Must admit I was a little disappointing with the performance of the defense by the Pokes last week against Kansas State. This unit is usually solid and I expect a much better effort today in Morgantown. West Virginia failed miserably in their first true test of the season against Oklahoma and I just do not believe they warrant to be this big of a favorite against a very similar team. This is a brutal three game stretch for West Virginia facing Oklahoma last week and they have Baylor on deck. West Virginia is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games played during October. Take the points in this game as Oklahoma State has a good chance to win this straight-up. |
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10-10-15 | Wisconsin v. Nebraska -1.5 | 23-21 | Loss | -100 | 96 h 11 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #404 Take Nebraska Cornhuskers over Wisconsin Badgers (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC) What was once thought to be key race in the Big 10 West has turned into just another game, as both teams are coming off bad losses. I still do not know why Nebraska hired Mike Riley as coach but that being said they have a much better offensive team than Wisconsin at the moment. The Badgers are really banged up on offense without Corey Clement, Austin Traylor, and likely without Alex Erickson (concussion protocol). This is Wisconsin’s first true road game of the season and I just do not believe they can win this game on defense alone. I have never been a big fan of QB Joel Stave and he did not disappoint us last week. This is a game Mike Riley needs badly to get the loyal fan base on his side and he did beat Wisconsin while he was a head coach at Oregon State. Wisconsin is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games. Nebraska is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss in their previous game. |
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10-03-15 | Colorado State v. Utah State -4 | 18-33 | Win | 100 | 101 h 29 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #208 Take Utah State Aggies over Colorado State Rams (Saturday 7 pm ESPN 3) Utah State has lost Chuckie Keeton yet again but I believe that is a good thing this season since he was not the same player this season and the injuries of the last three years have taken its toll on his effectiveness. Insert Kent Myers who played some last season and should provide this offense a much needed spark. The Rams have been involved in numbers close games and with any luck could be 4-0 but I expect them to take a step back in this game against Utah State in Logan. We went against them last week against UTSA and won easily in a game the Roadrunners should have won straight-up. Utah State is coming off a bye and should be able to put up some points on offense to compliment a stellar defense. |
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10-03-15 | Kansas State v. Oklahoma State -8 | Top | 34-36 | Loss | -106 | 123 h 58 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #148 Take Oklahoma State Cowboys over Kansas State Wildcats (Saturday 4 pm FS1) We will come right back with the Cowboys in this game and feel they will be more relaxed than they were last week playing in Austin. We pushed with the Pokes in a game we should have won as the Longhorns offense was completely shut down in the second half. But key turnovers kept Texas in that game and we had to settle for a push. After a bad beat (push) I always like to use the same team against in the following week as things have a way of evening themselves out. The Wildcats have reverted back to Bill Snyder form in scheduling cupcakes during the nonconference portion of the season and they have not really looked that impressive in those games. They are coming off a bye but I do not believe they are ready for Big 12 play. They already share a common opponent in UTSA with the Pokes beating them by 55 points compared to a 27 point victory by the Wildcats. Oklahoma State also has revenge on their minds losing by 34 points last year in Manhattan but the home team has won 8 of the last 9 meetings. I am a big fan of DC Glenn Spencer and feel he will come up with a solid gameplan to stifle this questionable Wildcats offense. Oklahoma State takes better care of the football on Saturday and wins this game by double digits. |
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10-03-15 | Northern Illinois -2 v. Central Michigan | 19-29 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 27 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #169 Take Northern Illinois Huskies over Central Michigan Chippewas (3 pm ESPN 3) The Huskies are usually the cream of the crop in the MAC and we will use them whenever we get a low number with them. Both teams have played challenging schedules thus far and Central Michigan is 4-0 ATS and thus I believe this number is just too low. NIU has lost just two regular season games in the last four years and they are 19-4 ATS on the road. Central Michigan is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog. |
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09-26-15 | Vanderbilt +25 v. Ole Miss | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 71 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #343 Take Vanderbilt Commodores over Ole Miss Rebels (Saturday 7 pm ESPN U) Ole Miss is coming off a landmark victory against Alabama last week and we will grab the points in this game with Vanderbilt as we expect a hangover. Ole Miss did not play a perfect game, Alabama gave it to them with five turnovers. The visitor has been the play in this match-up winning the game straight-up six of the last seven years. This is also a sandwich game for the Rebels with Florida on deck. Cannot see Vanderbilt winning this game straight-up despite do so in their last three trips to Oxford, but I fully expect them to hang around and lose by 14-17 points. |
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09-26-15 | Colorado State v. Texas-San Antonio +9 | Top | 33-31 | Win | 100 | 71 h 22 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #384 Take UTSA Roadrunners over Colorado State Rams (Saturday 7 pm CBSSN) The MWC has been one of the most disappointing conferences this season and the Rams must travel on the road for the first time this season. Colorado State should not be laying this many points to anybody on the road. CSU is coming off an overtime loss to Colorado and I expect them to come into this game a little flat. The Roadrunners have played a brutal schedule to open the season and they sit at 0-3 but those losses came against Oklahoma State, Kansas State, and Arizona. This is a fade play against the MWC. |
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09-26-15 | Oklahoma State -3 v. Texas | 30-27 | Push | 0 | 68 h 50 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #393 Take Oklahoma State Cowboys over Texas Longhorns (Saturday 3:30 pm ESPN) The Longhorns continues to find ways to lose football games and all the turmoil around the program has taken its toll on the team. Ok State has revenge on their minds as this was one of the few bright spots for Texas last season beating the Pokes, 28-7. The visitor has dominated this match-up going 6-0 straight-up and against the spread in the last six meetings. The Cowboys have a much better defense than what Texas saw from California last season and I just get the feeling that Texas keeps inventing new ways to lose. |
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09-26-15 | New Mexico -3 v. Wyoming | 38-28 | Win | 100 | 67 h 19 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #349 Take New Mexico Lobos over Wyoming Cowboys (Saturday 3 pm the MWC) It is not too often you will find New Mexico under Coach Bob Davie as a road favorite but that is the case on Saturday. It is with good reason as Wyoming is a train wreck this season losing three games by double digits against teams that will likely not be bowl eligible (ND State, E. Michigan, & Wash State). The Cowboys had an identity under Dave Christensen of good offense and horrible defense but they seems to be taking a step backwards this year in Craig Bohl’s second season. Wyoming lost to New Mexico last year by four points despite having a 29-10 edge in first downs. The Cowboys have to replace most of their defensive starters from last year and that does not bode well facing a triple option attack. The Lobos have won 10 of the 15 games with Wyoming and post the same 10-5 ATS as well. |
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09-26-15 | BYU v. Michigan -5 | 0-31 | Win | 100 | 64 h 16 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #310 Take Michigan Wolverines over BYU Cougars (Saturday 12 pm ABC) BYU not having their No. 1 quarterback and playing a brutal schedule will eventually catch up with them in this game. This will be the third road game of the first four for BYU and they have all been against traditional powerhouses in Nebraska, Boise State, and UCLA. That catches up to them in this game against an improving Michigan squad that has a great coach in Jim Harbaugh. UCLA barely beat BYU last week despite running the football for 296 yards and would have won easily had they not turned over the football. If Michigan holds onto the football they will win by double digits. |
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09-19-15 | Ole Miss v. Alabama -6.5 | 43-37 | Loss | -110 | 104 h 50 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #152 Take Alabama Crimson Tide over Ole Miss Rebels (Saturday 9:15 pm ESPN) Revenge will be on the minds of the Crimson Tide, as Alabama’s only regular season loss came at the hands of the Rebels. Despite the loss in 2014 Alabama has still beaten Ole Miss 10 of the last 11 years. Ole Miss has played cupcakes at home to open up the season and they are not ready for this trip to Tuscaloosa. Ole Miss never seems to handle prosperity well and this is a game they have no business winning. Expect them to self-destruct at some point in this game and Alabama will wear them down and pull away for a 14 point victory. |
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09-19-15 | East Carolina v. Navy -3.5 | 21-45 | Win | 100 | 98 h 7 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #148 Take Navy Midshipmen over East Carolina Pirates (Saturday 3:30 pm CBSSN) The Pirates have to replace a ton of talent from last season and they are coming off an emotional loss to Florida last week. The Gators beat the Pirates for the second time in their last three games and I expect ECU to come in flat for this game. It is always hard to prepare for the triple option with only a week of practice. These teams have met three times since 2010 with Navy winning two of those games scoring 167 points in those affairs. The Midshipmen are coming off of a bye and I see them winning this game by double digits. |
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09-19-15 | Nebraska v. Miami (Fla) -3 | 33-36 | Push | 0 | 98 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #158 Take Miami Hurricanes over Nebraska Cornhuskers (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC) Coach Al Golden is in a win or go home situation as Miami needs to show progress this year or else he will be shown the door. This is a marquee game against an overrated team and I expect Miami to dominate this game from start to finish. Nebraska still does not have an identity on either offense or defense and I expect Brad Kaaya to pick them apart. He threw for 359 yards in their match-up last year in Lincoln and Miami is due for a pointspread cover as they are -46 ATS in their last five games. |
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09-12-15 | Boise State -2.5 v. BYU | 24-35 | Loss | -115 | 101 h 27 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #351 Take Boise State Broncos over BYU Cougars (Saturday 10:15 pm ESPN 2) BYU is riding high after a miracle win last week at Nebraska, but this is the game the loss of Taysom Hill will catch up to them. Boise State has a chance to make the Final Four in they can run the table and expect them to move to 2-0 on the season after this game on Saturday night. We got a gift line last year when they two teams met and Boise State blasted BYU, 55-30 despite being just a 6 point favorite. Boise State has won 4 of the 5 meetings in this series and they are just a better all-around team that is BYU. BYU comes crashing down and we collect in the process as well. |
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09-12-15 | Arizona v. Nevada +11.5 | Top | 44-20 | Loss | -110 | 140 h 22 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #372 Take Nevada Wolf Pack over Arizona Wildcats (Saturday 7 pm CBSSN) Nonconference Game of the Year! We saw last week that many power five teams struggled to put away and cover the spread against mid-majors in true road games. Tonight we have a line that is way off the mark, as Arizona is not the team they were last year. These two teams have met twice in the last three years and both times Arizona was a big favorite but Nevada covered the game with relative ease. That included losing by just seven points last year in Tucson despite being a 19 point underdog. Arizona looked awful against UTSA last week and this is a Road Runner team that returned just 6 of 22 starters from a 4 win team last year. Arizona got two defensive touchdowns but gave up 29 first downs and 525 total yards to UTSA. Nevada always prides themselves on holding onto the football and winning the turnover battle and if they accomplish this they will take this game right down to the wire. Nevada’s game against UC-Davis was a little misleading, as they gave up two late meaningless scores to make the game closer than what it actually way. Nevada has a solid defense and despite breaking in a new quarterback should be able to move the football on this suspect Wildcat defense. Throw in the fact that Arizona will be without PAC-12 Defensive Player of the Year in Scooby Wright and that just means this line is way off the mark. Take the points and I truly believe Nevada has a great chance to win this game straight-up. |
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09-12-15 | Iowa v. Iowa State +3.5 | 31-17 | Loss | -104 | 96 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #356 Take Iowa State Cyclones over Iowa Hawkeyes (Saturday 4:45 pm FOX) Iowa usually comes into this battle with the better team and yet struggles mightily against their in-state rival. The Cyclones have covered of 13 of their last 17 against the Hawkeyes and Coach Kirk Ferentz is just 7-9 straight-up. Neither team faced a FBS team last week but this game just seems to mean more to the Cyclones evident by the fact they have won this game three of the last four years. Expect another battle that goes down to the wire and is decided by a field goal giving us the cover with whoever comes out on top. |
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09-12-15 | Washington State v. Rutgers -2 | 37-34 | Loss | -110 | 94 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #382 Take Rutgers Scarlet Knights over Washington State Cougars (Saturday 3:30 pm ESPN U) The Mike Leach magic has longed past and I believe his days are numbered at Washington State. The Cougs are coming off a 3-9 season and opened 2015 with a home loss to Portland State, despite being close to a four touchdown favorite. Rutgers has their own issues as well but they are still a much more stable team with a better head coach in Kyle Flood. The Knights return a solid stable of running backs and should be able to chew up the clock and control this game for 60 minutes. Rutgers beat Wazzou last year in Seattle and the Cougars have lost nine straight road openers by an average of more than 20 points per game. Expect a lot of points again but in the end we will side with the better team playing at home. |
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09-06-15 | Purdue v. Marshall -7.5 | 31-41 | Win | 100 | 121 h 50 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #208 Take Marshall Thundering Herd over Purdue Boilermakers (Sunday 3 pm FS1) I was high on Purdue last year early in the season and they were terrible against mid-majors in route to a 3-9 season. That was actually an improvement over 2013 when they went 1-11 but I just do not see things getting much better this season. They main reason for this is that they do not have a quarterback that scares defenses. Purdue is 1-8 in road openers losing by an average of 13 points per game. Marshall has to replace their quarterback in Rakeem Cato but this is a team that can light-up the scoreboard particularly when they play at home. The Herd averaged close to 46 points per game last year and if they hit that mark on Sunday they should emerge victorious and also cover the spread. The fan base is excited to host a Big Ten team and Marshall pulls away late to win big! |
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09-05-15 | Georgia Southern v. West Virginia -19.5 | Top | 0-44 | Win | 100 | 221 h 55 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #196 Take West Virginia Mountaineers over Georgia Southern Eagles (Saturday 4:30 pm ROOT Sports) The Mountaineers had an up and down season last year with some impressive wins but really feel apart down the stretch of the season losing 4 of their last 5 games. Now Dana Holgorsen is on the hot seat and he needs to get off to a good start and has three winnable games to open up the season. They returns most of their starters on defense but have to replace Clint Trickett at quarterback. To me this is a good thing as I never though much of the former transfer from Florida State. The open with Georgia Southern, a triple option team that ran the table in the Sun Belt last season. To me I always like playing against triple option teams coming off a long layoff as West Virginia has been able to focus all summer on stopping this attack. The Mountaineers are 15-1 in home openers winning by an average of 29 points per game. That will be good enough for a cover in this contest. |
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09-03-15 | Oklahoma State -24.5 v. Central Michigan | 24-13 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 58 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #137 Take Oklahoma State Cowboys over Central Michigan Chippewas (Thursday 7 pm ESPN U) The Pokes are one of the most improved teams in the country this season and should have no problem taking down this bad mid-major. The Cowboys return a ton of talent on both sides of the football and the team finished well down the stretch winning their final two games despite being an underdog. QB Mason Rudolph is the real deal and things really stabilized once got under center. It is not too often that a head coach bolts for an assistant coaching position but that is what happened with Dan Enos putting the Chippewas in disarray. Central Michigan is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog. Lot of points to be giving on the road but the talent disparity is too much for the home team to keep this game under 30 points. |
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01-12-15 | Ohio State +7 v. Oregon | 42-20 | Win | 100 | 139 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #277 Take Ohio State Buckeyes over Oregon Ducks (College Football Playoff Championship, Monday 8:30 pm ESPN) A lot of this write-up will be similar to our selection with Florida State a week and a half ago. First Ohio State needs to stabilize the game early which Florida State did. Second they need to not self-destruct which Florida State did not. I still believe that if Ohio State can keep this game close into the fourth quarter they will win it straight-up. Oregon played outstanding in the second half against Florida State but that was a semi-final game and this program has never won any championships in football and I still believe their coach is nowhere near on the same level as Urban Meyer. Granted if Oregon cracks it up early and Ohio State is playing from behind this could get ugly but I just do not see that happened for a second straight game. |
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01-03-15 | East Carolina +7 v. Florida | 20-28 | Loss | -110 | 94 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #274 Take East Carolina Pirates over Florida Gators (Birmingham Bowl, Saturday January 3rd 1 pm ESPN) The Gators have an interim coach for this game and I just do not see have being able to wave the magic wand and get this team motivated for this game. East Carolina made some noise this season in college football and they are solid on both sides of the football. The same cannot be said for Florida as they have one of the worst offenses in the country. East Carolina has had to wait a month to get the taste that miracle victory by UCF out of their system and expect them to come hunger and jump out early on Thursday. East Carolina is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a loss in their previous game. |
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01-02-15 | UCLA -1.5 v. Kansas State | Top | 40-35 | Win | 100 | 76 h 26 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #269 Take UCLA Bruins over Kansas State Wildcats (Alamo Bowl, Friday January 2nd 6:45 pm ESPN) Bowl Game of the Year. The talent edge in this game greatly favors the Bruins in this game. Kansas State is a very well coached team and they do not beat themselves but that does not get it done when playing top tier teams. UCLA dominated in their bowl game last year and that is how I see this game going as well. This will be the last game for QB Brett Hundley and I expect him to go out with a bang. The Wildcats finished 9-3 on the season but all three of those losses came against teams that had better talent than they did. They lost by double digits to Baylor and TCU and we have now found out that beating Oklahoma is not that impressive. Kansas State gave up 553 yards to TCU and 584 yards to Baylor and most of their impressive defensive numbers came against lesser teams. Despite laying an egg in their last game against Stanford, UCLA had won five straight games and righted the ship in a big way after back to back losses at home. I just do not believe Kansas State has the playmakers to threaten this UCLA defense and feel the Bruins will pull away in the second half and win this game comfortably. Kansas State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 bowl games. UCLA is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a double digit loss at home. |
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01-01-15 | Florida State +10 v. Oregon | 20-59 | Loss | -120 | 305 h 20 m | Show | |
10 Unit Play. #261 Take Florida State Seminoles over Oregon Ducks (Rose Bowl, Thursday 1/1 5 pm ESPN) The odds makers have had a good read on Florida State all season long posting them as slight favorites in most of their games. Those games generally would go down to the wire and Florida State would come out on top. That will not be need in this game as they are a sizeable underdog against Oregon. The Ducks can put up a ton of points and do have the Heisman winner this season but I am just not sold on their coach in big games. Mark Helfrich is only in his second year and if Florida State can keep this game close into the second half they advantage greatly shifts to their side of the field. Oregon will be without Ifo Ekpre-Olomu for this game and that should allow Jameis Winston to be able to move the football through the air. Florida State also has a major edge in the kicking game with Roberto Aguayo and I believe he will play a major role in this game. Florida State is 8-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 bowl games. The public almost always bets the favorite yet even they know this line is way off the mark. |
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01-01-15 | Michigan State v. Baylor -2.5 | 42-41 | Loss | -104 | 301 h 40 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #258 Take Baylor Bears over Michigan State Spartans (Cotton Bowl, Thursday, 1/1 12:30 pm ESPN) Do have to be fearful that Baylor is disappointed to be in this game and might fail to show up but I do not see that happening. Baylor did not perform well last year in the Fiesta Bowl and I expect them to come out in make a statement in this game against an overrated Michigan State team. The Spartans had two tough games this season against Oregon and Ohio State and they fell apart in the second half in both of those games. Their dominating defense of last year in a thing in the past this season. The Big 10 was not any good and beating the Indiana’s of the world just does not impress me. Bryce Petty is on the same level as Marcus Mariota and JT Barrett and I am expecting him to put up monster numbers in this game. Baylor is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning record. |
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12-31-14 | Boise State v. Arizona -3 | 38-30 | Loss | -103 | 219 h 7 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #252 Take Arizona Wildcats over Boise State Broncos (Fiesta Bowl, Wednesday, 12/31 4 pm ESPN) Boise State had a good year under their new coach but much of that was due to the fact that they Mountain West was historically bad this season. Boise State got manhandled in their one tough nonconference test by Ole Miss and also lost to Air Force for their second loss. Arizona recorded some impressive wins against Oregon, USC, and Arizona State and they are much more battled tested for this game. Boise State has had great success in the Fiesta Bowl but they are accustom to bringing down a generational quarterback and they just do not have that this season. Boise State is 0-5 straight-up and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when they are an underdog. The Broncos would have not have made a BCS Bowl game in previous years with this record but took advantage of the new best of five rule. This is not an undefeated team like the last two teams were that made the Fiesta Bowl and judging by earlier bowls the Mountain West is just not that good this season. Certainly not good enough to take on one of the best teams from the PAC-12. Boise State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against PAC-12 teams. |
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12-30-14 | Maryland +14 v. Stanford | 21-45 | Loss | -108 | 262 h 23 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #247 Take Maryland Terrapins over Stanford Cardinal (Foster Farms Bowl, Tuesday 12/30 10 pm ESPN) We will grab the points in this match-up of 7-5 teams, as the Cardinal had one of the most disappointing season in the entire country. Both teams have bad losses on their resumes, but I just believe that Maryland is more excited about this game than is Stanford. The Cardinal have had trouble scoring points in the redzone this season and Coach Shaw is just 1-2 in bowl games (was favored in all three games). Stanford has played in four consecutive BSC Bowls and Maryland has a good quarterback in CJ Brown, who threw 19 touchdowns on the season. Stanford scored just 26 points per game this season and we will grab the two touchdowns in this contest. Stanford is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. |
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12-30-14 | Louisville +7 v. Georgia | 14-37 | Loss | -115 | 197 h 17 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #245 Take Louisville Cardinals over Georgia Bulldogs (Belk Bowl, Tuesday 12/30 6:30 pm ESPN) The Bulldogs get a bunch of hype every year but they fail to live up to that hype each and every season. We will gladly take the points in this game since Louisville has a better defense and a better coach in Bobby Petrino. Injuries have taken its toll of this team as Georgia averaged just 455 yards per game and that should be even lower tonight against Louisville. The Cardinals offense is not on the same level as their defense but they have been much better with return of WR DeVante Parker. He has 35 catches in five games and should have his way against the Georgia defense. Louisville is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against SEC teams and they are also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games. Louisville has a good chance to win this game straight-up and getting this many points is just icing on the cake. |
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12-27-14 | Virginia Tech v. Cincinnati -3 | 33-17 | Loss | -105 | 181 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #228 Take Cincinnati Bearcats over Virginia Tech Hokies (Military Bowl, Saturday 12/27 1 pm ESPN) The Bearcats just keep putting up 9 or 10 wins season despite changing coaches every couple of years. They will enter this game one of the hottest teams in the country having won 7 straight games and they are they much better offensive team in this contest. Virginia Tech was a one trick pony most of the season since they beat Ohio State in September but also lost to Wake Forest and had to beat Virginia in their finale just to become bowl eligible. Just not a fan of QB Michael Brewer and like both of the Bearcats quarterbacks much better. Virginia Tech is a name team but the odds makers have failed to realize how much they have declined in recent years going just 16-33 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 51 games. |
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12-24-14 | Fresno State +2 v. Rice | 6-30 | Loss | -103 | 152 h 56 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #219 Take Fresno State Bulldogs over Rice Owls (Hawaii Bowl, Wednesday 8 pm ESPN) One may question why Fresno State is able to play in a bowl game since their record is just 6-7, but they have shown some signs of life down the stretch after a brutal start to the season. The Bulldogs have won three of their last four games and were respectable in the MWC Championship, losing by just 14 points to Boise State in a true road game. Fresno State is extremely well-coached, and they want to make amends from their bowl game performance last season against USC. Rice is not USC, and they have been blown out in two of their last three games. The Mountain West is a much better conference than Conference USA, and playing USC, Utah, Nebraska, and Boise State have prepared them well for this game. Fresno State has covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games. |
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12-20-14 | Nevada v. UL-Lafayette | Top | 3-16 | Win | 100 | 117 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #202 Take Louisiana Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns over Nevada Wolf Pack (New Orleans Bowl, Saturday 11 am ESPN) This is a major home field edge for the Ragin’ Cajuns as they are playing in New Orleans for a fourth straight year and look to complete the Superfecta on Saturday with four straight wins. Nevada players are happy to be in New Orleans, but the fan base will not be able to support them as the team had just 13 days and fans have bought just over 100 tickets. Nevada has been a slow starting team all season long and have not played well down the stretch losing two of their last three games against so-so teams in Air Force, UNLV, and Fresno State. Nevada could have lost to UNLV as well were it not for the Vegas quarterback falling apart in the second half despite having a lead at halftime. Nevada has not seen a quarterback as good as Terrance Broadway since October 11th and he should be able to pick apart this suspect Wolf Pack defense. Louisiana has only lost 1 game since September 21st and they will enter this game with a lot of confidence. This is a dual threat team and I expect them to move the ball up and down the field for 60 minutes. Nevada is a penny pinching team and thus their bowl experience will not be enjoyable as most team get to experience. The Pack have lost two straight bowl games and just do not have the weapons at wide receiver to exploit ULL. Nevada is 1-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 bowl games. ULL is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played during December. |
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12-13-14 | Army +15.5 v. Navy | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 49 h 20 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #303 Take Army Black Knights over Navy Midshipmen (Saturday 3 pm CBS) The Midshipmen have dominated this series of late winning 12 straight games but the Black Knights have closed the gap in recent years. Army has a new coach this season and the results have been solid already with 4 wins compared to just 3 last season. Navy already has five losses this season and they have only blown out teams (which would cover this number) this season. Army has been waiting for this game for three weeks and I just do not see Navy running over them. The Mids lost to Air Force and Army played Air Force pretty well holding them to just 23 points. Grab the points in this battle! Navy is just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a losing record. |
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12-06-14 | Wisconsin -4 v. Ohio State | 0-59 | Loss | -108 | 103 h 30 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #127 Take Wisconsin Badgers over Ohio State Buckeyes (Big Ten Championship, Saturday 8 pm FOX) The pointspread likely swung 7 points with the news that JT Barrett is out as quarterback for Ohio State. That being said, we really like the Badgers as they are the much better team on defense and always have a much stronger running game. Wisconsin still has their Heisman Candidate in Melvin Gordon as he passed Ron Dayne last week for most rushing yards by a Badger in a single season. Wisconsin has held nine opponents this season to under 300 total yards. Wisconsin is 2-0 in Big Ten Championship Games and Ohio State has yet to record a title in the small history of this game. Ohio State is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. Wisconsin dominates the ground game and we collect in the process as well. |
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12-06-14 | Florida State -3.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 37-35 | Loss | -110 | 102 h 15 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #125 Take Florida State Seminoles over Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (ACC Championship, Saturday, 8 pm ABC) I am done proclaiming that Florida State is due for a breakout game because they have not done that at any point down the stretch. That being said they are much more talented than Georgia Tech especially without DeAndre Smelter as he is doubtful for this game with a knee injury. That is a major void for Georgia Tech and I do not feel that they will be able to overcome this loss at wide receiver. Florida State is 13-2 straight-up against Georgia Tech. People seem to believe that playing a triple option team is impossible to prepare for but I do not believe that is true. Florida State has speed and that is how you prevent big plays. The Noles will be able to move the football through the air at will and win this game by double digits. Florida State is 12-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 17 neutral site games. Georgia Tech is just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played during the month of December. |
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11-29-14 | Nevada -9.5 v. UNLV | Top | 49-27 | Win | 100 | 127 h 52 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #406 Take UNLV Runnin Rebels over Nevada Wolf Pack (Saturday 10:30 pm ESPN U) We have a great feel for this Nevada team and have not lost any selections for or against them this season. The Wolf Pack had an appearance in the MWC Championship Game in their grasp but feel apart last week against Fresno State (We had the Bulldogs +8). Now they face an angry UNLV team that pissed away a game last week in Hawaii and this is the game that have had circled for over a month. Nevada is not a good passing team and is not good on defense defending the pass. These two things will all UNLV to keep this game close and take it down to the wire. Nevada may get the cannon back but it will come in a battle that is close throughout. Nevada is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games against teams with a losing record at home. |
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11-29-14 | Utah State v. Boise State -9 | 19-50 | Win | 100 | 127 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #384 Take Boise State Broncos over Utah State Aggies (Saturday 10:15 pm ESPN 2) The Broncos have their sights set on an appearance in the MWC which they will host next Saturday with a victory against Utah State tonight. The Aggies still have an outside chance to win the division if they beat Boise State and Air Force beats Colorado State but that is not likely to happen. This is the game that the Aggies having to play their fourth string quarterback will eventually catch up to them. The Broncos have been playing outstanding football down the stretch having won six straight games and their weakness on defense is something Utah State will not be able to take advantage of. A bad Bronco team went into Logan last year and beat the Aggies by 11 points and this game will be even worse. Boise State is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games against teams with a winning road record. |
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11-29-14 | Minnesota v. Wisconsin -13 | 24-34 | Loss | -116 | 120 h 55 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #356 Take Wisconsin Badgers over Minnesota Golden Gophers (Saturday 3:30 pm BTN) The West Division is up for grabs in the Big Ten on Saturday afternoon when the Gophers come calling to get back Paul Bunyan’s Ax. Wisconsin has beaten Minnesota 10 straight times and this Badger team keeps getting better each and every week. They now have a decent passing game to compliment the best running attack in the country. Minnesota does not have an offense that can put a scare into this Wisconsin defense and this is the second of back to back road games for the Gophers. Nebraska had Minnesota down early but let up, something that Wisconsin will not do. Wisconsin is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games. |
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11-29-14 | Notre Dame +7.5 v. USC | 14-49 | Loss | -120 | 120 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #427 Take Notre Dame Fighting Irish over USC (Saturday 3:30 pm FOX) This game has lost most of its luster and been bumped out of primetime. Notre Dame is coming off a tough setback to Louisville while USC is coming off a loss to their cross town rival in UCLA. That means both teams are not playing well and thus we will grab the points with the underdog. Notre Dame has beaten USC the last two games and Notre Dame should be getting a couple of players back on defense. The Irish will be able to move the football on them while on offense and I feel Notre Dame has a chance to win this game straight-up. USC is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 nonconference games. Notre Dame has covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games against PAC-12 teams. |