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Matt Fargo MLB Money Lines Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
07-12-26 Angels +122 v. Twins Top 2-4 Loss -100 5 h 35 m Show

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS as part of our MLB Afternoon Double Play. The Twins snapped a two-game skid with a Saturday win while the Angels have gone 2-2 in their last four games and we are going with the road warrior. We were on Jose Soriano in his last start and it was another tough luck outing as the bullpen gave it away. He has been consistent most of the season with only a few poor games and the common trait was that three of those starts were at home where his ERA is now 3.99 compared to 2.91 on the road. If this sounds familiar, it is because last season was even more drastic as he finished with a 5.90 ERA in 15 home starts compared to a 2.91 ERA in 16 road outings. Minnesota is still two games under .500 but alive in the mediocre American League Central and look to ride Taj Bradley who has been great over his last four starts after a rough four-game stretch and we will fade in a sell high spot. 10* (917) Los Angeles Angels

07-12-26 A's +116 v. White Sox Top 1-9 Loss -100 5 h 42 m Show

This is a play on the ATHLETICS as part of our MLB Afternoon Double Play. The Athletics offense has recently disappeared as they have scored a total of five runs over their last five games, part of their current eight-game losing streak but they have a chance to bust out in the final game prior to the break. They have completely fallen out of contention in the American League West after a short stint in first place but they are just 5.5 games out of first place and have a good matchup today. J.T. Ginn has been one of the few bright spots of the rotation as he has a 2.95 ERA in his 17 starts while allowing three runs or less in 15 of those. The two exceptions were both at home against Milwaukee and Cleveland and he has a 2.31 ERA on the road across 46.2 innings. The White Sox have won two straight to remain tied with Cleveland and Noah Schultz has been average in his two starts since coming off the IL with a 6.75 ERA over 9.1 innings. 10* (915) Athletics

07-12-26 Cubs v. Reds +116 Top 8-4 Loss -100 4 h 29 m Show

This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS for our Divisional Game of the Month. The Reds took the opener of this series on Friday behind a solid bounce back effort from Hunter Greene before allowing a late home run last night in a 5-3 loss. It has not been a great run for Cincinnati after what was a really good start to the season and they look to end the first half on a high note in a value spot. They will be hoping Andrew Abbott can keep his resurgence going. He is coming off another tough quality start loss and after he posted a 6.59 ERA over his first six starts, in 11 outings since then he has a 2.86 ERA, allowing three runs or less in all of those. The Cubs have closed the gap to six games in the National League Central and turn to Matthew Boyd who looks to be healthy but that is still a concern. He is 2-0 with a 1.72 ERA in three starts since coming off the IL and he has been limited to eight starts this season due to two separate IL stints. 10* (904) Cincinnati Reds

07-11-26 Astros +107 v. Rangers Top 9-3 Win 107 10 h 10 m Show

This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS for our MLB Big League Baller. The Rangers have won two straight games following a 7-3 win last night and they have leapfrogged the Mariners in the American League West to take a game and a half lead while now sitting just two games over .500 at home. Kumar Rocker had a strong start to the season as he posted a 3.38 ERA in five April starts but he has been inconsistent since then with a 4.53 ERA. Overall, he has made 15 starts with another two games coming in as a bulk reliever and those two games were his two highest strikeout games of the season with both of those coming on the road. In 10 true home starts, he has a 4.20 ERA and 1.38 WHIP across 49.1 innings. Houston is just three games back and turn to Peter Lambert who has resurrected his career after a dismal time in Colorado (7.01 ERA at Coors) as he has a 3.26 ERA in 14 starts that includes a 3.08 ERA on the road. 10* (967) Houston Astros

07-11-26 Mariners +100 v. Rays Top 1-6 Loss -100 8 h 38 m Show

This is a play on the SEATTLE MARINERS as part of our MLB Afternoon Double Play. Seattle has lost four straight games after losing the series opener last night which followed a sweep at Miami. The Mariners are now a game and a half behind the Rangers in the American League West and now holding down the third Wild Card spot, involved in a logjam of five teams within a game and a half of that third spot. Logan Gilbert pitched a gem last time out as he limited the Blue Jays to one hit and no walks in 7.1 shutout innings. After opening 1-4 in his first five starts, the Mariners are 10-3 in his last 13 outings including just one loss since mid-May. He has significant home/road splits as he has posted a 4.11 ERA at home in 10 outings compared to a 1.73 ERA in seven road starts. Griffin Jax continues to have a solid season in his first as a full time starter as he has a 2.89 ERA in 13 starts since entering the rotation but he is pitching to a 4.87 xERA. 10* (965) Seattle Mariners

07-11-26 Guardians +135 v. Marlins Top 4-1 Win 135 8 h 31 m Show

This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS as part of our MLB Afternoon Double Play. Miami had its six-game winning streak snapped with a 3-2 loss last night and remains three games behind the Braves in the National League East. They are a half-game behind the Cubs for the top Wild Card spot in the National League and despite what looks like a good bounce back spot, the Marlins are paying the price and actually in a sell high spot with Eury Perez on the hill. He will be very popular today as he is coming off tossing seven perfect innings in his last start before getting pulled and he has a 0.99 ERA in his last five starts. The Guardians have won two straight games to remain tied with the White Sox for first place in the American League Central. Tanner Bibee is coming off a rough start against those same White Sox which was his third bad start this season of allowing six runs or more and take those out and he has a 2.57 ERA in his other 16 outings. 10* (975) Cleveland Guardians

07-10-26 Mariners +106 v. Rays Top 2-7 Loss -100 10 h 12 m Show

This is a play on the SEATTLE MARINERS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. Tampa Bay is coming off a four-game split with the Yankees to hold its four-game lead in the American League East but that lead mainly came from the massive Yankees slump. Nick Martinez has quietly put together a solid season with a 2.61 ERA through 17 starts but he has fallen off lately. He had a 1.62 ERA through his first 11 outings but has a 4.59 ERA over his last six starts and while he did allow just one run each in his last two games, he did not go enough to post a quality start in either one. Seattle has lost three straight games. Seattle got swept in Miami against the red hot Marlins and has fallen into second place in the American League West, a half-game behind the Rangers. Luis Castillo has had a resurgence and looks like the old Castillo as he has a 2.72 ERA in his last seven games, five starts and two bulk relief appearances following an opener. 10* (913) Seattle Mariners

07-10-26 Royals +135 v. Orioles Top 3-5 Loss -100 10 h 12 m Show

This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The Royals are 11-13 on the road since May 17th while the Orioles are 3-8 in their last 11 home games. Luinder Avila has been solid in his first season with the Royals as a starter as he came out of the bullpen in 13 games last season and has made nine relief appearances this year. He has made eight starts, seven straight, and has had only three poor outings, two coming against the White Sox which have a top three offense and the other against the Brewers. In those other five starts, he has allowed just one run in each to post a 1.75 ERA across 25.2 innings. In 34 road innings, he has a 2.65 ERA. Brandon Young no doubt has been really good with a 3.38 ERA in 14 starts but is coming off his worst outing where he allowed four runs in five innings against the Reds. His command remains an issue as he allows a ton of walks which has boosted his WHIP to 1.36. 10* (911) Kansas City Royals

07-10-26 Phillies +109 v. Tigers Top 2-10 Loss -100 10 h 41 m Show

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The Phillies won a classic pitching duel last night with Jesus Luzardo as they took their series against the Reds and are 3-3 on this current nine-game roadtrip prior to the break. They come in 27-21 on the road and are currently three games behind the Braves in the National League East. Aaron Nola has had a rough season as he has a 5.87 ERA through 18 starts but is coming off one of his best outings, going seven innings and allowing three runs against the Royals. He has been solid on the road of late with a 3.97 ERA in his last four road outings and overall is pitching to a 4.25 xERA so he has had some bad fortunes all season. Detroit remains hot as it has won five straight and it turns to Jack Flaherty who has turned his season around with a 1.98 ERA over his last five starts. He has a 4.31 xERA so it is a wash and we will take the Phillies offense here. 10* (921) Philadelphia Phillies

07-09-26 Mariners v. Marlins +135 Top 4-8 Win 135 12 h 50 m Show

This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS for our Interleague Game of the Month. The Marlins have been the hottest team in baseball of late as they are 25-8 since June 1st and catching a great number at home. Janson Junk is back in the rotation after missing six weeks with shin inflammation and his rehab starts went good enough that he is being pushed up before the All Star Break. He has made seven starts at home and he has allowed three runs or less in five of those and in the two that he was hit hard, those were both right prior to going on the IL. He gets a nice matchup right out of the gate against Seattle at pitcher-friendly loanDepot park. Seattle has been good enough to stay in first place in the American League West and it has been winning with pitching with Bryce Miller part of that. He has been nearly untouchable at home where he has allowed only one run but has been as good on the road and while his 2.70 ERA is still very solid, he is vulnerable in this matchup. 10* (976) Miami Marlins

07-09-26 Royals +130 v. Mets Top 3-7 Loss -100 7 h 48 m Show

This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS for our MLB Afternoon Dominator. We all know Kansas City stinks on the road and while its offense has been below average all season, the Royals are riding a high right now with the bats as putting up 15 and 16 runs in back-to-back games before last night is certainly impressive. The Royals are actually 11-12 on the road since May 17th and catching a sizable number here despite having the pitching advantage. We were on Michael Wacha in his last start and it was another tough luck loss albeit it was on him as he allowed three home runs to the Phillies. He has been as consistent as they come as he has a 3.45 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 18 starts and while Kansas City has dropped nine of his last ten starts, those nine losses were by a combined 18 runs. The Mets stink too and this is a big number for Sean Manea and while his numbers have been decent of late, he does not go very deep so the numbers are skewed and this bullpen, while solid, is taxed. 10* (971) Kansas City Royals

07-08-26 Angels +142 v. Rangers Top 13-1 Win 142 11 h 9 m Show

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. The Angels came up small for us last night or should we say the bullpen did as they allowed five runs in the eighth inning to break a 3-3 tie to send them to their seventh straight loss. We have tailed Walbert Urena a few times and he has been exceptional in his rookie season and he bounced back from his worst start of the season with a solid performance at Seattle but it resulted in a 1-0 loss. He has had only one poor road loss which was at Kansas City way back in April and he has a 2.91 ERA in eight road outings. Texas snapped a two-game skid with the win last night and is now just a half-game behind the Mariners in the American League West. Like Jacob deGrom, Mackenzie Gore has been great at home as he has a 2.49 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in seven starts but the Rangers are just 4-3 in those games and are overpriced here. 10* (919) Los Angeles Angels

07-08-26 Guardians +117 v. Twins Top 5-6 Loss -100 11 h 45 m Show

This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. Cleveland has dropped three straight games and it remains one game behind the White Sox in the American League Central and the offense has a chance to get back on track here. Slade Cecconi was on a big run since early May as he had a 2.96 ERA over nine starts, allowing no more than three runs in any start and giving up just four total home runs before he got lit up by the White Sox last time out. He struggled through April thanks to a pair of awful road starts but has allowed three runs or less in his last six road outings. The Twins have won three straight games as they have used the momentum from the Yankees series to open this homestand with a 3-1 win last night. Connor Prielipp has been all over the place and while he has been better at home, the Twins have still dropped seven of his last 10 starts. 10* (917) Cleveland Guardians

07-08-26 Red Sox +106 v. White Sox Top 5-0 Win 106 11 h 54 m Show

This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. The Red Sox continue to get it done on the road as they have won four straight away from home to open this roadtrip and this is actually a contrarian play despite that. Jake Bennett had been dealing as he posted a 5.28 ERA and 1.50 WHIP over his first three starts with just eight strikeouts but since then, he has put up a 1.78 ERA and 0.67 WHIP with 23 strikeouts across 25.1 innings. Take away a pair of back-to-back starts against Tampa Bay and he has been exceptional. The White Sox have been up and down as they have now lost four of their last six games and turn to Davis Martin who has literally been unbeatable at home and this is where we go contrarian. He has a 0.88 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in seven home starts with Chicago winning all of those games and now faces a suddenly red hot Boston offense at the wrong time. 10* (915) Boston Red Sox

07-07-26 Angels +148 v. Rangers Top 3-8 Loss -100 12 h 55 m Show

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS for our Divisional Game of the Month. The Angels look to snap a six-game slide and we go contrarian in a nice pitching spot. Jose Soriano has one of the best starts to the season of any pitcher in 2026 but he has definitely leveled off and we can attribute a lot of that to the competition. His first poor start came against the White Sox, one of the top offensive teams in baseball, the next two were against the Dodgers and the most recent coming against the Orioles. The common trait was that three of those starts were at home where his ERA is now 3.99 compared to 2.91 on the road. If this sounds familiar, it is because last season was even more drastic as he finished with a 5.90 ERA in 15 home starts compared to a 2.91 ERA in 16 road outings. Jacob deGrom is having a very solid season and is a big favorite for a reason. He has been great at home but there is too much value on the other side. 10* (971) Los Angeles Angels

07-07-26 Cubs v. Orioles +103 Top 5-2 Loss -100 11 h 7 m Show

This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES for our MLB Big League Baller. Baltimore is back home after taking two of three in Cincinnati and it comes in at 24-23 at home. It was supposed to be a breakout season for Shane Baz and while it has not been awful, it has been far from a breakout which was due to a bad start to the year. He had a 5.48 ERA through his first eight starts but over his last nine starts, he has a 3.18 ERA with only one poor start at the Angels and take that out and his ERA is 2.61 in the other eight games. He has the opposition to two runs or fewer in six of his last eight starts while striking out 45 in 49 innings over this stretch. The Cubs salvaged the series finale against St. Louis and are back on the road where they are two games over .500 and Matthew Boyd comes in as the slight favorite with his 5.08 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. He has made only two road starts which have resulted in a 5.19 ERA and 2.08 WHIP. 10* (974) Baltimore Orioles

07-06-26 Mets +117 v. Braves Top 7-6 Win 117 10 h 25 m Show

This is a play on the NEW YORK METS as part of our MLB Monday Double Play. The Mets snapped a three-game losing streak with a win on Sunday and it was closer than it should have been as they nearly blew a 10-3 lead in the ninth inning to hold on for the 10-9 victory. New York will look for the series split as it can take that momentum into tonight behind Freddy Peralta who is coming off another poor outing but has been a solid bounce back pitcher. He has allowed four runs or more six times now and in the previous five instances, he allowed one run or less in the following start four times and we expect another rebound here. The Braves have been scuffling along as they have lost 15 of their last 22 games and have seen their lead shrink to three games in the National League East. Reynaldo Lopez has made two starts since coming back into the rotation and they were decent but not deep and the Mets can keep the bats going. 10* (901) New York Mets

07-06-26 Astros +107 v. Nationals Top 11-12 Loss -100 10 h 51 m Show

This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS as part of our MLB Monday Double Play. Houston took the final two games against Tampa Bay including a 2-0 win yesterday behind a solid effort from Peter Lambert to conclude a 3-3 homestand and we will back the Astros again tonight. The Astros remain just 2.5 games behind the Mariners in the American League West and they could use something big from Mike Burrows who has been a huge disappointment this season but he has a decent matchup and being on the road has been better for him as he has a 4.28 ERA and 1.26 WHIP eight road starts compared to a 7.05 ERA at home. Washington lost the final two games against Pittsburgh following a three-game winning streak and are now just 18-27 at home. Miles Mikolas will make the start while appealing a suspension and he has been awful with an 8.16 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in seven starts as he has mainly been coming out of the bullpen. 10* (913) Houston Astros

07-05-26 Blue Jays +117 v. Mariners Top 0-4 Loss -100 8 h 30 m Show

This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. Toronto and Seattle have swapped shutouts in the first two games of this series with Sunday being the rubber match of the rematch of the ALCS from last season. Toronto had a two-game winning streak snapped on Saturday as it had no answer for Logan Gilbert while Shane Bieber got lit up. Trey Yesavage looks to reverse that and after a couple poor starts, he has rebounded with a pair of solid ones and he is back on the road where he has a 2.22 ERA and 1.06 WHIP across 28.1 innings. The Mariners regained a half-game lead in the American League West over Texas as they have won four of five games and send Emerson Hancock to the hill who is having a solid season with a 3.47 ERA but has shown some inconsistencies of late while pitching to a 4.47 xERA. He has a 7.20 ERA over his last three starts and he does not strike many out which is not good against this lineup. 10* (971) Toronto Blue Jays

07-05-26 Rays v. Astros +120 Top 0-2 Win 120 6 h 1 m Show

This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. Houston ended Tampa Bay's nine-game winning streak on Yordan Alvarez's two-run homer with no outs in the ninth inning which snapped its own two-game slide. The Astros remain just 2.5 games behind the Mariners in the American League West and they turn to Peter Lambert who was on a tear before allowing four runs in 5.2 innings against the Twins last time out as he allowed three home runs which has been his issue of late but Tampa Bay has hit the fifth fewest home runs in baseball with just 84. The Rays still maintained their four-game lead in the American League East and Griffin Jax has been a huge part of their success as he has been great since entering the rotation. He has a 2.65 ERA as a starter in 12 games but a lot of that has been some good fortune as he has a 5.14 xERA and that -2.49 negative differential is the second worst on the entire slate. 10* (970) Houston Astros

07-05-26 Twins +119 v. Yankees Top 6-1 Win 119 4 h 10 m Show

This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. The Minnesota bats opened up on Brendan Beck yesterday and withstood a small Yankees rally to even the series with a chance to win it today, which would be their first here since 2014, and head home with the possibility of being only four games out in the American League Central. The Twins send out their ace Joe Ryan who is coming off his worst start of the season as he allowed six runs in four innings at Houston and despite that, he still has a 3.15 ERA and 0.97 WHIP on the road. The Yankees have seen their lead disappear in the American League East as they have lost eight of their last nine games and are four games behind the Rays. Ryan Weathers takes the hill as the Twins catch the backend of the rotation and he is off another poor start as his ERA is now 5.81 over his last six starts, the Yankees losing five of those including all three at home. 10* (963) Minnesota Twins

07-04-26 Red Sox v. Angels +149 Top 8-1 Loss -100 12 h 12 m Show

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS as part of our MLB Double Play Sweep. Boston took the opener on Friday as it continues its revenge splits, now right at .500 again on the road compared to 10 games under .500 at home. Sonny Gray has been dominant with a 2.69 ERA overall and has not lost since April 14 but this includes a 2.18 ERA and 0.84 WHIP at Fenway Park and that goes up to 3.29 and 1.43 WHIP on the road. The Angels have lost four straight games as the offense has done nothing and the matchup is not easy with their strikeout rate but this is a good contrarian spot in an underrated pitching matchup. Sam Aldegheri is in a good spot here as he remains at home where he has been very solid posting a 3.24 ERA and 1.21 WHIP across 25 Innings and he is definitely comfortable here as he has tossed only 4.2 innings on the road so he is purposely in the weekend rotation before the Angels hit the road next week. 10* (924) Los Angeles Angels

07-04-26 Phillies v. Royals +135 Top 6-1 Loss -100 11 h 40 m Show

This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Double Play Sweep. Kansas City has been a brutal team to read as we had them on Thursday which resulted in the final game of the Royals getting swept against the Rays. Michael Wacha has been as consistent as they come as he has a 3.31 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 17 starts with his nemesis being Texas as he has allowed 10 runs over 12 innings and his ERA is 2.79 in his other 15 outings. One of those starts was at home where he has a 2.85 ERA. Kansas City has dropped eight of his last nine starts but those eight losses were by a combined 13 runs. The Phillies have been hit or miss after a red hot run, going 3-3 over their last six games. We are going contrarian again here against Jesus Luzardo who has been solid all season and especially of late as he has allowed five runs over his last four starts and Philadelphia has won his last seven starts and is again paying the price on the road. 10* (928) Kansas City Royals

07-04-26 White Sox +128 v. Guardians Top 3-1 Win 128 10 h 56 m Show

This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX for our Divisional Game of the Month. The Guardians did it again in dramatic fashion and now hold a one-game lead over Chicago, and have defeated the White Sox nine straight times in Cleveland, after winning on walk-off hits Thursday and Friday. They are still just four games over .500 at home and send surprising ace Parker Messick to the hill but he has not been his best of late as he posted a 4.26 ERA in five June starts including two poor home starts where he allowed nine runs over 12.1 innings. The White Sox are No. 4 in Slugging percentage and No. in in wOBA against left-handed pitching this season. Chicago continues to struggle on the road and it is a significant underdog partly because of that. Sean Burke had a very good June with a 3.21 ERA in five starts that included only one poor one and that was against the Dodgers at home and he brings in a 3.06 ERA in seven road outings. 10* (919) Chicago White Sox

07-03-26 Brewers v. Diamondbacks +142 Top 7-4 Loss -100 12 h 6 m Show

This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS as part of our MLB Double Play Sweep. Milwaukee was unable to secure the four-game sweep against the Reds as Jacob Misiorowski was tagged for five runs including two home runs but only one of the runs was earned. Kyle Harrison has bounced back from a disastrous start against the Athletics with three strong outings but the Brewers have lost his last two starts. He has been dominant at home with a 1.53 ERA but that ERA goes up to 4.20 in six road starts. Arizona took two of three against the Giants to improve to 26-18 at home. Jose Cabrera will be making his third start and his second at home, the first resulting in five shutout innings against Minnesota. Before his June call-up, Cabrera excelled across Double-A Amarillo and Triple-A Reno by significantly jumping his strikeout rate to 28.7%. He possesses a deep six-pitch mix heavily relying on a 90 mph cutter as his primary pitch. 10* (960) Arizona Diamondbacks

07-03-26 Giants v. Rockies +136 Top 3-15 Win 136 11 h 45 m Show

This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES for our Divisional Game of the Month. Colorado busted out for 14 runs on Thursday to salvage a split with the Marlins and moved to a respectable 20-24 at home which is pretty good considering they were 25-56 all over last season here. Ryan Feltner has not been horrible as far as Rockies starting pitcher standards are as he has a 4.42 ERA in 11 starts which includes a 4.33 ERA in seven home outings with one bad start against the Cubs skewing that where he allowed six runs in 4.2 innings. The Giants lost two of three in Arizona to fall to 18-28 on the road. Logan Webb has turned his season around as he posted a 0.71 ERA in five June starts but has a tricky matchup against that resurgent Colorado offense at Coors Field. Webb most recently blanked the Braves on one hit over seven innings last Saturday in a 5-0 victory and he comes in as a sizable road favorite based on the recent form. 10* (958) Colorado Rockies

07-03-26 Orioles v. Reds +108 Top 3-0 Loss -100 9 h 28 m Show

This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Double Play Sweep. Cincinnati was able to salvage a game against Milwaukee and got it against the most unlikely starter to get it against Jacob Misiorowski although the Reds were given four unearned runs. Brady Singer has had a disappointing season overall but had been in a groove by allowing three runs or less in five straight starts before his last outing where he allowed five runs against the Pirates. That was on the road where he has been brutal with a 6.75 ERA but has a 3.25 ERA in seven home starts. Baltimore closed a disappointing 2-4 homestand with a win over the White Sox and the Orioles are back on the road where they are 16-25 and they are hoping the resurgence of Trevor Rogers continues. He has been solid over his last five starts but Baltimore is just 3-9 in his last 12 outings and is now laying his biggest road price since his first road start of the season. 10* (974) Cincinnati Reds

07-02-26 Rays v. Royals +108 Top 5-2 Loss -100 10 h 19 m Show

This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS for our American League GOM. The Rays have won seven straight games to overtake the Yankees in the American League East as the pitching has done the damage, allowing just 1.9 rpg over this seven-game stretch. They are still two games under .500 on the road and they come in as road favorites behind Ian Seymour who has been used mainly out of the bullpen with his last outing being sensational as he tossed 6.2 innings and not allowing a hit. It got him another full start and we get him at a sell high opportunity. The Royals have lost six of seven games and had no answer for Shane McClanahan yesterday as the offense has kept them down all season. Stephen Kolek is in a buy low spot as he is coming off a disaster start where he allowed nine runs in 1.2 innings against the Cardinals. There were distractions involved as he was awaiting the birth of his child and was placed on paternity leave right after that outing so he is in a better situation this time around. 10* (914) Kansas City Royals

07-01-26 Giants +117 v. Diamondbacks Top 6-4 Win 117 12 h 56 m Show

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS as part of our MLB Double Play Sweep. Arizona is back over .500 after taking the first two games of this series but are at a pitching disadvantage here. Zac Gallen has regressed considerably as his ERA has increased each of the last four seasons after his breakout season in 2022 where had a 2.54 ERA and this season, it is 6.15 while pitching to a 6.17 xERA. He has been better at home but he has a 5.27 ERA in eight home starts so it is far from good. It has been a rough season for the Giants as they are now 15 games under .500 including 11 games under .500 on the road but these are the spots to take and the line is telling us that. Trevor McDonald has been up and down start a strong start as he now has a 4.94 ERA through his first ten starts while pitching to a 4.22 xERA. He has struggled at home and comes in with a 3.96 ERA on the road in five outings with the Giants going 3-2 in those. 10* (961) San Francisco Giants

07-01-26 Pirates +124 v. Phillies Top 6-10 Loss -100 9 h 2 m Show

This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Double Play Sweep. We will be going contrarian here and while taking Paul Skenes as a contrarian play typically is not ever the case, it is here and how these two pitchers come in with their recent form. The Pirates got blanked last night 8-0 as they had no answers for Cristopher Sanchez and they got nothing out of Bubba Chandler. They are now 43-43 and are hoping Skenes can provide them with a victory or at least a chance for a team win as he has been inconsistent since the start of May and Pittsburgh has lost each of his last eight starts but we know what he can bring to the table. The Phillies are creeping up on the Braves in the National League East and Zack Wheeler has been a big part of that as he has a 2.03 ERA on the season in 12 starts with that identical ERA both at home and on the road. The Phillies are 10-2 in those games which adds to the contrarian aspect. 10* (953 Pittsburgh Pirates

07-01-26 Padres +113 v. Cubs Top 3-23 Loss -100 6 h 43 m Show

This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES for our MLB Afternoon Dominator. San Diego is stuck in neutral is it has lost four straight games, the last two in the series against the Dodgers and the first two in this series. The Padres are now 20-20 on the road and try to get back into the win column behind their most recent consistent pitcher. Walker Buehler had an inconsistent start to the season but has progressed by allowing three runs or less in nine straight starts including two runs or less in eight of those. He has a 2.64 ERA over that stretch including a 1.71 ERA over his last five outings. The Cubs have been on an opposite run with four start wins and go with Colin Rea who has also been pitching well and at a short price, he will be heavily popular. He is back home where he has been much better but after going 3-0 in his first three home starts, they are 0-3 in his last three home outings and overall they are 1-7 in his last eight starts. 10* (951) San Diego Padres

06-30-26 Dodgers v. A's +149 Top 9-3 Loss -100 11 h 2 m Show

This is a play on the ATHLETICS as part of our MLB Double Play Sweep. The Dodgers come in as typical road favorites again following a 6-1 start to this nine-game roadtrip and the win and they are now barely on the plus side of the money for the season despite being 25 games over .500. They have picked up their play on the road and turn to Justin Wrobleski who has been a great addition to this rotation. He has tossed two straight quality outings including one at Minnesota in his last start and after a solid start on the road to start the season, he has a 4.08 ERA in his last five road starts. The Athletics are off the loss on Monday following a 2-4 roadtrip and while they have not been great at home, they are catching a great number tonight. Jeffrey Springs is coming off a decent start following a rough stretch with his ERA now sitting at 5.52 but he is pitching to a 4.41 xERA and there is a 2.96 xERA total variance between these two pitchers. 10* (930) Athletics

06-30-26 White Sox +123 v. Orioles Top 9-3 Win 123 8 h 1 m Show

This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Double Play Sweep. We are back on the White Sox following an 8-2 last night and coupled with the Guardians loss, they are in solo first place in the American League Central by a game. The road has been a struggle overall as they are now 16-25but the number is taking that into account as was the case last night. Erick Fedde is back in the role of a starter after four appearances following an opener and he posted a 2.20 ERA across 16.1 innings while allowing only one home run which was an issue prior to this. Baltimore has now dropped three of four games since coming home and has lost five of six overall while sitting just one game over .500 at home. Trey Gibson has been average in his rookie season as he has a 5.64 ERA while pitching to a 5.85 xERA to go along with a 3.8% K:BB%. His home and road splits are close to identical so there is no edge to being back home. 10* (913) Chicago White Sox

06-29-26 Nationals +154 v. Red Sox Top 3-6 Loss -100 10 h 16 m Show

This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS for our Interleague Game of the Month. The Red Sox are coming off a four-game sweep of the Yankees which gave them their first four-game winning streak of the season and now they are being priced as a first place team and not the team that is still 10 games under .500. They improved their record at home but Boston is still just 16-25 at Fenway Park and they will be hoping they get another solid starting effort from Ranger Suarez to match Sonny Gray from Sunday. He is commanding a lot of respect with this number which is the biggest he has been favored by all season and it has been a great season but he possesses the dreaded reverse splits with a 3.75 ERA in seven home starts compared to a 2.12 ERA in eight road outings. Miles Mikolas is back as the starter after eight games in the bulk relief role and he has earned it by pitching much better with a 3.31 ERA in his last seven games across 35.1 innings. 10* (973) Washington Nationals

06-29-26 White Sox +123 v. Orioles Top 8-2 Win 123 9 h 26 m Show

This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX for our MLB Big League Baller. The White Sox took the first two games against Cleveland to open the week before dropping the series finale and then had the same results against the Royals over the weekend. Chicago is now tied with Cleveland for first place in the American League Central and we will play the White Sox in a bounce back spot in the first game of their roadtrip. Sean Burke has put together a solid season with a 3.71 ERA in 12 starts and four bulk relief appearances and while he has not gone as much on the road, he has been better with a 3.06 ERA while facing excellent opposition including the Yankees, Phillies, Mariners, Padres and Brewers. Baltimore dropped two of three against Washington to open its homestand and send out Shane Baz who has been inconsistent in his first season with the Orioles with a 4.31 ERA and 1.37 WHIP including a 4.41 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in six home starts. 10* (961) Chicago White Sox

06-28-26 Dodgers v. Padres +125 Top 4-2 Loss -100 7 h 14 m Show

This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES as part of our MLB Double Play Sweep. The Padres took the opener of this series on Friday but the Dodgers got it right back last night as they blew it open with a nine-run sixth inning to bring it back to a nine-game lead in the National League West. Emmet Sheehan has been nothing but an inning eater this season as he has made 14 starts and has a 5.32 ERA across 67.2 innings. He has a 5.58 EDRA on the road which includes a start here last month where he allowed four runs over four innings. Michael King is coming off one of his best starts of the season after hitting a bit of a rough patch as he tossed seven shutout innings against the Braves, allowing six hits and walking none. He remains home where he is at his best, posting a 2.87 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in nine starts and while the Dodgers come in with the best offense in baseball, he has already shut them out once over seven innings last month. 10* (912) San Diego Padres

06-28-26 Royals +124 v. White Sox Top 5-4 Win 124 5 h 8 m Show

This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Double Play Sweep. The White Sox exploded for 22 runs on Friday in the 22-1 victory but needed only two runs on Saturday to secure their fourth win in five games to open this homestand. Chicago is still one game up on the Guardians in the American League Central while improving to 28-13 at home which is a big reason for the size of this number. Anthony Kay is coming off his best start of the season as he shut out the Guardians over six innings while striking out a season-high eight and now is the sell high time as he is favored by the biggest amount all season. The Royals have lost four straight games and it has turned into a lost season but we will be backing Luinder Avila who is making his seventh start and while two of those have been bad, he has allowed only one run in each of the other four. Those four all resulted in Kansas City wins and he is back on the road where he has a 1.80 ERA over 30 innings. 10* (919) Kansas City Royals

06-27-26 Cubs +157 v. Brewers Top 8-2 Win 157 10 h 25 m Show

This is a play on the CHICAGO CUBS as part of our MLB Double Play Sweep. The Brewers have won five straight games and have a commanding 7.5-game lead in the National League Central. A change of scenery can do nothing but good for David Peterson who was traded away from the Mets this week, leaving a franchise that did him good for a while but he never hit those expectations. The Cubs need the rotation help this being on the road actually helps as there is little pressure for Peterson and his road ERA is over two runs better than it was at Citi Field so clearly the home negativity got to him and while his 5.21 xERA is not great, it is 2.50 lower than his top line ERA as a starter. Kyle Harrison has bounced back from a disastrous start against the Athletics with a pair of quality outings but the Braves put an end to the Brewers 10-game winning streak in his starts and he now faces a Cubs team that was shut down by him last time out for a second time. 10* (955) Chicago Cubs

06-27-26 Mariners v. Guardians +135 Top 3-4 Win 135 10 h 20 m Show

This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS as part of our MLB Double Play Sweep. The Guardians dropped the series opener and have fallen back into second place in the American League Central, one game behind the White Sox. The underrated pitcher of this rotation has been Slade Cecconi who is on a serious run. He has been outstanding since early May as he has a 2.96 ERA over his last nine starts, allowing no more than three runs in any start and giving up just four total home runs. He struggled through April thanks to a pair of awful road starts and while there was one bad home start against the Astros, he has a 3.37 ERA at home since then. Seattle is a game and a half ahead of the Rangers and Athletics in the American League West with a lot of the recent success due to Logan Gilbert who has been on an absolute roll but this is the sell high spot as Seattle has won his last six starts while his production on the road has been outstanding but we go contrarian. 10* (972) Cleveland Guardians

06-26-26 Dodgers v. Padres +128 Top 1-7 Win 128 13 h 53 m Show

This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The Dodgers and Padres opened the week in similar fashion as Los Angeles swept the Twins in Minnesota while San Diego did the same to the Braves at home. The Padres are still on the outside looking in for the Wild Card in the National League and this series will go a long way. Walker Buehler had an inconsistent start to the season but has progressed by allowing three runs or less in eight straight starts including two runs or less in seven of those. He has a 2.76 ERA over that stretch including a 1.71 ERA over his last four outings and he returns home where he has been at his best with his 3.32 ERA and 1.15 WHIP over 40.2 innings as he has allowed only two home runs. Roki Sasaki has been below average with his inconsistencies and he is back on the road with his 6.19 ERA and 1.38 WHIP over six starts. 10* (910) San Diego Padres

06-26-26 A's v. Angels +113 Top 9-3 Loss -100 13 h 39 m Show

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The Angels had an off day on Thursday following four wins in five games which included two wins over the Athletics to close that series and then taking two of three against the Orioles. They are catching an underdog price at home with Walbert Urena who has been outstanding since entering the rotation as he has a 2.47 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 12 starts which includes a 1.93 ERA over his last 10 outings. He has elite stuff when his command is in check which it was in his last two starts in Arizona and Sacramento. The Athletics salvaged the series finale against San Francisco on Thursday to snap a four-game skid and they remain three games under .500. J.T. Ginn is also having a solid season and his best stuff has been on the road with a 1.99 ERA in seven starts but the Athletics have dropped his last three on the highway. 10* (924) Los Angeles Angels

06-26-26 Rockies +154 v. Twins Top 8-9 Loss -100 11 h 11 m Show

This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The Twins were swept by the Dodgers, two of those being one run losses and while they take a big step down in competition here, they are being severely overpriced. Taj Bradley got off to a great start to the season but he has regressed considerably. He had a 1.63 ERA through his first five starts and a 2.77 ERA through nine outings but he has a 6.93 ERA in his last five starts. His numbers are slightly better at home but one huge liability over has been the long ball as he has allowed 12 home runs in 14 starts after allowing six home runs in six starts last season after coming to Minnesota. Colorado is coming off a successful homestand where it went 4-2 and while not as good on the road, the Rockies are catching a great number with Tomoyuki Sugano who has been better of late and Colorado is 10-5 in his 15 starts. 10* (929) Colorado Rockies

06-25-26 Phillies v. Nationals +166 Top 10-5 Loss -100 10 h 49 m Show

This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS for our Divisional Game of the Month. Philadelphia has been one of the best teams in baseball over the last couple months as it is 36-18 in its last 54 games and continues to win in crazy ways. On Tuesday, the Phillies were down 8-6 in the ninth inning and down to their final strike before scoring eight runs and they followed it up last night with a two-run pinch hit home run in the ninth innings. They will be the popular choice tonight with Cristopher Sanchez on the hill and this is where we like to fade him, in a road spot in a tough matchup. At home, Sanchez has a 0.95 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in 10 starts but in six road outings, he has a 3.23 ERA and 1.31 WHIP and below average hitting against numbers and he now faces a Washington offense that is No. 1 or No. 2 in every major hitting category against lefties while going 16-8 against left handed starters. Cade Cavalli has held his own after limited expectations and has been solid at home, not allowing more than three runs in any of his eight starts. 10* (952) Washington Nationals

06-24-26 Dodgers v. Twins +161 Top 4-3 Loss -100 10 h 37 m Show

This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS for our MLB Big League Baller. The Dodgers eked out a 2-1 win on Monday and followed that up with a 12-3 blowout victory last night to open this roadtrip after closing their homestand with a pair of losses to Baltimore. Based on this price, they are expected to sweep with Shohei Ohtani being the reason but he has not been great of late and he is far from an automatic win this season. He has allowed seven earned runs over his last two starts and while his numbers are actually better on the road than at home, the Dodgers are just 2-4 in his six road starts and going back to last season, they are 2-9 on the road when favored by -150 or higher. The Twins are still hanging around in the American League Central and send out their ace to salvage a game in this series. Joe Ryan is off to the best start of his career with a 2.99 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 16 starts while allowing two runs or less in eight of his last 10 starts while going 7-3 in those 10 games. 10* (928) Minnesota Twins

06-24-26 Brewers v. Reds +135 Top 6-5 Loss -100 9 h 19 m Show

This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS for our Divisional Game of the Month. Milwaukee has taken the first two games of this series as it has done it with pitching in 2-1 and 2-0 victories to make it three straight wins and the Brewers go down in class in starting value here. Shane Drohan was sent down to the Minors in April and recalled two weeks later and had only been coming out of the bullpen but has made four starts since and while off a good one, he is back on the road where he has only 14.2 innings compared to 33 innings at home. Rhett Lowder is back in the rotation to make his fourth start after missing a month with a shoulder issue and he is coming off a poor start at the Yankees where he allowed four runs in 5.1 innings. It is taking a bit to find that consistency as he had only one rehab outing and now he is back home for his second start since April 26th and he has been much better here as he has a 3.22 ERA and 1.12 WHIP compared to a 6.00 ERA and 1.70 WHIP on the road. 10* (906) Cincinnati Reds

06-24-26 Guardians v. White Sox +102 Top 4-3 Loss -100 7 h 17 m Show

This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX for our MLB Afternoon Dominator. Despite three hits, the White Sox came away with a 2-1 win last night for its second straight victory after a horrible 1-5 roadtrip and they have retaken first place in the American League Central. Chicago looks for the sweep before hosting Kansas City on this homestand where the White Sox can actually make some space. Erick Fedde has been going back and forth between starting and following an opener to do bulk relief and with the exception of one bad start at San Francisco, he has been pretty reliable. This is definitely the case at home where he has a 3.29 ERA over 38.1 innings compared to a 6.18 ERA across 27.2 innings on the road. Tanner Bibee has had a similar season where a couple bad starts have inflated his numbers but he has been inconsistent on the road overall with a 4.54 ERA. The Guardians have won only four of his 16 starts this season which highlights the inconsistency and lack of run support. 10* (912) Chicago White Sox

06-23-26 Red Sox v. Rockies +148 Top 5-2 Loss -100 14 h 32 m Show

This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES for our MLB Diamond Dominator. Boston and Colorado were coming off similar weekend series as they both won the first two games before dropping the finale on Sunday and the Rockies struck first with a series opening win Monday. The Red Sox have been a better team on the road than at home as they are now one game under .500 and are road favorites partly because of that and Sonny Gray taking the hill. He has been very consistent this season as he has gone nine straight starts of allowing three runs or less to lower his ERA to 3.12 but he is back on the road where his ERA jumps to 3.73 while laying his biggest road price of the season. Colorado counters with Sean Sullivan which is another reason for the big number as his top line ERA of 10.29 will do that as he had one bad start against the Cubs in Chicago and while this is his first ever start at Coors Field, he could not ask for a better matchup. While that ERA is high, he is pitching to a 1.71 xERA. 10* (978) Colorado Rockies

06-22-26 Orioles v. Angels +145 Top 6-1 Loss -100 13 h 43 m Show

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS for our American League GOM. The Orioles took the final two games at Los Angeles against the Dodgers, nearly blowing it Saturday before a comfortable 12-1 win on Sunday and the markets are already overpricing. They are still just 15-23 on the road and Kyle Bradish will look to build off a strong outing in Seattle. Despite that, he has a 5.06 ERA on the road across 35.1 innings. The Angels are also riding a two-game winning streak and turn to Sam Aldegheri who has been back and forth between Anaheim and Salt Lake but has found a home in the rotation although he may need a strong effort tonight to keep it. He is coming off a start in Arizona where he allowed six runs over three innings and that was only his second appearance on the road and first as a starter. In four games at home including two starts and one bulk relief appearance, he has a 1.76 ERA across 15.1 innings. 10* (920) Los Angeles Angels

06-22-26 Dodgers v. Twins +138 Top 2-1 Loss -100 10 h 28 m Show

This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS for our MLB Diamond Dominator. The Dodgers dropped their final two games at home against Baltimore and they are going to be a popular bounce back option tonight. They hit the road where they are 23-15 while down 4.4 units. We are not lining up behind Eric Lauer even though he has pitched since coming to Los Angeles from Toronto. Overall he has a 4.81 ERA and is pitching to a 4.84 xERA so he is pitching to his ability and his road ERA of 5.06 does include his time in Toronto so it is a bit skewed but the competition faced has been below average. Minnesota is back home following a 5-1 roadtrip and the Twins have won six of seven and have found themselves right back in the American League Central race. Zebby Matthews has been up and down since entering the rotation in mid-May but the downs have been on the road where he has a 7.33 ERA compared to a 1.80 ERA at home. 10* (924) Minnesota Twins

06-21-26 Angels +113 v. A's Top 9-7 Win 113 7 h 5 m Show

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. The Angels bounced back from their colossal collapse on Friday with a 7-0 win last night and we will ride that momentum again in a significant pitching advantage at another underdog price. Reid Detmers is not priced the same as Walbert Urena was last night but is still an underdog which he should not be as he has continued to roll along in a breakout season. He has a 3.68 ERA which is solid enough but is pitching to a 2.78 xERA which is No. 9 out of 157 starting pitchers that have gone at least 30 innings. Additionally, he has a K/9 rate of 10.23 which is No. 20 while his K:BB% of 21.4% in No 15 so he is a legitimate No. 1 starter. Jack Perkins is not as he has made three starts and has a 7.62 ERA in three starts with his xERA still a mammoth 5.11 and he comes in favored yet again. 10* (963) Los Angeles Angels

06-21-26 Guardians +123 v. Astros Top 1-2 Loss -100 5 h 19 m Show

This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. The Guardians now have a one game lead over the White Sox in the American League Central following their 8-1 win last night and they again underdogs which again makes no sense with the only explanation being the Astros name is still a public play. Cleveland is three games over .500 on the road and following a dominating effort from Joey Cantillo on Saturday, it hopes to get a replication from Slade Cecconi. He has been outstanding since early May as he has a 2.95 ERA over his last nine starts, allowing no more than three runs in any start and giving up just three total home runs. Kai-Wei Teng opened in the bullpen where he was effective with a 2.35 ERA but in eight starts, his ERA sits at 5.77 to go along with a 5.41 xERA yet continues to be priced like a top line starter. 10* (961) Cleveland Guardians

06-21-26 Cardinals v. Royals +112 Top 12-10 Loss -100 5 h 9 m Show

This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. Kansas City and St. Louis had a rare Saturday off day and they conclude the series with the Royals having a chance to pull off the sweep. They are two games under .500 at home and come in as the underdog again in what is a good spot for Stephen Kolek. He has posted a 2.86 ERA over his eight starts this season and that is with two poor outings which were on the road and he brings in a 1.32 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in four home starts. We played against Dustin May in his last start and all he did was put up one of the best starts this entire season as he allowed just one hit and one walk in a complete game shutout against the Padres. He has been on a great run after allowing 13 runs in his first two starts as he has a 2.54 ERA in his last 12 outings. This is now the sell high spot following that performance against San Diego. 10* (972) Kansas City Royals

06-20-26 Orioles +225 v. Dodgers Top 3-2 Win 225 11 h 13 m Show

This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES as part of our MLB Late Double Play. It might be better to be lucky than good although the Dodgers do possess both traits yet the former has been on their side of late with four straight one run wins, the latest coming last night in a three-run walk off ninth inning and now they come in as massive favorites. This is the biggest possible contrarian play of the night in a buy low/sell high spot with one part going against Yoshinobu Yamamoto who came close to pitching a no hitter last time out and even flirted with a perfect game for seven innings. This will be the most popular runline play tonight. Trevor Rogers has a magical yet abbreviated 2025 season as he posted a 1.81 ERA in 18 starts but has struggled with consistency this season. He has a 5.86 ERA in 13 starts this season but he is trending the right way as he has a 3.12 ERA over his last three starts and the contrarian aspect here is that Baltimore is 1-9 in his last 10 starts. 10* (925) Baltimore Orioles

06-20-26 Angels +154 v. A's Top 7-0 Win 154 11 h 16 m Show

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS as part of our MLB Late Double Play. The Angels had a complete meltdown last night as they blew an 11-4 lead to lose 12-11 in extra innings and that is going to defer the public from backing this team again tonight but the number and matchup is right. The struggles continued on the road but this is one of the spots to take them as Walbert Urena has been outstanding since entering the rotation as he has a 2.67 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 11 starts which includes a 2.12 ERA over his last nine outings. He has elite stuff when his command is in check which it was in his last start in Arizona. The Athletics have won the first two games of this series with solid pitching in the first and the bats last night J.T. Ginn has had a big impact on the starting rotation as he has a 2.69 ERA in 13 starts but most of his success has been on the road as he has struggled in Sacramento and Las Vegas with a 3.93 ERA and 1.58 WHIP. 10* (913) Los Angeles Angels

06-20-26 Giants +125 v. Marlins Top 3-6 Loss -100 7 h 37 m Show

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS as part of our MLB Early Double Play. Miami took the opener of this series 4-3 last night thanks to a two-run seventh inning to make it two straight wins for the Marlins who have the best record in June of any team in baseball. They are right back at .500 for the season and send Max Meyer to the hill who has been excellent as he has yet to lose by going 7-0 in his 15 starts with a 2.75 ERA and 1.12 WHIP so now is the time to sell high at this price. The Giants have been trending the other way but are in a good matchup the other way. Trevor McDonald is making his sixth start of the season and his last game was a below average start and overall he has allowed three runs or less in six of his eight outings including three quality starts. He does not walk anyone and prevents the longball thanks to an elite 58.2% ground ball rate which is No. 1 in baseball among 139 starters that have tossed at least 40 innings. 10* (903) San Francisco Giants

06-20-26 Reds +187 v. Yankees Top 10-2 Win 187 4 h 57 m Show

This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Early Double Play. The Yankees bounced back from a loss to the White Sox with a 5-0 shutout last night behind a dominant performance from Cam Schlittler to remain three games ahead of the Rays in the American League East. He and Gerrit Cole are going to provide that strong top end rotation ability but after that is it still an unknown and while Will Warren has been solid with a 3.34 ERA, he does not possess the top end elite stuff. He will be popular yet again because it’s the Yankees and the fact that they are 12-2 in his 14 starts but this is where it turns. The Reds are struggling at the plate with just one run scored the last two games as they could not solve Nolan McLean on Wednesday and they will be hoping Andrew Abbott can keep his resurgence going. He posted a 6.59 ERA over his first six starts but in nine outings since then, he has a 2.47 ERA, allowing three runs or less in all. 10* (917) Cincinnati Reds

06-19-26 Angels +147 v. A's Top 11-12 Loss -100 13 h 15 m Show

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The Angels were shut out last night 5-0 to open this series and they have lost four of their last five games with only seven runs scored in those four losses. They have not been great on the road but are just 4.5 games worse than what the Athletics are at home and this is a great buy low spot. Jose Soriano was originally supposed to start Thursday's series opener before he was scratched to get an extra day off after he was struck by a comebacker in his last start Saturday. He got off to one of the best starts of any pitcher in April but has regressed with a 4.74 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in his last nine starts but he did toss five scoreless against the Rays on Saturday. The Athletics snapped a two-game skid with the win last night and are just 17-21 at home and are overpriced with Jeffrey Springs. We were high on this guy early on and he was lights out but he has gone the wrong way as he has a 6.79 ERA over his last 11 outings with the Athletics going 2-9. 10* (961) Los Angeles Angels

06-19-26 Brewers v. Braves +170 Top 2-3 Win 170 11 h 58 m Show

This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. This is the ultimate contrarian play in a few ways with the first reason obviously going against the hottest starting pitcher in baseball. This number opened much lower but was hit hard Thursday night which has created additional value on the Braves which have lost three straight and six of seven games and the postponement yesterday was a good thing. They remain home where they are 22-13 and they send Martin Perez to the hill who got an extra day with the rainout and he has been a welcome addition to this rotation as he has a 2.90 ERA and 1.05 WHIP overall and has been lights out at home with a 1.67 ERA and 0.93 WHIP across 27 innings. Jacob Misiorowski is coming off a dominant complete game shutout while striking out 15 and he has now gone three straight starts without allowing a run. He has gone 29.1 consecutive scoreless innings on the road and with the popular play being the Brewers moneyline, we go exact opposite. 10* (954) Atlanta Braves

06-19-26 Nationals +116 v. Rays Top 2-5 Loss -100 11 h 45 m Show

This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. Tampa Bay is coming off a frustrating sweep at the Dodgers with all three losses coming by one run and while we had the Rays in the final two games, we did so because of value which is no longer the case as they head home. After an incredible run that went through the first week of May to go 25-12, the Rays have come back down to earth with a 16-18 record over their last 34 games. Griffin Jax has not allowed a run over his last two starts and he has been great since entering the rotation after 11 relief appearances as he has a 2.57 ERA in nine starts but is pitching to a 4.47 xERA and overall he has struggled at home with a 4.86 ERA. Washington is coming off an off day after having a four-game winning streak snapped on Wednesday to conclude a 4-2 homestand and the Nationals hit the road where they are 23-14. Cade Cavalli has allowed three runs or less in 13 of 15 starts including 10 of his last 11 where he has posted a 3.81 ERA. 10* (969) Washington Nationals 

06-18-26 White Sox +139 v. Yankees Top 5-1 Win 139 10 h 52 m Show

This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Late Double Play. The Yankees have won the first two games of this series in easy fashion, outscoring the White Sox 22-7 and they have now increased their lead in the American League East to 3.5 games over Tampa Bay. Ryan Weathers had been mostly solid early on in the season as he posted a 3.00 ERA in his first eight starts but has allowed five runs in four of his last five starts for a 6.44 ERA over 29.1 innings. His big issue of late and for the season overall is he has allowed 15 home runs in his 13 starts and of the 119 pitchers that have gone at least 50 innings, his 1.82 HR/9 is No. 107. The White Sox remain tied with Cleveland in the American League Central as both have dropped two straight games. Sean Burke is coming off a rough start against the Dodgers as he allowed four runs in four innings and in his 14 games this season, he has allowed four runs or more only four times and all of those were at home and he hits the road where he has a 3.60 ERA. 10* (911) Chicago White Sox

06-18-26 Mets +111 v. Phillies Top 6-4 Win 111 10 h 31 m Show

This is a play on the NEW YORK METS as part of our MLB Late Double Play. The Mets were able to salvage a game in Cincinnati with a 9-1 win on Wednesday and they remain on the road to open this three-game series with a rare off day on Friday. It has obviously been a disappointment and over the last 10 games, they are 5-5, scoring 36 runs in the five wins while scoring six runs in the five losses and they can find the former tonight. Sean Manaea will be making his second start although he has been following an opener in most games so he does have the inning and pitch count. He has improved over the past month as he has a 3.00 ERA in three June outings while allowing two earned runs or fewer in eight straight appearances for a 3.33 ERA covering 27 innings. We played against the Phillies yesterday and will do so again with the bottom of their rotation before the top three continue again. After closing May on a positive note, Aaron Nola has a 6.43 ERA so far in June and brings in a 6.21 ERA in six home starts. 10* (901) New York Mets

06-18-26 Guardians +135 v. Brewers Top 4-2 Win 135 5 h 22 m Show

This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS for our MLB Afternoon Dominator. Cleveland lost for us last night and has dropped the first two games of this series and look to salvage a game before heading to Houston and improve to three games over .500 on the road. The Guardians were fortunate to catch the bottom of the rotation but have not taken advantage and they hope to change that today. They are catching a big number with Parker Messick who is having an outstanding season with a 2.68 ERA and 1.08 WHIP and has allowed more than two runs only four times in 14 starts and has posted a 2.38 ERA in six road outings. The Brewers, winners of three straight, counter with Shane Drohan who made one bad start, was sent down and recalled two weeks later and had only been coming out of the bullpen but has made three starts since, which have been decent enough to keep him in the rotation but nothing special. He has received 36 runs of support in these three starts and this pace will not continue. 10* (915) Cleveland Guardians

06-17-26 Orioles +128 v. Mariners Top 5-3 Win 128 13 h 32 m Show

This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES as part of our MLB Late Double Play. Baltimore has now lost three straight games as the offense has managed only six runs and it had no answer for Logan Gilbert last night who struck out 10 and the Orioles are catching a similar number tonight. Kyle Bradish was rolling along with a 1.72 ERA in five starts but he has allowed 10 runs over his last two games but we expect a bounce back here in what is a revenge spot after facing Seattle at home. While the Orioles have struggled at the plate, the Mariners have not been much better, scoring seven runs over their last three games. We played against Gilbert and his reverse splits last night and he was outstanding and we will go a similar route with George Kirby who started strong at home but has regressed. Over his last three home starts, he has an 8.40 ERA, allowing 14 runs in 15 innings. Overall, he has a 4.56 ERA at home with the Mariners going 4-4 in his eight outings. 10* (967) Baltimore Orioles

06-17-26 Guardians +111 v. Brewers Top 4-9 Loss -100 10 h 28 m Show

This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS as part of our MLB Late Double Play. After a Sunday rainout and a Monday off day, the Guardians bats were cold as they managed only one run on four hits and while they only allowed four hits as well, two of those were home runs which was the difference. Gavin Williams continues to deal as he has recovered from a rough stretch, posting a 2.59 ERA over his last five starts and overall, he has a 3.32 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 14 outings. Milwaukee has won three of four games to open this homestand to maintain its 4.5-game lead over the Cardinals in the National League Central. The Brewers have allowed just one run total in the three wins and turn to Brandon Sproat who has allowed three runs or less in six of his last seven starts but he has gone only six innings once and his ERA over this stretch is 4.86. Overall he has struggled but especially at home where he has a 6.94 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in five starts. 10* (975) Cleveland Guardians

06-17-26 Rays +161 v. Dodgers Top 4-5 Loss -100 7 h 22 m Show

This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS as part of our MLB Early Double Play. We lost a tough one with Tampa Bay last night as the Rays managed only three hits with the lone Los Angeles run coming on a Shohei Ohtani home run. The road has not been as kind as playing at home but Tampa Bay is in another great buy low spot with Shane McClanahan. He opened the season with three starts of allowing two earned runs in each and since then, it has been domination or average as he has allowed four earned runs in four of ten starts but he has given up only one earned run in the other six outings. The Dodgers have now tossed 15 consecutive scoreless innings and they are expected to continue that streak today but we can also get a sell high situation. The Dodgers are 6-5 in his last 11 starts but are down money because of being huge favorites as they are -4.9 units and while this is one of the shorter numbers he has laid, it is still substantial. 10* (971) Tampa Bay Rays

06-17-26 Marlins +101 v. Phillies Top 12-4 Win 101 5 h 21 m Show

This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS as part of our MLB Early Double Play. Miami has not been competitive in the first two games of this series, losing by a combined 15-2 and the Marlins will look to salvage the series finale with the best pitching matchup of the three games. Sandy Alcantara has been really good or really bad this season as he has allowed three runs or less in 11 of his 15 starts including two runs or fewer seven times while giving up a total of 28 earned runs in his other four outings. That included 14 runs in two starts prior to tossing three straight quality outings with a 2.86 ERA since then. The Phillies offense did it early and often last night and they are likely going to need another outburst today. Andrew Painter looked like he was turning a corner but regressed again and now has a 6.62 ERA over 53 innings in his 11 starts not counting two bulk reliefs games so it is a disaster and the Phillies have lost nine of his last 10 starts. 10* (953) Miami Marlins

06-16-26 Rays +133 v. Dodgers Top 0-1 Loss -100 14 h 32 m Show

This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS as part of our MLB Tuesday Grand Slam. After dropping two of three against the Angels to open this roadtrip, the Rays lost the series opener last night as two pitches contributed to a pair of home runs and all four runs for the Dodgers. The road has not been as kind as playing at home but Tampa Bay is in a great buy low spot with Drew Rasmussen who ended May with a poor start but he tossed 14 shutout innings in his first two starts in June while allowing only three total hits. In seven road starts he has a 2.56 ERA and 0.80 WHIP which includes a 1.80 ERA and 0.72 WHIP in his last four. The Dodgers are now 4-4 over their last eight games after finishing last night with shutout innings from the pitchers and are hoping Justin Wrobleski can keep it going but he has been inconsistent of late. After posting a 0.56 ERA through his first five starts, he has a 4.58 ERA over his last six outings. 10* (929) Tampa Bay Rays

06-16-26 Orioles +137 v. Mariners Top 1-3 Loss -100 13 h 5 m Show

This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES as part of our MLB Tuesday Grand Slam. Seattle put together an eight-game winning streak less than three weeks ago but it has been below average in all other parts of the season. The Mariners are three games over .500 at home and are a big favorite again with Logan Gilbert on the hill. He closed May by not allowing a run in two straight starts but those were on the road where he has a 1.04 ERA compared to a 5.60 ERA in eight home starts. The former does include a quality outing in Baltimore in his last start but now gets the Orioles at home. Baltimore dropped the final two games with the Padres to conclude a 3-4 homestand and now it is on the road where it has not been good but opens with Brandon Young who has been on a roll. He posted a 4.35 ERA in his first four starts and has a 2.27 ERA over his last six outings including seven shutout innings against Seattle last week. 10* (919) Baltimore Orioles 

06-16-26 Tigers +147 v. Astros Top 2-4 Loss -100 12 h 36 m Show

This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS as part of our MLB Tuesday Grand Slam. We will back Detroit again after winning the series opener last night as it ended up being a bullpen game after a late Troy Melton scratch as we basically were fading Kai-Wei Teng who got roughed up. The Astros ace takes the hill today but it is a fade situation at this price. Hunter Brown, who hasn't pitched for the Astros since March 31 due to a Grade 2 shoulder strain, will return to the rotation Tuesday and we are going to treat this similar to the Tarik Skubal situation from Sunday. Brown did make four rehab starts but he pitched only 14.1 innings so he is far from being fully stretched out and Houston is not going to be taking any chances early in his return. Framber Valdez will have some extra juice facing his former team for the first time. He has fared better on the road this season and loves pitching at Daikin Park with a career 3.13 ERA. 10* (917) Detroit Tigers

06-16-26 Marlins +161 v. Phillies Top 2-8 Loss -100 10 h 10 m Show

This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS as part of our MLB Tuesday Grand Slam. Miami got handcuffed by Zack Wheeler who struck out nine and the Marlins managed only five hits to make it two losses in five games. Tyler Phillips has split time as a starter and bulk reliever and in eight games here has gone at least three innings, he has a 1.78 ERA over 30.1 innings. The Phillies offense has been hit or miss as it is 3-3 in its last six games, scoring 23 runs in the three wins and two runs in the three losses. Jesus Luzardo is coming off a solid start against Toronto on the road as he bounced back from a poor effort against the White Sox which added to his reverse splits. He has made seven starts at home and while two of those were quality outings, the other five have been trash that had led to a 7.34 ERA compared to a 1.55 ERA in seven road starts. He also had reverse splits last season so Citizens Bank Park has not been kind. 10* (901) Miami Marlins

06-15-26 Angels +115 v. Diamondbacks Top 3-4 Loss -100 13 h 1 m Show

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS as part of our MLB Monday Triple Play. The Angels are coming off a 4-2 homestand as they took both series against the Astros and Rays and despite the below average season, they are just 7.5 games out of first place in the American League West. The struggles have come on the road and this is one of the spots to take them as Walbert Urena has been outstanding since entering the rotation as he has a 2.52 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 10 starts which includes a 1.79 ERA over his last eight outings. He has elite stuff when his command is in check. Arizona is coming off a disappointing 2-4 roadtrip but are back home where the Diamondbacks are seven games over .500 but are overvalued with Ryne Nelson on the mound. He had a solid breakout last year with a 3.39 ERA in 154 innings but he has regressed this season with a 5.19 ERA in 14 starts across 76.3 innings. A lot of the struggles are due to allowing 17 home runs, the same amount as the last two seasons despite over 75 fewer innings. 10* (965) Los Angeles Angels

06-15-26 Tigers +115 v. Astros Top 9-3 Push 0 12 h 32 m Show

This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS as part of our MLB Monday Triple Play. Detroit got rained out on Sunday following a Saturday loss with Tarik Skubal on the hill who was shaky in his return and the Tigers dropped both games in Cleveland to fall to 11-26 on the road and this is where the value comes in. Troy Melton has made a fairly seamless into the starting rotation after opening the season on the 60-day IL and after four really solid rehab outings, in four starts with the Tigers he is 3-0 with a 2.81 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP across 25.2 innings. Houston closed its roadtrip with a shutout loss to Kansas City on Sunday to make it a 3-3 roadtrip and it has been an equally disappointing season for the Astros but they are just four games out of first place in the very weak American League West. They are three games under .500 at home, one of only five American League teams with a losing home record. Kai-Wei Teng opened in the bullpen where he was effective with a 2.35 ERA but in seven starts, his ERA sits at 4.94 and is hard to trust at this price. 10* (961) Detroit Tigers

06-15-26 Padres +130 v. Cardinals Top 0-3 Loss -100 11 h 11 m Show

This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES as part of our MLB Monday Triple Play. The Padres took the final two games in Baltimore to take that series behind stellar outings from starters Griffin Canning and Walker Buehler and they are now four games over .500 which has them in the third spot in the National League Wild Card and that will be the goal with the Dodgers already pulling away in the division. Lucas Giolito has made five starts since signing with the Padres and while he has mostly been keeping players from crossing the plate, he has been walking a lot of hitters but that should start regressing. The Cardinals continue to impress as they sit atop the Wild Card standings despite coming in having lost three of four. Dustin May was the castoff from a loaded Dodgers rotation and he has been on a great run after allowing 13 runs in his first two starts as he has a 2.89 ERA in his last 11 outings. We played him in New York against the Mets last game and tossed six shutout innings but he has not been as good at home with a 4.85 ERA. 10* (955) San Diego Padres

06-14-26 Rockies +166 v. A's Top 23-9 Win 166 6 h 25 m Show

This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. Yes we are back on the Rockies which had their chances for a second straight night but got nothing going in the late innings. They are getting a solid number with Tomoyuki Sugano who has been pretty solid, allowing three runs or less in 10 of his 13 starts with the exceptions being against the Mets, Phillies and Dodgers. He has an ERA that is a full run less on the road than it is at Coors Field. Jeffrey Springs had a great start to the season has regressed considerable as he has allowed fewer than four runs in only four of his last 10 starts and the Athletics have lost eight of his last 10 outings. 10* (929) Colorado Rockies

06-14-26 Padres +120 v. Orioles Top 5-2 Win 120 5 h 55 m Show

This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. San Diego took Game Two with a 9-3 win last night and the Padres have been skidding along with a 4-9 record over their last 13 games and could use a good end to this series before six more upcoming road games. Walker Buehler had an inconsistent start to the season but has progressed by allowing three runs or less in six straight starts including two runs or less in five of those. He has allowed three runs over 11 innings in last two road starts. Trev Rogers has looked better over his last two starts but has been nowhere near what he was last season and cannot be trusted at this price. 10* (921) San Diego Padres

06-13-26 Rockies +157 v. A's Top 5-7 Loss -100 12 h 6 m Show

This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Late Double Play. The Rockies had a 4-2 lead last night but the bullpen did them in as they allowed four runs over the last three innings in the eventual 6-4 loss which was their second straight. The road has not been good but this is actually another good matchup against a team with little continuity right now. Kyle Freeland is coming off a good start against the Brewers and while it has been a tough season, he comes in with confidence and should have plenty of offense behind him. Jeffrey Springs was slated to start tonight but got pushed to Sunday and Joey Estes will make his season debut after getting recalled from Las Vegas. This might be considered an advantage as this was his home ballpark while with Vegas but this is not the case as he has the familiarity but struggled with an 8.32 ERA across 32 innings and he brings in a career 5.51 ERA in 28  starts for the Athletics and he is being overpriced tonight. 10* (979) Colorado Rockies

06-13-26 Phillies +128 v. Brewers Top 9-8 Win 128 9 h 15 m Show

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES as part of our MLB Late Double Play. The Phillies had no answer for Jacob Misiorowski last night who tossed a complete game shutout while striking out 15. Philadelphia is now 2-2 on this roadtrip and three games over .500 on the road overall and they send out veteran Aaron Nola to get them back in the win column before sending out Cristopher Sanchez in the finale. Nola looked to have turned a corner with a pair of solid outings before getting hit hard by the White Sox at home last time out. He has been better on the road with two of his last three starts being quality. The Brewers counter with Shane Drohan who made one bad start, was sent down and recalled two weeks later and had only been coming out of the bullpen but has made two starts, both of which were decent enough to keep him in the rotation. He benefited from having 16 runs scored behind him in his first home start and he has a tougher matchup tonight. 10* (957) Philadelphia Phillies

06-13-26 Diamondbacks v. Reds +123 Top 1-2 Win 123 6 h 29 m Show

This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Early Double Play. The Reds are struggling as they have fallen into last place in the National League Central following a 1-7 stretch over their last eight games. They are underdogs today in what is a good buy low spot. Rhett Lowder is back in the rotation following a shaky first start after missing a month with a shoulder issue as he went just three innings and while he only allowed one hit and no runs, he walked five. We can attribute that to rust as he had only one rehab outing and now he is back home for his first start since April 26th and he has been much better here as he has a 3.78 ERA and 1.08 WHIP compared to a 5.84 ERA and 1.70 WHIP on the road and faces the inconsistent Arizona offense. Arizona got the win after a pair of games of not scoring a run and it turns to Michael Soroka continues to be reliable but is back on the road where he has a 5.40 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in five highway outings. 10* (956) Cincinnati Reds

06-13-26 Tigers v. Guardians +137 Top 1-3 Win 137 6 h 25 m Show

This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS as part of our MLB Early Double Play. Detroit is now 12 games under .500 and the Tigers will send out their biggest trade commodity to showcase although today will not be a normal start. Tarik Skubal is making his much anticipated return after surgery to remove fragments from his elbow and he comes in at a number like he has not missed a day. He is not going to be thrown out like he is 100 percent and has been on regular pitch rest as he has missed six weeks and had only one rehab start and while he did not allow a run over five innings, it was at the high-A level and he threw only 54 pitched so he will be limited here as the health is most important. The Guardians snapped a four-game slide with the 3-2 win last night and Joey Cantillo looks to build off of that. He is coming off an awful start in Texas where he allowed seven runs in five innings but he is back home where he has been better and has an ideal matchup against a poor offense. 10* (964) Cleveland Guardians

06-12-26 Dodgers v. White Sox +131 Top 2-8 Win 131 11 h 29 m Show

This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. We were on the White Sox last night but they got rained out and we will back them in the same situation, playing another elite team at a buy low price. They are playing with confidence following another win over the best team in the league and the victory on Wednesday improved their record to 22-11 at home which is now tied for the second best home record in baseball. Anthony Kay has been sneaky good with the exception of two bad road starts at Arizona and Philadelphia which has inflated his ERA and xERA. Take those out and he has a 2.68 ERA over his other 53.2 innings and he is back home following one of those bad starts against the Phillies and can turn to his 1.64 ERA in his last four home outings. The Dodgers got away with one last night as we faded them and will do so again as an overpriced road favorite with Roki Sasaki who has turned it around but not on the road where he has a 4.88 ERA. 10* (926) Chicago White Sox

06-12-26 Rangers +118 v. Red Sox Top 1-10 Loss -100 11 h 6 m Show

This is a play on the TEXAS RANGERS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The Red Sox are back home following a 1-4 roadtrip including losses in the last four games but coming home is not necessarily a good thing as they are 10-21, one of only nine teams in baseball with a losing record at home and the worst of them all. If there is good news for tonight, it is the fact that Sonny Gray has accounted for four of those 10 wins, three on his docket and a no-decision but this is not the team to trust night now and Gray is pitching to a 4.56 xERA. The Rangers took the final two games in Kansas City to get back to .500 and they are now just one game behind Seattle for first place in the American League West. They are below .500 on the road but have won two straight road series. Jack Leiter has been tough to get a consistent read on but his xERA is identical to that of Gray and has a great matchup against an awful offense near the bottom in slugging percentage, OBP and wOBA. 10* (911) Texas Rangers

06-12-26 Padres +127 v. Orioles Top 3-7 Loss -100 11 h 55 m Show

This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. San Diego has won three of five games following a five-game losing streak and the Padres come in a respectable 16-13 on the road. Griffin Canning had a couple bad starts in early May but has settled down and has allowed three runs or less in each of his last four outings. Overall, he has a 6.34 ERA but is pitching to a 4.46 xERA and his variance of +1.88 xERA to ERA is the biggest on the Friday card and we can take advantage of that especially when the opposing pitcher is in the negative. Baltimore took the final two games against the Mariners to snap a four-game slide to get back to four games under .500. They are four games over .500 at home and with the emergence of Shane Ba, the Orioles come in as overpriced favorites. He has also turned his season around after a horrific start but the Orioles are not winning for him, going 4-9 in his 13 starts yet is laying his biggest number since his opening start. 10* (923) San Diego Padres

06-11-26 Dodgers v. Pirates +150 Top 8-6 Loss -100 11 h 39 m Show

This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Late Double Play. The Pirates staged a huge comeback last night as they rallied from a 6-1 deficit for a 9-8 win and that is the type of momentum to ride into the next game. The win snapped a four-game losing streak for Pittsburgh which is now two games over .500 which has it a half-game out of the loaded National League Wild Card race. Mitch Keller has been a trainwreck since an awesome start to the season as he has an 8.31 ERA over his last five starts after opening with a 2.87 ERA through his first eight outings and while the matchup is not ideal, all it takes is getting his command back on track as he has allowed only five home runs this season. The Dodgers remain in control in the National League West but despite being 18 games over .500, they are minus money. Justin Wrobleski has come out of nowhere to be a force in this rotation but this is a sell high spot after two straight quality starts. 10* (958) Pittsburgh Pirates

06-10-26 Braves v. White Sox +138 Top 1-2 Win 138 12 h 54 m Show

This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. This is the ideal buy low/sell high. The White Sox have been fairly average of late as prior to the extra inning win last night, they had lost four of six games but those were all on the road and the victory on Tuesday improved their record to 21-11 at home which is the third best record in baseball. People are still sleeping on Davis Martin and will probably be a fade to many based on who he is going against and the fact he is coming off his worst start of the season. That was on the road and he is back home where has a 1.21 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in five starts, allowing no more than one run in all five. The Braves had their three-game winning streak snapped and turn to Chris Sale who we faded in his last start against Toronto and while the White Sox do strike out more than the Blue Jays they are excellent against lefties with a 22.3% K%. Sale’s ERA is two runs higher on the road than at home. 10* (928) Chicago White Sox

06-10-26 Cardinals +121 v. Mets Top 9-2 Win 121 12 h 30 m Show

This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. We faded the Mets last night and will do so again as they are overpriced with an offense that is No. 28 or worse in Batting Average, Slugging Percentage, OBP, OPS and wOBA. The pitching was keeping them afloat but Freddy Peralta got shelled last night and Christian Scott was the scheduled starter but got pushed back a day and Austin Warren gets the call in what will be a bullpen game which can be an advantage with the opposing team not knowing what is coming but the St. Louis offense has been humming. The Cardinals are coming off a 7-0 shutout win last night and are now 4.5 games behind the Brewers in the National League Central following their fifth straight win and the Cardinals are 17-12 on the road. Andre Pallente is coming off a solid start at home and he hits the road where he has been great with a 2.67 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in five starts, allowing no more than three runs in any of those. 10* (909) St. Louis Cardinals

06-10-26 Twins +152 v. Tigers Top 6-4 Win 152 11 h 55 m Show

This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. The Tigers have started to put things together as they have won six of their last seven games but it could be too little too late and they have no business laying a number like this. The Twins have lost three straight and five of six and Mike Paredes will be making his first start after two long relief appearances in what is expected to be a bullpen game. He was recalled at the end of last month after Bailey Ober went on the IL and there is plenty of optimism after he logged an impressive 11–0 record with a 2.38 ERA during the 2025 season in the system and while his ERA sits at 4.91, he has a 1.09 AHIP and is pitching to a 2.89 xERA and reaching 4-5 innings tonight is a possibility. Framber Valdez is coming off a decent start but lasted only five innings and it has been a rough season as he has a 4.21 ERA overall including 5.40 over his last six outings with three of those at home, posting an 8.31 ERA. 10* (919) Minnesota Twins

06-09-26 Rangers v. Royals +108 Top 3-5 Win 108 10 h 60 m Show

This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Tuesday Grand Slam. Kansas City is coming off a 5-5 roadtrip where it won four of the last five games and remains 12 games under .500 in what has been a huge disappointment to the start of the season. Most of the damage has been on the road and they are back home with Stephan Kolek who has posted four quality outings in his first six starts since coming back from an early oblique injury and is also back from a few days away for a family emergency list. Four of his last five starts have been on the road with the lone home start resulting in a complete game shutout against Seattle. Texas is just two games out of first place in the American League West despite being a game under .500 and they are back on the road where they are 15-19 and an overpriced road favorite. Nathan Eovaldi had a solid four-game run but has allowed nine runs in his last two starts and he has given up 14 home runs in 12 starts. 10* (972) Kansas City Royals

06-09-26 Cardinals +114 v. Mets Top 7-0 Win 114 10 h 34 m Show

This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS as part of our MLB Tuesday Grand Slam. The Mets are coming off a 3-3 roadtrip with the pitching being the difference and going back they have allowed three runs or less in eight of their last 10 games, going 7-3 over this stretch. Acquired ace Freddy Peralta takes the hill and he has been decent with his 3.63 ERA which is right on pace with his numbers from 2022, 2023 and 2024 but not similar to his career best 2.70 ERA last season. He has been outstanding on the road but brings in a 4.19 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in eight home starts. St. Louis remains 5.5 games behind the Brewers in the National League Central as it has kept pace with both teams winning four straight games and the Cardinals are back on the road at a respectable 16-12. Dustin May was the castoff from a loaded Dodgers rotation and he has been on a great run after allowing 13 runs in his first two starts as he has a 3.19 ERA in his last 10 outings. 10* (955) St. Louis Cardinals

06-09-26 Phillies v. Blue Jays -105 Top 2-3 Win 100 9 h 26 m Show

This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS as part of our MLB Tuesday Grand Slam. The Blue Jays had the unfortunate luck of having to face Cristopher Sanchez in this series opener although Patrick Corbin did them no favors in a poor three-inning performance and the disappointing season continues. They are still four games over .500 at home and welcome the return of Dylan Cease who missed over two weeks with a hamstring injury. He has been dominant with the exception of a bad start in New York against the Yankees and in six home starts he has 2.34 ERA and 1.12 WHIP. Philadelphia has also been a disappointment but it has definitely gained momentum after a very slow start and a manager change and is currently on a 6-1 run to get right back into the thick of the National League Wild Card run. Zack Wheeler will pose a challenge as he has a 2.31 ERA through eight starts and is coming off his third quality start at home and is back on the road after allowing four home runs in Los Angeles. 10* (976) Toronto Blue Jays

06-09-26 Yankees v. Guardians +122 Top 3-2 Loss -100 9 h 0 m Show

This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS as part of our MLB Tuesday Grand Slam. The Yankees evened the season series with the Guardians with an extra-inning win last night and they remain tied with the Rays for first place in the American League East. Gerrit Cole will be making his fourth start after his return and after tossing 12.2 shutout innings in his first two starts, he allowed four runs in 5.1 innings in his last start which happened to come against the Guardians at home and he is now priced pretty similar on the road. It has been a rough go for Cleveland which has lost six of its last nine games but remains in first place in the American League Central and has a good number here in a rematch with Gerrit Cole who they got to just six days ago. Slade Cecconi got off to a rough start with a 5.60 ERA through his first seven starts but he has settled in and has posted a 3.09 ERA over his last six starts which included a tough luck 2-1 quality start loss in his last game in New York. 10* (968) Cleveland Guardians

06-08-26 Brewers v. A's +145 Top 15-14 Loss -100 13 h 7 m Show

This is a play on the ATHLETICS as part of our MLB Monday Grand Slam. Milwaukee is coming off a sweep in Colorado which is not a surprise but we were against the Brewers yesterday as they were being held in check until the Rockies bullpen gave up seven runs in the sixth inning. They come in as heavy favorites again with Kyle Harrison on the hill and season is a mystery as he has had a limited career prior to this season but he has been one of the best pitchers in baseball. He has a 1.57 ERA through 11 starts as he has not allowed more than two runs in any outing but this pace is not sustainable with an xERA of 3.06. Jeffrey Springs has been mostly solid as his 4.37 ERA is skewed by one bad start early in the season against the White Sox and take that away, his ERA drops to 3.74 in his other 12 starts, eight of which he has allowed two runs or fewer. Additionally, that was at home where he has made seven starts and his ERA in 3.16 in the other six outings. 10* (916) Athletics

06-08-26 Nationals +143 v. Giants Top 4-3 Win 143 13 h 50 m Show

This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Monday Grand Slam. The Nationals took two of three in Arizona to get back to .500 overall and they are now 21-13 on the road which is third best in baseball behind the Braves and Dodgers. Can we trust Miles Mikolas? The short answer looking at the top line would be no but digging deeper shows he has been effective for the most part given the fact he has been used as a starter and as a bulk reliever following an opener. He has made six true starts with an ERA of 8.28 but that is due to one horrific outing in his second start against the Dodgers and take that out, and that ERA drops to 4.32. The Giants won two of three at Chicago against the Cubs but are still 12 games under .500 and are being priced like a first place team because of Logan Webb who has looked solid since coming off the IL but brings in a 6.26 ERA at home and faces a very underrated offense that in No. 4 in OPS and No. 6 in wOBA. 10* (903) Washington Nationals

06-08-26 Reds +123 v. Padres Top 2-6 Loss -100 13 h 56 m Show

This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Monday Grand Slam. The Padres are a flawed team, ranking up there with the Mets, Red Sox and Blue Jays, having one of the highest payrolls with little to show and in a tailspin. They just lost their weekend series against the aforementioned Mets as they managed six runs the entire series and on their current 2-11 run, they have averaged 2.9 rpg. San Diego now faces a lefty and it is No. 27 or worse in all four major hitting categories against lefties including dead last in OBP and wOBA. Andrew Abbott has definitely been on a roll with a 2.25 ERA over his last seven starts to lower his overall ERA to 4.06 after a very rough start. He has made six road starts and has a 2.81 ERA. The Reds have dropped four straight and face Walker Buehler who has also been pitching better after a few rough starts but we can sell high here as he is laying his biggest number of the season against a team not named Colorado. 10* (901) Cincinnati Reds

06-08-26 Red Sox v. Rays +110 Top 1-3 Win 110 10 h 44 m Show

This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS as part of our MLB Monday Grand Slam. Tampa Bay lost two of three in Miami over the weekend and now it goes from road favorite in all of those to a slight home underdog where the Rays are 21-9. Ian Seymour will be the opener and will likely pitch one or two innings before turning things over to Mason Englert, the latter of whom was recalled by the Rays on Wednesday. This is his second start of the season after going two innings against Miami last month and as far as Englert, his last outing was his call up date June 3rd and went five innings while allowing just one run on four hits and no walks. Boston split with the Yankees sandwiched around a Saturday rainout and the Red Sox turn to Connelly Early who is having a solid season with a 3.26 ERA through 12 starts and he has had more success on the road but he is overpriced against a much better team overall and he is pitching to a 4.63 xERA so regression is on the way. 10* (910) Tampa Bay Rays

06-07-26 Brewers v. Rockies +170 Top 12-4 Loss -100 7 h 23 m Show

This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. This is one of our top spots to play the Rockies in a series finale after losing the first two or three games which Colorado has done. They have dropped the first two in this series and three straight overall following a 4-1 run and they catch a break today after having to face Jacob Misiorowski on Saturday. Shane Drohan pitched decent in a spot start on Monday as he allowed two runs over four innings while throwing 68 pitches. He had been coming out of the bullpen so his pitch count was limited and he has made only four appearances on the road and this will be his first game at Coors Field which can be daunting for a newcomer. Another reason the Rockies are such big dogs is because of Kyle Freeland who has been lit up in five of his last six starts. His days have to be getting numbered but he is on an equal plane with Drohan with their xERA and xFIP. 10* (956) Colorado Rockies

06-07-26 Reds +123 v. Cardinals Top 3-5 Loss -100 7 h 32 m Show

This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. The Cardinals have won three straight games including the first two in this series following a 6-5 win on Saturday on a two-run home run in the bottom of the eighth inning. They are trying to keep pace with the Brewers in the National League Central and send Michael McGreevy to the hill who has been on a solid run. He has allowed three runs or less in six of his last seven starts and 10 of his 12 starts on the season to post a 2.98 ERA but the metrics tell a different story as he is pitching to a 5.67 xERA. The Red conversely have dropped three straight games to fall a game under .500 and sit in last place in the division. Rhett Lowder got rolled by the Pirates two starts back and then left the following start with a shoulder issue before landing on the IL. He looked good with his rehab assignments and his xERA is over a half-run lower than McGreevy. 10* (953) Cincinnati Reds

06-07-26 Rays v. Marlins +103 Top 1-4 Win 103 6 h 52 m Show

This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. Miami bounced back with a 4-3 win last night after getting shut out 6-0 on Friday to make it four wins in five games. Sandy Alcantara has been really good or really bad this season as he has allowed three runs or less in nine of his 13 starts including two runs or fewer six times while giving up a total of 28 earned runs in his other four outings. That included 14 runs in two starts prior to tossing a quality outing against Washington last time out. He is back home where he has a 3.94 ERA in seven starts and take out two bad ones, his ERA at home is 2.23 in those other five games. Tampa Bay has lost four of five games and are one game up on the Yankees in the American League East. Griffin Jax has now made seven starts and while he seemed to have started strong, he had short leashes and was lit up last time out. His 3.60 ERA is skewed with his 4.60 xERA. 10* (978) Miami Marlins

06-06-26 A's +107 v. Astros Top 2-13 Loss -100 7 h 9 m Show

This is a play on the ATHLETICS as part of our MLB Early Double Play. The Athletics are in a bit of a rut as they are 4-9 over their last 13 games to sit three games under .500 but have a nice bounce back spot today. We have an unfamiliar name pitching for the Athletics and it is not a bullpen game with a reliever as Kade Morris was recalled to make his Major League debut. Ranked as the No. 12 prospect in the Athletics organization, Morris is commended for his deep arsenal and command as he features a mid-90s sinker that can reach up to 97 mph, a mid-80s slider, a low-80s sweeper, and an improving curveball. Houston continues to be inconsistent as even with the win last night, the Astros are seven games under .500 and turn to Tatsuya Imai who has been inconsistent as well. He is coming off a pair of quality outings but has struggled at home with an 8.53 ERA and 1.58 WHIP and cannot be trusted as a favorite. 10* (919) Athletics 

06-06-26 White Sox +122 v. Phillies Top 6-3 Win 122 7 h 53 m Show

This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Early Double Play. The Phillies have won four straight games and eight of 10 and are being priced as a better team than they really are as they are -20 in run differential, the worst among any team with a winning record. Andrew Painter looked like he was turning a corner but regressed again and now has a 5.74 ERA over 53.1 innings so it is a large sample size disaster and the Phillies have lost eight of his last nine starts. Chicago will go with an opener today as Brandon Eisert will start and go one inning and possibly into the second and he has allowed one run in two of his four openers but those were against the Dodgers and Athletics, Sean Burke will follow and will serve as the pseudo starter in what has been a great season with a 3.72 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in basically 12 starts, with two of those following an opener and both would have resulted in quality outings. 10* (925) Chicago White Sox

06-05-26 Nationals +119 v. Diamondbacks Top 14-1 Win 119 11 h 19 m Show

This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. Washington hits the road after an off day following a sweep at the hands of the Marlins and the highway has actually kept the Nationals afloat as they are 19-12 away from home. The offense did nothing against the Marlins but they are still No. 6 in wOBA and No. 4 in Slugging Percentage and have a good matchup here against Merrill Kelly who has been pitching better after a bad start. He has a 2.36 ERA over his last five start but three of the best ones were on the road and he is back home where he has a 6.23 ERA and 1.50 WHIP and overall he is pitching to a 7.29 xERA and the -2.23 differential to his actual ERA in the highest on the entire Friday slate. Foster Griffin got off to a great start before a pair of bad outings against the Reds and Mets but has responded with a pair of solid starts against the Braves and Padres, both resulting in wins. 10* (961) Washington Nationals

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