Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-20-23 | Santa Clara v. San Jose State +2.5 | Top | 78-81 | Win | 100 | 21 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN JOSE ST. SPARTANS for our CBB Late Powerhouse. San Jose St. erased a three-game losing streak with a win over New Orleans last Saturday but lost on Sunday at home against Montana to fall back to .500 at 6-6. The Spartans have failed to cover each of their last five games but three of those were on the road and they remain home where they are 4-1 and the venue has been important thus far as the home team is 8-1 in the nine Spartans games played on campus floors. The Spartans look to keep the offense rolling as they are No. 95 in the country in shooting. Santa Clara won for us on Saturday as it defeated Washington St. on a neutral floor in Phoenix to snap a three-game losing streak and that was its third win over a Pac 12 team and we can expect a letdown here similar to the previous two games following the first two Pac 12 victories. The win over the Cougars was a revenge situation after losing to them in the NIT last season and the Broncos finally put up a solid game defensively against a Division 1 team after allowing 82 or more points in five straight games previous to that. The Broncos are 1-1 in true road games, the last one resulting in a 15-point loss at California. 10* (694) San Jose St. Spartans |
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12-20-23 | North Carolina -2.5 v. Oklahoma | Top | 81-69 | Win | 100 | 20 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS for our CBB Star Attraction. It has been a tough stretch for North Carolina having to play Connecticut and Kentucky on a neutral floor in its last two games, both resulting in losses, and now plays its third straight top ten team and fourth in its last five games. The Tar Heels have failed to cover their last three games, the one prior to the most recent two coming against Florida St. in what amounted to a lookahead spot with the Huskies on deck. Overall, they have played the No. 22 ranked schedule in the nation with this being the final test for a while. Oklahoma has surged up to No. 7 in the country after a 10-0 start but it is not close to that in the power rankings that are based on actual metrics and not opinions. The Sooners came into the season unranked and did not even start receiving votes until the third week but because they continue to keep winning, they have been able to pass many teams. Oklahoma has three good wins to its credit over Arkansas, Providence and Iowa but none of those are ranked inside the top 50 based on the power numbers and overall has played the No. 332 ranked schedule so this is by far the biggest challenge taking place in Charlotte. 10* (687) North Carolina Tar Heels |
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12-20-23 | Clippers v. Mavs +3.5 | Top | 120-111 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Clippers are on a roll as they have won eight straight games to go from two games under .500 to six games over .500 and have moved into a tie for fifth place with Dallas in the Western Conference. Not to diminish the win streak but only two of those were on the road and of their five overall road wins, two have come against 4-21 San Antonio and another against 10-17 Utah. Coincidence or note, the Clippers opened 0-5 when James Harden joined the teams but have gone 13-3 in the 16 games he has played in since then. Dallas has lost two of its last three games including a 26-point loss at Denver on Monday. It has been pretty up and down for the Mavericks which are 8-8 over their last 16 games following an 8-2 start. The average run coupled with the Clippers surge have made the Mavericks the home underdog where they are 1-1 and will likely be without Kyrie Irving for a sixth consecutive game which is also a spread factor. On the flip side, Paul George is not 100 percent and is questionable. 10* (548) Dallas Mavericks |
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12-20-23 | Northwestern v. Arizona State +4.5 | Top | 65-46 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA ST. SUN DEVILS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Arizona St. has lost two straight games including one this past Saturday in what was a good revenge spot against TCU and after taking a four-point lead into halftime, the Sun Devils collapsed, getting outscored 53-29 after the break. This is the final game prior to Pac 12 play starting but that is well over a week away and the focus will be here following back-to-back losses. This is another neutral site game but again close to home and they come in more battle tested having played the No. 58 ranked schedule in the country and we are catching value with them having dropped three straight against the number. Northwestern is coming off a win at DePaul to move to 8-2 on the season and 2-1 away from home. The two wins came against teams ranked No. 229 and No. 215 and with a combined six wins. The Wildcats do own a great win over Purdue, the only loss the Boilermakers have had this season, but that was at home in a great spot with that being the first true road game for Purdue. Even with that game, Northwestern has played a schedule ranked No. 258 and prior to DePaul, it lost to No. 312 ranked Chicago St. at home as a 24.5-point favorite. 10* (684) Arizona St. Sun Devils |
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12-20-23 | Hawks v. Rockets -3.5 | Top | 134-127 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS for our NBA Supreme Annihilator. After winning 22 games all of last season, Houston has already won 13 games this year with new head coach Ime Udoka clearly making a difference. The Rockets are coming off a pair of losses at Milwaukee and Cleveland and that has been the story this season as they are 2-10 on the road and head home where they are 11-1 which is easily the biggest road/home disparity in the NBA. Houston has not been favored often but gets it done when it is, going 6-0 straight up and against the number. Atlanta snuck out a win over the horrific Pistons which put a small stop to its recent 2-8 stretch. The Hawks are four games under .500 and probably one of the biggest underachieving teams in the league thus far as they possess a great backcourt but have one of the weaker frontcourts which Houston can take advantage of. A lot of that is due to a bad defense that is No. 29 in opposing shooting and No 27 in defensive efficiency. Atlanta is still overvalued despite its 6-20 ATS record which is worst in the league. 10* (544) Houston Rockets |
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12-20-23 | North Dakota +18.5 v. Nebraska | Top | 75-83 | Win | 100 | 19 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTH DAKOTA FIGHTING HAWKS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Nebraska is coming off a pair of massive wins over Michigan St. and Kansas St. which puts the Huskers in a tough spot here. In the game against the Wildcats on the road Saturday, they held Kansas St. to 27 percent shooting including a 4-30 effort from long range. Nebraska turned a three-point halftime deficit by dominating the second half, allowing only 12 points. The defense has led the way this season as the Huskers are No. 37 in defensive efficiency but have not been nearly as good at home where they check in at No. 150. North Dakota is off to an 8-4 start following an upset win at Utah Tech on Saturday which snapped a five-game winless streak against the number. The Fighting Hawks come in undervalued in this matchup which is actually more of the Huskers being overvalued because of the recent results. They have become a stronger team with the addition of Tyree Ihenacho, the 2020-21 Summit Freshman of the Year and transferred back from James Madison, who made his season debut as he was granted a waiver after missing the first 11 games. This is their biggest test and the inflated line is reflecting that. 10* (673) North Dakota Fighting Hawks |
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12-20-23 | Arkansas State v. Belmont -4 | Top | 70-74 | Push | 0 | 19 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the BELMONT BRUINS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. After a 2-7 start to the season with the two wins coming against No. 310 Alcorn St. and No. 315 UT Rio Grande Valley, Arkansas St. pulled off a pair of underdog upsets against UAB and Louisville by double digits. The most recent win against the Cardinals came on the road which was the first road win after a 0-5 start and while three of those losses came against Wisconsin, Iowa and Alabama, the other two were against Bowling Green and Little Rock, both of which are ranked lower than Belmont. The Bruins are coming off a loss at Samford as the offense tied a season high with 93 points but the defense struggled, allowing 99 points which was 34 more points allowed than in their previous game at Middle Tennessee St. Belmont returns home where it is 4-0 for its final nonconference game of the season before MVC action starts up again. The Bruins have failed to cover their first three lined home games and this is the first home contest in two weeks. Belmont will keep the offense going, which has been good all season, against a bad defense as it comes in ranked No. 24 in the country in shooting. 10* (676) Belmont Bruins |
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12-20-23 | Wolves v. 76ers -3 | Top | 113-127 | Win | 100 | 18 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Star Attraction. Philadelphia is coming off a bad home loss against Chicago as a 10-point favorite which snapped a six-game winning streak. The Sixers are now in third place, 2.5 games behind Boston in the Eastern Conference and are now 10-4 at home. Three of those losses were by a combined 13 points with the other coming against the Celtics and this is a revenge game where they lost at Minnesota by 13 points which is their biggest loss of the season. Philadelphia is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 games revenging a road loss. Minnesota won its third straight game, a four-point win over Miami and the Timberwolves have won nine of their last 10 games. They are the big surprise in the Western Conference at 20-5 and lead the conference by three games over another surprise team in Oklahoma City. The Timberwolves have used their No. 1 defensive efficiency to get where they are but face the No. 1 efficiency team in offense and the sixers back that up with the No. 5 rank in defensive efficiency. 10* (536) Philadelphia 76ers |
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12-19-23 | Celtics v. Warriors +5.5 | Top | 126-132 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Boston won its fifth straight game on Sunday to close out a perfect 5-0 homestand and it is now 14-0 at home and now hits the road for four games for its first trip out west this season. The Celtics have played only two games against the Western Conference this season, losing to Minnesota and barely getting by a bad Memphis team by two points. They are 6-5 on the road and have gone only 2-7-2 ATS in those games as they have been favored in all of those and overall, they have played down to the competition as Boston is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 games when playing against teams with a winning percentage between .400 and .499. Golden St. escaped Portland with a four-point win to make it two straight wins. The Warriors are still two games under .500 and sitting in the No. 11 spot in the Western Conference, two and a half games out of the final playoff spot. Golden St. has won five straight games at home after a 1-6 start and catching a good number. The Warriors are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games when playing against a teams with a winning percentage of .700 or better while going 13-4 ATS in their last 17 home games after failing to cover three of their last four against the spread. 10* (528) Golden St. Warriors |
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12-19-23 | UTSA -12.5 v. Marshall | Top | 35-17 | Win | 100 | 131 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTSA ROADRUNNERS for our Frisco Bowl Enforcer. This game opened at -8.5 in most places and gradually started going up and then took a big jump when it was announced that Marshall quarterback Cam Fancher will not play as he went into the transfer portal. He had a very average season with just 2,155 yards with 11 touchdowns and 11 interceptions so the line move does seem steep because of his absence but Marshall is in worse off shape. Cole Pennington will take over as the starter and he saw significant action in three games and it was not pretty as he completed just 62 percent of his passes for just 437 yards with no touchdowns and six interceptions. The Thundering Herd opened the season 4-0, three of which were by one possession, then suffered through a five-game losing streak before winning two of their final three games to get bowl eligible. UTSA got off to a slow start as senior quarterback Frank Harris missed two of its first four games but then returned to win seven straight games to open AAC play and the Roadrunners had a chance to go to the conference championship but lost to Tulane as they were -3 in turnovers. This is not the ideal bowl to be in but it is close to home and the motivation will be there for Harris so end his amazing career where he accounted for over 14,000 total yards and 120 total touchdowns with a big win and not only for himself but for the program that can win its first ever bowl game in its fifth try and fourth under Harris. 10* (215) UTSA Roadrunners |
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12-19-23 | Montana v. UC-Davis -1.5 | Top | 73-61 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the UC DAVIS AGGIES for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. UC Davis snapped a four-game losing streak with a win at Pacific on Saturday to move to 4-5 which is a disappointing start with what the Aggies have. They have one of the top backcourts in the Big West Conference with Elijah Pepper and Ty Johnson who are averaging a combined 37.5 ppg after putting up a combined 37.0 ppg last season and both are legitimate First Team conference guards. They have a ton of depth and will be out to avenge a loss earlier this season at Montana by 13 points last month. They are 2-2 at home with both losses coming in the final minute and are getting a good price in a focused spot. Montana opened the season 2-4 but has won four straight games, a pair coming against two non-Division 1 teams and the other two coming against San Jose St. in a home-and-home set sandwiched around those. Overall, three of their six wins have come against non-Division 1 teams and Montana heads back on the road at 1-3 and while it has covered three of those, two games were as underdogs of more than 14 points and this is its second same season revenge game for the opposition. 10* (634) UC Davis Aggies |
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12-19-23 | Western Carolina v. Vanderbilt -3 | Top | 63-62 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the VANDERBILT COMMODORES for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Vanderbilt has dropped two straight games and five of its last six games but the schedule has a lot to do with that with four of those losses against major conference teams and the other against a very strong San Francisco team. The Commodores are back home following a loss at Texas Tech where they are just 4-3 and the number is manageable because of that. Vanderbilt is coming off its first 20-win season since 2014-15 as it made a big run late in the season with a change in culture being a big part of that. The Commodores now have their most talented roster under head coach Jerry Stackhouse who is in his fifth season. Western Carolina is off to a great 8-2 start as it opened 6-0 but has gone 2-2 in its last four games with the two losses coming on the road. The Catamounts are coming off a road win over USC Upstate but the Spartans are ranked No. 304 in adjusted efficiency margin at -11.17 and this is just their second game against a major conference team, the first coming against Notre Dame in their second game of the season. This is a big one for Vanderbilt to get right before going to Memphis in five days. 10* (624) Vanderbilt Commodores |
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12-19-23 | Samford v. Valparaiso +9.5 | Top | 79-61 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the VALPARAISO BEACONS for our CBB Afternoon Dominator. This is an ideal sell high, buy low spot going against Samford which is riding a nine-game winning streak and overvalued because of it. The Bulldogs nine-game winning streak is the longest since the 1998-99 season but all of those games have come on their home court and this marks their first road game since November 20 which puts them in a very tough spot. On top of the home court stretch, Samford has played no one as it has faced a schedule ranked No. 358 out of 362 teams in the country. The is a buy low on Valparaiso based on having lost five straight games including a tough one point loss against Chicago St. on Saturday. The Beacons are now 4-7 on the season with four of those losses coming on the road. While the losses have been piling up, Valparaiso has been covering the inflated numbers, going 6-3 ATS in its last nine games and it is catching a good number here. The Beacons are in a rebuilding year with a lot of young players and a new head coach but being a third into the season has found the team chemistry especially on the defensive end which has kept things respectable. 10* (604) Valparaiso Beacons |
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12-18-23 | Eagles -3 v. Seahawks | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -112 | 36 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Monday Primetime Dominator. Both Philadelphia and Seattle are leaking some oil and the Eagles are in the spot to turn it around. They have lost two straight games in blowouts against San Francisco and Dallas which came after a pair of close wins over Kansas City and Buffalo so the schedule has been brutal. It eases up starting this week and they control their own destiny in the NFC East with their remaining games against the Giants twice and the Cardinals so of they win out, they will have the better conference record than Dallas. Despite the recent struggles, Philadelphia remains No. 8 in net DVOA and just as important, it is No. 2 in special teams DVOA. What has really hurt the Eagles of late has been their rushing defense but Seattle has done nothing on the ground as it has rushed for fewer than 90 yards in eight of 13 games and it is No. 15 in the league in rushing EPA. The Seahawks have lost four straight games to fall a game under .500 and the playoff prospects are getting bleaker so this is a needed win but it is not a good matchup. The Seattle defense has struggled all season and especially against above average offenses with the three best games coming very early in the season and the Seahawks have dropped to No. 26 in defensive DVOA. They were without quarterback Geno Smith last week against San Francisco and while he returns this week, he has struggled this season with an 89.1 passer rating after posting a 100.9 rating last season. Despite the big majority of money being on the Eagles, we have seen this line come down. 10* (327) Philadelphia Eagles |
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12-18-23 | Hornets +11.5 v. Raptors | Top | 99-114 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLOTTE HORNETS for our NBA Ultimate Underdog. Toronto is coming off a home split against Atlanta following a 21-point loss on Friday and the Raptors have dropped five of their last six games. They now come in as a massive favorite, the first time this season they have laid double digits and they have not been good as a favorite of any kind, going 6-5 straight up and 5-6 against the number. Toronto is 10-15 overall, one of only 10 teams in the league with 10 or fewer wins and has no business laying a number this big. Charlotte is coming off its worst loss of the season as it lost by 53 points against the Sixers which is certainly being factored into this number. Teams coming off embarrassing losses like that step it up next time out and while that loss cannot be discounted, the Hornets are getting close to the same number they were getting against Philadelphia which is a total overreaction. Here, we play against home favorites after allowing 115 points or more in three straight games going up against an opponent after allowing 68 points or more in the first half last game. This situation is 37-11 ATS (77.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (511) Charlotte Hornets |
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12-18-23 | Murray State v. Arkansas-Little Rock | Top | 66-80 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the MURRAY ST. RACERS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Murray St. is riding a four-game winning streak and is 1-7 over its last eight games following a 2-0 start. The Racers have been close to reversing that 3-7 record or making it more respectable as six of those losses came down to the final minute with all six close defeats coming by six points or less. They are 0-3 in true road games with the three defeats all by four points and all against teams ranked higher than their opponent on Monday. Murray St. came into last season as a total rebuild yet put together an 11-9 record in their first season in the conference coming over from the OVC and the Racers are better equipped this year with a lot of experience and the best frontcourt in the Missouri Valley Conference. We won with Little Rock in its last game against a bad UTSA team which snapped a two-game losing streak and the Trojans are now one game under .500. They are still a very low rated team with a -5.68 adjusted efficiency margin and this against a pretty tame schedule ranked No. 320 in the country. Excellent bounce back spot for the Racers in their final nonconference road game. 10* (875) Murray St. Racers |
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12-18-23 | Western Kentucky v. Old Dominion -2.5 | Top | 38-35 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the OLD DOMINION MONARCHS for our Famous Toastery Bowl Dominator. The Hilltoppers closed the season with a pair of wins over Sam Houston St. and Florida International to finish 7-5 but it was a very unimpressive 7-5. Western Kentucky did not register a win against a team above .500 with its best win coming against 6-6 South Florida in the season opener and its other five FBS wins were against teams that finished a combined 17-43. Now the Hilltoppers head to Charlotte down three starting offensive linemen that combined for 2,287 snaps as they went into the portal. While the quarterback situation looks stable with Austin Reed, that could change. On the other side, three starters, which were three of the top eight tacklers, are transferring so they are thin on each level. Old Dominion also closed the season with a pair of wins to become bowl eligible and the Monarchs are in much better shape from a personnel standpoint. They are down their third leading tackler and third leading receiver but other than that, the Monarchs are in fine shape. The 6-6 season could have been even better as two of the losses against Virginia Tech and undefeated Liberty were the only non-competitive defeats as the other four losses were by a combined 16 points with three of those coming against current bowl teams. Old Dominion can take advantage of the Hilltoppers depleted offensive line as it finished No. 34 in the country in tackles for loss. 10* (202) Old Dominion Monarchs |
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12-17-23 | Ravens v. Jaguars +3.5 | Top | 23-7 | Loss | -120 | 100 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Dominator. Unfortunately we have seen this number come down as it opened at 5.5 and was hit hard early but Jacksonville is still catching a hook over a key number and with the majority of money on Baltimore despite the early line move, we should not see this number go anywhere and up if it does move. The Jaguars were looking good in the AFC South following a win over Houston but they have lost two straight games against teams from the AFC North and have seen their lead remain at one game thanks to the Texans loss against the Jets last week. Jacksonville has only dropped one spot to No. 10 in net DVOA with the defense still leading the way at No. 8 despite the last two below average games. Baltimore now has the upper hand in the AFC thanks to the Miami loss on Monday night against Tennessee as it has a one game lead for the No. 1 seed with a huge game against the Dolphins on New Years Eve. The Ravens are coming off a fortunate win over the Rams in overtime on a punt return for a touchdown to move to 10-3 including a three-game winning streak. They are the most complete team in the AFC and are favorites here for a reason but the spot does not set up well with this being just their second road game since the end of October. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points outgaining their opponents by 50 or more ypg, after gaining 400 or more total ypg over their last three games. This situation is 91-46 ATS (66.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (330) Jacksonville Jaguars |
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12-17-23 | Montana v. San Jose State -1.5 | Top | 86-75 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN JOSE ST. SPARTANS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Following a three-game losing streak, Montana has reeled off three straight wins but the last two have come against non-Division 1 teams Montana St.-Northern Lights and Montana Tech. The Grizzlies started the winning streak with a 17-point win over San Jose St. at home to open December which puts the Spartans in a rare non-conference same season revenge spot. Three of their five wins have come against non-division 1 teams and Montana heads to San Jose winless on the road at 0-3 and while it has covered two of those, those games were as underdogs of more than 14 points. San Jose St. erased a three-game losing streak with a win over New Orleans last Saturday to get back over .500 at 6-5. The Spartans have failed to cover each of their last four games but three of those were on the road and they remain home where they are a perfect 4-0. The venue has been important thus far as the home team is 8-0 in the eight Spartans games played on campus floors. The Spartans look to keep the offense rolling as they are No. 88 in the country in shooting and will be out for a better effort than in the first meeting where they scored 58 points, their second lowest total of the season. 10* (746) San Jose St. Spartans |
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12-17-23 | Commanders +6.5 v. Rams | Top | 20-28 | Loss | -107 | 96 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON COMMANDERS for our NFL Ultimate Underdog. The Rams are coming off an excruciating loss at Baltimore last week, losing in overtime on a punt return for a touchdown and the game atmosphere and situation does not make it any easier. Los Angeles played one of its most physical games of the season in horrible conditions which will be tough to recover from despite a return home where it does not have a significant advantage. The Rams had their three-game winning snapped with the loss and they are going to be one of, if not the biggest, public play on the entire card. They should score but their No. 23 defensive DVOA is a big concern when laying a large number. Washington is coming off its bye week following four straight losses where it was unable to generate a single takeaway and lost the turnover battle 9-0 in those games. Those are the fluky things that have killed the Commanders as in their nine losses, they are on the wrong side of and 18-5 turnover ratio. The Rams have generated only 11 takeaways and Washington needs to rely on taking care of the ball. While they are 0-5 against the top 10 in the league, the Commanders are 4-4 against everyone else and are catching too big of a number here. Here, we play against home teams with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 after three or more consecutive wins against the spread, playing a losing team. This situation is 39-12 ATS (76.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (323) Washington Commanders |
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12-17-23 | Magic +8.5 v. Celtics | Top | 97-114 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC for our NBA Ultimate Underdog. Boston has won four straight games including the first game against Orlando in this two-game home set with the Magic. These back-to-back games are not easy to sweep but we are more tuned into the spread as the Celtics are now overvalued in a tough spot. Boston is undefeated at home at 13-0 but have covered only eight of those and there is a possible lookahead here to a four-game west coast trip that starts on Tuesday at Golden St. Boston remains in first place in the Eastern Conference, a game and a half over Milwaukee and Philadelphia but Orlando is still lingering. The loss on Friday snapped a two-game winning streak for the Magic which are still a solid 16-8. They have been one of the best teams in the league when not playing back-to-back or with prolonged rest as they are 11-1 when playing on one day off, going 9-2-1 against the Number. Orlando is just three games behind Boston in the conference so getting out of here with a split is ideal but again, we are getting value with this number. Orlando closed as a five-point underdog in the first game and now it has shot up to eight points with no injury situation factoring into that. 10* (569) Orlando Magic |
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12-17-23 | Bucs +3.5 v. Packers | Top | 34-20 | Win | 100 | 93 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Green Bay was on a roll as it had won three straight games prior to Monday night where it lost to the Giants which took a hit on its playoff hopes. The Packers are now tied with four other teams at 6-7 and currently hold down the No. 7 spot as they own most tiebreakers but this is a week-to-week change. They head home where they have won three straight games including a big win over Kansas City in the most recent game and last week, turnovers finally caught up at -3. In their three wins, they are +6 in margin and Tampa Bay does not turn it over as it is No. 7 in giveaways. Tampa Bay is in a three-way tie for first place with Atlanta and New Orleans thanks to two consecutive wins and like Green Bay, it has the tiebreakers currently in its favor and this one will go a long way. The Buccaneers have ramped up the running game over the last three games, averaging 133.7 ypg on 4.8 ypc and this could be big based on the weather forecast where wind could play a factor making the running game an integral part. The Packers rushing defense was exposed again last week and have allowed 170.4 ypg over their last five games and are ranked No. 25 in defensive rushing DVOA. Here, we play against home teams after covering the spread in three out of their last four games, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .400 and .499. This situation is 27-5 ATS (84.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (313) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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12-17-23 | Texans +3 v. Titans | Top | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 93 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our Divisional Game of the Month. We have seen a complete line flip in this game with Houston opening as the favorite prior to the games last week and now the Texans are underdogs based on the results along with the status of quarterback C.J. Stroud. Stroud was ruled out on Saturday and Davis Mills is a capable backup with plenty of experience in a get right spot and an opposition play against. The Texans have dropped two of their last three games and are sitting in the No. 8 spot in the AFC based on conference record, tied with six teams at 7-6 for the final two spots. Three of their last four games are in the division and all four in the AFC so they can feasibly run the table. Tennessee is coming off an improbable win on Monday night against Miami, trailing by 14 points with 2:40 remaining but scored the final 15 points for the upset. The Titans have won two of their last three games and have gone 0-4 in their first four games following a win and this is a big letdown spot despite a return home in a divisional game. Quarterback Will Levis led the comeback and while some are calling it his coming out party, he was not playing well prior to that. Despite the victory, Tennessee dropped to No. 24 in net DVOA. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (315) Houston Texans |
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12-16-23 | Arizona State +8 v. TCU | Top | 59-79 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA ST. SUN DEVILS for our CBB Late Powerhouse. We played against Arizona St. last Saturday against San Diego as there was the chance at a lookahead to this game and sure enough, the Sun Devils lost outright. It was also their first true road game of the season and while they are listed as the road team here, this is a neutral site game being played in Phoenix so they will have the crowd edge. Arizona St. lost to TCU in the first round of the NCAA Tournament last season on a last second shot so now it is payback time. TCU suffered its first loss of the season last week against Clemson. Prior to that, it beat a bad Georgetown team and they won it on a three-point bomb as time expired but it never should have been a win as the shooter stepped out of bounds. Out of 362 teams in Division 1, TCU has played the No. 362 ranked schedule and that includes that game against Clemson which shows it has basically played no one. The Horned Frogs were loaded last season but lost over 48 percent of their scoring from that team and facing quality opposition will prove to be a problem. 10* (707) Arizona St. Sun Devils |
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12-16-23 | Green Bay +24 v. Oklahoma | Top | 47-81 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PHOENIX for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. This game sets up similar to Georgia Southern playing Tennessee earlier this week as a massive underdog and covering against a Volunteers team just going through the motions. That is what we see with Oklahoma here as the Sooners are off to a 9-0 start and ranked No. 11 in the AP Poll after coming into the season unranked and not receiving a single vote. This is a huge jump for a team that was predicted to finish No. 12 in the 14-team Big 12 Conference and that very well could still happen. The Sooners have played a schedule ranked No. 304 and have failed to cover spreads of -27.5 and -26 in its last two games when favored by double digits and add to the fact Oklahoma has North Carolina on deck. Green Bay is by no means a very good team but it is on the move of improving as it is 5-6 which is already two more wins that all of last season and the same amount of victories from two seasons ago. The Phoenix are coming off a big upset win over Illinois-Chicago and they have covered six of their last seven games as underdogs. 10* (697) Green Bay Phoenix |
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12-16-23 | Broncos v. Lions -5 | Top | 17-42 | Win | 100 | 107 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Saturday Primetime Dominator. Everyone is all of a sudden sour on Detroit as it has put up four straight poor games but somehow was able to come away 2-2 in those games. The Lions are coming off another game where turnovers were the story as those two losses over this stretch were the result of a -3 turnover margin. Detroit now closes the season with its final four games taking place in a dome and this is where it will get its momentum back and starting here in a great spot. The Lions remain No. 7 in the league in net DVOA despite the loss to Chicago which happened to be the first loss in seven games against teams ranked outside the top 16 and that is where Denver still resides. The Broncos are one of the hottest teams in the league as they have now won six of their last seven games and are now one of six teams looking for two playoff spots in the AFC. Denver was fortunate last week against the Chargers with Justin Herbert going down and that was its third win in the last three games going up against a backup quarterback. That has skewed the defensive numbers but the Broncos still come in ranked No. 30 in defensive DVOA. This is the wrong time to go to Detroit. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 off a win by 14 points or more as an underdog. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (312) Detroit Lions |
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12-16-23 | Pacers +8 v. Wolves | Top | 109-127 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Indiana was coming off an expected loss at Milwaukee on Wednesday which was a big revenge game for the Bucks but to follow that up with a loss at Washington, which snapped the Wizards six-game losing streak and a 1-15 run was a bad loss. The Pacers may have been guilty of looking ahead and hopefully they were which means they will be ready to go despite playing a team they should have won. The defense was the issue which has been common knowledge but the offense is good enough to push the ball against what has been the best defense in the league. Minnesota is coming off an upset win at Dallas as it won by 18 points as a slight underdog. The Timberwolves remain the surprise No. 1 team in the Western Conference at 18-5 as they are 2.5 games ahead of Denver but this line is too much. Minnesota has won seven of its last eight games but five of those wins have come against some of the worst teams in the league and the Timberwolves have failed to cover any of their last three home games as the markets have caught up with an overreaction. Great bounce back spot for the Pacers. 10* (557) Indiana Pacers |
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12-16-23 | Southern Illinois v. Wichita State -4 | Top | 68-69 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the WICHITA ST. SHOCKERS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Wichita St. got off to a 7-1 start with the lone loss coming against a very solid Liberty team on a neutral floor in South Carolina but the Shockers have lost two straight games including a rough 10-point loss against South Dakota St. a week ago and the other coming at Missouri prior to that. The loss last week against the Jackrabbits was in Wichita but not at their campus home at Charles Koch Arena where they are 5-0 with all five wins coming by double digits. Wichita St. has missed the NCAA Tournament in back-to-back seasons for the first time since 2011 and it is expected to contend in the American Athletic Conference with a chance to return. Southern Illinois is 6-3 with the first two losses coming against James Madison and Indiana St. which are a combined 18-1 so those were not bad defeats although the latter did come by 29 points which was the Salukis only true road game this season. However, they are coming off a bad loss on Tuesday at home against Austin Peay as 11.5-point favorites so their non-quality wins are looking worse at this point. 10* (678) Wichita St. Shockers |
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12-16-23 | New Mexico State -3.5 v. Fresno State | Top | 10-37 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW MEXICO ST. AGGIES for our Bowl Game of the Week. Fresno St. had a late collapse as it lost three straight to close out the season. A big factor for the Bulldogs is that they will be without head coach Jeff Tedford who resigned due to a health issue and it will be Tim Skipper, the linebackers coach, to be the interim head coach in this game. Both sides of the ball can be to blame for the late struggles with a lot of that falling back on quarterback Mikey Keane who went 42-72 (58.3 percent) for 358 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions. The offense as a whole struggled a little further back as Fresno St. generated fewer than 400 total yards in four of their final five games. Defensively, the Bulldogs allowed 480 ypg on defense over the final half of the season with the rushing defense struggling all season, ranking No. 91 in the run stopping metric and No. 87 in ypc allowed. New Mexico St. had an amazing season as it finished 10-4 even though it culminated with a disappointing loss to Liberty in the C-USA Championship. The Aggies will be playing with a chip on their shoulder as they have publicly displayed their disdain when head coach Jerry Kill did not make a list of 12 finalists for the Eddie Robinson national coach of the year. This team can shred the Bulldogs defense led by quarterback Diego Pavia who led an offense that ranked top 10 in success rate while being the leading rusher with 976 yards and six touchdowns in addition to passing for 2,821 yards. 10* (207) New Mexico St. Aggies |
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12-16-23 | Miami-OH v. Appalachian State -6 | Top | 9-13 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the APPALACHIAN ST. MOUNTAINEERS for our Cure Bowl Dominator. Miami Ohio pulled off the upset against Toledo to win the MAC Championship despite getting outgained as the RedHawks benefitted from a 2-0 turnover advantage. It was a great season led by one of the best defenses in the country but that was aided by a weak conference. The offense was horrible this season and barely got over 300 yards in the championship game and now they are even worse off. Quarterback Brett Gabbert was lost for the season and while Aveon Smith was a great game manager, he entered the transfer portal and Henry Hesson and his five career passes will get the start. Appalachian St. rode a five-game winning streak into the Sun Belt Conference Championship but Troy was too much in the 49-23 loss. The Mountaineers come in as the favorite with a higher power rating from a much stronger conference. Appalachian St. enters its bowl game with a sour taste after getting lit up by Troy on the ground with 277 yards, namely Kimani Vidal who ran for 233 yards and five touchdowns. Miami Ohio does not have the same rushing attack to take advantage as it is ranked No. 95 in rushing offense and struggled outside the weak MAC while the numbers are skewed by 466 yards against FCS Delaware. Take that game away and the game against 3-9 Massachusetts and Miami scored more than 23 points only four times. 10* (206) Appalachian St. Mountaineers |
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12-16-23 | Clemson v. Memphis -1.5 | Top | 77-79 | Win | 100 | 22 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS TIGERS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Clemson improved to 9-0 with a win over TCU last Saturday in Toronto and the Tigers moved up an absurd 11 spots in the AP Poll because of it, from No. 24 to No. 13. This team is playing with a chip on its shoulder after getting snubbed for an NCAA Tournament spot last season but they might be feeling a little too god about things right now. Clemson does own a pair of good road wins at Alabama and Pittsburgh before the win over the Horned Frogs and a victory over rival South Carolina prior to that. The Tigers now have that bullseye on its back and hits the road again in what is a very difficult spot. Memphis is 7-2 to start the season and while it is not ranked, it is close as its votes equates to a No. 30 ranking. The Tigers have succeeded by playing a brutal schedule as they have played only two home games and those were against bad teams but they have faced a schedule ranked No. 9 as all seven opponents away from home are all quality teams. Memphis has not played a game at home in a month so this place will be highly energized. 10* (634) Memphis Tigers |
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12-16-23 | Santa Clara +6 v. Washington State | Top | 69-61 | Win | 100 | 21 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the SANTA CLARA BRONCOS for our CBB Underdog Game of the Month. Santa Clara came through on Wednesday against Utah St. although it still lost outright for its third straight loss. This is the first game of a quadruple-header in Phoenix so while listed as the road team, the Broncos are not. This is their fourth game this season against the Pac 12 and they have gone 2-1 with wins over Stanford and Oregon so there is no intimidation here. This is a great shooting and scoring team and certainly a live dog which was similar to that Utah St. game as this is a revenge game from last season as the Broncos lost by 13 points in Pullman in the opening round of the NIT. Washington St. is off to an 8-1 start which includes six straight wins, the last five coming at home where it was favored by at least 12.5 points in each game. The Cougars have split their two neutral site games, winning against Rhode Island and losing against Mississippi St. and are away from home for the first time in nearly one month. The 8-1 record is nice but it has come against a schedule ranked No. 342 and they are pegged to finish tenth in the Pac 12. 10* (613) Santa Clara Broncos |
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12-16-23 | Baylor v. Michigan State +3.5 | Top | 64-88 | Win | 100 | 21 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the MICHIGAN ST. SPARTANS for our CBB False Favorite. If ever there was a get right game for Michigan St., this is the one. The Spartans came into the season ranked No. 4 in the AP Preseason Poll but are now not even receiving votes after starting 4-5 which includes a 0-2 start in the Big Ten Conference so there is a lot of work to be done. This is not a true home game but it is being played in Detroit so the crowd will be in their favor and while it is still relatively early, Michigan St. needs a quality win as it has played a schedule ranked No. 43 and sans of a big quality win. The Spartans defense has been excellent which will be a tough matchup for Baylor and while their offense has stumbled, they have a good matchup on this side here as well. Baylor has made a big move from the start of the season as it is up to No. 9 in the AP Poll after a 9-0 start. The Bears are 5-0-1 ATS over their last six games but the schedule has been far from grueling as it is ranked No. 254 and six of eight lines games have seen them laying double digits. While not a true road game, this is the closest they have come to one. 10* (626) Michigan St. Spartans |
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12-16-23 | Vikings +4 v. Bengals | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 100 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Saturday Enforcer. Minnesota is coming off an ugly 3-0 win over the Raiders Sunday and coupled with the Packers loss Monday, the Vikings leapfrogged Green Bay and are currently in the No. 6 spot in the NFC, one game ahead of five teams that are 6-7. The win snapped a two-game slide and this is the final non-division game remaining on the schedule and it is definitely a must win. The quarterback situation is unsettled but we will likely see Nick Mullins start this week who came in relief and led the game-winning drive. This is a very underrated defense for the Vikings as they are No. 5 in the NFL in defensive DVOA. Many thought the Bengals were done after quarterback Joe Burrow went down for the season but they are very much still alive for a playoff spot although the schedule does not set up well. Cincinnati is one of six teams tied at 7-6 which are vying for two playoff spots. Jake Browning has been the story as he has looked great in two games since taking over the starting job with passer ratings of 115.5 and 122.7 and we just do not think this is sustainable. On the other side, the Bengals are No. 26 in defensive DVOA which is a big boost for that Vikings offense. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams allowing between 18 and 23 ppg, after scoring and allowing 14 pts or less points. This situation is 33-9 ATS (78.6 percent) since 1983. 10* (303) Minnesota Vikings |
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12-16-23 | Kansas v. Indiana +7 | Top | 75-71 | Win | 100 | 20 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA HOOSIERS for our CBB Star Attraction. We played against Indiana last Saturday as it went to Atlanta and got housed by Auburn by 28 points which was its second blowout loss against a quality opponent, the first against Connecticut by 20 points. Both of those were on a neutral floor where the Hoosiers are now 2-2 and they return to Assembly Hall where they are 4-0 which includes a 12-point win over Maryland. Some can question which Indiana team shows up and there is every reason to believe it is the good one considering the opponent and venue. Last season, Indiana suffered two losses by 22 points and one of those was at Kansas nearly a year ago to the day and that is a game they certainly have not forgotten. Kansas is 9-1 with the lone loss coming against Marquette in Hawaii and while it has played basically the same ranked schedule as Indiana, the Jayhawks have proved to win the big game but it is hard to look past single digit wins at home against Eastern Illinois and Missouri. This is the first true road game for Kansas and comes in one of the toughest environments. 10* (610) Indiana Hoosiers |
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12-16-23 | Lindenwood v. IUPU-Indianapolis +1.5 | Top | 73-67 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the IUPUI JAGUARS for our CBB Afternoon Dominator. IUPUI opened the season 2-0 but has gone 1-8 since then with the lone win coming against non-Division 1 Cleary University and the Jaguars have gone 0-8 ATS in their eight lined games besides that one during this recent eight-game stretch. They are coming off a horrible 36-point loss at Minnesota as they allowed the Gophers to shoot 62 percent from the floor including 50 percent from long range but now they return home against an equally ranked opponent to kick off a four-game homestand and this is a great bounce back opportunity. Lindenwood snapped a three-game losing streak with a win over non-Division 1 Avila and it is back on the road for the first time in two weeks. The Lions are 0-4 on the road with three blowouts against Nebraska, Iowa St. and Air Force so while they have been tested, they were not even close to competitive which included a 55-point loss to the Cyclones. After opening 0-3 ATS, the Lions have covered four of their last five and we are getting value with that on top of the Jaguars winless run. 10* (606) IUPUI Jaguars |
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12-16-23 | Georgia Southern -3.5 v. Ohio | Top | 21-41 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the GEORGIA SOUTHERN EAGLES for our Myrtle Beach Bowl Annihilator. The transfer portal is going to affect many teams in bowl games this season and Ohio is near the top of the list. The Bobcats closed the regular season with three straight wins to finish 6-2 in the MAC East, which was good for second place, and 9-3 overall. Playing in a minor bowl game did not meet the expectations and Ohio has lost major pieces of its offense for Saturday. Starting quarterback Kurtis Rourke and top running backs Sieh Bangura and O'Shaan Allison all opted for the portal and with them goes 14 rushing touchdowns which happens to be every rushing touchdown for the entire season. Additionally, their top receiver has also opted out. The Bobcats only averaged 22.9 ppg and 346.8 ypg, No. 100 and No. 97 respectively in the country and are down to third string quarterback Parker Navarro who threw just 10 passes. Georgia Southern sputtered down the stretch with four straight losses and that negative momentum in typically a play against in the postseason but not in this scenario. The defense was bad this season but could not have a better setup here and the key will be for the offense to get off to a good start as Ohio will not be able to play catchup. The Eagles have a potent passing attack that finished No. 14 in the country and while they face a stout Ohio defense, the Bobcats numbers are good because of the poor offensive conference in was in. 10* (213) Georgia Southern Eagles |
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12-15-23 | Knicks v. Suns -5 | Top | 139-122 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Phoenix is coming off a disappointing loss to Brooklyn on Wednesday which was its fifth loss in its last seven games. If there is any good news from a loss, it was the fact that Kevin Durant, Devin Booker and Bradley Beal were on the floor in the same game for the first time this season as injuries had deferred that through the first 23 games because of injuries. Now with a game under their belt and some rotations sorting beyond them, it will be a much different result here. Part of the problem was that the Suns only forced seven turnovers and the pressure will be better against a turnover prone Knicks team. New York is coming off a bad loss at Utah on Wednesday and the Knicks are just 5-5 over their last 10 games and they catch the Suns at the wrong time. They have lost three straight and four of their last five games on the road and they are just 2-6 straight up and 3-5 as road underdogs. That has been key all season as the favorite is 18-5 in New York games this season. Here, we play on home favorites after having lost five or six of their last seven games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 32-8 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (548) Phoenix Suns |
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12-15-23 | Portland State v. San Diego +1.5 | Top | 65-69 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO TERREROS for our CBB Late Powerhouse. San Diego opened the season 2-0 before a six-point loss at rival UC San Deigo. The Terreros then won three straight games including a 14-point win over Arkansas St. in the first game at the Acrisure Invitational in Palm Springs but then lost the next day against Hawaii, the start of a recent 1-3 skid. The other two losses were against Stanford and Utah St., both on the road, and San Diego returned home last Saturday and upset Arizona St. That was just as much of a play against the Sun Devils which were playing their first true road game and had a revenge game against TCU on deck. The Terreros are in another good spot staying at home where they are 6-0 and working with a good amount of rest. Portland St. is off to a surprising 8-2 start but three of those wins have been against non-Division 1 teams so the record is slightly inflated. What is not inflated is the fact the Vikings are a solid 3-1 on the road and that is actually helping us with this line as this is not sustainable. They are a perfect 4-0 ATS in those road games but were underdogs by at least five points in those games and while that might show this is an easier matchup since they are favored, they are falsely favored. 10* (892) San Diego Terreros |
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12-15-23 | New Mexico v. New Mexico State +15 | Top | 73-72 | Win | 100 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW MEXICO ST. AGGIES for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. This is second meeting this season between these two rivals and New Mexico St. will be out for some short-term revenge. New Mexico won the first meeting just under two weeks ago by 44 points as it shot 60 percent from the floor including 56 percent from long range while the Aggies managed just 40 percent shooting from the floor and 17 percent from behind the arc. The Lobos closed as 17.5-point favorites and are now nearly laying the same amount on the road and no one will be taking New Mexico St. here based on that first meeting. The Aggies are coming off a win against non-Division 1 Northern New Mexico which came 10 days after that and it was a needed confidence boost as they moved to 5-6 with playing the No. 21 ranked schedule in the country. All six losses have come away from home against some rugged opposition so there have been blowouts but the Aggies are 5-0 at home and will be amped up as will the crowd on a Friday night. New Mexico is a legit contender in the MWC as it is 9-1 while covering seven straight games which is another situational angle to play against them. 10* (888) New Mexico St. Aggies |
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12-15-23 | Hawks +3 v. Raptors | Top | 125-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS for our NBA Ultimate Underdog. Atlanta has been one of the early disappointing teams in the Eastern Conference as it has now lost five straight games to fall to 9-14 on the season with what is considered a very above average roster and backcourt. This is an immediate revenge spot for the Hawks which lost the first game of this two-game set in Toronto by seven points on Wednesday. It was one of their worst defensive efforts of the season, allowing 57.5 percent shooting but facing the same opponent two days later means adjustments will be made. We are also bucking the Hawks 0-8 ATS run. Toronto has not done anything special either as it is just 10-14 and the win on Wednesday snapped a four-game losing streak. The Raptors have been nothing special at home with a 7-6 record and stringing wins together has been a problem all season as they are just 2-7 following a victory, covering only three of those games. Here, we play on road teams with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 where the line is +3 to -3 after three or more consecutive losses, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 141-89 ATS (61.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (543) Atlanta Hawks |
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12-14-23 | Thunder v. Kings -1.5 | Top | 123-128 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Sacramento has been up and down since a six-game winning streak in early November as it is 5-5 over its last 10 games including a 20-point loss at Los Angeles against the Clippers on Tuesday. The Kings are in bounce back mode at a good price against the biggest surprise in the Western Conference. Their defense has not been great but is improved from last season and the offense is top 12 in efficiency after a slow start. Sacramento has won seven of its last nine home games following a loss in its first home game of the season against Golden St. and this is the start of a six-game homestand leading up to Christmas. Oklahoma City has won two straight games following a 2-3 run and the Thunder remain in second place in the conference, two games behind Minnesota. The cover against the Jazz put them at 15-6-1 ATS which is tied for third best in the league which is keeping this number low. Oklahoma City has been favored in 10 of its last 12 games and in the two games as an underdog, it lost. Here, we play on teams after a blowout loss by 15 points or more going up against an opponent after two straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more. This situation is 57-18 ATS (76 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (528) Sacramento Kings |
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12-14-23 | Chargers +3 v. Raiders | Top | 21-63 | Loss | -108 | 61 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Dominator. The Chargers season is officially cooked after losing quarterback Justin Herbert to a right index finger fracture as they fell to 5-8 following a loss against Denver on Sunday. Ethan Stick came in on the fly and was not horrible and now he has at least had a few days of preparation for this game and we are seeing a seven-point swing from this early opener and that is just too much with what Herbert has done this season. Los Angeles will continue to rally especially in a divisional game and we will see a healthy dose of the running game as the Chargers had their second highest rushing output in the first meeting. One key factor is that Los Angeles is No. 1 in special teams DVOA which is often overlooked. The Raiders were involved in one of the ugliest games in recent memory as they were shutout against Minnesota on Sunday and it was the 11th time in 12 games they have scored 18 or fewer points. Quarterback Aiden O'Connell was coming off a good game against Kansas City but could muster nothing against Minnesota and it was his third game in his last four starts with a passer rating of 72 or less. Las Vegas is No. 29 in offensive DVOA and the running game is just as much to blame as it is No. 29 in rushing EPA. Here, we play on road teams after failing to cover the spread in three out of their last four games, in December games. This situation is 93-38 ATS (71 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (301) Los Angeles Chargers |
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12-14-23 | Jacksonville State +20.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the JACKSONVILLE ST. GAMECOCKS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. One look at the total of this game tells us where we need to go. It is set at 125 which forecasts this to be a game played at a snails pace and that typically favors the underdog let alone an underdog getting a number this big. Jacksonville St. is 3-6 and while that record is obviously not ideal, it has been a run of close losses with five of the six defeats coming by a combined 13 points and the other loss at West Virginia by 13 points. They play at a slow pace as they are No. 316 in scoring and No. 13 in points allowed so they will be going for another grind it out game. While the competition has not been on the same level as Wisconsin, the Badgers are not completely as slow but very similar as they are No. 224 in scoring and No. 80 in points allowed. Wisconsin is coming off a 25-point loss at Arizona so while it will be in bounce back mode, this is not a number it should be laying in this type of matchup. While the Badgers covered a big number of 27 against Western Illinois, the Leathernecks are No. 303 in adjusted efficiency margin. The other game where they were favored by at least 20 points was against Robert Morris and they won that by only 10 points with the Colonials No. 291 in adjusted efficiency margin. Jacksonville St. comes in at No. 215. 10* (877) Jacksonville St. Gamecocks |
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12-13-23 | Utah State v. Santa Clara +3.5 | Top | 84-82 | Win | 100 | 22 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the SANTA CLARA BRONCOS for our CBB Late Powerhouse. Santa Clara does not have the team to make a run at Gonzaga or St. Mary's in the West Coast Conference, no other teams rarely do, but another top four finish is expected. The Broncos are off to a 7-3 start but have lost two straight games so they will be ready to get past that. They own solid wins over Stanford and Oregon and bring in a perfect 5-0 record at home. This is a great shooting and scoring team and certainly a live dog while this is a revenge game from last season as the Broncos lost by 22 points, which was their first loss of the season and their biggest loss the entire season. Utah St. is 9-1 and has won eight straight games since suffering its only loss at Bradley. The Aggies have been winning in impressive fashion but have played only two true road games and besides the Bradley game, they played at St. Louis, which is ranked well behind Santa Clara, by just five points. They have covered five of their last six games which is also playing into the number and they are just an overvalued team at this point with their best win being Akron. 10* (642) Santa Clara Broncos |
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12-13-23 | Creighton v. UNLV +13.5 | Top | 64-79 | Win | 100 | 22 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the UNLV RUNNIN' REBELS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Creighton came into the season after making a run to the Elite Eight last season while coming off its eighth straight 20-win season. The Bluejays entered the season No. 8 in the AP Poll which is where they currently reside after starting 7-1 while going 6-2 against the number. They have not played a tough schedule and while the opposition tonight is certainly not great, it is a sneaky tough spot as they have Alabama on deck before opening Big East Conference action a week from tomorrow. This is too many points to be laying on the road. This is not a true road game for UNLV but it is being played in Henderson which will be its second straight game here so it is used to the surroundings. The Rebels are 3-4 overall and catching a huge number based on playing a top ten team and the fact they have gone winless against the number in their last four games. UNLV has shot the ball well which is good enough to keep it close and it has the athletes and the best newcomer in the conference in D.J. Thomas Jr. to put a scare into Creighton. 10* (640) UNLV Runnin' Rebels |
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12-13-23 | Pacers v. Bucks -6.5 | Top | 126-140 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Divisional Game of the Month. This is a double revenge spot for Milwaukee as it lost the first meeting at Indiana by a bucket and most recently, lost to the Pacers in the semifinals of the In-Season Tournament in Las Vegas. The Bucks first game after that resulted in a four-point win over Chicago in overtime as they outshot the Bulls 51.2 percent to 41.2 percent but allowed a season high 114 shot attempts with Chicago grabbing 18 offensive rebounds while forcing only six turnovers. It was the second time Chicago shut down Damian Lillard as he scored only 14 points on 3-17 shooting and after being held to 12 points in the first meeting, he went off for 37 points in his next game. Indiana responded to the In-Season Tournament loss to the Lakers with an eight-point win over Detroit as it was able to sneak out the cover by a half-point. The Pacers are sitting in the No. 5 spot in the Eastern Conference at officially 13-8 as the offense is coming off another stellar performance, shooting 56.5 percent, but the defense continues to struggle as they allowed 55.6 percent which was the best shooting effort for Detroit this season. They have allowed 50 percent shooting or higher 12 times and Indiana is No. 26 in defensive efficiency. 10* (514) Milwaukee Bucks |
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12-13-23 | Texas-San Antonio v. Arkansas-Little Rock -6.5 | Top | 84-93 | Win | 100 | 20 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the LITTLE ROCK TROJANS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. UTSA is off to a 5-4 start but do not let that winning record fool you. The Roadrunners have defeated no team of significance and their No. 352 ranked schedule backs that up so the fact they have gotten half way to their wins total from last season does not mean much. UTSA is -10.78 in adjusted efficiency margin which is No. 299 in the country. Their only road win came at Houston Christian which is No. 355 in adjusted efficiency margin and that was just by two points. It is no surprise that UTSA is picked to finish last in its first season in the AAC. Little Rock opened the season 1-4 before winning three straight games before losing its last two games including a 17-point loss at home against a good Winthrop team. The Trojans went 10-21 last season and finished second to last in the Ohio Valley Conference but are expected to make a move up with a very balanced team that has five double-digit scorers. This is a good get right spot at home where the Trojans are 4-2, the other loss coming against Northern Illinois, with a shorter than expected number based on the power numbers. 10* (630) Little Rock Trojans |
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12-12-23 | IUPU-Indianapolis +22 v. Minnesota | Top | 65-101 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the IUPUI JAGUARS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Minnesota is coming off a pair of wins including a victory over Nebraska to even its record at 1-1 in the Big Ten Conference where it has been picked to finish dead last again. The Gophers are 7-3 in their 10 games on a schedule that is ranked No. 328 in the country so it has been favorable and they are getting another very winnable game here. Minnesota is 9-1 against the number which is the second best ATS record in the nation behind Arizona at 8-0 ATS and that is inflating the line here. IUPUI opened the season 2-0 but has gone 1-7 since then with the lone win coming against non-Division 1 Cleary University and the Jaguars have gone 0-7 ATS in their seven lined games besides that one during this recent eight-game stretch. That is also helping to inflate this number as is the fact all four road losses have been by at least 13 points. Minnesota has not been favored by 20 points since December 2020 which shows the unwarranted boost in this line. 10* (613) IUPUI Jaguars |
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12-12-23 | Lakers -1.5 v. Mavs | Top | 125-127 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. The Lakers are coming off the win in the In-Season Championship game over Indiana but that was back on Saturday so there is no letdown, it that is even a thing, and with the extra time off, there will no chance of resting on Tuesday. Los Angeles is 14-9 as the win over the Pacers does not count toward the overall record which some places are counting, and it is in the No. 5 spot in the Western Conference and comes in as the road favorite. We will not shy away from that even though the Lakers tend to get bumped a point or two just because they are the Lakers. Dallas is coming off a win at Memphis on Monday to improve to 14-8 which has it at No. 3 in the conference and has gone 2-2 when playing with no rest so no edge either way. The Mavericks are a rare home underdog where they lost their only game in that spot this season against Oklahoma City. In their 22 games, the favorite has gone 18-4 straight up and 16-6 against the number and a win here likely means the cover as well. This is a revenge game for the Lakers which lost at home by three points. 10* (563) Los Angeles Lakers |
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12-12-23 | Georgia Southern +32.5 v. Tennessee | Top | 56-74 | Win | 100 | 21 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the GEORGIA SOUTHERN EAGLES for our CBB Letdown Dominator. We won with Tennessee on Saturday thanks to some late free throws which equated to a big win over Illinois and now it is in letdown mode and a game it could care less about. The Volunteers are now 6-3 which is a very solid 6-3 with the three losses coming against Purdue, Kansas and North Carolina and overall, they have played the No. 5 schedule in the country. There is no question they are the dominant team here but there is a ton of value with the likelihood of not getting close to this number by taking it off the gas with the normal rotation not playing as much and with a game against NC State on deck. Georgia Southern could not be off to a worst start as it is 0-9, one of only five winless teams in the country. Adding to the value here is the fact the Eagles have not covered a game this season, going 0-9 ATS, the only team in the nation not to have covered a single game. The schedule has been tough with only one home game and while they will not win, the first cover finally comes about. 10* (605) Georgia Southern Eagles |
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12-12-23 | Monmouth v. Seton Hall -14.5 | Top | 61-70 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the SETON HALL PIRATES for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. This is a great get right spot for Seton Hall. The Pirates opened the season 4-0 with a weak schedule but that ramped up and they have dropped four of their last five games. This includes two straight at home against Rutgers at home and on the road at Baylor and the other two losses during this stretch were on the road against USC and Iowa so it has not been easy. Seton Hall is 0-5 ATS in these recent five games which is adding some value to the number against a team they defeated by 27 points last season. Monmouth is also 5-4 to start the season but not a very impressive 5-4 considering it has a -4.65 adjusted efficiency margin which is No. 254 in the country. The Hawks are coming off a win over NJIT which followed a pair of losses and going back, they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games and 6-2-1 ATS on the season. While they have four starters returning, they are back from a 26-loss team and considering they are No. 35 in the country in Luck Rating, we need to see a lot more. 10* (602) Seton Hall Pirates |
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12-11-23 | Nets v. Kings -4.5 | Top | 118-131 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS as part of our NBA Monday Triple Play. The Nets won against Washington on Friday to make it three straight wins and improve a recent run to 6-1. Brooklyn leads the league with a 16-4-1 ATS record and while this includes an 8-3-1 ATS record as an underdog, it is 4-8 straight up on those games and getting a short number here. The markets have to catch up and this is the ideal spot to go against with a five-game west coast roadtrip starting tonight. 13 of their 21 games have come at home where they are 8-5 but just 4-4 on the road. Sacramento bounced back from a loss against New Orleans by winning at Phoenix on Friday. It has been a solid run of late for the Kings which are 10-4 over their last 14 games following a 2-4 start. Their defense has not been great but is improved from last season and the offense is top 12 in efficiency after a slow start. Sacramento has won six of its last eight home games following a loss in its first home game of the season against Golden St. and now is playing seven of its next eight at home. 10* (560) Sacramento Kings |
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12-11-23 | Titans v. Dolphins -12.5 | Top | 28-27 | Loss | -120 | 106 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI DOLPHINS for our NFL Monday Annihilator. Miami has won three straight games to claim the No. 1 seed in the AFC for the time being and we are going to lay the big number in the first of three straight home games for the Dolphins. They have feasted on bad teams as they are 7-0 straight up and ATS against teams with a losing record when facing them and going back, 13-4-1 ATS under head coach Mike McDaniel. Miami has improved to No. 4 in net DVOA including No. 2 in offense and have another great matchup here. Tennessee is coming off a brutal loss against Indianapolis in overtime as a missed extra point in regulation late in the fourth quarter could have won it although this has been a lost season to begin with. The Titans are 4-8 and have lost four of their last five games with the only win coming against 1-11 Carolina and it has been a struggle for rookie quarterback Will Levis. The good news for Tennessee is it should have Derrick Henry who has been in concussion protocol but he has been underutilized as he is averaging his fewest carries per game since 2018-19. Here, we play against underdogs of 10.5 or more points with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 after one or more consecutive losses, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 35-10 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons with the average point differential being 20 ppg. 10* (130) Miami Dolphins |
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12-11-23 | Packers v. Giants +7 | Top | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 106 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Monday Primetime Dominator. Green Bay has turned the corner under quarterback Jordan Love as it has won three straight games to improve to 6-6 and get back into the playoff picture in the NFC. All three wins have been as an underdog and now the Packers go from that to a large road favorite as they are now a public darling as they are catching 94 percent of the early money. Green Bay has benefitted from a 5-0 turnover advantage during its winning streak and is coming off a huge win at home against Kansas City and this is only the second time all season it has been a favorite. The Giants have won two straight games as underdogs and they too have benefitted from turnovers with a 9-1 advantage over the two games so it can be said they too have been fortunate but they are not the team laying close to a touchdown. Quarterback Tommy DeVito has turned into a cult hero and while he is not the long term answer, he has managed games well with a passer rating of 137.7 and 103.9 over the last two games with a 4:0 TD:INT ratio. Coming off a bye, New York is in a great contrarian spot that favors underdogs in these situations against teams coming in on a significant winning streak. Here, we play against road favorites in a game involving two teams allowing between 335 and 370 ypg, after gaining 375 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 28-6 ATS (82.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (132) New York Giants |
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12-11-23 | Wolves v. Pelicans -2.5 | Top | 107-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS as part of our NBA Monday Triple Play. The Pelicans made a solid run in the In-Season Tournament as it fell to the Lakers in the semifinals and has had ample rest heading into this one. New Orleans is as healthy as it has been most of this season as their big three of Zion Williamson, Brandon Ingram and C.J. McCollum and back in the starting lineup together and while the trio scored just 31 points combined against Los Angeles and are off their worst shooting game of the season, this is a good spot for a bounce back. Minnesota is one of the biggest surprises in the NBA this season as it is now 17-4 following its sixth straight victory on Friday, a 24-point win at Memphis. The win was possibly costly however as Anthony Edwards left the game with a hip contusion and he is listed as questionable tonight and it would not be surprising if he sits this one out based on the line movement. The defense has led the way as the Timberwolves are No. 1 in the league in offensive efficiency but Minnesota is just No. 16 in offensive efficiency. 10* (556) New Orleans Pelicans |
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12-11-23 | Pacers v. Pistons +6.5 | Top | 131-123 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS as part of our NBA Monday Triple Play. This is a big letdown spot for Indiana which made a great run in the In-Season Tournament, defeating Boston and Milwaukee before eventually losing to the Lakers in the championship game. The offense managed only 109 points on Saturday which was its third lowest output of the season while coming off its worst shooting performance on the year, shooting only 36.8 percent from the floor. We will see a better effort on that end but the defense remains a liability as the Pacers are No. 27 in defensive efficiency. Detroit is having a horrible season as it opened 2-1 but has now lost 19 straight games and is five games away from tying the NBA record for consecutive losses and this is with the highest paid coach in NBA history. As bad as the record is, the Pistons are ranked No. 23 in offensive shooting and No. 21 in defensive shooting and those rankings do not corelate to a record as bad as that. This is a revenge game from a couple weeks ago where they lost by 23 points on the road. 10* (538) Detroit Pistons |
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12-11-23 | Delaware v. Robert Morris +5 | Top | 73-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the ROBERT MORRIS COLONIALS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Delaware remains on the road for its third straight game following a one point loss at Ohio and then pulling off the huge upset at Xavier by seven points as an 11.5-point underdog. The Blue Hens are now 6-3 on the season and are now 3-3 away from home overall and are in a tough spot coming off that Xavier win which has them feeling a little too good about themselves and it also has them overvalued. This is nothing more than a middle of the pack Coastal Athletic association team. Robert Morris has been slow out of the gate as it is now 2-7 which includes three straight losses, failing to cover any of those games. This includes a pair of conference losses against Northern Kentucky and Youngstown St. and then a loss at a very good Canisius team last time out. The Colonials return home where they are 2-2 and this feels like the get right game before the break for finals. This is a great situation where not only is the value coming from the opposition but also from their own recent play. 10* (884) Robert Morris Colonials |
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12-10-23 | Eagles +3.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 13-33 | Loss | -118 | 96 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Divisional Game of the Year. We have seen this line go up since opening and it has crossed the key number of three which is big in a divisional game with similar opponents. The public is in love with the Cowboys which has caused the move as they have won four straight games, the first three in blowout fashion, but they struggled against Seattle last Thursday. Dallas does have the advantage of playing with some extra rest but that is not a big issue here, the issue is who they are playing. The Cowboys have rolled over the bad team that are not playoff contenders, with the Rams being a fringe contender, but they have struggled with the four teams that are in playoff position and now the schedule cranks up the next four weeks so we will see how good they really are. The Eagles were blown out at home last week against the 49ers but they were coming off three tough games against Dallas, Kansas City and Buffalo and while it does not get any easier here, last week was a wake up call and we get a line advantage because of that. Philadelphia has been one of the most lucky teams in the league and it has gotten away with some close calls but the numbers do not lie as the Eagles are No. 8 in net DVOA and while it has been a brutal stretch, they are pretty healthy once again. Quarterback Jalen Hurts has been gimping around but he will be fine and this could be the breakout after three straight below average games. 10* (127) Philadelphia Eagles |
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12-10-23 | Tulsa v. Oklahoma State -5.5 | Top | 57-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Oklahoma St. has gotten off to a rough start as it is 3-5 including losses in two straight games against Creighton and Southern Illinois. Two losses prior to that came against St. Bonaventure and Notre Dame by identical 66-64 scores in back-to-back games on a neutral floor at the Barclays Center. The Cowboys posses a strong backcourt and a balanced frontcourt after bringing in the No. 9 recruiting class in the country and those freshman are already getting valuable minutes. This is the get right game it needs coming off a five-day layoff and having a week off upcoming for finals. Tulsa is 5-2 following a home win over Loyola-Chicago and the Golden Hurricane improved to 5-0 at home. The two losses came in true road games and while this is a neutral court game, they have not been able to win away from home as they have lost 16 straight games away from Tulsa. They have played solid defense thus far but that comes with an asterisk as Tulsa has played a schedule ranked No. 356 out of 364 teams so the record and stats are skewed and this is easily its toughest opponent. 10* (862) Oklahoma St. Cowboys |
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12-10-23 | Rhode Island v. College of Charleston -10 | Top | 70-85 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON COUGARS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. It has been a rugged start for Charleston as it is 4-4 which should be considered pretty solid considering the schedule it has played. The Cougars opened the season at TD Arena against Iona on November 6 and has not been home since, as they have traveled to Annapolis, Myrtle Beach, Conway, Kent and Boca Raton over a stretch of seven games and against quality opposition. The Cougars have faced the No. 45 ranked schedule in the country and will be jazzed to be back on their home floor for the start of a three-game homestand. Rhode Island has been inconsistent thus far as it opened the season with three wins and since then, it has alternated consecutive losses, consecutive wins and consecutive losses. The last two losses especially hurt as they came against Providence and Brown, their two local rivals so now hitting the road after those will make it difficult. At 5-4, the Rams are at least above .500 but it has come against a schedule ranked No. 227 as they were favored by at least 10 points in those first three wins and also playing a non-Division 1 team. 10* (838) College of Charleston Cougars |
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12-10-23 | Jaguars +3 v. Browns | Top | 27-31 | Loss | -100 | 89 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS for our NFL Signature Enforcer. Jacksonville suffered a big loss on Monday and an even bigger loss going forward with Trevor Lawrence leaving with an ankle injury. It does not sound overly serious and he has not completely been ruled out for Sunday as of Wednesday and while he likely will not go, the Jaguars, like what many teams do, will rally around him and C.J. Beathard and the rest of the team will give a big effort following that loss. Jacksonville but picking up steam on defense before last week but is still No. 6 in defensive DVOA and has a great matchup here. Cleveland has lost two straight games and while those were on the road and it has been a much better team at home, the offense has regressed. Even though it was never very good, the offense has averaged only 14.7 ppg over their last three games and they are getting more banged up. Quarterback Joe Flacco made his first start and while he threw for 254 yards, he completed only 52.3 percent of his passes and finished with a 75.4 rating. The defense remains great and is awesome at home but have been going the wrong way. Here, we play against home favorites averaging between 18 and 23 ppg and after two straight losses by 10 points or more going up against teams allowing between 18 and 23 ppg. This situation is 35-11 ATS (76.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (105) Jacksonville Jaguars |
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12-10-23 | Colts v. Bengals | Top | 14-34 | Loss | -112 | 89 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Supreme Annihilator. Indianapolis is on a roll right now with four straight wins and with the injury to Trevor Lawrence, it is very much alive in the AFC South. The Colts are currently in the No. 7 spot in the AFC and tied with three other teams at 7-5 with a very manageable closing schedule. The offense has been sneaky good with Garnder Minshew at quarterback but a lot of that is due to the defense that has produced 20 takeaways this season and their 1.7 per game is tied for fifth in the NFL. Overall, that defense is No. 12 in DVOA and has a great matchup this week. Cincinnato is coming off a huge upset over Jacksonville on Monday night as quarterback Jake Browning looked like a veteran and he has been very serviceable in his two starts. But now, teams have film on him and can better scheme for him and he is due for a regression. The defense continues to struggle as the Bengals have allowed 30 points or more in three of their last four games and are currently No. 27 in defensive DVOA. Cincinnati is No. 13 in offensive DVOA but that can be attributed but that is when they caught fire in Week Five and had a sustainable run with Joe Burrow. Here, we play against teams off an upset win as a double digit underdog, with a winning percentage of between .450 and .550 on the season. This situation is 21-3 ATS (87.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (115) Indianapolis Colts |
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12-10-23 | Texans v. Jets +3.5 | Top | 6-30 | Win | 100 | 88 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK JETS for our NFL Ultimate Underdog. The weather looks to be a big factor in many of the east coast games and this is certainly one of those as we have seen the total drop from 38.5 to 33 but the line has only come down a half point. There is rain and wind in the forecast and that is going cause the most problems for the Houston offense which likes to throw the ball downfield. Quarterback C.J. Stroud has had an incredible rookie season but could struggle in these conditions and he will be without one of his top receivers with Tank Bell going down for the rest of the season. While the offense could be limited, the defense has been average as the Texans are ranked No. 15 in DVOA. The Jets offense will certainly be limited as it has been all season and they have averaged only 9.0 ppg during their five-game losing streak. We are not too concerned about that as they are getting value based on their own struggles, especially going 0-5 ATS in their last five games, and the public love for Houston. The defense has kept them competitive in games mostly not against elite competition as New York is No. 3 in defensive DVOA. The quarterback situation has obviously been a mess but can only go up. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams allowing between 18 and 23 ppg, after scoring and allowing 14 pts or less points. This situation is 38-13 ATS (74.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (118) New York Jets |
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12-09-23 | Gonzaga v. Washington +5 | Top | 73-78 | Win | 100 | 24 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON HUSKIES for our CBB Star Attraction. Gonzaga is once again the favorite to win the West Coast Conference and it is off to a 7-1 start. The Bulldogs won two of three games at the Maui Invitational with the loss coming against Purdue and the one quality win coming against UCLA. This is not the same team we are used to as they lost three double-digit scorers from last season and while they are coming off three blowout wins, those were at home where they are 4-0 and this is the first true road game of the season for Gonzaga. Washington is off to a 5-3 start with the three losses coming against Nevada, San Diego St. and Colorado St., all of which were decided late and the last two coming on a neutral floor. The Huskies look to make a move up in the Pac 12 behind Keion Brooks, Jr. who is the best player on the floor tonight. Since this rivalry was renewed in 2015, Gonzaga has won all six meetings and this is the best opportunity for Washington to snatch a victory. 10* (744) Washington Huskies |
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12-09-23 | Arizona State v. San Diego +8.5 | Top | 84-89 | Win | 100 | 24 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO TORREROS for our CBB Late Powerhouse. San Diego opened the season 2-0 before a six-point loss at rival UC San Deigo. The Terreros then won three straight games including a 14-point win over Arkansas St. in the first game at the Acrisure Invitational in Palm Springs but then lost the next day against Hawaii, the start of a recent 1-3 skid. The other two losses were against Stanford and Utah St., both on the road, and San Diego returns home where it is a perfect 5-0 and amped up for a major conference team coming in. The Terreros are on a 0-4 ATS run which is also adding value. Arizona St. has won four straight games to improve to 6-2 on the season. The two losses came on a neutral floor against Mississippi St. and BYU and it followed that defeat to the Cougars with a win over Vanderbilt in Las Vegas and the Sun Devils are now playing their first true road game. Making it worse, they have TCU on deck who knocked them out of the NCAA Tournament last season. 10* (740) San Diego Terreros |
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12-09-23 | BYU v. Utah +3.5 | Top | 69-73 | Win | 100 | 20 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH UTES for our CBB Upset Special. BYU is rolling big as it is off to an 8-0 start while covering all eight of those games. The Cougars have gone 5-0 at home while winning a pair of games in Las Vegas at the Vegas Showdown while also defeating Fresno St. at the Delta Center. They have an solid home win over San Diego St. but the Aztecs are not the same team as last season while wins over NC State and Arizona St. are not impressive. Overall, BYU has played a schedule ranked No. 295 out of 364 teams and now comes its first true road game in the Holy War no less. Utah is off to a 6-1 start with the only loss coming against No. 3 Houston in the Charleston Classic. The Utes are 3-0 on their home floor and while no one of note has come until now, this is one of the toughest venues for visitors and while coming off just a two-point win over Southern Utah, that was a clear lookahead. This is a triple revenge spot for Utah as well with all three losses coming by at least nine points. 10* (708) Utah Utes |
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12-09-23 | SE Missouri State +16.5 v. IUPU Ft Wayne | Top | 80-89 | Win | 100 | 20 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the SE MISSOURI ST. REDHAWKS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. SE Missouri St. hits the road for the fifth time and as it has gone 0-4 thus far, the numbers are going to be going against them. The Redhawks are 3-6 to start the season after making the NCAA Tournament last season and are coming off a pair of confidence-building games against non-Division 1 opponents. They have played a tough schedule prior to the last two games and they come in with a 0-7 ATS record which is also adding to the value and face an opponent that might not be taking them too serious. Purdue-Fort Wayne is off to a terrific start at 9-1 which includes a 2-0 start in the Horizon League where it defeated Green Bay and Oakland. The Mastodons followed that up with a 13-point win against 2-8 Southern Indiana to make it four straight wins following their lone loss against San Francsico. The start is definitely a surprise after getting picked to finish No. 10 in the 11-team conference. Great spot here. 10* (713) SE Missouri St. Redhawks |
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12-09-23 | Cincinnati v. Xavier +1 | Top | 79-84 | Win | 100 | 20 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the XAVIER MUSKETEERS for our CBB Rivalry Rout. Cincinnati and Xavier square off in the latest edition of the Crosstown Shootout with the Musketeers looking to get things right. Xavier opened the season with a pair of blowout wins at home before going to Purdue and getting smacked. The Musketeers then headed to Las Vegas for the Continental Tire Main Event where it lost its opening game to Washington three points before blowing away St. Mary's. The Musketeers come into Saturday on a three-game losing streak, all at home, but all could have gone either way including a six-point loss to No. 3 Houston. Cincinnati comes in undefeated at 6-0 following a 37-point win over Florida Gulf Coast. Five of the six games have been at home with the only road game taking place at Howard and the Bearcats were lucky to escape with a five-point win in overtime. Cincinnati has lost four straight meetings in this series but Xavier is desperate and will set up yet again. 10* (700) Xavier Musketeers |
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12-09-23 | Canisius +18 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 71-82 | Win | 100 | 20 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the CANISIUS GOLDEN GRIFFINS for our CBB Letdown Dominator. Pittsburgh had lost two straight games before heading to West Virginia for the Backyard Brawl on Wednesday and leaving with a resounding 17-point win over West Virgnia. That puts the Panthers in a massive letdown spot against a sneaky good team and they are now overvalued. Before the home losses against Missouri and Clemson, Pittsburgh won its first four home games against inferior opposition and it covered all of those as a double-digit favorite and while this could be considered another inferior opposition, it is not. Canisius opened the season with three straight road games where it went 1-2 with double-digit losses at Syracuse and Cleveland St. sandwiched around a solid win against a very experienced St. Bonaventure team. The Golden Griffins came home to defeat D'Youville and they then hit the road again to Quebec for the 2023 Northern Classic and pulled off a pair of upsets. They are 5-2 in their last seven games with the two losses coming by six points. 10* (693) Canisius Golden Griffins |
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12-09-23 | TCU v. Clemson | Top | 66-74 | Win | 100 | 18 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEMSON TIGERS for our CBB Nonconference GOM. We played on Clemson on Wednesday and while it defeated rival South Carolina, it failed to cover with a five-point victory after overcoming an 11-point second half deficit. The Tigers improved to 8-0 on the season and they cracked into the top 25 following impressive road wins over Alabama and Pittsburgh to move into the rankings. While a win over the Gamecocks could provide a letdown, that is unlikely here against an undefeated opponent and because of that and the neutral court, there is line value. TCU opened the season with six straight home games against nobody as it was favored by at least 26.5 points in all of those games. The Horned Frogs finally headed on the road to face a bad Georgetown team and they won it on a three-point bomb as time expired but it never should have been a win as the shooter stepped out of bounds. Officials explained that they cannot review an out-of-bounds call that wasn't made live so they got away with it. 10* (664) Clemson Tigers |
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12-09-23 | Army v. Navy +3 | Top | 17-11 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the NAVY MIDSHIPMEN for our Army/Navy Annihilator. Even though both teams come in with a 5-6 record, the winner will not go to a bowl game as neither team had enough wins prior to Selection Sunday although there should have been an exemption for this game. Nonetheless, this is the biggest game of the season for both teams as they head to New England for the first time in series history. While it looks like a tossup, Navy has the edge in the all important area of rushing defense as both offenses are ranked in the top 15 in rushing. Navy comes in No. 30 in rushing defense, allowing 121.9 ypg on 3.6 ypc and has improved dramatically as after allowing 190 or more yards on the ground three times in its first five games, it has not allowed more than 137 yards in any of their last six games. Conversely, Army is No. 116 in rushing defense, allowing 180.5 ypg on 5.0 ypc and has allowed more than 200 yards in six of 11 games. The Black Knights are 1-6 this season when allowing 155 or more yards rushing. Turnovers could play a factor and that is where Navy has the edge as well. Army is No. 110 in the country in turnover margin and No. 115 in giveaways while Navy is No. 3 in turnover margin, No. 7in takeaways and No. 12 in giveaways. 10* (104) Navy Midshipmen |
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12-09-23 | Hofstra v. St. Louis +4 | Top | 68-71 | Win | 100 | 17 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS BILLIKENS for our CBB False Favorite. The Billikens opened the season 4-0 which includes a solid win against Wyoming in the opening round of the Myrtle Beach Invitational but things have gone south since then. They lost the next two games in South Carolina to Vermont and Wichita St. by double digits and they have gone 1-3 since then including three straight losses. The lone win came against Dartmouth at home by one point so that was far from a convincing victory. St. Louis is 3-1 at home overall with a five-point loss against a solid Utah St. team being the most recent. Hofstra opened the season with an expected blowout of St. Joseph's (LI) before losing its next two games against Princeton and George Washington by seven and 11 points respectively. The Pride have gone 5-0 since then and have missed out on a 5-0 ATS run by just a half-point. The recent run could turn into some lethargic play but the big thing is that Hofstra is at Duke on Tuesday which is a no doubt lookahead. 10* (656) St. Louis Billikens |
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12-09-23 | Indiana v. Auburn -6 | Top | 76-104 | Win | 100 | 16 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the AUBURN TIGERS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. We played against Indiana last time out and it ended up going into Michigan and winning by three points to open 2-0 in the Big Ten Conference. The Hoosiers are 7-1 overall including a 3-0 ATS run with the loss coming against Connecticut by 20 points and only other road game resulted in an eight-point win at a very bad Louisville team. While this is a neutral site game, it is in Atlanta so while the Hoosier fans travel well, this will be a partisan Auburn crowd for sure. The Hoosiers have Kansas on deck. Auburn opened the season with a loss against Baylor that took place in Sioux Falls before running off five straight wins, three coming at home including a rout of Virginia Tech. The Tigers followed that game up with a trip to Appalachian St. last Sunday that resulted in a last minute loss. It can be chalked up to a bad shooting day as Auburn went 3-28 (11 percent) from behind the arc. They get it back here. 10* (638) Auburn Tigers |
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12-09-23 | Kansas State v. LSU -2.5 | Top | 75-60 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the LSU TIGERS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Kansas St. did it again as it hit a three-pointer with 3.9 seconds left in overtime to beat Villanova by one point. That was the third straight win in overtime for the Wildcats which are now 4-0 on the season in overtime and 9-0 in their last nine overtime games going back to last season. Kansas St. is 7-2 overall with the two losses coming against Miami in the Bahamas and against USC in Las Vegas so this is their first true road game of the season. LSU is off to a lethargic 4-3 start that includes a neutral site loss to Wake Forest and a road blowout loss to Syracuse. The Tigers are 3-1 at home with the lone defeat being a horrible one to Nicholls St. as a 19-point favorite. LSU brings in 0-3 and 1-5 ATS runs which is giving it value along with the skewed Kansas St. start that could be reversed. This is a revenge game for LSU which lost to Kansas St. in the Cayman Islands Classic Championship in the final seconds. 10* (624) LSU Tigers |
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12-09-23 | Youngstown State v. Western Michigan +6.5 | Top | 72-68 | Win | 100 | 16 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS for our CBB Afternoon Dominator. After opening the season 0-2, Youngstown St. has gone 6-1 over its last seven games with includes a pair of wins over Cleveland St. and Robert Morris to open 2-0 in the Horizon League and then backed that up with a six-point win at Ohio as an 8.5-point underdog. The only loss over this stretch was at Dayton where the Penguins kept it somewhat close and they now come in on a 5-0 ATS run which has them overvalued in a game they could easily look past. Western Michigan opened the season 0-4 starting with two tough home losses by a combined 11 points and then a pair of road Big Ten losses where it covered both. The Broncos then won a pair of neutral site games in Florida to capture the Emerald Coast Classic before a bad loss to St. Thomas at home but that can be chalked up to a lookahead to Notre Dame three days later which they got blasted. Now they are back home with value to break their 0-3 home mark. 10* (618) Western Michigan Broncos |
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12-09-23 | Illinois v. Tennessee -6.5 | Top | 79-86 | Win | 100 | 15 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS for our CBB Early Blowout. After suffering a loss at home to Marquette, Illinois has won five straight games including a win at Rutgers to open Big Ten Conference action and then a nine-point win over Florida Atlantic at MSG in its two most recent games. While the opponent here is another strong one, those games could provide some letdown. After opening the season 0-4 ATS, the Illini have covered four straight, adding value to the other side. Tennessee is off to a disappointing 5-3 start but one look at the schedule shows why. The Volunteers played in the Maui Invitational and after defeating Syracuse in the first round, they drew Purdue and Kansas in the next two rounds and while losing both, they were within reach late in the second half. Tennessee then had to travel to North Carolina which resulted in another late loss where it came back from a huge deficit. They own a quality win over Wisconsin and this would add another one. 10* (610) Tennessee Volunteers |
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12-08-23 | Rockets v. Nuggets -8.5 | Top | 114-106 | Loss | -107 | 22 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. It has not been a great start for Denver as it is off to a 14-8 start following a pair of losses at Sacramento and Los Angeles against the Clippers and the Nuggets are in the midst of a tough stretch. They have a run of 16 games where 12 of those are on the road and Denver is 6-7 in the first 13 games including a 3-7 record on the road. So the Nuggets are 3-0 at home over this stretch and are 9-0 at home this season so the huge home court edge has not changed from last season. We cannot forget it was a slow start for Denver last season as well as it started 14-10 but then went on a 20-3 run and foresee big things happening again. Houston snapped a three-game losing streak with a win against Oklahoma City on Wednesday which also snapped a three-game streak against the number following a remarkable 11-0 ATS run. However, eight of those 11 games were at home where the Rockets won all eight of those games outright and the venue has played a big role in the records as Houston is 9-1 at home but 0-8 on the road with one of those losses coming here just over a week ago by 10 points. 10* (522) Denver Nuggets |
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12-08-23 | Warriors v. Thunder -3.5 | Top | 136-138 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. Oklahoma City is coming off a loss at Houston to fall to 13-7 which is still good for No. 2 in the Western Conference. The Thunder have lost three of their last five games following a six-game winning streak that included a pair of wins against Golden St. on the road and a win here gives them an important early season series win that could go a long way at the end of the season. They are doing it on both ends of the floor as the Thunder are No. 4 in offensive shooting and No. 2 in defensive shooting and while their record does not completely corelate with that, they are the second best ATS team at 14-5-1 including a 5-0-1 ATS record following a loss. Golden St. is not right as it is 10-11 following a 5-10 run and while injuries have played a role, this team is just plain old yet the linesmakers are still overvaluing them. To their credit, the Warriors have played the No. 2 ranked schedule but it does not get easier here. Golden St. has taken care of the bad teams as they are 7-1 against teams ranked outside the top 16 and 3-10 against teams ranked inside that including a 2-5 record against the top 10. 10* (518) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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12-08-23 | Wizards +9.5 v. Nets | Top | 97-124 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. The Nets won in Atlanta on Wednesday to make it two straight wins and improve a recent run to 5-1. They are now 11-9 overall but a fairly average 7-5 at home. Brooklyn leads the league with a 15-4-1 ATS record and while this includes a 7-1 record both straight up and against the spread as a favorite, the lone loss came when it was favored in this price range. The markets have to catch up and this is the ideal spot to go against with a five-game west coast roadtrip on deck. Washington lost for the third consecutive game to fall to 3-17 which surprisingly is not even the worst record in the Eastern Conference. The Wizards were not expected to do anything this season and that has already come to fruition but it was known coming in and the markets adjusted from the start so while they have not been winning, they have been staying within the number, going 10-10 ATS. Washington has been better on the road with inflated numbers as it is 8-4 ATS and is again catching an inflated number. After a slow start, the offense has improved, shooting 47 percent or better in their last six games and has shot 50.3 percent in the six games. 10* (511) Washington Wizards |
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12-08-23 | Illinois-Chicago v. Jacksonville State | Top | 55-49 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the JACKSONVILLE ST. GAMECOCKS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Jacksonville St. is entering its first season in Conference USA following playing the Atlantic Sun. The Gamecocks are pegged for a last place finish in the conference but a lot of that is based on the unknown as this is a talented team that should hold its own. They are off to a 4-5 start but four of those losses have come by a combined seven points including two at home by two points each. Jacksonville St. is coming off one of those losses against East Tennessee St. in its last game so it wants to get that back before heading to Wisconsin in its next game next week. This is a revenge game for Jacksonville St. which lost by seven points at Illinois-Chicago. The Flames are 5-3 and have lost two straight games including a home loss against Illinois St. by five points as a 5.5-point favorite. Illinois-Chicago opened the season 6-0 ATS prior to that last defeat so it will again be a popular play based on that. The Flames are coming off a miserable season last year where they went 12-20 including a 4-16 record in the Missouri Valley Conference and they are expected another bottom half finish, losing their top two scorers. 10* (888) Jacksonville St. Gamecocks |
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12-07-23 | Patriots +6 v. Steelers | Top | 21-18 | Win | 100 | 30 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Dominator. In what is expected to be a very low scoring game with a total sitting at 30, there is a lot of value in the significant underdog. The Steelers are 7-5 following a loss last week against Arizona so they are still very much alive in the AFC playoff race. However, they have been exposed on offense especially over the last three weeks as Pittsburgh has put up only 12 ppg which has lowered their average to 16 ppg. The Steelers are No. 25 in offensive EPA and now have to go with Mitch Trubisky at quarterback, even though Kenny Pickett was not doing much himself, and while he put up a high passer rating last week, he completed just 11 passes for 117 yards. The Patriots have had a rough season from the start with an even worse offense but to their credit, they continue to play hard, especially on defense as they have gotten healthier. They have allowed only 26 points over their last three games and have lost four straight one possession games to make it seven of 10 losses coming by a touchdown or less. New England is doing nothing on offense either but it will not take a great effort this week to keep this one close. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points outscored by five or more ppg in the first half, after scoring nine points or less in two straight games. This situation is 23-3 ATS (88.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (101) New England Patriots |
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12-07-23 | Portland v. North Dakota State -2 | Top | 67-78 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTH DAKOTA ST. BISON for our CBB Signature Enforcer. North Dakota St. is looking to break out this season as it is the most experienced team in the Summit League and it has come so close to NCAA Tournament success as it made it in 2018-19 but even though it made it to the conference tournament championship game the last four years, it came up short all four times. The Bison have four starters back and seven of its top eight scorers from last season and while it is off to a 5-4 start, all four losses were away from home with three coming against really good teams. They are back home where they are 3-0 this season, have won eight straight and are 11-2 in their last 13 home games. Portland is also 5-4 to start the season and comes in a short dog despite a 0-2 start on the road. The Pilots are rebuilding a new team behind the top player from last season Tyler Robertson, one of only five returning players so the road struggles are anticipated. The offense has been solid as a whole but the defense is one of the worst as they are No. 319 in points allowed and No. 341 in opponents shooting percentage from behind the arc. That is a big issue in this matchup with the Bison No. 44 in the country in three-point shooting. 10* (878) North Dakota St. Bison. |
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12-07-23 | Pacers v. Bucks -4.5 | Top | 128-119 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Milwaukee is coming off a 24-point win against the Knicks in the quarterfinal after sweeping the group stage by outscoring opponents by 46 points and is in good position to make it to the championship. It was an uneven start to the season for the Bucks trying to find their chemistry with a revamped roster as they opened 5-4 but have gone 10-2 since then with one of those losses coming to Boston on the road. Milwaukee is one of only two teams in the league with two scorers in the top 15 and as a team, it is No. 3 in scoring and No. 2 in scoring. Indiana brings in the most potent offense in the league but that has resulted in just an 11-8 record. The Pacers are coming off a 10-point upset against Boston but they were outshot and the difference was from the free throw line as they outscored Boston 17-8 while making seven more three-pointers. While the offense has been humming, the difference here is the defense as the Bucks have not been great but are middle of the pack while Indiana is No. 29 in both points allowed and opponents shooting and has allowed opponents to shoot 47 percent or higher in 12 straight games including 50 percent or more seven times. 10* (502) Milwaukee Bucks |
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12-06-23 | San Francisco v. Vanderbilt +2.5 | Top | 73-60 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the VANDERBILT COMMODORES for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Vanderbilt is coming off its first 20-win season since 2014-15 as it made a big run late in the season with a change in culture being a big part of that. The Commodores now have their most talented roster under head coach Jerry Stackhouse who is in his fifth season. They are 4-4 to start the season including a 4-1 record in their last five home games including a blowout win over Alabama A&M in its last game which snapped an overall three-game losing streak. San Francisco has built a very solid program with six 20-win seasons over the last seven with the COVID season being the lone exception. The Dons could reach that win total again but it will not be easy as their top three scorers from last season departed. They are off to a 5-3 start but has defeated no one of significance with a victory over Minnesota being the best of the bunch. They are 3-0 at home but just 2-3 away from home and head to a tough environment. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after two or more consecutive unders with a +8 ppg or better scoring differential going up against teams with a +/- 3.5 ppg scoring differential. This situation is 150-88 ATS (63 percent) since 1997. 10* (710) Vanderbilt Commodores |
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12-06-23 | South Carolina v. Clemson -8.5 | Top | 67-72 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEMSON TIGERS for our CBB Star Attraction. Clemson has cracked the top 25 after a 7-0 start and this is a team that will be contenders for a top four spot in the ACC. The Tigers are coming off impressive road wins over Alabama and Pittsburgh to move into the rankings and they are back home where they are 3-0 for their big rival. This is a revenge spot following a two-point loss at South Carolina last season. The offense is rolling as Clemson is No. 80 in scoring while shooting 48.2 percent which is No. 49 including 40.7 percent from range, good for No. 10. South Carolina is also 7-0 to start the season but it has been a much easier path as it has a pair of decent wins against Virginia Tech and Grand Canyon on a neutral floor. This is the Gamecocks first true road game of the season putting them in a very tough spot. They have played a schedule ranked No. 125, compared to Clemson which has played a slate ranked No. 19, so their numbers are skewed. Here, we play on home teams as a favorite or pickem after scoring 75 points or more in three straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 85 points or more. This situation is 128-74 ATS (63.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (718) Clemson Tigers |
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12-06-23 | Richmond v. Northern Iowa -2 | Top | 73-78 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTHERN IOWA PANTHERS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. It has been a disappointing start for Northern Iowa which is off to a 2-6 start that includes losses in five of its last six games. The Panthers had a tough season last year where they finished with losses in eight of their last nine regular season games which dropped them to 9-11 in the Missouri Valley Conference and then came a quick exit in the conference tournament. They are pegged to win the conference this season with four returning starters even though it is off to a 0-2 start and this is a big game to get things back on track. This is a revenge game for Northern Iowa which lost at Richmond last season by 13 points so this is a great spot for a get right game. Richmond took out William & Mary at home last time out to move to 5-3 on the season. The Spiders are now 4-0 at home but hits the road where they are 2-0 in true road games at Boston College and Wichita St. It was a rough season last year for them as well and it will be a lot tougher to bounce back with only one starter back and the Spiders are picked for a bottom half finish in the weak Atlantic Ten Conference. 10* (730) Northern Iowa Panthers |
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12-06-23 | Nets v. Hawks -3.5 | Top | 114-113 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. Atlanta is back home following a five-game roadtrip where it went 2-3 to remain one game under .500 on the season. This is the first Hawks home game since November 22 which also came against Brooklyn in a two-point win and this is an important game with games against Philadelphia and Denver on deck. Atlanta is the worst ATS team in the league as it is 5-14 against the number which adds value with people staying clear. Brooklyn defeated Orlando by 29 points in its last game on Saturday which concluded a five-game homestand where it went 4-1 to move a game over .500. The Nets have been a pleasant surprise in the Eastern Conference as the roster has been depleted from the last couple seasons. While Atlanta has poor against the spread, Brooklyn has been the opposite as it is 14-4-1 ATS which is tied with Oklahoma City for the best in the NBA. Here, we play against road underdogs after a blowout win by 20 points or more going up against an opponent after scoring 120 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (570) Atlanta Hawks |
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12-06-23 | Massachusetts v. Towson +3 | Top | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the TOWSON TIGERS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Towson is coming off two straight 20-win seasons and is pegged for another top finish in the Coastal Athletic Association. The Tigers are off to a 3-5 start but the schedule has been a tough one as they opened the season with a pair of road games and have played four neutral games while hosting just two games. This is their only home game until December 22 so it has turned into a big one. The offense has left a lot to be desired but the defense has made up for it. Massachusetts is off to a 4-1 start so it has played a limited schedule thus far and this is the first time this season it has left campus and still laying points. The Minutemen had another rough season, its fifth straight of 15 wins or fewer and the prognosis does not look good for this season. They have just one starter back from last year and only three players who were in the rotation. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 allowing 40 percent shooting and after a game allowing 33 percent shooting or lower going up against teams allowing between 42.5 and 45 percent shooting. This situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (680) Towson Tigers |
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12-05-23 | Suns +1.5 v. Lakers | Top | 103-106 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. We were hoping to find more injury info in this matchup but it is likely going to be late with LeBron James listed as questionable and will likely go as he seems to be on the injury report every game. This game is for a trip to the semifinals of the In-Season Tournament and the Suns look for some revenge here. They have lost the first two meetings with Los Angeles and while they are not at full strength, they are better off than those first two games with Devin Booker back in the lineup. He has been consistent since coming back with the exception of a poor game against Toronto two games back when he rolled an ankle but was fine in the last game against Memphis where he put up 34 points. After a rough start by going 4-6 in their first 10 games, the Suns have won eight of their last 10 to move into fourth place in the Western Conference. The Lakers also started slow but then went on a 6-1 run but have gone 3-3 since then. They are laying a short number but for good reason and they are a significant public side tonight. 10* (561) Phoenix Suns |
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12-05-23 | Indiana v. Michigan -7 | Top | 78-75 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the MICHIGAN WOLVERINES for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Indiana is off to a 6-1 start but is in a very tough spot here. The Hoosiers are coming off a win over Maryland in their Big Ten Conference opener which was their third straight victory which followed a 20-point loss against Connecticut, their only game against a real quality opponent away from home. While they have played three games away from home, this is their first true road game of the season and come in a banged up bunch as their backcourt is in shambles with four guards on the injury report. Michigan opens conference action following a pair of losses to Texas Tech and Oregon. The wolverines have lost four of their last five games and are back home for the first time since November 17 where they lost to Long Beach St. by eight points as a 15-point favorite. This is the get right game and catch the Hoosiers in a vulnerable spot with matchup advantages on the home side. Michigan will be out for revenge against their rival, losing both meetings last season by a combined three points. 10* (648) Michigan Wolverines |
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12-05-23 | Evansville +24.5 v. BYU | Top | 55-96 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the EVANSVILLE PURPLE ACES for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. BYU is coming off a 19-15 season including a 7-9 record in their final year in the WCC and now it enters the Big 12 are have been projected to be a middle of the pack team. The Cougars have four starters back and got an early jump on the season with an overseas trip to Italy and Croatia so their 7-0 start should not be overly shocking. This is a bad spot however and the markets have to catch up by laying a massive number based on their 7-0 record against the number. BYU has a big rivalry on deck as it heads to Utah on Saturday. Evansville got off to a 6-0 start before losing its Missouri Valley Conference opener at Missouri St. by 12 points but bounced back with a home win over Northern Iowa on Saturday. The Purple Aces have already surpassed their win total from all of last season and tied the win total from two seasons ago. They are expected to be a much improved team and the record already shows that as they have four starters back that includes two fifth year players and a senior along with a junior so they are experienced and this road environment will not affect them. 10* (655) Evansville Purple Aces |
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12-05-23 | Indiana State v. Northern Illinois +8 | Top | 90-67 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Indiana St. is coming off a pair of big Missouri Conference Valley wins to make it six straight victories and now hits the road again in a big letdown spot. The Sycamores have covered five of the six games and now laying points on the road coming off the big upset at Bradley. They are coming off a 23-win season and the start thus far is surprising after losing their top three scorers from last year. While their offense has been one of the best in the nation, the defense still has a lot to be desired and faces a sneaky good offense. Northern Illinois is off to a 5-2 start but coming off a 22-point loss at Northwestern last time out. However, that was 10 days ago and the Huskies have been fuming since then. This is a team that had a .500 season in the MAC last year and s projected for a top five finish with plenty of experience. They are still without Keshawn Williams whose return is expected soon but this has been a balanced team with four double-digit scorers that has been very efficient. Northern Illinois is No. 31 in the country in scoring and No. 37 in shooting. 10* (626) Northern Illinois Huskies |
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12-04-23 | Bengals v. Jaguars -8 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS for our AFC Game of the Month. This would have been a marquee matchup a few weeks ago but the loss of Joe Burrow has taken the steam out of it and this line is now nine points higher than the early line that came out over the summer. Is Burrow worth nine points? The short answer is probably no but are more factors going into it. Cincinnati is coming off a loss against Pittsburgh by six points and while that seems like a close defeat, it was not. The Bengals were outgained 421-222 and it was the first time Pittsburgh gained over 400 yards of total offense in over three years which shows how bad this defense really is. Cincinnati is allowing 6.2 yppl which is the most in the league and a full yard more than last season and it has moved to No. 26 in defensive DVOA and No. 26 in defensive EPA. The Jaguars are coming off a pair of divisional wins to improve to 8-3 and the matchup could not be better here. The offense has been inconsistent all season and is ranked No. 17 in DVOA but now faces an awful defense so that is not an issue. The defense has been exceptional as the Jaguars are No. 5 in defensive DVOA and catches a break as they face Jake Browning who did not look horrible last week but did have some lucky breaks go his way. Jacksonville should dominate on this side as well. Here, we play against road teams with a pathetic allowing 6.0 or more yppl, after being outgained by 150 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 24-6 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (474) Jacksonville Jaguars |
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12-03-23 | Chiefs v. Packers +6 | Top | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 82 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Dominator. Kansas City finally got its offense going last week after falling behind 14-0 as the Chiefs put up 31 points which surprisingly is tied for its second highest output of the season. The Chiefs are now in a tough spot coming off that divisional win with a game against Buffalo on deck so it is a letdown lookahead situation. This offense managed 360 total yards which is still below their season average so saying that are back is not justified. Travis Kelce had a typical big game and they got a huge effort from rookie Rashee Rice for his best game of the season but this receiving corps is still underachieving. The Chiefs are No. 12 in the luck rankings so despite a recent 7-3 ATS run, it is a bit deceiving. Green Bay is coming off a Thanksgiving win over Detroit which was its second straight underdog win to improve to 5-6 on the season. The Packers have lost some tough games this season as four of their defeats have come by a total of 11 points. Quarterback Jordan Love has been playing a lot better and is obviously more comfortable after some midseason struggles and he has put up a passer rating of 108.5 or better in three of his last four game. Defensively, they have improved as well and are now No. 7 in pressure rate, No. 5 in quarterback knockdown percentage and No. 7 in hurry rate. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 off two or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (472) Green Bay Packers |
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12-03-23 | 49ers -2.5 v. Eagles | Top | 42-19 | Win | 100 | 78 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Star Attraction. Philadelphia is coming off a pair of big wins as it got its revenge against the Chiefs and battled Buffalo to the end last week in an overtime win and it only gets tougher this week. The Eagles are 10-1 and a very fortunate 10-1 with seven of those 10 wins coming by just one possession including their last four games. In those recent games, Philadelphia was outgained in all four of those by 98, 114, 98 and 127 yards so it has not even been close so basically most everything has gone right. With an offense that has averaged only 320.5 ypg over this four-game run, they are catching the wrong team at the wrong time. The Eagles defense was on the field for over 40 minutes and 95 plays last week and now have a very physical test. San Francisco has won three straight games following a three-game losing streak where it was riddled with injuries. The 49ers are coming off a pretty easy win over Seattle where it was not given much of a challenge and now they have had the extra rest coming off a short week prior to that. Defensively, they are coming off their best three-game stretch of the season with only 30 points allowed on just 242.6 ypg and the 49ers have moved to No. 6 in defensive DVOA. The other side has been even better as San Francisco is No. 1 in offensive DVOA as it is now averaging 32.4 ppg taking out those three losses when numerous offensive pieces were missing. This game has been circled following the playoff loss from last season when Brock Purdy had to leave the game and the result was an embarrassing 31-7 loss. 10* (467) San Francisco 49ers |
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12-03-23 | Lions -4 v. Saints | Top | 33-28 | Win | 100 | 75 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFC Game of the Month. This is a minimal public play with Detroit but it is not as popular as it normally would have been just a few weeks ago but the Lions are coming off a pair of ugly games and this is a big one to get right. Detroit was able to salvage a win against the Bears despite losing the turnover battle 4-1 but could not match that on Thanksgiving as it lost to Green Bay with another -3 turnover margin. The Lions won the yardage battle in both of those games including a 464-377 advantage last week and face another very average team and while it is on the road, it is on the turf. Detroit is No. 7 in net DVOA with both units ranking in the top 10. New Orleans lost at Atlanta last week but it still very much alive in the NFC South at 5-6 which is keeping this number down. The Saints relied on their defense early in the season but have regressed of late by allowing 25.2 ppg over their last five games. They are still a respectable No. 13 in defensive DVOA but have faced some poor offenses as in their 11 games, that have gone against an offense eight times that is bottom half of the league in DVOA and the best they have faced is ranked No. 9 and remain without cornerback Marshon Lattimore. Offensively, New Orleans is hurting with their top three receivers all in jeopardy of missing this game. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off a road loss. This situation is 35-10 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (453) Detroit Lions |
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12-03-23 | Dolphins v. Commanders +10 | Top | 45-15 | Loss | -125 | 75 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON COMMANDERS for our NFL Signature Enforcer. Washington is coming off a blowout loss on Thanksgiving against Dallas which was its third straight loss to fall to 4-8 and it is catching another big number this week. The Commanders parted ways with defensive coordinator Jack Del Rio as it has been a struggle and while it does not look to get any easier here, players tend to step up in these spots after a coach getting let go. They are ranked No. 31 in defensive DVOA which is obviously horrible but it could not be in a better contrarian spot after everyone saw them get lit up against the Cowboys. They have been adequate on offense with efficiency and Sam Howell is still slinging it around and facing a middle of the pack defense. Miami is coming off a Black Friday win over the Jets on the road and is laying a similar number here coming off a big divisional win. The Dolphins have won two straight games following a mediocre 3-3 run and while those losses were against elite teams, this being the second of a back-to-back road set, it sets up similar to the first two games of the season where it scored 36 in the season opener and followed that up with just 24 points against the Patriots in their second back-to-back game. Home underdogs of a touchdown or more are 8-4-1 ATS this season. Here, we play on home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points outscored by five or more ppg in the first half, after scoring 14 points or less last game. This situation is 34-10 ATS (77.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (464) Washington Commanders |
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12-02-23 | Thunder v. Mavs +4.5 | Top | 126-120 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. Dallas is coming off a loss last night against Memphis which was its second worst offensive output this season. The Mavericks scored 94 points, second lowest, and shot just 37 percent from the field which was also its second lowest this season. They were without Luka Doncic on Friday night as he welcomed Baby Doncic and he is on track to return tonight with the line still making it questionable. It was his first missed game of the season and he is obviously the cog of this team, averaging 31.1 ppg, 8.0 rpg, and 7.9 apg in 17 games. Oklahoma City snapped a two-game losing streak with a 23-point win over the Lakers on Thursday and it is the biggest surprise in the Western Conference through the early part of the season. The Thunder are 12-6 which is good for third place in the conference, two games behind Minnesota. They have been excellent on both sides of the ball, No. 3 in offensive shooting and No. 2 in opponent shooting percentage but have done the damage against the bottom half of the league where they are 6-0 and just 6-6 against the top 15. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after scoring 95 points or less going up against an opponent after scoring 130 points or more. This situation is 23-5 ATS (82.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (546) Dallas Mavericks |
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12-02-23 | Louisville +2.5 v. Florida State | Top | 6-16 | Loss | -105 | 78 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISVILLE CARDINALS for our ACC Championship Winner. We played against Florida St. last week in its first game without quarterback Jordan Travis and it got away with a win against Florida. The offense definitely suffered as the Seminoles managed only 224 yards of offense and now faces a much better defense this week as it looks to stay alive in the CFP. Florida St. was knocked down to the No. 5 spot last week but moved up to the No. 4 spot this week after Ohio St. losing and a win here likely gets it in. That will he harder said than done. It has obviously been a great season for Florida St. and it can surely get by here with its defense but another non-home against a very good offense could be an issue which almost did it in last week. The offense has been solid all season but it cannot be ignored that quarterback Tate Rodemaker struggled against the Gators, going just 12-25 for 134 yards. The Cardinals bring in a defense ranked No. 19 overall including No. 12 against the run while their 20 ppg allowed are No. 25 in the nation. Louisville is coming off a tough loss against rival Kentucky as it won the yardage battle 403-289 but lost the turnover battle 3-1 and allowed a kickoff return for a touchdown. Its other loss against Pittsburgh was a similar outcome as it lost the turnover battle 3-0 so clear those miscues up and the Cardinals could be 12-0 as well. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season rushing for 4.8 or more ypc and after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game going up against teams averaging between 4.3 and 4.8 ypc. This situation is 77-38 ATS (67 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (321) Louisville Cardinals |