On Sunday the Week 5 Power Play is on the Buffalo Bills. Game 414 at 1:00 eastern. The Bills qualify in a big week 5 system that pertains to winless teams. They also apply to a system that plays on certain homers off a home loss by 24 or more points. They will want this one badly with their bye week on deck. When at home off a double digit loss vs an opponent off a win and cover they have covered 7 of 8 times. The Jags have allowed 20 or more points in their last 8 road games and should be flat off their big upset win vs the Colts. Take the Bills


On Sunday the Double Perfect Power system play is on the Detroit Lions. Game 418 at 1:0 eastern. Detroit will look to get their first win against a Rams team that is off back to back home dog wins. These upset wins set the Rams up in a rare system that has come up just 6 times since 1980. We want to play against non divisional road dogs of less than 5 points off you guessed it back to back home dog wins. These short road pups are 0-6 straight up and ats. The Lions also qualify in a solid week 5 Power system that is 85% long term. The Rams are 0-5 ats on the road after allowing 10 or less points. They have played just one road game on the season. The Lions have played 3 of their 4 game son the road and have played a much tougher schedule thus far. The Capper is the Lions 12-1 ats record as a home favorite of 2 or more vs an opponent off back to back wins. lay the 2 points with Detroit

On Sunday the OFF SHORE STEAM on Tampa Bay. Game 421 at 1:00 eastern.Tampa was hit hard by a solid group out of Panama. Tampa is off a bye week and will no doubt be prepared as they come off a 25 point Blowout home loss tot he Steelers. Tampa qualifies in big system that plays on dogs of 6.5 or more if they have at least one win vs a non divisional team and are off a non division loss, vs an opponent off a division loss. Since 1992 these dogs are 20-2 ats. Tampa is 4-1 as a dog in this range and the Bengals are just 2-11 ats as a favorite. The Bucs are 5-1 ats with rest. The Bengals happen to be 0-5 ats vs an opponent with rest. Look for the Bucs to get the Cover here. Take the 7 points with the Bucs.

On Monday the Monday Night Power System Play is on the Miami Dolphins. Game 226 at 8:35 eastern. The Patriots qualify in a rare system that is 100% against the spread since 1989. What we want to do is play against road teams if the line is -3 to +3 and they scored 28 or more as a home favorite of -7 or more and had 150 or more yards rushing if the total is 40 or more and the opponent played their last game at home. Road teams lose by an average 31-14 score which is unusual for such a closely lined game. Miami coach Sparano is 5-0 ats vs division opponents off a loss. The Patriots are 1-6 off a win against a division rival and 0-3 the last 3 years when on the road with a total of 45.5 to 49. Miami is 9-4 as a home dog on Monday nights the last 30 years. They are right back at home in another prime time home game after their loss to the Jets. The Patriots were exposed in pass defense by a Buffalo team that couldn't move the ball vs the Jets on Sunday. New England is a shell of their former selves on defense. Look for Miami to come away with the win. Take Miami

In NFL Action the Sunday night Power system plays on the New York Giants. Game 220 at 8:20 eastern. The Giants looked terrible last week in abad loss to the Titans. Look for them to straighten things out this week against a Bears team who is coming off a big dog home win vs Green Bay. The Bears were the beneficiaries of 18 penalties called against the Packers. Some of the penalties were clearly game changers. For technical purposes we want to play on home favorites of -3 or more off a home favored loss and scored 14 or less points vs an opponent that scored 21 or less as a home dog. These homers are 12-2 and win by an average 11 points per game. T. Coughlin is a solid 8-1 ats in his career off a double digit non division ats loss vs a winning team. The Bears are 1-9 ats as road dogs vs an opponent off a straight up favored loss and 1-4 ats as a road dog from 3 to 7. Go with the Giants tonight.

NFL off shore steam on Washington. Game 221 a 4:15 eastern.

On Sunday the NFL Divisional Power system play is on the Pittsburgh Steelers. Game 202 at 1:00 eastern. The Steelers qualify in 2 solid systems here today. What we want to do is play on undefeated game 4 home favorites. Secondly we play against teams like Baltimore who are division road dogs off a win as a 7 or more point home favorite, but did not cover the spread. These road dogs are just 4-20 ats and rarely win in this range. The Steelers are 12-3 vs winning teams while Baltimore is under .500 vs winning teams. The Ravens are 2-5 in October games, compared with Pittsburgh at 6-1. The Steelers are a solid 23-5 straight up at home when the total is 32.5 to 35, which shows how well they do in these tighter games.. Baltimore is just 1-4 ats the last 5 vs Pittsburgh. Look for the Steelers to win.

On Sunday the NFL Dog with Bite that wins outright is on the St. Louis Rams. Game 212 at 1:00 eastern. The Rams just make it as a qualifier in this 44-13 system. What we want to do is play on dogs of 1.5 or more if they are 1-2 and off a win. These first time winners have shown they can carry the momentum over to the next week in a dog role. Seattle is a terrible road team and have lost 8 of their last 9 games on the road off a home win. The Rams are 6-1 at home off a dog win and have slightly number better numbers on both sides of the ball. Seattle won last weeks game due to 2 big special teams plays with L. Washington taking 2 back for touch downs. Look for The Rams to surprise folks as they even their record here. Take the Rams +2

Bonus MLB Play on Atlanta Braves. Game 908 at 1:35 eastern. Braves send Bobby Cox out with a win in hos alst regular season game.

On Monday night the NFL System play is on the Chicago Bears. Game 430 at 8:35 eastern.

Sunday night Side

TAKE Buffalo

take Tampa

Take KC

On Monday night the NFL System play is on the New Orleans Saints. Game 237 at 8:30 eastern. This game fits a solid system that plays against the 49ers here tonight. What we want to do is play against home dogs of 3 or more if they are coming off a road favored loss and scored 9 or less points, if they are taking on an opponent off a home game. This system wins by an average 13 points per game. The Saints had a ton of time to prepare for this game as they opened the season last Thursday with a 14-9 win over the Vikings in a game where they scored on their first possession and then used solid defense to come from behind and win. Tonight they take on a San Francisco team that was the hot pick to win their division. However after a 31-6 drubbing to an average Seattle team, one has to wonder if they can overcome their offensive turmoil and rally around Qb Alex Smith, or whether they will go backwards here. They had little success on the ground last week rushing for just 49 yards. On Defense they will be hard pressed to stop a Saints team that can score quick and often and employs a number of different options. The Saints have won and covered all 4 times the past 3 years as a road favorite from 3.5 to -7 and have covered 7 of the last 8 in September. Look for the Saints to get the win and cover here tonight.

On Sunday the NFL Double system Play is on the Washington Redskins. Game 230 at 4:15 eastern. Washington fits 2 systems here today. Play on home dogs of less than 5 in non conference games off a home dog win. These teams have covered at a high rates the last 25 years. Washington is coming off a solid win over Dallas, while the Texans beat the Colts for just the second time. Houston is a terrible 0-9 ats on the road off a home dog win and 2-6 vs the NFC East. Houston could struggle with the vaunted Washington defense here today. Take Washington


Bonus play over the total Giants at Colts

NFL System play on New England Patriots

On Sunday the NFL Top play is on the Cincinnati Bengals. Game 212 at 1:00 eastern. The Bengals fit one of my favorite early season systems that plays on certain dogs in the 1st 3 weeks of the season vs an opponent with revenge. Baltimore does have a great defense. However the offense they will oppose today is much better than that of the Jets. In fact the Bengals beat the Ravens both times last year. They put up 369 yards and 403 yards, so we know they are not stymied by Ray Lewis and the Ravens defense. Cincy will improve on defense as they take on an offense at home that will not be as tough as a road game in New England. The Bengals are 3-1 as a home dog of 3 or less the past 3 years and have covered 4 of the last 5 at home vs Baltimore. The Ravens are just 1-6 ats off a Monday night game as the lost day seems to effect them. The Ravens were psyched for the Jet game and May not be able to sustain that type of motivation here. Back the Bengals.

Under steelers at Titans

Over the total Arizona at Atlanta

On Monday the NFL Power Angle Play is on the Baltimore Ravens. Game 479 at 7:00 eastern. The Ravens qualify in several solid angles her tonight. For starters they are 6-1 ats as a road dog of 3 or less. In the month of September they are 6-0 ats the last 2 years. They have won 5 of the 6 meetings since 1992 and are 16-4 ats when the total is 35.5 to 42.. The Ravens have the better offense and as good a defense as the Jets. New York has been plagued by turnovers since the arrival of 2nd year QB M.Sanchez. While it is impossible to predict who will win the turnover battle, it is worth noting that Baltimore is 45-3 when they win the turnover battle. The Ravens appear to be a better team. Lets take the points here. Take Baltimore

On Sunday the NFL NFC system play is on the Seattle Seahawks. Game 474 at 4:15 eastern. Seattle fits a big system that pertains to divisional dogs vs an opponent with revenge in early season action. They take on a San Francisco team that is just 1-6 ats as a road favorite. Seattle opens up with new coach Pete Carrol today. Seattle has won 6 of the last 9 meetings here and will give the 49 ers a big game here. Take the points with Seattle.

On Sunday the early season Dominator system is on the Buffalo Bills. Game 456 at 1:00 eastern. This early season system has done real well the past few years. What we want to do is play on certain divisional teams in the first 3 weeks of the season if their opponent That has revenge. Buffalo will be looking to make a statement in this AFC East early season match up. The Bills are aware they are an after thought with New England, Miami and the Jets. Chan Gailey will get a good game from his troops in front of the home crowd. It will help that Miami is 0-6 in their first road game of late and 1-5 the last 3 years in September. The Bills have taken 5 of the last 7 games in September and are a Live dog here today.

On Thursday the NFL System play is on the Minnesota Vikings. Game 451 at 8:30 eastern. What we want to do is play against Game 1 Super Bowl champions if they are going into revenge. These champs are a poor 1-6 ats. This is right back playoff Revenge for the Vikings who are 5-0 ats the last 5 vs the Saints and have covered the last 4 times in New Orleans. Last years game was decided by 3 points. The Vikings clamped down on the Saints in the second half of that game. However they were done in by a big pick from B. Favre. Tonight the Vikings have this one circled and should cover the points. Take The Vikings

On Sunday the 16-0 DOUBLE system play is on the OVER in the Minnesota at NO. Saints game at 6:45 eastern. In NFL Conference championship games the total has gone over 9 straight times if the home team is off a win of 2 touchdowns or more and the posted total is 37 or more. In addition games where the total is 51 or more have played to the over 7 straight times since 1991. Look for an up and down game with alittle or no defense as both teams light up the score board tonight. Tkae the over in the NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME.

On Sunday the 68-6 Conference Championship angle is on the Indy Colts at 3:00 eastern. The Colts fall into an incredible 4 systems here today. Lets break some of them down. What we want to do is play on home team in Conference Championship games off an ats win vs an opponents who is off a win and cover and allowed 10 or more points. This system has cashed 19 of the last 21 times. The Colts also fit another deadly system indicator that plays on Playoff teams that won 13 or more games this year and 1 or more games last year. These teams are 39-4 straight up and 33-8-2 ats. The Colts will want this one badly after all the heat they took for blowing the perfect season at home against the Jets in week 16. The whole city was upset after that loss calling the game a forfeit. The Colts will make amends for this game. Another benefit for the P. Manning and the Colts is having seen the Jets defense already this season. Every team playing the Jets for a second time has been more productive in the second go around. The Colts defense does not get nearly the credit they deserve and may very well shut the Jets vaunted ground attack down. It will be very difficult for the Jets to win a third straight road game against a winning team in as many weeks. There is a reason why its only happened 1 or 2 times. It will be very difficult against a battle tested Colts team that may win this game much easier than expected. Consider that since 1973 in 74 Conference championship games the spread has only come into play 6 times. When favorites win these games they very rarely fail ats. Look for a solid win and cover for the Colts here today. Lay the points.

On Sunday the Big totals play is on the Under in the NY.Jets at San Diego game. Rotation numbers 115/116 at 4:40 eastern. The Jets have the # 1 defense this year and lead many defensive categories. They allow a shade over 13 points per game this season. SD has made a habit of scoring 20 or more points in their games. Today if they get 20 it will be the toughest points they score all year. They have not faced a blitzing,scheming defense like this all season. The Jets on offense are the leading rushing team. So they will do what they can to burn the clock and keep the game close. They will not score much either against a SD defense that knows exactly what's coming and have had the extra week to prepare for it. Look for a low scoring ,boring affair here today. Take the Under 42 in the Jets at Chargers game.

On Sunday the 5 star NFL system play is on the Dallas Cowboys. Game 113 at 1:00 eastern. Americas team comes in to this as the ' HOT LIKE WOW" team. They have allowed 14 points the last 3 weeks combined. Based on that bruising defense comes this top notch playoff system. What we want to do is play on playoff underdogs that allowed 17 or less points in back to back games vs an opponent who scored 30 or more points in their last game. This system has cashed 22 of the last 27 times. The Cowboys have been clicking on all cylinders of late and will be tough for anyone to stop. The Vikings come in here off the bye week and an impressive win prior to that against a down trodden Giants team. The Vikings will not have an easy time scoring here today. The Dallas defense will be in Favres face all day and may force some poor decisions. Take the points here and wait until game time so you can get 3 points or buy up to 3 if you have to.

On Saturday the Ravens at Colts Simulator total is on the over 44 points. Through 3 different statistical simulations this one played over all 3 times with an average 47 points. Take the Over here tonight.

On Saturday the BIG NFL play is on the NO.Saints. Game 110 at 4:30 eastern. This game fits 2 big systems that I use to deterine the outcomes of playoff games. Lets take a look at one of the aplications here today. What we want ot do is plays against playoff road dogs in a certain range if they are coming in off a home dog win and lost their previous game. These road teams lay an egg in this spot failing to cover every time since 1980. Better yet is that these games are not even close. Home teams in this spot are winning by over 15 points per game. The Saints also fit a tight system that pertains to #1 seeds off back to back spread losses. The Saints are ready and will take on an Arizona defense that may get tired early after their second half debacle agains the Packers. Playoff teams who won and allowed 28 or more points are poor investments in the Playoffs. Look for the Saints to come out firing on all cylinders and put an end to the Arizona season. Lay 7 the points with New Orleans.

On Sunday the Big 14-0 system play is on Arizona. Game 108 at 4:40 eastern. Arizona qualifies in a solid system that plays on wild card home teams off a straight up home loss vs a non divisional team. These home teams bounce back in a big way. The Cardinals also qualify in a big right back revenge system due to their loss last week vs The Packers. Green Bay won here last week with most of the Cardinals starters resting. They also did very well in the 3rd pre season game against the Cards a game in which starters played 3 quarters. The Packers really have the Cardinals attention here. The Public has moved the line from the Cardinals -2.5 to a 1.5 dog. This is fine with me. Look for the NFC defending champs to surprise every one once again as their extra time in the film room provides big dividends. Take Arizona today.

On Saturday the Big NFL playoff totals play is on the Over in the Dallas and Philly game at 8:00 eastern. Right back revenge games have gone over 9 of 11 times since 1978. The Eagles were stymied last week at Dallas and have a lot of soul searching to do. They will be vastly improved here and put up points vs a Dallas defense that has back to back shut outs. Dallas may be a little too over confident due to their recent success. This game looks like and up and down the field affair. Take the over tonight. Take the Over 45 points

On Saturday the 100% triple system NFL wildcard play is on the Cincinnati Bengals. Game 102 at 4:30 eastern. The Bengals are the beneficiaries of some solid systems that play against the Jets here today. What we want to do is play against certain playoff teams that are off a shutout win of 27-0 or better. This system is very rare. However it has covered 100% of the time since 1978. The Jets ironically fell into this system against Oakland a few years back and needless to say lost by 20 points. Home team with a total of 35 or less also do very well in the playoffs. This game is a right back revenger for the Bengals as they lost last week in New York and had to listen to how badly they played all week. The Jets may have an excellent defense. However the Bengals have an excellent run defense that will not be shelled by the Jets running attack 2 weeks in a row. There will be no surprises from B. Smith either. The Jets may have opened the playbook trying to get there. The Bengals will be the ones with the tricks up their sleeves. The Odds makers are reacting to the recent success of road team the past few years after a long playoff dominance by homers. This perhaps is why the line is so low here. Take the Bengals here as there are just too many reasons and systems for them to cash here.

On Sunday the Big 5 star play is on the Washington Redskins. Game 329 at 4:15 eastern. The line has come down somewhat in this game. The Chargers may be resting some key people in this one as they have the #2 seed wrapped up. The Skins fits 2 solid systems that date back to 1980. What we want to do is play on certain road teams off a shut out loss in non conference games. This Power system gets even stronger if our team failed to cover the game prior to the shut out. Many of these road dogs win the game outright. For whatever reason the Redskins have played much tougher football in road games this year than they have at home. The dog in their road games has covered 5 of the 7 games. I look for a much improved effort from Washington here and expect them to win the game as a small dog.

On Sunday the 17-1 Power angle play is on the Detroit Lions. Game 310 at 1:00 eastern. The Lions may do to the Bears what the Bears did to the Vikings on Monday night. Win a game no one thinks they can win. The Lions are 8-0 ats as a home dog vs less than .500 teams in division play. Chicago is 0-9 ats on the road if they are less than .500 and are playing an opponent who has revenge. GOT SYSTEMS? This game fits my Loser bowl week 17 system that plays dogs of less than 7 points in the final game if both teams have won less than 8 games. The Lions also fit the Sweet sub set which applies to teams who have won 6 or less on the season. Lions and Tigers and bears oh yeah. Lions roar today. IF oyu like this game wait till you see the 17-1 NBA total system of the month and the 2 big 5 star NFL system bombs on Sundays card.

On Sunday big system play is on Atlanta. Game 321 at 1:00 eastern. The Bucs fit a negative system here today that plays against certain home teams off a road dog win at +10 or more last week. These over achieving homers come home and lay an egg of the big upset win Tamp actually fits 2 systems based on this premise. Atlanta is a better team and laying less than 2 points here is very attractive. Take Atlanta today.

On Sunday the big dog play is on the Denver Broncos. Game 121 at 4:15 eastern. The Broncos fit a solid 43-14 system here today that plays on dogs of more than 2 points that are off a favored loss at -7 or more and allowed 27 or less vs an opponent off an ats win. Denver was shocked by Oakland last week as a 14 point favorite. I expect a much better effort vs the Eagles here today. Philly has been a hot team winning and covering easily here last week against the 49 ers. Today they will get a tough test from a solid Denver defense. The line appears to be too high here. Take the Broncos today

On Sunday the 7 unit NFL GOY is on the Atlanta Falcons. Game 110 at 1:00 eastern. The Falcons qualify in a big blowout system today. What we want to do is play against road dogs of 7 or more, like Buffalo that were home dogs of 7 or more and scored 21 or less in their last game and had 150 or less yards passing, if our team Atlanta in this case scored 14 or less points and had 100 or less yards rushing. This system has cashed all but one time since 1989. What I like most about the system though is the average 29-8 score for home teams that apply to it. I also have a secondary game 15 sandwich system that plays against teams line Buffalo that are off a home game and are on the road in game 15 with the season ending homer on deck. These road sandwich teams have struggled through the years going just 6-20 ats if their opponent is off a win of 10 or less points. Atlanta is 6-1 ats after scoring 10 or less points in their last game and are a perfect 5-0 straight up and ats at home when the total is 38.5 to 42.. The Bills struggled at home last week to score and were able to get a late touchdown to make the score respectable. They do not have much to play for and have rookie Qb Brian Brohm making the start today. With a loud crowd and a good team that has lost their last 2 home games, this will be a real tough spot. The Falcons are a fast team and will be aided by the Dome and the Turf today against a Bills team that should get blown out today. M.Ryan is back and I look for the Falcon offense to be much more potent today. Take the Falcons today.

On Monday night the NFL double system totals play is on the Under in the Giants at Redskins game. Rotation numbers 321/22 at 8:35 eastern. This game fits 2 solid Monday night totals systems. What we want to do is play the under for Monday night division home dogs if the posted total is 40 or higher. This simple system has cashed 28 of 39 times long term. Another system which has cashed 17 of 21 times is to play the under when you have a road favorite that scored 30 or more in their last game and lost, if the total is 41 or higher. The Giants are coming off a terrible defensive game last Sunday night allowing over 40 points and looking very unorganized. Today they get what they need in a Washington offense that will be hard pressed to duplicate last weeks 30+ point explosion in Oakland. While the Giants will improve on defense the Skins will regrss some on offense. The Giants offense may regress some too as they face a staunch Washington defense that can shut down anyone if they are on their game. Take the Under here tonight in what looks to be a low scoring grind it out type of game.

On Sunday night the Double system Sunday night POWER play is on Carolina. Game 330 at 8:20 eastern. The Vikings are involved in a great go against system here that dates to the late 70/s. What we wan to do is play against road favorites in the first of back to back road games if they have a monday night game on deck and its vs a division opponent. These road favorites are 4-25 ats. The Vikes also qualify in another neagative system that plays on non division road favorites of -6.5 or more off a win of 20 or more and scored less than 42 points vs an opponent who did not lose by 20 or more in their last game. This system has cashed 24 of 34 times over the years. The Panthers are 4-0 ats this year vs winning teams and have covered 8 of 10 times in December. Whe installed as home dogs in this range they have covered all 5 times. Take Carolina

On Sunday the Dog of the week is on the Buffalo Bills. Game 310 at 1:00 eastern. The Patriots fit a negative system here that plays against road favorites that come in off a home favored win and ats loss, taking on an opponent off a road win. These over valued road teams are just 3-20 ats. This game will likely be played in inclement weather which may slow down the Patriots more than the Bills. The Pats are 1-4 ats on the road this year, and have lost ats in 4 of the 5 division games they have played. The Bills have covered 2 of their 3 games against winning teams this year. In the first meeting between these teams the Bills blew a big lead and lost 25-24. Today they take 7 points from a struggling team. Buffalo is the play.

On Sunday the 100% NFL Double system play is on the St.Louis Rams. Game 322 a 1:00 eastern. The Rams fit this huge system that has cashed twice already this season. What we want to do is play against certain road favorites off a home win vs an opponent off a road dog loss and a prior road loss. These road favs are 0-14 ats since 1908. Also we want to play on and home dog that scored 7 or less in their last game if they started the season 0-4 or worse. This system has cashed 32 of 43 times long term. The Rams may have their 3rd string Qb today. However that will not scare us off as the line has eleavted to 14 points which more than compensates for the switch. Look for The Rams to come out and be competitive in this one. Take the Rams.

On Monday night football our play is n the SF.49ers. Game 134 at 8:35 eastern. The Niners are the beneficiaries of a system that plays against the Cardinals due to their road favored status and previous high scoring home dog win last week over the Vikings. Arizona was beat by the niners earlier in the year and 0-4 as a Monday night fotball favorite and 2-13 ats off a dog win vs a sub .500 division opponent. In December the Cards are 1-7 ats if they are 500 or better and off a win. Take the 49ers here tonight plus the points

On Sunday night the Double system NFL play is on the New York Giants. Game 132 at 8:20 eastern. The Giants are off an impressive win at home against Dallas and look to carry that momentum at home tonight in a another crucial division Home game against the Eagles. What we want to do is play on homers in weeks 13-17 from +3 to -3 if they are coming off a home game where they were +3 to -3 and scored 28 or more points. These late season homers are 9-2 ats and if the opponent is off a road game they have won and covered all 4 times since 1989. The Eagles fall into a negative system that is 10-28 ats and plays against road teams in the second half of the season that come in off a double digit road win if the line is less than three points. This secondary system also dates to 1989. The Eagles has an easy time of it last week against an Atlanta team playing without their starting Qb. Tonight the Eagles will face the Giants and are going into blowout revenge from a 40-17 blowout they laid on the Giants earlier in the season. The Giants will be motivated tonight as this is the biggest game of the season for them needing to split the season series with Philly. Take the Giants tonight plus the point.

On Sunday the 5 unit Triple system play is on Washington. Game 127 at 4:05 eastern. The Skins suffer one heart breaking loss after another. They should have won last week vs the Saints. Their kicker missed a 23 yard field goal late. Today the Redskins travel into LA to take on the Raiders who are coming off one of the biggest upsets of the year as a 14 point dog to the Steelers. That win sets them up in a terrible spot. What we want to do is play against home teams as a dog or favorite of less than 2 that won on the road at +10 or more if their opponent scored 21 or more points. This system hits well into the 90% range when I add a special tightener sub set to it. The Raiders are just 1-6 off a win,while the Redskins are 7-1 before the Giants and 12-2 in December when they are less than .500 and are on the road off a loss. Take the Skins today.

On Sunday the Double system dog play is on the Chicago Bears. Game 114 at 1:00 eastern. The Bears are comig off a game where they broke their losing streak vs the lowly Rams. Today they get a Green Bay team that they lost to by 6 points to on the road earlier in the year. The Bears are 7-1 ats as a dog of 3 or more with revenge with coach Lovie Smith. They are also 8-2 with revenge vs an opponent that comes in off a double digit win. The Packers in the man time fit the same negative system that the Vikings fit into last week in their loss to Arizona. What we want to do is play against road favorites that have won 4 or more in a row but lost on the road prior to the streak. This system is now 53-17 long term. With a chance of inclement weather this only helps the Bears slow down the Packers. Take Chicago today.

On Sunday the Blowout play is on Baltimore. Game 118 at 1:00 eastern. The Ravens come in off the bad performance on Monday night vs the Packers. Today they will make amends at home against the Lions. Baltimore is an outstanding 16-0 ats at home coming off a non conference game. The Ravens are also 8-2 ats as double digit home favorites off a 10 or more point loss and 9-1 ats in December games vs an opponent who is off a double digit loss. The Lions are 0-6 on the road this year and the loss by 10 points last week is as close as any game has been. This one could get ugly fast. Detroit will have D.Culpepper lading them today and he may have a real tough go of it. Lay the points today. Take the Ravens

On Monday the 100% system play is on the Green Bay Packers. Game 366 at 8:35 eastern The Packers qualify in this big system that actually plays agaginst the Ravens tonight. What we want to do is play against road dogs that scored 21 or less as a home favorite of 7 or more and had 250 or more yards passing vs an opponent who is coming off a road game and also had 250 or more yards passing. These road dogs are 0-9 su-ats ince 1989. These two teams rarely meet,however the home team has won the last 3 games in the series. The Packers are excellent at home in December games when playing off a win and Baltimore has not played nearly as good as they did early in the season starting 3-0. They neede overtime to beat a Steeler team that just lost at home to the Raiders. Lay the points here as the Packers squash the Ravens.

On Sunday the Triple system dog is on the Arizona Cardinals. Game 360 at 8:20 eastern. The Cards also fit 3 solid systems here today. What we want to do is play against road favorites off a 4 or more game win streak if they lost on the road prior to the streaks start. This system plays against the Vikings her today and has cashed to a 52-17 record. All the systems play against the Vikings here today pertaining to their road favorite status. Those concerned with Leinart starting over Warner should not be. Leinart should be much better prepared after taking most of the first team snaps this week in practice. Minnesota may be flat here playing on the road off 3 blowout home wins. one of these weeks the Vikings are going to get beat. The Defending NFC champs may provide the venue for the upset. Road favorites of -5 or less off a home favored win and cover are just 3-15 ats if the home team is off a road dog loss and cover. Take the points with the Cardinals here today.

On Sunday the big non conference system play is on the Cleveland Browns. Game 356 at 1:00 eastern. The Browns qualify in some solid systems today. The Best of which goes against the Chargers. What we want to do is play against road favorites of -10.5 to -15 off a home win vs an opponent off a road dog loss and a prior road loss. These road favorites are 7-4 su but 0-11 ats since 1980. As you can see the system is pretty rare. The Browns should be very competitive here vs a Chargers team that may be some what flat after their big Divisional blowout win last week vs KC. Look for the Browns to stay close in this one and cover the big number.

On Sunday the Big Blowout system play is the New Orleans Saints. Game 349 at 1:00 eastern. The Saints are an incredible 42-1 ats when they win on the road going back through the years. I fully expect they will win here today against a Washington team that just does not have the same talent. In fact Washington is just 1-36 ats when they lose at home over the past 10 years. As for the system what we want to do is play against certain home teams if they were a double digit dog in their last game and lost by 3 or less points. These teams just fall to pieces off the big effort and short loss. Homers are 3-26 ats in this role. The Redskins have suffered a pair of close tough losses in back to back divisional road games the past 2 weeks and may be ready to toss the towel here. Take the Saints

On Monday night the 5 star NFL play is the NO. Saints. Game 230 at 8:30 eastern. The Saints qualify in a solid 11-0 system that dates to 1989. What we want to do is play on certain home favorites if they were a road favorite of 7 or more points in their last game and had 150 or more yards rushing if tonights opponent is coming off a home game where they scored 28 or more points. This system has the home team winning all 11 times by an average 31-14 score. The Patriots also qualify in a negative system that is 1-6. What we want to do is plays against certain road teams in this range if they were a home favorite of 10 or and scored 28 or more points with 250 or more yards passing in their last game if the opponent is coming off a road game. Both these system combine to 17-1. The Saints have covered 5 of the last 6 times in this series,which really means nothing to me,but does sound good. Ironically the Patriots have lost the last 3 times they were installed as an underdog. The Saints have done well at home when the total indicates a high scoring game as they are 6-1 at home when the total is 49 or more. In closing the Saints should be able to win this game. I dont believe because they are 10-0 they are due to lose. Whle the public and many others are big the Patriots. Im on the Saints. It wont be easy for the Pats with the amount of noise and fire power the Saints have. Take the NO.Saints tonight.

Sunday night play Baltimoe Ravens

On Sunday the big AFC total is on the over in the KC at San Diego game. Rotation numbers 225/6 at 4;00 eastern. This game fits a solid system that is 16-3 over the past 20 years. What we want to do is play on the over for any home favorite of -10 or more points that was a road favorite in their last game and scored 28 or more points. If the road team was at home and scored 21 or more. There is a subset of this system that is 100% which also qualifies today. The average score in these games is 54 points. The Chargers have already pasted the Chiefs once this season putting up over 30 points in a blowout win earlier in the year. KC has been better of late and should be able to put more than the 7 points they scored in the first game. Take the over in this one.

On Turkey day the big 91% NFL Super system play is on the Dallas Cowboys. Game 106 at 4:15 eastern. Dallas has been a train wreck on offense the past 2 weeks scoring a total of 14 points. This will change big time today against a poor Oakland defense. Tony Romo will come out and be much more focused in front of the home crowd today and this will result in big Dallas victory today. Dallas is 15-2 ats as home favorites in November vs losing teams. As for the system we want to play on teams off a win who were held scoreless through 3 quarters and still won the game. Dallas was able to get a late touchdown on Sunday to basically steal the win over Washington. This ones much easier as Oakland has been outscored a combined 61-3 after their 2 wins this year and are 2-8 ats in non conference games. Play Dallas today

On Turkey day the Cutting Edge System side is on the Denver Broncos. Game 108 at 8:20 eastern. The Broncos fit a solid system that goes back to 1980. What we want to do is play on home dogs off a home dog loss of 24 or more points if their opponent comes in off a win. This system has been a solid money maker through the years.. Denver will be much better prepared for this game tonight,coming off the shellacking at the hands of the Chargers. The Broncos are 3-1 as home dogs in this range since 1992. In contrast the Giants are just 1-4 vs winning teams this year and have lost both prior meetings in the thin Denver air. Take the points in this one with Denver.

On Thursday the Triple Angles college hoops play is on Baylor. Game 510 at 6:30 eastern. The Bears are a solid 14-1 after allowing 60 or less points,32-6 in non conference games,15-2 in November and have won and covered 4 of the last 5 times they were a neutral court favorite of 3 or less. Alabama is just 6-9 vs teams who score 77 or more points per game. Baylor also has big edges in the percentage game as they are hitting 51% from the field compared to Alabama at 46%. On defense Baylor has allowed just 31% shooting compared to the Crimson at 41%. These statistical edges are the best in comparison for the day. Take Baylor tonight.

On Monday night the NFL play is on the Under in the Titans at Texans game. Rotation numbers 435/6 at 8:35 eastern. This game fits a solid Monday night totals system that plays to the under whenever you have a Monday night Division home team that is off a loss if the total is 45 or higher. This system cashes over 80% long term. For additional support consider that Houston has gone over 4 of the last 5 times off a bye week and all 6 times the last few years in the second half vs teams with a less than .500 record. The Titans have gone under 6 of the last 7 times when the total is 42.5 to 49. Houston has a much better defense than years past. While Tennessee has been much improved of late as well on defense. Look for this one to stay under the 48.5 points.

On Sunday the BIG Triple system dog of the week is on the Oakland Raiders. Game 430 at 4:15 eastern. What we are looking to do here islay against certain road teams off 3+ dog wins. The Bengals fit this negative system as well as two others that pertain to last weeks big Road dog divisional upset of the Steelers. This could be a big time let down spot. The Raiders have beaten Philly here in a simialr scenario and will not have musical Qb/s today as B.Gradkowski is now the starter. Over the long haul the Raiders have covered 7 of 9 at home vs Cincy. The Bengasl have been flat after the Steelers going 0-8 ats over the past few years. I don't think they will lose,but I don't think they will cover either. Take the Raiders today plus the points

SU: 12-1-0 (17.3) Teaser Records
ATS: 12-1-0 (9.8) avg line: -7.5 +6: 13-0-0 (100.0%) +10: 13-0-0 (100.0%) +13: 13-0-0 (100.0%)
O/U: 6-6-1 (-1.0) avg total: 43.2 +6: 8-5-0 (61.5%) +10: 8-4-1 (66.7%) +13: 11-2-0 (84.6%)


Rushes Rush Yds Passes Completions Passing Yds TrnOvrs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final
Team: 35.2 154.7 29.5 19.4 213.8 1.0 7.4 9.5 7.5 5.4 29.8
Opp: 20.1 69.3 32.1 18.2 165.1 2.1 0.9 3.4 3.7 4.5 12.5

Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
SUN 7 1991 BUF IND H 14-0 14-6 7-0 7-0 42-6 -20' +41 36 +15' +7 11.2 -4.2 W W O 0
SUN 3 1993 PIT CIN H 7-0 10-7 10-0 7-0 34-7 -10 +32' 27 +17 +8' 12.8 -4.2 W W O 0
SUN 17 1994 MIA DET H 7-3 20-7 0-3 0-7 27-20 -3 +47 7 +4 0 2.0 -2.0 W W P 0
SUN 8 1995 RAI IND H 7-3 3-7 17-7 3-0 30-17 -4 +39' 13 +9 +7' 8.2 -0.8 W W O 0
SUN 2 1996 DAL NYG H 14-0 7-0 3-0 3-0 27-0 -10 +37' 27 +17 -10' 3.2 -13.8 W W U 0
SUN 5 1996 SF ATL H 6-3 21-0 9-7 3-7 39-17 -12 +42 22 +10 +14 12.0 2.0 W W O 0
THUR 14 1996 DAL WAS H 0-0 7-3 7-7 7-0 21-10 -9 +42 11 +2 -11 -4.5 -6.5 W W U 0
MON 17 1997 MIA NE H 3-0 3-0 0-7 6-7 12-14 -3 +44 -2 -5 -18 -11.5 -6.5 L L U 0
SUN 15 2000 STL MIN H 14-0 6-7 13-14 7-8 40-29 -3' +58 11 +7' +11 9.2 1.8 W W O 0
SAT 17 2000 DEN SF H 0-0 17-0 21-0 0-9 38-9 -7' +50' 29 +21' -3' 9.0 -12.5 W W U 0
SUN 2 2004 BAL PIT H 7-0 6-0 7-0 10-13 30-13 -3' +35 17 +13' +8 10.8 -2.8 W W O 0
SUN 2 2006 SEA ARZ H 14-0 0-0 0-3 7-7 21-10 -7 +47 11 +4 -16 -6.0 -10.0 W W U 0
SUN 3 2009 NE ATL H 3-3 10-7 3-0 10-0 26-10 -4' +46 16 +11' -10 0.8 -10.8 W W U 0
SUN 11 2009 DAL WAS H -11 +41'



On Sunday the Big Blowout system play is on the Dallas Cowboys. Game 422 at 1:00 eastern. The Cowboys qualify in a Huge system today that plays on home favorites of 3.5 or more off a road favored game at -3 or more where they scored 9 or less points and had less than 100 yards rushing,if today's opponent is coming off a home game. This system has a 100% subset the Dallas qualifies in that wins by 22 points per game. Dallas was inept last week against a Packer defense that played well,but has been nothing special statistically. Off that bad performance I expect a complete turn around. Washing ton is just the opposite they won a game last week at home vs Denver that could have gone either way. However with the loss of starting Qb K.Orton,Washington was able to take advantage and take control of the game in the second half. I doubt they will do much here against a much improved Dallas defense. The Cowboys are 11-2 ats in the first of back to back home games if they are taking on a division opponent. The Redskins are 2-12 ats as less than .500 dogs in division play if there opponent is off a loss and failed to cover. Now for the irony in this game. Dallas is home for the Skins for a second straight year as a double digit favorite after playing at Green Bay. Last year Dallas fell flat on their face and lost to Washington 26-24 after soundly beating the Packers. This year they lost at Green Bay and should be super focused here. Take Dallas.

On Sunday the NFC Game of the year is on the NO. Saints. Game 423 at 1:00 eastern. The Saints are undefeated this year,however they have not played well in the first half the past few games, falling behind to Miami,Carolina and the Rams last week. Today however they are the beneficiaries of a solid 96% system that plays against Tampa Bay. What we want to do is play against certain home teams that lost by 1-3 points last week as a double digit dog. These teams fall flat on their face after the dejecting loss from the week before. Tampa Bay was riding high last week full of confidence with their first win of the season against Green Bay,only to have their hearts broken late last week vs Miami. While Tampa was good to us the last 2 weeks as 5 unit wins,today we must fade them as things get back to normal here.With the support of the 96% system, look for the
Saints to win this one comfortably. Take NO. Saints

In NFL Thursday night action we have a play on the Miami Dolphins. Game 305 at 8:20 eastern. The Dolphins are a solid 15-2 ats when they are dogs vs an opponent off a dog win. The public will be all over a rejuvenated Panthers team now that Miami star running back R. Brown is out for the season. However that is not a good enough reason to fade Miami here. The Dolphins will still be tough to stop and Carolina is a very inconsistent team and may be some what flat here off their big home dog win vs the Falcons on Sunday. Miami coach Sparano is 5-0 ats in road games off a win and in a game where the line should be a pick,Ill lean with Miami plus the points.

On Monday night the big system play is on Baltimore. Game 243 at 8:35 eastern. The Ravens are big road favorites tonight and they are coming off a loss. In this game what we want to do is play on any road favorite of more than 10 points off a straight up and ats loss. These road favorites have won every single time since 1980. Failing to cover just once. The Browns may be off a bye week,however they are a team in turmoil this year. They have a pathetic and inept offense that cannot sustain long drives and take time off the clock. Their defense has to shoulder much of the load. While they have been decent on defense,they wear down late in games. Look for Baltimore to make a statement here tonight. Lay the 10.5 points.

On Sunday the 21-2 system is on Seattle. Game 233 at 4:15 eastern. The Seahawks qualify in a big super system here that plays on teams in the first of 3+ road trip if they are not favored by 4 or more points. There is a second system that also plays on the first of 3+ road games which has to do with our team not having allowed 30 or more points back to back and this game being a non Monday night game. Seattle has home loss revenge and catches the Cards off a big satisfying win in Chicago in a game where everything broke their way. Seattle will be much tougher in this game than the first go round. Arizona is 0-9 ats as favorites off a straight up non divisional dog win. Look for Seattle to keep this one close. Take Seattle plus the 9 points.

On Sunday the Triple system NFL play is on Green Bay. Game 238 at 4:15 eastern. No one expects the Packers to win off their lowly loss at Tampa last week. However Dallas is in a huge letdown flat spot off their big road win at Philly. What we want to do here is play against road favorites that have won 4 or more games in a row,but lost their previous road game before the win streak. These road teams are just 17-51 ats. Another system that pertains to this game is to play against non divisional road teams off a straight up division road win, if they scored 26 or less points and their opponent is a dog or favorite of less than 7 and off a straight up and ats loss. This system has cashed nearly 90% of the time. The Packers are 10-1 ats as an NFC conference dog if they have failed to cover in back to back games. The Packers are the play here today.

On Sunday the BIG 30-3 system play is on Tampa Bay. Game 229 at 1:00 eastern. I hate having plays on bad teams. However once again for the second straight week we have a 5 unit play on the Bucs. Last week we were rewarded with a solid performance as they beat the Packers outright. Today the popular theory is that bad teams cant put together 2 good games in a row. This may be true most of the time. Today though I will buck popular thinking and share a 29 year old system that is 30-3 ats and has seen the underdog win the game 20 of the 33 times. What we want to do is play on visiting teams as an underdog of 8 or more points if both teams are under .500. The Dolphins may have played a tough schedule but so has Tampa. The Dolphins are lucky the Jets played them badly in their 2 wins or they might have the same record as Tampa. This system has been golden through the years and nearly qualified a few weeks ago when the Bills opened as a 9 point dog against the Panthers. The sharps quickly bet that game down to 7 at game time. Therefore the Bills did it qualify as they were getting 7 not 8 points. The Bills won the game none the less 20-9. The Bills at the time has the worse rush defense in the league against a solid Panther running attack that day. So im not overly concerned that Tampa will be intimidated by the Miami Wildcat offense. Now that the Bucs have committed to rookie Qb J. Freeman they may well be much more explosive on offense. This is a big rivalry down here and this game should be played close.With Miami 0-6 ats as a home favorite of 7 or more and Tampa cashing 4 of their last 5 when scoring 35 or more vs an opponent off a loss we will Take Tampa with the 10 points.

On Thursday night the 21-2 NFL play is on the 49ers at 8:20 eastern. The Niners apply to a solid system tonight that plays on certain home favorites with a total higher than 42 that were home favorites of 3 or more in their last game,scored 21 or more points and had 250 or more pass yards. If our opponent was at home in their last game and also had 250 or more pass yards,our home teams wins 21 of 23 times since 1980 by an average 30-17 score. The Niners have covered the last 6 here at home in the series and are looking to bounce back off a tough home loss on Sunday to the Titans. The Bears were blown out at home by the Cardinals and get no breaks from the schedule maker traveling to the West coast on short rest. Take SF. tonight.

On Monday night the 5 star NFL system play is on the Denver Broncos. Game 430 at 8:30 eastern. The Steelers apply to a negative system that plays against defending Super Bowl champions that are on the road on Monday night football vs certain non-divisional teams off a home game. The Steelers are 1-6 ats as road favorites vs non division winning teams and 0-5 ats as a road favorite on Monday nights. Denver is 6-2 straight up as a home dog of 3 or less since 1992. Denver will give the Steelers fits on defense and do enough on offense to get the win.Not often will you see a team with a better record as an underdog on Monday night.Usually these teams get teh job done. Take the Broncos +3 points tonight.

On Sunday night the 90% System game is on the Philly Eagles. Game 454 at 8:20 eastern. The Eagles are the beneficiaries of a system that plays against Dallas here tonight. What we want to do is play against road teams from -3 to +3 off a home favored win scoring 35 or more points as a 7+ favorite,if our teams was at home and scored 21 or more points. This system has cashed every time but once since 1989,winning by an average 25-15 margin. Dallas is 1-9 ats on the road off a double digit ats win vs an opponent off a 10+ win. The Cowboys are also 1-7 ats off back to back wins and covers vs an opponent off a dog win. The Eagles are 11-1 ats after playing the Giants. Take Philly tonight.

On Sunday the Live dog of the week is on the Arizona Cardinals. Game 413 at 1:00 eastern. The Cardinals qualify in a solid technical system that plays on certain road dogs that are off a home favored loss and ats loss of 15+ points if they won as a road dog the prior week. The Cardinals bounced pretty good following their big dog win over the Giants. They laid an egg against Carolina last week in a game where turnovers really hurt them. The Bears come in off an easy win and cover vs a pathetic Browns team that is inept on offense. Today the Bears will have a tougher time stopping a potent Arizona offense. The Bears are -4 ats as favorites in the second of back to back home games. Take the Cardinals on the strength of the 20-3 system play above.

On Sunday the 24-4 totals system play is on the under in the Ravens at Bengals game. Rotation numbers 405/6 at 1:00 eastern. What we want to do in this game is play the under when we have a road favorite with a total of 42 or more if they have a road divisional Monday night game up next. These teams in the first road g0ne have gone under the total 24 of 28 times dating back through the mid 1970/s. The first game between these 2 teams was low scoring at 17-14 a month ago in Baltimore. Look for this one to stay under the 45 points today.

On Sunday the Triple system NFL play on on Tampa Bay. Game 412 at 1:00 eastern. The Bucs qualify on some solid system sets today. Lets take a look at one that is active. What we want to do is play on home dogs that started 0-4 or worse that scored 7 or less in their last game. These winless Pups are 31-8 ats long term. Tampa comes in off a bye week here today and should be very competitive at home in this spot. Green Bay lost here 30-21 last year and are coming off a tough home loss to Minnesota. The Bucs have covered 4 of the last 5 years off the bye week are 6-0 ats as dogs vs an opponent with revenge off a su favored loss. Look for the Bucs to improve to 11-2 ats as non divisional home dogs. Take Tampa.CONGRATS TO THOSE WHO CASHED SATURDAYS GOY WINNER ON STANFORD.