09-18-16 |
Colts +7 v. Broncos |
|
20-34 |
Loss |
-120 |
39 h 12 m |
Show
|
6* Colts/Broncos AFC *CA$H COW* on Indianapolis +7
The Key: The Indianapolis Colts are coming off a bad 39-35 loss to the Lions last week, which has them undervalued this week. They were without 3 of their top cornerbacks, and Matthew Stafford took advantage by guiding the Lions to 39 points. But this is a better matchup for the Colts this week. The Broncos are limited in the passing game with Trevor Siemien. He didn't do much against the Panthers in their opener. The Broncos won that game with defense and their running game. That was an emotional win for Denver, and now it will be in a letdown spot here. They go from being 3-point underdogs to the Panthers to 7-point favorites against the Colts. I don't believe there is 10 points difference between the Colts and Panthers on a neutral field, so you can see why I believe there is some value here. Andrew Luck looked like his old self against Detroit, throwing for 385 yards and 4 touchdowns without an interception. The Colts are 8-1 SU in their last 9 meetings with the Broncos, including 3-1 in their 4 meetings with Luck at QB. I just think 7 points is too much here. Take Indianapolis.
|
09-18-16 |
Bengals v. Steelers -3 |
Top |
16-24 |
Win
|
100 |
36 h 38 m |
Show
|
7* AFC North Game of the Month on Pittsburgh Steelers -3
The Key: This is one of the most heated rivalries in sports between the Steelers and Bengals. I'll gladly side with the home team only laying a field goal. The Steelers dominated the Redskins 38-16 on the road, while the Bengals squeaked by the Jets 23-22 and were very fortunate to win. The Steelers clearly have plenty of depth to make up for the loss of some key players, while the Bengals do not. The Bengals are without their best defensive player in Vontaze Burfict, and they are without their TD leader from a year ago in TE Tyler Eifert, who scored 13 touchdowns for them. The Steelers won their final two meetings of the season with the Bengals last year, both on the road and one in the playoffs. They have now won 5 of the last 6 meetings with their only loss coming 16-10 in a game where the Steelers outgained the Bengals 356-296 and should have won, but Ben Roethlisberger threw 3 interceptions and was playing injured. The Steelers are 12-4-2 ATS in their last 18 vs. a team with a winning record. Pittsburgh is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take Pittsburgh.
|
09-17-16 |
Ohio State v. Oklahoma +1 |
|
45-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
26 h 59 m |
Show
|
6* Ohio State/Oklahoma Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Oklahoma +1
The Key: Oklahoma hasn't been a home underdog since 2000, where it upset then-No. 1 Nebraska. The Sooners have an awesome home-field advantage, which is evident by the fact that Bob Stoops is 96-8 at home since coming to Norman. The Buckeyes have a ton of talent, but this is one of the youngest teams in the country, and this is their first true road game against a veteran Oklahoma squad. The Sooners are essentially playing for their season here as they cannot afford another loss if they want to get back to the four-team playoff. Ohio State could recover from this loss. The edge in motivation and experience makes me like the Sooners quite a bit here. Take Oklahoma.
|
09-17-16 |
Michigan State v. Notre Dame -7 |
|
36-28 |
Loss |
-110 |
24 h 19 m |
Show
|
6* Michigan State/Notre Dame NBC National TV Annihilator on Notre Dame -7.5
The Key: Michigan State won't be able to produce enough offense to keep up with Notre Dame's high-octane attack in this one. The Spartans only beat Furman 28-13 at home as 37.5-point favorites in their opener while managing only 361 total yards. Replacing QB Connor Cook is a problem, and new QB Tyler O'Connor only threw for 190 yards against Furman, while the rushing attack averaged only 4.3 per carry. Notre Dame puts up 47 points against Texas and 39 against Nevada in its first two games. The Fighting Irish are 3-0 SU & 2-0-1 ATS in their last 3 meetings with the Spartans, winning by 4, 17 and 18 points. Notre Dame is 6-0 ATS in home games in the first month of the season over the last 3 seasons. The Spartans are 0-6 ATS in their last six non-conference games. Take Notre Dame.
|
09-17-16 |
Tigers v. Indians -128 |
|
0-1 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 16 m |
Show
|
6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cleveland Indians -128 The Key: Carlos Carrasco is 11-8 with a 3.32 ERA and 1.141 WHIP in 24 starts this year for the Indians. He has owned the Tigers of late, going 2-0 with a 0.51 ERA in his last 3 starts against them, giving up only 1 earned run in 17 2/3 innings. The same cannot be said for Justin Verlander, who has lost 7 straight decisions against the Indians. He has given up 15 earned runs in 9 2/3 innings in his last 2 starts against the Indians in 2016. The Indians are 36-15 in their last 51 home games. Take Cleveland.
|
09-17-16 |
Alabama -11 v. Ole Miss |
Top |
48-43 |
Loss |
-102 |
20 h 29 m |
Show
|
7* Alabama/Ole Miss SEC *HEAVY HITTER* on Alabama -11
The Key: Alabama wants revenge from two straight losses to Ole Miss the past 2 seasons. The Crimson Tide have been dominant in beating USC 52-6 and Western Kentucky 38-10, but they really want this game. Ole Miss has been shaky with an 11-point loss to Florida State and only a 38-13 win over Wofford in which they allowed over 200 rushing yards. Alabama gave away the game to Ole Miss last year by committing 5 turnovers. Look for a more disciplined performance here. Alabama is 4-0 in true road games against ranked teams since that loss to Ole Miss in 2014. It has won these games by an average of 22 points per game. Expect another blowout here. Take Alabama.
|
09-16-16 |
Astros v. Mariners -124 |
|
6-0 |
Loss |
-124 |
14 h 35 m |
Show
|
6* Astros/Mariners AL West *BAILOUT* on Seattle -124
The Key: The Seattle Mariners are the hottest team in baseball as they've won 8 straight games to pull within 2 games of the final wild card spot in the American League. Now they send ace Felix Hernandez to the mound against the Houston Astros at home tonight. Fernandez is 11-5 with a 3.58 ERA and 1.275 WHIP in 21 starts. He has gone 3-3 with a 3.45 ERA in 8 lifetime starts vs. Houston. He has the edge over Collin McHugh, who is 10-10 with a 4.86 ERA and 1.494 WHIP in 29 starts, and 4-6 with a 6.04 ERA and 1.645 WHIP in 15 road starts. McHugh sports a 4.39 ERA in 11 lifetime starts vs. Seattle. The Mariners are 8-0 in their last 8 vs. AL West teams and 7-1 in Hernandez's last 8 starts. Take Seattle.
|
09-16-16 |
Arkansas State v. Utah State -9 |
Top |
20-34 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 26 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Utah State -9
The Key: Utah State has one of the most underrated home-field advantages in the country. The Aggies have gone 24-3 in their last 27 home games. They are also 11-4 under Matt Wells coming off a loss. That's key because they played USC and lost 7-45 last week on the road in a game that was closer than the final. The Aggies were only outgained by 169 yards in that game. Compare that to Arkansas State, which was outgained by 290 yards in a 10-31 home loss to Toledo and by 380 yards in a 14-51 road loss at Auburn, and it's easy to see Utah State is the better team. The Aggies should roll here by double-digits. Bets on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in the first month of the season after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses against opponent that closed out last season with 4 or more wins in last 5 games are 38-12 ATS since 1992. Take Utah State.
|
09-15-16 |
Jets +1 v. Bills |
Top |
37-31 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 12 m |
Show
|
7* Jets/Bills AFC East *HEAVY HITTER* on New York +1
The Key: Injuries to the Bills have them way less than full strength right now. They had key rookies in DE Shaq Lawson and LB Reggie Ragland who are out and were expected to play significant roles this season. They are also without LB Ik Enempkpali, starting LT Cordy Glenn and their best DT in Marcell Dareus. Not to mention, Sammy Watkins is far from 100%. I just believe the Jets are primed to win this game today not only because of all the injuries, but because they want revenge from losing 5 straight to the Bills last year, including a loss in Week 17 that kept them out of the playoffs. Take New York.
|
09-15-16 |
Houston v. Cincinnati +7 |
|
40-16 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 16 m |
Show
|
6* Houston/Cincinnati ESPN *CA$H COW* on Cincinnati +7
The Key: The Cincinnati Bearcats are one of the best-kept secrets in college football. That's because they underachieved last season by going 7-6 despite outgaining teams by 129 yards per game. They put up 538 yards per game offensively last year. Now the Bearcats have opened 2-0 and are playing up to their potential this season, especially in their impressive 38-20 road win at Purdue last week. Houston couldn't be more overvalued than it is right now with the No. 6 ranking in the country. Cincinnati is no easy place to play as the Bearcats are 27-5 in their last 32 home games. They want revenge from their 30-33 road loss to Houston last year in which they outgained they Cougars by 162 yards and dominated really. Cincinnati is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 games after a game with a +4 turnover margin or better. Take Cincinnati.
|
09-15-16 |
A's v. Royals -136 |
|
14-5 |
Loss |
-136 |
4 h 1 m |
Show
|
6* MLB Thursday *MOUND MISMATCH* on Kansas City Royals -136
The Key: The Kansas City Royals are holding on to slim playoff hopes because of the work they did in August and early September by getting themselves back into contention. They aren't ready to give up yet. The Royals have a decisive edge on the mound tonight with Edinson Volquez, who is 6-3 with a 4.55 ERA in 17 home starts this year. Daniel Mengden is one of the worst starters in baseball at 1-7 with a 6.39 ERA and 1.686 WHIP in 11 starts, including 0-2 with a 9.48 ERA and 2.188 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Volquez is 3-2 with a 3.21 ERA and 1.214 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts vs. Oakland. Volquez is 11-0 (+11.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons. Mengden is 1-9 (-8.5 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. Take Kansas City.
|
09-14-16 |
A's v. Royals -132 |
Top |
8-0 |
Loss |
-132 |
7 h 49 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Kansas City Royals -132
The Key: After losing the first 2 games of this series to the Oakland A's, I fully expect the Kansas City Royals to be hungry for a win in Game 3 here tonight. I believe they have the edge on the mound behind Yordano Ventura, who is 10-10 with a 4.26 ERA in 28 starts, and 6-3 with a 4.09 ERA in 11 home starts. Sean Manaea is 5-9 with a 4.43 ERA in 20 starts, and 0-6 with a 6.44 ERA in 8 road starts. Ventura is 16-4 (+11.5 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The A's are 1-7 in Manaea's last 8 road starts. The Royals are 7-1 in Ventura's last 8 starts. Kansas City is 26-10 in Ventura's last 36 home starts. Take Kansas City.
|
09-13-16 |
Mets -130 v. Nationals |
Top |
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 57 m |
Show
|
7* NL East Game of the Month on New York Mets -130
The Key: The New York Mets are in a battle with the Giants and Cardinals for the last two wild card spots in the National League. They need every game the rest of the way, while the Washington Nationals have little to play for as they already have the NL East basically clinched. The Mets have the clear edge on the mound tonight behind Noah Syndergaard, who is 13-8 with a 2.49 ERA in 27 starts, and 7-3 with a 2.45 ERA in 12 road starts. Syndergaard sports a 3.02 ERA in 7 lifetime starts vs. Washington as well. A.J. Cole has struggled in limited action for the Nationals, going 1-2 with a 4.56 ERA in 4 starts. The Mets are 25-10 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in road games in September games over the last 3 seasons. New York is 4-1 in Syndergaard's last 5 road starts. The Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Take New York.
|
09-12-16 |
Rams -3 v. 49ers |
Top |
0-28 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 11 m |
Show
|
7* Rams/49ers Monday Night *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles -3
The Key: This will finally be the year the Los Angeles Rams make a playoff push. They have been stockpiling talent for the last few years, and they now actually have some of the best young talent in the NFL. Look for it to come to fruition in 2016, starting with Week 1 against the San Francisco 49ers, who will battle with the Cleveland Browns for worst team in the NFL honors. The Rams' only potential weakness is at QB, but Case Keenum is a batter QB than Blaine Gabbert, and the 49ers have holes everywhere on both side of the ball due to poor management. Only having to lay a field goal with the vastly superior team tonight is a nice discount. Take Los Angeles.
|
09-12-16 |
Mets +127 v. Nationals |
|
1-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 56 m |
Show
|
6* MLB Dog of the Week on New York Mets +127
The Key: The New York Mets are in a battle with the Giants and Cardinals for the last two wild card spots in the National League. They need every game the rest of the way, while the Washington Nationals have little to play for as they already have the NL East basically clinched. Rafael Montero spots a 2.89 ERA in his 2 starts this season for the Mets. Mat Latos will be making his first start for the Nationals tonight. he has gone 6-2 with a 4.63 ERA and 1.459 WHIP in 11 starts this year, including 4-2 with a 5.18 ERA and 1.546 WHIP in 6 home starts. He will be making his first start since June 7 and will likely be on a pitch count. The Mets are 6-1 in their last 7 road games. New York is 22-6 in its last 28 Monday games. The Mets are 4-1 in Montero's last 5 starts. Take New York.
|
09-11-16 |
Dolphins +10.5 v. Seahawks |
|
10-12 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 16 m |
Show
|
6* NFL Dog of the Week on Miami Dolphins +10.5
The Key: The Miami Dolphins are showing good value today as double-digit road underdogs to the Seattle Seahawks. The Seahawks remain a public team in 2016 and are getting the majority of the action, pushing this line higher than it should be. The Dolphins will be better in 2016 under the guidance of new head coach Adam Gase. He worked wonders with Jay Cutler in Chicago last year, and he'll have the same effect on Ryan Tannehill and get the most out of him in 2016. The defense features one of the best pass rushes in the NFL, and they'll get after Russell Wilson and the terrible Seattle O-line. The Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take Miami.
|
09-11-16 |
Brewers v. Cardinals -164 |
|
2-1 |
Loss |
-164 |
3 h 31 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on St. Louis Cardinals -164 The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals are right in the thick of the playoff race for the final 2 wild card spots in the National League. They need every game from here on out, so motivation will not be an issue. Luke Weaver has performed well since being called up for the Cardinals, going 1-2 with a 3.96 ERA in 5 starts. He's 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA in his lone home start and makes his 2nd home start today. The Cardinals are 73-29 (+21.3 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. Take St. Louis.
|
09-11-16 |
Bengals v. Jets +1 |
Top |
23-22 |
Push |
0 |
2 h 12 m |
Show
|
7* NFL Game of the Week on New York Jets +1
The Key: Home-field advantage has been huge between the Bengals and Jets. The home team is 7-1 SU in the last 8 meetings and 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The Jets have won 6 straight home meetings with the Bengals as well. They should not be underdogs Sunday. Take New York.
|
09-11-16 |
Browns v. Eagles -3.5 |
|
10-29 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 11 m |
Show
|
6* NFL Blowout Game of the Week on Philadelphia Eagles -3.5
The Key: The Cleveland Browns are the worst team in the NFL, so we'll take advantage Sunday and fade them as short road underdogs to the Philadelphia Eagles. This line was actually -7 when the Eagles had Sam Bradford, and now it's -3.5 with Carson Wentz starting. There's simply not that much difference between those two quarterbacks to warrant that big of a move. The Browns went 1-7 on the road last season and lost by an average of 12.8 points per game. Take Philadelphia.
|
09-10-16 |
Eastern Michigan +24 v. Missouri |
|
21-61 |
Loss |
-105 |
19 h 39 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAF Dog of the Week on Eastern Michigan +24
The Key: Any time Missouri is a big favorite I will look to fade them. That's because the Tigers do not have any offense and can't cover big numbers because of it. They scored a measly 13.6 points per game last season. Their offense doesn't appear to be much better in 2016 thus far as they only managed 11 points in their 11-26 loss to West Virginia last week. Eastern Michigan is improved this year and put together a convincing 61-14 rout of Mississippi Valley State in its opener. The Eagles had 16 starters back this season and a lot more experience. Missouri only had one win by more than 14 points last year, and that was a 31-point win over SE Missouri State as 41-point favorites in its opener. The Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in September. This is simply too big of a number. Take Eastern Michigan.
|
09-10-16 |
Rays v. Yankees -131 |
|
1-5 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 49 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on New York Yankees -137
The Key: Don't look now but the New York Yankees have won 6 straight and are only 1 game back in the wild card race. Now they get the Tampa Bay Rays again today, who are just 59-81 on the season. This is a reasonable price for the Yankees at home with ace Masahiro Tanaka on the mound. Tanaka is 12-4 with a 3.16 ERA and 1.082 WHIP in 28 starts this year, and 2-0 with a 1.96 ERA in his last 3 starts. Chris Archer has been terrible on the road, going 5-8 with a 5.79 ERA and 1.437 WHIP in 14 starts. Tanaka has never lost to the Rays, going 4-0 (6-0 money line) with a 2.63 ERA and 0.732 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts. Take New York.
|
09-10-16 |
SMU +32.5 v. Baylor |
Top |
13-40 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 39 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAF Non-Conference Game of the Week on SMU +32.5
The Key: SMU is a team on the rise in the second year under Chad Morris. They put up 27.8 points per game last year after only averaging 11.1 in 2014. Morris has a great offensive mind and the Mustangs will have the firepower to stay within 32 points of Baylor today. Just last year the Mustangs only trailed the Bears 21-28 at half before getting blown out in the second half. The Mustangs gained 572 yards in a 34-21 win at North Texas last week, outgaining the Mean Green by 178 yards. Bets on dogs of 31.5 or more points after outgaining their last opponent by 175 yards or more are 26-6 ATS since 1992. Take SMU.
|
09-10-16 |
Penn State +4 v. Pittsburgh |
|
39-42 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 9 m |
Show
|
6* Penn State/Pitt *CA$H COW* on Penn State +4
The Key: James Franklin has his best team in 3 years at Penn State with 14 starters back. He has a new dual-threat QB in Trace McSorley, which will help improve the offense after a couple of down years on Christian Hackenberg's watch. Pitt is a solid team, but it doesn't have a QB and only managed 261 total yards in a 28-7 win over Villanova last week. Pitt doesn't have an offense in general, which makes it tough for it to cover spreads when favored. The Panthers went 8-5 last season, but 8 of those games were decided by a TD or less. Franklin is 8-0 ATS lifetime following a game where his team won but failed to cover the spread, as was the case last week in a 33-13 win over Kent State as 21-point favorites. Take Penn State.
|
09-09-16 |
Indians -139 v. Twins |
|
5-4 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 5 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Cleveland Indians -139
The Key: The Cleveland Indians have a big advantage on the mound tonight behind Danny Salazar. He is 11-6 with a 3.71 ERA and 157 K's in 133 1/3 innings this season. Salazar is also 6-4 with a 3.37 ERA in 12 road starts. He'll be opposed by Tyler Duffey, who is 8-10 with a 6.24 ERA and 1.483 WHIP in 22 starts, and 4-5 with a 7.22 ERA and 1.572 WHIP in 12 home starts. Duffey has allowed 9 earned runs over 12 1/3 innings in his last 2 starts against Cleveland this season.
|
09-09-16 |
Louisville v. Syracuse +15 |
Top |
62-28 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 56 m |
Show
|
7* Louisville/Syracuse ESPN 2 Friday Night Lights on Syracuse +15
The Key: I like the direction Dino Babers has the Syracuse Orange headed. In his first game they beat Colgate 33-7 at home and got their offense going with 554 yards. Babers inherited 16 returning starters and more talent than most coaches could expect in their 1st year with a new team. The Carrier Dome is no joke. Syracuse is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 home games. The Orange went 3-3 at home last year with a 10-point loss to LSU as 24-point dogs, a 3-point loss to Pitt as 9-point dogs, and a 10-point loss to Clemson as 30-point dogs. If they could hang with those 3 teams at home, they certainly can hang with Louisville. Take Syracuse.
|
09-08-16 |
Panthers v. Broncos +3 |
Top |
20-21 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 15 m |
Show
|
7* CAR/DEN NFL Thursday *HEAVY HITTER* on Denver Broncos +3
The Key: The defending Super Bowl champ is 14-2 SU in Week 1 over the past 16 seasons. The Super Bowl loser from the previous year is only 5-11 SU & 3-12-1 ATS over the past 16 seasons as well. I feel that the price is right to back the Broncos as home underdogs here Thursday night. Carolina is not 6 points better on a neutral field, which is what this line would indicate. The Broncos didn't lose a whole lot from last year, and it's not like Peyton Manning did much for this team. They still have the best defense in the NFL and a solid running game, along with 2 elite receivers on the outside. I think they have enough to win tonight and will be inspired, just almost all of the previous year's Super Bowl winners have been. Take Denver.
|
09-07-16 |
Red Sox -1.5 v. Padres |
Top |
7-2 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 31 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-132)
The Key: The Boston Red Sox are tied for 1st place in the AL East with the Toronto Blue Jays. It's almost like they're playing at home in San Diego because they have had more fans there than the Padres the past two games. I look for them to take this series with a Game 3 victory by multiple runs. David Price has really stepped up his game, going 5-0 with a 2.06 ERA in his last 5 starts while allowing only 8 earned runs in 35 innings. Jarred Cosart gets the ball for the Padres. He is 0-2 with a 5.14 ERA and 1.673 WHIP in 10 starts this year. He just gave up 7 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings to the Braves of all teams his last time out. Price is 32-11 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game lifetime. His teams are winning by 2.1 runs per game in this spot. San Diego is 39-84 (-39.1 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.00 or better since 1997. It is losing by 1.8 runs per game in this spot. Take Boston on the Run Line.
|
09-06-16 |
Giants +117 v. Rockies |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
117 |
9 h 44 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Dog of the Week on San Francisco Giants +117
The Key: If they San Francisco Giants want to catch the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West, they need to get going now. They are 4 games back and have been awful since the All-Star Break. But I have faith in this veteran team to get things turned around. I like the price we are getting with the Giants behind Jeff Samardzija, who is 11-9 with a 4.06 ERA and 1.225 WHIP in 27 starts, and 1-1 with a 2.50 ERA and 1.222 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Samardzija really enjoys facing the Rockies, going 3-1 with a 2.13 ERA and 1.026 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts. San Francisco is 9-1 (+8.6 Units) against the money line after scoring 3 runs or less 4 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Take San Francisco.
|
09-05-16 |
Ole Miss v. Florida State -6 |
Top |
34-45 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 49 m |
Show
|
7* Ole Miss/FSU ESPN Monday *HEAVY HITTER* on Florida State -6
The Key: Florida State has 17 starters back this season and is a legit national title contender. Ole Miss only has 10 starters back this year and is primed for a down year after winning 10 games last year with Hugh Freeze's best team yet. But Freeze has lost a lot of talent to the NFL and this is probably a rebuilding year. Look for Florida State to roll in their opener, especially with home-field advantage with this game being played in their home state of Florida. Take Florida State.
|
09-05-16 |
Rangers v. Mariners +113 |
|
6-14 |
Win
|
113 |
4 h 59 m |
Show
|
6* Rangers/Mariners AL West *CA$H COW* on Seattle +113
The Key: Any time you can get ace Felix Hernandez as an underdog it's worth a look. The Mariners are still alive for the wild card in the American League and need a big finish if they are going to make a run. Hernandez is 9-5 with a 3.48 ERA in 19 starts this year, including 4-2 with a 3.20 ERA in 9 home starts. He sports a 3.85 ERA in 49 lifetime starts vs. Texas as well. Cole Hamels sports a 4.13 ERA in 9 lifetime starts vs. Seattle. He gave up 6 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings in his last start against the Mariners on August 30. The Mariners are a sensational 12-1 (+12.6 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season. Take Seattle.
|
09-04-16 |
Notre Dame v. Texas +3.5 |
|
47-50 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 55 m |
Show
|
6* Notre Dame/Texas NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Texas +3.5
The Key: This is the year that Charlie Strong finally makes progress at Texas. He has his players in place now entering Year 3. This team is freakishly athletic and physical, which is a staple of a Texas team. They will have a vastly improved offense thanks to new coordinator Sterling Gilbert, who comes over from Tulsa. They have 15 starters back this year compared to just 9 returning starters for Notre Dame. I think the Fighting Irish come into 2016 overvalued. Plays on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points who have 6 or more returning starters than their opponent in the 1st month of the season are 58-24 ATS since 1992. Take Texas.
|
09-04-16 |
Cardinals -163 v. Reds |
Top |
5-2 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 25 m |
Show
|
7* National League Game of the Month on St. Louis Cardinals -163
The Key: St. Louis is only clinging on to the 2nd wild card spot in the National League by one game right now. That's because the Cardinals have lost 3 straight coming in. It's safe to say that they'll be hungry for a victory Sunday to avoid the sweep against the Reds. I like their chances of getting in the win column thanks to their massive advantage on the mound. Carlos Martinez is 12-7 with a 3.07 ERA in 25 starts, 7-1 with a 2.30 ERA in 12 road starts, and 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA in his last 3 starts. Martinez has never lost to the Reds, going 2-0 (4-0 money line) with a 2.63 ERA in 4 lifetime starts. Take St. Louis.
|
09-03-16 |
Clemson -8 v. Auburn |
|
19-13 |
Loss |
-115 |
12 h 56 m |
Show
|
6* Clemson/Auburn Saturday Night *BAILOUT* on Clemson -8
The Key: After going 14-1 last season with their only loss to Alabama by 5 points in the National Championship, the Clemson Tigers want more in 2016. They are loaded once again, especially offensively with 8 starters back, including Heisman Trophy favorite Deshaun Watson. Look for this offense to hang a big number on an Auburn defense that loses 4 of its top 5 tacklers from last year. Auburn also has questions at QB once again and will struggle to move the ball on a Clemson defense that only gave up 21.7 points and 313 yards per game last year. Auburn is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 home games, including 0-6 ATS at home last year. Auburn is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 non-conference games. Take Clemson.
|
09-03-16 |
Angels v. Mariners -112 |
|
10-3 |
Loss |
-112 |
10 h 9 m |
Show
|
6* Angels/Mariners AL West *CA$H COW* on Seattle -113 The Key: At 69-65 on the season, the Seattle Mariners are 4 games back of the 2nd wild card spot in the American League. They need a big push in September to make the playoffs. They got off to a good start yesterday with an 11-8 victory over the Los Angeles Angels. I look for them to put up another big number against Tyler Skaggs today. Skaggs is 2-3 with a 4.75 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 7 starts this season, and 0-2 with a 6.05 ERA and 1.702 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts vs. Seattle. Taijuan Walker has been at his best at home this year, going 3-4 with a 3.58 ERA and 1.133 WHIP in 11 starts for the Mariners. The Angels are 2-11 in their last 13 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. The Angels are 1-5 in Skaggs' last 6 starts. The Mariners are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Seattle is 10-3 in its last 13 home games. Take Seattle.
|
09-03-16 |
Southern Miss v. Kentucky -4.5 |
|
44-35 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 16 m |
Show
|
6* Southern Miss/Kentucky *CA$H COW* on Kentucky -4.5
The Key: I'll gladly back the team from the SEC at home as only small 4.5-point favorites over the team from Conference USA in Southern Miss. Kentucky has 14 starters back this year, including 9 on offense and will be explosive on that side of the ball. Southern Miss comes into 2016 overvalued after making the C-USA Championship Game last year. But now they lost head coach Todd Monken to the NFL, and there will be an adjustment period with new head coach Jay Hopson despite having 13 starters back. USM has faced SEC opponents the last 3 years and hasn't been very competitive in any of them. The Eagles lost by 21 to Arkansas in 2013, by 49 to Mississippi State in 2014, by 40 to Alabama in 2014, and by 18 to Mississippi State in 2015. Take Kentucky.
|
09-03-16 |
UCLA v. Texas A&M -3 |
Top |
24-31 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 16 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAF Game of the Week on Texas A&M -3
The Key: Kevin Sumlin has a loaded roster in 2016 with 13 starters back and the additions of Oklahoma transfers in QB Trevor Knight and RB Keith Ford. The defense is one of the best in the SEC with 7 of the top 8 tacklers back from a unit that gave up 22.0 points per game last year. The offense can only be improved with better QB play from Knight and his set of receivers that are as talented as anyone in the country. UCLA has all kinds of questions surrounding the offense around QB Josh Rosen with only 4 starters back. The Aggies have gone 11-4 ATS in their last 15 September games and are 26-2 in their last 28 home openers. Take Texas A&M.
|
09-02-16 |
Kansas State v. Stanford -12 |
Top |
13-26 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 42 m |
Show
|
7* Kansas State/Stanford NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Stanford -12
The Key: The Stanford Cardinal are on another level than the Kansas State Wildcats. The Cardinal are among the favorites to win the Pac-12 and to make the four-team playoff. It's easy to see why considering they have Christian McCaffrey back and are dominant up front along the offensive and defensive lines. I think that dominance up front will be the key in them making easy work of the Wildcats, who went just 7-6 last season and barely made a bowl game. Kansas State lost to the two best teams it played last year badly with a 55-0 loss to Oklahoma and a 45-23 loss to Arkansas. Stanford beat Iowa by 29 in the Rose Bowl, and a blowout can be expected here. The Cardinal are 8-0 ATS as a favorite in the 10.5 to 21 range over the last 3 years. Take Stanford.
|
09-02-16 |
Yankees v. Orioles -124 |
|
0-8 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 46 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Baltimore Orioles -124
The Key: This is a great price here with the Baltimore Orioles at home over the New York Yankees, who are trying to chase them down in the wild card race. The Orioles are 43-24 at home this season. Dylan Bundy has been awesome at home with a 3.21 ERA and 1.000 WHIP over 5 starts. Chad Green is just 2-3 with a 5.19 ERA in 7 starts for the Yankees, including 1-3 with a 5.76 ERA in 4 road starts. Green gave up 4 earned runs, 3 homers and 9 base runners in 4 2/3 innings in his only start against the Orioles this season, which came on August 27 in his last outing. The Orioles are 39-16 in their last 55 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Orioles are 24-9 in their last 33 home meetings with the Yankees. Take Baltimore.
|
09-01-16 |
Giants +145 v. Cubs |
|
4-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* Giants/Cubs National League *CA$H COW* on San Francisco +145
The Key: I like the price we are getting with the San Francisco Giants tonight as they continue to chase down the LA Dodgers for 1st place in the NL West. Chicago pretty much has the #1 seed in the National League wrapped up, and it won't be long before the Cubs take their foot off the gas. But the main reason I like this price is because I believe the Giants have the edge on the mound. Jeff Samardzija is 11-9 with a 4.00 ERA and 1.206 WHIP in 26 starts, including 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 1.050 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Mike Montgomery has only made 4 starts for the Cubs this season, going 0-1 with a 4.40 ERA and 1.535 WHIP in his last 3 starts. The Giants are 10-1 (+9.4 Units) against the money line after allowing 4 runs or less 6 straight games this season. Montgomery is 1-10 (-9.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. Take San Francisco.
|
09-01-16 |
South Carolina v. Vanderbilt -4 |
Top |
13-10 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 9 m |
Show
|
7* South Carolina/Vanderbilt SEC *HEAVY HITTER* on Vanderbilt -4
The Key: Vanderbilt is in much better shape entering 2016 than South Carolina. The Commodores have a 3rd-year head coach in Derek Mason, who brings back 15 starters this year. He has 7 starters back on a defense that only gave up 21.0 points per game last year. South Carolina is a rebuilding team under 1st-year head coach Will Muschamp. The Gamecocks have the least amount of experience returning in the SEC and only 9 starters back. This is a team that went 3-9 overall and 0-5 on the road last year. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take Vanderbilt.
|
08-30-16 |
Yankees v. Royals +131 |
Top |
5-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 14 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Dog of the Month on Kansas City Royals +131
The Key: We are getting a great price on the hottest team in baseball in the Kansas City Royals at home tonight against the New York Yankees. The Royals have won seven consecutive series while going 18-4 in their last 22 games overall. They are once again home underdogs tonight, and we'll take advantage. Edinson Volquez is 6-3 with a 4.25 ERA in 15 home starts, and 2-0 with a 3.52 ERA in his last 3 starts overall. Volquez is 2-1 with a 3.10 ERA and 0.836 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts vs. New York. Masahiro Tanaka was roughed up in his only lifetime start against the Royals, which came earlier this season. He gave up 6 earned runs and 3 homers in 7 innings. The Royals are 41-21 at home this season. Kansas City is 22-8 in Volquez's last 30 home starts. The Royals are 7-0 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Take Kansas City.
|
08-29-16 |
Nationals -1.5 v. Phillies |
Top |
4-0 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 12 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-118)
The Key: The Washington Nationals have lost 6 of their last 8 games overall, including 2 straight over the weekend. They will come back hungry today to get back in the win column. I like their chances of winning this game by 2 runs or more due to their advantage on the mound. Tanner Roark is 13-7 with a 3.04 ERA and 1.205 WHIP in 26 starts this year. Roark is 2-0 with a 0.86 ERA in 3 starts against the Phillies this year, giving up just 2 earned runs over 21 innings in the process. Recent call-up Jake Thompson has struggled mightily for the Phillies. he is 1-3 with a 9.78 ERA and 1.811 WHIP in 4 starts this year. Philadelphia is 2-13 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons. It is losing by 2.1 runs per game in this spot. The Nationals are 10-1 in Roark's last 11 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Nationals are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Philadelphia and 6-0 in the last 6 meetings overall. Take Washington on the Run Line.
|
08-28-16 |
Bengals v. Jaguars -1.5 |
|
21-26 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 43 m |
Show
|
6* Bengals/Jaguars NFLX *CA$H COW* on Jacksonville -1.5
|
08-28-16 |
Rays v. Astros -105 |
Top |
10-4 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 56 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston Astros -105
The Key: The Houston Astros have gone 7-1 in their last 8 games overall and now trail the Baltimore Orioles for the final wild card spot by just 2 games. I expect them to sweep the Tampa Bay Rays, who have the 2nd-worst record in the American League at 54-74. Doug Fister remains one of the most underrated starters in baseball. He has gone 12-8 with a 3.59 ERA in 25 starts for the Astros this season. He'll be opposed by Chris Archer, who is 7-17 with a 4.11 ERA in 27 starts, including 4-8 with a 5.97 ERA in 13 road starts. Archer is 4-17 (-14.8 Units) against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. Archer is 1-12 (-12.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Take Houston.
|
08-27-16 |
Rams +5 v. Broncos |
|
9-17 |
Loss |
-102 |
10 h 16 m |
Show
|
6* Rams/Broncos NFLX *CA$H COW* on St. Louis +5
|
08-27-16 |
Phillies v. Mets -1.5 |
Top |
1-12 |
Win
|
115 |
8 h 26 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on New York Mets -1.5 (+115)
The Key: The New York Mets are making one final push here at the end of the season. They have won 5 of their last 6 games overall and should continue to roll against the Philadelphia Phillies. That's especially the case with ace Noah Syndergaard on the mound. He is 11-7 with a 2.63 ERA and 1.170 WHIP in 24 starts with 175 K's in 147 innings. Syndergaard has never lost to the Phillies, going 3-0 with a 1.40 ERA and 0.983 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them. Jeremy Hellickson hasn't fared nearly as well against the Mets, going 2-2 with a 7.01 ERA and 1.597 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against them. Take New York on the Run Line.
|
08-26-16 |
California v. Hawaii OVER 64 |
Top |
51-31 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 41 m |
Show
|
7* Cal/Hawaii NCAAF *TOTAL* Annihilator on OVER 64
The Key: Both Cal and Hawaii are going to be awful defensively this season. Cal only brings back 4 starters on defense and loses each of its top 6 tacklers from last year. Hawai'i gave up 35.6 points per game last season and has just 5 starters back on D while losing 7 of its top 9 tacklers. But the Warriors should be better offensively with Nick Rolovich as their head coach. He was the offensive coordinator at Nevada the past 4 seasons. He has a 9 returning starters to work with on offense. I know Cal loses Jared Goff, but they replace him with a good one in Texas Tech transfer Davis Webb, who ran the same system with the Red Raiders that Sonny Dykes runs. Look for these 2 teams to put on a show in Australia offensively and to easily top this 64-point total. Cal is 7-0 OVER in its last 7 road games vs. Mountain West opponents. Take the OVER.
|
08-26-16 |
Cubs -110 v. Dodgers |
|
6-4 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 40 m |
Show
|
6* Cubs/Dodgers National League *BAILOUT* on Chicago -110
The Key: The Chicago Cubs have won 8 of their last 10 and had Thursday off after finishing off their sweep of the Padres on Wednesday. The Los Angeles Dodgers are coming off a huge series win against the San Francisco Giants, and they certainly could suffer a letdown after facing their biggest rivals. Mike Montgomery has been impressive in limited action with the Cubs, going 1-1 with a 2.87 ERA and 1.086 WHIP over 3 spot starts. Bud Norris will be his opponent, and he's 6-7 with a 5.18 ERA and 1.404 WHIP in 17 starts this year. Norris gave up 6 earned runs and 11 base runners over 3 2/3 innings in a 2-9 loss to the Reds in his last outing. The Cubs are 22-5 in their last 27 games overall and 46-18 in their last 64 during game 1 of a series. Take Chicago.
|
08-26-16 |
Patriots +3.5 v. Panthers |
|
19-17 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 0 m |
Show
|
6* Patriots/Panthers NFLX *CA$H COW* on New England +3.5
|
08-25-16 |
Pirates -121 v. Brewers |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
7* NL Central Game of the Month on Pittsburgh Pirates -121
The Key: We are getting a good price on the Pittsburgh Pirates as small road favorites over the Milwaukee Brewers today. The Pirates need a big finish if they want to get back to the postseason, so motivation won't be an issue for them here down the stretch. I like what I've seen from starter Chad Kuhl, who is 3-1 with a 3.62 ERA and 1.179 WHIP in 7 starts, and 1-0 with a 2.00 ERA and 0.778 WHIP in 3 road starts. He'll be opposed by Wily Peralta, who is 5-9 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.738 WHIP in 16 starts this year. Milwaukee is 4-15 (-12.0 Units) against the money line after a win by 6 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. The Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 road games. Pittsburgh is 6-1 in Kuhl's last 7 starts. The Brewers are 3-7 in Peralta's last 10 starts. Milwaukee is 25-51 in its last 76 vs. a team with a winning record. Take Pittsburgh.
|
08-24-16 |
Angels v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 |
Top |
8-2 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 46 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Total of the Month on Angels/Blue Jays OVER 8.5
The Key: I look for a slug fest tonight between two of the best offenses in baseball in the Toronto Blue Jays and Los Angeles Angels. Matt Shoemaker hasn't been very good on the road this season, going 3-9 with a 5.09 ERA over 13 starts. Shoemaker gave up 8 runs over 6 innings in his lone lifetime start against the Blue Jays. Marco Estrada is having a decent season, but he hasn't fared well against the Angels, posting a 4.97 ERA in his 2 lifetime starts against them. The OVER is 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings in this series. Take the OVER.
|
08-23-16 |
Giants -109 v. Dodgers |
Top |
5-9 |
Loss |
-109 |
11 h 45 m |
Show
|
7* Giants/Dodgers NL West *BAILOUT* on San Francisco -109
The Key: After a disastrous run post-All-Star Break, the San Francisco Giants now find themselves trailing the Los Angeles Dodgers by one game atop the NL West. But the Dodgers always bring the best out in the Giants, and I look for them to take Game 1 of this series behind ace Madison Bumgarner. The left-hander is 12-7 with a 2.31 ERA and 1.019 WHIP in 26 starts this year. Bumgarner is 13-8 with a 2.59 ERA and 1.049 WHIP in 23 lifetime starts vs. Los Angeles as well. Kenta Maeda is having a good year as well at 12-7 with a 3.29 ERA and 1.068 WHIP in 24 starts, but he's certainly no Bumgarner and has started showing signs of wearing down late in his rookie season. Bumgarner is 22-6 (+12.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. The Giants are 21-7 in their last 28 vs. NL West foes. Take San Francisco.
|
08-21-16 |
Mets -113 v. Giants |
Top |
2-0 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 35 m |
Show
|
7* Mets/Giants ESPN Sunday Night *BAILOUT* on New York -113
The Key: The New York Mets have a massive advantage on the mound tonight over the San Francisco Giants and should be bigger favorites. Noah Syndergaard is 10-7 with a 2.78 ERA and 1.209 WHIP in 23 starts this season with 169 K's in 139 innings. Jeff Samardzija is 10-8 with a 4.24 ERA and 1.225 WHIP in 24 starts for the Giants. Samardzija has never beaten the Mets, going 0-3 with an 11.40 ERA and 1.867 WHIP in three lifetime starts. Take New York.
|
08-20-16 |
49ers +6 v. Broncos |
|
31-24 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* 49ers/Broncos NFLX *CA$H COW* on San Francisco +6
|
08-20-16 |
Blue Jays -118 v. Indians |
Top |
6-5 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 25 m |
Show
|
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Toronto Blue Jays -118
The Key: The Blue Jays had won 4 of their last 5 games coming into this series with Cleveland. They lost Game 1 by a run, but they will bounce back in Game 2 due to their edge on the mound. Aaron Sanchez is 12-2 with a 2.89 ERA in 23 starts this season, including 7-1 with a 2.50 ERA in 12 road starts. He's a better starter over Josh Tomlin, who has posted a 4.11 ERA in 22 starts this year. Tomlin is 0-3 with a 9.36 ERA in his last 3 starts, so he's really slowing down. Sanchez has never lost to the Indians, going 1-0 with a 3.17 ERA in 1 lifetime starts. Tomlin is 1-0 with a 4.24 ERA in 4 lifetime starts vs. Toronto. The Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss. Toronto is 13-6 in Sanchez's last 19 starts. The Indians are 2-8 in their last 10 vs. American League East. Take Toronto.
|
08-19-16 |
Cardinals +1 v. Chargers |
|
3-19 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 9 m |
Show
|
6* Cardinals/Chargers NFLX *CA$H COW* on Arizona +1
|
08-19-16 |
Nationals -138 v. Braves |
Top |
7-6 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 44 m |
Show
|
7* NL East Game of the Year on Washington Nationals -138
The Key: The Washington Nationals should be bigger favorites over the Atlanta Braves tonight. Tanner Roark continues to lack the respect he deserves from odddsmakers. Roark is 13-6 with a 2.85 ERA and 1.183 WHIP in 24 starts this season. Roark loves facing the Braves, going 5-1 with a 1.77 ERA and 1.054 WHIP in 9 lifetime starts against them. Julio Teheran is 3-3 with a 3.95 ERA and 1.456 WHIP in 13 lifetime starts vs. Washington. He gave up 6 earned runs in 7 innings in his last start against the Nationals on April 14. Teheran is 1-13 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season. The Nationals are 13-3 in Roark's last 16 starts and 7-1 in his last 8 road starts. The Braves are 18-42 in their last 60 home games and 1-11 in Teheran's last 12 home starts. Take Washington.
|
08-18-16 |
Mariners +104 v. Angels |
Top |
4-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 34 m |
Show
|
7* Mariners/Angels AL West *BAILOUT* on Seattle +104
The Key: The Seattle Mariners have won 10 of their last 12 games overall and are now serious postseason contenders here down the stretch. Hisashi Iwakuma has won each of his last 3 starts and 8 of his last 9. During that stretch, he has compiled a 2.78 ERA with 41 strikeouts and 10 walks in 55 innings. He'll be opposed by Matt Shoemaker, who is 6-13 with a 4.22 ERA in 23 starts this season. Iwakuma is 8-3 with a 2.95 ERA and 1.004 WHIP in 15 lifetime starts vs. Los Angels. The Angels are 1-12 in their last 13 games overall with nothing to play for. Take Seattle.
|
08-18-16 |
Falcons +2.5 v. Browns |
|
24-13 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* Thursday NFLX *CA$H COW* on Atlanta Falcons +2.5
|
08-17-16 |
Red Sox -114 v. Orioles |
Top |
8-1 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 55 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston Red Sox -114
The Key: The Boston Red Sox have won five straight games coming into this Game 2 showdown against the Baltimore Orioles Wednesday night. Look for them to continue to roll tonight behind ace David Price, who is 10-8 with a 4.29 ERA and 1.283 WHIP in 25 starts this season. Price has had his way with the Orioles, going 8-6 with a 2.89 ERA and 1.165 WHIP in 22 lifetime starts against them. The Orioles are 0-4 in their last four games vs. a left-handed starter. Baltimore is 2-7 in its last nine vs. AL East opponents. Take Boston.
|
08-16-16 |
Red Sox -110 v. Orioles |
Top |
5-3 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 47 m |
Show
|
7* AL East Game of the Week on Boston Red Sox -110
The Key: The Boston Red Sox are in an intense battle with the Orioles and Blue Jays atop the AL East. Sitting in 3rd place today, the Red Sox have a serious chance to gain some ground with an important series against the Orioles here. I look for them to take Game 1 tonight due to their edge on the mound. Eduardo Rodriquez has been pitching awesome of late with a 2.55 ERA and 1.019 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Yovani Gallardo is 4-4 with a 5.17 ERA and 1.596 WHIP in 15 starts this year, including 1-2 with a 4.41 ERA and 1.470 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Gallardo is 2-2 with a 5.26 ERA and 1.675 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts vs. Boston as well. The Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 during Game 1 of a series. Take Boston.
|
08-15-16 |
Mets +104 v. Diamondbacks |
Top |
6-10 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 10 m |
Show
|
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on New York Mets +104
The Key: The New York Mets have gotten back on track with two straight victories following a big slump. Now they should not be dogs to the Arizona Diamondbacks, who were just swept in three games by the Boston Red Sox while giving up a combined 31 runs in the process. They definitely shouldn't be dogs with the advantage they have on the mound in this one, too. Bartolo Colon is 10-6 with a 3.38 ERA and 1.203 WHIP in 23 starts, including 6-3 with a 3.29 ERA and 1.188 WHIP in 11 road starts. Robbie Ray is 5-11 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.445 WHIP in 23 starts, including 3-5 with a 5.25 ERA and 1.540 WHIP in 11 home starts. Colon sports a 3.20 ERA in 3 lifetime starts vs. Arizona. Ray is 1-10 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons. The Mets are 23-6 in their last 29 Monday games. The Mets are 9-0 in Colon's last 9 Monday starts. Take New York.
|
08-14-16 |
Tigers +105 v. Rangers |
Top |
7-0 |
Win
|
105 |
3 h 54 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Dog of the Month on Detroit Tigers +105
The Key: The Detroit Tigers should not be underdogs to the Texas Rangers with the edge they have on the mound this afternoon. Rookie Michael Fulmer has been brilliant, going 9-3 with a 2.43 ERA and 1.063 WHIP in 18 starts this year. He'll be opposed by A.J. Griffin, who is 5-1 with a 4.38 ERA and 1.282 WHIP in 15 starts, including 2-0 with a 5.62 ERA in his last 3 starts. Griffin has never fared well against the Tigers, going 1-1 with a 7.27 ERA and 1.788 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against them. The Tigers are 15-3 in Fulmer's 18 starts this season, including a perfect 7-0 in his day starts. Take Detroit.
|
08-13-16 |
Chargers v. Titans -2.5 |
|
10-27 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 13 m |
Show
|
6* Chargers/Titans AFC *CA$H COW* on Tennessee -2.5
|
08-13-16 |
Royals +131 v. Twins |
Top |
3-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 23 m |
Show
|
7* AL Central Game of the Week on Kansas City Royals +131
The Key: The Kansas City Royals should not be big underdogs to the Minnesota Twins today. That's especially the case with Tyler Duffey starting for the Twins. Duffey is 7-8 with a 5.93 ERA and 1.485 WHIP in 19 starts this year, 3-4 with a 7.22 ERA and 1.586 WHIP in 10 home starts, and 2-1 with a 7.43 ERA and 1.650 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Duffey gave up 5 earned runs in 6 2/3 innings in his lone start against Kansas City this season back on May 25. Dillon Gee is 17-9 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents lifetime. The Twins are 0-4 in their last 4 games overall. Minnesota is 1-5 in Duffey's last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Royals are 47-21 in the last 68 meetings and 22-8 in their last 30 meetings in Minnesota. Take Kansas City.
|
08-12-16 |
Mariners +124 v. A's |
Top |
3-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
22 h 54 m |
Show
|
7* AL Dog of the Week on Seattle Mariners +124
The Key: Thanks to winning 6 straight and 8 of their last 9 overall, the Seattle Mariners now have a realistic shot at chasing down a Wild Card spot in the American League. Look for them to keep rolling tonight as they should not be underdogs to the Oakland A's. The young, talented Ariel Miranda will be making his 2nd start of the season, so he's undervalued right now. His first was impressive as he held the Red Sox to just 2 runs in 6 innings of work. He'll be opposed by Sean Manaea, who is 3-7 with a 4.63 ERA and 1.350 WHIP in 16 starts this year. The A's actually had a game yesterday while the Mariners had a rest day, which also works in their favor. The A's are 1-7 in Manaea's last 8 starts following a loss in their previous game. Oakland is 4-12 in its last 16 vs. a left-handed starter. The Mariners are 7-0 in their last 7 trips to Oakland. Take Seattle.
|
08-12-16 |
Lions v. Steelers -3 |
|
30-17 |
Loss |
-105 |
19 h 48 m |
Show
|
6* Lions/Steelers NFLX *CA$H COW* on Pittsburgh -3
|
08-11-16 |
Jaguars +2.5 v. Jets |
|
13-17 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 57 m |
Show
|
6* Jaguars/Jets AFC *Annihilator* on Jacksonville +2.5
|
08-11-16 |
Bucs +4 v. Eagles |
|
9-17 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
|
6* Bucs/Eagles NFC *CA$H COW* on Tampa Bay +4
|
08-11-16 |
Orioles -138 v. A's |
Top |
9-6 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 3 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Baltimore Orioles -138
The Key: The Baltimore Orioles have lost 3 straight games by exactly 1 run to the Oakland A's to begin this series. They will be hungry to avoid the sweep and take Game 4 today. That shouldn't be a problem with ace Chris Tillman on the mound. The right-hander is 14-4 with a 3.50 ERA and 1.236 WHIP in 24 starts, including 6-3 with a 3.24 ERA and 1.154 WHIP in 11 road starts. He'll be opposed by youngster Alex Triggs, who only went 3 innings in his first start this year. Tillman has never lost to the A's, going 3-0 with a 2.58 ERA and 1.148 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts against them. Take Baltimore.
|
08-09-16 |
Tigers v. Mariners -108 |
Top |
5-6 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 4 m |
Show
|
7* Tigers/Mariners American League *BAILOUT* on Seattle -108
The Key: The Seattle Mariners have made a nice push to get back into the postseason discussion. They have gone 6-1 in their last 7 games overall. Wade LeBlanc continues to be one of the most underrated starters in baseball. He has gone 1-0 with a 2.88 ERA and 0.960 WHIP in 4 home starts this season for the Mariners. Daniel Norris continues to struggle as a starter, posting a 5.25 ERA and 1.583 WHIP in 3 starts this year for the Tigers. Norris sports a 5.40 ERA in 2 lifetime starts against Seattle. The Mariners are 4-0 in LeBlanc's last 4 home starts. Take Seattle.
|
08-08-16 |
Reds v. Cardinals -1.5 |
Top |
4-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 54 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+109)
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals are coming off back-to-back poor home losses to the Atlanta Braves. That will have them hungry for a victory as they enter this series with the Cincinnati Reds Monday night. I expect them to win by multiple runs in Game 1 tonight. Michael Wacha is 7-7 with a 4.35 ERA in 22 starts this year, including 2-0 with a 3.71 ERA in his last 3 starts. Wacha loves facing the Reds, going 6-1 with a 2.09 ERA in 11 lifetime starts against them. Cody Reed is still searching for his 1st win this year. He is 0-6 with a 7.30 ERA in 8 starts. That includes an 0-1 record with a 9.00 ERA in his lone start against St. Louis on August 3 in his last outing. Take St. Louis on the Run Line.
|
08-07-16 |
Giants -129 v. Nationals |
Top |
0-1 |
Loss |
-129 |
1 h 23 m |
Show
|
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on San Francisco Giants -129
The Key: I'll gladly back ace Madison Bumgarner at this price Sunday. He's 10-6 with a 2.31 ERA and 1.028 WHIP over 23 starts with 174 K's in 155 2/3 innings. Bumgarner has owned the Nationals, sporting a 2.86 ERA and 1.045 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts against them. He pitched a 9-inning shutout in a 5-0 victory in his last start against them. Take San Francisco.
|
08-06-16 |
Rangers v. Astros -135 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-135 |
7 h 6 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston Astros -135
The Key: The Astros need to make up some ground on the Rangers if they want to win the division. They got off to a good start with a 5-0 win yesterday, and they are certainly thinking sweep in this series. I expect them to take Game 2 tonight behind Doug Fister, who is 10-7 with a 3.56 ERA and 1.256 WHIP in 21 starts this season. Fister has allowed a combined 5 earned runs over 18 innings in his last 3 starts against Texas. The Rangers are 3-14 in their last 17 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. The Astros are 24-11 in their last 35 home games. Houston is 24-8 in its last 32 vs. AL West opponents. The Astros are 10-2 in Fister's last 12 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Houston is 13-4 in Fister's last 17 starts and 8-1 in his last nine starts vs. AL West opponents. Take Houston.
|
08-05-16 |
Braves v. Cardinals -1.5 |
Top |
0-1 |
Loss |
-106 |
8 h 44 m |
Show
|
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-106)
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals need to get going if they want to make the playoffs. They have lost 4 of their last 5 coming in. A home series against the NL-worst Atlanta Braves should be just what the doctor ordered to get the Cardinals back on track. Jaime Garcia has been at his best at home this season, going 4-5 with a 3.68 ERA and 1.212 WHIP in 11 starts. He'll be opposed by Joel De La Cruz, who is 0-2 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.347 WHIP in 3 starts, and 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 1 road start. The Cardinals are 11-1 (+13.5 Units) against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span this season. They are coming back to win by 3.5 runs per game in these spots. Take St. Louis on the Run Line.
|
08-04-16 |
Red Sox -136 v. Mariners |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 25 m |
Show
|
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Boston Red Sox -136
The Key: The Boston Red Sox come into this game hungry for a win after losing their past 2 games to the Mariners. They should get it behind Drew Pomeranz, who is 8-9 with a 3.09 ERA and 1.143 WHIP in 20 starts this year, and 4-5 with a 2.87 ERA and 1.073 WHIP in 10 road starts. Pomeranz has never lost to the Mariners, going 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.333 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts against them. He has pitched 12 shutout innings while giving up only 4 base runners in those 2 starts. Look for him to shut down the Mariners again tonight and to outduel Seattle youngster Ariel Miranda. Take Boston.
|
08-03-16 |
Red Sox -115 v. Mariners |
Top |
1-3 |
Loss |
-115 |
10 h 5 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston Red Sox -115
The Key: After blowing a 4-0 lead in the 8th inning to lose 5-4 to the Mariners last night, the Red Sox will certainly come back hungry tonight. They should take down the Mariners with ease due to their massive advantage on the mound. Rick Porcello is having a career year, going 14-2 with a 3.47 ERA and 1.111 WHIP in 21 starts, including 3-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 0.818 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Porcello is 6-3 with a 3.73 ERA and 1.197 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts vs. Seattle. Hisashi Iwakuma is washed up, going 11-7 with a 4.21 ERA and 1.320 WHIP in 21 starts this year. Iwakuma has never fared well against the Red Sox, going 1-1 with an 8.18 ERA and 1.955 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against them. The Red Sox are 7-0 in Porcello's last 7 starts on grass. The Mariners are 2-8 in their last 10 games following a win. Take Boston.
|
08-02-16 |
Twins v. Indians -1.5 |
Top |
10-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 23 m |
Show
|
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (+100)
The Key: The Cleveland Indians are hungry following their 5-12 loss to the Minnesota Twins yesterday. But now they have a huge advantage on the mound today behind Carlos Carrasco, who is 7-4 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.025 WHIP in 15 starts this year. He'll be opposed by Kyle Gibson, who is 3-6 with a 4.54 ERA and 1.396 WHIP in 13 starts, including 2-2 with a 5.14 ERA and 1.429 WHIP in 5 road starts. Gibson is 2-3 with a 5.80 ERA and 1.587 WHIP in 8 lifetime starts vs. Cleveland as well. The Indians are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The Twins are 10-26 in Gibson's last 36 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Take Cleveland on the Run Line.
|
08-01-16 |
Nationals -1.5 v. Diamondbacks |
Top |
14-1 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 30 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-116)
The Key: The Washington Nationals should have no problem winning this game against the Arizona Diamondbacks by multiple runs. They are hungry following back-to-back losses to the Giants over the weekend. Now they'll give the ball to one of their aces in Stephen Strasburg, who is 14-1 with a 2.68 ERA and 0.987 WHIP in 19 starts, including 7-0 with a 1.72 ERA and 0.994 WHIP in 8 road starts. Archie Bradley goes for the Diamondbacks. he's 4-6 with a 4.17 ERA and 1.415 WHIP in 14 starts, including 1-3 with a 5.15 ERA in 6 home starts. Arizona is 0-6 (-7.6 Units) against the money line in home games after 2 or more consecutive road games this season. It is losing by 4.4 runs/game in this spot. Strasburg is 17-2 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season. The Nationals are winning by 3.3 runs/game in his 19 starts. Take Washington on the Run Line.
|
07-31-16 |
Pirates -137 v. Brewers |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-137 |
2 h 11 m |
Show
|
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Pittsburgh Pirates -137
The Key: The Pittsburgh Pirates get the nod Sunday as they look to avoid the sweep at the hands of the Milwaukee Brewers. I like their chances with their edge on the mound in this one. Francisco Liriano is 7-6 with a 4.48 ERA and 1.336 WHIP in 16 lifetime starts vs. Milwaukee. He faced them once this season on July 21, striking out 13 and allowing only 2 earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of a 5-3 victory. Matt Garza is terrible, going 1-4 with a 5.74 ERA and 1.677 WHIP in 8 starts this year. Garza is 2-4 with a 4.61 ERA and 1.573 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts vs. Pittsburgh. Liriano is 11-1 (+10.4 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Pirates are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series. The Pirates are 8-1 in Liriano's last 9 Sunday starts. The Brewers are 0-11 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series. The Brewers are 1-9 in Garza's last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Take Pittsburgh.
|
07-30-16 |
Cardinals -110 v. Marlins |
Top |
0-11 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 40 m |
Show
|
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on St. Louis Cardinals -110
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals are playing very well right now. They have gone 9-3 in their last 12 games and look to win a fourth straight tonight against the Miami Marlins. They should do just that due to their advantage on the mound. Jaime Garcia is 7-7 with a 3.97 ERA in 20 starts this season. He has never lost to the Marlins, going 2-0 with a 1.99 ERA in 5 lifetime starts against them. Colin Rea is 5-5 with a 4.85 ERA in 18 starts this year, and 0-2 with a 5.94 ERA in his last 3 starts. Rea has never beaten the Cardinals, going 0-2 with a 6.00 ERA in 3 lifetime starts against them. Take St. Louis.
|
07-29-16 |
Red Sox -1.5 v. Angels |
Top |
6-2 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 19 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-105)
The Key: The Boston Red Sox are hungry for a victory after losing four straight and blowing a save in the 9th inning last night. They should have plenty of room to spare in the 9th tonight as they win this one by multiple runs. Rick Porcello is 13-2 with a 3.57 ERA and 1.151 WHIP in 20 starts, including 3-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.950 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Tim Lincecum is 2-4 with an 8.70 ERA and 2.267 WHIP in 7 starts this year. Lincecum is 0-2 with a 10.13 ERA and 2.625 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts vs. Boston. Porcello sports a 1.50 ERA in his last 2 starts at Los Angeles, yielding just 2 earned runs in 12 innings. Porcello is 9-0 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons. He's winning these starts by 4.3 runs per game. Take Boston on the Run Line.
|
07-28-16 |
Phillies -120 v. Braves |
Top |
7-5 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 39 m |
Show
|
7* NL East Game of the Week on Philadelphia Phillies -120
The Key: The Philadelphia Phillies should be bigger favorites tonight against the Atlanta Braves. They have the advantage on the mound behind Aaron Nola, who is 5-9 with a 4.92 ERA and 1.274 WHIP in 19 starts this year with 116 K's in 106 innings. Nola owns the Braves, going 2-1 with a 1.73 ERA and 1.115 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against them. Matt Wisler is 4-10 with a 4.97 ERA and 1.327 WHIP in 19 starts this year, including 1-2 with a 9.98 ERA and 1.696 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Wisler is 1-2 with a 5.12 ERA in 3 lifetime starts vs. Philadelphia as well. Atlanta is 8-27 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season. The Braves are 4-24 (-21.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 7.5 this season. Atlanta is 2-9 in Wisler's last 11 home starts. Take Philadelphia.
|
07-27-16 |
Angels v. Royals -109 |
Top |
5-7 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 36 m |
Show
|
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Kansas City Royals -109
The Key: The Kansas City Royals have a huge advantage on the mound tonight over the Los Angeles Angels. Danny Duffy is 6-1 with a 3.17 ERA in 13 starts this season, and he has struck out 34 batters while walking only 4 in his last 36 innings pitched. Matt Shoemaker is 5-10 with a 3.99 ERA on the season, and 3-6 with a 4.74 ERA on the road this year. The Angels are 1-5 in Shoemaker's last 6 road starts. But what really stands out is that Shoemaker is 0-2 with an 8.64 ERA in 4 lifetime starts against Kansas City. The Angels are 0-4 in those 4 games. The Royals are 26-9 in Duffy's last 35 home starts and 9-0 in his last 9 starts as a favorite. Take Kansas City.
|
07-26-16 |
Tigers v. Red Sox -1.5 |
Top |
9-8 |
Loss |
-114 |
7 h 58 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-114)
The Key: You won't find many bigger mound mismatches than the one the Red Sox have over the Tigers here Tuesday night, which is why I expect them to win by 2 runs or more with ease. Knuckleballer Steven Wright is 12-5 with a 2.67 ERA and 1.148 WHIP in 19 starts this season, including 7-1 with a 3.20 ERA in 10 home starts. He'll be opposed by Mike Pelfrey, who is 3-9 with a 5.35 ERA and 1.812 WHIP in 19 starts this season for Detroit. The Tigers are 0-14 (-14.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +200 over the last 2 seasons. They are losing by 3.9 runs per game on average in this spot. Take Boston on the Run Line.
|
07-25-16 |
Padres v. Blue Jays -1.5 |
Top |
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 5 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-125)
The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays have a massive advantage on the mound tonight over the San Diego Padres. As a result, I expect them to win by 2 or more runs today with ease. Aaron Sanchez is 10-1 with a 2.94 ERA and 1.181 WHIP in 19 starts this season, including 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 0.850 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He'll be opposed by Colin Rea, who is 5-4 with a 4.87 ERA and 1.440 WHIP in 17 starts, including 2-2 with a 5.11 ERA and 1.730 WHIP in 7 road starts. San Diego is 1-11 (-10.8 Units) against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings over the last 2 seasons. It is losing by 2.3 runs per game in this spot. Take Toronto on the Run Line.
|
07-24-16 |
Tigers v. White Sox -140 |
|
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 43 m |
Show
|
7* AL Central *HEAVY HITTER on Chicago White Sox -140 The Key: No Analysis Sunday.
|
07-23-16 |
Twins v. Red Sox -1.5 |
Top |
11-9 |
Loss |
-125 |
7 h 4 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-125)
The Key: The Boston Red Sox have a big advantage on the mound today and at the plate, and they should win by multiple runs as a result. David Price is 9-7 with a 4.36 ERA and 1.231 WHIP in 20 starts, 6-3 with a 4.06 ERA and 1.088 WHIP in 11 home starts, and 1-2 with a 2.49 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Price is 9-3 with a 2.14 ERA and 0.970 WHIP in 14 lifetime starts vs. Minnesota as well. Ricky Nolasco is 4-8 with a 5.02 ERA and 1.352 WHIP in 19 starts this year. Nolasco sports a 4.50 ERA in 6 lifetime starts vs. Boston. Minnesota is 3-16 (-12.3 Units) against the money line after 4 or more consecutive road games this season. It is losing by 2.2 runs per game in this spot. Take Boston on the Run Line.
|
07-22-16 |
Angels v. Astros -144 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 40 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston Astros -144
The Key: Los Angeles' Matt Shoemaker is coming off his first complete game shutout of the season in his last start. Now, Shoemaker will likely be fatigued and is primed for a letdown tonight against the Houston Astros. Lance McCullers has been dominant at home over the past two seasons with the Astros. The right-hander is 7-3 with a 2.16 ERA and 1.160 WHIP in 17 starts while striking out 119 batters in 104 1/3 innings. McCullers is also 1-1 with a 2.35 ERA and 1.109 WHIP in five lifetime starts against Los Angeles. Shoemaker is 2-11 (-11.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. The Angels are 16-35 in their last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Angels are 4-17 in Shoemaker's last 21 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. The Astros are 51-23 in their last 74 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Astros are 8-0 in the last 8 meetings. Take Houston.
|
07-21-16 |
Tigers v. White Sox -117 |
Top |
2-1 |
Loss |
-117 |
8 h 55 m |
Show
|
7* AL Central Game of the Month on Chicago White Sox -117
The Key: The White Sox have the clear edge on the mound today of the Detroit Tigers. James Shields has really turned it on of late, going 1-2 with a 2.08 ERA and 0.877 WHIP in his last 3 starts while giving up just 5 earned runs in 21 2/3 innings. Mike Pelfrey has been awful all season for the Tigers, going 2-9 with a 5.55 ERA and 1.819 WHIP in 18 starts, and 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.857 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Pelfrey is 1-5 wiht a 5.81 ERA and 1.747 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts vs. Chicago. The Tigers are 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Take Chicago.
|
07-20-16 |
Dodgers v. Nationals -110 |
Top |
1-8 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 54 m |
Show
|
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington Nationals -110
The Key: The Washington Nationals are hungry for a win after dropping two straight, including Game 1 of this series to the Dodgers. I like their chances with Gio Gonzalez on the mound tonight. He has great stuff and has struck out 104 batters in 103 1/3 innings this season. Gonzalez also owns the Dodgers, going 2-1 with a 1.73 ERA and 1.038 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against them. Bud Norris is 5-7 with a 4.17 ERA and 1.33 WHIP on the season for Los Angeles. The Dodgers are 6-15 in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Nationals are 15-4 in Gonzalez's last 19 Wednesday starts. Take Washington.
|
07-19-16 |
Rays v. Rockies -135 |
Top |
10-1 |
Loss |
-135 |
11 h 57 m |
Show
|
7* Interleague Game of the Week on Colorado Rockies -135
The Key: The Colorado Rockies should make easy work of the Tampa Bay Rays once again Tuesday. The Rays simply cannot put the wheels back on. They have gone 4-25 in their last 29 games overall. The Rockies have the clear advantage on the mound in this one, too. Tyler Chatwood is 8-5 with a 3.29 ERA and 1.286 WHIP in 16 starts while allowing only 6 homers in 95 2/3 innings this season. Blake Snell is 1-4 with a 3.70 ERA and 1.579 WHIP in 6 starts for the Rays. The Rays are 1-10 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Tampa Bay is 1-5 in Snell's 6 starts this season. The Rockies are 9-4 in the last 13 home meetings. Take Colorado.
|
07-18-16 |
Orioles -113 v. Yankees |
Top |
1-2 |
Loss |
-113 |
7 h 21 m |
Show
|
7* Orioles/Yankees AL East *HEAVY HITTER* on Baltimore -113
The Key: Kevin Gausman has gotten some poor run support this season, which is why he has a 1-6 record on the year. But that should change here Monday against the Yankees and starter Ivan Nova, who is 5-4 with a 5.18 ERA and 1.379 WHIP in 12 starts. Gausman sports a 4.15 ERA in 15 starts this year and a 3.37 ERA over his last 3 starts. But what really stands out are the head-to-head numbers. Gausman is 1-1 with a 1.93 ERA in 7 lifetime starts vs. New York, while Nova is 7-4 with a 5.34 ERA in 15 lifetime starts vs. Baltimore. Guasman has allowed just 2 earned runs over 19 innings in his last 3 starts against New York. Nova has given up 10 earned runs in 11 2/3 innings in his last 2 starts against Baltimore. The Orioles are 34-11 (+19.3 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. Take Baltimore.
|
07-17-16 |
Marlins v. Cardinals -139 |
Top |
6-3 |
Loss |
-139 |
2 h 5 m |
Show
|
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on St. Louis Cardinals -139
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals should be bigger favorites over the Miami Marlins today. We'll take advantage of this generous price and back the Cards at home as they win this series with a victory in Game 3. Michael Wacha has been on his game of late, giving up 3 earned runs or fewer in each of his last 6 starts while going 3-1 with a 3.00 ERA over that span. Miami is 4-20 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. The Cardinals are 24-10 in Wacha's last 34 home starts. The Marlins are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings. Take St. Louis.
|
07-16-16 |
Brewers -101 v. Reds |
Top |
9-1 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 54 m |
Show
|
7* NL Central Game of the Week on Milwaukee Brewers -101
The Key: We're getting a great price here with the better team and the better starting pitcher at nearly even money today. The Milwaukee Brewers clearly have the edge on the mound in this one behind Jimmy Nelson, who is 5-7 with a 3.53 ERA in 18 starts this year, including 0-1 with a 2.12 ERA in his last 3 starts. Cincinnati's John Lamb is 1-6 with a 5.29 ERA and 1.530 WHIP in 13 starts this year, including 0-2 with a 7.05 ERA and 1.631 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Lamb has never beaten the Brewers, going 0-2 (0-4 money line) with a 6.98 ERA and 1.499 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against them. Take Milwaukee.
|
07-15-16 |
Blue Jays -133 v. A's |
Top |
7-8 |
Loss |
-133 |
9 h 60 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto Blue Jays -133
The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays are one of the hottest teams in baseball coming out of the All-Star Break. They have won 8 of their last 9 games overall and now open a series with one of the worst teams in the AL in the Oakland A's. Marcus Stroman is coming off a couple of his best starts of the season. He has given up only 3 earned runs over 14 2/3 innings in his last two starts. Daniel Mengden is 1-4 with a 4.54 ERA and 1.374 WHIP in 6 starts this year for the A's. Stroman pitched 7 shutout innings in his only lifetime start against Oakland. The Blue Jays are 26-10 in their last 36 games vs. a right-handed starter. The A's are 3-8 in their last 11 games overall. Oakland is 17-36 in its last 53 vs. AL East foes. The Blue Jays are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Take Toronto.
|
07-10-16 |
Cardinals +115 v. Brewers |
Top |
5-1 |
Win
|
115 |
3 h 48 m |
Show
|
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on St. Louis Cardinals +115
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals should not be underdogs to the Milwaukee Brewers today. Junior Guerra is getting way too much respect from oddsmakers as the starting pitcher for the Brewers. The Cardinals are 8-1 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season. St. Louis is 11-4 in its last 15 road games. The Brewers are 19-40 in their last 59 vs. a team with a winning record. Milwaukee is 0-6 in its last 6 during game 3 of a series. Take St. Louis.
|
07-09-16 |
Yankees v. Indians -160 |
Top |
7-6 |
Loss |
-160 |
4 h 45 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland Indians -160
The Key: The Cleveland Indians have been on a tear to close out the All-Star Break. They should pick up another win with ease today thanks to their advantage on the mound over the New York Yankees. Danny Salazar has been their ace, going 10-3 with a 2.36 ERA and 1.141 WHIP with 113 K's in 99 innings. He's 5-1 with a 2.05 ERA and 0.993 WHIP in 7 home starts as well. C.C. Sabathia has really struggled of late, going 0-2 with an 8.31 ERA and 1.616 WHIP in his last 3 starts while allowing 16 earned runs in 17 1/3 innings. The Indians are 45-22 in their last 67 home games. Cleveland is 7-0 in Salazar's last 7 starts overall. The Indians are 20-7 in Salazar's last 27 home starts. Take Cleveland.
|
07-08-16 |
Cubs -158 v. Pirates |
Top |
4-8 |
Loss |
-158 |
7 h 8 m |
Show
|
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago Cubs -158
The Key: The Chicago Cubs have lost 7 of their last 8 games overall heading into this series with the Pirates. It's safe to say they'll be hungry for a win in Game 1 here tonight. The good news is that ace Jake Arrieta will be taking the ball, giving the Cubs a massive edge on the mound. Arrieta is 12-3 with a 2.33 ERA and 1.062 WHIP in 17 starts this season. The right-hander is 10-1 with a 1.31 ERA and 0.753 WHIP in 13 lifetime starts vs. Pittsburgh. Francisco Liriano has been off all season, going 5-8 with a 5.34 ERA and 1.643 WHIP in 16 starts, including 1-1 with a 6.91 ERA and 1.745 WHIP in his last 3. Arrieta is 20-2 (+16.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. The Cubs are 23-3 in Arrieta's last 26 road starts. The Pirates are 0-6 in Liriano's last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Cubs are 13-3 in the last 16 meetings, including 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Pittsburgh. Take Chicago.
|
07-07-16 |
Tigers v. Blue Jays -113 |
Top |
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 5 m |
Show
|
7* Tigers/Blue Jays AL *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto -113
The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays are on a tear right now. They have won 5 straight while outscoring opponents a combined 44-14 in the process. Look for their bats to stay red hot against Justin Verlander and the Tigers. Verlander is 1-1 with a 5.30 ERA in his last 3 starts. He is 3-4 with a 4.90 ERA in 10 lifetime starts vs. Toronto. Verlander has given up 12 earned runs and 4 homers over 12 innings in his last 2 starts against the Blue Jays. Drew Hutchison is 1-1 with a 2.89 ERA in 3 lifetime starts vs. Detroit. Toronto is 14-1 (+12.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Blue Jays are 45-21 in their last 66 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Blue Jays are 19-7 in Hutchison's last 26 home starts. Take Toronto.
|