Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-25-18 | Packers v. Vikings -3 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 16 h 26 m | Show |
7* Packers/Vikings Sunday Night Game of the Year on Minnesota -3 The Key: The Vikings are as healthy as they’ve been since Week 1. The Packers have several key players questionable or out for this game. And the Vikings are sure to be hungry off a loss to the Bears last week. The Packers have lost 3 of their last 4 coming in and just aren’t a very good team. Aaron Rodgers lacks weapons because of all the injuries, and the defense remains poor. The Packers have the biggest home/road split of any team in the NFL over the past decade. They are great at home but terrible on the road. The Packers are 0-5 SU & 1-3-1 ATS on the road this season, getting outscored by 8.2 PPG. No team has been as good as the Vikings at home over the past several season. Minnesota is 36-16-2 ATS in its last 54 home games. Mike Zimmer is 27-11 ATS in home games as the coach of Minnesota. This line of -3 seems very cheap Sunday night. Take Minnesota. |
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11-25-18 | Giants +5.5 v. Eagles | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
6* Giants/Eagles NFC East *CA$H COW* on New York +5.5 The Key: Saquon Barkley guaranteed the Giants would win their final 8 games coming out of their bye. And don’t look now, but they’re 2-0 since that guarantee with a realistic path to win the NFC East if they keep winning. And now they face the Eagles, who are coming off back-to-back ugly losses to the Cowboys and Saints, including their 7-48 loss at New Orleans last week. The Eagles are marred by injuries to several of their best players. Their secondary is a mess, and even Eli Manning should be able to light it up. I also like that this is a revenge game for the Giants after their 13-34 home loss to the Eagles earlier this season. That was a very misleading final as the Giants actually outgained the Eagles 401 to 379 in that contest. The Giants are 40-21 ATS in their last 61 road games off two or more consecutive wins. Philadelphia is 0-10 ATS vs. teams who allow 6.0 or more yards per play over the last 3 years. Take New York. |
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11-25-18 | Seahawks v. Panthers -3 | 30-27 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
6* Seahawks/Panthers NFC *CA$H COW* on Carolina -3 The Key: The Carolina Panthers have had a huge home/road split this season. They are just 1-4 on the road, but 5-0 at home. And now they’re home here against the Seahawks Sunday. I think we get a big effort from the Panthers off 2 consecutive road losses. Players will have coach Ron Rivera’s back after his decision to go for a 2-point conversion to try and beat the Lions last week. Rivera is 22-4 ATS off a road loss as the Panthers’ coach, including 9-1 ATS off an upset road loss. Take Carolina. |
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11-24-18 | South Carolina +26.5 v. Clemson | Top | 35-56 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
7* South Carolina/Clemson ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on South Carolina +26.5 The Key: Clemson will make the four-team playoff no matter what happens in this game against South Carolina as long as they beat Pitt next week in the ACC Championship. The Tigers are getting too much love now after going 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. They did not cover as 29.5-point favorites against Duke last week in a 29-point win. And now they are 26.5-point favorites against South Carolina, a team that is much better than Duke. The Gamecocks have their best offense of the Will Muschamp era this season as they are scoring 32.8 PPG. And they still have a solid defense. They have what it takes to stay within 4 touchdowns of the Tigers. The Gamecocks are 7-0 ATS in road games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. South Carolina is 7-1-1 ATS in its last 9 road games overall. The Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games. Take South Carolina. |
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11-24-18 | Georgia Southern -10.5 v. Georgia State | 35-14 | Win | 100 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
6* Sun Belt Game of the Day on Georgia Southern -10.5 The Key: Georgia Southern currently sits at 8-3 while having a tremendous season in the Sun Belt. Two more wins and they can get to 10, which would be a huge accomplishment at the FBS level. Georgia State has lost six straight while going 0-5-1 ATS in the process to drop to 2-9 SU & 2-8-1 ATS on the season. This game is a matchup problem for Georgia State. The Panthers have a horrible defense that gives up 37.6 PPG and 499 YPG on the season. Their biggest weakness is against the run, where they give up 248 RYPG and 6.6 YPC. Georgia Southern is a triple-option team that rushes for 259 RYPG and 5.2 YPC. They will have their way on the ground against the Panthers today. The Panthers are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games. Take Georgia Southern. |
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11-24-18 | Navy +6.5 v. Tulane | 28-29 | Win | 100 | 2 h 22 m | Show | |
6* AAC Game of the Day on Navy +6.5 The Key: Navy isn’t a team that’s going to quit. The Midshipmen showed that the last two weeks as they gave UCF a run for their money in an 11-point loss as 23.5-point dogs, and they beat Tulsa 37-29 as 5.5-point favorites. They should be able to stay within a touchdown of Tulane and possibly pull the upset today. Tulane is not playing well, only beating ECU by 6 as 10.5-point favorites, and losing 17-48 to Houston as 7.5-point dogs the last two weeks. They are choking away their chance at making a bowl for a second straight season. Navy is 82-45 ATS in its last 127 road games. The Midshipmen are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 coming in. The Green Wave are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 home games off a blowout loss by 21 points arm ore to a conference opponent. Ken Niumatalolo is 22-12 ATS as a road underdog as the coach of Navy. Take Navy. |
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11-23-18 | Washington v. Washington State -2 | Top | 28-15 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
7* Washington/Wash State NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Washington State -2 The Key: This year just feels different. I know Washington has owned Washington State in the Apple Cup, but this is the best Cougars team that Mike Leach has had yet. And I think they’re ready to take that next step. The Cougars are 10-1 SU & 10-1 ATS this season, getting overlooked all year. Their only loss came early in the season by a field goal at USC. Washington has been overvalued all season, going 8-3 SU & 2-9 ATS. The Huskies are 0-6 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion percentage of 58% or better this season. Take Washington State. |
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11-23-18 | Pelicans v. Knicks +7 | 109-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New York Knicks +7 The Key: I like the situation for the Knicks tonight. They’ll be looking to avenge a 124-129 road loss at New Orleans as 11-point underdogs on November 16th. And they don’t have to wait long to do it as this game will be played exactly one week to the day later. Bets on underdogs who are revenging a same season loss who are also off an upset win as a road dog of 10 points or more are 22-4 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take New York. |
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11-23-18 | East Carolina +17 v. Cincinnati | 6-56 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
6* ECU/Cincinnati AAC *CA$H COW* on East Carolina +17 The Key: Cincinnati is coming off its Super Bowl last week against UCF that decided the AAC East title. After losing that game 13-38, I just can’t foresee the Bearcats playing well this week as a hangover is in effect. And now they’ll be up against an ECU team that has proven it can play with anyone, especially now that freshman QB Holton Ahlers has taken over. Ahlers has played the better part of 5 games this season, throwing for over 1,600 yards with 11 touchdowns and only 2 interceptions. He has added 571 yards and 6 touchdowns on the ground, putting up monster numbers in only a handful of games this year. And he’ll make enough plays to keep the Pirates in this game Friday as well. The Bearcats are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing 37 points or more. Take East Carolina. |
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11-22-18 | Falcons v. Saints OVER 60 | 17-31 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
6* Falcons/Saints NFC South *Total* Annihilator on OVER 60 The Key: The Falcons and Saints should both top 30 points in this game tonight. They combined for 80 points in the Saints’ 43-37 win over the Falcons in the Georgia Dome in their first meeting. And now this total has been set 20 points lower than that result. They’re back in a dome here in New Orleans. Take the OVER. |
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11-22-18 | Redskins +7 v. Cowboys | Top | 23-31 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
7* Redskins/Cowboys NFC East *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington +7 The Key: The Cowboys win two games on the road and all of a sudden they are laying 7 points at home to the Washington Redskins. They haven’t been favored by 7 points or more in any game this season. And the Cowboys are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite when playing on less than 6 days’ rest. Colt McCoy is one of the best backups in the league and has even guided the Redskins to a win in Dallas previously. Take Washington. |
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11-22-18 | Colorado State +14.5 v. Air Force | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
6* Colorado State/Air Force MWC *CA$H COW* on Colorado State +14.5 The Key: Both Air Force and Colorado State have fallen short of bowl eligibility this season. So both teams are playing for pride, and I don’t see an advantage for either team in that department. Both are coming off crushing losses, but I was way impressed with Colorado State’s 24-29 loss as 29.5-point underdogs to Utah State last week. Utah State is one of the best teams in the country, and the Rams outgained them 506 to 310 for the game and really should have won. The Rams average nearly 300 passing yards per game this season, and they should have their way with an Air Force defense that gives up 8.7 yards per attempt through the air this year. Air Force is 1-8 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. Take Colorado State. |
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11-21-18 | Blazers v. Bucks -7 | Top | 100-143 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational Game of the Week on Milwaukee Bucks -7 The Key: The Bucks will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days here and will be fresh for the Blazers. They also want revenge from a 103-118 loss at Portland in their first meeting this season on November 6th. The Blazers are in a tough situation here. They’ll be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after a 118-114 win in New York last night. The Bucks are 8-1 SU at home this year and winning by 15.3 PPG on average. The Bucks are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 home games. The Bucks are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home meetings with Portland. Take Milwaukee. |
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11-21-18 | San Diego State v. Iowa State -3 | 57-87 | Win | 100 | 2 h 16 m | Show | |
6* SDSU/Iowa State NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Iowa State -3 The Key: Iowa State has 3 newcomers this season that have been their 3 best players. Marial Shayok is averaging 19.2 PPG and 7.2 RPG, Michael Jacobson is averaging 17.4 PPG and 7.2 RPG, and Taken Horton-Tucker is averaging 17.2 PPG and 6.4 RPG. This trio is flying under the radar. They have allowed the Cyclones to flourish this season despite all their injuries and suspensions to 3 returning starters and 1 other key player. They should handle this overmatched San Diego State squad today that lost by 26 to Duke and needed a late rally to beat Xavier. Iowa State thumped Illinois 84-68 after blowing a late lead against Arizona thus far. The Cyclones are 8-1 ATS in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons. Take Iowa State. |
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11-20-18 | Arizona +10 v. Gonzaga | Top | 74-91 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
7* Arizona/Gonzaga ESPN *BAILOUT* on Arizona +10 The Key: The Arizona Wildcats were impressive in their 71-66 win over Iowa State yesterday. They are now 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS as head coach Sean Miller has done a great job of reloading with talent via transfers this season. They should be able to hang with Gonzaga, which barely beat Illinois 84-78 yesterday as 15.5-point favorites. I like the fact that Arizona played before Gonzaga yesterday, so they will be the more rested team, and they will have had the opportunity to watch the Zags. They should be able to stay within 10 points of the Bulldogs tonight. Arizona is 11-1 ATS in road games after covering 2 of their last 3 ATS over the last 3 seasons. Gonzaga is 0-7 ATS off 4 straight games where it made 47% of its shots or better over the last 2 years. The Wildcats are 10-0 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. teams who make 52% of their shots or better. Take Arizona. |
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11-20-18 | Clippers v. Wizards +1 | 118-125 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Washington Wizards +1 The Key: The Washington Wizards had yesterday off and should be a hungry team tonight with all of the trade talks surrounding them right now. The Clippers played last night and needed a big comeback late to beat the Hawks. They will now be playing for a second consecutive night and won’t have much left in the tank. This is a great situation spot to back the Wizards, who are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after losing at home by 10 or more points in their previous game. Take Washington. |
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11-19-18 | Chiefs v. Rams OVER 62.5 | Top | 51-54 | Win | 100 | 116 h 4 m | Show |
7* Chiefs/Rams MNF Total of the Year on OVER 62.5 The Key: This game has been moved from Mexico City to Los Angeles, yet the total hasn’t moved one bit. If anything it has gone down. They were going to play on a terrible, sloppy field, and now they are going to play on a perfect field in perfect weather. It’s going to be great scoring conditions Monday night for two of the best offenses in the NFL. The Chiefs are putting up 35.3 PPG while the Rams are putting up 33.5 PPG. And I expect both teams to reach or exceed their season averages in this contest. It will be similar to the 45-35 Saints game the Rams played two weeks ago, and the 43-40 game the Chiefs played against the Patriots several weeks back. Both offenses will shine, and the defenses will do little to stop them. The OVER is 6-1 in Chiefs last 7 road games. The OVER is 21-10 in Rams last 31 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take the OVER. |
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11-19-18 | Spurs +7.5 v. Pelicans | 126-140 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on San Antonio Spurs +7.5 The Key: The Spurs had 2 days off prior to beating the Warriors 104-92 last night. That should help ease the effects of this back-to-back situation. They should still be competitive against the Pelicans tonight, especially catching 7.5 points here. The Pelicans are getting a little too much respect from the books after going 5-1 in their last 6 games. New Orleans is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 home games after having won 3 of its last 4 games coming in. The Pelicans are 0-7 ATS vs. good 3-point shooting teams that make 36% of their attempts or better this season. Take San Antonio. |
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11-18-18 | Bucs v. Giants -1 | Top | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 85 h 50 m | Show |
7* NFC Game of the Month on New York Giants -1 The Key: Odell Beckham Jr. and Saquon Barkley both stated that the Giants are going to win their remaining 8 games and salvage their season. While I don’t believe them, I do think they’ll win this week against the Bucs. And they won their first game back from the bye over the 49ers to start the streak. It just shows that they aren’t quitting. And it’s worth noting they played the toughest schedule in the NFL in the first half of the season. It gets easier now, and it started with the 49ers and moves on to the Bucs this week. Tampa Bay is 1-6 in its last 7 games overall. The Bucs managed just 3 points in a 16-3 loss to an injury-ravaged Redskins team ripe for the picking. Things are not good in Tampa Bay right now. The Giants are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings with the Bucs. Take New York. |
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11-18-18 | Titans v. Colts -1 | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 85 h 50 m | Show | |
6* Titans/Colts AFC South *CA$H COW* on Indianapolis -1 The Key: Andrew Luck is 9-0 SU & 8-0-1 ATS in in his last 9 meetings with the Titans. He makes all the difference for this team. And the Colts are flying under the radar right now. They have won their last 3 games by a combined 49 points. Now they catch the Titans in a tough spot off their win over the Patriots last week. They are in line for a letdown here. Take Indianapolis. |
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11-18-18 | Cowboys +3.5 v. Falcons | 22-19 | Win | 100 | 85 h 50 m | Show | |
6* Cowboys/Falcons NFC *CA$H COW* on Dallas +3.5 The Key: The Cowboys got the statement win they needed with a 27-20 upset as 7.5-point road dogs at Philadelphia last week. It gave them the confidence they needed to make a push for the NFC East title in the second half of the season. And now they face a reeling Falcons team that just lost to the lowly Brown 16-28 last week. The Cowboys have a much improved offense with Amari Cooper now, giving them the threat on the outside they have been missing. The Cowboys should be able to do whatever they want to offensively against a Falcons defense that is yielding 28.2 PPG and 415 YPG. They are giving up 5.2 yards per carry and 70.4% completions to opposing quarterbacks. The Cowboys are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after gaining 400 or more yards in their last game. The Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. teams who allow 375 or more yards per game. Take Dallas. |
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11-17-18 | UNLV v. Hawaii -6.5 | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 71 h 21 m | Show | |
6* UNLV/Hawaii Mountain West *BAILOUT* on Hawaii -6.5 The Key: The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors are 6-5 this season. But they need one more win for a bowl because they play 13 games, which requires 7 wins. And they have a road game on deck next week against San Diego State. So this will be Hawaii’s Super Bowl. And they should be well prepared considering they had a bye last week to get ready for it. UNLV played and won its Super Bowl last week in a 27-24 upset at San Diego State as 24-point dogs. But San Diego State was looking ahead to its game with Fresno State this week to decide the division title. And UNLV won’t show up at all this week against the Rainbow Warriors in my estimation. UNLV is 2-14 ATS in its last 16 games off a road win against a conference opponent. Take Hawaii. |
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11-17-18 | South Alabama v. UL-Lafayette -17 | 38-48 | Loss | -112 | 65 h 20 m | Show | |
6* Sun Belt Game of the Day on UL-Lafayette -17 The Key: Lafayette sits at 5-5 and one win away from bowl eligibility here as they host South Alabama. They want to take care of business here on Senior Day and will be hungry to do so because they don’t want to try and have to win next week against red-hot Louisiana-Monroe on the road. They should handle their business against South Alabama, which is 1-6 in its last 7 games overall with all 6 losses coming by 17 points or more. The Jaguars are 0-5 on the road this season and losing by 32.6 PPG on average. Lafayette is 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS at home and scoring 45.2 PPG with 554 YPG. Their offense is built to cover big spreads like this. South Alabama is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games after having lost 6 or 7 of its last 8 games coming in. The Jaguars are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 road games. The Rajin’ Cajuns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Take UL-Lafayette. |
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11-17-18 | Indiana +28.5 v. Michigan | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 65 h 30 m | Show | |
6* Indiana/Michigan Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Indiana +28.5 The Key: Michigan has its Super Bowl on deck against Ohio State. I have to think the Wolverines will be looking past the Hoosiers and ahead to that game, which will decide the Big Ten East champion and possibly which team makes the four-team playoff. Any lack of focus out of the Wolverines this week and it’s going to be tough to cover this 28.5-point spread. Even if they show up it’s going to be tough because the Hoosiers are no pushovers. They have yet to lose a game by more than 26 points despite playing a rugged Big Ten East schedule. Jim Harbaugh is 0-6 ATS off a win by 35 points or more as the coach of the Wolverines. Take Indiana. |
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11-17-18 | Air Force v. Wyoming -2.5 | Top | 27-35 | Win | 100 | 64 h 21 m | Show |
7* Mountain West Game of the Month on Wyoming -2.5 The Key: Wyoming has fought its way back into bowl contention at 4-6 on the season. The Cowboys went on the road and beat Colorado State 34-21 and topped San Jose State 24-9 at home. Then they had a bye last week to get ready for the stretch run, where now if they beat Air Force and New Mexico they will get to a bowl, which is very doable. It starts with taking care of Air Force here, and they have the rest advantage because Air Force played New Mexico last week. The Falcons only run the football as they average just 14 pass attempts per game. That bodes well for Wyoming, which is giving up just 114 rushing yards per game and 3.5 per carry this season. The Falcons are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 conference games, and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Cowboys are 14-3 ATS in the last 17 meetings, including 4-0 ATS in the last 4 home meetings. Take Wyoming. |
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11-17-18 | Liberty +28 v. Auburn | 0-53 | Loss | -106 | 64 h 20 m | Show | |
6* NCAAF Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Liberty +28 The Key: Auburn has the Iron Bowl on deck against Alabama next week. The Tigers just lost to Georgia last week. This is a sandwich game for them. They had a similar situation earlier this season when they only beat Southern Miss 24-13 at home as 27.5-point favorites. Now they’re 28-point favorites against Liberty here, a Liberty team that has been competitive in almost every game this season. Liberty is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 games as a road dog of 21.5 or more points. Take Liberty. |
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11-16-18 | Memphis v. SMU +9 | Top | 28-18 | Loss | -109 | 45 h 27 m | Show |
7* Memphis/SMU NCAAF Friday Night Lights on SMU +9 The Key: SMU can clinch a bowl berth with a win Friday night at home over Memphis. Memphis has already clinched a bowl at 6-4. It’s clear to me the hungrier team will be the home underdog Mustangs. And they are fighting for a bowl and have been for weeks, going 3-1 in their last 4 games with their only loss coming to nationally ranked Cincinnati in overtime. They upset Tulane as 9.5-point road dogs 27-23 and upset Houston 45-31 as 14-point home dogs. And now they are catching too many points against Memphis. The Tigers are just 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS on the road this season, where their defense is giving up 42 PPG and 504 YPG. SMU has topped 500 total yards in each of its last two games against Houston and UConn while averaging 53.5 PPG and should be able to move the ball at will. Bets on home dogs of 3.5 to 10 points who scored 42 or more points in 2 straight games coming in are 44-12 ATS over the last 5 years. Take SMU. |
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11-15-18 | Florida Atlantic v. North Texas -3.5 | Top | 38-41 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 52 m | Show |
7* FAU/North Texas C-USA *HEAVY HITTER* on North Texas -3.5 The Key: North Texas wants revenge from two losses to FAU last season. They lost 69-31 in the regular season and 41-17 in the conference championship game. But there’s no question the Mean Green have the better team in 2018, and it will show on the field Thursday night. The Owls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Mean Green are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 November games. Take North Texas. |
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11-15-18 | Packers v. Seahawks UNDER 49.5 | 24-27 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 11 m | Show | |
6* Packers/Seahawks NFC *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 49.5 The Key: Based on series history this total has been set too high. The Packers and Seahawks have combined for 48 or fewer points at the end of regulation in each of their last 4 meetings. They’ve averaging just 40.5 PPG combined at the end of regulation in those 4 meetings. The UNDER is 4-0 in Seahawks last 4 Thursday games. Take the UNDER. |
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11-14-18 | Pelicans -1 v. Wolves | Top | 100-107 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
7* Pelicans/Timberwolves ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on New Orleans -1 The Key: The Pelicans have won 3 in a row and will be playing just their 3rd game in 7 days tonight. They should have plenty of energy to give to the Timberwolves, who just traded away Jimmy Butler. So the Timberwolves are in transition right now with Robert Covington and Dario Saric expected to make their team debuts. And Andrew Wiggins and Jeff Teague are questionable for the Timberwolves tonight. The Pelicans are expected to get Nikola Mirotic back in the lineup, and Elfrid Payton could return as well as he’s listed as questionable. Either way, I like the Pelicans in this spot because they are the better team with Anthony Davis and Jrue Holiday leading the way. The Pelicans are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 road games after scoring 120 points or more. New Orleans is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team that wins less than 40% of their games. Take New Orleans. |
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11-14-18 | Seton Hall v. Nebraska -7.5 | 57-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
6* Seton Hall/Nebraska NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Nebraska -7.5 The Key: Nebraska is a legit contender to win the Big Ten this season. The Huskers went 22-11 last season and 13-5 in Big Ten play. And now they have 4 starters and each of their top 4 starters back from that squad, including James Palmer Jr. and his 17.2 PPG. Seton Hall is not going to be very good this season with the losses of 3 of their top 4 scorers in Khadeen Carrington, Angel Delgado and Desi Rodriquez, who combined to average 46.7 PPG. The loss of that trio is a huge one for this Pirates program, which is now in rebuilding mode. They return just one starters in Myles Powell. The Huskers are 15-2 ATS in their last 17 home games and 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games overall. Take Nebraska. |
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11-14-18 | Buffalo v. Ohio -2.5 | 17-52 | Win | 100 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
6* Buffalo/Ohio MAC *CA$H COW* on Ohio -2.5 The Key: Buffalo knows it can clinch the MAC East title with a win over Bowling Green next week. They won’t be putting all their eggs into one basket here against Ohio because of it, knowing they have another shot to clinch next week if they should lose this game. I think Ohio comes in determined after a tough 2-point loss to Miami Ohio last week with the safety being the difference. Ohio has gone 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their previous 6 games before that one and were playing some great football. Now they want to prove that they are the best team in the MAC East by beating Buffalo tonight, and keeping their hopes alive of winning the division. The Bobcats are 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS at home this year and winning by 23.7 PPG on average. Ohio is 10-1 SU in its last 11 home meetings with Buffalo. The Bobcats are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 vs. good offensive teams that score 34 or more points per game. Take Ohio. |
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11-13-18 | Hornets -8.5 v. Cavs | Top | 89-113 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Charlotte Hornets -8.5 The Key: The Cavs are decimated by injuries right now. They are without 3 starters in Cedi Osman, George Hill and Kevin Love. They are also without key reserves Kyle Korver and Sam Dekker, and fellow reserve JR Smith is questionable. I just don’t see how they can even be competitive tonight against the Charlotte Hornets, who are one of the most improved teams in the league. The Hornets already beat the Cavs 126-94 back on November 3rd in their first meeting this season, and I think we see a similar result tonight given the Cavs’ injury situation. Cleveland is 4-21 ATS in its last 25 home games with a total set of 210 to 219.5. The Cavs are 19-42-1 ATS in their last 62 home games overall. The Hornets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games. Take Charlotte. |
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11-13-18 | Wisconsin +1 v. Xavier | 77-68 | Win | 100 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
6* Wisconsin/Xavier NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Wisconsin +1 The Key: The Wisconsin Badgers return 95% of their scoring from a year ago and all 5 starters. They also have all of their key reserves back. They basically don’t lose anyone. Xavier loses its top 3 scorers from last season and 2 key reserves. The Musketeers are in trouble this season. That was evident last time out when they only beat Evansville by 6, an Evansville team that lost by 39 to Illinois the game prior. Take Wisconsin. |
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11-12-18 | Spurs -2.5 v. Kings | 99-104 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
6* Spurs/Kings Western Conference *CA$H COW* on San Antonio -2.5 The Key: The Spurs love facing the Sacramento Kings. They are 14-0 SU in their last 14 meetings, and 7-0 SU in their last 7 meetings in Sacramento. And with a spread of just 2.5 tonight, the price is right to lay it with the Spurs to earn their 15th straight win over the Kings. They basically just have to win the game to get the cover. The road team is 20-8-1 ATS in the last 29 meetings. The Spurs are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 trips to Sacramento. Take San Antonio. |
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11-12-18 | Giants v. 49ers -3 | Top | 27-23 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
7* Giants/49ers NFC *HEAVY HITTER* on San Francisco -3 The Key: I know the 49ers aren’t going to quit. They show up every week looking to win. And it paid off last week with a 34-3 victory over the Oakland Raiders. That coincided with Nick Mullens taking over for the terrible CJ Beathard at quarterback. And Mullens has now earned another start after tossing 3 touchdown passes in the win. The Giants are still going with Eli Manning. He has started every game and the Giants are 1-7. Their offense is about as inept as any in the league because of Eli and a terrible offensive line. The 49ers have the better offense and the better defense, and they’re home on Monday Night Football. I think the price is right to lay the field goal with them here. The Giants are 1-9 ATS in all games with a line of +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. The 49ers are 26-6 ATS in their last 32 MNF games. Take San Francisco. |
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11-12-18 | 76ers v. Heat -2 | 124-114 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Miami Heat -2 The Key: The Heat have playoff revenge in mind from the 76ers knocking them out in the first round last year. And they will be playing a depleted 76ers team that is without Jimmy Butler, Dario Saric and Robert Covington, the 3 players in the big trade with the Timberwolves. The Heat should be able to get a win and cover here at home Monday night given the situation. The Heat are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games vs. teams who attempt 27-plus free throws per game. Take Miami. |
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11-11-18 | Seahawks +10 v. Rams | 31-36 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
6* Seahawks/Rams NFC West *CA$H COW* on Seattle +10 The Key: Russell Wilson has never been a double-digit underdog in his career. And he has only been a dog of 7.5 or more 3 times. It’s no surprise that the Seahawks are 3-0 ATS in those 3 games. I think the price is right to pull the trigger on the Seahawks here. They just had their bye 2 weeks ago and came back from it with a 28-14 win at Detroit. They should still be fresh. The Rams haven’t had their bye yet and are starting to show signs of wearing down, especially defensively where they are allowing 27.3 PPG in their last 6 games overall. And that’s why the Rams are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Only one of those 6 games resulted in a double-digit win by the Rams. The Rams are also 2-10 ATS vs. excellent passing teams who complete 64% of their passes or better over the last 3 seasons. Their pass defense has been leaky, and Russell Wilson should be able to exploit it. Take Seattle. |
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11-11-18 | Seahawks v. Rams OVER 50.5 | Top | 31-36 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
7* NFC Total of the Year on Seahawks/Rams OVER 50.5 The Key: The Seahawks and Rams combined for 64 points in their first meeting this season. And now they’ll be in perfect weather in Los Angeles. The Rams have arguably the best offense in the NFL as they’re scoring 33.2 PPG. And their defense has been very leaky of late by allowing 27.3 PPG in their last 6 games. The Seahawks have come alive offensively by scoring 27 or more points in 3 of their last 4 games. I think both teams get to at least 27 today as well. The OVER is 15-4 in Seahawks last 19 road games vs. teams who outscore their opponents by 10-plus PPG. The OVER is 19-6 in Seahawks last 25 road games as a dog of 7.5 to 10 points. Take the OVER. |
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11-11-18 | Patriots v. Titans +7 | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 2 h 9 m | Show | |
6* Patriots/Titans AFC *CA$H COW* on Tennessee +7 The Key: The Patriots have to be getting tired. They haven’t had their bye yet and they are now overvalued after going 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. They are being asked to lay a full touchdown on the road against the Titans today. This is a Titans team that is fresh after having a bye 2 weeks ago. And they came back with an impressive 28-14 road win at Dallas as 4-point underdogs last week. They have a very good defense that is giving up only 17.6 PPG this season. That gives them a chance to be competitive here against the Patriots. And Marcus Mariota torched that Dallas secondary. He should be able to find plenty of holes in a Patriots defense that is allowing 381 YPG this season. The Titans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. The Titans are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 vs. a team with a winning record. Take Tennessee. |
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11-10-18 | Thunder v. Mavs +1.5 | 96-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
6* Thunder/Mavs Western Conference *CA$H COW* on Dallas +1.5 The Key: The Thunder have been able to win their first two games without Russell Westbrook, winning on the road at Cleveland and at home against Houston. But we see this time and time again. Teams play well for one or two games without their stars, but then it catches up to them. I think that happens tonight here against the Mavericks. The Thunder will be without Westbrook again here tonight. The Thunder are 1-14 ATS in their last 15 road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 ATS coming in. The Mavericks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games off a loss by more than 10 points. The Mavs are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 home meetings. Take Dallas. |
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11-10-18 | Nets +7.5 v. Warriors | 100-116 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Brooklyn Nets +7.5 The Key: The Brooklyn Nets have gone 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings with the Warriors, including a 6-point home loss in their first meeting this season. The Nets are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 trips to Golden State. And their job gets a lot easier today against a banged-up Warriors team that is playing without Steph Curry, Draymond Green, Shaun Livingston and DeMarcus Cousins. They are just a shell of their former selves right now and will be a money burner for backers until they get healthy. The Nets have a legitimate shot to win this game outright, just like the Bucks did the other night in their 134-111 win at Golden State. Take Brooklyn. |
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11-10-18 | Florida State +17 v. Notre Dame | Top | 13-42 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
7* FSU/Notre Dame Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Florida State +17 The Key: This line has hardly moved since it was announced that Ian Book was out at quarterback for Notre Dame. Oddsmakers aren’t adjusting enough for his absence. Brandon Wimbush will take his place, and he’s a terrible passer. He’s completing just 55.3% of his passes this season compared to 74.5% for Book. Wimbush has a 1/4 TD/INT ratio compared to the 15/4 mark for Book. Wimbush is a running quarterback. That plays right into Florida State’s hands. The biggest strength of this entire FSU team is their run defense. The Seminoles only give up 111 RYPG and 2.8 YPC! That’s not what you would expect form a 4-5 team like them. But this is the Super Bowl for the Seminoles and they’ll come to play tonight to try and knock off the unbeaten Fighting Irish. The Seminoles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. The Fighting Irish are 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 November games. All the pressure is on the Irish tonight. Take Florida State. |
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11-10-18 | Oregon +4.5 v. Utah | 25-32 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
6* Oregon/Utah Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on Oregon +4.5 The Key: Utah’s two best offensive players are out for this game. QB Tyler Huntley is out with a broken collarbone, while star RB Zack Moss (1,092 yards, 11 TD, 6.1 YPC) is out with an ankle injury. The Utes shouldn’t even be favored in this game tonight. Justin Herbert and this Oregon offense will be the best unit on the field now. Oregon has had Utah’s number, going 5-1 SU & 4-2 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Ducks won outright as underdogs each of the last 2 seasons, and they’ll do the same again here Saturday given the huge injuries for the Utes. Bets against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points who are coming off an upset loss as a road favorite of 7 or more, in weeks 10 through 13 are 35-9 ATS since 1992. Take Oregon. |
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11-10-18 | UL-Monroe -7 v. South Alabama | 38-10 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
6* Sun Belt Game of the Day on UL-Monroe -7 The Key: The ULM Warhawks have reeled off 3 straight victories to get to 5-4 this season. They can clinch bowl eligibility with a win Saturday and should be able to do so in blowout fashion against 2-7 South Alabama. Few teams were more impressive than ULM last week. They beat Georgia Southern 44-25 and outgained them by a ridiculous 357 yards in the process. That was a one-loss GA Southern team at the time whose lone loss came to Clemson. It was as impressive as any win in the Sun Belt this season. Look for the Warhawks to keep rolling this weekend. South Alabama is 1-14 ATS off a game where it committed one or fewer turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Take UL-Monroe. |
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11-10-18 | Northwestern +10 v. Iowa | 14-10 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
6* Northwestern/Iowa Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Northwestern +10 The Key: Underdogs are 9-0-1 ATS in Northwestern games this season. The Wildcats have covered every time they’ve been a dog this season with one push. And they are 5-1 in Big Ten play this season with wins over Michigan State, Wisconsin and Purdue. They are a good team and they aren’t getting treated like it. The Iowa Hawkeyes already have 3 conference losses and could suffer a hangover here off their two straight tough losses in the closing seconds to Purdue and Penn State. Take Northwestern. |
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11-10-18 | Mississippi State +24.5 v. Alabama | 0-24 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
6* Mississippi State/Alabama SEC *CA$H COW* on Mississippi State +24.5 The Key: The Alabama Crimson Tide are prone to hangovers after big wins. And this is the perfect spot for one after their huge win at LSU last week. The Mississippi State Bulldogs have managed to stay within 25 points of Alabama in 11 of the past 14 meetings. They have been competitive against what has been the most dominant football program ever over the past decade-plus. Mississippi State certainly has the defense to be competitive this season, too. The Bulldogs are yielding just 12.3 PPG this year. They have been stout against the run and the pass. Mobile QB Nick Fitzgerald should be able to do enough with his legs to put up enough points to stay within the number as well. Take Mississippi State. |
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11-09-18 | Wolves v. Kings +3 | 110-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
6* Timberwolves/Kings Western Conference *BAILOUT* on Sacramento +3 The Key: The Sacramento Kings have been flying under the radar this season. They are 6-5 SU & 7-4 ATS and have picked up some impressive wins along the way. But off back-to-back losses to Milwaukee and Toronto, they should be hungry for a victory at home tonight against the Timberwolves. Minnesota has off-court distractions that just aren’t getting fixed. They have lost 4 in a row coming in with 3 of those losses by double-digits. And the Timberwolves are 0-7 SU & 2-5 ATS on the road this season, getting outscored by 11.0 PPG in the process. Minnesota is 9-23 ATS in its last 32 road games dating back to last season. The Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Take Sacramento. |
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11-09-18 | Washington +10.5 v. Auburn | 66-88 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
6* Washington/Auburn Top 25 *CA$H COW* on Washington +10.5 The Key: The Washington Huskies should be one of the top teams in the Pac-12 this season. They went 21-13 and 10-8 in conference play last year in the first season under Mike Hopkins. And now they return all 5 starters from a team that suffers zero key losses from that team. I backed them against Western Kentucky in a 73-55 win as 8.5-point favorites in their opener. Now I’m taking them as double-digit underdogs here against Auburn. This game will be closer than the books are expecting. Take Washington. |
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11-09-18 | Arkansas v. Texas -6 | Top | 71-73 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
7* Arkansas/Texas ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Texas -6 The Key: The Texas Longhorns return 4 starters this season and should be one of the top teams in the loaded Big 12. The Arkansas Razorbacks lost 6 of their top 7 scorers from a year ago and are in rebuilding mode under Mike Anderson. I think it’s worth laying the 6 points with Texas here given that these programs are going in opposite directions heading into the season. Take Texas. |
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11-08-18 | Clippers v. Blazers -5 | 105-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Portland Trail Blazers -5 The Key: The Portland Trail Blazers are just rolling along and consistently undervalued. They are 8-3 SU & 8-3 ATS this season. They have won 5 of their 7 home games this season all by double-digits. And they should make easy work of the Clippers tonight. The Clippers will be without Avery Bradley, and his loss is huge because he would have been guarding either Lillard or McCollum. Now they just have Patrick Beverly to guard one of those two, which means the other should be able to go off. It will most likely be McCollum, who is coming off a 40-point game and gaining confidence in his shot. The Clippers are 37-64 ATS in their last 101 games off 2 consecutive covers as a favorite. The Blazers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games. The Blazers are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 home games. Take Portland. |
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11-08-18 | Panthers v. Steelers UNDER 51.5 | Top | 21-52 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
7* Panthers/Steelers NFL *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 51.5 The Key: This is a very high total for two teams with solid defenses. The Panthers are allowing 344.7 YPG this season while the Steelers are giving up 348.2 YPG. These teams are 11th and 12th in total defense, respectively. The Panthers are 8-1 UNDER in road games on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. The Panthers are 48-21 UNDER in their last 69 games off a win against a division rival. The UNDER is 4-1 in Steelers last 5 Thursday games. The UNDER is 17-8 in Steelers lsat 25 games following an ATS win. Bets on the UNDER on road teams where the total is 49.5 or greater after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last 5 games, in November games are 30-7 since 1983. Take the UNDER. |
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11-07-18 | 76ers v. Pacers -2.5 | 100-94 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
6* 76ers/Pacers ESPN *CA$H COW* on Indiana -2.5 The Key: The Philadelphia 76ers are still in search of their first road victory of the season. They are 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS on the road this year and getting outscored by a whopping 15.2 PPG. That’s why I have no problem laying the short price with the Pacers at home tonight as only 2.5-point favorites. They are one of the top teams in the East and took Lebron James and the Cavs to 7 games last year, which nobody else in the East can say. The Pacers are 10-2 SU & 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings with the 76ers as well. The 76ers are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 road games. The Pacers are 40-18 ATS in their last 58 games following a loss. Take Indiana. |
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11-07-18 | Toledo v. Northern Illinois -3 | Top | 15-38 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
7* Toledo/NIU MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Northern Illinois -3 The Key: The Northern Illinois Huskies can basically wrap up to the MAC West title with a win tonight. No question they’ll be motivated to get it done. This has been one of the best teams in the MAC all season, and they should be able to handle Toledo by more than a field goal at home tonight. NIU is 6-3 this season with its 3 losses coming to Utah, Iowa and Florida State. The Huskies have handled their business in MAC play this year with a 5-0 conference record. They also went on the road and upset BYU. Toledo is still without starting QB Mitchell Guadagni. Their backup has played well in his place, but against soft defenses, and he’s going to really get tested tonight against the best defense in the MAC. The Huskies are giving up just 20.4 PPG and 327 YPG in MAC play this year. That’s the difference in this game. Toledo is allowing 26.4 PG and 445 YPG this season. The Huskies are 7-0 ATS after outrushing their last opponent by 150 or more yards last game over the last 3 seasons. The Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a win. Take Northern Illinois. |
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11-06-18 | Western Kentucky v. Washington -8.5 | 55-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
6* WKU/Washington ESPNU *BAILOUT* on Washington -8.5 The Key: The Washington Huskies should be one of the top teams in thePac-12 this season. They went 21-13 and 10-8 in conference play last year in the first season under Mike Hopkins. And now they return all 5 starters from that squad and suffer zero key losses. Look for them to get out of the gate quickly against Western Kentucky tonight. WKU only returns 2 starters, and they will be without Auburn transfer DeSean Murray, who is suspended to start the season. Lamonte Bearden (11.8 ppg LY) is one of the two returning starters, and he’s serving a 6-game suspension to start the year as well. Take Washington. |
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11-06-18 | Bucks v. Blazers +2 | 103-118 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Portland Trail Blazers +2 The Key: The Bucks are really starting to get too much love from the books now after their 8-1 start to the season. They are being asked to go on the road and lay points here to one of the better teams in the Western Conference in the Portland Trail Blazers, who are 7-3 SU & 7-3 ATS. If anything, the Blazers are getting disrespected. They should play the underdog card here and get an outright win and cover. The Bucks are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 ATS coming in. Bets on home teams of +3 to -3 in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams who average 82 or more shots per game, after a game where they allowed a shooting percentage of 35% or less are 26-6 ATS since 1996. Take Portland. |
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11-06-18 | Kent State +20 v. Buffalo | Top | 14-48 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
7* Kent State/Buffalo MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Kent State +20 The Key: Buffalo doesn’t even need to show up tonight. The Bulls can lose outright and it won’t matter. Next week’s game against Ohio will decided the MAC East champion. I think their lack of motivation will allow Kent State to get the cover here. And I also like that there is gusts of up to 50 miles per hour forecasted in this one, which should keep this a low scoring affair. Take Kent State. |
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11-05-18 | Wolves v. Clippers -5 | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
6* Timberwolves/Clippers NBA *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles -5 The Key: The Timberwolves are in disarray. They are just 4-6 this season and coming off road losses by 30 and 17 points. They won’t be able to hang with an improved Clippers team tonight. The Clippers are rested having the last 2 days off since beating the Magic by 25 on the road last time out. The Timberwolves are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 road games. The Clippers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games off a win by more than 10 points. Take Los Angeles. |
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11-05-18 | Titans v. Cowboys OVER 40 | Top | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
7* Titans/Cowboys NFL *Total* Annihilator on OVER 40 The Key: This is a very low total for an NFL game. It doesn’t take much to go OVER 40 points in the NFL anymore with the rules that favor the offenses. And I think with both teams off bye weeks they’ll have come up with some more creative game plans to spark their offenses. The Cowboys should already get a spark with the addition of Amari Cooper. They should have one of the better offenses in the league moving forward now that they have a legitimate No. 1 receiver. The Cowboys are 9-1 OVER in their last 10 home games when playing with 2 or more weeks rest. Bets on the OVER when the total is 35.5 to 42 against teams off a close loss by 7 points or less to a division opponent, in November games are 26-3 over the last 10 seasons. Take the OVER. |
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11-04-18 | Packers +6 v. Patriots | 17-31 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
6* Packers/Patriots Sunday Night *BAILOUT* on Green Bay +6 The Key: Getting Aaron Rodgers as a 6-point underdog against the Patriots is a nice proposition. That’s especially the case when you consider Rodgers is a perfect 5-0 ATS as a dog of 6 points or more in his career. It doesn’t happen often. It happened last week and the Packers nearly won outright at the Rams, losing by just 2 points. They would have won the game outright had Ty Montgomery not fumbled the kickoff in the closing minutes. I actually like that the Packers lost that game because it means they’ll be playing with even more of a sense of urgency today against the Pats. Take Green Bay. |
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11-04-18 | Chiefs v. Browns +9 | Top | 37-21 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 31 m | Show |
7* AFC Game of the Year on Cleveland Browns +9 The Key: Backing teams in their first game with a new head coach is certainly a profitable move long-term. It gives that team new life and new hope, and the first game out is the time to back them. I’ll back the Browns today because of it. The Chiefs are 31st in total defense this season, which makes them vulnerable despite having one of the top offenses in the NFL. The Chiefs are 1-9 ATS off 4 straight games where they gained 6 YPP or more in their last 10 tries. Take Cleveland. |
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11-04-18 | Bucs +6.5 v. Panthers | 28-42 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 30 m | Show | |
6* Bucs/Panthers NFC South *CA$H COW* on Tampa Bay +6.5 The Key: The Tampa Bay Bucs are a team I want to back with Ryan Fitzpatrick at quarterback. He utilizes the plethora of weapons the Bucs have at receiver much better than Jameis Winston does. He’s not afraid to go deep. He led the Bucs back from 21 points down to nearly beat the Bengals last week, losing on a last-second field goal. And with Fitz the Bucs are never out of any game. That makes them scary as 6.5-point dogs to the Panthers today. The back door will always be open if we need it. Tampa is 8-0 ATS off a game where 70 points or more were scored in their last 8 tries. The Panthers are 0-6 ATS off 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better. Take Tampa Bay. |
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11-03-18 | Rockets -8 v. Bulls | 96-88 | Push | 0 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Houston Rockets -8 The Key: James Harden makes his return from a hamstring injury tonight. That should help ease the load on the Rockets from playing the 2nd of a back-to-back here. And they should be fresh either way because this is still just their 3rd game in 8 days. The Bulls are also playing on a back-to-back tonight after losing yet another heartbreaker to the Pacers by 2 points last night. They could be flat here off back-to-back tough close losses. And the Bulls will be playing their 6th game in 9 days. They’re already short-handed with 4 key players out with injury in Markkanen, Dunn, Portis and Valentine. They won’t be able to keep pace with the Rockets tonight. The Rockets are 28-13 ATS as a road favorites over the last 2 seasons. The Rockets are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 meetings with the Bulls winning by 32, 9 and 21 points. Take Houston. |
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11-03-18 | Boston College -2 v. Virginia Tech | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 37 h 2 m | Show | |
6* Boston College/VA Tech ACC *CA$H COW* on Boston College -2 The Key: Virginia Tech used to have a great home-field advantage. But that is clearly no longer the case. The Hokies are just 8-9 SU at home in ACC play over the last 5 seasons. Boston College is a perfect 7-0 ATS in its last 7 ACC road games. The Eagles travel well and should be able to beat a down Virginia Tech team that is 1-2 at home this season with blowout losses to both Notre Dame (23-45) and Georgia Tech (28-49). Their only home win came against William & Mary. And they also lost on the road to Old Dominion (35-49) as 28-point favorites earlier this season. The Hokies have one of the youngest defenses in the country. They are giving up 5.8 yards per carry in ACC play this year. Boston College, which rushes for 230 yards per game this season, should have its way on the ground against the Hokies. The Eagles are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games. The Eagles are 8-0 ATS off a home games over the last 2 seasons. The Eagles are 14-3-1 ATS in their last 18 games overall. Take Boston College. |
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11-03-18 | Georgia v. Kentucky +9.5 | 34-17 | Loss | -115 | 37 h 52 m | Show | |
6* Georgia/Kentucky SEC *CA$H COW* on Kentucky +9.5 The Key: Kentucky just gets no respect from oddsmakers. The Wildcats are 9.5-point home dogs to the Georgia Bulldogs this week despite being 7-1 and ranked #9 in the country. The Wildcats have earned that ranking by going 5-1 in ACC play with their only loss coming in overtime on the road at Texas A&M. And I think they have what it takes to hang with Georgia this week. Georgia looked vulnerable with its 16-36 road loss at LSU a few weeks back. And the Bulldogs are coming off the Cocktail Party win over Florida last week, making this a precarious spot for them. Kentucky’s defense is good enough to keep them in this game. The Wildcats are yielding just 13 PPG and 295 YPG this season. This will be the best ever atmosphere in Lexington for a college football game with the SEC East title essentially riding on the outcome. Take Kentucky. |
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11-03-18 | Liberty +2 v. UMass | Top | 59-62 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 47 m | Show |
7* NCAAF Independent Game of the Year on Liberty +2 The Key: Liberty is the better of these two teams. They sit at 4-3 on the season with wins over the likes of Troy and New Mexico. And they’ve been competitive in most of their games. Plus they had a bye last week to get ready to face UMass this week. UMass is coming off a fortunate 22-17 victory at UConn last week as they trailed most the way. And UConn is one of the worst teams in the country. The Minutemen are just 3-6 this season with their other two wins coming against Duquesne and Charlotte. All 6 of their losses have come by double-digits. Now they have to face an option team here in Liberty. The last time they faced an option team they lost 13-34 at Georgia Southern as 1.5-point underdogs on September 8th. Liberty is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games as a road underdog. Take Liberty. |
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11-03-18 | Kansas State +8 v. TCU | 13-14 | Win | 100 | 37 h 46 m | Show | |
6* Kansas State/TCU Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Kansas State +8 The Key: The TCU Horned Frogs have hit rock bottom. They are just 1-5 SU & 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Their only win came on a last-second field goal in a 17-14 home win over Iowa State as 11.5-point favorites. They are coming off a 26-27 loss at Kansas as 13-point favorites. Gary Patterson seems to have lost this team. And injuries haven’t helped. TCU recently lost its best playmakers on offense in KaVontae Turpin. Two of the best defensive players are out for this game in LB Ty Summers and S Niko Small. Kansas State certainly won’t quit on Bill Snyder. The Wildcats are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall with their only blowout loss coming at Oklahoma last week. They played Texas to a 5-point game and Baylor to a 3-point game while upsetting Oklahoma State 31-12. At 3-5 this season, the Wildcats have a great shot to win their next 3 games as they host Kansas and Texas Tech after this. That would get them into a bowl game. The Wildcats are 13-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a blowout road loss by 21 points or more. Take Kansas State. |
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11-03-18 | Iowa State -14.5 v. Kansas | 27-3 | Win | 100 | 33 h 17 m | Show | |
6* Iowa State/Kansas Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Iowa State -14.5 The Key: The Iowa State Cyclones continue to fly under the radar. Since Matt Campbell took over, this has been one of the greatest turnarounds of any program in the country. The Cyclones have gone 23-6-1 ATS in their last 30 games overall, including 20-5-1 ATS in their last 26 conference games. They have played the toughest schedule in the country and have gotten through with a 4-3 record. And they’ve been in every game they’ve played with all 3 of their losses coming by 10 points or less to Iowa, Oklahoma and TCU. They beat West Virginia handily at home, won at Oklahoma State, and handled Texas Tech at home last week. Now they catch Kansas at a good time. The Jayhawks are coming off a rare win in the Big 12 with a 27-26 upset victory over TCU last week. That’s a TCU team that appears to have quit. And I think the Jayhawks will suffer a letdown this week off that monumental win. Look for the Cyclones to make easy work of them just as they did last season in a 45-0 win in Ames. The Cyclones are 16-3 ATS in Saturday games over the last 2 seasons. Take Iowa State. |
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11-02-18 | Colorado v. Arizona -2.5 | Top | 34-42 | Win | 100 | 20 h 47 m | Show |
7* Colorado/Arizona NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Arizona -2.5 The Key: Khalil Tate finally looked healthy for the first time all season last week as he returned from injury to face Oregon. The Wildcats played their best game of the season in a 44-15 victory. Tate threw for 189 yards and 3 touchdowns in the win. And now the Wildcats are getting zero respect for that victory as only 2.5-point home favorites over Colorado Friday night. I think the Wildcats remain hungry because they are 4-5 and need 2 more wins to make a bowl, and this game is a must-win if they want to get to a bowl because they have a road game at Washington State next time out that they’re unlikely to win. And they get a bye next week so they certainly want to go into their bye with a taste of victory. Colorado blew a huge lead against Oregon State last week and lost 34-41. I think they could suffer a hangover from that defeat. The Buffaloes have now lost 3 straight as the competition has ramped up. Colorado is 0-7 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. The Buffaloes are also 0-7 ATS after playing a game where 60 or more points were scores over the last 2 years. Take Arizona. |
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11-02-18 | Grizzlies +8 v. Jazz | 110-100 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Memphis Grizzlies +8 The Key: The Memphis Grizzlies are 4-2 SU & 4-2 ATS this season. Their 4 wins have all come by 8 points or more, including a 92-84 road win at Utah as 11-point underdogs in their first meeting this season. This line is only 8 because Utah has some key injuries right now. The Jazz are expected to be without leading scorer Donovan Mitchell (23.3 PPG) tonight and key reserve Alec Burks. I just don’t see how they’re going to cover this spread without Mitchell. The Grizzlies come in on 2 days’ rest. Memphis is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 vs. NBA Northwest Division teams. The Jazz are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Grizzlies are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Utah. Take Memphis. |
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11-01-18 | Raiders v. 49ers OVER 44.5 | Top | 3-34 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
7* Raiders/49ers NFL *Total* Annihilator on OVER 44.5 The Key: Both the 49ers and Raiders don’t play any defense. The Raiders have been moving the ball on offense just fine and have to air it out now without a running game. They scored 28 on the Colts last week but also gave up 42. The 49ers have been moving the ball fine even without Jimmy G at quarterback. Beathard is banged up but should be able to produce one of his best games of the season against the Raiders tonight, and even if Mullens has to play I like the 49ers’ chances of keeping pace with Carr and company. Either way there won’t be much defense being played tonight. Take the OVER. |
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11-01-18 | Thunder +1.5 v. Hornets | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Oklahoma City Thunder +1.5 The Key: The Oklahoma City Thunder started the season 0-4 and that has had them undervalued. They have since reeled off two straight blowout home victories over the Suns and Clippers and I think they are back to being the team we thought they’d be coming into the season. Russell Westbrook was banged up to start the season, so that had a lot to do with the slow start. But now they are basically at full strength going forward. They are certainly better than the Charlotte Hornets, who are now overvalued after a 6-2 ATS start to the season. The Hornets should not be favored here. Charlotte is 2-16 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. The Hornets are 5-21 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 ATS over the last 3 seasons. The Thunder are 14-5-1 ATS in the last 20 meetings. Take Oklahoma City. |
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11-01-18 | Ohio -3 v. Western Michigan | 59-14 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
6* Ohio/Western Michigan MAC *CA$H COW* on Ohio -3 The Key: The Ohio Bobcats were MAC title contenders coming into the season and now they are playing like it after a rough start in the non-conference. They have gone 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 4-1 SU in their last 5 games. Their only loss came on the road at Northern Illinois by a field goal, 21-24. Their last two wins have been 49-14 over Bowling Green and 52-14 over Ball State. Now they face a Western Michigan team coming off a 24-51 home loss to Toledo. And the Broncos suffered a huge loss in that game when starting QB Jon Wassink suffered an ankle injury. Wassink has thrown or 2,009 yards and 16 touchdowns with only 6 interceptions this season. He also rushed for 6 scores. It’s a big blow for the Broncos and a big downgrade to Kaleb Eleby at quarterback. No question the Bobcats have the best QB in the MAC in Nathan Rourke, who has thrown 14 touchdowns with 5 interceptions, while also rushing for 569 yards and 6 scores. I’ll take the team with the much better quarterback tonight. The Bobcats are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 vs. a team with a winning record. The Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games. Take Ohio. |
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10-31-18 | Pacers v. Knicks +6 | 107-101 | Push | 0 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
6* Pacers/Knicks ESPN *CA$H COW* on New York +6 The Key: The New York Knicks are 5-2 ATS this season and have consistently been overlooked by oddsmakers. I expect them to hang with the Indiana Pacers tonight and possibly pull off the upset as 6-point home underdogs. The home team is 22-6 ATS in the last 28 meetings. The Knicks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home meetings with Indiana. Take New York. |
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10-31-18 | Ball State v. Toledo UNDER 66 | Top | 13-45 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
7* Ball State/Toledo MAC *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 66 The Key: Ball State has several key injuries right now that will hamper their ability to score points. Riley Neal means everything to this team at the quarterback position. He was knocked out for the season in their last game and won’t be returning. That leaves backup QB Drew Pitt to take the reigns. Also, leading rusher James Gilbert is questionable to play tonight with a back injury. They have some serious injuries on the offensive line as well. For Toledo, starting QB Mitchell Guadagni is questionable with a shoulder injury, and even if he plays he won’t be 100%. Ball State is 12-2 UNDER in its last 14 games as a road dog of 14.5 to 21 points. The UNDER is 7-2-1 in Cardinals last 10 games overall. The UNDER is 7-1 in Rockets last eight Wednesday games. The UNDER is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. The UNDER is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Toledo. Take the UNDER. |
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10-30-18 | Wizards v. Grizzlies -1.5 | 95-107 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Memphis Grizzlies -1.5 The Key: I like the situation for the Grizzlies tonight. They are rested with 2 days off in between games and will be playing for just the 2nd time in 6 days here. The Wizards will be playing their 5th straight road game and their 5th game in 9 days. They are 1-3 on this trip thus far with their only win coming by one point in overtime, and they are coming off a 32-point loss to the Clippers. I think the Wizards are running out of gas, especially with injuries to two key players in Dwight Howard and Markieff Morris. The Grizzlies are 17-4 SU & 15-6 ATS in their last 21 home meetings with the Wizards. Washington is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 road games. The Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take Memphis. |
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10-30-18 | Kent State +1.5 v. Bowling Green | Top | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
7* Kent State/Bowling Green MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Kent State +1.5 The Key: Both Kent State and Bowling Green are 1-7 this season. But it’s clear to me that Kent State is better than their record, while Bowling Green is every bit as poor as its record. The only win for Bowling Green came 42-35 at home over Eastern Kentucky. The lone win for Kent State came 54-14 over Howard, the same Howard team that only lost 32-38 to Ohio. And Kent State has losses by 1, 1, and 7 points this season to Illinois, Ohio and Akron. Bowling Green’s 7 losses have all come by 7 points or more, and 6 of them by 15 points or more. These teams have 2 common opponents with both losing, the difference being Kent State only losing by 13 PPG while Bowling Green losing by 25 PPG. The Golden Flashes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. teams who average 250 PYPG or more and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. teams who allow 230 RYPG or more. The Falcons are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 home games following a loss. The Falcons are 1-10 ATS when the total is between 63.5 and 70 over the last 3 years. Take Kent State. |
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10-29-18 | Patriots v. Bills UNDER 45 | Top | 25-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show |
7* Pats/Bills AFC *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 45 The Key: The Bills have the worst offense in the NFL. They are averaging just 11.6 PPG and 234 YPG. And their offense has been even worse without Josh Allen. Derek Anderson came out of retirement to quarterback the team. It didn’t go well last week as the Bills managed just 5 points against the Colts. But the Bills do have a solid defense as they are only giving up 321 YPG this season, which is one of the best marks in the league. And they can slow down the Patriots enough to keep this total UNDER the number. Bets on the UNDER on road teams when the total is 42.5 to 49 points in conference games, off a road win where they scored 31 or more points are 24-5 since 1983. Bets on the UNDER on road teams after going over the total by more than 14 points in consecutive games, after the first month of the season are 35-10 over the last 10 seasons. Take the UNDER. |
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10-29-18 | Nets v. Knicks -2 | 96-115 | Win | 100 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New York Knicks -2 The Key: The Brooklyn Nets will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days here Monday. Not only that, they are coming off a hard-fought 114-120 loss to the Warriors last night in which they used a lot of energy for a 4th quarter comeback. They will be tired and won’t be nearly as excited to face the Knicks as they were the Warriors. The Knicks come in on 2 days of rest having last played on Friday. They want revenge from a 105-107 road loss to the Nets on October 19th just 10 days ago. The situation really favors the Knicks tonight. Take New York. |
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10-28-18 | Broncos v. Chiefs UNDER 54 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 2 h 54 m | Show | |
6* Broncos/Chiefs AFC West *CA$H COW* on UNDER 54 The Key: The Broncos and Chiefs are meeting for a 2nd time in the month of October already today. They combined for 50 points in their first meeting. And I like the price on this UNDER 54 in the rematch Sunday. Familiarity favors defense and I think both of these defenses will be up to the task today. Denver is 13-3 UNDER vs. teams who give up 24 or more points per game over the last 3 seasons. The UNDER is 47-20 in Chiefs last 67 home games. Take the UNDER. |
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10-28-18 | Jets v. Bears OVER 41 | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 54 m | Show | |
6* Jets/Bears Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on OVER 41 The Key: I know there’s rain in the forecast in Chicago today. However, this total has been bet down from 46 to 41 because of it, and now I like the price on the OVER. Both of these offenses are better than they get credit for, and both defenses aren’t as good as they get credit for. The Bears are scoring 28.3 PPG behind an improved offense under head coach Matt Nagy. The Jets are scoring 26 PPG under QB Sam Darnold, who may wind up winning Rookie of the Year honors. The OVER is 4-0 in Jets last 4 games overall. Take the OVER. |
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10-28-18 | Ravens v. Panthers UNDER 44.5 | Top | 21-36 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 54 m | Show |
7* NFL Total of the Week on Ravens/Panthers UNDER 44.5 The Key: The Ravens lead the NFL in scoring defense and total defense this season. It’s no wonder they have gone UNDER the total in 5 straight games with 41 or fewer combined points in 4 of those. And I like the price we are getting with the UNDER 44.5 on them here Sunday against another defensive minded team in the Carolina Panthers. Take the UNDER. |
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10-27-18 | Washington v. California +12 | Top | 10-12 | Win | 100 | 17 h 42 m | Show |
7* Pac-12 Game of the Year on California +12 The Key: The Cal Golden Bears finally snapped out of their funk with a 49-7 beat down of Oregon State. That result was more indicative of the potential of this team than the three consecutive losses that preceded it. The Golden Bears gave away those three games by committing a combined 14 turnovers in them, which is almost unheard of. They only gave the ball away once against Oregon State and amassed 539 total yards. They can play with Washington if they don’t turn the ball over, and likely beat them. The Huskies are just 2-6 ATS in their 8 games this season and have been overrated all season. They should not be double-digit road favorites over the Bears this weekend. Cal is 7-0 ATS off a game where they committed one or fewer turnovers over the last 2 seasons. Take Cal. |
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10-27-18 | Iowa +5.5 v. Penn State | 24-30 | Loss | -103 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
6* Iowa/Penn State Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Iowa +5.5 The Key: Iowa has opened 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS this season. The Hawkeyes have been one of the most underrated teams in college football. And they really should be 7-0. They led Wisconsin in the final minutes, and that was even after they committed two special teams mistakes that led to Badgers touchdowns. This team is the real deal and they will prove it by beating Penn State on the road Saturday. The Nittany Lions had their dreams crushed with back-to-back home losses to Ohio State and Michigan State. And then last week they were lucky to win 33-28 at Indiana as 14-point favorites because they were outgained by 137 yards and gave up 554 yards to the Hoosiers. Iowa is one of the best teams in the country at stopping the run, giving up 80 RYPG and 2.7 YPC. That bodes well for them being able to stop a Penn State rushing attack that is averaging 241 RYPG and 5.9 YPC. Kirk Ferentz is 27-5 ATS vs. excellent rushing teams that average 5.25 YPC or more as the coach of the Hawkeyes. Take Iowa. |
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10-27-18 | Arizona State +3.5 v. USC | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
6* Saturday NCAAF *Upset Special* on Arizona State +3.5 The Key: USC suffered its third loss of the season last week in a 28-41 setback at Utah. That was a much worse loss than the final score showed as the Trojans were outgained by 336 yards. I think the air has been lifted out from underneath their sails now. They have no chance to win the Pac-12 and little to play for the rest of the way. Arizona State is a team that will keep battling under first-year head coach Herm Edwards. The Sun Devils sit at just 3-4 this season, but all 4 losses came by 7 points or less, so they’ve had a chance to win every game. They are much better than their record suggests. And they’ve had extra rest after playing last Thursday in a 13-20 home loss to Stanford in a game they should have won as they outgained the Cardinal by 79 yards. Look for them to come back with a chip on their shoulder this week, rested and ready to go. The Sun Devils are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss. The Trojans are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games overall. USC is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games following an ATS loss. The Trojans are 0-6 ATS off 3 straight conference games over the last 2 seasons. Take Arizona State. |
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10-26-18 | Wizards v. Kings OVER 235 | 112-116 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
6* Wizards/Kings NBA TV *BAILOUT* on OVER 235 The Key: The Wizards have been forced to go to a small lineup these last two games with Markieff Morris playing center. That’s because both Dwight Howard and Ian Mahinmi are out with injuries. And it’s no surprise that they have gone OVER the total in all 4 games this season, and the last 2 were the highest-scoring. They combined for 249 points with the Blazers two games back and 266 points with the Warriors last time out. And they should sail OVER this 235-point total with the Kings as well. The Kings are 4-1 to the OVER this season and trying to play at a faster place to utilize De’Aron Fox’s skill set. They have combined for 240, 278, 251 and 238 points in their 4 OVERS. All four of those numbers were higher than this 235-point total. Get ready for a shootout in Sacramento tonight. Take the OVER. |
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10-26-18 | Wyoming v. Colorado State -1.5 | Top | 34-21 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 48 m | Show |
7* Wyoming/Colorado State NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Colorado State -1.5 The Key: I love the price we are getting on Colorado State as less than a field goal home favorite over Wyoming Friday night. The Rams still have something to play for at 3-5 as they need to win 3 of their final 4 games to make a bowl. And this one is their most winnable, so they should handle their business. The Rams have a full week to get ready for this game after playing last Friday. Their offense put up 489 total yards against Boise State in what was a misleading 28-56 loss. The Broncos got 2 special teams touchdowns and the Rams outgained them by 17 yards. Collin Hill took over for Carta-Samuels at QB midway through the game and finished 12-of-14 for 135 yards and a touchdown. Hill is expected to get the start this week and is an upgrade over Carta-Samuels. Wyoming is just 2-6 with very little to play for at this point. It is coming off 4 consecutive losses, and its two wins this season have come against Wofford (17-14) and New Mexico State. The Cowboys have been atrocious on offense in averaging just 15.5 PPG and 289 YPG this season. I’m not sure how they are going to keep up with this potent Colorado State offense. The Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Wyoming is 8-20 ATS in its last 28 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Take Colorado State. |
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10-25-18 | Dolphins v. Texans OVER 44 | 23-42 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
6* Dolphins/Texans AFC *Total* Annihilator on OVER 44 The Key: The Texans are primed for an offensive explosion tonight. They have played one of the toughest schedule in terms of opposing defenses this season. But they went off for 37 points against the Colts a few weeks back, and they should go off again against a Miami defense that yields 25.3 PPG and 405 YPG this season. But the Dolphins have been able to put up some points on offense, even the last two weeks with Brock Osweiler at quarterback. They scored 31 against Chicago and 21 against Detroit. They even had over 500 total yards against a good Bears defense. They should help contribute to this OVER as well. The Dolphins are 7-0 OVER after allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. The Dolphins are 8-1 OVER off a non-conference game over the last 3 years. The Texans are 16-5 OVER in their last 21 games off 3 or more consecutive unders. I think the price is right to back the OVER tonight. Take the OVER. |
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10-25-18 | Georgia Tech v. Virginia Tech -3 | Top | 49-28 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
7* Georgia Tech/Virginia Tech ACC *HEAVY HITTER* on Virginia Tech -3 The Key: I love the situation for the Hokies tonight. Both them and Georgia Tech are coming off bye weeks, and that clearly favors the Hokies. Any time a team has extra time to prepare for the triple-option I’m looking to back that team because it’s so critical to get that extra prep time. Whether it be off a bye or for a bowl game, it’s a huge advantage. And defensive coordinator Bud Foster will be extra hungry after losing to Georgia Tech each of the last two seasons. The Yellow Jackets are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Georgia Tech is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games overall. The Hokies are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 home games. The Hokies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week. Take Virginia Tech. |
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10-25-18 | Blazers -3 v. Magic | 128-114 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Portland Trail Blazers -3 The Key: This is a tough situation for the Magic. They are coming off a huge upset win over the Boston Celtics on the road. I can’t help but think they will have a letdown at home against Portland tonight. The Magic are just 18-40 ATS in their last 58 games following a victory. And the Magic haven’t been very good at home this year, going 1-1 with a 3-point win over a depleted Miami team, and a 32-point loss to Charlotte. The Blazers are coming off a loss that will have them focused. And they’ve gone 4-1 in their last 5 meetings with the Magic with an average victory of nearly 15 PPG. Take Portland. |
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10-24-18 | Wizards v. Warriors OVER 234 | Top | 122-144 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
7* Wizards/Warriors NBA *Total* Annihilator on OVER 234 The Key: The Wizards have to go small ball tonight because Dwight Howard didn’t make the trip West, and Ian Mahinmi left their last game with a back injury. The Wizards went with Markieff Morris at center in their small ball lineup against the Blazers after Mahinmi’s departure and it worked well. They eventually won 125-124 in overtime. The Warriors love going small themselves, so this should be a track meet tonight. The Warriors beat the Wizards 120-117 in their last meeting at Golden State. I think both teams top 120 points tonight. Washington head coach Scott Brooks even said prior to this game if you don’t score 120 it’s tough to win in today’s NBA. And all his players complimented the small ball approach. Take the OVER. |
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10-24-18 | Dodgers v. Red Sox -138 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
6* Dodgers/Red Sox World Series *CA$H COW* on Boston -135 The Key: The Dodgers just can’t seem to score enough runs to hang with the Red Sox. This Boston lineup is the best in baseball, and that’s been on display during their 5-game postseason winning streak. They scored at least 7 runs in 4 of those 5 wins, including the 8 they hung on the Dodgers last night. The Dodgers have scored 5 runs or fewer in 8 straight playoff games. David Price is 9-3 with a 3.41 ERA in 18 home starts this year for the Red Sox. He should be able to hold this Los Angeles lineup in check. Hyun-Jin Ryu is 2-2 with a 4.63 ERA in 8 home starts this year for the Dodgers. He will get hit early and often by the Red Sox in this one. The Dodgers are just 2-12 in Ryu’s last 14 road starts vs. at team with a winning record. The Red Sox are 41-11 in their last 52 interleague games. Take Boston. |
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10-24-18 | Hornets v. Bulls +4.5 | 110-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Chicago Bulls +4.5 The Key: The Bulls are hungry for their first win of the season tonight. They should get it as 4.5-point home dogs to the Hornets. Their last two losses have come by a combined 8 points to the Mavs and Pistons, so they’ve been close. And I like the price we are getting with the Bulls tonight. The Bulls are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings with the Hornets. Charlotte is 5-15-1 ATS in its last 21 games following a loss by more than 10 points. The Hornets are 5-20 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 ATS over the last 3 years. The Bulls are 15-3 ATS against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 years. The home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Take Chicago. |
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10-23-18 | Kings +11.5 v. Nuggets | 112-126 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Sacramento Kings +11.5 The Key: The Denver Nuggets are in a tough spot tonight. They are in letdown mode off their 100-98 upset win over the defending champion Warriors last time out. They won’t be nearly as hungry here tonight against the Kings, and that’s a problem when you’re being asked to lay 11.5 points. I think the Nuggets come out flat here and the Kings get the cover. The Kings are coming off a 131-120 upset road win of their own as 10.5-point underdogs against Russell Westbrook and the OKC Thunder. But they won’t have a letdown because beating the Thunder is not like beating the Warriors. The Kings are shooting 52.8% as a team this season as they’ve clearly improved dramatically on the offensive end, averaging 125.7 PPG. Take Sacramento. |
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10-23-18 | Dodgers +142 v. Red Sox | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
6* Dodgers/Red Sox World Series *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles +142 The Key: I like the price we are getting with Clayton Kershaw and the Dodgers tonight over the Boston Red Sox. Kershaw is exercising his postseason demons with a 2.50 ERA and 0.83 WHIP in 3 playoff starts this year. Chris Sale has made it past the 5th innings just once in his last 7 starts, and that was only a 5 1/3-inning outing against the Yankees this postseason. Kershaw is 42-12 when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Bet on him in these spots and you would be up +21.2 units over the last 2 years. Take Los Angeles. |
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10-23-18 | Troy v. South Alabama UNDER 54.5 | Top | 38-17 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
7* Troy/South Alabama Sun Belt *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 54.5 The Key: The Troy Trojans lost starting QB Kaleb Barker to a torn ACL two games ago. Backup Sawyer Smith started against Liberty and the Trojans lost a defensive battle, 16-22. This should be another defensive battle here against South Alabama if the recent series history is any indication. The UNDER is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings with combined scores of 27 (2017), 49 (2016), 42 (2015) and 40 (2014) points. I’m shocked to see this total sitting at 54.5 given the series history plus Troy’s QB situation. Take the UNDER. |
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10-22-18 | Suns +12.5 v. Warriors | 103-123 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
6* Suns/Warriors NBA *BAILOUT* on Phoenix +12.5 The Key: The Phoenix Suns should be one of the most improved teams in the NBA this season. They have a young roster and have been stockpiling talent for years. That talent is about to come to fruition this season. They got DeAndre Ayton with the No. 1 pick in the draft and he’s a can’t-miss player. Devin Booker is becoming a star already. And the addition of Trevor Ariza gives them a leader in the locker room that they’ve desperately needed. All Ariza does is win everywhere he goes because he plays winning basketball. The Warriors will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 98-100 loss in Denver last night. Playing in altitude will have certainly taken more out of them than in most normal back-to-back situations. Take Phoenix. |
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10-22-18 | Giants +4.5 v. Falcons | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
7* Giants/Falcons NFC *HEAVY HITTER* on New York +4.5 The Key: The Falcons haven’t been covering this season because they can’t play defense. They are 2-4 ATS, but their two covers came by 2 points over the Falcons and by 2 points over the Bucs. That Bucs win last week needed a 57-yard field goal from Matt Bryant in the closing seconds to cover the 3-point spread in a 5-point win. And Bryant hurt his hamstring on the kick and will miss this game. As far as kickers go, Bryant is one of the most valuable in the league. And his role is even larger in recent seasons with all of the red zone struggles by the Falcons. But the biggest reason I’m fading the Falcons this week is their defense. They are giving up 32 PPG and 418 YPG this season. They are missing 3 defensive starters due to injury and haven’t been able to replace them. The Giants have extra time to prepare after playing last Thursday. The Giants are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games following a Thursday game. The Giants are also 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing 17 points or more in the first half of 2 straight games. Take New York. |
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10-21-18 | Bengals v. Chiefs -6 | 10-45 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show | |
6* Bengals/Chiefs Sunday Night *BAILOUT* on Kansas City -6 The Key: The Chiefs have played 4 of their first 6 games on the road this season, yet they’ve gone 5-1 SU & 6-0 ATS. Oddsmakers just can’t seem to price them right. Their only loss was 40-43 to New England on the road last week. They should get right here against the Bengals. The Chiefs are 2-0 at home this season and an 11-point win over the 49ers and a 16-point win over the Jaguars. The Chiefs are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Take Kansas City. |
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10-21-18 | Lions -3 v. Dolphins | 32-21 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
6* NFL Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Detroit Lions -3 The Key: This is a great situation for the Detroit Lions Sunday. They are coming off their bye and feeling good after beating the Packers 31-23 going into their bye. They have gotten healthy and have been an underrated team, going 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. They can get back to .500 on the season with a win here Sunday and will be hungry to do so. The Dolphins are getting too much respect from oddsmakers due to their 4-2 start this season. But they’ve been winning with smoke and mirrors as all four wins were one-score games, and they came against the Titans, Jets, Raiders and Bears. They stepped up in class and lost to the Patriots 7-38 and to the Bengals 17-27. The Lions crushed the Patriots earlier this season. Brock Osweiler will get the start against Sunday, and I’ll gladly fade him knowing that it’s unlikely he puts two good games in a row together. Matt Patricia will make life tough on Osweiler with two weeks to get ready to face him. The Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week. The Dolphins are 17-45-3 ATS in their last 65 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Take Detroit. |