Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-13-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Los Angeles Lakers +12.5 | Top | 107-103 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Lakers +12.5
Bottom Line: Playing on a team like the Lakers that is out for revenge for a road loss of 20 points or more to an opponent has resulted in a 37-13 ATS record since 1996 if they are also off an upset loss of 15 points or more. The Lakers are on an 18-6 ATS run following a blowout loss of 15 points or more while the Thunder are mired in a 6-19 ATS skid off a road win of 3 points or less. Pound LA. |
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02-13-14 | Utah v. USC +3.5 | 79-71 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
4* Major Pac-12 *PUNISHER* on USC +3.5
Bottom Line: USC has struggled in conference play, but Utah shouldn't be laying this many points on the road where it is 0-6 this season. The Trojans lost by 10 to rival UCLA last game, but they are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games following a double-digit loss at home. They are also 2-0-2 ATS in their last 4 home games versus a team with a road winning % of less than .400. The home team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Bet USC. |
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02-13-14 | St John's v. Seton Hall +1.5 | Top | 68-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Big East Game of the Year on Seton Hall +1.5
Bottom Line: Off a big win over Creighton, I expect St. John's to suffer a letdown at Seton Hall where it has walked away a loser 8 straight times. Those 8 losses have come by 11.3 points on average. Seton Hall has had only way day to gear up for this contest, but it is 9-1 ATS under Kevin Willard in home games when playing with 1 or less days of rest, winning in this spot by an average of 16.6 points. Pound the Pirates. |
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02-12-14 | New Mexico v. Boise State -2.5 | 70-71 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
4* Major Mountain West Monster on Boise State -2.5
Bottom Line: Coach Craig Neal's boys have been a bad investment in odd scheduling spots. Playing 2 games in a week is normal, but the Lobos are 0-6 ATS under Neal when playing for the 2nd time in 8 days. They have won these games on average but only by 0.6 points. Boise State can score the basketball, which makes it the type of team New Mexico has struggled against when it hits the road. The Lobos are on a 4-14 ATS slide in road games 15 games or more into the schedule versus teams that average 77.0 ppg or more. They have lost to these teams by 9.4 points on average. |
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02-12-14 | Philadelphia 76ers +8 v. Utah Jazz | Top | 100-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Pre All-Star Break Game of the Year on 76ers +8
Bottom Line: The 76ers were completely and utterly destroyed in their last two games, and they will put forth an extraordinary effort tonight in hopes of entering the All-Star break on a positive note. Utah has won its last two games with one of those being against Miami, which clearly took the night off, and the Jazz are being hugely overvalued because of it. The Jazz have been favored just 7 times all season and never by this much, and they are 1-3 ATS when laying 3 points or more. The Jazz have also won two consecutive games just five times this season and are 0-4 following the first 4 instances. Utah is just 7-17 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Pound the 76ers. |
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02-12-14 | Stanford v. Washington +2.5 | Top | 60-64 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Washington +2.5
Bottom Line: Washington has lost 3 in a row and was beaten badly at Colorado last time out. However, it is on a 19-8 ATS run at home after a loss of 15 points or more. The Huskies are also on a 9-2 ATS run at home after playing their last 3 games on the road. Stanford won the first matchup, but coach Romar's clubs are on a 57-36 ATS run when out for revenge for a road loss. Pound Washington. |
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02-12-14 | Charlotte Bobcats v. Brooklyn Nets -7.5 | 89-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Nets -7.5
Bottom Line: Charlotte can't be trusted playing without rest. The Bobcats are just 15-38 ATS in their last 53 games when playing without a day of rest. The Bobcats kicked Dallas last night, but they are 9-22 ATS off an upset win over the last 2 seasons. Charlotte has reached the century mark in its last two games despite being one of the weaker offensive teams in the league. This bodes well for us as it is 1-9 ATS after scoring 100 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. |
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02-12-14 | Dallas Mavericks +9.5 v. Indiana Pacers | 81-73 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Mavericks +9.5
Bottom Line: This line has been inflated due to Dallas' bad showing last night, and I'll gladly take the points as its motivational level should be off the charts, especially since it was crushed by Indiana in last season's two matchups. The Mavericks are 38-14 ATS in their last 52 road games, 37-14 ATS in their last 51 games following an ATS loss, 23-6 ATS in their last 29 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 versus the Central division. Plus, the road team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings. |
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02-12-14 | Syracuse v. Pittsburgh -2 | 58-56 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Pitt -2
Bottom Line: Look for Syracuse to suffer its first loss of the season tonight. Pitt gave the Orange major problems in the first matchup, and it figures to be even more of a handful on its home floor where it is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings with an 11.2-point average margin of victory. |
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02-11-14 | Atlanta Hawks +2 v. Chicago Bulls | 85-100 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Hawks +2
Bottom Line: The Hawks have had 2 days to regroup after losing a third straight, and they will be hungry to get back in the win column. They lost by 7 as a 5-point dog in Chicago last month, and now they are only catching 2 points? Part of the reason is the Bulls no longer have Deng, but the bottom line is the books clearly believe Atlanta has a much better chance to win this time around and I agree. I expect the Hawks to get this one. Chicago is coming off a lengthy road trip and is just 5-16-1 ATS in its last 22 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. The Bulls have also been a weak investment lately following any win and cover, going 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win. |
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02-11-14 | Dallas Mavericks v. Charlotte Bobcats +4 | Top | 89-114 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA-Conference Game of the Week on Bobcats +4
Bottom Line: Not only is this a fatigued spot for the Mavs, who have been playing every other day and traveling following each game since Feb. 3, but it is a definite look-ahead spot with Indiana tomorrow. The Mavs have already defeated the Bobcats this season so they will be much more interested in tomorrow night's contest against a team that blasted them twice last season. The Bobcats have had the last 2 days off, and they had 3 days off prior to that so they will be very fresh. The Bobcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on 2 days' rest. Charlotte lost by 4 at home to San Antonio last game, but it is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games following a loss. It's also 18-9 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. Pound the Bobcats. |
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02-11-14 | Florida v. Tennessee +2 | Top | 67-58 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy SEC Game of the Week on Tennessee +2
Bottom Line: The beating the Volunteers received at Florida only helps our cause as they will be that much more motivated. I'm not sure they needed any added motivation because they are 7-1 in their last 8 home games against the Gators, but the revenge factor certainly applies given that the Vols are on a 13-2 ATS run when looking for revenge for a road loss to an opponent. They haven't just won these games, they've won them by an average of 11.1 points. Plus, Tennessee is on a 17-4 ATS run as a home dog of 3 points or fewer or pickem, winning in this spot by an average of 4.4 points. Pound Tennessee. |
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02-10-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Detroit Pistons +4 | Top | 100-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Pistons +4
Bottom Line: There is a good amount of history on our side considering February underdogs of 3.5-9.5 points that are off a home win are 72-39 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Pistons are 4-0 SU and ATS in their last 4 home games with all 4 wins coming by double digits. Detroit can really rebound the basketball, and that doesn't bode well for the Spurs, who are 3-13 ATS this season versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game. San Antonio has lost to these teams by 1.0 point on average. The Palace of Auburn Hills hasn't treated the Spurs well lately. They are just 3-3 in their last 6 meetings there with 2 of the wins coming by only 4 points. Pound the Pistons. |
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02-10-14 | Iowa State v. West Virginia +2.5 | Top | 77-102 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on West Virginia +2.5
Bottom Line: Iowa State is 0-6 ATS after scoring 80 points or more in four straight games under coach Fred Hoiberg, losing by an average of 1.9 points in this spot. This trend shows the way high point output causes oddsmakers to overvalue teams. Teams like WVU that pack in it defensively don't force as many turnovers, but they also don't give up as many easy buckets on fly-by's and overplays. Iowa State is on a 0-6 ATS skid in conference play versus teams that force 14 turnovers per game or less. It has lost to these teams by an average of 0.2 points. Additionally, the Cyclones are 0-7 ATS the last 2 seasons following 2 or more consecutive overs, losing these contests by an average 0.9 points. Pound the Mountaineers. |
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02-09-14 | Philadelphia 76ers +15 v. Los Angeles Clippers | Top | 78-123 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on 76ers +15
Bottom Line: I think the return of Chris Paul puts a momentary hitch in LA's giddy-up. It will take Paul a little time to get back in the swing of things, and it will take the team a little time to adjust to playing with him again. For LA, this game won't be about seeing how badly they can beat the 76ers, it will be about getting adjusted to playing together again. This gives Philly an excellent opportunity to cover this big number. Playing against home favorites of 10 or more points has resulted in a 61-28 ATS record since 1996 if they are off a home games where both they are their opponent cracked the century mark and if they are playing 8 games or more in a 14-day span. Pound the 76ers. |
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02-09-14 | New Orleans Pelicans v. Brooklyn Nets -5 | 81-93 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Nets -5
Bottom Line: Playing against underdogs of 3.5-9.5 points 42 games or more into the schedule has resulted in a 60-28 ATS record since 1996 if they have a 45.5-47.5% field goal percentage and are facing a team that allows opponents to shoot 45.5-47.5% and if they average 14.5 turnovers per game or fewer and are up against a team that forces an average of 14.5-16.5 turnovers per game. Teams fitting this scenario have been underdogs of 5.6 points on average and have lost by 8.9 points on average. This system is 8-2 ATS the last 3 seasons. Bet the Nets. |
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02-09-14 | Illinois State v. Loyola-Chicago +1 | Top | 69-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Loyola-Chi +1
Bottom Line: Loyola is a perfect 4-0 ATS this season as a home underdog. The Ramblers are also on a 4-0 ATS run when matched up against a team that has a winning record. The Redbirds are 1-5 both SU and ATS in their last 6 road games. Loyola lost the first matchup on the road, but I expect it to have its revenge at home. Pound the Ramblers. |
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02-08-14 | Wichita State v. Northern Iowa +7 | 82-73 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
4* Major MVC *SUREFIRE* on Northern Iowa +7
Bottom Line: Northern Iowa is a tough place to play. The Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage greater than .600. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings with the Panthers winning last season's home meeting by 5 points. Look for Northern Iowa to take the Shockers down to the wire. |
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02-08-14 | Miami Heat v. Utah Jazz +9.5 | 89-94 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Jazz +9.5
Bottom Line: The Heat are off a big win over the Clippers, and that plays majorly in our favor as Miami is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games following a SU win and 6-20 ATS in its last 26 games following an ATS win. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and the underdog is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings. |
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02-08-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Phoenix Suns -2 | Top | 109-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Suns -2
Bottom Line: The Warriors haven't shown they can be trusted to string consecutive covers together, let alone wins lately. The Warriors are just 7-15 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season, including 0-4 ATS in their last 4 in this spot. The Warriors are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win. The Suns were blown out at Houston last game but are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss of more than 10 points. The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Pound Phoenix. |
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02-08-14 | St. Louis v. La Salle +4.5 | 65-63 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
4* Major Atlantic-10 *SUREFIRE* on La Salle +4.5
Bottom Line: Now's the time to go against the Billikens. They are off a dominant 65-49 win at St. Joseph's but are 0-4 ATS following a cover and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. The underdog is 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. We'll grab the points. |
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02-08-14 | Florida State v. Maryland -3.5 | 71-83 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
4* Major ACC Game of the Week on Maryland -3.5
Bottom Line: Florida State is 0-5 ATS in its last five games versus a team with a winning record. Maryland has been outstanding in bounce back spots, going 22-10 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses under Turgeon. The Noles have the Terps a beatdown in Tallahassee so Maryland will be extremely focused today. |
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02-08-14 | Michigan v. Iowa -4.5 | Top | 67-85 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Big 10 Game of the Year on Iowa -4.5
Bottom Line: Michigan is 0-7 ATS in road games when playing their 3rd game in a week over the last 3 seasons, losing by an average of 8.8 points in this spot. The Wolverines are also 0-6 ATS in road games after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games over the last 2 seasons. Iowa does an excellent job on the glass, which is a very positive sign. The Hawkeyes are 9-0 ATS after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons. They have won by an average of 9.5 points in this spot. Pound Iowa. |
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02-08-14 | Kentucky v. Mississippi State +13.5 | 69-59 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
4* Major SEC *SUREFIRE* on Mississippi State +13.5
Bottom Line: Kentucky hasn't been a good bet on the road where it is on a 4-13 ATS skid in lined road games. The Wildcats are 0-7 ATS in road games after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games over the last 2 seasons, 0-6 ATS in road games off 2 straight wins against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons, 0-7 ATS in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons and 0-7 ATS in road games after a game forcing opponent to commit only 8 turnovers or less over the last 2 seasons. |
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02-07-14 | Utah Jazz +9.5 v. Dallas Mavericks | 81-103 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
4* Major Western Conference *SUREFIRE* on Jazz +9.5
Bottom Line: The Jazz were embarrassed at home by Toronto last time out, but they've had 3 days to put that one behind them. Besides, lopsided losses have been a good motivator for Utah, which is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games following a loss of more than 10 points. While the Mavs have been a covering machine on the road, they are a soft 6-13 ATS in their last 19 home games. Plus, Dallas has had its issues with Utah, going 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings. |
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02-07-14 | UNC-Charlotte v. Tulane +3.5 | 63-64 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
4* Major C-USA *SUREFIRE* on Tulane +3.5
Bottom Line: Charlotte got off to slow starts in its last two games but managed to turn it on in the second half against a pair of inferior teams at home. These recent results don't bode well for the 49ers as they are 0-6 ATS after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average of 16.0 points in these contests. The 49ers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a win, period, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. I think they'll be much more concerned with Sunday's showdown at So. Miss than they will a Tulane squad that was just blown out by the Golden Eagles. The Green Wave are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a loss of more than 20 points. Grab the points as Tulane bounces back strong. |
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02-07-14 | Cleveland Cavaliers +8.5 v. Washington Wizards | Top | 115-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Line Mistake of the Week on Cavs +8.5
Bottom Line: This line is an overreaction to Cleveland's embarrassing loss to the short-handed Lakers. The Cavs have lost 6 in a row and the firing GM Chris Grant sends a message to the coaching staff as well as the players. I believe the Cleveland organization will collectively respond as they look to save a little face. The Wizards are 0-5 ATS this season when favored by 8 or more points and have lost 4 of these games SU. The Wizards are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a losing record, 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games versus a team with a losing road record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 versus Eastern Conference teams. The Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 versus NBA Southeast division foes and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings at Washington. The underdog is also 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Pound Cleveland. |
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02-07-14 | Iona v. Niagara +8.5 | Top | 90-89 | Win | 102 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Niagara +8.5
Bottom Line: I'll gladly grab the points with Niagara as they have won or lost by fewer than 8.5 points in 14 of their last 15 home games against Iona. Off back-to-back to back defeats and a blowout loss in the first matchup, the Purple Eagles will be out for revenge. Iona, on the other hand, will be much more concerned about Sunday's showdown with MAAC co-leader Canisius. Pound Niagara. |
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02-06-14 | Chicago Bulls v. Golden State Warriors -8.5 | Top | 87-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Warriors -8.5
Bottom Line: Disgusted following arguably their worst game of the season, the Warriors will be ready to bury the Bulls tonight. Golden State is 8-0-1 ATS in its last 9 games following a double-digit loss at home. After laying an egg in back-to-back losses to New Orleans and Sacramento where they didn't reach the 80-point mark in either, the Bulls bounced back with an upset win over Phoenix. That bodes well for us as they are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a cover. Pound Golden State. |
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02-06-14 | New Mexico State v. Idaho +8.5 | 67-73 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
4* Major on Idaho +8.5
Bottom Line: This is a flat spot for New Mexico State as it hits the road for the first time since Jan. 18. The Aggies won the first meeting by 24 points so they will have a hard time getting up for this contest. The Aggies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games following three or more consecutive home games and 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better. |
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02-06-14 | Temple +13 v. SMU | 52-75 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
4* Major AAC Game of the Week on Temple +13
Bottom Line: Playing against February home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points off a home win where they scored 85 or more points has resulted in a 41-15 ATS mark the last 5 seasons. SMU is a soft 14-35 ATS in home games off a home win since 1997. Also, Temple is 10-2 ATS under head man Fran Dunphy after a loss of 15 points or more. This is a sandwich game for SMU off a big win over Memphis and with Cincy on deck. |
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02-06-14 | LSU v. Georgia +3 | Top | 78-91 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy SEC Game of the Month on Georgia +3
Bottom Line: Playing against road teams, 15 games or more into the schedule, that hold opponents to 40% shooting or worse and have shot 50% or better their last two games has resulted in a 33-9 ATS record the last 5 seasons provided they are matched up against a team that holds its opponents to 40-42.5% shooting. This system is 2-0 ATS this season. The Tigers haven't been a good bet on the road where they are 0-2-2 ATS in their last four. They are 0-3-2 ATS in their last five road games versus teams with a home winning percentage above .600. The Bulldogs are on a 0-3 slide in conference play, but they are on a 7-0 ATS roll at home following 3 straight losses against conference rivals. Pound the Dawgs. |
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02-06-14 | Cleveland State v. Oakland +2.5 | 92-85 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
4* Major on Oakland +2.5
Bottom Line: Cleveland State is being overvalued following back-to-back high scoring wins on the road. Teams coached by head man Gary Waters are just 5-16 ATS after scoring 75 points or more in 2 straight since 1997. Oakland has won 8 of 10 at home this season, and I expect it to continue its strong play at home tonight. |
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02-05-14 | San Diego State v. Boise State -1.5 | 67-65 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB Mountain West Game of the Week on Boise State -1.5
Bottom Line: San Diego State is very fortunate to still be undefeated in league play as it needed OT to win at Utah State Jan. 25. I believe it suffers its first league loss tonight against an experienced and talented Boise State squad. Boise State is 11-1 at home this season and won last season's home meeting with SDSU 69-65. The Aztecs are only 1-9 ATS the last 3 seasons when entering with covers in 3 of their last 4 games. Bet Boise State. |
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02-05-14 | Dallas Mavericks v. Memphis Grizzlies -2.5 | Top | 110-96 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Southwest Division Game of the Month on Grizzlies -2.5
Bottom Line: Playing against road teams when the line is +3 to -3 that went over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game has resulted in a 47-19 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are a winning team playing against winning team. Memphis has been a nice investment in games oddsmakers expect to be close because of how solid it is defensively. The Grizzlies are 28-16 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. The Grizz are also 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games versus a team with a winning record. Dallas has won the first two matchups of the season but both were in Dallas. The Grizzlies are 5-0 in their last 5 home games in the series with an average winning margin of 10.2 points in these contests. Pound Memphis. |
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02-05-14 | Wichita State v. Indiana State +4.5 | Top | 65-58 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MVC Game of the Month on Indiana State +4.5
Bottom Line: Playing against February road favorites or pickems after 6 or more consecutive wins has resulted in a 97-50 ATS record the last 5 seasons, including a perfect 5-0 ATS record this season. Indiana State was crushed 68-48 in the season's first matchup, but the Sycamores are 6-0 ATS the last 3 seasons when out for revenge for a defeat where they were held to fewer than 60 points. They have won these contests by 6.8 points on average. Indiana State won by double-digits at Wichita State last season and played the Shockers to a 4-point game at home so they are very capable of pulling off the upset. Pound Indiana State. |
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02-04-14 | Butler v. Marquette -6.5 | 62-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Marquette -6.5
Bottom Line: Marquette was kicked at St. John's last game, but the Golden Eagles have a history of bouncing back. In fact, they are 12-3 ATS following a road loss over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average of 11.7 points in these games. They are also 11-3 ATS off a loss to a conference foe over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average of 9.7 points in these games. Marquette lost the first meeting 69-57 at Butler so it will draw additional motivation from that loss. Bet Marquette. |
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02-04-14 | Indiana Pacers v. Atlanta Hawks +3.5 | Top | 89-85 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Hawks +3.5
Bottom Line: The Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games, and I expect them to make it 5 straight covers as they face an Indiana team they have owned at home. The Hawks are 12-0 in their last 12 regular-season home games against the Pacers, winning these by an average of 10.6 points. Plus, Atlanta should be the fresher team as it has had the last 2 days off while Indiana is playing its 2nd game in as many nights and its 3rd in 4 days. The Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when playing without a day of rest. I managed to get 3.5, but 3.0 is the number that is most available at the time of this report. Because of this, I felt it worth mentioning that Atlanta is 8-0 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average of 6.0 points. Add up these 4 trends and we have a 28-0 angle in our favor. Pound the Hawks. |
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02-03-14 | Toronto Raptors v. Utah Jazz +3.5 | 94-79 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
4* Major Non-Conference *POWER PLAY* on Jazz +3.5
Bottom Line: The Jazz are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game, 2-0-2 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days' rest, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team with a winning record, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss of more than 10 points, 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 versus the Eastern Conference and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Raptors have really struggled in Utah, having dropped 7 of their last 8 there by an average of 14.9 points. Their only win there since 2006 came in double-overtime. The Raptors are 3-13 ATS in the last 16 meetings, including 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Utah. |
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02-03-14 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Denver Nuggets +2.5 | Top | 115-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +2.5
Bottom Line: The Nuggets are expected to have Ty Lawson back in the lineup tonight, which should give them quite a boost, but I like them in this spot regardless of whether he returns. Denver has dropped 2 straight at home after a stretch where it had won 5 of 6 at home so it will be very hungry to get back in the win column tonight. The Clippers have struggled in Denver's high altitude. The Nuggets are 25-9 in their last 34 home games in the series, including 14-4 in their last 18 and 2-0 in their last 2. Denver has also had an extra day to prepare for this game, and that only helps its cause. Pound Denver. |
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02-03-14 | Georgetown v. DePaul +5.5 | 71-59 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
4* Major Big East *BLOOD BATH* on DePaul +5.5
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from Georgetown following Saturday's big win upset win over Michigan State. The Hoyas are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a win and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. They are also just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. Bet DePaul. |
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02-01-14 | Toronto Raptors v. Portland Trail Blazers -7 | 103-106 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Trailblazers -7
Bottom Line: The Blazers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings with the Raptors, including 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings at home. Their last 4 home wins in the series have all come by double digits and by an average of 13.8 points. Portland has had 3 days to let its ugly loss to Memphis fester, and I expect it to deliver an inspired performance this evening. |
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02-01-14 | Miami Heat -5 v. New York Knicks | 106-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
4* Major *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Heat -5
Bottom Line: Playing on any team that is looking for revenge for an upset loss as a road favorite of 7 points or more and is also coming off a home loss has resulted in a 23-5 ATS record since 1996. The Heat are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home. |
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02-01-14 | Milwaukee Bucks +13 v. Memphis Grizzlies | Top | 90-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Bucks +13
Bottom Line: Milwaukee is terrible, but this is a great spot to back the Bucks catching big points against a team that rarely blows anyone out. The Grizzlies are a defensive team that plays mostly in the halfcourt, and that will especially be the case tonight with Mike Conley likely to sit this one out. The Bucks have been able to stick with teams that aren't explosive offensively. We saw them play the Grizzlies to a 77-82 game last month to earn a cover. The Grizzlies are a off a revenge win against the T-Wolves and have a big one at OKC Monday so they won't be giving Milwaukee their full focus. The Grizzlies are on a 10-24 ATS slide as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1996. Playing against February double-digit favorites that have gone under the total by 54 points or more in their last 10 games has resulted in a 27-7 ATS record since 1996. Double-digit road dogs that have lost 8 or more of their last 10 games are 47-19 ATS the last 5 seasons when they're matched up with a team that has won 8 or more of their last 10 games. Lastly, double-digit road dogs in the second half of the season off a double-digit road loss are 69-29 ATS the last 5 seasons. Pound Milwaukee. |
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02-01-14 | Akron v. Kent State +1.5 | Top | 57-60 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MAC GAME OF THE YEAR on Kent State +1.5
Bottom Line: Kent State has been an outstanding underdog investment at 15-5 ATS in the role the last 2 seasons, and it will have no problem getting up for this game following an ugly loss to Northern Illinois. The Golden Flashes are 6-0 ATS the last 2 seasons off an upset loss, winning by an average of 2.2 points in this spot. The Golden Flashes are also 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after being held to less than 50 points in their previous game. Akron knocked Kent State out of last season's MAC tourney and went on to make the Big Dance, and the Golden Flashes will be out for payback. |
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02-01-14 | Oklahoma v. Iowa State -8 | 75-81 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
4* Major Big 12 *BLOOD BATH* on Iowa State -8
Bottom Line: ISU is an impressive 32-17 ATS in home lined games under coach Fred Hoiberg, including 25-14 ATS as a home fave or pickem and 9-2 ATS in home February games. This last trend shows that the Cyclones are taking care of business at home in the heart of Big 12 play. They have won those 11 February contests by an average of 10.4 points. |
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02-01-14 | Memphis v. SMU -2 | 72-87 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
4* Major AAC Game of the Week on SMU -2
Bottom Line: SMU is 6-0 ATS as a home favorite this season. The Mustangs are also 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games versus Memphis. The Mustangs got caught looking ahead to this matchup and took a bad loss to USF. Now, they'll be even hungrier as they look to end a 2-game skid in the series. |
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01-31-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Utah Jazz +5 | Top | 95-90 | Push | 0 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Western Conference Game of the Week on Jazz +5
Bottom Line: Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off 2 or more consecutive home wins and playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 50-26 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams are losing straight up on average but only by 2.9 points. Additionally, January home dogs off a home win are 56-22 ATS the last 5 seasons (8-3 ATS this season). Also, home dogs playing 3 or less games in 10 days that failed to cover the spread last game are 75-38 ATS since 1996. Pound Utah. |
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01-31-14 | Manhattan +2.5 v. Iona | Top | 73-85 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MAAC Game of the Month (ESPNU) on Manhattan +2.5
Bottom Line: Iona lives and dies by the 3-point shot with 44% of its field goal attempts coming from beyond the arc this season. I expect it to die by it tonight as it goes up against a Manhattan team that defends the 3 very well, especially on the road where it has limited opponents to just 31.8%. The Jaspers are 6-0 ATS under Steve Masiello in contests 15 games or more in versus good 3-point shooting teams that make 37% of their attempts or more. Iona is a weak rebounding team, and that also puts it at a disadvantage tonight. The Jaspers are 8-0 ATS under Masiello in road games versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game. The road team is 7-1-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings, and the Jaspers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Iona. Pound Manhattan. |
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01-31-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Brooklyn Nets +5.5 | 120-95 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
4* Major ESPN *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nets +5.5
Bottom Line: Oklahoma City will be looking for revenge for a 95-93 home loss to the Nets earlier this month, but Brooklyn will be equally motivated following a 1-point loss to Toronto that snapped a 5-game win streak. Consider that playing against teams that are seeking revenge for a home defeat to an opponent has resulted in a 58-26 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are up against a team that is off an upset defeat to a division foe. This system is off to a 4-1 ATS start this season. Bet the Nets. |
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01-30-14 | Purdue +12 v. Michigan | 66-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
4* Major Big Ten *SUREFIRE* on Purdue +12
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from the Michigan Wolverines following a huge win over rival Michigan State to take over sole possession of first in the Big Ten standings. The Purdue Boilermakers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a double-digit loss at home and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Boilermakers are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings overall and 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings at Michigan. The road team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, and the underdog is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Plays 15 games or more into the season on teams like Purdue that average 74-78 ppg has resulted in a 38-14 ATS record since 1997 if they have been held to 65 points or less in 3 straight games and are playing a team that allows 63-67 ppg. This system is 4-1 ATS the last 3 seasons. |
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01-30-14 | Pacific v. BYU -13 | Top | 78-88 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB Blowout Game of the Week on BYU -13
Bottom Line: Fading the Pacific Tigers as a road dog of 12.5 to 15.0 points has resulted in a perfect 10-0 ATS record the last 17 years. The Tigers have lost these contests by 20.3 points on average. Backing the BYU Cougars at home against marginal winning teams (51% to 60% win rate) has resulted in a perfect 6-0 ATS record the last 2 seasons. The Cougs have won these contests by 25.2 points on average. Pound BYU. |
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01-30-14 | Phoenix Suns v. Indiana Pacers -11.5 | 102-94 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *BEST BET* on Pacers -11.5
Bottom Line: Playing home favorites that are playing their 2nd game in 5 days has resulted in a 29-10 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are matched up against a team playing 4th game in 5 days. Not only does Indiana have a significant advantage in terms of rest, it will be extremely determined because it was embarrassed in Phoenix last week. |
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01-30-14 | Florida Intl. v. Marshall -4 | 68-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
4* Major C-USA *BLOOD BATH* on Marshall -4
Bottom Line: Expect the FIU Golden Panthers to struggle as they step out on the road for the first time since Jan. 11. The Golden Panthers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Marshall Thundering Herd were smacked at Louisiana Tech last game, but they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss of more than 20 points and 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game. |
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01-30-14 | Florida v. Mississippi State +13.5 | 62-51 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
4* Major SEC *SUREFIRE* on Mississippi State +13.5
Bottom Line: The Florida Gators are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a win of more than 20 points, 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings and 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings at Mississippi State. The Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. Playing against double-digit favorites off a blowout win of 20 points or more in conference play has resulted in a 70-36 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are up against a team that's off a double-digit loss in conference play. |
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01-29-14 | Arizona State v. California -6 | 89-78 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
4* Major Pac-12 Bailout (ESPNU) on Cal -6
Bottom Line: Cal is 10-0 at home this season with an average winning margin of 19.1 points in these games. The total line is significant as it is a good indicator of what the books expect to happen. According to a total of 144, oddsmakers have Cal winning this game 75-69. Since ASU averages 76.6 ppg, clearly the books expect Cal to be able to slow the Sun Devils down with a defense that is allowing just 58.8 ppg at home. The Golden Bears are 18-3 ATS in home games when the total is 140 to 144.5 under Mike Montgomery. They have won these games by an average of 15.1 points. |
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01-29-14 | Washington Wizards +9 v. Los Angeles Clippers | 103-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Wizards +9
Bottom Line: We were on Washington +8.5 last night and watched the Wizards upset Golden State. I normally look to stay away from teams playing without rest, but the Wizards had two days off prior to last night's contest so I think they'll still have plenty left in the take to keep this one within the number. The Clippers cruised 113-97 in Washington last month but Chris Paul was huge in that game with 38 points and 12 assists. John Wall had 24 points and 12 assists and should really be able to take it to the Clippers tonight without having to expend as much energy on the defensive end against Paul. The Wizards are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games. They are 21-7 ATS when out for revenge for a home loss over the last 2 seasons and 11-3 ATS this season when out for revenge for a loss where they gave up 100 or more points. |
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01-29-14 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Sacramento Kings +5 | Top | 99-89 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Kings +5
Bottom Line: The Kings have been tough at home against good teams. They have home wins over Miami and Portland and just took the Pacers to OT Friday. The numbers really show how good Sacramento has been at home against good teams. It is on a 9-0 ATS run in home games versus teams that sport winning road marks, and it is on a 5-0 ATS run at home versus teams that have a road winning percentage greater than .600. Pound Sacramento. |
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01-29-14 | Ole Miss v. Tennessee -8 | Top | 70-86 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
5* SEC Game of the Week on Tennessee -8
Bottom Line: It's bounce back time for Tennessee following Saturday's embarrassing loss at Florida. The Volunteers are 12-4 ATS under coach Cuonzo Martin off a loss to a conference opponent. They are also 9-2 ATS under Martin after a double-digit defeat. Pound Tennessee. |
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01-28-14 | Washington Wizards +8.5 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 88-85 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy *BEST BET* Bailout on Wizards +8.5
Bottom Line: The Wizards will be the more focused team tonight as they look for revenge for a 112-96 home loss to Golden State earlier this month. The Wizards are 30-15 ATS under coach Wittman when out for revenge for a home loss, losing these contests by only 3.0 points on average. Washington is also on a 27-11 ATS run the last 2 seasons when out for revenge for a loss where it allowed 100 points or more. It has lost these contests by only 0.7 points on average. The Wizards are off a 3-point loss at Utah, but they have had 2 days to recover from that defeat, and they are on a 23-8 ATS run in road games off a close road loss of 3 points or less. Pound the Wizards. |
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01-28-14 | Virginia v. Notre Dame +4 | Top | 68-53 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Notre Dame +4
Bottom Line: Home teams that average 74-78 ppg but were held to 60 points or less last game, in games that occur 15 games or more into the season, are 30-8 ATS the last 5 seasons when they are up against a team that allows 63 ppg or less. Virginia has been rolling, but it's also been at home for 3 straight games. The Cavs are on a 2-10 ATS skid when they hit the road after 2 or more consecutive wins at home. Pound the Irish. |
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01-28-14 | San Antonio Spurs +1.5 v. Houston Rockets | 90-97 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
4* Major Divisional Dominator on Spurs +1.5
Bottom Line: The Spurs haven't lost consecutive games all season. They are 10-0 following their losses, winning these games by an average of 14.8 points. They will be very motivated tonight after a poor showing against the Heat Sunday. They will be even more incensed by losses to Houston in the season's first 2 matchups. Bet San Antonio. |
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01-28-14 | Boston Celtics v. New York Knicks -6 | 88-114 | Win | 100 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Divisional Dominator on Knicks -6
Bottom Line: The Knicks have regained their confidence following back-to-back wins, and they'll be hungry tonight after losing the season's first 2 matchups. The Knicks were absolutely humialated 114-73 by Boston at MSG last month, and they'll be out for some serious revenge as a result. Teams playing with double revenge are 118-71 ATS since 1996 if they are up against a team that is off a home loss where it was held to less than 80 points. This system tightens up to 20-9 ATS the last 5 seasons. Also, Boston is 1-10 in its last 11 road games with the losses coming by 12.6 points. |
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01-27-14 | Villanova v. Georgetown +6.5 | Top | 65-60 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Georgetown +6.5
Bottom Line: Playing against January favorites that have won 80% or more of their games has resulted in a 111-82 ATS record the last 5 seasons when they are up against a team that has won 51% to 60% of their games. Nova is 2-10 ATS when playing a 2nd game in 3 days over the last 3 seasons and 18-33 ATS in road games after covering the number in 3 of their last 4 games since 1997. Georgetown is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 home meeting against the Wildcats. Pound the Hoyas. |
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01-27-14 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Milwaukee Bucks +10 | Top | 114-86 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Bucks +10
Bottom Line: This is the final game of a 7-game road trip for the Clippers, and they will have played these games in an 11-day period. That's a lot of games and a lot of travel in not very many days. You better believe these Southern California are looking forward to getting out of the cold when they return home following this game. They'll be looking forward to getting off the road so much that they won't be focused on the task at hand, thinking they can beat the worst team in the NBA in their sleep. The Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a cover. They are also on a 48-73 ATS slide in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins. Home teams 42 games or more in that shoot 33-36.5% from 3-point range and average 14.5-16.5 turnover per game are 27-10 ATS the last 3 seasons when they are taking on a team that allows 33-36.5% shooting from 3-point range and forces 14.5-16.5 turnovers per game. The home team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Pound the Bucks. |
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01-27-14 | Phoenix Suns v. Philadelphia 76ers +6 | 124-113 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on 76ers +6
Bottom Line: The Suns won in Cleveland yesterday, but they had lost 3 straight and 4 of 5 on the road prior with the win coming by a single point. I don't think they'll have enough legs left to cover this number after playing yesterday. The 76ers have lost their last 3 home games, but 2 of those were against Miami and Oklahoma City. Nevertheless, they'll be motivated to get back in the win column. They've lost their last 2 overall and are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games following back-to-back losses. The Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a win. |
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01-26-14 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Golden State Warriors -4.5 | Top | 88-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Warriors -4.5
Bottom Line: Playing favorites that are holding opponents to 43.5-45.5% shooting on the season has resulted in a 39-17 ATS record since 1996 if they are up against a team allowing 45.5-47.5% shooting on the season and if both teams have +3 to +5.5 average rebounding advantage per game. Teams fitting this scenario have won by an average of 8.9 points. Golden State is indeed the better defensive team, and it will be out to prove just how good it can be defensively following a stretch of 4 poor defensive efforts in 5 games. It should be able to slow down a Portland team that will be playing its 7th game in 10 days. The Blazers put up 110 and 115 points, respectively, in their last two games, but they are 1-8 ATS this season after scoring 110 points or more in 2 straight games. The Warriors have allowed their last 2 opponents to reach the century mark, but they are 8-2 ATS this season after allowing 100 points or more 2 in straight games, including 4-0 ATS in their last 4 in this spot. Pound Golden State. |
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01-26-14 | Brooklyn Nets v. Boston Celtics +4.5 | 85-79 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
4* Major Divisional Dominator (ESPN) on Celtics +4.5
Bottom Line: After a really poor showing last time out versus an OKC team that was playing without Kevin Durant, I expect Boston to come storming back. The Celtics lost the first meeting in Brooklyn, and they'll be motivated to make sure the return of Pierce and Garnett doesn't go as planned. This time Boston will benefit from having Rondo on the floor. The Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 divisional games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 following a loss. The Celtics are also a too good to ignore 13-1 ATS in Sunday home games the last 3 seasons. The Nets are just 4-15 ATS on Sunday the last 3 seasons and 15-32-1 ATS in their last 48 road games versus a team with a losing home record. The Celtics are 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 home games versus a team with a losing road record. |
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01-26-14 | Minnesota v. Nebraska +1 | Top | 78-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Big Ten Game of the Week on Nebraska +1
Bottom Line: The Huskers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 home games. They are 17-6 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pickem since 1997 and 14-2 ATS off a loss against a conference opponent over the last 2 seasons. Nebraska beat Ohio State in its last home game and played Michigan to a 1-point game in the home contest before that. The Huskers also defeat Minnesota the last time they hosted the Gophers. Pound Nebraska. |
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01-25-14 | Washington Wizards v. Utah Jazz +1 | Top | 101-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +1
Bottom Line: This is a rough spot for Washington, which will be playing its 2nd road games in as many nights and its 3rd game in 4 days. The Jazz have had 3 full days off so they should be the more energetic team in this one. Utah took a double-digit loss at home to Minnesota last game, but it has still won 5 of 7 at home. The Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Jazz are 3-0 in their last 3 versus Washington and 6-1 in their last 7 at home in the series. Pound Utah. |
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01-25-14 | Southern Mississippi v. East Carolina +8.5 | 60-46 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
4* Major C-USA Game of the Week on East Carolina +8.5
Bottom Line: Playing against a favorite that's off a win of 10 points or more over a conference opponent has resulted in a 98-60 ATS record the last 5 seasons provided they have a win percentage of 80% or higher and are playing a team with a win percentage of 51-60%. So. Miss is a soft 17-33 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams like ECU that average 77.0 ppg or more since 1997, and the Golden Eagles fall to 5-15 ATS in this situation when the game takes place 15 games or more into the season. Lastly, head coach Jeff Lebo's squads are 7-0 ATS lifetime after failing to cover in 6 or 7 of their last 8. His teams have won by an average of 5.5 points in this spot. |
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01-25-14 | Connecticut v. Rutgers +6.5 | 82-71 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
4* Major AAC Game of the Week on Rutgers +6.5
Bottom Line: UConn is off a blowout win over Temple, but it is 28-49 ATS in road games off a home win of 10 points or more since 1997, winning by just 3.2 points in this spot. It is also 20-40 ATS in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games since 1997, winning by 2.3 points in this spot. The Scarlet Knights have been very competitive at home where they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4. |
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01-25-14 | Mississippi State v. Ole Miss -11.5 | Top | 63-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy SEC Game of the Year on Ole Miss -11.5
Bottom Line: Mississippi State has won two straight in the series, and that's not sitting well with rival Ole Miss. The Bulldogs won the season's first meeting by 4 points at home and they're catching double digits here? That's because they've been awful on the road, losing each of their 3 true road games this season by an average of 20 points. It's also worth mentioning that they lost by 18 at Ole Miss last season. When oddsmakers have installed Mississippi State as a double-digit dog, it's been for good reason. The Bulldogs are just 4-14 ATS under coach Ray when catching 10 points or more and have lost by an average of 21.0 points in these contests. The Bulldogs have won their last 2, but they are 0-6 ATS off 2 straight wins against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons, losing by an average of 13.2 points in this spot. Pound Ole Miss. |
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01-24-14 | Washington Wizards +4 v. Phoenix Suns | Top | 101-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards +4
Bottom Line: Road teams like Washington that average 98-102 ppg and are off a loss of 6 points or less are 46-19 ATS the last 5 seasons if they are up against a team like Phoenix that gives up 98-102 ppg. The Wizards are 17-6 ATS under coach Wittman in road games off a home loss. They are 9-0 ATS this season in road games after playing a home game. The Suns are on a sorry 45-74 ATS slide after 2 straight wins of 10 points or more. I think Phoenix will still be patting itself on the back after knocking off Indiana. Plus, I don't see it having an answer for John Wall. Pound Washington. |
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01-24-14 | Memphis Grizzlies +6 v. Houston Rockets | 88-87 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
4* Major Divisional Dominator on Grizzlies +6
Bottom Line: The Grizzlies are the more rested team heading into this contest having not played since Monday. They will also be the hungrier side because they have lost the season's first two battles. The Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a winning record. |
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01-24-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Boston Celtics +7.5 | 101-83 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Celtics +7.5
Bottom Line: Now is the time to go against the Thunder. They've won 5 in a row SU and ATS and are coming off back-to-back huge wins over Portland and San Antonio. They are catching all kinds of hype right now and are laying too big of a number on the road as a result. OKC is 2-11 ATS under coach Brooks after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games. The Thunder have lost by 0.3 points on average in these contests. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and the Celtics will be very motivated here because of the embarrassing loss they took in OKC earlier this month. |
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01-24-14 | Charlotte Bobcats v. New York Knicks -3.5 | 96-125 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Knicks -3.5
Bottom Line: The Bobcats are off a big win over the Clippers but are 7-20 ATS the last 2 seasons following an upset win, losing by an average of 6.8 points in this spot. The Knicks have lost 5 in a row, but I expect them to get up for the Bobcats in this revenge spot. Charlotte won last week 108-98, but the Knicks are 28-13 ATS under coach Woodson when out for revenge for a loss where they allowed 100 points or more. |
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01-23-14 | Denver Nuggets +7.5 v. Portland Trail Blazers | Top | 105-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +7.5
Bottom Line: Portland has played over half of its games, and that sets up two strong trends tonight. Denver is 8-0 ATS the last 2 seasons versus teams in the second half of their schedule that outscore opponents by 3.0 ppg or more. It has defeated these teams by 10.5 points on average. The Nuggets are also 8-0 ATS the last 3 seasons versus teams in the second half of their schedule that average 103.0 ppg or more, and they have defeated these teams by an average of 7.8 points. Portland is explosive offensively, but so is Denver. I don't see a Portland team that ranks near the bottom of the NBA in scoring defense getting enough stops to cover this number, especially since it will be the more fatigued team. Denver has had 3 days of rest and is 25-9-2 ATS in its last 36 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest. This is Portland's 3rd game in 4 days and 5th in 7 days. Pound Denver. |
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01-23-14 | Utah v. Arizona State -4.5 | 75-79 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Arizona State -4.5
Bottom Line: ASU has lost its last 2, but they came on the road to Arizona and UCLA, the 2 most talented teams in the league. Now the Sun Devils are back home where they are 9-1 on the season, and I expect them to bounce back strong. Under the direction of Herb Sendek, ASU is 31-15 ATS off 2 straight losses against conference foes. This system tightens up to a very impressive 9-1 ATS is both losses were by double digits. Pound ASU. |
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01-23-14 | Florida v. Alabama +5.5 | 68-62 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
4* Major SEC *SUREFIRE* (ESPN2) on Alabama +5.5
Bottom Line: This is a look-ahead spot for Florida, who has a big revenge game against Tennessee Saturday. This is a big revenge game for Alabama, who has lost 7 straight to the Gators. Alabama has been very competitive at home this season where it is 8-2 with the losses coming by just 5 and 3 points, respectively, to very good Wichita State and Xavier teams. The Gators are 1-10 ATS after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. |
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01-22-14 | Oregon State v. Washington State +2.5 | Top | 66-55 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Pac-12 Game of the Week on Washington State +2.5
Bottom Line: Look for Washington State to bounce back at home after a pair of rough outings on the road. The Cougars are 12-4 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses under coach Bone, and they have won these games by an average of 8.6 points. Additionally, Oregon State is off a huge win over Oregon, and it has been a poor play following a win. The Beavers are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a victory. Pound Washington State. |
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01-22-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. San Antonio Spurs -6 | 111-105 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
4* Major ESPN *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Spurs -6
Bottom Line: I don't see an OKC team that is playing its 5th game in 7 days having enough left in the tank down the stretch to cover this number against a rested San Antonio squad. Not only will the Spurs be fresher, but they will also be hungrier because they have dropped the first two meetings of the season and were embarrassed by 13 points at home in the most recent matchup. The Spurs are 18-7 ATS in their last 25 games when playing on 2 days' rest and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning record. The favorite is 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. |
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01-22-14 | Sacramento Kings v. Houston Rockets -10 | Top | 98-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on Rockets -10
Bottom Line: Houston has been caught overlooking Sacramento twice this season, but it won't happen again. Home teams that are out for revenge for 2 upset losses to an opponent and are also off a home win are 17-3 ATS the last 3 seasons. The Kings will definitely be the more fatigued team tonight as this is the final game of a 6-game road trip. Sacramento is 17-42 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 3 seasons. The Kings are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a win of more than 10 points. Pound Houston. |
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01-21-14 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Utah Jazz +3.5 | 112-97 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Jazz +3.5
Bottom Line: The Timberwolves have been wildly inconsistent this season, going 5-13 in games immediately following victories. They are are 9-25-1 ATS in their last 35 games following a win and 17-37-3 ATS in their last 57 games following a win of more than 10 points. They are also a soft 11-26 ATS in their last 37 games when playing on 2 days' rest and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a cover. The Jazz are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss of more than 10 points, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games when playing on 2 days' rest. The Jazz have won 5 of 6 overall versus Minnesota and 7 straight at home in the series. Grab the points. |
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01-21-14 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Oklahoma City Thunder -6 | Top | 97-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Thunder -6
Bottom Line: This is a bad spot for Portland, which is playing a 4th road game in 5 days. So not only will OKC be the fresher side, it will be the hungrier side as it looks to avenge losses in the season's first two meetings. The Thunder are on a 46-27 ATS run when out for revenge for an upset loss to an opponent. This trend is 26-13 ATS the last 3 seasons with an 8.7-point average margin of victory. OKC is also 47-31 ATS under coach Brooks when playing with double revenge. Portland is 5-15 ATS after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. Pound the Thunder. |
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01-21-14 | Indiana +12 v. Michigan State | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
4* Major ESPN PRIME TIME PUNISHER on Indiana +12
Bottom Line: Playing against favorites of 10 or more points that have won 10 or more consecutive games has resulted in a 151-109 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Indiana is off a pathetic performance against Northwestern, and it was embarrassed at home by Michigan State in the first meeting so it will be lacking no focus or motivation. The Hoosiers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games and have won 3 of the last 4 meetings with Michigan State. Grab the points. |
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01-20-14 | Indiana Pacers v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 102-94 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Bailout on Warriors pk
Bottom Line: Indiana is the best defensive team in the league, but the "D" hasn't been as tight on the road where it is allowing 5.7 more ppg. The Pacers are 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS in their last 3 road games, and I expect this trend to continue as they go up against a Golden State squad that ranks No. 4 in the NBA in field goal percentage defense. The Warriors are capable of a very strong defensive performance against an Indiana team that is offensively challenged at times. The Warriors are the far superior offensive team, and ultimately I believe their offense will be the difference. Indiana is on a 21-38 ATS slide in road games after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more. The home team is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings, including 3-0 ATS in the last 3. Looking back further, the home team is 11-1 in the last 12 meetings. Pound the Warriors. |
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01-20-14 | St Peter's v. Marist -4 | Top | 63-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Marist -4
Bottom Line: This line opened at -3, which is significant because St. Peter's is 0-7 ATS in games when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. It has lost these games by 8.9 points on average. Marist had won 4 in a row at home before getting upset by Rider Saturday, but it is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games following an ATS loss. Marist is also 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings with St. Peter's. Pound the Red Foxes. |
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01-19-14 | Sacramento Kings +8.5 v. Oklahoma City Thunder | Top | 93-108 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Kings +8.5
Bottom Line: Playing on road teams like the Kings that average 98-102 ppg and are off a loss of 6 points or less has resulted in a 45-18 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are matched up against a team like the Thunder that allows 98-102 ppg. The Kings will be the more motivated side as they are off a loss and will be looking to snap a 7-game losing streak against the Thunder. Sac played the Thunder to a 2-point game at home in the first meeting, and that performance will provide it with the confidence needed to give them a game tonight. OKC is off a pair of big wins over the Rockets and Warriors and has big games against Portland and San Antonio up next so I believe it will get caught looking ahead. The Kings are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Pound Sacramento. |
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01-18-14 | Golden State Warriors v. New Orleans Pelicans +4 | 97-87 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* on Pelicans +4
Bottom Line: The Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 at home versus teams with a winning road mark so they have shown they can compete on their home floor against some of the best teams in the league. New Orleans is 11-0 ATS after 2 consecutive division games over the last 3 seasons and 11-1 ATS this season after allowing 100 points or more in 3 straight games. Golden State is 1-8 ATS after a combined score of 215 points or more this season. New Orleans is the more rested team, and it will be lacking no motivation as it seeks revenge for losing the season's first 2 matchups with Golden State. The Warriors go back home after this and have a big game against Indiana Monday so this is a look-ahead spot as well. |
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01-18-14 | Utah Jazz v. Minnesota Timberwolves -10 | Top | 72-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on T-Wolves -10
Bottom Line: The Jazz are just 1-14 ATS under coach Corbin in road games following a road win, losing these contests by 10.9 points on average. They have lost by an average of 21.5 the last 2 times they've been in this spot. Minnesota has lost 3 in a row overall and 5 straight to the Jazz so it will be ready to run up the score tonight. Pound Minnesota. |
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01-18-14 | Detroit Pistons +5.5 v. Washington Wizards | 104-98 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Super System Smoker on Pistons +5.5
Bottom Line: Playing road teams that average 98-102 ppg, and have allowed 100 points or more in 2 straight games, has resulted in a 75-25 ATS record the last 5 seasons when they are playing a team that allows 98-102 ppg. Off 3 consecutive satisfying wins (2 over Chicago, 1 over Miami), I look for Washington to suffer a letdown. The Pistons will be motivated by last night's ugly loss to Utah as well as losses in their last 2 meetings with Washington. |
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01-18-14 | Texas Tech v. TCU +2.5 | 60-49 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
4* Major Big 12 *BLOOD BATH* on TCU +2.5
Bottom Line: Texas Tech is 0-4 SU & 1-3 ATS in true road games this season, and I look for its road woes to continue as it suffers a letdown following a big win over Baylor. The Red Raiders are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 road games. They are also 4-13 ATS after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average of 9.9 points in this spot. |
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01-18-14 | UCLA v. Utah +2 | Top | 69-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Pac-12 Game of the Month on Utah +2
Bottom Line: Utah is 13-1 at home on the season with the lone loss coming by just 2 points in OT to a very good Oregon team. The Utes have been an unbelievable home dog or pickem under coach Krystkowiak, going 17-6 ATS in the role. They are 9-2 ATS under him as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pickem, winning these contests by 5.1 points on average. Utah is 6-0 ATS under Krystkowiak in home games occurring 15 games or more into the season versus good shooting teams that make 45% of their shots or better. This is also a very tough spot for UCLA playing a 2nd road game in 3 days. Pound Utah. |
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01-17-14 | Golden State Warriors +1.5 v. Oklahoma City Thunder | 121-127 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Warriors +1.5
Bottom Line: The Thunder won by double-digits in Houston last night but this will be its third game in 4 nights, and they likely won't have enough left in the tank to handle the Warriors. The Thunder are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a cover and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a win of more than 10 points. Golden State is on a 47-29 ATS run as a road underdog, a 19-8 ATS run when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days and a 29-16 ATS run in road games when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent. |
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01-17-14 | Portland Trail Blazers v. San Antonio Spurs -6 | 109-100 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Spurs -6
Bottom Line: Plays on any team like San Antonio that averages 102.0 ppg or more has resulted in a 93-60 ATS records the last 5 seasons provided they have scored 100 points or more in 4 consecutive games and are facing a team that allows 102.0 ppg or more. Playing January home teams that are off a home win where they did not cover has resulted in a 55-24 ATS record the last 5 seasons. This system is 24-10 ATS the last 3 seasons and 4-1 ATS this season. The numbers are in our favor, and the Spurs will be lacking no incentive as they look to end a 3-game skid in the series. |
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01-17-14 | Los Angeles Clippers v. New York Knicks +4 | 109-95 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
4* Major ESPN *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Knicks +4
Bottom Line: New York is 24-8 ATS off 2 consecutive road losses by 10 points or more since 1996. The Knicks are 24-11 ATS in the 2nd game of a back-to-back under coach Woodson as well as 18-5 ATS in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days under their current coach. Look for New York to respond following last night's ugly loss to the Pacers. |
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01-17-14 | Miami Heat -10 v. Philadelphia 76ers | Top | 101-86 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Blowout on Heat -10
Bottom Line: This should be one of Miami's most motivated spots of the season following 3 consecutive defeats. Furthermore, the Heat lost in Philly earlier this season so they will be revenge-minded. Plays on any team off an upset loss to a division foe, provided it has a .600-.750 win percentage and is playing a losing team, has resulted in a 32-8 ATS record the last 5 seasons. This system is 3-0 ATS this season. Additionally, plays on road teams that average 103.0 ppg or more and trailed in their previous game by 20 points or more at the half has resulted in a 36-11 ATS record since 1996. This system is 4-0 ATS the last 3 seasons. Miami is 8-0 ATS after having lost 3 of its last 4 games over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average of 20.9 points in this spot. Pound Miami. |
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01-16-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder +2.5 v. Houston Rockets | Top | 104-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Thunder +2.5
Bottom Line: The Thunder fit perfectly into one of my most dominant systems. Playing against home teams when the line is +3 to -3 that are out for revenge for a loss to an opponent and off a road win of 3 points or less has resulted in a 16-1 ATS record the last 3 seasons. Houston finds itself in a tough spot playing its 2nd game in as many nights and its 5th in 7 days. Consider that Houston is 9-29 ATS in home games when playing a 5th game in 7 days since 1996. OKC will be the much fresher team as this is just its 2nd game in 5 days. Fresh legs will make all the difference. Pound the Thunder. |
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01-16-14 | Providence v. St John's -3.5 | Top | 84-83 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Big East *BEST BET* on St. John's -3.5
Bottom Line: St. John's will want this game more as it seeks its first conference win and looks to avenge last season's 3-point loss at Providence. The Friars are off a big win over Georgetown but have lost the momentum from that victory with a 7-day break. The key tonight is turnovers, and St. John's doesn't figure to give it away enough for Providence to stay in the game. The Red Storm is 10-1 ATS under Lavin in home games that take place 15 games or more into the schedule versus teams like Providence that force 14 turnovers per game or less. Providence is 3-12 ATS in road games the last 2 seasons versus good ball handling teams like St. John's that commit 14 turnovers or less per game. The Friars are also 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a cover, 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games versus a team with a winning record and 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings. |