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Stephen Nover
I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.
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Bookmakers pay little attention to the Canadian Football League. Stephen Nover has taken advantage of this to score huge profits beating the CFL in six of the last seven seasons. This includes 2021 when Stephen went 15-8-1 on his CFL plays for 65 percent. Take advantage of his expertise, research and top sources to score a big profit, too, in this beatable, niche sport.
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Match Up |
Pick |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Analysis |
UCLA vs Indiana |
UCLA -125 |
Top Premium |
72-68 |
Win
|
100 |
Show
|
I find this a bargain price to back UCLA, who I rate considerably higher than Indiana especially given the Hooisers' coaching uncertainty. But because of this past Tuesday's results we get a very low lay price on UCLA.
The Bruins fell on the road to Illinois three days ago, 83-78, while the Hooisers upset Michigan State as an 11 1/2-point road 'dog this past Tuesday. I find these results to be an outlier. UCLA had won seven consecutive games before running into the Illini. Indiana had lost five in a row and was in disarray with low morale about the decision of coach Mike Woodson to retire at the end of the season, leaving much coaching speculation, before shocking Michigan State.
These results put UCLA in a high concentration, high motivational level while the Hooisers may be in fat-and-happy mode. That's the situational element. The statistical handicap is UCLA ranks 18th defensively compared to Indiana's 231st defensive ranking and lack of rim protection, which the Bruins can exploit.
UCLA has the best defense in the Big Ten giving up an average of 64.6 points a game. The Bruins also take far better care of the ball than the Hooisers.
|
PICKS IN PROGRESS
Feb 15 '25, 8:00 PM
Play Type: Top Premium Pick
NCAA-B |
Kentucky vs Texas
Play on: Texas -3 -108 at Heritage
[Won: $100]
Game Analysis
Surprised unranked Texas is a favorite against 15th-ranked Kentucky? Don't be. The spot and Kentucky likely missing two key players make the Longhorns a deserving home favorite.
Texas is in desperation mode having gone 1-4 in its last five games. The Longhorns have played the toughest schedule in the toughest conference, the SEC. But they need this game to improve their NCAA Tournament resume.
The timing works for Texas. The Longhorns draw the Wildcats after Kentucky just upset fifth-ranked Tennessee at home this past Tuesday.
The Wildcats, though, finished their emotional victory against the Volunteers minus Jaxson Robinson, who sat out with a wrist injury, and point guard Lamont Butler, who went out with injury during the game. Kentucky coach Mark Pope said he does not expect either player to play. Those are Kentucky's second and third leading scorers. Butler also is Kentucky's assists leader.
Butler's expected absence should be a plus for Texas' Tre Johnson, who leads the SEC in scoring.
Pick Released on Feb 15 at 02:40 am
SERVICE BIO
Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 21 of 23 winning seasons.