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Sports Betting
Top 10 Gambling Tips
This article is going to give Simon Noble's top 10 gambling tips
for sports bettors. If you want to get better at sports betting
this year, then take these tips to heart and add to your game.
With a new football season approaching it's best to treat it as the
start of a new sports betting year.
The beginning of the NFL season is similar to the start of a new year --
providing a perfect opportunity for players to ‘wipe the slate clean'
and carry out a health-check on their betting, much like the
soul-searching on New Year's Day that results in life-enhancing
resolutions. With this in mind, Pinnacle Sports has assembled ten
Gambler's Resolutions; but don't worry, these don't involve exercising
or giving up beer!
Bet the NFL with -104 juice at Pinnacle
While you may already apply some of these golden rules for
improved betting; others may be new to you. In either case,
carefully applying this set of guidelines, should help you
become more successful betting football.
Top 10 Gambler's Resolutions
1. Get the best price
If you make only one NFL resolution this year, promise yourself
to ALWAYS obtain the best available price. At
Pinnacle, we offer -104 lines on NFL sides saving
players up to 60% of the juice other books charge. Holding an
account at
Pinnacle
will, therefore, save you a fortune during the season regardless
of whether you're a professional handicapper or a "weekend
warrior".
Put another way, a player has to win close to 53% of their bets
just to break even at traditional -110 pricing offered by other
sportsbooks. At a low juice sports book like
Pinnacle, you only need to win just 51% of your plays
to break even.
2. Learn conversions
Serious players know how often a 3-point home-favorite will win
by exactly 3. If they see a spread of New England -7.5 quoted at
-104, they can also immediately reason what the fair price is
for New England to cover a 7 point spread or any other spread
for that matter. Knowing these conversions not only helps you
find the best bets, but aids in analyzing props and other
markets such as teasers. Many players are long term winners
despite applying absolutely no handicapping by simply unearthing
opportunities by meticulously studying conversions.
Up to $500 Bonuses on Initial Deposits at Pinnacle!
3. Understand the
Pinnacle
Lean
A lot of sharp players use Pinnacle Sports because of our
unrivalled pricing, and their plays tell us (as well as
indirectly all other players) which side of a game to be on.
Time and again we've seen players track "the Pinnacle lean" and
win. The concept is simple: compare Pinnacle's line to other
sportsbooks. If the lines are different, you can beat the other
book. For example, if Pinnacle Sportsbetting has the Arizona
Cardinals -7.5 and another book lists them at -7, the value lies
in playing at the other sportsbook.
4. Keep good records
Keeping an accurate track record of your plays can reveal areas
of weakness you may not have been previously aware of. You might
find that you win in most markets, but consistently lose money
in one particular area. For example, you may crush the book on
NFL sides, but get killed on totals. A bettor may also flourish
at a particular point of the season and be unsuccessful at
another.
Pinnacle
offers clients a comprehensive account review facility that
highlights these trends, which can then be corrected, maximized
or avoided.
5. Use good risk management
Risk management is perhaps the most misunderstood and
undervalued concept in sports betting. If you bet for fun, the
average cost for a bet is based on the juice or vig. For
example, betting $100 on an NFL game using standard -110 pricing
at a traditional sportsbook has an average cost of $5 per game.
If you do no handicapping and just play for kicks, betting 100
games at $100 each, you should expect to lose $500 in a season.
Winning players must understand this too. It's possible to be a
successful handicapper, but still lose long-term by betting more
money than your advantage dictates. A sensible tactic for
winning players is to never risk more than 3% of bankroll on any
given play and to always shop for the best price.
6. Manage Expectations
Many players bet with no idea of what to expect long term. Some
are too optimistic in assessing their capabilities, especially
novice players, who plan their retirement on the basis of an
early winning streak. In major sports very few players can
expect to win more than 55%. If you're just playing for fun or
excitement, hitting exactly 50% is a realistic expectation.
7. Select your Sportsbook wisely
Many sportsbooks will offer promotions to encourage new players
to sign up. At
Pinnacle
for instance, new players will receive a 10% sign up bonus worth
up to $500 just for trying our service.
The general rule of thumb is that if a promotion looks too good
to be true, it probably is. There have been some horrific
sportsbook failures and nearly all were a result of
unsustainable promotions. If a sportsbook gives a large bonus,
lets you buy on/off the "3" for 10 cents, or offers a similar
promotion that makes it look "easy" to beat, you're risking
getting burned.
As a general rule of thumb, stick to solid sports books that
have been established for at least five years. A good starting
point for new players is to build a sportsbook portfolio that
includes at least one reduced-juice book like
Pinnacle, which offers up to 60% better odds than
traditional sportsbooks. In the long run playing reduced vig
lines at
Pinnacle
is worth much more than any sign-up bonus.
Best Odds in the World at Pinnacle!
8. Limit your bankroll
Bankroll is traditionally defined as the amount of money a
bettor is prepared to lose before they'll stop wagering. Decide
what your bankroll is before the season begins and stick to it.
If you hit a losing streak (everyone will at some point), reduce
the bet size relative to your lower bankroll. If you haven't
thought about your bankroll before, now is a good time. By
failing to address this fundamental aspect of gambling you could
easily lose more than you ever intended.
9. Define your goals
Whether you're a professional or recreational bettor, give
yourself clear objectives. If you're a pro, don't just focus on
hitting a financial target, think about how you'll reach it.
This might include doing statistical analysis on smaller
markets, making larger plays where there's an edge, or just
protecting your bank until the season ends. In each case, be
sure to identify and remain focused on the goal.
10. Understand why you bet
Different people bet for different reasons. A minority are
skillful enough to make a living from sports betting, but the
motivation for the vast majority of players is less obvious,
even to themselves. Some enjoy the intellectual challenge of
analyzing a match-up, while others bet to add excitement to
watching a live game. Be honest with yourself about what your
motivation is, as understanding why you bet will help you make
better decisions.
This is the first issue of the second year of "The Pinnacle
Pulse". The first series was well received and assisted a lot of
players, but we're always open to questions or topic suggestions
on sports betting. Feel free to email us at
askthebook@pinnaclesports.com.
February 22nd, 2007
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