Info Plays E. Tennessee State vs Kentucky Free Picks: 3/18


March 18, 2010 | Posted By Larry Cook

Your Info Plays Report for Thursday, March 18th

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Info Plays Free Winner for Thursday:  (90-54 Free Picks Run)

3* on East Tennessee State +20

Reasons why E. Tennessee State covers:

1.)  System Play.  We’ll Play Against – Favorites of 10 or more points (KENTUCKY) – in non-conference games, off a win against a conference rival.  This is a 66-31 ATS System hitting 68% over the last 5 seasons.  This system is 8-4 this season alone.

2.)  Kentucky is a freshmen-led team, and these youngsters will certainly be feeling the jitters of playing in the NCAA Tournament for the first time.  The Wildcats have gotten by on talent alone this season, with little experience across the board.  We look for them to struggle tonight enough for E. Tennessee State to get the cover.  This team has played well against against the better teams in the country in recent history.  E. Tennessee State is 31-12 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.  They are 26-8 ATS versus good teams – outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.  E. Tennessee State is 16-3 ATS versus good offensive teams – scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.  Finally, this team is 17-2 ATS in their last 19 games played in March.

3.)  E. Tennessee State has played a few tournament teams this season and played well.  They stayed within 13 points of Louisville on the road, and within 12 points of Tennessee on the road.  They also have an 11-point road win over Arkansas on their resume.  So they have proven they can hang with some very good teams.  Bet East Tennessee State.

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