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Baseball Betting Guide

As you make your daily wagers during the MLB season, make sure you are feeding your book a steady diet of dogs. In the long run it will give you the best chance to keep your bankroll healthy. 

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If you are adept at picking underdogs you can actually hit a lower percentage of your picks and still gain more units than if you were to play lots of favorites. This is simply because of the juice you must pay to back favorites. For example, if you back the New York Yankees, who win nearly 60 percent of their games each year, you will almost assuredly finish well out of the money because of the heavy juice you have to fork out to bet the Bronx Bombers.

Let’s take a look at a hypothetical scenario to show you the benefit of picking underdogs. If the Kansas City Royals are +278 underdogs against the New York Yankees, we can win $278 by risking just $100. The Yankees might be -312 favorites in this hypothetical game. What I’m getting at is that if you bet the Yankees here and the pin stripes lose, a $100 dollar bettor would lose $312 on one game. You could lose three underdog bets on the Royals in this situation and still not be as far in the hole as losing just the one favorite bet on New York.

Let’s say in a three game series at New York, if the Royals are a +250 underdog on average, and if they win one of the three games with you betting them each game of the three game series, a $100 bettor would be in the black. A Yankees backer would be in the red despite winning two of the three games because of the juice in the one loss.

Many MLB bettors never think the Yankees are going to lose, but we have already seen in the early going that New York can lose to anyone on any night, especially on the road. I suggest picking your spots to go against the Yankees this season . This will be a nice underdog play for you.

I’m not suggesting that you pick underdogs exclusively. If Roy Halladay is on the hill for Toronto at home against the Oakland A’s and the Jays are -153 favorites. I might see the value in taking this favorite at a good price for the situation.

This article is just to get you thinking about the money side of things as well as who you feel will win a certain game. You might think the Twins are a lock to win as a -212 favorite, but we all know that there is no such think as a lock so the risk involved may not be worth the reward. I suggest you listen for those barking dogs and I’ll bet you have your best MLB season in 2007.




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