Appalachian State/UNC-Greensboro Free Picks, Odds & Lines February 19th

February 19, 2009 | Posted By Larry Cook

Your Info Plays Report for Thursday, February 19th

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Info Plays FREE WINNER for Thursday: (10-3 Free Picks Run)

3* on Appalachian State -3

Reasons why Appalachian State covers the spread:

1.) UNC-Greensboro is 4-21 on the season with little to play for. This team has been playing their worst basketball at home as well, going 1-8 SU and 0-7 ATS in all home games. That’s right, they haven’t covered a spread at home all season. That’s more than enough evidence to pull the trigger on Appalachian State tonight.

2.) Revenge factor. One of UNC-Greensboro’s 4 wins this season came against Appalachian State by 2 points. App State has to be embarrassed by this loss, and they will not be having the same letdown they did back in early January. App State’s last 5 losses all came by 6 points or less. This team has been playing much more competitively than their record indicates, which is why they are showing so much value tonight. They will get rewarded for their solid play tonight with a win over UNC-Greensboro.

3.) System Play. We’ll Play On – All teams where the line is +3 to -3 (APPALACHIAN ST) – revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite against opponent off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog. This is a 39-13 ATS System hitting 75% over the last 5 seasons. Also, Appalachian State is 14-1 ATS in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season since 1997. Greensboro is 0-8 ATS in home games off a road loss over the last 3 seasons. App State is 11-2 ATS in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 85 or more points since 1997. All trends favor this team getting revenge tonight. Bet Appalachian State on the road.

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